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Amanda B. Bower & James G. Maxham III 
Return Shipping Poiicies of Oniine 
Retailers: Normative Assumptions 
and the Long-Term Consequences of 
Fee and Free Returns 
To limit costs associated with product returns, some online retailers have instituted equity-based return shipping 
policies, requiring customers to pay to return products when retailers determine that customers are at fault. The 
authors compare the normative assumptions about customers that underlie equity-based return shipping policies 
with the more realistic, positivist expectations as predicted by attribution, equity, and regret theories. Two 
longitudinal field studies over four years using two surveys and actual customer spending data indicate that retailer 
confidence in those normative assumptions is unjustified. Contrary to retailer assumptions, neither the positive 
consequences of free returns nor the negative consequences of fee returns were reversed when customer 
perceptions of fairness were taken into account. Depending on the locus and extent of blame, customers who paid 
for their own return decreased their postreturn spending at that retailer 75%-100% by the end of two years. In 
contrast, returns that were free to the consumer resulted in postreturn customer spending that was 158%-457% of 
prereturn spending. The findings suggest that online retailers should either institute a policy of free product returns 
or, at a minimum, examine their customer data to determine their customers' responses to fee returns. 
Keywords: product returns, online retailing, regret, equity, customer spending 
Product returns are a widespread and expensive prob-lem. 
For example, product returns of consumer elec-tronics 
cost retailers and manufacturers almost $17 
billion in 2011, representing a 21 % increase in returns since 
2007 (Wolf 2012). Thus, many retailers have established 
return shipping policies intended to limit their own costs 
(e.g., Kandra 2000; Meyer 1999). A policy commonly insti-tuted 
by distant retailers (e.g., Amazon.com) is an equity-based 
return shipping policy: If the retailer determines that 
it is to blame for the return, the retailer absorbs the return's 
cost; otherwise, customers must pay those costs. While these 
retailers appear to assume that consumers' equity assess-ments 
are the only relevant reaction to return shipping costs 
(for a model of retailers' assumptions, see Figure 1), distant 
retailers' concern with the fairness is reasonable. "Fairness" 
refers to "rightness or deservingness" (Oliver 1997, p. 194) 
Amanda B. Bower is Professor of Business Administration/Marketing & 
Advertising, Williams School of Commerce, Economics, & Politics, Was-hington 
and Lee University (e-mail: bowera@wlu.edu). James G. Maxham 
III is Chesapeake & Potomac Telephone Company Professor of Commerce, 
University of Virginia (e-mail: maxham@virginia.edu). This research was 
funded in part by the Bernard A. Morin Fund for IVIarketing Excellence at 
the Mclntire School of Commerce. The authors thank Bill Ross, Ruth 
Bolton, Rick Netemeyer, David Mick, Amar Cheema, and research semi-nar 
participants at the University of Virginia, Penn State University, 
Georgetown University, and Peking University for helpful comments on 
earlier versions of this article. Robert Leone served as area editor for this 
article. 
based on a consideration of inputs and outcomes, and prior 
research has associated fairness perceptions with a positive 
effect on important postexchange customer reactions such 
as satisfaction, word of mouth, trust, commitment, and 
repurchase intentions (e.g., Maxham and Netemeyer 2003; 
Oliver and Swan 1989a, b; Swan and Oliver 1991; Tax, 
Brown, and Chandrashekaran 1998). We define "return 
shipping policy cost fairness" (cost fairness) as the extent to 
which customers believe the return shipping policy out-come 
(whether fee or free) is fair. Consistent with both 
prior work and the assumptions of equity-based return ship-ping 
policies, we expect that perceptions of return cost fair-ness 
are positively related to postreturn repurchases (see 
Figure 2). 
Research has yet to investigate how these return ship-ping 
policies and associated costs can influence customer 
evaluations and subsequent postreturn spending. In the pre-sent 
research, we identify the apparent, normative assump-tions 
underlying the equity-based return shipping policies 
of free return (i.e., the retailer absorbs the return shipping 
fee) versus a fee return (i.e., the customer pays the return 
shipping fee) and compare those assumptions with a posi-tivist 
perspective on consumers' psychological reactions 
and postreturn spending. Working with two leading online 
retailers, we coupled responses from two online surveys at 
key points over the course of customers' return experiences 
with the customers' 24-month prereturn and 24-month 
postreturn purchase histories. We find that consumer assess-ments 
of fairness and attributions are inconsistent with the 
© 2012, American Marketing Association 
iSSN: 0022-2429 (print), 1547-7185 (eiectronic) 110 
Journal of Marketing 
Voiume 76 (September 2012), 110-124
FIGURE 1 
Model of the Normative Assumptions of the Product Returns Process Underlying Equity-Based Return 
Shipping Policies 
Product Failure 
Blame is eithe 
retailer or to 
self/consumer 
 ^ 
rtO 
Attributed to 
Retailer 
Free Return 
Retailer's assessment No misapplication of j ^ 
ofbiame is consistent 
with the consumer's 
assessment 
Attributed to 
Self/Consumer 
return shipping policy 
Fee Return 
Equity 
Accomplished 
Consumers will 
perceive a return 
shipping policy as fair 
if the one to blame 
pays for the return, 
even if the consumer 
pays for it 
^ / Postreturn  
^ Spending i 
Equity is the only 
response to a 
return shipping 
policy that affects 
postreturn 
spending 
Notes: Explanations of assumptions underlying process model structure are in italics. 
FIGURE 2 
Conceptual Model of Consumer Responses to Product Return Shipping Policies 
Retailer 
Attribution for 
Product Returns 
Return Shipping 
Policy 
(Free/Fee) 
( 
1 
' H2  
Self-Attribution 
for Product 
Returns 
^ ^ ^ ^ 
^ - ~-^ 
Customer 
Perceptions of 
Cost Fairness 
— ^ 
^ -^^ 
) 
/ H4 V 
J 
Customer Spending 
normative (and self-serving) assumptions of retailers. Not 
only do retailers overestimate tbe ameliorating (moderat-ing) 
effects of attributions on fee returns, but tbey also 
ignore consumers' affect stemming simply from return fees. 
In addition, free returns resulted in increases in postreturn 
spending (from preretum levels), and fee returns resulted in 
decreases in postreturn spending (from preretum levels), all 
regardless ofbiame attributions. 
Research on return policies is still developing. Botb 
Pastemack (2008) and Padmanabban and Png (1997) exam-ine 
manufacturer return sbipping policies offered to retail-ers. 
Otber research bas assessed actual consumer responses 
to return policies, suggesting the benefits to retailers of easy 
return policies. Anderson, Hansen, and Simester (2009) 
examine the value to consumers of the simple presence (vs. 
absence) of a return option and suggest a model retailers 
could use to optimize return policies. MoUenkopf et al. 
(2007) find that previous service experiences (e.g., return 
policies, web interface) could directly influence consumer 
loyalty intentions in the present product return context. 
Consistent with the present research, there is some 
research indicating that return policies instituted with the 
short-term gain in mind may have long-term negative con-sequences 
for tbe retailer. Despite retailer desire to control 
for "inappropriate" or "opportunistic" product returns with 
stricter return policies (Davis, Hagerty, and Gerstner 1998; 
Hess, Chu, and Gerstner 1996), Wood (2001) finds that 
lenient policies (manipulated in two of her studies as 
including free shipping) were associated with increased 
probability of ordering from the retailer, heightened ratings 
of product quality, and a reduction in overall purchase deci-sion 
conflict. Viewing the return process as part of a cycle, 
Petersen and Kumar (2009) find that while an increase in 
product returns results in a decrease in marketing communi-cations 
from the marketer toward that consumer, that same 
increase in returns will result in an increase in future cus- 
Return Shipping Policies of Online Retailers /111
tomer repurchases (up to a threshold). This research sug-gests 
the value in comparing the return policy assumptions 
that retailers make with actual consumer reactions. 
The Assumptions of Equity-Based 
Return Shipping Poiicies 
The implementation of an equity-based return shipping pol-icy 
is predicated on a variety of apparently implicit and nor-mative 
assumptions that lead distant retailers to believe 
such a policy would be both cost-effective and reasonable 
to customers. We consider those assumptions here and com-pare 
them with the customer reactions suggested by prior 
research. 
Assumption of Proportional Equity 
An assumption of equity-based return shipping policies is 
that consumers will perceive an exchange as fair if the out-comes 
they receive are proportional to the inputs they con-tribute, 
which translates into the "one to blame is the one to 
pay" philosophy (see Figure 1). Although this assumption is 
consistent with more traditional equity theories (e.g., 
Homans 1961), subsequent research suggests that people 
prefer advantageous or positive inequity (i.e., the equitable 
behavior that results in the maximization of one's own out-comes; 
e.g., Lapidus and Pinkerton 1995; Oliver 1997; 
Oliver and Swan 1989a). The customer view of advanta-geous 
inequity as "fairer" is prevalent in customer-retailer 
relationships (versus interpersonal). Customers may not see 
themselves as having equal responsibilities to the retailer in 
the exchange and may have more substantial expectations 
that the retailer bear much of the burden of the exchange 
(e.g.. Berger, Conner, and Fisek 1974; Lapidus and Pinker-ton 
1995; Oliver 1997; Oliver and Swan 1989a, b). Consis-tent 
with prior research, we expect that customers receiving 
free returns will report significantly higher levels of cost 
fairness and have greater relative postretum repurchases 
than customers receiving fee returns, regardless of level of 
blame attribution (though we do expect blame attribution to 
moderate the extent of the effect, as discussed subsequently). 
Assumptions of Causal Attribution Dependence 
Retailers employing equity-based return shipping policies 
appear to assume that consumers' attribution of responsibil-ity 
for the return will be consistent with the retailers' (see 
Figure 1). Furthermore, retailers assume that these attribu-tions 
are negatively related so that as responsibility 
assigned to the consumer goes up, assignment to the retailer 
necessarily goes down. Called the "hydraulic assumption" 
in attribution theory, support for it means that causal agents 
for a given outcome should have "near perfect negative cor-relation 
between these judgments" (Bassili and Racine 
1990, p. 882), "as if causal candidates competed with one 
another in a zero-sum game" (Nisbett and Ross 1980, p. 
128). However, the hydraulic assumption of attributions has 
been largely disproven (e.g., Bassili and Racine 1990; Krull 
2001; Miller, Smith, and Uleman 1981; Nisbett and Ross 
1980; Taylor and Koivumaki 1976) because "internal and 
external [attributions] are not opposites on a single dimen-sion" 
(White 1991, p. 266). Solomon (1978) reviews 
research in which causal agents were measured separately 
(vs. on opposite ends of a single scale), concluding that the 
hydraulic assumption is "untenable." Similarly, Taylor and 
Koivumaki (1976) find when measuring the two separately 
that the correlation was -.14 (not significant [n.s.]). 
Therefore, in contrast to the assumptions underlying 
equity-based return shipping policies, a stronger attribution 
to the consumer may not necessarily result in a weaker attri-bution 
to the retailer (e.g., Johnson, Mullick, and Mulford 
2002; Miller, Smith, and Uleman 1981). Although cus-tomers 
may attribute some product failures exclusively to 
the retailer, customers may instead attribute failure to them-selves, 
to neither party, or perhaps to both (e.g., Folkes 
1984; Kelley, Hoffman, and Davis 1993; Oliver 1997; 
Weiner 2000; White 1991). In other words, we would expect 
that retailer and consumer self-attributions are independent, 
without a near-perfect negative relationship. Figure 2 pre-sents 
the separate conceptualization and relationships. 
Consequences of Inaccurate Assumptions in 
Attribution and Equity Assessments 
As a result of these assumptions, equity-based return ship-ping 
policies allow for only two possible pairs between 
attributions and applied return shipping policy: Retailers 
only pay when the return is their own fault, and consumers 
only pay when it is their own fault (see Figure 1). However, 
these policies do not take into account the reactions of con-sumers 
who are required to pay for a return for which they 
blame the retailer, nor do they allow for the possible bene-fits 
that might accrue when a consumer receives a free 
return when there is a stronger self-attribution. Put differ-ently, 
what happens when a consumer is "miscategorized" 
and disagrees with the retailer's assessment? 
There is a strong likelihood that consumers will dis-agree 
with retailer assignment of responsibility to the con-sumer 
(Oliver 1997). Consumers have a tendency to take 
more credit for positive outcomes and less blame for fail-ures, 
particularly in a marketing relationship (e.g., Oliver 
1997; Valle and Wallendorf 1977). Given their preference 
for positive inequity, consumers tend to put particular 
emphasis on consumer outcomes and retailer inputs, result-ing 
in a disproportionate reaction to negative inequity (e.g., 
Oliver 1997; Walster, Berscheid, and Walster 1973). There-fore, 
the damage done to equity perceptions and postretum 
repurchases by a fee (vs. free; consumer outcomes) return 
will be disproportionately greater when consumers make 
stronger retailer attributions (vs. weaker; retailer inputs). 
Thus: 
Hj: Return shipping policy and retailer attributions interact 
such that customers who experience a fee (vs. free) return 
report disproportionately lower cost fairness and decrease 
spending when they indicate stronger retailer attributions 
than when they indicate weaker retailer attributions. 
There may also be positive effects of a "miscatego-rized" 
free return: a free return for which consumers 
strongly attribute the return to themselves. Thus, the pre-ferred 
state of positive inequity (e.g., Lapidus and Pinkerton 
1995; Oliver 1997; Oliver and Swan 1989a) would be 
112 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
heightened when the customer receives a free retum when 
there are greater levels of self-attribution for the need for 
the product retum. Furthermore, under complaint condi-tions, 
Lapidus and Pinkerton (1995) find no evidence to 
support their hypothesis that consumers feel guilt or other 
unpleasant emotional states as a result of this type of posi-tive 
inequity. When assessing resentment stemming from a 
high/low outcome in an equitable/inequitable situation, they 
find that an interaction resulted largely from the dispropor-tionately 
low levels of resentment when participants experi-enced 
a positively inequitable situation. In other words, it is 
unlikely that there would be any negative emotional reac-tions 
(e.g., guilt) to negate or neutralize the positive reac-tions 
resulting from a free but "undeserved" return. Thus: 
H2: Return shipping policy and self-attributions interact such 
that customers who experience a free (vs. fee) return 
report disproportionately higher cost faimess and increase 
spending when consumers make stronger self-attributions 
than when they make weaker self-attributions. 
The Centrai Role of Regret on Consumer 
Responses 
Retailers employing equity-based return shipping policies 
clearly assume that fairness is the key response to the 
retum, expecting that postretum spending will be unaf-fected 
by retum shipping costs if the retum was "fair." 
However, consumers may have other, more dominant reac-tions 
to a fee or free retum shipping policy beyond the 
deservedness or fairness of retum costs. Specifically, regret 
refers to a negative feeling or "sense of sorrow" (Simonson 
1992, p. 105) experienced in response to a negative out-come 
when a person compares his or her own actions to 
alternative behaviors and preferable outcomes (i.e., counter-factuals) 
that might have occurred instead (e.g., Zeelenberg, 
Van Dijk, and Manstead 1998). The opposite of regret is 
rejoicing or elation (e.g., Greenleaf 2004; Inman, Dyer, and 
Jia 1997; Landman 1987), which occurs when a person's 
choices lead to an outcome that is better than if other 
choices were made. 
Consumers are strongly motivated to avoid the emo-tional 
experience of regret, leading them to protect them-selves 
against it (e.g., Cooke, Meyvis, and Schwartz 2001; 
Greenleaf 2004; Inman and McAlister 1994). The simple 
anticipation of regret with regard to a future decision may 
result in inaction (i.e., nonpurchase; e.g., Landman 1987; 
Lemon, White, and Winer 2002; Simonson 1992; Tsiros and 
Mittal 2000). In contrast, an experience with rejoicing can 
lead people to make decisions that may involve riskier—but 
the hope of better—outcomes. For example, Greenleaf 
(2004) demonstrates that auction sellers experienced rejoic-ing 
because the winning price of an auction was higher due 
to the reserve price. These sellers subsequently set an even 
higher reserve price in a second auction, even though those 
higher reserve prices might decrease the chances of a suc-cessful 
second auction. Therefore, consistent with previous 
work, we expect regret to be negatively related to postretum 
repurchases (see Figure 2). 
Consumers may already experience a baseline level of 
regret stemming from the product failure and the need to 
retum the product (e.g., Oliver 1997). Of particular interest 
here is the effect that retum shipping costs may have on that 
baseline level of regret. Customers facing a fee retum will 
have an unrecoverable monetary cost due to retum shipping 
fees, in contrast to a nonpurchase from that retailer (Gilly 
and Gelb 1982). Comparison of this actual monetary loss to 
the nonpurchase altemative may heighten feelings of regret 
and, in particular, concems about future retum fees stem-ming 
from future purchases. Consistent with prior research, 
we expect that customers whose regret is further heightened 
by a fee retum will prevent the experience of future regret 
by reducing their purchases from the present distant retailer. 
Conversely, customers whose regret is lowered (i.e., greater 
levels of rejoicing) as a result of a free retum may increase 
postretum spending, willingly making riskier purchases. 
Thus (see Figure 2): 
H3: Compared with a baseline of regret stemming from the 
need to return the product, customers receiving free 
returns report significant decreases in that experienced 
regret, whereas customers receiving fee returns report sig-nificant 
increases in that experienced regret. 
While faimess and regret have appeared as constructs in 
the same study (e.g., Verhoef, Franses, and Hoekstra 2001; 
Vorhees, Brady, and Horowitz 2006), the relationship 
between the two remains to be addressed. As O'Shaugh-nessy 
and O'Shaughnessy (2005) indicate, regret theory has 
implications in equity considerations. We suggest that in 
addition to the regret heightened by retum costs, consumers 
might also experience heightened regret as a result of being 
treated in a manner they perceive as unfair. Xia, Monroe, 
and Cox (2004, p. 7) argue (but do not demonstrate) that if 
consumers believe a price to be unfair, they may choose to 
"leave the relationship, depending on their assessment of 
which action is most likely to restore equity" (for similar 
logic, see O'Shaughnessy and O'Shaughnessy 2005). Thus 
(see Figure 2): 
H4: Cost fairness is negatively related to regret, with regret 
partially or wholly mediating the relationship between 
cost faimess and postretum spending. 
iVIethods 
Study 1: Equity-Based Return Shipping Policies 
We conducted a longitudinal event field study over four years 
with a panel of online customers (average of 8.4 orders per 
year) who returned products to a leading e-commerce 
retailer of frequently purchased home, garden, and personal 
items. To qualify for the panel, customers needed at least 24 
months of prereturn spending data. We gathered data at the 
following six time periods: (1) 24 months before the retum 
(i.e., 24 months prereturn [TO]), (2) 12 months leading up to 
the retum (i.e., 12 months preretum [Tl]), (3) time of retum 
(i.e., retum [T2]), (4) soon after the retailer handled the 
retum (i.e., postretum [T3]), (5) 12 months after the retum 
(i.e., 12 months postretum [T4]), and (6) 24 months after 
the retum (i.e., 24 months postretum [T5]). The T2 data 
were collected during approximately the same month. Thus, 
all customers shared approximately the same T0-T5 period. 
Return Shipping Policies of Oniine Retailers /113
and we had data from 24 months before and after the retum 
for each respondent. 
12 and 24 months preretum (TO, Tl). We collected 
yearly prereturn purchasing history for the 24 months 
before the return for the 334 respondents who completed 
the T2 and T3 surveys. These data included the number of 
orders placed, the dollar value of the orders, and the product 
descriptions. We accounted for inflation in dollar variables 
using the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Indexes. 
Return (T2). At the time of retum, 500 customers either 
telephoned the retailer or initiated a retum using the form 
enclosed in their order, triggering the T2 online question-naire 
link to be e-mailed. Customers were offered a $25 gift 
certificate to complete the two surveys (T2 and T3). (Only 
39% of respondents in Study 1 redeemed the gift certificate, 
and there were no significant differences in redemption 
rates across fee and free conditions [p > .50].) Of the 500 
surveys sent, 351 customers completed usable surveys, rep-resenting 
a 70% response rate. The T2 survey first asked 
customers to indicate the details of their retum (i.e., product 
numbers, whether the items were purchased as gifts, reason 
for returning, prepurchase awareness of the return shipping 
policy, and whether they wanted a refund or exchange). 
Customers completed questions regarding situational pur-chase 
involvement, regret, attributions toward the retailer, 
and self-attributions, and all items were measured on a 
seven-point scale. We adapted to this study a three-item 
semantic differential involvement measure from prior 
research (Ratchford 1987) to measure whether the purchase 
of the product was highly involving. A three-item retailer 
attribution measure asked respondents to indicate the extent 
to which the retailer was responsible for the letum, while a 
separate three-item self-attribution measure assessed self-attribution. 
We adapted a measure from Tsiros and Mittal 
(2000) to measure customer perceptions of regret. Finally, 
respondents provided demographic and buyer profile infor-mation 
(see the Appendix). 
Postretum (T3). After the completion of the return 
process (refund or receipt of a product exchange), a second 
survey link was e-mailed to the 351 respondents who com-pleted 
the T2 survey. Of those, 334 customers completed 
usable surveys, representing a 95% response rate for T3 and 
an overall 67% response rate. The sample had the following 
demographic characteristics: 58% of the respondents were 
female, 66% were 36-55 years of age, 75% held college 
degrees, and 89% reported that they retum less than 20% of 
their online purchases. In addition, this was the first product 
retum for all customers to this retailer, creating a baseline 
for accurately tracking customer perceptions regarding their 
first retum experience with the focal retailer. The T3 survey 
assessed customer perceptions of regret and cost faimess 
measures adapted from prior research (Smith, Bolton, and 
Wagner 1999; Tax, Brown, and Chandrashekaran 1998). 
12 and 24 months postretum (T4, T5). We collected two 
years of postretum purchasing history for the 334 respon-dents, 
including the number of orders placed, dollar value 
of the orders, and product descriptions. None of our respon-dents 
retumed the purchases made 24 months after their ini-tial 
retum, and the postretum customer spending variables 
exclude the monetary value of the focal product retum as 
well as the $25 gift certificate value. 
Return shipping policy outcome. Fifty-three percent of 
respondents received a free return. Consistent with an 
equity-based retum shipping policy, a retum manager used 
customer self-report as an input in making "fair" judgments 
regarding blame and allocation of retum shipping costs. In 
general, the retailer in Study 1 assigned a fee retum when 
customers indicated one of the following reasons for the 
retum: (1) the item did not fit, (2) the item was too expen-sive, 
(3) the color did not match, (4) gift recipients did not 
want/need, (5) the item did not fit with other components, 
or (6) the customers changed their minds. The retailer 
offered a free retum when customers returned an item for 
the following reasons: (1) the item was damaged in transit, 
(2) the item was defective, or (3) the company shipped the 
wrong item. 
Contextual variables. We gathered potential covariates 
both from the surveys and the retailer database. These 
covariates include product involvement, the dollar amount 
of shipping costs to retum the product (regardless of fee or 
free policy), the number of days to resolve the return, the 
number of days that passed after receiving the product 
before the retum was initiated, the length of the customers' 
relationship with the retailer (measured at 24 months pre-retum), 
the dollar amount of the order, and the dollar amount 
of the retumed items. 
Study 2: Generalizing Beyond Equity-Based 
Return Shipping Policies 
To rule out that cost faimess and regret reactions are due to 
the type of retum shipping policy (i.e., equity based), we 
conducted a second longitudinal field study over the same 
49-month period with an electronics retailer that used a dif-ferent 
retum shipping policy. The retailer categorized prod-ucts 
as qualifying for free or fee returns according to the 
gross margins, warning consumers before purchase (even 
requiring them to click a box noting their understanding) 
whether a retumed product would be subject to shipping 
charges regardless of blame. Customers who were reim-bursed 
were categorized as "free" (n = 682, 53), and those 
who were not reimbursed were categorized as "fee" (n = 
614). Thirty-six percent of the retums were because cus-tomers 
changed their minds; 27% were due to problems 
with item descriptions, installation, or instructions; and 
37% were due to quality problems. Customers place an 
average of 12.6 orders per year with the retailer. The data 
collection procedures and measures for the electronics sam-ple 
mirrored those employed in the first study. Of the 2750 
surveys sent at the time of retum (T2), 1623 customers 
completed usable surveys, representing a 59% response 
rate. After the retailer handled the retum, 1296 customers 
completed and submitted a usable T3 survey (an 80% 
response rate for T3). We collected 24 months of pre- and 
postretum purchasing history for each of our 1296 respon-dents 
and queried the retailer's database to collect the same 
contextual variables collected in the first study. Our 
response rate from the initial mailing of the first T2 ques- 
114/Journal of Marketing, September 2012
tionnaire to the completion of the T3 questionnaire was 
47%. Customers were offered a $25 gift certificate to com-plete 
the T2 and T3 surveys. (Only 23% of respondents in 
Study 2 redeemed the gift certificate, and there were no sig-nificant 
differences in redemption rates across fee and free 
conditions ¡p > .10].) The sample exhibited the following 
demographic characteristics: 48% were female, 36% were 
36-55 years of age, and 62% held college degrees. In addi-tion, 
the product return in this study represented the first 
return recorded by the retailer for each respondent, allowing 
for accurate tracking of customer perceptions regarding 
their first return experience with the focal retailer. 
Across both studies at both the prereturn 12- and 24- 
month marks, we found no significant differences among 
the free and fee groups in prereturn purchase rates, order 
values, or value of returned products, nor were there signifi-cant 
differences in the dollar amount of return shipping 
across levels of attributions to retailer (all p> .10). Confir-matory 
factor models indicated that our measures are psy-chometrically 
sound in both studies regarding model fit, 
discriminant validity, and internal consistency (see the 
Appendix). 
Checiis for Respondent and Measure Bias 
To check for sample and nonresponse biases in each sample 
using customer profile information in each of the retailers' 
databases, we compared the demographic and buying pro-files 
in our samples with three other customer groups: (1) 
customers who returned products during our studies but did 
not participate in the studies (i.e., nonparticipants; Study 1: 
n - 285; Study 2: n = 1545), (2) customers who returned 
products before our studies and did not receive our survey 
(i.e., nonsurveyed returners; Study 1: n = 567; Study 2: n = 
1780), and (3) customers who have never returned products 
to the focal retailers (i.e., nonreturners; Study 1: n = 462; 
Study 2: n = 1378). There were no significant differences 
regarding the length of relationship with the retailers, age, 
total number of purchases, or average order value between 
the three other customer groups and our samples (/? > .10), 
and they were similar across gender, income, and education. 
Likewise, the reasons for returning and the retailer's prod-uct 
return strategies were similar across groups. Other data 
collection and analysis indicated that the three control 
groups in each sample did not differ significantly from our 
respondents' in customer spending {p > .10). In addition, 
nonparticipants and nonsurveyed returners who did not pay 
for return shipping significantly increased their customer 
spending over the next two years, while nonparticipants and 
nonsurveyed returners who paid for return shipping costs 
significantly decreased their customer spending over the 
next two years (i.e., a negative in customer spending; p < 
.01). Nonparticipants and nonsurveyed returners with free 
returns repurchased at significantly higher rates than nonre-turners, 
and nonparticipants and nonsurveyed returners with 
fee returns repurchased at significantly lower rates than 
nonreturners {p < .01). Overall, these data checks suggest 
that potential response and nonresponse biases in ratings 
are minimal. 
Resuits 
The Roie of Attributions in Cost Fairness and 
Customer Spending 
We argue that the postreturn spending among customers 
receiving a free return significantly increases from prereturn 
spending, while the postreturn spending among customers 
paying a fee return significantly decreases from prereturn 
spending levels. Instead of simply examining the effects of 
return shipping policies on changes in spending at the end 
of the 24-month postreturn period, we examined the effects 
at both the 12-month and 24-month postreturn points. Our 
longitudinal research design enables us to determine whether 
any changes in spending results in shorter-term effects (e.g., 
limited to 12 months but rebounding to prereturn levels by 
24) or longer-term trends of postreturn spending. 
Initial analyses contradicted some of the retailer 
assumptions underlying equity-based return shipping poli-cies. 
The correlations between retailer attributions and self-attributions, 
though significant in both studies, are not "per-fect" 
(Study 1: (|) = -.17; Study 2: ^ = -.14). This indicates 
that attributions are empirically distinct (Fornell and Lar-cker 
1981) and should be measured separately. Evidence 
also contradicts the assumption that retailer assignments of 
responsibility are consistent with consumer assignments. 
Considering only Study l's results because of the retailer's 
equity-based return shipping policy, customers making 
stronger attributions to the retailer were required to pay 
return shipping fees (n = 73; 46%) almost as frequently as 
those who received a free return (n = 86; 54%), regardless 
of self-attributions. Taking into account self-attributions, 
among those customers who would meet the retailer's own 
standards for a free return (i.e., stronger retailer attributions/ 
weaker self-attributions; n = 81), 43% were required to pay 
a fee. Similarly, among those customers who would meet 
the retailer's standards for a fee return (i.e., weaker retailer 
attributions/stronger self-attributions; n = 105), 50% received 
a free return. Similar proportions exist in Study 2, in which 
return fee responsibility is unrelated to equity decisions and 
instead is determined by the type of product purchased. In 
other words, equity-based determinations of responsibility 
were as consistent with customer judgments as determina-tions 
entirely unrelated to assessments of equity decisions. 
To test H] and H2, we estimated a repeated measures 
general linear model with one categorical between-subjects 
factor (return shipping policy outcome: free and fee), two 
continuous between-subjects factors (retailer attributions 
and self-attributions), one between-subjects dependent 
variable (cost fairness), and one within-subject dependent 
variable captured across four time intervals (customer 
spending: TO, Tl, T4, and T5). We also modeled six covari-ates: 
involvement, the dollar amount of return shipping 
costs, the number of days to resolve the product return, the 
number of days that passed after receiving the product 
before the return was initiated, the length of the customers' 
relationship with the retailer, and the order dollar amount. 
Last, we included consumers' prepurchase awareness of 
return shipping policy as a two-level blocking factor (i.e., 
yes or no). 
Return Shipping Policies of Online Retailers /115
Return shipping policy awareness was significantly 
related to cost faimess (Study 1: F(l, 319) = 22.96,/? < .01, 
ri2 = .07; Study 2: F(l, 1281) = 57.62,p < .01,ri2 = .04) and 
customer spending (Study 1: F(l, 319) = 38.78,p < .01,ri2 = 
.11; Study 2: F(l, 1281) = 10.41,^1 < .01, rjZ = .01), and 
therefore we retained it in the model (all other covariates 
were nonsignificant and thus were eliminated). Across botb 
studies, the two-way interaction (shipping policy x retailer 
attribution) was significant for cost faimess (Study 1 : ß = 
-.53, t(325) = 2.95,/? < .01, -pZ = .03; Study 2: ß = -.623, 
t(l,287) := 4.60,p < .01, r|2 = .02). Likewise, the shipping 
policy X retailer attribution was significant for customer 
spending at both T4 (Study 1: ßT4 = 416.50, t(325) = 4.38, 
ri2 = .06; Study 2: ßx4 = 1519.97, t(l,287) = 8.54, ri2 = .05, 
p < .01) and T5 (Study 1: ßxs = 765.39, t(325) = 6.00, ^^ = 
.10; Study 2: ^5 = 3026.40, t(l,287) = 11.96, ri2 = .10,p < 
.01). 
To explore Hj, we examined the slopes of retailer attri-bution 
across fee and free retum shipping policies. Next, we 
conducted a spotlight analysis (Fitzsimmons 2008; Irwin and 
McClelland 2001) at one standard deviation above the mean 
of retailer attribution (i.e., stronger retailer attributions) and 
one standard deviation below the mean of retailer attribu-tion 
(i.e., weaker retailer attributions) to explore the details 
of the interaction. As we hypothesize, and as we show in 
Figure 3, the drop in cost faimess from a free to a fee retum 
was greater when customers more strongly blamed the firm 
than when they expressed weaker retailer attributions 
(Study 1: ß = .76, t(330) = 8.26; Study 2: ß = .82, t(l ,292) = 
9.36, p < .01). Yet the drop in customer spending from a 
FIGURE 3 
Effects of Return Shipping Policy 
A: Effects of Return Shipping Policy and Retailer Attributions on Cost Fairness 
6.00 
5.00 
8 4.00 J 
E 
¡2 3.00 -i 
o 2.00 -j 
1.00 j 
0 4 
5.20 
•l.SO 
3.16 
4.93 
3.60 
2.46 
Free Return 
Shipping 
Fee Return 
Shipping 
Study 1 • Weaker retailer attribution 
I I Stronger retailer attribution 
Free Return Fee Return 
Shipping Shipping 
Study 2 
B: Effects of Return Shipping Policy and Self-Attributions on Cost Fairness 
5.68 5.60 
3.24 
2 30 
Free Return Fee Return 
Shipping Shipping 
Study 1 I Weaker self-attribution 
I Stronger self-attribution 
Free Return Fee Return 
Shipping Shipping 
Study 2 
Notes: Means for retailer attributions and self-attributions occur at one standard deviation below the grand mean (weaker) and one standard 
deviation above the grand mean (stronger). 
116 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
free to a fee retum was more precipitous when customers 
expressed weaker retailer attributions than when they more 
strongly blamed the firm (Study 1: ß = 734.93, t(330) = 
10.03,p < .01; Study 2: ß = 954.83, t(l,292) = 12.44,p < 
.01). As such. Hi is partially supported (see Figure 4). 
Regarding H2, the two-way interaction (shipping policy x 
self-attribution) was significant in both studies for cost fair-ness 
(Study 1: ß = -.392, t(325) = -2.19, p < .01, Ti2 = .02; 
Study 2: ß = -.615, t(l,287) = 4.60, p < .01, Ti2 = .02). In 
Study 1, the retum shipping policy x self-attribution inter- 
FIGURE 4 
Retailer Attributions and Changes in Customer Spending 
A: Study 1 
$1,400.00 
$1,200.00 
$1,000.00 
$800.00 
$600.00 
$400.00 
$200.00 
$838.15 
$177.43^ 
0'' 
$621.42 
$235.36 
»... 
$1,258.57 
^ „ . ^ $743.97 
$109.54 
-Ti $59.52 
Free and weaker retailer attributions 
Fee and weaker retaiier attributions 
• Free and stronger retailer attributions 
• Fee and stronger retailer attributions 
24 Months 
Prereturn 
12 Months 
Prereturn 
12 Months 
Postretum 
24 Months 
Postretum 
B: Study 2 
$6,000.00 
$5,000.00 
$4,000.00 
$3,000.00 
$2,000.00 
$1,000.00 
y' 
.•'$3,363.97 
. -" 
'"'^ $1,964.04 
.. $447.53 
! 7 * 111 
1 
^ ^ 
_ $77.34 
$5,013.05 
$2,496.13 
1 $0.00 
Free and weaker retailer attributions 
Fee and weaker retailer attributions 
Free and stronger retailer attributions 
Fee and stronger retailer attributions 
24 Months 
Prereturn 
12 Months 
Prereturn 
12 Months 
Postretum 
24 Months 
Postreturn 
Notes: The means for weaker attributions are one standard deviation below the grand mean, and the means for stronger attributions are one 
standard deviation above the grand mean. 
Return Shipping Policies of Online Retaiiers /117
action was not significant for customer spending at both T4 
(ßx4 = 147.46, t(325) =: 1.52, n.s.) and T5 (ßxs = 44.10, 
t(325) = .34, n.s.). Yet the interaction was significant in Study 
2 at both T4 (PT4 = 497.49, t(l ,287) = 2.70, ^^ = .01) and T5 
(ßx5 = 679.24, t(l,287) = 2.59, ri2 = .01,p < .01). We con-ducted 
a spotlight analysis at one standard deviation above 
the mean of self-attribution (i.e., stronger self-attributions) 
and one standard deviation below the mean of self-attribution 
(i.e., weaker self-attributions) to explore the details of the 
interaction. As we hypothesized, the drop in cost faimess 
from a free to a fee retum was more precipitous when cus-tomers 
more strongly blamed themselves than when they 
expressed weaker self-attributions (Study 1: ß = .182, 
t(330) = 7.43,p < .01; Study 2: ß = .741, t(l,292) = 9.34,p < 
.01; see Figure 3). Similarly, in Study 2, the drop in cus-tomer 
spending from a free to a fee retum was more precip-itous 
when customers more strongly blamed themselves 
than when they expressed weaker self-attributions (ß = 
.985, t( 1,292) = 11.93, p < .01). Yet the spotlight analysis 
was not significant in Study 1. Consistent with H2, cus-tomers 
in both studies who experienced a free return 
reported disproportionately higher cost faimess when they 
made stronger self-attributions than when they made 
weaker self-attributions (see Figure 3). In addition, cus-tomers 
in Study 2 who experienced a free return reported 
disproportionately higher increased spending when they 
made stronger self-attributions than when they made 
weaker self-attributions (see Figure 5). Thus, H2 is sup-ported 
in Study 2 and partially supported in Study 1. 
Regret 
To test H3, we estimated another repeated measures general 
linear model with one within-subject factor (time: T2 and 
T3), one between-subjects factor (retum shipping policy 
outcome: free and fee), one dependent variable (regret), the 
six previously used covariates, and two additional covariates 
(retailer attributions and self-attributions). In Study 1, retailer 
attributions, self-attributions, and retum shipping policy 
awareness were significantly related to regret (retailer: F( 1, 
323) = 70.63,p< .01,112= .18; self: F(l, 323) = 5.00,p < 
.03, ri2 = .02; awareness: F(l, 323) = 46.92, /? < .01, r|2 = 
.13). Likewise, in Study 2, retailer attributions, self-attribu-tions, 
and retum shipping policy awareness were signifi-cantly 
related to regret (retailer: F(l, 1285) = 339.28, p < 
.01, ri2 = .21; self: F(l, 1285) = 4.68, p < .03, ri2 = .01; 
awareness: F(l, 1285) = 167.46,;? < .01,ri2 = .12; all other 
covariates were nonsignificant and eliminated). Consistent 
with H3, customers receiving free retums reported signifi-cant 
decreases in postreturn regret from initial retum levels, 
whereas customers receiving fee retums reported signifi-cant 
increases in postretum regret from initial retum levels 
(Study 1: F(l, 329) = 206.16, p < .0l,r2= .39; Study 2: 
F(l, 1,291) = 661.39,p < .01,ri2 = .34; see Figure 6.) 
Effects of Fairness and Regret on Long-Term 
Customer Spending 
One of the assumptions underlying equity-based return 
shipping policies and/or our expectations is the positive 
relationship between faimess (as per retailer and our expec-tations) 
and customer spending, as well as the negative rela-tionship 
between regret and customer spending. To assess 
these assumptions, we first estimated longitudinal structural 
models to assess the relationships of cost faimess and regret 
on customer spending over time, as well as to note the 
amount of variance explained in customer spending over 
time. 
To test H4, we examined whether regret (T3) mediates 
the relationship between cost faimess (T2) and customer 
spending (TO, Tl, T4, T5) in a manner consistent with 
Baron and Kenny (1986). We examined four conditions for 
mediation using structural equation modeling. The first con-dition 
is satisfied if cost fairness affects the mediator 
(regret). The second condition is satisfied if regret affects 
the dependent variable (customer spending). We estimated a 
mediated structural equation model testing the direct paths 
from cost faimess —> regret —> customer spending. Both 
these conditions were met, as this model yielded marginal fit 
(Study 1:%^= 120.54,p < .01 ; comparative fit index (CFI) = 
.97; Tucker-Lewis index (TLI) - .95; and root mean square 
error of approximation (RMSEA) = .15; Study 2: ^2 = 
371.18,p < .01; CFI = .96; TLI = .94; and RMSEA = .14). 
Moreover, the completely standardized exogenous path 
from cost faimess to regret (Study :j = -.73; Study 2:7 = 
-.65) and the endogenous path from regret to customer 
spending (Study 1: ß = .70; Study 2: ß = .74) were both sig-nificant 
{p < .01). 
The third condition is satisfied if cost faimess has a 
direct effect on customer spending. Thus, we estimated a 
direct model with only one direct path from cost faimess to 
customer spending. The model fit the data well (Study 1: ^2 = 
.56,p = .75; CFI = .99; TLI = .99; and RMSEA = .01 ; Study 
2: %2 = 14.63,p < .01; CFI = .99; TLI = .99; and RMSEA = 
.07), and the completely standardized path was significant 
(Study 1: 7= .60; Study 2: y = .51,p < .01), satisfying the 
third mediating condition. 
The fourth mediating condition is satisfied if the direct 
path from cost faimess to customer spending becomes non-significant 
(i.e., full mediation) or reduced (partial media-tion) 
when we included the mediated paths from cost fair-ness 
-^ regret -^ customer spending in a full model (i.e., 
the mediated model). The fit of the mediated model was 
better than the fit of the full model with the added exoge-nous 
path from cost faimess to customer spending (Study 1: 
5C2^iff = 107.33; Study 2: x^diff = 333.51; d.f. - l,p < .01). 
Moreover, the completely standardized path estimate 
between cost fairness and customer spending became non-significant 
(Study 1: 7= .02; Study 2: 7= .04,p > .10), indi-cating 
that regret fully mediates the effect of cost faimess 
on customer spending. Moreover, the amount of variance 
explained in customer spending was greater for the medi-ated 
model (Study 1: R2 = .78; Study 2: R2 = .74) than for 
the full (Study 1: R2 = .63; Study 2: R2 =: .61) or direct 
(Study 1: R2 = .45; Study 2: R2 = .34) models, suggesting 
that cost faimess is a better predictor of customer spending 
when modeled as an indirect effect through regret. In sum-mary, 
regret mediates the effect of cost fairness on customer 
spending, in support of H4 in both studies. 
To provide context to our findings, we conducted sev-eral 
multigroup nested models in accordance with Neff 
118 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
FIGURE 5 
Self-Attributions and Changes in Customer Spending 
A: Study 1 
$1,200.00 
$1,000.00 
$800.00 
$600.00 
$400.00 
$200.00 
• • Free and weaker self-attributions 
• • Fee and weaker self-attributions 
Free and stronger self-attributions 
Fee and stronger self-attributions 
24 Months 
Frereturn 
12 Months 
Frereturn 
12 Months 
Fostreturn 
24 Months 
Fostreturn 
B: Study 2 
$4,000.00 
$3,500.00 
$3,000.00 
$2,500.00 
$2,000.00 
$1,500.00 
$1,000.00 
$500.00 
m. ii.iii.iiii 
$3,787.55 
$2,703.98 ,.-¡/^ 
/ ^ $2,624.03 
/ 
 
"$298.79 
$286.17 Ti».,,..^^ 
~"~-—„.,,^125^ 
$3,721.63 
$45.58 
Free and weaker self-attributions 
Fee and weaker self-attributions 
• Free and stronger self-attributions 
• Fee and stronger self-attributions 
24 Months 
Frereturn 
12 Months 
Frereturn 
12 Months 
Postretum 
24 Months 
Postretum 
Notes: The means for weaker attributions are one standard deviation below the grand mean, and the means for stronger attributions are one 
standard deviation above the grand mean. 
(1985) to examine whether the modeled parameter esti-mates 
varied significantly across eight relevant customer 
groups: 2 (retailer attributions: weaker and stronger) x 2 
(self-attributions: weaker and stronger) x 2 (retum shipping 
policy: free and fee). The chi-square tests across all nested 
models indicated that the parameter estimates were stable 
Return Shipping Policies of Online Retailers /119
FIGURE 6 
Changes in Regret over Time 
A: Study 1 
4.53 
3.48 
o 
Q. 
UJ 
perienced Regret 
X 
u 
0- 
6- 
5- 
4- 
3- 
2- 
1 - 
0- 
Time of Return 
•—' Free return 
4.55 « ^ 
3.48 —B 
Time of Return 
" " • • Free return 
(T2) 
shipping •"• 
B: Study 
— " 1,1— 
(T2) 
shipping •— 
Postreturn (T3) 
•• Fee return shipping 
2 
mmmmma^«....^ - - — 
Postreturn (T3) 
"» Fee return shipping 
Notes: iVIeans for retailer attributions and self-attributions occur at 
one standard deviation below the grand mean (weaker) and 
one standard deviation above the grand mean (stronger). 
(i.e., not significantly different) across the eight subgroups 
{p > .10), enhancing the predictive validity of the overall 
model. 
Discussion 
Contrary to economic research suggesting that retailers 
should toughen online return shipping policies, our studies 
suggest that such strategies might be shortsighted and that 
retailers should carefully consider how return shipping poli-cies 
affect revenues. We conducted two event field studies 
simultaneously over approximately 49 months to assess the 
psychological and behavioral reactions of customers to 
equity-based return shipping policies. Our expectations, as 
refiected in Figure 2, were supported, indicating that retail-ers' 
normative expectations (refiected in Figure 1) are 
largely inconsistent with consumer responses. Contrary to 
retailer assumptions, the actual return shipping policy cus-tomers 
received (whether free or fee) largely determined 
their postreturn spending regardless of attributions and cost 
fairness. Both studies suggest that customers paying for 
their own product returns will universally decrease their 
repurchases and that those receiving free returns will uni-versally 
increase their repurchases. In other words, the pri-mary 
conclusion for retailers from the present research is 
that in the interest of increased sales, it is beneficial to insti-tute 
a free return shipping policy. At the very least, our 
work is a call to online retailers to consult their own propri-etary 
customer data to determine any effects of return ship-ping 
costs on customer relationships and purchases. 
The Dangers of Fee Return 
This recommendation has the potential to elicit concerns 
from retailers. Retailers have short-term motivations for 
controlling return costs. As such, they may require cus-tomers 
to absorb return shipping policies, so they can avoid 
those costs themselves, or even induce consumers to keep 
products they might otherwise return to maintain the profits 
from the sale. Retailers may also be concerned with limiting 
abusive returns. However, while retailers may be in control 
of determining who pays for the return shipping costs, our 
findings remind retailers that customers will have their own 
independent perceptions of blame, affective reactions to 
return fees, and, most importantly, ability to decide whether 
they will repurchase from the retailer. Depending on attri-bution 
condition, fee returns universally resulted in a 
decrease in spending, ranging from 74.84% to 100% (see 
Figures 4 and 5). 
Our findings strongly contradict the assumptions made 
by retailers that attempt to control or limit their own costs 
by instituting equity-based return shipping policies. First, 
retailers are particularly ineffective at categorizing blame in 
a manner consistent with consumer perceptions. While a 
properly executed equity-based return shipping policy 
should have all retailer-blaming customers receiving free 
returns, the retailer in Study 1 (which used such a policy) 
assigned those customers free and fee returns in approxi-mately 
equal proportions. Similarly, we found that the 
retailer in Study 1 (which assigned fee returns using an 
equity-based return shipping policy) was approximately as 
consistent in assigning responsibility for the return to con-sumers 
who held themselves and not the retailer responsible 
as the retailer in Study 2, which used an entirely different 
policy for assigning return fees. 
Even if retailers made attributions of blame consistent 
with customer perceptions, the consequences of fee returns 
for retailers are still negative and profound. In a "perfect" 
fee condition, in which consumers strongly blame them-selves 
and hold weak attributions to the retailer, consumers 
in Study 1 (in which the retailer used an equity-based return 
shipping policy) still decreased their spending by 88%, and 
those in Study 2 decreased their spending by 93%. We 
found that customers appear to prefer advantageous or posi-tive 
inequity, perceiving free returns to be fairer than fee 
returns. In sharp contrast to the expectations of retailers, the 
dominant effect of the valence of the return shipping policy 
(fee/free) is not overcome by any combination of attribution 
conditions. 
One key reason for this result is that, contrary to the 
expectations of retailers, the dominant response to product 
return shipping policies is not equity but rather regret. Cus- 
120 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
tomers' negative emotions and sorrow related to retum 
costs are the primary driver of postretum shipping and, 
indeed, entirely explain equity's effect on postretum repur-chases. 
Therefore, while equity played a role in postretum 
spending, we found that it was only through customers' 
feelings of regret. 
Retailers may not be able to rely on the type of retum 
shipping policies to cue consumer reactions to the policies. 
Our research suggests that the type of retum shipping policy 
heuristic used to determine the policy application (whether 
equity-based or dependent on the type of product being 
retumed) is largely irrelevant to how customers might react 
to a fee or free outcome. Even though the two retailers in our 
studies had two different metrics for determining whether 
the customer received the fee or free retum shipping out-come, 
one equity-based and one product-based, the conclu-sions 
across both studies were (except for self-attribution 
findings) similar. This finding suggests that cost faimess 
considerations play a smaller role than regret in shaping 
consumers' future repurchase decisions. 
Retailers must also realize that consumers may not wam 
a retailer if a fee return will result in a decrease in future 
repurchases. The retailers in both our studies received no 
formal complaints from fee returns, with these customers 
quietly decreasing repurchases (and, in some cases, 
sharply). While retailers implementing an equity-based 
retum shipping policy may perceive the dearth of com-plaints 
among fee retumers as support for such a policy, 
analysis of the longer-term consequences of fee retums sug-gests 
that a preferable option from a customer loyalty per-spective 
is to simply offer all customers a free retum. 
The Benefits of Free Returns 
Offering free retums to consumers does not just help retail-ers 
avoid the negative consequences of fee retums. Depend-ing 
on the attribution condition, if customers received free 
retums, postretum spending at that retailer was 158%- 
457% of preretum spending by the end of two years (see 
Figures 4 and 5). This is one of a few articles suggesting 
that product retums and their associated frustrations and 
costs for retailers are not "necessary evils" (to use Petersen 
and Kumar's [2009] term). Wood (2001) suggests the value 
to retailers of lenient retum policies, supporting the expec-tation 
that after customers have taken possession of the 
product they are also more likely to keep it. Anderson, 
Hansen, and Simester (2009) assess the value to consumers 
(and ultimately to retailers) of offering the retum option. 
Furthermore, up to a given threshold, more retums result in 
an increase in repurchases (Petersen and Kumar 2009). The 
present research supports the assertion that reducing con-sumer 
costs and decreasing the hurdles associated with 
retums can increase the repurchases to retailers and result in 
long-term benefits. 
Some online retailers selling products with relatively 
high return rates, such as shoes (e.g., Zappos.com), fashion 
(e.g., Nordstrom.com), and luggage (e.g., ebags.com), have 
already adopted free retum shipping policies (Spencer 
2003). Indeed, the previous owner of Zappos.com indicated 
the importance of free retums to get people to take a chance 
on purchases (Rapbel 2004). In a related and developing 
issue, online retailers are increasingly willing to offer free 
(initial) shipping to customers to heighten the possibility of 
an initial purchase, recognizing that the increase in sales 
more than make up for the increase in costs (Zimmerman 
and Mattioli 2011). Our findings indicate that beyond 
avoiding the negative consequences of fee retums, there are 
the substantial advantages to retailers of free retums. 
While our studies were conducted in online settings, the 
implications of our findings may generalize to other retailer 
settings. These findings may also have implications for 
brick-and-mortar retailers, when the retum of the product 
entails a cost. Although restocking fees are often intended 
to get customers to "think twice" about retums (Meyer 
1999), they may actually limit future customer spending for 
fear of future restocking fees. Finally, the products in Study 
1 represented a wide cross-section of products from apparel 
to housewares to decorative items (representing more than 
200 stockkeeping units), whereas the products in the second 
study were a wide variety of consumer electronics and 
accessories (representing more than 800 stockkeeping 
units). This diversity of the product categories represented 
across both studies suggests that the implications of these 
findings may generalize to retailers carrying a variety of 
product types. Further research should determine whether 
these findings generalize to retailers carrying a limited 
depth or breadth of product line, particularly with regard to 
the benefits of free retums. If a retailer has a limited variety 
or depth of product, especially if it is a product that need 
not be purchased frequently, rejoicing customers may only 
be able to purchase so much, regardless of their lack of 
anticipated regret. However, the advantages to the retailer 
of a free retum may accrue to the retailer in other ways, 
such as word of mouth (e.g., Oliver 1997). 
The Original and Important Role of Regret 
Consistent with the expectations of equity-based retum 
shipping policies, perceptions of fairness are positively 
related to postretum spending. However, the importance of 
faimess is not consistent with retailer expectations. We 
found that those perceptions of faimess are mediated by a 
reaction unanticipated by retailers: regret. Consumers regret 
purchasing from a company that has treated them unfairly, 
which leads to a decrease in postretum repurchases. Consis-tent 
with the ideas of Xia, Monroe, and Cox (2004), this 
may be due to the consumer desire either to prevent future 
inequities or possibly to balance the past inequity by not 
repurchasing. 
Beyond its mediating relationship with fairness is 
regret's direct relationship with product return shipping 
policies. Hess, Chu, and Gerstner (1996) normatively 
assume that a rational consumer will judge nonrefundable 
charges such as retum shipping costs to be sunk costs, 
which should not play a role in subsequent decision mak-ing. 
However, consistent with previous research (e.g., 
Simonson 1992), a past fee return serves to increase con-cems 
regarding future fees stemming from a future pur- 
Return Shipping Policies of Online Retailers /121
chase and failed product, and this anticipation serves as a 
salient issue to customers in deciding whether they will pur-chase 
again from a retailer (Petersen and Kumar 2009). The 
dampening effect that these fees have on regret and ulti-mately 
on postretum shipping are impressive. For example, 
24.8% of fee respondents in Study 1 and 32.4% in Study 2 
had dropped to zero revenue by the end of two years post-retum, 
compared with 12% and 15% in the free retum 
group. 
Retailers appear to be underestimating the long-term 
benefit of a free retum to the retailer itself. The sense of 
rejoicing resulting from a free retum resulted in significant 
postretum repurchases. Similar to the saying "What would 
you do if you know you couldn't fail?" our respondents 
appeared to have the philosophy "What would you buy if 
you knew you wouldn't have to pay to retum it?" Sales 
increases were impressive in both studies by the end of two 
years postretum (Study 1: $620.80; Study 2: $2,552.68). 
Our partial support for Hi may be a further indication of 
the significance that regret plays in consumer reactions. 
Equity theory (and our hypothesis) would predict that a fee 
condition under strong retailer attribution conditions would 
result in disproportionately lower postretum repurchase. 
Although the interaction was significant, it was due to a dis-proportionate 
increase in postretum spending resulting from 
free retums received when consumers had weaker retailer 
blame. Interpreted in light of regret theory, these consumers 
may have rejoiced when they got a free retum from a 
blameless retailer. 
Aside from the practical managerial contributions of the 
present research, there is also a significant theoretical con-tribution. 
Both regret and equity are frequently discussed as 
antecedents of satisfaction and future behavior (e.g., Cooke, 
Meyvis, and Schwartz 2001; Lapidus and Pinkerton 1995; 
Oliver 1997). However, there is limited research that 
includes both constructs in the same discussion or analysis, 
and the relationship between regret and equity is infre-quently 
addressed. Chatterjee (2007) puts forth unsupported 
expectations suggesting that regret might serve as an under-lying 
mechanism in the relationship between next-purchase 
coupons and perceptions of retailer faimess. In their devel-opment 
of untested research propositions regarding con-sumer 
reactions to unfair prices, Xia, Monroe, and Cox 
(2004) argue that negative emotions, regret included, serve 
as the primary driver of future action. To the best of our 
knowledge, the present research represents the first tested 
hypotheses of the relationships between faimess, regret, and 
postpurchase behavior and, in particular, the first demon-stration 
that regret mediates the effects of faimess on post-purchase 
customer behavior. This finding suggests that cus-tomers 
do not simply have negative affect as a result of 
being treated unfairly but actually regret being treated 
unfairly and are motivated to avoid inequitable treatment in 
the future. 
Appendix 
Measures^ 
Experienced Regret (aT2 = -95, 073 = .96) 
1.1 regret purchasing this product from (retailer name). 
2.1 am feeling rejoiceful about buying this product from 
(retailer name), (reverse-coded) 
3.1 should not have purchased this product from (retailer name). 
Cost Fairness (a = .96) 
1. With respect to the retum shipping policy outcome, (retailer 
name) handled the retum in a fair manner. 
2.1 believe (retailer name) applies retum shipping policies 
fairly when handling retums. 
3. The final retum shipping policy outcome I received from 
(retailer name) was unfair, (reverse-coded) 
Pre- and Postreturn Customer Spending 
l.Year 2 prereturn customer spending (TO): U.S. dollar 
amount of annual purchases with (retailer name) from the 
24 months preretum to 12 months preretum. 
2. Year 1 prereturn customer spending (Tl): U.S. dollar 
amount of annual purchases with (retailer name) from the 
12 months preretum to the product retum event. 
3. Year 1 postreturn customer spending (T4): U.S. dollar 
amount of annual purchases with (retailer name) from the 
retum event to 12 months postretum. 
4. Year 2 postreturn customer spending (T5): U.S. dollar 
amount of annual purchases with (retailer name) from 12 
months postretum to 24 months postretum. 
Retaiier Attributions (a = .99) 
1. (Retailer name) is responsible for my need to retum this 
product. 
2. To what extent was (retailer name) responsible for the 
return that you experienced? (1 = "not at all responsible," 
and 7 = "totally responsible") 
3. To what extent do you blame (retailer name) for this retum? 
(1 = "not at all," and 7 = "completely") 
Seif-Attributions (a = .99) 
1.1 am responsible for my need to retum this product. 
2. The retum that I experienced was my fault. 
3. To what extent do you blame yourself for this retum? (1 = 
"not at all," and 7 = "completely") 
'Unless noted, items were anchored by 1 = "strongly disagree" 
and 7 = "strongly agree." Confirmatory factor measurement mod-els 
across both studies indicate strong intemal consistency. The 
average variance extracted between each pair of constructs is 
greater than (j)2 (i.e., the squared correlation between two con-structs 
[Fomell and Larcker 1981]), indicating strong discriminant 
validity. Measurement model (Anderson and Gerbing 1988): 
Study 1: X^ = 830.19, d.f. = 294, CFI = .96, TLI = .95, and 
RMSEA = .07; Study 2: x^ = 3375.64, d.f. = 294, CFI = .95, TLI = 
.92, and RMSEA = .08. a = average composite alpha reliability 
estimate across both studies. 
122 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
Involvement (a = .85) 
1. The purchase of this product was (1 = "very unimportant," 
and 7 = "very important"). 
2. With regard to the purchase of this product, how concerned 
were you about the outcome? (1 = "very unconcerned," and 
7 = "very concerned") 
3. The purchase of this product (1 = "required very little 
thought," and 7 = "required a lot of thought"). 
Return Shipping Poiicy Awareness 
1. Were you aware of (retailer name)'s retum shipping policy 
before completing your order? (1 = "no," and 2 = "yes") 
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Online Retailer Return Policies Impact Long-Term Customer Spending

  • 1. Amanda B. Bower & James G. Maxham III Return Shipping Poiicies of Oniine Retailers: Normative Assumptions and the Long-Term Consequences of Fee and Free Returns To limit costs associated with product returns, some online retailers have instituted equity-based return shipping policies, requiring customers to pay to return products when retailers determine that customers are at fault. The authors compare the normative assumptions about customers that underlie equity-based return shipping policies with the more realistic, positivist expectations as predicted by attribution, equity, and regret theories. Two longitudinal field studies over four years using two surveys and actual customer spending data indicate that retailer confidence in those normative assumptions is unjustified. Contrary to retailer assumptions, neither the positive consequences of free returns nor the negative consequences of fee returns were reversed when customer perceptions of fairness were taken into account. Depending on the locus and extent of blame, customers who paid for their own return decreased their postreturn spending at that retailer 75%-100% by the end of two years. In contrast, returns that were free to the consumer resulted in postreturn customer spending that was 158%-457% of prereturn spending. The findings suggest that online retailers should either institute a policy of free product returns or, at a minimum, examine their customer data to determine their customers' responses to fee returns. Keywords: product returns, online retailing, regret, equity, customer spending Product returns are a widespread and expensive prob-lem. For example, product returns of consumer elec-tronics cost retailers and manufacturers almost $17 billion in 2011, representing a 21 % increase in returns since 2007 (Wolf 2012). Thus, many retailers have established return shipping policies intended to limit their own costs (e.g., Kandra 2000; Meyer 1999). A policy commonly insti-tuted by distant retailers (e.g., Amazon.com) is an equity-based return shipping policy: If the retailer determines that it is to blame for the return, the retailer absorbs the return's cost; otherwise, customers must pay those costs. While these retailers appear to assume that consumers' equity assess-ments are the only relevant reaction to return shipping costs (for a model of retailers' assumptions, see Figure 1), distant retailers' concern with the fairness is reasonable. "Fairness" refers to "rightness or deservingness" (Oliver 1997, p. 194) Amanda B. Bower is Professor of Business Administration/Marketing & Advertising, Williams School of Commerce, Economics, & Politics, Was-hington and Lee University (e-mail: bowera@wlu.edu). James G. Maxham III is Chesapeake & Potomac Telephone Company Professor of Commerce, University of Virginia (e-mail: maxham@virginia.edu). This research was funded in part by the Bernard A. Morin Fund for IVIarketing Excellence at the Mclntire School of Commerce. The authors thank Bill Ross, Ruth Bolton, Rick Netemeyer, David Mick, Amar Cheema, and research semi-nar participants at the University of Virginia, Penn State University, Georgetown University, and Peking University for helpful comments on earlier versions of this article. Robert Leone served as area editor for this article. based on a consideration of inputs and outcomes, and prior research has associated fairness perceptions with a positive effect on important postexchange customer reactions such as satisfaction, word of mouth, trust, commitment, and repurchase intentions (e.g., Maxham and Netemeyer 2003; Oliver and Swan 1989a, b; Swan and Oliver 1991; Tax, Brown, and Chandrashekaran 1998). We define "return shipping policy cost fairness" (cost fairness) as the extent to which customers believe the return shipping policy out-come (whether fee or free) is fair. Consistent with both prior work and the assumptions of equity-based return ship-ping policies, we expect that perceptions of return cost fair-ness are positively related to postreturn repurchases (see Figure 2). Research has yet to investigate how these return ship-ping policies and associated costs can influence customer evaluations and subsequent postreturn spending. In the pre-sent research, we identify the apparent, normative assump-tions underlying the equity-based return shipping policies of free return (i.e., the retailer absorbs the return shipping fee) versus a fee return (i.e., the customer pays the return shipping fee) and compare those assumptions with a posi-tivist perspective on consumers' psychological reactions and postreturn spending. Working with two leading online retailers, we coupled responses from two online surveys at key points over the course of customers' return experiences with the customers' 24-month prereturn and 24-month postreturn purchase histories. We find that consumer assess-ments of fairness and attributions are inconsistent with the © 2012, American Marketing Association iSSN: 0022-2429 (print), 1547-7185 (eiectronic) 110 Journal of Marketing Voiume 76 (September 2012), 110-124
  • 2. FIGURE 1 Model of the Normative Assumptions of the Product Returns Process Underlying Equity-Based Return Shipping Policies Product Failure Blame is eithe retailer or to self/consumer ^ rtO Attributed to Retailer Free Return Retailer's assessment No misapplication of j ^ ofbiame is consistent with the consumer's assessment Attributed to Self/Consumer return shipping policy Fee Return Equity Accomplished Consumers will perceive a return shipping policy as fair if the one to blame pays for the return, even if the consumer pays for it ^ / Postreturn ^ Spending i Equity is the only response to a return shipping policy that affects postreturn spending Notes: Explanations of assumptions underlying process model structure are in italics. FIGURE 2 Conceptual Model of Consumer Responses to Product Return Shipping Policies Retailer Attribution for Product Returns Return Shipping Policy (Free/Fee) ( 1 ' H2 Self-Attribution for Product Returns ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ - ~-^ Customer Perceptions of Cost Fairness — ^ ^ -^^ ) / H4 V J Customer Spending normative (and self-serving) assumptions of retailers. Not only do retailers overestimate tbe ameliorating (moderat-ing) effects of attributions on fee returns, but tbey also ignore consumers' affect stemming simply from return fees. In addition, free returns resulted in increases in postreturn spending (from preretum levels), and fee returns resulted in decreases in postreturn spending (from preretum levels), all regardless ofbiame attributions. Research on return policies is still developing. Botb Pastemack (2008) and Padmanabban and Png (1997) exam-ine manufacturer return sbipping policies offered to retail-ers. Otber research bas assessed actual consumer responses to return policies, suggesting the benefits to retailers of easy return policies. Anderson, Hansen, and Simester (2009) examine the value to consumers of the simple presence (vs. absence) of a return option and suggest a model retailers could use to optimize return policies. MoUenkopf et al. (2007) find that previous service experiences (e.g., return policies, web interface) could directly influence consumer loyalty intentions in the present product return context. Consistent with the present research, there is some research indicating that return policies instituted with the short-term gain in mind may have long-term negative con-sequences for tbe retailer. Despite retailer desire to control for "inappropriate" or "opportunistic" product returns with stricter return policies (Davis, Hagerty, and Gerstner 1998; Hess, Chu, and Gerstner 1996), Wood (2001) finds that lenient policies (manipulated in two of her studies as including free shipping) were associated with increased probability of ordering from the retailer, heightened ratings of product quality, and a reduction in overall purchase deci-sion conflict. Viewing the return process as part of a cycle, Petersen and Kumar (2009) find that while an increase in product returns results in a decrease in marketing communi-cations from the marketer toward that consumer, that same increase in returns will result in an increase in future cus- Return Shipping Policies of Online Retailers /111
  • 3. tomer repurchases (up to a threshold). This research sug-gests the value in comparing the return policy assumptions that retailers make with actual consumer reactions. The Assumptions of Equity-Based Return Shipping Poiicies The implementation of an equity-based return shipping pol-icy is predicated on a variety of apparently implicit and nor-mative assumptions that lead distant retailers to believe such a policy would be both cost-effective and reasonable to customers. We consider those assumptions here and com-pare them with the customer reactions suggested by prior research. Assumption of Proportional Equity An assumption of equity-based return shipping policies is that consumers will perceive an exchange as fair if the out-comes they receive are proportional to the inputs they con-tribute, which translates into the "one to blame is the one to pay" philosophy (see Figure 1). Although this assumption is consistent with more traditional equity theories (e.g., Homans 1961), subsequent research suggests that people prefer advantageous or positive inequity (i.e., the equitable behavior that results in the maximization of one's own out-comes; e.g., Lapidus and Pinkerton 1995; Oliver 1997; Oliver and Swan 1989a). The customer view of advanta-geous inequity as "fairer" is prevalent in customer-retailer relationships (versus interpersonal). Customers may not see themselves as having equal responsibilities to the retailer in the exchange and may have more substantial expectations that the retailer bear much of the burden of the exchange (e.g.. Berger, Conner, and Fisek 1974; Lapidus and Pinker-ton 1995; Oliver 1997; Oliver and Swan 1989a, b). Consis-tent with prior research, we expect that customers receiving free returns will report significantly higher levels of cost fairness and have greater relative postretum repurchases than customers receiving fee returns, regardless of level of blame attribution (though we do expect blame attribution to moderate the extent of the effect, as discussed subsequently). Assumptions of Causal Attribution Dependence Retailers employing equity-based return shipping policies appear to assume that consumers' attribution of responsibil-ity for the return will be consistent with the retailers' (see Figure 1). Furthermore, retailers assume that these attribu-tions are negatively related so that as responsibility assigned to the consumer goes up, assignment to the retailer necessarily goes down. Called the "hydraulic assumption" in attribution theory, support for it means that causal agents for a given outcome should have "near perfect negative cor-relation between these judgments" (Bassili and Racine 1990, p. 882), "as if causal candidates competed with one another in a zero-sum game" (Nisbett and Ross 1980, p. 128). However, the hydraulic assumption of attributions has been largely disproven (e.g., Bassili and Racine 1990; Krull 2001; Miller, Smith, and Uleman 1981; Nisbett and Ross 1980; Taylor and Koivumaki 1976) because "internal and external [attributions] are not opposites on a single dimen-sion" (White 1991, p. 266). Solomon (1978) reviews research in which causal agents were measured separately (vs. on opposite ends of a single scale), concluding that the hydraulic assumption is "untenable." Similarly, Taylor and Koivumaki (1976) find when measuring the two separately that the correlation was -.14 (not significant [n.s.]). Therefore, in contrast to the assumptions underlying equity-based return shipping policies, a stronger attribution to the consumer may not necessarily result in a weaker attri-bution to the retailer (e.g., Johnson, Mullick, and Mulford 2002; Miller, Smith, and Uleman 1981). Although cus-tomers may attribute some product failures exclusively to the retailer, customers may instead attribute failure to them-selves, to neither party, or perhaps to both (e.g., Folkes 1984; Kelley, Hoffman, and Davis 1993; Oliver 1997; Weiner 2000; White 1991). In other words, we would expect that retailer and consumer self-attributions are independent, without a near-perfect negative relationship. Figure 2 pre-sents the separate conceptualization and relationships. Consequences of Inaccurate Assumptions in Attribution and Equity Assessments As a result of these assumptions, equity-based return ship-ping policies allow for only two possible pairs between attributions and applied return shipping policy: Retailers only pay when the return is their own fault, and consumers only pay when it is their own fault (see Figure 1). However, these policies do not take into account the reactions of con-sumers who are required to pay for a return for which they blame the retailer, nor do they allow for the possible bene-fits that might accrue when a consumer receives a free return when there is a stronger self-attribution. Put differ-ently, what happens when a consumer is "miscategorized" and disagrees with the retailer's assessment? There is a strong likelihood that consumers will dis-agree with retailer assignment of responsibility to the con-sumer (Oliver 1997). Consumers have a tendency to take more credit for positive outcomes and less blame for fail-ures, particularly in a marketing relationship (e.g., Oliver 1997; Valle and Wallendorf 1977). Given their preference for positive inequity, consumers tend to put particular emphasis on consumer outcomes and retailer inputs, result-ing in a disproportionate reaction to negative inequity (e.g., Oliver 1997; Walster, Berscheid, and Walster 1973). There-fore, the damage done to equity perceptions and postretum repurchases by a fee (vs. free; consumer outcomes) return will be disproportionately greater when consumers make stronger retailer attributions (vs. weaker; retailer inputs). Thus: Hj: Return shipping policy and retailer attributions interact such that customers who experience a fee (vs. free) return report disproportionately lower cost fairness and decrease spending when they indicate stronger retailer attributions than when they indicate weaker retailer attributions. There may also be positive effects of a "miscatego-rized" free return: a free return for which consumers strongly attribute the return to themselves. Thus, the pre-ferred state of positive inequity (e.g., Lapidus and Pinkerton 1995; Oliver 1997; Oliver and Swan 1989a) would be 112 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
  • 4. heightened when the customer receives a free retum when there are greater levels of self-attribution for the need for the product retum. Furthermore, under complaint condi-tions, Lapidus and Pinkerton (1995) find no evidence to support their hypothesis that consumers feel guilt or other unpleasant emotional states as a result of this type of posi-tive inequity. When assessing resentment stemming from a high/low outcome in an equitable/inequitable situation, they find that an interaction resulted largely from the dispropor-tionately low levels of resentment when participants experi-enced a positively inequitable situation. In other words, it is unlikely that there would be any negative emotional reac-tions (e.g., guilt) to negate or neutralize the positive reac-tions resulting from a free but "undeserved" return. Thus: H2: Return shipping policy and self-attributions interact such that customers who experience a free (vs. fee) return report disproportionately higher cost faimess and increase spending when consumers make stronger self-attributions than when they make weaker self-attributions. The Centrai Role of Regret on Consumer Responses Retailers employing equity-based return shipping policies clearly assume that fairness is the key response to the retum, expecting that postretum spending will be unaf-fected by retum shipping costs if the retum was "fair." However, consumers may have other, more dominant reac-tions to a fee or free retum shipping policy beyond the deservedness or fairness of retum costs. Specifically, regret refers to a negative feeling or "sense of sorrow" (Simonson 1992, p. 105) experienced in response to a negative out-come when a person compares his or her own actions to alternative behaviors and preferable outcomes (i.e., counter-factuals) that might have occurred instead (e.g., Zeelenberg, Van Dijk, and Manstead 1998). The opposite of regret is rejoicing or elation (e.g., Greenleaf 2004; Inman, Dyer, and Jia 1997; Landman 1987), which occurs when a person's choices lead to an outcome that is better than if other choices were made. Consumers are strongly motivated to avoid the emo-tional experience of regret, leading them to protect them-selves against it (e.g., Cooke, Meyvis, and Schwartz 2001; Greenleaf 2004; Inman and McAlister 1994). The simple anticipation of regret with regard to a future decision may result in inaction (i.e., nonpurchase; e.g., Landman 1987; Lemon, White, and Winer 2002; Simonson 1992; Tsiros and Mittal 2000). In contrast, an experience with rejoicing can lead people to make decisions that may involve riskier—but the hope of better—outcomes. For example, Greenleaf (2004) demonstrates that auction sellers experienced rejoic-ing because the winning price of an auction was higher due to the reserve price. These sellers subsequently set an even higher reserve price in a second auction, even though those higher reserve prices might decrease the chances of a suc-cessful second auction. Therefore, consistent with previous work, we expect regret to be negatively related to postretum repurchases (see Figure 2). Consumers may already experience a baseline level of regret stemming from the product failure and the need to retum the product (e.g., Oliver 1997). Of particular interest here is the effect that retum shipping costs may have on that baseline level of regret. Customers facing a fee retum will have an unrecoverable monetary cost due to retum shipping fees, in contrast to a nonpurchase from that retailer (Gilly and Gelb 1982). Comparison of this actual monetary loss to the nonpurchase altemative may heighten feelings of regret and, in particular, concems about future retum fees stem-ming from future purchases. Consistent with prior research, we expect that customers whose regret is further heightened by a fee retum will prevent the experience of future regret by reducing their purchases from the present distant retailer. Conversely, customers whose regret is lowered (i.e., greater levels of rejoicing) as a result of a free retum may increase postretum spending, willingly making riskier purchases. Thus (see Figure 2): H3: Compared with a baseline of regret stemming from the need to return the product, customers receiving free returns report significant decreases in that experienced regret, whereas customers receiving fee returns report sig-nificant increases in that experienced regret. While faimess and regret have appeared as constructs in the same study (e.g., Verhoef, Franses, and Hoekstra 2001; Vorhees, Brady, and Horowitz 2006), the relationship between the two remains to be addressed. As O'Shaugh-nessy and O'Shaughnessy (2005) indicate, regret theory has implications in equity considerations. We suggest that in addition to the regret heightened by retum costs, consumers might also experience heightened regret as a result of being treated in a manner they perceive as unfair. Xia, Monroe, and Cox (2004, p. 7) argue (but do not demonstrate) that if consumers believe a price to be unfair, they may choose to "leave the relationship, depending on their assessment of which action is most likely to restore equity" (for similar logic, see O'Shaughnessy and O'Shaughnessy 2005). Thus (see Figure 2): H4: Cost fairness is negatively related to regret, with regret partially or wholly mediating the relationship between cost faimess and postretum spending. iVIethods Study 1: Equity-Based Return Shipping Policies We conducted a longitudinal event field study over four years with a panel of online customers (average of 8.4 orders per year) who returned products to a leading e-commerce retailer of frequently purchased home, garden, and personal items. To qualify for the panel, customers needed at least 24 months of prereturn spending data. We gathered data at the following six time periods: (1) 24 months before the retum (i.e., 24 months prereturn [TO]), (2) 12 months leading up to the retum (i.e., 12 months preretum [Tl]), (3) time of retum (i.e., retum [T2]), (4) soon after the retailer handled the retum (i.e., postretum [T3]), (5) 12 months after the retum (i.e., 12 months postretum [T4]), and (6) 24 months after the retum (i.e., 24 months postretum [T5]). The T2 data were collected during approximately the same month. Thus, all customers shared approximately the same T0-T5 period. Return Shipping Policies of Oniine Retailers /113
  • 5. and we had data from 24 months before and after the retum for each respondent. 12 and 24 months preretum (TO, Tl). We collected yearly prereturn purchasing history for the 24 months before the return for the 334 respondents who completed the T2 and T3 surveys. These data included the number of orders placed, the dollar value of the orders, and the product descriptions. We accounted for inflation in dollar variables using the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Indexes. Return (T2). At the time of retum, 500 customers either telephoned the retailer or initiated a retum using the form enclosed in their order, triggering the T2 online question-naire link to be e-mailed. Customers were offered a $25 gift certificate to complete the two surveys (T2 and T3). (Only 39% of respondents in Study 1 redeemed the gift certificate, and there were no significant differences in redemption rates across fee and free conditions [p > .50].) Of the 500 surveys sent, 351 customers completed usable surveys, rep-resenting a 70% response rate. The T2 survey first asked customers to indicate the details of their retum (i.e., product numbers, whether the items were purchased as gifts, reason for returning, prepurchase awareness of the return shipping policy, and whether they wanted a refund or exchange). Customers completed questions regarding situational pur-chase involvement, regret, attributions toward the retailer, and self-attributions, and all items were measured on a seven-point scale. We adapted to this study a three-item semantic differential involvement measure from prior research (Ratchford 1987) to measure whether the purchase of the product was highly involving. A three-item retailer attribution measure asked respondents to indicate the extent to which the retailer was responsible for the letum, while a separate three-item self-attribution measure assessed self-attribution. We adapted a measure from Tsiros and Mittal (2000) to measure customer perceptions of regret. Finally, respondents provided demographic and buyer profile infor-mation (see the Appendix). Postretum (T3). After the completion of the return process (refund or receipt of a product exchange), a second survey link was e-mailed to the 351 respondents who com-pleted the T2 survey. Of those, 334 customers completed usable surveys, representing a 95% response rate for T3 and an overall 67% response rate. The sample had the following demographic characteristics: 58% of the respondents were female, 66% were 36-55 years of age, 75% held college degrees, and 89% reported that they retum less than 20% of their online purchases. In addition, this was the first product retum for all customers to this retailer, creating a baseline for accurately tracking customer perceptions regarding their first retum experience with the focal retailer. The T3 survey assessed customer perceptions of regret and cost faimess measures adapted from prior research (Smith, Bolton, and Wagner 1999; Tax, Brown, and Chandrashekaran 1998). 12 and 24 months postretum (T4, T5). We collected two years of postretum purchasing history for the 334 respon-dents, including the number of orders placed, dollar value of the orders, and product descriptions. None of our respon-dents retumed the purchases made 24 months after their ini-tial retum, and the postretum customer spending variables exclude the monetary value of the focal product retum as well as the $25 gift certificate value. Return shipping policy outcome. Fifty-three percent of respondents received a free return. Consistent with an equity-based retum shipping policy, a retum manager used customer self-report as an input in making "fair" judgments regarding blame and allocation of retum shipping costs. In general, the retailer in Study 1 assigned a fee retum when customers indicated one of the following reasons for the retum: (1) the item did not fit, (2) the item was too expen-sive, (3) the color did not match, (4) gift recipients did not want/need, (5) the item did not fit with other components, or (6) the customers changed their minds. The retailer offered a free retum when customers returned an item for the following reasons: (1) the item was damaged in transit, (2) the item was defective, or (3) the company shipped the wrong item. Contextual variables. We gathered potential covariates both from the surveys and the retailer database. These covariates include product involvement, the dollar amount of shipping costs to retum the product (regardless of fee or free policy), the number of days to resolve the return, the number of days that passed after receiving the product before the retum was initiated, the length of the customers' relationship with the retailer (measured at 24 months pre-retum), the dollar amount of the order, and the dollar amount of the retumed items. Study 2: Generalizing Beyond Equity-Based Return Shipping Policies To rule out that cost faimess and regret reactions are due to the type of retum shipping policy (i.e., equity based), we conducted a second longitudinal field study over the same 49-month period with an electronics retailer that used a dif-ferent retum shipping policy. The retailer categorized prod-ucts as qualifying for free or fee returns according to the gross margins, warning consumers before purchase (even requiring them to click a box noting their understanding) whether a retumed product would be subject to shipping charges regardless of blame. Customers who were reim-bursed were categorized as "free" (n = 682, 53), and those who were not reimbursed were categorized as "fee" (n = 614). Thirty-six percent of the retums were because cus-tomers changed their minds; 27% were due to problems with item descriptions, installation, or instructions; and 37% were due to quality problems. Customers place an average of 12.6 orders per year with the retailer. The data collection procedures and measures for the electronics sam-ple mirrored those employed in the first study. Of the 2750 surveys sent at the time of retum (T2), 1623 customers completed usable surveys, representing a 59% response rate. After the retailer handled the retum, 1296 customers completed and submitted a usable T3 survey (an 80% response rate for T3). We collected 24 months of pre- and postretum purchasing history for each of our 1296 respon-dents and queried the retailer's database to collect the same contextual variables collected in the first study. Our response rate from the initial mailing of the first T2 ques- 114/Journal of Marketing, September 2012
  • 6. tionnaire to the completion of the T3 questionnaire was 47%. Customers were offered a $25 gift certificate to com-plete the T2 and T3 surveys. (Only 23% of respondents in Study 2 redeemed the gift certificate, and there were no sig-nificant differences in redemption rates across fee and free conditions ¡p > .10].) The sample exhibited the following demographic characteristics: 48% were female, 36% were 36-55 years of age, and 62% held college degrees. In addi-tion, the product return in this study represented the first return recorded by the retailer for each respondent, allowing for accurate tracking of customer perceptions regarding their first return experience with the focal retailer. Across both studies at both the prereturn 12- and 24- month marks, we found no significant differences among the free and fee groups in prereturn purchase rates, order values, or value of returned products, nor were there signifi-cant differences in the dollar amount of return shipping across levels of attributions to retailer (all p> .10). Confir-matory factor models indicated that our measures are psy-chometrically sound in both studies regarding model fit, discriminant validity, and internal consistency (see the Appendix). Checiis for Respondent and Measure Bias To check for sample and nonresponse biases in each sample using customer profile information in each of the retailers' databases, we compared the demographic and buying pro-files in our samples with three other customer groups: (1) customers who returned products during our studies but did not participate in the studies (i.e., nonparticipants; Study 1: n - 285; Study 2: n = 1545), (2) customers who returned products before our studies and did not receive our survey (i.e., nonsurveyed returners; Study 1: n = 567; Study 2: n = 1780), and (3) customers who have never returned products to the focal retailers (i.e., nonreturners; Study 1: n = 462; Study 2: n = 1378). There were no significant differences regarding the length of relationship with the retailers, age, total number of purchases, or average order value between the three other customer groups and our samples (/? > .10), and they were similar across gender, income, and education. Likewise, the reasons for returning and the retailer's prod-uct return strategies were similar across groups. Other data collection and analysis indicated that the three control groups in each sample did not differ significantly from our respondents' in customer spending {p > .10). In addition, nonparticipants and nonsurveyed returners who did not pay for return shipping significantly increased their customer spending over the next two years, while nonparticipants and nonsurveyed returners who paid for return shipping costs significantly decreased their customer spending over the next two years (i.e., a negative in customer spending; p < .01). Nonparticipants and nonsurveyed returners with free returns repurchased at significantly higher rates than nonre-turners, and nonparticipants and nonsurveyed returners with fee returns repurchased at significantly lower rates than nonreturners {p < .01). Overall, these data checks suggest that potential response and nonresponse biases in ratings are minimal. Resuits The Roie of Attributions in Cost Fairness and Customer Spending We argue that the postreturn spending among customers receiving a free return significantly increases from prereturn spending, while the postreturn spending among customers paying a fee return significantly decreases from prereturn spending levels. Instead of simply examining the effects of return shipping policies on changes in spending at the end of the 24-month postreturn period, we examined the effects at both the 12-month and 24-month postreturn points. Our longitudinal research design enables us to determine whether any changes in spending results in shorter-term effects (e.g., limited to 12 months but rebounding to prereturn levels by 24) or longer-term trends of postreturn spending. Initial analyses contradicted some of the retailer assumptions underlying equity-based return shipping poli-cies. The correlations between retailer attributions and self-attributions, though significant in both studies, are not "per-fect" (Study 1: (|) = -.17; Study 2: ^ = -.14). This indicates that attributions are empirically distinct (Fornell and Lar-cker 1981) and should be measured separately. Evidence also contradicts the assumption that retailer assignments of responsibility are consistent with consumer assignments. Considering only Study l's results because of the retailer's equity-based return shipping policy, customers making stronger attributions to the retailer were required to pay return shipping fees (n = 73; 46%) almost as frequently as those who received a free return (n = 86; 54%), regardless of self-attributions. Taking into account self-attributions, among those customers who would meet the retailer's own standards for a free return (i.e., stronger retailer attributions/ weaker self-attributions; n = 81), 43% were required to pay a fee. Similarly, among those customers who would meet the retailer's standards for a fee return (i.e., weaker retailer attributions/stronger self-attributions; n = 105), 50% received a free return. Similar proportions exist in Study 2, in which return fee responsibility is unrelated to equity decisions and instead is determined by the type of product purchased. In other words, equity-based determinations of responsibility were as consistent with customer judgments as determina-tions entirely unrelated to assessments of equity decisions. To test H] and H2, we estimated a repeated measures general linear model with one categorical between-subjects factor (return shipping policy outcome: free and fee), two continuous between-subjects factors (retailer attributions and self-attributions), one between-subjects dependent variable (cost fairness), and one within-subject dependent variable captured across four time intervals (customer spending: TO, Tl, T4, and T5). We also modeled six covari-ates: involvement, the dollar amount of return shipping costs, the number of days to resolve the product return, the number of days that passed after receiving the product before the return was initiated, the length of the customers' relationship with the retailer, and the order dollar amount. Last, we included consumers' prepurchase awareness of return shipping policy as a two-level blocking factor (i.e., yes or no). Return Shipping Policies of Online Retailers /115
  • 7. Return shipping policy awareness was significantly related to cost faimess (Study 1: F(l, 319) = 22.96,/? < .01, ri2 = .07; Study 2: F(l, 1281) = 57.62,p < .01,ri2 = .04) and customer spending (Study 1: F(l, 319) = 38.78,p < .01,ri2 = .11; Study 2: F(l, 1281) = 10.41,^1 < .01, rjZ = .01), and therefore we retained it in the model (all other covariates were nonsignificant and thus were eliminated). Across botb studies, the two-way interaction (shipping policy x retailer attribution) was significant for cost faimess (Study 1 : ß = -.53, t(325) = 2.95,/? < .01, -pZ = .03; Study 2: ß = -.623, t(l,287) := 4.60,p < .01, r|2 = .02). Likewise, the shipping policy X retailer attribution was significant for customer spending at both T4 (Study 1: ßT4 = 416.50, t(325) = 4.38, ri2 = .06; Study 2: ßx4 = 1519.97, t(l,287) = 8.54, ri2 = .05, p < .01) and T5 (Study 1: ßxs = 765.39, t(325) = 6.00, ^^ = .10; Study 2: ^5 = 3026.40, t(l,287) = 11.96, ri2 = .10,p < .01). To explore Hj, we examined the slopes of retailer attri-bution across fee and free retum shipping policies. Next, we conducted a spotlight analysis (Fitzsimmons 2008; Irwin and McClelland 2001) at one standard deviation above the mean of retailer attribution (i.e., stronger retailer attributions) and one standard deviation below the mean of retailer attribu-tion (i.e., weaker retailer attributions) to explore the details of the interaction. As we hypothesize, and as we show in Figure 3, the drop in cost faimess from a free to a fee retum was greater when customers more strongly blamed the firm than when they expressed weaker retailer attributions (Study 1: ß = .76, t(330) = 8.26; Study 2: ß = .82, t(l ,292) = 9.36, p < .01). Yet the drop in customer spending from a FIGURE 3 Effects of Return Shipping Policy A: Effects of Return Shipping Policy and Retailer Attributions on Cost Fairness 6.00 5.00 8 4.00 J E ¡2 3.00 -i o 2.00 -j 1.00 j 0 4 5.20 •l.SO 3.16 4.93 3.60 2.46 Free Return Shipping Fee Return Shipping Study 1 • Weaker retailer attribution I I Stronger retailer attribution Free Return Fee Return Shipping Shipping Study 2 B: Effects of Return Shipping Policy and Self-Attributions on Cost Fairness 5.68 5.60 3.24 2 30 Free Return Fee Return Shipping Shipping Study 1 I Weaker self-attribution I Stronger self-attribution Free Return Fee Return Shipping Shipping Study 2 Notes: Means for retailer attributions and self-attributions occur at one standard deviation below the grand mean (weaker) and one standard deviation above the grand mean (stronger). 116 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
  • 8. free to a fee retum was more precipitous when customers expressed weaker retailer attributions than when they more strongly blamed the firm (Study 1: ß = 734.93, t(330) = 10.03,p < .01; Study 2: ß = 954.83, t(l,292) = 12.44,p < .01). As such. Hi is partially supported (see Figure 4). Regarding H2, the two-way interaction (shipping policy x self-attribution) was significant in both studies for cost fair-ness (Study 1: ß = -.392, t(325) = -2.19, p < .01, Ti2 = .02; Study 2: ß = -.615, t(l,287) = 4.60, p < .01, Ti2 = .02). In Study 1, the retum shipping policy x self-attribution inter- FIGURE 4 Retailer Attributions and Changes in Customer Spending A: Study 1 $1,400.00 $1,200.00 $1,000.00 $800.00 $600.00 $400.00 $200.00 $838.15 $177.43^ 0'' $621.42 $235.36 »... $1,258.57 ^ „ . ^ $743.97 $109.54 -Ti $59.52 Free and weaker retailer attributions Fee and weaker retaiier attributions • Free and stronger retailer attributions • Fee and stronger retailer attributions 24 Months Prereturn 12 Months Prereturn 12 Months Postretum 24 Months Postretum B: Study 2 $6,000.00 $5,000.00 $4,000.00 $3,000.00 $2,000.00 $1,000.00 y' .•'$3,363.97 . -" '"'^ $1,964.04 .. $447.53 ! 7 * 111 1 ^ ^ _ $77.34 $5,013.05 $2,496.13 1 $0.00 Free and weaker retailer attributions Fee and weaker retailer attributions Free and stronger retailer attributions Fee and stronger retailer attributions 24 Months Prereturn 12 Months Prereturn 12 Months Postretum 24 Months Postreturn Notes: The means for weaker attributions are one standard deviation below the grand mean, and the means for stronger attributions are one standard deviation above the grand mean. Return Shipping Policies of Online Retaiiers /117
  • 9. action was not significant for customer spending at both T4 (ßx4 = 147.46, t(325) =: 1.52, n.s.) and T5 (ßxs = 44.10, t(325) = .34, n.s.). Yet the interaction was significant in Study 2 at both T4 (PT4 = 497.49, t(l ,287) = 2.70, ^^ = .01) and T5 (ßx5 = 679.24, t(l,287) = 2.59, ri2 = .01,p < .01). We con-ducted a spotlight analysis at one standard deviation above the mean of self-attribution (i.e., stronger self-attributions) and one standard deviation below the mean of self-attribution (i.e., weaker self-attributions) to explore the details of the interaction. As we hypothesized, the drop in cost faimess from a free to a fee retum was more precipitous when cus-tomers more strongly blamed themselves than when they expressed weaker self-attributions (Study 1: ß = .182, t(330) = 7.43,p < .01; Study 2: ß = .741, t(l,292) = 9.34,p < .01; see Figure 3). Similarly, in Study 2, the drop in cus-tomer spending from a free to a fee retum was more precip-itous when customers more strongly blamed themselves than when they expressed weaker self-attributions (ß = .985, t( 1,292) = 11.93, p < .01). Yet the spotlight analysis was not significant in Study 1. Consistent with H2, cus-tomers in both studies who experienced a free return reported disproportionately higher cost faimess when they made stronger self-attributions than when they made weaker self-attributions (see Figure 3). In addition, cus-tomers in Study 2 who experienced a free return reported disproportionately higher increased spending when they made stronger self-attributions than when they made weaker self-attributions (see Figure 5). Thus, H2 is sup-ported in Study 2 and partially supported in Study 1. Regret To test H3, we estimated another repeated measures general linear model with one within-subject factor (time: T2 and T3), one between-subjects factor (retum shipping policy outcome: free and fee), one dependent variable (regret), the six previously used covariates, and two additional covariates (retailer attributions and self-attributions). In Study 1, retailer attributions, self-attributions, and retum shipping policy awareness were significantly related to regret (retailer: F( 1, 323) = 70.63,p< .01,112= .18; self: F(l, 323) = 5.00,p < .03, ri2 = .02; awareness: F(l, 323) = 46.92, /? < .01, r|2 = .13). Likewise, in Study 2, retailer attributions, self-attribu-tions, and retum shipping policy awareness were signifi-cantly related to regret (retailer: F(l, 1285) = 339.28, p < .01, ri2 = .21; self: F(l, 1285) = 4.68, p < .03, ri2 = .01; awareness: F(l, 1285) = 167.46,;? < .01,ri2 = .12; all other covariates were nonsignificant and eliminated). Consistent with H3, customers receiving free retums reported signifi-cant decreases in postreturn regret from initial retum levels, whereas customers receiving fee retums reported signifi-cant increases in postretum regret from initial retum levels (Study 1: F(l, 329) = 206.16, p < .0l,r2= .39; Study 2: F(l, 1,291) = 661.39,p < .01,ri2 = .34; see Figure 6.) Effects of Fairness and Regret on Long-Term Customer Spending One of the assumptions underlying equity-based return shipping policies and/or our expectations is the positive relationship between faimess (as per retailer and our expec-tations) and customer spending, as well as the negative rela-tionship between regret and customer spending. To assess these assumptions, we first estimated longitudinal structural models to assess the relationships of cost faimess and regret on customer spending over time, as well as to note the amount of variance explained in customer spending over time. To test H4, we examined whether regret (T3) mediates the relationship between cost faimess (T2) and customer spending (TO, Tl, T4, T5) in a manner consistent with Baron and Kenny (1986). We examined four conditions for mediation using structural equation modeling. The first con-dition is satisfied if cost fairness affects the mediator (regret). The second condition is satisfied if regret affects the dependent variable (customer spending). We estimated a mediated structural equation model testing the direct paths from cost faimess —> regret —> customer spending. Both these conditions were met, as this model yielded marginal fit (Study 1:%^= 120.54,p < .01 ; comparative fit index (CFI) = .97; Tucker-Lewis index (TLI) - .95; and root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) = .15; Study 2: ^2 = 371.18,p < .01; CFI = .96; TLI = .94; and RMSEA = .14). Moreover, the completely standardized exogenous path from cost faimess to regret (Study :j = -.73; Study 2:7 = -.65) and the endogenous path from regret to customer spending (Study 1: ß = .70; Study 2: ß = .74) were both sig-nificant {p < .01). The third condition is satisfied if cost faimess has a direct effect on customer spending. Thus, we estimated a direct model with only one direct path from cost faimess to customer spending. The model fit the data well (Study 1: ^2 = .56,p = .75; CFI = .99; TLI = .99; and RMSEA = .01 ; Study 2: %2 = 14.63,p < .01; CFI = .99; TLI = .99; and RMSEA = .07), and the completely standardized path was significant (Study 1: 7= .60; Study 2: y = .51,p < .01), satisfying the third mediating condition. The fourth mediating condition is satisfied if the direct path from cost faimess to customer spending becomes non-significant (i.e., full mediation) or reduced (partial media-tion) when we included the mediated paths from cost fair-ness -^ regret -^ customer spending in a full model (i.e., the mediated model). The fit of the mediated model was better than the fit of the full model with the added exoge-nous path from cost faimess to customer spending (Study 1: 5C2^iff = 107.33; Study 2: x^diff = 333.51; d.f. - l,p < .01). Moreover, the completely standardized path estimate between cost fairness and customer spending became non-significant (Study 1: 7= .02; Study 2: 7= .04,p > .10), indi-cating that regret fully mediates the effect of cost faimess on customer spending. Moreover, the amount of variance explained in customer spending was greater for the medi-ated model (Study 1: R2 = .78; Study 2: R2 = .74) than for the full (Study 1: R2 = .63; Study 2: R2 =: .61) or direct (Study 1: R2 = .45; Study 2: R2 = .34) models, suggesting that cost faimess is a better predictor of customer spending when modeled as an indirect effect through regret. In sum-mary, regret mediates the effect of cost fairness on customer spending, in support of H4 in both studies. To provide context to our findings, we conducted sev-eral multigroup nested models in accordance with Neff 118 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
  • 10. FIGURE 5 Self-Attributions and Changes in Customer Spending A: Study 1 $1,200.00 $1,000.00 $800.00 $600.00 $400.00 $200.00 • • Free and weaker self-attributions • • Fee and weaker self-attributions Free and stronger self-attributions Fee and stronger self-attributions 24 Months Frereturn 12 Months Frereturn 12 Months Fostreturn 24 Months Fostreturn B: Study 2 $4,000.00 $3,500.00 $3,000.00 $2,500.00 $2,000.00 $1,500.00 $1,000.00 $500.00 m. ii.iii.iiii $3,787.55 $2,703.98 ,.-¡/^ / ^ $2,624.03 / "$298.79 $286.17 Ti».,,..^^ ~"~-—„.,,^125^ $3,721.63 $45.58 Free and weaker self-attributions Fee and weaker self-attributions • Free and stronger self-attributions • Fee and stronger self-attributions 24 Months Frereturn 12 Months Frereturn 12 Months Postretum 24 Months Postretum Notes: The means for weaker attributions are one standard deviation below the grand mean, and the means for stronger attributions are one standard deviation above the grand mean. (1985) to examine whether the modeled parameter esti-mates varied significantly across eight relevant customer groups: 2 (retailer attributions: weaker and stronger) x 2 (self-attributions: weaker and stronger) x 2 (retum shipping policy: free and fee). The chi-square tests across all nested models indicated that the parameter estimates were stable Return Shipping Policies of Online Retailers /119
  • 11. FIGURE 6 Changes in Regret over Time A: Study 1 4.53 3.48 o Q. UJ perienced Regret X u 0- 6- 5- 4- 3- 2- 1 - 0- Time of Return •—' Free return 4.55 « ^ 3.48 —B Time of Return " " • • Free return (T2) shipping •"• B: Study — " 1,1— (T2) shipping •— Postreturn (T3) •• Fee return shipping 2 mmmmma^«....^ - - — Postreturn (T3) "» Fee return shipping Notes: iVIeans for retailer attributions and self-attributions occur at one standard deviation below the grand mean (weaker) and one standard deviation above the grand mean (stronger). (i.e., not significantly different) across the eight subgroups {p > .10), enhancing the predictive validity of the overall model. Discussion Contrary to economic research suggesting that retailers should toughen online return shipping policies, our studies suggest that such strategies might be shortsighted and that retailers should carefully consider how return shipping poli-cies affect revenues. We conducted two event field studies simultaneously over approximately 49 months to assess the psychological and behavioral reactions of customers to equity-based return shipping policies. Our expectations, as refiected in Figure 2, were supported, indicating that retail-ers' normative expectations (refiected in Figure 1) are largely inconsistent with consumer responses. Contrary to retailer assumptions, the actual return shipping policy cus-tomers received (whether free or fee) largely determined their postreturn spending regardless of attributions and cost fairness. Both studies suggest that customers paying for their own product returns will universally decrease their repurchases and that those receiving free returns will uni-versally increase their repurchases. In other words, the pri-mary conclusion for retailers from the present research is that in the interest of increased sales, it is beneficial to insti-tute a free return shipping policy. At the very least, our work is a call to online retailers to consult their own propri-etary customer data to determine any effects of return ship-ping costs on customer relationships and purchases. The Dangers of Fee Return This recommendation has the potential to elicit concerns from retailers. Retailers have short-term motivations for controlling return costs. As such, they may require cus-tomers to absorb return shipping policies, so they can avoid those costs themselves, or even induce consumers to keep products they might otherwise return to maintain the profits from the sale. Retailers may also be concerned with limiting abusive returns. However, while retailers may be in control of determining who pays for the return shipping costs, our findings remind retailers that customers will have their own independent perceptions of blame, affective reactions to return fees, and, most importantly, ability to decide whether they will repurchase from the retailer. Depending on attri-bution condition, fee returns universally resulted in a decrease in spending, ranging from 74.84% to 100% (see Figures 4 and 5). Our findings strongly contradict the assumptions made by retailers that attempt to control or limit their own costs by instituting equity-based return shipping policies. First, retailers are particularly ineffective at categorizing blame in a manner consistent with consumer perceptions. While a properly executed equity-based return shipping policy should have all retailer-blaming customers receiving free returns, the retailer in Study 1 (which used such a policy) assigned those customers free and fee returns in approxi-mately equal proportions. Similarly, we found that the retailer in Study 1 (which assigned fee returns using an equity-based return shipping policy) was approximately as consistent in assigning responsibility for the return to con-sumers who held themselves and not the retailer responsible as the retailer in Study 2, which used an entirely different policy for assigning return fees. Even if retailers made attributions of blame consistent with customer perceptions, the consequences of fee returns for retailers are still negative and profound. In a "perfect" fee condition, in which consumers strongly blame them-selves and hold weak attributions to the retailer, consumers in Study 1 (in which the retailer used an equity-based return shipping policy) still decreased their spending by 88%, and those in Study 2 decreased their spending by 93%. We found that customers appear to prefer advantageous or posi-tive inequity, perceiving free returns to be fairer than fee returns. In sharp contrast to the expectations of retailers, the dominant effect of the valence of the return shipping policy (fee/free) is not overcome by any combination of attribution conditions. One key reason for this result is that, contrary to the expectations of retailers, the dominant response to product return shipping policies is not equity but rather regret. Cus- 120 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
  • 12. tomers' negative emotions and sorrow related to retum costs are the primary driver of postretum shipping and, indeed, entirely explain equity's effect on postretum repur-chases. Therefore, while equity played a role in postretum spending, we found that it was only through customers' feelings of regret. Retailers may not be able to rely on the type of retum shipping policies to cue consumer reactions to the policies. Our research suggests that the type of retum shipping policy heuristic used to determine the policy application (whether equity-based or dependent on the type of product being retumed) is largely irrelevant to how customers might react to a fee or free outcome. Even though the two retailers in our studies had two different metrics for determining whether the customer received the fee or free retum shipping out-come, one equity-based and one product-based, the conclu-sions across both studies were (except for self-attribution findings) similar. This finding suggests that cost faimess considerations play a smaller role than regret in shaping consumers' future repurchase decisions. Retailers must also realize that consumers may not wam a retailer if a fee return will result in a decrease in future repurchases. The retailers in both our studies received no formal complaints from fee returns, with these customers quietly decreasing repurchases (and, in some cases, sharply). While retailers implementing an equity-based retum shipping policy may perceive the dearth of com-plaints among fee retumers as support for such a policy, analysis of the longer-term consequences of fee retums sug-gests that a preferable option from a customer loyalty per-spective is to simply offer all customers a free retum. The Benefits of Free Returns Offering free retums to consumers does not just help retail-ers avoid the negative consequences of fee retums. Depend-ing on the attribution condition, if customers received free retums, postretum spending at that retailer was 158%- 457% of preretum spending by the end of two years (see Figures 4 and 5). This is one of a few articles suggesting that product retums and their associated frustrations and costs for retailers are not "necessary evils" (to use Petersen and Kumar's [2009] term). Wood (2001) suggests the value to retailers of lenient retum policies, supporting the expec-tation that after customers have taken possession of the product they are also more likely to keep it. Anderson, Hansen, and Simester (2009) assess the value to consumers (and ultimately to retailers) of offering the retum option. Furthermore, up to a given threshold, more retums result in an increase in repurchases (Petersen and Kumar 2009). The present research supports the assertion that reducing con-sumer costs and decreasing the hurdles associated with retums can increase the repurchases to retailers and result in long-term benefits. Some online retailers selling products with relatively high return rates, such as shoes (e.g., Zappos.com), fashion (e.g., Nordstrom.com), and luggage (e.g., ebags.com), have already adopted free retum shipping policies (Spencer 2003). Indeed, the previous owner of Zappos.com indicated the importance of free retums to get people to take a chance on purchases (Rapbel 2004). In a related and developing issue, online retailers are increasingly willing to offer free (initial) shipping to customers to heighten the possibility of an initial purchase, recognizing that the increase in sales more than make up for the increase in costs (Zimmerman and Mattioli 2011). Our findings indicate that beyond avoiding the negative consequences of fee retums, there are the substantial advantages to retailers of free retums. While our studies were conducted in online settings, the implications of our findings may generalize to other retailer settings. These findings may also have implications for brick-and-mortar retailers, when the retum of the product entails a cost. Although restocking fees are often intended to get customers to "think twice" about retums (Meyer 1999), they may actually limit future customer spending for fear of future restocking fees. Finally, the products in Study 1 represented a wide cross-section of products from apparel to housewares to decorative items (representing more than 200 stockkeeping units), whereas the products in the second study were a wide variety of consumer electronics and accessories (representing more than 800 stockkeeping units). This diversity of the product categories represented across both studies suggests that the implications of these findings may generalize to retailers carrying a variety of product types. Further research should determine whether these findings generalize to retailers carrying a limited depth or breadth of product line, particularly with regard to the benefits of free retums. If a retailer has a limited variety or depth of product, especially if it is a product that need not be purchased frequently, rejoicing customers may only be able to purchase so much, regardless of their lack of anticipated regret. However, the advantages to the retailer of a free retum may accrue to the retailer in other ways, such as word of mouth (e.g., Oliver 1997). The Original and Important Role of Regret Consistent with the expectations of equity-based retum shipping policies, perceptions of fairness are positively related to postretum spending. However, the importance of faimess is not consistent with retailer expectations. We found that those perceptions of faimess are mediated by a reaction unanticipated by retailers: regret. Consumers regret purchasing from a company that has treated them unfairly, which leads to a decrease in postretum repurchases. Consis-tent with the ideas of Xia, Monroe, and Cox (2004), this may be due to the consumer desire either to prevent future inequities or possibly to balance the past inequity by not repurchasing. Beyond its mediating relationship with fairness is regret's direct relationship with product return shipping policies. Hess, Chu, and Gerstner (1996) normatively assume that a rational consumer will judge nonrefundable charges such as retum shipping costs to be sunk costs, which should not play a role in subsequent decision mak-ing. However, consistent with previous research (e.g., Simonson 1992), a past fee return serves to increase con-cems regarding future fees stemming from a future pur- Return Shipping Policies of Online Retailers /121
  • 13. chase and failed product, and this anticipation serves as a salient issue to customers in deciding whether they will pur-chase again from a retailer (Petersen and Kumar 2009). The dampening effect that these fees have on regret and ulti-mately on postretum shipping are impressive. For example, 24.8% of fee respondents in Study 1 and 32.4% in Study 2 had dropped to zero revenue by the end of two years post-retum, compared with 12% and 15% in the free retum group. Retailers appear to be underestimating the long-term benefit of a free retum to the retailer itself. The sense of rejoicing resulting from a free retum resulted in significant postretum repurchases. Similar to the saying "What would you do if you know you couldn't fail?" our respondents appeared to have the philosophy "What would you buy if you knew you wouldn't have to pay to retum it?" Sales increases were impressive in both studies by the end of two years postretum (Study 1: $620.80; Study 2: $2,552.68). Our partial support for Hi may be a further indication of the significance that regret plays in consumer reactions. Equity theory (and our hypothesis) would predict that a fee condition under strong retailer attribution conditions would result in disproportionately lower postretum repurchase. Although the interaction was significant, it was due to a dis-proportionate increase in postretum spending resulting from free retums received when consumers had weaker retailer blame. Interpreted in light of regret theory, these consumers may have rejoiced when they got a free retum from a blameless retailer. Aside from the practical managerial contributions of the present research, there is also a significant theoretical con-tribution. Both regret and equity are frequently discussed as antecedents of satisfaction and future behavior (e.g., Cooke, Meyvis, and Schwartz 2001; Lapidus and Pinkerton 1995; Oliver 1997). However, there is limited research that includes both constructs in the same discussion or analysis, and the relationship between regret and equity is infre-quently addressed. Chatterjee (2007) puts forth unsupported expectations suggesting that regret might serve as an under-lying mechanism in the relationship between next-purchase coupons and perceptions of retailer faimess. In their devel-opment of untested research propositions regarding con-sumer reactions to unfair prices, Xia, Monroe, and Cox (2004) argue that negative emotions, regret included, serve as the primary driver of future action. To the best of our knowledge, the present research represents the first tested hypotheses of the relationships between faimess, regret, and postpurchase behavior and, in particular, the first demon-stration that regret mediates the effects of faimess on post-purchase customer behavior. This finding suggests that cus-tomers do not simply have negative affect as a result of being treated unfairly but actually regret being treated unfairly and are motivated to avoid inequitable treatment in the future. Appendix Measures^ Experienced Regret (aT2 = -95, 073 = .96) 1.1 regret purchasing this product from (retailer name). 2.1 am feeling rejoiceful about buying this product from (retailer name), (reverse-coded) 3.1 should not have purchased this product from (retailer name). Cost Fairness (a = .96) 1. With respect to the retum shipping policy outcome, (retailer name) handled the retum in a fair manner. 2.1 believe (retailer name) applies retum shipping policies fairly when handling retums. 3. The final retum shipping policy outcome I received from (retailer name) was unfair, (reverse-coded) Pre- and Postreturn Customer Spending l.Year 2 prereturn customer spending (TO): U.S. dollar amount of annual purchases with (retailer name) from the 24 months preretum to 12 months preretum. 2. Year 1 prereturn customer spending (Tl): U.S. dollar amount of annual purchases with (retailer name) from the 12 months preretum to the product retum event. 3. Year 1 postreturn customer spending (T4): U.S. dollar amount of annual purchases with (retailer name) from the retum event to 12 months postretum. 4. Year 2 postreturn customer spending (T5): U.S. dollar amount of annual purchases with (retailer name) from 12 months postretum to 24 months postretum. Retaiier Attributions (a = .99) 1. (Retailer name) is responsible for my need to retum this product. 2. To what extent was (retailer name) responsible for the return that you experienced? (1 = "not at all responsible," and 7 = "totally responsible") 3. To what extent do you blame (retailer name) for this retum? (1 = "not at all," and 7 = "completely") Seif-Attributions (a = .99) 1.1 am responsible for my need to retum this product. 2. The retum that I experienced was my fault. 3. To what extent do you blame yourself for this retum? (1 = "not at all," and 7 = "completely") 'Unless noted, items were anchored by 1 = "strongly disagree" and 7 = "strongly agree." Confirmatory factor measurement mod-els across both studies indicate strong intemal consistency. The average variance extracted between each pair of constructs is greater than (j)2 (i.e., the squared correlation between two con-structs [Fomell and Larcker 1981]), indicating strong discriminant validity. Measurement model (Anderson and Gerbing 1988): Study 1: X^ = 830.19, d.f. = 294, CFI = .96, TLI = .95, and RMSEA = .07; Study 2: x^ = 3375.64, d.f. = 294, CFI = .95, TLI = .92, and RMSEA = .08. a = average composite alpha reliability estimate across both studies. 122 / Journal of Marketing, September 2012
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