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Boom, Bust, Bailout: What Would Nature Do? Dr. Trista Patterson     (and friends)
Cost Per Household  1970$51 		 1975		$132		 1980		$50		 1984		$111		 1989		$3,159	 2008		$8,749
Ecological Footprint (Vertical Axis) Versus the Human Development Index (Horizontal Axis) __ _ Wackernagel et al 2007
BOOM Part I:
Economic System Energy & Material Waste
Economic System Energy & Material Waste
Economic Subsystem Energy & Material Inputs Waste Emissions Recycling
Economic Subsystem Energy & Material Inputs Waste Emissions Recycling
Travel time to major cities Nelson (U. Sheffield): EU / Worldbank
GDP is a specialized tool Includes: activity		 Excludes: Quality Net Exports Consumption Expenditures Government Expenditures Built Capital Natural resource assets Ecosystem Services Social Capital Democracy Education Planetary limits  Quality of life Pollution
Land area Courtesy: Worldmapper
Total population Courtesy: Worldmapper
Biocapacity
Ecological Footprint Worldmapper /Global Footprint Network
Luxury Goods (Net Import) Courtesy: Worldmapper
Fast Food Restaurants
Timber Imports Courtesy: Worldmapper
BUST Part II:
Forest Loss Courtesy: Worldmapper
Ecological Footprint of Imports to EU 27 from TOP 20 trading partners, 2005
Vision: Living off the Interest Natural Capital
Ecosystem Services
Societal Demands
Holy Crap! What the heck is he doing?! SocialPerception
Unintended Consequences
Rockström et al. Nature, Oct. ‘09 Climate Change Ozone depletion ? Phosphorus flow Latest  data Atmospheric aerosol load ? ? 90-00 ? Ocean acidity Nitrogen flow 70-80 ? 50-60 Biodiversity loss Freshwater consumption ? Pre- Ind. Chemical pollution Agricultural land use F.T.Chapin, U AK Fairbanks
Ecological Creditors and Ecological Debtors
Ecological Creditors and Ecological Debtors
BAILOUT? Part III:
Collapse is integral to Resilience See crisis as opportunity Incorporate Prior Mistakes. Vision.  Embrace the chaos.  Seed. Fertilize innovation that respects boundary cond. Holling & Gunderson  1999, Westley 2008
What WOULD NATURE DO? Part IV:
Biomimicry: Nature as model, measure and mentor.
Life friendly materials/  Benign manufacturing Lotusan® paint M.Zanowick/US EPA/Biomimicry Inst.
Lightweighting – Scots PineTrunks and branches of trees withstand external stresses through load-adaptive growth.
Eco-machine Wastewater treatment without chemicals  Dr. John Todd (UVM)/ M. Zanowick US EPA / Biomimicry Inst.
Architecture:  Learning from termites how to create sustainable buildings. Passive Climate Control in the EastgateBuilding, Harare Zimbabwe M. Zanowick, US EPA & Biomimicry Inst.
all  OPs More OPs few  OPs regenerative = provides ecosystem services  sustainable =  net zero (minimum) LEEDS “green” =  better than average conventional =  status quo M. Zanowick, US EPA / Biomimicry Inst.
Nature would:  ,[object Object]
Optimize rather than maximize
Eliminate waste,[object Object]
Wilderness exhibits ‘genius of place’  in a way which is uniquely attuned to  boundary conditions.
Optimize rather than maximize. Humans are K selected species, living an r-selected strategy @Bio.miami.edu
Genius of place:  functional adaptations of the characteristic species and ecosystem relationships in that habitat.
Define/Adhere to Operating Parameters “Climate” conditions  “Nutrient” conditions  “Social” conditions “Temporal” conditions
Diversify Strategy. Live like K-selection counts.
Respect Carrying Capacity
Earth Overshoot Day:  Sept 25th, 2009 Re-tune the antennae
Nature would:  ,[object Object]
  Locally attuned and responsive
  Re-tune our Feedback loops
  Respect Operating Parameters.
  Co-evolve with ‘genius of place’.,[object Object]
Use simple, common building blocks. Local currency. Renewable Energy.
Nature would:  ,[object Object]
  Be resilient.
  Incorporate prior mistakes.
  Leverage interdependence/cooperation
  Create Feedback Systems. ,[object Object]
Network Efficiency.
Incorporate past mistakes.
Be Resilient.
Account value in relationships versus transaction.
Nature would:  Be resilient. Incorporate Prior Mistakes. Leverage Interdependence. Create Feedback Systems.
Care.

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What Would Nature Do, by Trista Patterson

Editor's Notes

  1. Mindset shifts or inflection points….points to intervene in the system