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Not Standing
        Still
 What Builders are
 Actually Changing
  to Meet the New
      Reality
                     By
Andy Warren, John Burns, Kathleen Cecilian, and
                George Casey
Not Standing Still
  A Focus on Human
       Capital

      Andy Warren
       President
     Maracay Homes
People Performance Formula:
1. Start with the right people
  – Gateway to Maracay
2. Equip them with the resources they need to
   be successful
  – Maracay Method
3. Hold them accountable for results
  – Visible metrics; FOSA
Not Standing Still
  Analysis Opens
 Opportunities and
  Identifies Risks
          John Burns
             CEO
     John Burns Consulting
Builders and Developers Have Become Very
                    Analytical
β€’   Microneighborhood Analysis
    β€’ Microeconomy – Where do they
       work, in addition to
       demographics and
       psychographics.
    β€’ Resale- Have seen and
       understand every recent resale.
β€’   Pushing Hard on the Architects
    β€’ Giving them a (small) budget to
       actually do research!
    β€’ Prove it, prove it, prove it!
    β€’ Pushing against their creative
       nature.

                                   5
                                         realestateconsulting.com
Builders and Developers Have Become Very
                    Analytical
β€’   Consumer Research, especially Developers
    β€’ Mining their email Interest Lists Hard
    β€’ Visiting people in their homes to see
       how they live
    β€’ Focus groups, especially realtors
    β€’ Conjoint cost tradeoff analysis
β€’   Using technology
    β€’ Google Earth with overlays
    β€’ Zillow and realtor.com on ipad while
       in the field
    β€’ AVM and RMBS tools




                                   6
                                               realestateconsulting.com
Builders and Developers Have Become Very
                    Analytical
β€’    New Tools and Statistics
     β€’ Proprietary Risk Indices
     β€’ Proprietary Submarket Grading
     β€’ Demand Models by Household
        Composition and Price Range
     β€’ Centralizing Data Collection and
        Disseminating
β€’    Equity partners push even harder
     β€’ Make me fall in love with this deal
     β€’ You better know every answer when
        I ask the question
     β€’ Protect my downside, with 3 opinions
     β€’ Upgrade your salespeople and your
        management team
                                  7
                                              realestateconsulting.com
Not Standing Still
   The New House:
Re-Thinking the Entire
       Business
      Kathleen Cecilian
          President
     Cecilian Worldwide
Not Standing Still
A 93 Year Old Start-
         up:
   With Cashflow
       George Casey
           CEO
      Orleans Homes
Orleans Homes

Goal: Become the prototype 21st century
           homebuilder
     β€’ Use Bankruptcy’s 2nd chance wisely
Four Main Focus Points
  – Market Niche focused
     β€’ Operate like a consumer driven company
     β€’ Organize to do marketing and market research different
  – Operationally Excellent
     β€’ Learn to be world class operators
     β€’ Cycle time reduction
     β€’ Benchmark against best
Orleans Homes

β€’ Four Main Focus Points (continued)
  – Organizationally Efficient
     β€’ Use technology; what would Apple do?
     β€’ Focus on productivity by being smarter
     β€’ Morale is a competitive weapon
  – Great Stewards of Capital
     β€’ Teach organization the discipline of investors
     β€’ Recognize that cheap debt is gone; have to make
       equity returns
Not Standing Still


    Panel
  Discussion

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Not Standing Still; What Builders are Actually Changing to Meet the New Reality (George Casey)

  • 1. Not Standing Still What Builders are Actually Changing to Meet the New Reality By Andy Warren, John Burns, Kathleen Cecilian, and George Casey
  • 2. Not Standing Still A Focus on Human Capital Andy Warren President Maracay Homes
  • 3. People Performance Formula: 1. Start with the right people – Gateway to Maracay 2. Equip them with the resources they need to be successful – Maracay Method 3. Hold them accountable for results – Visible metrics; FOSA
  • 4. Not Standing Still Analysis Opens Opportunities and Identifies Risks John Burns CEO John Burns Consulting
  • 5. Builders and Developers Have Become Very Analytical β€’ Microneighborhood Analysis β€’ Microeconomy – Where do they work, in addition to demographics and psychographics. β€’ Resale- Have seen and understand every recent resale. β€’ Pushing Hard on the Architects β€’ Giving them a (small) budget to actually do research! β€’ Prove it, prove it, prove it! β€’ Pushing against their creative nature. 5 realestateconsulting.com
  • 6. Builders and Developers Have Become Very Analytical β€’ Consumer Research, especially Developers β€’ Mining their email Interest Lists Hard β€’ Visiting people in their homes to see how they live β€’ Focus groups, especially realtors β€’ Conjoint cost tradeoff analysis β€’ Using technology β€’ Google Earth with overlays β€’ Zillow and realtor.com on ipad while in the field β€’ AVM and RMBS tools 6 realestateconsulting.com
  • 7. Builders and Developers Have Become Very Analytical β€’ New Tools and Statistics β€’ Proprietary Risk Indices β€’ Proprietary Submarket Grading β€’ Demand Models by Household Composition and Price Range β€’ Centralizing Data Collection and Disseminating β€’ Equity partners push even harder β€’ Make me fall in love with this deal β€’ You better know every answer when I ask the question β€’ Protect my downside, with 3 opinions β€’ Upgrade your salespeople and your management team 7 realestateconsulting.com
  • 8. Not Standing Still The New House: Re-Thinking the Entire Business Kathleen Cecilian President Cecilian Worldwide
  • 9.
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  • 12. Not Standing Still A 93 Year Old Start- up: With Cashflow George Casey CEO Orleans Homes
  • 13. Orleans Homes Goal: Become the prototype 21st century homebuilder β€’ Use Bankruptcy’s 2nd chance wisely Four Main Focus Points – Market Niche focused β€’ Operate like a consumer driven company β€’ Organize to do marketing and market research different – Operationally Excellent β€’ Learn to be world class operators β€’ Cycle time reduction β€’ Benchmark against best
  • 14. Orleans Homes β€’ Four Main Focus Points (continued) – Organizationally Efficient β€’ Use technology; what would Apple do? β€’ Focus on productivity by being smarter β€’ Morale is a competitive weapon – Great Stewards of Capital β€’ Teach organization the discipline of investors β€’ Recognize that cheap debt is gone; have to make equity returns
  • 15. Not Standing Still Panel Discussion