SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 9
Download to read offline
Understanding Mongolia’s Current Situation
What Investors Need to Know
December 2011
Eric Zurrin
Director General
eric.zurrin@resource-cap.com
+976 9999 3356
www.resource-cap.com
Summary
1 Political, cultural and economic background of Mongolia
Mongolia – the “Sleeping Giant” between China and Russia2
1
Success Factors for Investors3
Access Points for Investors4
Mongolia – A Very Simple Story
Mongolia is all about
resources and
underexploration
Mongolia will
undergo
transformational
change over the
coming decade
Driven by emerging market global demand for resources
Truly undiscovered mining frontier
World class assets - Tavan Tolgoi and Oyu Tolgoi
Significant potential
- 6,000 mining deposits over 80 minerals
- 75% of Mongolia mapped at only 200,000:1
- only 17% of Mongolia under exploration, 0.3% under mining license
2
coming decade
- only 17% of Mongolia under exploration, 0.3% under mining license
Parallels from Emerging Market growth
GDP
pre-expansion
GDP
post-expansion Multiple Years
CAGR
(%)
Brunei Darussalam 1970: $179m 2008: $15bn 81x 38 12
UAE 1973: $2.8bn 2008: $262bn 94x 35 14
Qatar 1995: $7bn 2008: $102bn 15x 13 23
Mongolia 2008: $4.8bn 2025: $60bn 13x 17 16
Political and Cultural Background
Functioning
democracy, greater
transparency and a
more desirable place
to do business than
its neighbours and
regional competitors
Characteristic Implication for Investors
1 Parliamentary Republic
(democracy)
Rule of Law
Small and young population
2
3
Progressive, but slow
Enforceable contracts
Export-led growth, labour
3
Small and young population
(Mild) religion
Nomadic
3
4
5
Export-led growth, labour
shortage
Stability
Entrepreneurial, competitive
Economic Background
Mix of favourable
economic
characteristics to
attract capital and
enable significant
potential investment
returns
Characteristics Implications for Investors
1 Market economy
Small economy, low base
Free floating currency
2
3
Active local participation
Significant upside potential
No capital controls
4
Free floating currency
Land-locked
Nascent but developing
domestic capital markets
3
4
5
No capital controls
Chinese/Russian influence
Initial transition to
internalizing access to
capital
The “Sleeping Giant” between China and Russia
Former Russian satellite
“Red Hero”
China’s 4,000 kilometre border
50% discount
A single customer
The struggle between Russian occupation over much of the 20th Century and China as the
only customer
Background
Price Taker
5
A single customer
China
Coal, iron ore, oil
Border control
Russia
Erdenet Copper,
uranium, Russian Rail
Fuel shortage
Mongolia
Price Taker
Balancing
Interests
Allocation of
Capital
?
Foreign Direct Investment on China’s Doorstep
Development capex
Financing in
place
Oyu Tolgoi US$6.2 billion
Tavan Tolgoi US$4.6 billion
MMC US$576 million from 2010–2013
China’s dominance as the buyer of Mongolian resources has resulted in foreign capital
fuelling Mongolia’s Growth Engine in the southern third of the country
Eruu Gol
(Iron Mining International)
Ulaanbaatar
Ovoot Coking Coal
(Aspire Mining)
Russia
bound??
Capex??
6
MMC US$576 million from 2010–2013
South Gobi US$290 million from 2011–2013
MonEnCo ~US$400 million from 2010-2013
Gobi Coal ~US$400 million from 2011–2013
Altain Khuder ~US$300 million from 2010–2013
Source: Public information, annual reports
Tavan Tolgoi
(Erdenes MGL)
Ukhaa Khudag
(MMC)
Ovoot Tolgoi
(SouthGobi)
Oyu Tolgoi
(Ivanhoe Mines)
China bound
Altain
Khuder
Note: Selected top producing / near to producing assets
$13 billion of
development
capex
Shinejinst
(Gobi Coal &
Energy)
MonEnCo
Success Factors for Investors
Structuring a
transaction that
allows comfort to both
the buyer and seller
greatly assists in a
successful outcome
Local presence /
strong partnership
+
+
+ MCS
Qinghua MAK
Kerry Group
Structuring Mechanics
Valuation Approach
Fundamental
Valuation
Management
Ability+
Bridging the “Expectation Gap”
- ie: QGX / MMC trade sale
7
Access Points for Investors into Mongolia
A balance between risk, active management and potential returns for investors seeking
Mongolian exposure
Direct private equity
investments
MSE (Mongolia)
Liquidity Fund
Firebird Mongolia
Mongolia Opportunities
InternationalDomestic
• Direct Exposure
• Active Analysis
• Higher Risk (and return)
• More Transparency
• Better Governance/DD
• Lower Risk
Mongolia Stock
Exchange
TSX, ASX,
HKSE, AIM
Mongolia Opportunities
Fund
8

More Related Content

What's hot

May 12 I Session 1 I GBIH
May 12 I Session 1 I GBIHMay 12 I Session 1 I GBIH
May 12 I Session 1 I GBIHGBIHSupport
 
1Q 2016 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
1Q 2016 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES1Q 2016 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
1Q 2016 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIESBillion Estate
 
$30oz silver within 8 months
$30oz silver within 8 months$30oz silver within 8 months
$30oz silver within 8 monthsEllen Lassman
 
Outlook for precious metals prices
Outlook for precious metals pricesOutlook for precious metals prices
Outlook for precious metals pricesMining On Top
 
Moneylife 27 May 2010 Are weak commodity prices foretelling something
Moneylife 27 May 2010 Are weak commodity prices foretelling somethingMoneylife 27 May 2010 Are weak commodity prices foretelling something
Moneylife 27 May 2010 Are weak commodity prices foretelling somethingJagannadham Thunuguntla
 
Glitering gold
Glitering goldGlitering gold
Glitering goldvibhach
 
Gold Miners And Gold Where Next Final
Gold Miners And Gold   Where Next   FinalGold Miners And Gold   Where Next   Final
Gold Miners And Gold Where Next FinalScott Nystrom, Ph.D.
 

What's hot (9)

May 12 I Session 1 I GBIH
May 12 I Session 1 I GBIHMay 12 I Session 1 I GBIH
May 12 I Session 1 I GBIH
 
1Q 2016 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
1Q 2016 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES1Q 2016 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
1Q 2016 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
 
$30oz silver within 8 months
$30oz silver within 8 months$30oz silver within 8 months
$30oz silver within 8 months
 
Outlook for precious metals prices
Outlook for precious metals pricesOutlook for precious metals prices
Outlook for precious metals prices
 
Moneylife 27 May 2010 Are weak commodity prices foretelling something
Moneylife 27 May 2010 Are weak commodity prices foretelling somethingMoneylife 27 May 2010 Are weak commodity prices foretelling something
Moneylife 27 May 2010 Are weak commodity prices foretelling something
 
RCR Quarterly Report- Oct-10-Copper
RCR Quarterly Report- Oct-10-CopperRCR Quarterly Report- Oct-10-Copper
RCR Quarterly Report- Oct-10-Copper
 
14.03.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 316
14.03.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 31614.03.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 316
14.03.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 316
 
Glitering gold
Glitering goldGlitering gold
Glitering gold
 
Gold Miners And Gold Where Next Final
Gold Miners And Gold   Where Next   FinalGold Miners And Gold   Where Next   Final
Gold Miners And Gold Where Next Final
 

Viewers also liked

24.09.2013 Mongolian Economy: Investment Opportunity/ Challenges, Jim Dwyer
 24.09.2013 Mongolian Economy: Investment Opportunity/ Challenges, Jim Dwyer 24.09.2013 Mongolian Economy: Investment Opportunity/ Challenges, Jim Dwyer
24.09.2013 Mongolian Economy: Investment Opportunity/ Challenges, Jim DwyerThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
10.2015 world economic outlook,adjusting to lower commodity prices
10.2015 world economic outlook,adjusting to lower commodity prices10.2015 world economic outlook,adjusting to lower commodity prices
10.2015 world economic outlook,adjusting to lower commodity pricesThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
25.04.2011, Introduction of Mongolia in world competitiveness, Mr. Ch. Otgoch...
25.04.2011, Introduction of Mongolia in world competitiveness, Mr. Ch. Otgoch...25.04.2011, Introduction of Mongolia in world competitiveness, Mr. Ch. Otgoch...
25.04.2011, Introduction of Mongolia in world competitiveness, Mr. Ch. Otgoch...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
27.06.2011 Austrade: Enhancing business between Australia and Mongolia, Mr. D...
27.06.2011 Austrade: Enhancing business between Australia and Mongolia, Mr. D...27.06.2011 Austrade: Enhancing business between Australia and Mongolia, Mr. D...
27.06.2011 Austrade: Enhancing business between Australia and Mongolia, Mr. D...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
22.06.2010 The mining industry and emerging economies, Kay Priestly
22.06.2010 The mining industry and emerging economies, Kay Priestly22.06.2010 The mining industry and emerging economies, Kay Priestly
22.06.2010 The mining industry and emerging economies, Kay PriestlyThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
2016.04.26 Energy economincs institute introduction, proposal for research on...
2016.04.26 Energy economincs institute introduction, proposal for research on...2016.04.26 Energy economincs institute introduction, proposal for research on...
2016.04.26 Energy economincs institute introduction, proposal for research on...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
CACUSS2015presentation_FINAL
CACUSS2015presentation_FINALCACUSS2015presentation_FINAL
CACUSS2015presentation_FINALCatherine Salole
 
22.03.2011 Introducing Aspire Mining Limited, Mr. David Paull
22.03.2011 Introducing Aspire Mining Limited, Mr. David Paull22.03.2011 Introducing Aspire Mining Limited, Mr. David Paull
22.03.2011 Introducing Aspire Mining Limited, Mr. David PaullThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
Atif Umair Resume pdf
Atif Umair Resume pdfAtif Umair Resume pdf
Atif Umair Resume pdfAtif Umair
 
08.09.2011 Asia: Regional commodity needs and outlook, Mr. Tim Goldsmith
08.09.2011 Asia: Regional commodity needs and outlook, Mr. Tim Goldsmith08.09.2011 Asia: Regional commodity needs and outlook, Mr. Tim Goldsmith
08.09.2011 Asia: Regional commodity needs and outlook, Mr. Tim GoldsmithThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
Doctors Hospital Corporate Brochure Inserts Pages 1-7
Doctors Hospital Corporate Brochure Inserts Pages 1-7Doctors Hospital Corporate Brochure Inserts Pages 1-7
Doctors Hospital Corporate Brochure Inserts Pages 1-7Anne Mancour
 
05.09.2014, TSIM GEOPHYSICS: Mongolian case studies, Mr. Adrian Buck
05.09.2014, TSIM GEOPHYSICS: Mongolian case studies, Mr. Adrian Buck05.09.2014, TSIM GEOPHYSICS: Mongolian case studies, Mr. Adrian Buck
05.09.2014, TSIM GEOPHYSICS: Mongolian case studies, Mr. Adrian BuckThe Business Council of Mongolia
 

Viewers also liked (20)

Samir Mekhtiyev VM
Samir Mekhtiyev VMSamir Mekhtiyev VM
Samir Mekhtiyev VM
 
09.05.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 324
09.05.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 32409.05.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 324
09.05.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 324
 
24.09.2013 Mongolian Economy: Investment Opportunity/ Challenges, Jim Dwyer
 24.09.2013 Mongolian Economy: Investment Opportunity/ Challenges, Jim Dwyer 24.09.2013 Mongolian Economy: Investment Opportunity/ Challenges, Jim Dwyer
24.09.2013 Mongolian Economy: Investment Opportunity/ Challenges, Jim Dwyer
 
Samir Mekhtiyev VM
Samir Mekhtiyev VMSamir Mekhtiyev VM
Samir Mekhtiyev VM
 
10.2015 world economic outlook,adjusting to lower commodity prices
10.2015 world economic outlook,adjusting to lower commodity prices10.2015 world economic outlook,adjusting to lower commodity prices
10.2015 world economic outlook,adjusting to lower commodity prices
 
Belg 2016
Belg 2016Belg 2016
Belg 2016
 
12.06.2009, NEWSWIRE, Issue 73
12.06.2009, NEWSWIRE, Issue 7312.06.2009, NEWSWIRE, Issue 73
12.06.2009, NEWSWIRE, Issue 73
 
25.04.2011, Introduction of Mongolia in world competitiveness, Mr. Ch. Otgoch...
25.04.2011, Introduction of Mongolia in world competitiveness, Mr. Ch. Otgoch...25.04.2011, Introduction of Mongolia in world competitiveness, Mr. Ch. Otgoch...
25.04.2011, Introduction of Mongolia in world competitiveness, Mr. Ch. Otgoch...
 
27.06.2011 Austrade: Enhancing business between Australia and Mongolia, Mr. D...
27.06.2011 Austrade: Enhancing business between Australia and Mongolia, Mr. D...27.06.2011 Austrade: Enhancing business between Australia and Mongolia, Mr. D...
27.06.2011 Austrade: Enhancing business between Australia and Mongolia, Mr. D...
 
22.06.2010 The mining industry and emerging economies, Kay Priestly
22.06.2010 The mining industry and emerging economies, Kay Priestly22.06.2010 The mining industry and emerging economies, Kay Priestly
22.06.2010 The mining industry and emerging economies, Kay Priestly
 
2016.04.26 Energy economincs institute introduction, proposal for research on...
2016.04.26 Energy economincs institute introduction, proposal for research on...2016.04.26 Energy economincs institute introduction, proposal for research on...
2016.04.26 Energy economincs institute introduction, proposal for research on...
 
CACUSS2015presentation_FINAL
CACUSS2015presentation_FINALCACUSS2015presentation_FINAL
CACUSS2015presentation_FINAL
 
gardnerlionnurse9
gardnerlionnurse9gardnerlionnurse9
gardnerlionnurse9
 
05.03.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 108
05.03.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 10805.03.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 108
05.03.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 108
 
22.03.2011 Introducing Aspire Mining Limited, Mr. David Paull
22.03.2011 Introducing Aspire Mining Limited, Mr. David Paull22.03.2011 Introducing Aspire Mining Limited, Mr. David Paull
22.03.2011 Introducing Aspire Mining Limited, Mr. David Paull
 
Atif Umair Resume pdf
Atif Umair Resume pdfAtif Umair Resume pdf
Atif Umair Resume pdf
 
08.09.2011 Asia: Regional commodity needs and outlook, Mr. Tim Goldsmith
08.09.2011 Asia: Regional commodity needs and outlook, Mr. Tim Goldsmith08.09.2011 Asia: Regional commodity needs and outlook, Mr. Tim Goldsmith
08.09.2011 Asia: Regional commodity needs and outlook, Mr. Tim Goldsmith
 
Doctors Hospital Corporate Brochure Inserts Pages 1-7
Doctors Hospital Corporate Brochure Inserts Pages 1-7Doctors Hospital Corporate Brochure Inserts Pages 1-7
Doctors Hospital Corporate Brochure Inserts Pages 1-7
 
04.04.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 319
04.04.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 31904.04.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 319
04.04.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 319
 
05.09.2014, TSIM GEOPHYSICS: Mongolian case studies, Mr. Adrian Buck
05.09.2014, TSIM GEOPHYSICS: Mongolian case studies, Mr. Adrian Buck05.09.2014, TSIM GEOPHYSICS: Mongolian case studies, Mr. Adrian Buck
05.09.2014, TSIM GEOPHYSICS: Mongolian case studies, Mr. Adrian Buck
 

Similar to Understanding Mongolia's Current Situation for Investors

MONGOLIA METALS REPORT
MONGOLIA METALS REPORT MONGOLIA METALS REPORT
MONGOLIA METALS REPORT Mr Nyak
 
10.2012, REPORT, Mongolia- A supplement to Mining Journal, Mining Journal
10.2012, REPORT, Mongolia- A supplement to Mining Journal, Mining Journal10.2012, REPORT, Mongolia- A supplement to Mining Journal, Mining Journal
10.2012, REPORT, Mongolia- A supplement to Mining Journal, Mining JournalThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, The Selenge Iron ore Project, Robert Wrixon
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, The Selenge Iron ore Project, Robert Wrixon10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, The Selenge Iron ore Project, Robert Wrixon
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, The Selenge Iron ore Project, Robert WrixonThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
09.10.2011 What will it take to get there, Addressing Mongolia’s investment n...
09.10.2011 What will it take to get there, Addressing Mongolia’s investment n...09.10.2011 What will it take to get there, Addressing Mongolia’s investment n...
09.10.2011 What will it take to get there, Addressing Mongolia’s investment n...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
World rare earths
World rare earthsWorld rare earths
World rare earthslinda3395
 
14.10.2010 Providing Exposure to both Resource and Non-resource sectors in Mo...
14.10.2010 Providing Exposure to both Resource and Non-resource sectors in Mo...14.10.2010 Providing Exposure to both Resource and Non-resource sectors in Mo...
14.10.2010 Providing Exposure to both Resource and Non-resource sectors in Mo...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...
Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...
Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...Tim Alch
 
Resource curse, Mining boom, Mongolia
Resource curse, Mining boom, MongoliaResource curse, Mining boom, Mongolia
Resource curse, Mining boom, MongoliaSharkhuu Munkhbat
 
01.2012, REPORT, Managing Mongolia's Resource Boom, Asel Isakova, Alexander P...
01.2012, REPORT, Managing Mongolia's Resource Boom, Asel Isakova, Alexander P...01.2012, REPORT, Managing Mongolia's Resource Boom, Asel Isakova, Alexander P...
01.2012, REPORT, Managing Mongolia's Resource Boom, Asel Isakova, Alexander P...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
South Korea: vying with China for access to 'strategic metals'
South Korea: vying with China for access to 'strategic metals' South Korea: vying with China for access to 'strategic metals'
South Korea: vying with China for access to 'strategic metals' Objective Capital Conferences
 

Similar to Understanding Mongolia's Current Situation for Investors (20)

MONGOLIA METALS REPORT
MONGOLIA METALS REPORT MONGOLIA METALS REPORT
MONGOLIA METALS REPORT
 
10.2012, REPORT, Mongolia- A supplement to Mining Journal, Mining Journal
10.2012, REPORT, Mongolia- A supplement to Mining Journal, Mining Journal10.2012, REPORT, Mongolia- A supplement to Mining Journal, Mining Journal
10.2012, REPORT, Mongolia- A supplement to Mining Journal, Mining Journal
 
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, The Selenge Iron ore Project, Robert Wrixon
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, The Selenge Iron ore Project, Robert Wrixon10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, The Selenge Iron ore Project, Robert Wrixon
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, The Selenge Iron ore Project, Robert Wrixon
 
30.10.2012 The Selenge Iron Ore project, Robert Wrixon
30.10.2012 The Selenge Iron Ore project, Robert Wrixon30.10.2012 The Selenge Iron Ore project, Robert Wrixon
30.10.2012 The Selenge Iron Ore project, Robert Wrixon
 
09.10.2011 What will it take to get there, Addressing Mongolia’s investment n...
09.10.2011 What will it take to get there, Addressing Mongolia’s investment n...09.10.2011 What will it take to get there, Addressing Mongolia’s investment n...
09.10.2011 What will it take to get there, Addressing Mongolia’s investment n...
 
World rare earths
World rare earthsWorld rare earths
World rare earths
 
14.10.2010 Providing Exposure to both Resource and Non-resource sectors in Mo...
14.10.2010 Providing Exposure to both Resource and Non-resource sectors in Mo...14.10.2010 Providing Exposure to both Resource and Non-resource sectors in Mo...
14.10.2010 Providing Exposure to both Resource and Non-resource sectors in Mo...
 
23.01.2009, NEWSWIRE, Issue 54
23.01.2009, NEWSWIRE, Issue 5423.01.2009, NEWSWIRE, Issue 54
23.01.2009, NEWSWIRE, Issue 54
 
Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...
Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...
Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...
 
Resource curse, Mining boom, Mongolia
Resource curse, Mining boom, MongoliaResource curse, Mining boom, Mongolia
Resource curse, Mining boom, Mongolia
 
01.2012, REPORT, Managing Mongolia's Resource Boom, Asel Isakova, Alexander P...
01.2012, REPORT, Managing Mongolia's Resource Boom, Asel Isakova, Alexander P...01.2012, REPORT, Managing Mongolia's Resource Boom, Asel Isakova, Alexander P...
01.2012, REPORT, Managing Mongolia's Resource Boom, Asel Isakova, Alexander P...
 
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
 
23.07.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 127-128
23.07.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 127-12823.07.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 127-128
23.07.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 127-128
 
South Korea: vying with China for access to 'strategic metals'
South Korea: vying with China for access to 'strategic metals' South Korea: vying with China for access to 'strategic metals'
South Korea: vying with China for access to 'strategic metals'
 
09.09.2011, NEWSWIRE, Issue 184
09.09.2011, NEWSWIRE, Issue 18409.09.2011, NEWSWIRE, Issue 184
09.09.2011, NEWSWIRE, Issue 184
 
17.01.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 308
17.01.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 30817.01.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 308
17.01.2014, NEWSWIRE, Issue 308
 
20.04.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 218
20.04.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 21820.04.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 218
20.04.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 218
 
18.06.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 123
18.06.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 12318.06.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 123
18.06.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 123
 
04.03.2011, NEWSWIRE, Issue 157
04.03.2011, NEWSWIRE, Issue 15704.03.2011, NEWSWIRE, Issue 157
04.03.2011, NEWSWIRE, Issue 157
 
18.10.2013, NEWSWIRE, Issue 296
18.10.2013, NEWSWIRE, Issue 29618.10.2013, NEWSWIRE, Issue 296
18.10.2013, NEWSWIRE, Issue 296
 

More from The Business Council of Mongolia

N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12The Business Council of Mongolia
 

More from The Business Council of Mongolia (20)

Three Camel Lodge 3 days itinerary
Three Camel Lodge 3 days itineraryThree Camel Lodge 3 days itinerary
Three Camel Lodge 3 days itinerary
 
Three Camel Lodge 4 days itinerary
Three Camel Lodge 4 days itineraryThree Camel Lodge 4 days itinerary
Three Camel Lodge 4 days itinerary
 
BCM Macroeconomic Updates January 2020
BCM Macroeconomic Updates January 2020BCM Macroeconomic Updates January 2020
BCM Macroeconomic Updates January 2020
 
Digital Enterprise 2019
Digital Enterprise 2019Digital Enterprise 2019
Digital Enterprise 2019
 
Faro Foundation presentation
Faro Foundation presentationFaro Foundation presentation
Faro Foundation presentation
 
Business Council of Mongolia presentation
Business Council of Mongolia presentationBusiness Council of Mongolia presentation
Business Council of Mongolia presentation
 
National Development Association of Mongolia presentation
National Development Association of Mongolia presentationNational Development Association of Mongolia presentation
National Development Association of Mongolia presentation
 
Gobi Green Energy Gankhuyag
Gobi Green Energy GankhuyagGobi Green Energy Gankhuyag
Gobi Green Energy Gankhuyag
 
Ch.Anar Competitiveness of the fintech sector
Ch.Anar Competitiveness of the fintech sectorCh.Anar Competitiveness of the fintech sector
Ch.Anar Competitiveness of the fintech sector
 
A.Bilguun Competitiveness of Mongolia's resource sector
A.Bilguun Competitiveness of Mongolia's resource sectorA.Bilguun Competitiveness of Mongolia's resource sector
A.Bilguun Competitiveness of Mongolia's resource sector
 
B.Lakshmi EPCRC Competitiveness of Mongolia
B.Lakshmi EPCRC Competitiveness of MongoliaB.Lakshmi EPCRC Competitiveness of Mongolia
B.Lakshmi EPCRC Competitiveness of Mongolia
 
Munkhzorig - Digital Transformation
Munkhzorig - Digital TransformationMunkhzorig - Digital Transformation
Munkhzorig - Digital Transformation
 
Tseesuren - Data is the Key for Innovation
Tseesuren - Data is the Key for InnovationTseesuren - Data is the Key for Innovation
Tseesuren - Data is the Key for Innovation
 
System analysis study on the Constitution of Mongolia
System analysis study on the Constitution of MongoliaSystem analysis study on the Constitution of Mongolia
System analysis study on the Constitution of Mongolia
 
Kincora Copper March 2019
Kincora Copper March 2019Kincora Copper March 2019
Kincora Copper March 2019
 
Erdenes Mongol presentation
Erdenes Mongol presentationErdenes Mongol presentation
Erdenes Mongol presentation
 
Tatsuya Hamada presentation
Tatsuya Hamada presentationTatsuya Hamada presentation
Tatsuya Hamada presentation
 
BCM Monthly Meeting BCM updates January 30, 2019
BCM Monthly Meeting BCM updates January 30, 2019BCM Monthly Meeting BCM updates January 30, 2019
BCM Monthly Meeting BCM updates January 30, 2019
 
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
 
Procurement mca-compact-ii-presentation-bcm
Procurement mca-compact-ii-presentation-bcmProcurement mca-compact-ii-presentation-bcm
Procurement mca-compact-ii-presentation-bcm
 

Recently uploaded

Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitHolger Mueller
 
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝soniya singh
 
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfIntro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfpollardmorgan
 
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...lizamodels9
 
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechRE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechNewman George Leech
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurSuhani Kapoor
 
Call Girls In ⇛⇛Chhatarpur⇚⇚. Brings Offer Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
Call Girls In ⇛⇛Chhatarpur⇚⇚. Brings Offer Delhi Contact Us 8377877756Call Girls In ⇛⇛Chhatarpur⇚⇚. Brings Offer Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
Call Girls In ⇛⇛Chhatarpur⇚⇚. Brings Offer Delhi Contact Us 8377877756dollysharma2066
 
Call Girls In Kishangarh Delhi ❤️8860477959 Good Looking Escorts In 24/7 Delh...
Call Girls In Kishangarh Delhi ❤️8860477959 Good Looking Escorts In 24/7 Delh...Call Girls In Kishangarh Delhi ❤️8860477959 Good Looking Escorts In 24/7 Delh...
Call Girls In Kishangarh Delhi ❤️8860477959 Good Looking Escorts In 24/7 Delh...lizamodels9
 
Lowrate Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Ser...
Lowrate Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Ser...Lowrate Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Ser...
Lowrate Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Ser...lizamodels9
 
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | DelhiFULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | DelhiMalviyaNagarCallGirl
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / NcrCall Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncrdollysharma2066
 
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,noida100girls
 
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDFCATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDFOrient Homes
 
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In.../:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...lizamodels9
 
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCRsoniya singh
 
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth MarketingTech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth MarketingShawn Pang
 
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service DewasVip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewasmakika9823
 
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfrishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfmuskan1121w
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
 
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
 
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfIntro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
 
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
 
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechRE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
 
Call Girls In ⇛⇛Chhatarpur⇚⇚. Brings Offer Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
Call Girls In ⇛⇛Chhatarpur⇚⇚. Brings Offer Delhi Contact Us 8377877756Call Girls In ⇛⇛Chhatarpur⇚⇚. Brings Offer Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
Call Girls In ⇛⇛Chhatarpur⇚⇚. Brings Offer Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
 
Call Girls In Kishangarh Delhi ❤️8860477959 Good Looking Escorts In 24/7 Delh...
Call Girls In Kishangarh Delhi ❤️8860477959 Good Looking Escorts In 24/7 Delh...Call Girls In Kishangarh Delhi ❤️8860477959 Good Looking Escorts In 24/7 Delh...
Call Girls In Kishangarh Delhi ❤️8860477959 Good Looking Escorts In 24/7 Delh...
 
Lowrate Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Ser...
Lowrate Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Ser...Lowrate Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Ser...
Lowrate Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Ser...
 
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | DelhiFULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / NcrCall Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
 
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
 
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
 
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDFCATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
 
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In.../:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
 
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Mahipalpur 🔝 Delhi NCR
 
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth MarketingTech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
 
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service DewasVip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
 
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfrishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
 

Understanding Mongolia's Current Situation for Investors

  • 1. Understanding Mongolia’s Current Situation What Investors Need to Know December 2011 Eric Zurrin Director General eric.zurrin@resource-cap.com +976 9999 3356 www.resource-cap.com
  • 2. Summary 1 Political, cultural and economic background of Mongolia Mongolia – the “Sleeping Giant” between China and Russia2 1 Success Factors for Investors3 Access Points for Investors4
  • 3. Mongolia – A Very Simple Story Mongolia is all about resources and underexploration Mongolia will undergo transformational change over the coming decade Driven by emerging market global demand for resources Truly undiscovered mining frontier World class assets - Tavan Tolgoi and Oyu Tolgoi Significant potential - 6,000 mining deposits over 80 minerals - 75% of Mongolia mapped at only 200,000:1 - only 17% of Mongolia under exploration, 0.3% under mining license 2 coming decade - only 17% of Mongolia under exploration, 0.3% under mining license Parallels from Emerging Market growth GDP pre-expansion GDP post-expansion Multiple Years CAGR (%) Brunei Darussalam 1970: $179m 2008: $15bn 81x 38 12 UAE 1973: $2.8bn 2008: $262bn 94x 35 14 Qatar 1995: $7bn 2008: $102bn 15x 13 23 Mongolia 2008: $4.8bn 2025: $60bn 13x 17 16
  • 4. Political and Cultural Background Functioning democracy, greater transparency and a more desirable place to do business than its neighbours and regional competitors Characteristic Implication for Investors 1 Parliamentary Republic (democracy) Rule of Law Small and young population 2 3 Progressive, but slow Enforceable contracts Export-led growth, labour 3 Small and young population (Mild) religion Nomadic 3 4 5 Export-led growth, labour shortage Stability Entrepreneurial, competitive
  • 5. Economic Background Mix of favourable economic characteristics to attract capital and enable significant potential investment returns Characteristics Implications for Investors 1 Market economy Small economy, low base Free floating currency 2 3 Active local participation Significant upside potential No capital controls 4 Free floating currency Land-locked Nascent but developing domestic capital markets 3 4 5 No capital controls Chinese/Russian influence Initial transition to internalizing access to capital
  • 6. The “Sleeping Giant” between China and Russia Former Russian satellite “Red Hero” China’s 4,000 kilometre border 50% discount A single customer The struggle between Russian occupation over much of the 20th Century and China as the only customer Background Price Taker 5 A single customer China Coal, iron ore, oil Border control Russia Erdenet Copper, uranium, Russian Rail Fuel shortage Mongolia Price Taker Balancing Interests Allocation of Capital ?
  • 7. Foreign Direct Investment on China’s Doorstep Development capex Financing in place Oyu Tolgoi US$6.2 billion Tavan Tolgoi US$4.6 billion MMC US$576 million from 2010–2013 China’s dominance as the buyer of Mongolian resources has resulted in foreign capital fuelling Mongolia’s Growth Engine in the southern third of the country Eruu Gol (Iron Mining International) Ulaanbaatar Ovoot Coking Coal (Aspire Mining) Russia bound?? Capex?? 6 MMC US$576 million from 2010–2013 South Gobi US$290 million from 2011–2013 MonEnCo ~US$400 million from 2010-2013 Gobi Coal ~US$400 million from 2011–2013 Altain Khuder ~US$300 million from 2010–2013 Source: Public information, annual reports Tavan Tolgoi (Erdenes MGL) Ukhaa Khudag (MMC) Ovoot Tolgoi (SouthGobi) Oyu Tolgoi (Ivanhoe Mines) China bound Altain Khuder Note: Selected top producing / near to producing assets $13 billion of development capex Shinejinst (Gobi Coal & Energy) MonEnCo
  • 8. Success Factors for Investors Structuring a transaction that allows comfort to both the buyer and seller greatly assists in a successful outcome Local presence / strong partnership + + + MCS Qinghua MAK Kerry Group Structuring Mechanics Valuation Approach Fundamental Valuation Management Ability+ Bridging the “Expectation Gap” - ie: QGX / MMC trade sale 7
  • 9. Access Points for Investors into Mongolia A balance between risk, active management and potential returns for investors seeking Mongolian exposure Direct private equity investments MSE (Mongolia) Liquidity Fund Firebird Mongolia Mongolia Opportunities InternationalDomestic • Direct Exposure • Active Analysis • Higher Risk (and return) • More Transparency • Better Governance/DD • Lower Risk Mongolia Stock Exchange TSX, ASX, HKSE, AIM Mongolia Opportunities Fund 8