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Military Decision Making Process (Mar 08) 3

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Thomas cleary

This document provides guidance on conducting mission analysis according to FM 5-0. It outlines the 16 steps of mission analysis, including restated mission, commander's intent, risk assessment, information requirements, and initial warning order. Key outputs of mission analysis are updated staff estimates, initial IPB products, restated mission, commander's planning guidance, and warning order #2. The document also discusses developing courses of action, including analyzing relative combat power and generating options for meeting the mission.

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Significant Impacts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
High-Value Target (HVT) / High-Payoff Target (HPT) ,[object Object],[object Object],FM 34-130, 1994, p. Glossary-7
13 Categories of HVTs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],As you identify key assets, group them into one of the 13 categories used to develop target sets.
High Value Targets T-90S / BMP-3K / AMX-10 HOT-3 / PZF3T600 Maneuver 3 2S5 / 2S19 / 2S23 / W87 Fire Support BRM-3K / BMP-3M / MOTORCYCLE / SPF / DISMOUNTED OP ISR 1 System Category Phase T-90S / BMP-3K / PZF3T600 Maneuver BRM-3K / BMP-3M / MOTORCYCLE / SPF / DISMOUNTED OP ISR 2 GMZ / UMZ / BAT-2 / MDK / IMR / PMZ Engineer 2S5 / 2S19 / 2S23 / W87 Fire Support UMZ / GMZ / IMR / BAT / PMZ Engineer GMZ / UMZ / BAT-2 / MDK / IMR / PMZ Engineer 2S5 / 2S19 / 2S23 / W87 Fire Support
Event Matrix Dismounted Squad NAI 10 EN Recon NAI 2 COA 4 CO Sized element Vic EA Smash South Dismounted Squad NAI 9 COA 3 CO sized element Vic EA Smash Center Dismounted Squad NAI 8 3 Armored Vehicles NAI 5 EN Recon NAI 3 COA 2 CO sized element Vic EA Smash North Dismounted Squad NAI 7 3 Armored vehicles NAI 4 EN Recon NAI 3 COA 1 H + 120 H + 90 H + 60 H + 30
Briefing the Initial IPB - Technique ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 34-130, 1994, pp. 2-1 thru 2-2
Determine Specified, Implied, and Essential Tasks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 3 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-18 thru 3-19
Review Available Assets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 4 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-19
Determine Constraints ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 5 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-19
Identify Critical Facts and Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 6 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-20
Conduct Risk Assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 7 FM 5-0, 2005, pp. 3-20 thru 3-21
Risk Management Worksheet ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-21
Determine Initial CCIR and EEFI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 8 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-21 thru 3-22
Elements of CCIR ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-8
PIR ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Decision Support Template NAI 2 BN EA EA Z H+1 H+1 H+1.5 H+1.5 H+2 H+2 NAI 1 NAI 5 6 4 5 3 1 MPCOA COA3 COA2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],DP1 ENGAGE 2nd ECH W/CAS IN TAI 1 DP2 EMPLOY FASCAM AT TAI 2 DP3 REPOSITION B&C Cos TO ALT BPs DP4 REPOSITION A CO TO BP A2 DP5 DESTROY AASLT WITH RESERVE DP6 EMPLOY RESERVE IN BN EA TAI 1 RES BP A1 BP B1 BP C1 BP A2 BP B2 BP C2 3 4 TAI 2 2
Determine Initial ISR Plan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 9 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-22 thru 3-23
Update the Operational Timeline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 10 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-23
Write the Restated Mission ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 11 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-23 thru 3-26
Conduct a Mission Analysis Brief ,[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 12 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-26
Approve the Restated Mission ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 13 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-27
Develop the Initial Cdr’s Intent ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 14 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-5,6 & 3-27
Issue the Commander’s Guidance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 15 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-27 thru 3-28
Issue a Warning Order ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 16 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-28 thru 3-29
Review Facts and Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mission Analysis Step 17 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-29
Mission Analysis Output ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-16
COA Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],MDMP Step 3 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-29 thru 3-30
COA Development Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-30 thru 3-35
Relative Combat Power Analysis (RCPA) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],COA Development Step 1 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-30 thru 3-31
Relative Combat Power Analysis (RCPA) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],COA Development Step 1 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-30 thru 3-31
Analyze Relative Combat Power (1-3) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, P. 3-30
Analyze Relative Combat Power (2-3) ,[object Object],[object Object],By comparing friendly strengths against enemy weaknesses, planners deduce vulnerabilities of each force that may be exploitable or may need to be protected. FM 5-0, 2005, P. 3-31
Analyze Relative Combat Power (3-3) ,[object Object],If the relative combat power of the force produces the effects of the historical minimum-planning ratio then the mission is feasible . FM 5-0, 2005, P. 3-32
Technique for Analyzing Intangibles
Generate Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],COA Development Step 2 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-33 thru 3-34
COA Development (Cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],COA Development Steps 3, 4, & 5 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-34 thru 3-37
Prepare COA Statements & Sketches ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],COA Development Step 6 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-37 thru 3-41
COA Statement & Sketch ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
COA Briefing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-41
Course of Action Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],MDMP Step 4 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-42
War-Gaming Process ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-42 thru 3-50
War-Game Rules ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-43
War-Gaming Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-45
Gather the Tools ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],War-Game Step 1 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-44 thru 3-46
List All Friendly Forces ,[object Object],[object Object],War-Game Step 2 List Assumptions ,[object Object],War-Game Step 3 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-46
List Known Critical Events and Decision Points ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],War-Game Step 4 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-46
H HOUR H + 20 H + 40 H + 120 EA SMASH NAI #1 1 H + 60 TAI #1 TAI #2
Determine Evaluation Criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],War-Game Step 5 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-46 thru 3-47
Select the War-Game Method ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],War-Game Step 6 FM 5-0, 2005, pp. 3-47 thru 3-48
Select a Method to Record and Display Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],War-Game Step 7 FM 5-0, 2005, pp. 3-48 thru 3-50
Synchronization Matrix Method ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-48
Sketch Note Method ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 101-5-1, MAY 97, p 5-22 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-49 thru 3-50
War-Game the Battle and Assess the Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],War-Game Step 8 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-50 thru 3-52
War-Game Brief (Optional) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-53
COA Comparison ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],MDMP Step 5 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-53
Decision Matrix ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Recommend COA 2 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-55
Commander’s Decision Briefing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-55 thru 3-56
COA Approval ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],MDMP Step 6 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-57
Warning Order 3 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-57
Orders Production ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],MDMP Step 7 FM 5-0, 2005, p. 3-57
Questions ?

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Military Decision Making Process (Mar 08) 3

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  • 4. High Value Targets T-90S / BMP-3K / AMX-10 HOT-3 / PZF3T600 Maneuver 3 2S5 / 2S19 / 2S23 / W87 Fire Support BRM-3K / BMP-3M / MOTORCYCLE / SPF / DISMOUNTED OP ISR 1 System Category Phase T-90S / BMP-3K / PZF3T600 Maneuver BRM-3K / BMP-3M / MOTORCYCLE / SPF / DISMOUNTED OP ISR 2 GMZ / UMZ / BAT-2 / MDK / IMR / PMZ Engineer 2S5 / 2S19 / 2S23 / W87 Fire Support UMZ / GMZ / IMR / BAT / PMZ Engineer GMZ / UMZ / BAT-2 / MDK / IMR / PMZ Engineer 2S5 / 2S19 / 2S23 / W87 Fire Support
  • 5. Event Matrix Dismounted Squad NAI 10 EN Recon NAI 2 COA 4 CO Sized element Vic EA Smash South Dismounted Squad NAI 9 COA 3 CO sized element Vic EA Smash Center Dismounted Squad NAI 8 3 Armored Vehicles NAI 5 EN Recon NAI 3 COA 2 CO sized element Vic EA Smash North Dismounted Squad NAI 7 3 Armored vehicles NAI 4 EN Recon NAI 3 COA 1 H + 120 H + 90 H + 60 H + 30
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  • 47. H HOUR H + 20 H + 40 H + 120 EA SMASH NAI #1 1 H + 60 TAI #1 TAI #2
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Editor's Notes

  1. Summary slide on why develop event templates.