Volgens de Europese Commissie zal de economische impact van coronacrisis in Europa beperkt zijn.

1. PV(2020) 2327 final
(26 February 2020)
PV(2020) 2327 final
- English language version of the French text which is authentic - EN
21
Mr GENTILONI noted that the ongoing epidemic would certainly have a
significant impact on the global and EU economies.
When the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak began in
2002, China accounted for 4% of the global economy. However, it now made
up 19% of the global economy, and therefore the economic repercussions of
the current COVID-19 health crisis, which was particularly serious, would be
felt to a much greater extent in the rest of the world than during the outbreak
of almost 20 years ago. Furthermore, Hubei province the source of the
epidemic made a substantial contribution to Chinese economic activity in
certain key sectors, such as the automobile industry. In spite of the Chinese
cent days, air
travel and car sales, for example, had plummeted by 70-90% in China in the
past few weeks.
Nevertheless, he admitted that the scale of the global repercussions of the
crisis was unknown, as reflected by his recent exchanges with the
G20 finance ministers. Some countries were very concerned by the slowdown
in growth that could result from continued spread of the COVID-19 epidemic,
for example Singapore, which was prepared to inject 4 billion dollars to
stimulate its economy. He considered that forecasts made at this stage were
too premature to be reliable; they predicted a reduction in growth of between
0.5% and 1.5% for China, between 0.1% and 0.4% for the global economy
(which would be equivalent to a recession), and somewhere between a
marginal decline and a drop of 0.3% for the EU (which in a pessimistic
scenario would mean average annual growth of 1.2% for the euro area). The
In any case, Mr GENTILONI considered that, for the time being, while the
coronavirus situation was obviously serious, there was no need to stir up
panic amongst the general public. He referred to the containment measures
taken by the Italian authorities to prevent transmission in two areas in the
north of Italy, where the virus had killed seven people.