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Producing Food and Feed:
Towards a More Diversified Cropping System

                             Firdousi Naher
       Bangladesh Policy Research and Strategy Support Program
              International Food Policy Research Institute

                             Workshop on
   The Feed the Future Zone in the South and the Rest of Bangladesh:
                A Comparison of Food Security Aspects
                           16 January 2013
                                 Dhaka
Area under cereals and pulses in Bangladesh,
                                       1985/86 to 2010/11
                       14000                                              2500




                                                                                    Wheat, maize & pulses (000 acres)
                       12000
                                                                          2000
                               Pulses
Boro rice (000acres)




                       10000
                               Wheat
                                                                          1500
                       8000
                               Boro rice
                       6000
                                                                          1000

                       4000
                                                                          500
                       2000
                                              Maize
                          0                                               0




                                                                                2
Expansion in maize acreage in Southern
                        Bangladesh
                                                 72586
        70100

        60100

        50100
                               1999/2000
Acres




        40100                  2009/2010

        30100

        20100
                       13086
        10100
                 175                       390
         100
                   Jessore                   Kushtia
                                                         3
Change in pulse acreage in southern districts,
              1986/87 to 2009/10
   200000                  Jessore
   180000                       Barisal
   160000
   140000                     Patuakhali
   120000
                      Kushtia
Acres




   100000
        80000
        60000
        40000
                              Khulna
        20000
            0Source: BBS

                                                   4
Growth of acreage, production and yield under
           cereals and pulses, 2000-11


                                          Growth rates of:
Crop
                                  Area      Production       Yield
Boro rice                           2.9         5.4           2.6
Wheat                              -8.1        -6.8           1.3
Maize                              31.1        39.4           8.0
Pulses                            -5.02        -3.7           1.3

                                                                     5
    Source: Calculated from BBS
Growth of maize production and yield in southern
              districts, 1999-2010
                  60   57          56

                  50
Percentage/year




                  40

                  30                           Production
                                               Yield
                  20

                              10          10
                  10

                  0
                        Jessore     Kushtia
                                                       6
Growth of production and yield of major pulses in
     southern districts, 1985-86 to 2009-10
             4
                                                        3
             3
                                                                         Production
                                            2
             2                                                           Yield
                                  1

             1                                                     0.6
Percentage




                       0.1                       0.04
             0
                              0
             -1   Barisal    Jessore   Kushtia   Khulna     Patuakhali
             -2                        -2

             -3
                  -3                                          -3
             -4
                                                                                      7
Division-wise spread of maize and pulse growers

             40
             35                                     33                 33
                                                                                 30
             30                                                 27                                Maize
             25
Percentage




                            21                                                                    Pulses
                                                           20
             20
             15                                                             13

             10                     8           9
                                        5
             5
                        0                                                             1   0 0.2
             0



                                                                                                           8
                  Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011
Farm size distribution of maize and pulse growers

70                                                                45
        62               FtF                                                       National       41
                                                                  40
60                                                                                 36
                                                                  35                         32
50                       47
                                                Maize             30                    28
40
                    38
                                                                  25    22
                                                Pulses
                                                                  20
30                                                                                                          16
                                      23                                     15
                                                                  15
20                                              18                                                     10
             12                                                   10

10                                                                 5
                                  0         0                      0
 0
      Marginal      Small       Medium      Large                      Marginal     Small    Medium    Large

                                                     Maize farmers        Pulses farmers
                               FtF zone                     2%                    53.4%
                               Bangladesh                  3.4%                    20%

     Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011                                                  9
Technology diffusion among maize
                        and pulse farmers
                                                              120
100
                    92
                                                              100   92
                                                                              Pulses: FtF              98
90
                            Maize                                               77
80                                                             80
                                              74                                             67

70                                                             60                                               Local
                                                                                                                HYV
60                                                             40                                 33
                                                                                      23
50                                                             20
                                                                          8
                                                                                                            2
40                                                              0

30                                    26                            Masur       Mung       Mashkalai Khesari
                                                              120

20
                                                                            Pulses: National           96
                                                              100    93
                                                                                             84
10           8                                                                   76
                                                               80
                                                                                                                Local
 0                                                             60                                               HYV
             FtF Zone                  National
                                                               40
                    OPV          Hybrid                                               24
                                                                                                  16
                                                               20
                                                                          7
                                                                                                            3
 Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011     0                                                  10
Fertilizer use in maize and pulse cultivation

                                    Percentage of land treated with fertilizer
                                        Maize                             Pulses
FtF zone                                  100                              56
National                                   98                              71

                                    Maize (kg/acre)                         Pulses (kg/acre)
                        Urea         TSP         DAP         MoP   Urea     TSP     DAP        MoP
FtF zone                113          75          27          40    18       11      3          7
National                99           98          17          32    20       11      2          5


Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011

                                                                                                     11
Use of pesticides in maize and pulses (taka/acre)

 1400

 1200                1161

 1000                                                                      FtF
                                  801                                      National
 800

 600

 400
                                                              255    217
 200

    0
                          Maize                                 Pulses
 Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011                       12
Yield of maize and pulses (tons/hectare)

Crop                  FtF zone   National
Maize                   6.2        5.9
Pulses:
Masur (lentils)         0.99       0.96
Mung (green gram)       0.67       0.72
Mashkalai (black        0.91        1.2
gram)
Khesari (grass pea)     0.99       1.1

                                            13
Average per capita consumption (kg) per month
              of poultry products and pulses
0.6


0.5        1995      2000          2005    2010                                 0.48
                                                                                       0.44 0.43
                                                                         0.42
0.4
                            0.34
0.3
                    0.22                                     0.22
0.2                                              0.16 0.16
        0.12 0.13
                                          0.09
0.1


 0
             Poultry meat                          Eggs                          Pulses
                                      RDA (kg/person/month)

                                      Pulses: 1.8
                                      Eggs: 0.15
                                      Poultry meat: 0.75
                                                                                                                 14
 Source: Calculated from Household Income and Expenditure Surveys; RDAs from BAN-HRDB, Ministry of Agriculture
Proportion households consuming pulses in past
         7 days: maize and pulse growers
90
80                             78
                                                                  73.2
70
60
50                47
                                                             40          Maize producing
40                                                                       households
30                                                                       Pulse producing
                                                                         households
20
10
 0
                    FtF Zone                                 National
                                                                                           15
Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011
Per capita daily protein intake (grams) among
               maize and pulse producers
60
                                                                    55
55                            52.6
                   51.7                                      51.3
50

45
                                                                         Maize producers
40
                                                                         Pulse producers
35

30

25

20
                     FtF zone                                 National
                                                                                           16
Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011
National retail price ratios of select food items
                   vis-à-vis rice prices
10
 9                                                                            9
                                                               8
 8                                                         7
 7
                                                     6                  6
 6
                                                                                  1990/91
 5
                     4                                             4              2000/01
 4                                                                                2009/10
               3                           3.0 3.1
 3       2
                                     2.8
                                 2
 2                       2   1
 1
 0
             Masur       Khesari           Eggs          Chicken       Beef
                                                                                        17
     Source: BBS
Cost of acquiring protein from different sources

    For 50 grams of protein from:   Cost (Taka)

   Masur                               22

   Mung                                23

   Mashkalai                           15

   Khesari                              9

   Chicken                             40

   Hen egg                             50         18
Net returns from maize and pulses

Crop                                     Net return      Farm gate
                                       (Taka/hectare) price (Taka/kg)
Maize                                       53,527          17
Masur                                       32,130          55
Mung                                        27,401          63
Mashkalai                                   27,787          44
Khesari                                     15,812          29
                                                                        19
 Source: Calculated from IFPRI, BIHS 2011
Conclusions
• Phenomenal increase in maize acreage in past 10
  years – both in the FtF zone and at the national
  level.
• Area under pulses have declined drastically in the
  FtF zone as well as in Bangladesh as a whole.
• Technology generation and diffusion has been
  higher in maize – till date 11 BARI hybrid maize
  varieties while only 6 HYVs for lentil and green
  gram and 3 for black gram and grass pea.
• Maize requires about 5 times more fertilizers
  than pulses. Pesticide application is also higher.
                                                   20
Conclusions (cont’d)
• Consumption of pulses, the cheapest source of
  protein, has declined; remains much below
  desired levels
• Compared to maize farmers:
  – pulse farmers have a higher consumption of pulses
  – pulse farmers have a higher intake of protein
• Since 1990s, egg prices have gone up 3x and
  chicken prices by 8x that of rice. Maize feeds
  mostly into the poultry industry
• Economically maize is much more profitable
  than pulses
                                                        21
Policy implications
• Research and development efforts for pulses
  need to be strengthened to incorporate pulses in
  the cereal-intensive cropping system
• Farmers’ easy access to agriculture extension and
  other support and advisory services is necessary
  to build their awareness on pulses to diversify the
  cereal-cereal crop rotations
• Guidelines should be developed and, if necessary,
  market prices guaranteed to encourage farmers
  to diversify their cropping pattern
                                                    22

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Towards a more diversified cropping system

  • 1. Producing Food and Feed: Towards a More Diversified Cropping System Firdousi Naher Bangladesh Policy Research and Strategy Support Program International Food Policy Research Institute Workshop on The Feed the Future Zone in the South and the Rest of Bangladesh: A Comparison of Food Security Aspects 16 January 2013 Dhaka
  • 2. Area under cereals and pulses in Bangladesh, 1985/86 to 2010/11 14000 2500 Wheat, maize & pulses (000 acres) 12000 2000 Pulses Boro rice (000acres) 10000 Wheat 1500 8000 Boro rice 6000 1000 4000 500 2000 Maize 0 0 2
  • 3. Expansion in maize acreage in Southern Bangladesh 72586 70100 60100 50100 1999/2000 Acres 40100 2009/2010 30100 20100 13086 10100 175 390 100 Jessore Kushtia 3
  • 4. Change in pulse acreage in southern districts, 1986/87 to 2009/10 200000 Jessore 180000 Barisal 160000 140000 Patuakhali 120000 Kushtia Acres 100000 80000 60000 40000 Khulna 20000 0Source: BBS 4
  • 5. Growth of acreage, production and yield under cereals and pulses, 2000-11 Growth rates of: Crop Area Production Yield Boro rice 2.9 5.4 2.6 Wheat -8.1 -6.8 1.3 Maize 31.1 39.4 8.0 Pulses -5.02 -3.7 1.3 5 Source: Calculated from BBS
  • 6. Growth of maize production and yield in southern districts, 1999-2010 60 57 56 50 Percentage/year 40 30 Production Yield 20 10 10 10 0 Jessore Kushtia 6
  • 7. Growth of production and yield of major pulses in southern districts, 1985-86 to 2009-10 4 3 3 Production 2 2 Yield 1 1 0.6 Percentage 0.1 0.04 0 0 -1 Barisal Jessore Kushtia Khulna Patuakhali -2 -2 -3 -3 -3 -4 7
  • 8. Division-wise spread of maize and pulse growers 40 35 33 33 30 30 27 Maize 25 Percentage 21 Pulses 20 20 15 13 10 8 9 5 5 0 1 0 0.2 0 8 Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011
  • 9. Farm size distribution of maize and pulse growers 70 45 62 FtF National 41 40 60 36 35 32 50 47 Maize 30 28 40 38 25 22 Pulses 20 30 16 23 15 15 20 18 10 12 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 Marginal Small Medium Large Marginal Small Medium Large Maize farmers Pulses farmers FtF zone 2% 53.4% Bangladesh 3.4% 20% Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011 9
  • 10. Technology diffusion among maize and pulse farmers 120 100 92 100 92 Pulses: FtF 98 90 Maize 77 80 80 74 67 70 60 Local HYV 60 40 33 23 50 20 8 2 40 0 30 26 Masur Mung Mashkalai Khesari 120 20 Pulses: National 96 100 93 84 10 8 76 80 Local 0 60 HYV FtF Zone National 40 OPV Hybrid 24 16 20 7 3 Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011 0 10
  • 11. Fertilizer use in maize and pulse cultivation Percentage of land treated with fertilizer Maize Pulses FtF zone 100 56 National 98 71 Maize (kg/acre) Pulses (kg/acre) Urea TSP DAP MoP Urea TSP DAP MoP FtF zone 113 75 27 40 18 11 3 7 National 99 98 17 32 20 11 2 5 Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011 11
  • 12. Use of pesticides in maize and pulses (taka/acre) 1400 1200 1161 1000 FtF 801 National 800 600 400 255 217 200 0 Maize Pulses Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011 12
  • 13. Yield of maize and pulses (tons/hectare) Crop FtF zone National Maize 6.2 5.9 Pulses: Masur (lentils) 0.99 0.96 Mung (green gram) 0.67 0.72 Mashkalai (black 0.91 1.2 gram) Khesari (grass pea) 0.99 1.1 13
  • 14. Average per capita consumption (kg) per month of poultry products and pulses 0.6 0.5 1995 2000 2005 2010 0.48 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.4 0.34 0.3 0.22 0.22 0.2 0.16 0.16 0.12 0.13 0.09 0.1 0 Poultry meat Eggs Pulses RDA (kg/person/month) Pulses: 1.8 Eggs: 0.15 Poultry meat: 0.75 14 Source: Calculated from Household Income and Expenditure Surveys; RDAs from BAN-HRDB, Ministry of Agriculture
  • 15. Proportion households consuming pulses in past 7 days: maize and pulse growers 90 80 78 73.2 70 60 50 47 40 Maize producing 40 households 30 Pulse producing households 20 10 0 FtF Zone National 15 Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011
  • 16. Per capita daily protein intake (grams) among maize and pulse producers 60 55 55 52.6 51.7 51.3 50 45 Maize producers 40 Pulse producers 35 30 25 20 FtF zone National 16 Source: IFPRI, Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey 2011
  • 17. National retail price ratios of select food items vis-à-vis rice prices 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 1990/91 5 4 4 2000/01 4 2009/10 3 3.0 3.1 3 2 2.8 2 2 2 1 1 0 Masur Khesari Eggs Chicken Beef 17 Source: BBS
  • 18. Cost of acquiring protein from different sources For 50 grams of protein from: Cost (Taka) Masur 22 Mung 23 Mashkalai 15 Khesari 9 Chicken 40 Hen egg 50 18
  • 19. Net returns from maize and pulses Crop Net return Farm gate (Taka/hectare) price (Taka/kg) Maize 53,527 17 Masur 32,130 55 Mung 27,401 63 Mashkalai 27,787 44 Khesari 15,812 29 19 Source: Calculated from IFPRI, BIHS 2011
  • 20. Conclusions • Phenomenal increase in maize acreage in past 10 years – both in the FtF zone and at the national level. • Area under pulses have declined drastically in the FtF zone as well as in Bangladesh as a whole. • Technology generation and diffusion has been higher in maize – till date 11 BARI hybrid maize varieties while only 6 HYVs for lentil and green gram and 3 for black gram and grass pea. • Maize requires about 5 times more fertilizers than pulses. Pesticide application is also higher. 20
  • 21. Conclusions (cont’d) • Consumption of pulses, the cheapest source of protein, has declined; remains much below desired levels • Compared to maize farmers: – pulse farmers have a higher consumption of pulses – pulse farmers have a higher intake of protein • Since 1990s, egg prices have gone up 3x and chicken prices by 8x that of rice. Maize feeds mostly into the poultry industry • Economically maize is much more profitable than pulses 21
  • 22. Policy implications • Research and development efforts for pulses need to be strengthened to incorporate pulses in the cereal-intensive cropping system • Farmers’ easy access to agriculture extension and other support and advisory services is necessary to build their awareness on pulses to diversify the cereal-cereal crop rotations • Guidelines should be developed and, if necessary, market prices guaranteed to encourage farmers to diversify their cropping pattern 22