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2. BULLION:
Export growth remained in the single digits for the third consecutive month in January, edging up
to 3.8% from 3.5% in the previous month. Export growth might have been capped by a continued
fall in the value of petroleum exports in January, as crude oil prices averaged at US$107.4 per
barrel in January as compared to US$112.9 per barrel at the same time last year. In 2014-15, despite
growth in export volumes, petroleum exports in value terms are expected to decline by 2–3% y-o-y
due to lower global petroleum prices.
BASE METAL:
On February 17, India’s Goa state government would conduct auctioning of iron ore stacked in
jetties and ports as per orders from the Supreme Court of India; the state, used to be the biggest
producer of iron ore in the country has been unable to produce the commodity following a ban
order from Supreme Court in the wake of scams. But the potential bidders have their concerns
accumulated into yet another stack.
The honourable Court had ordered auction of 11 million tons of ore in November 2013. The state
government as per reports has announced the auction of 569,496 tons of iron ore with Fe (iron)
content ranging between 43.88% -58%. As per Directorate of Mines and Geology, 85% of the stack is
constituted by fines and 15% by lumps.
ENERGY:
India’s merchandise trade deficit halved in January helped by an 18.1% fall in imports and 3.8%
growth in exports on a year-on-year basis, according to CRISIL Research.
In January, imports contracted sharply as weak domestic demand and restrictions on gold imports
lowered non-oil imports by 22% y-o-y. In addition, a strong base effect contributed to the fall in
imports in the month. Oil imports fell by 10.1% reversing the rise seen last month. Detailed data for
December shows that gold imports contracted by 38% y-o-y from April-December 2013.
The top three contributors to export growth in 2013-14 have been petroleum products (contributing
20%), textiles (contributing 20%) and transport equipment (contributing 13%). In the third quarter,
petroleum products contracted by 11.9% y-o-y versus an expansion of 26% in the previous quarter,
according to CRISIL Research.
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3. BULLION
GOLD (5 MAR.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 29180, 29300
: - 29000, 28850
: - SELL ON HIGH
SILVER (5 MAR.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 44920, 45200
: - 44400, 44200
: - SELL ON HIGH
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4. ENERGY
CRUDEOIL (19 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 6265, 6310
: - 6170, 6120
: - BUY ON DIPS
NATURAL GAS (25 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 300.00, 310.00
: - 285.00, 275.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
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5. BASE METAL
COPPER (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 444.20, 448.00
: - 441.00, 441.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
LEAD (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 132.00, 133.00
: - 130.00, 129.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
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6. ZINC (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 125.30, 126.50
: - 123.50, 122.50
: - SELL ON HIGH
ALUMINUM (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 105.30, 106.50
: - 104.00, 103.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
NICKEL (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 890.00, 900.00
: - 870.00, 860.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
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