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© 2012, Círculo de Empresarios
Calle Marques de Villamagna, 3, 10ª Planta, 28001 Madrid

Authors:
Ofelia Marín - Lozano - Head of the Economics Department, Círculo de Empresarios
Mauro F. Guillén - Director of the Lauder Institute, The Wharton School
María Grandal Bouza - Economic Roling Analyst of the Economics Department, Círculo de Empresarios

Legal Deposit: M-38180-2012
Design: Tres Tipos Gráficos
Printer: Imprimex
YEARBOOK 2012
 INTERNATIONALIZATION OF SPANISH COMPANIES
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




Table of contents


Presentation	     	        	        	        	        	        	        	            	           	            	           13

Prologue	         	        	        	        	        	        	        	            	           	            	           15

1. The world and Spanish economies in 2011-2012	               	       	 	  	 	 19
	       1.1 International trade	 	           	        	        	       	 	  	 	 23
	       1.2 Foreign direct investment	       	        	        	       	 	
                                                                            	 	 27
	       1.3 Spain’s foreign sector		         	        	        	       	 	  	 	 29
	       	        Analysis of the Balance of Payments:
	       	        current account and capital account balance	          	 	  	 	 29	                                                    	
	       	        Spain’s foreign sector: changes in capital flows	     	 	  	 	 35
	       	        Spain’s foreign sector: reduced debt position	        	 	  	 	 38
	       	        Other indicators relating to the international presence
	       	        of Spanish companies								39

2. Spanish companies from an international perspective	                	         	               	            	           41
	       2.1 Shareholders Returns in a European and Global Context 		             	               	            	           42
	       2.2 Investment bank analysts and Spanish companies	            	         	               	            	           49
	       2.3 Visibility of Spanish Companies in the international financial press		               	            	           53
	       2.4 Conclusion	 	           	      	         	        	        	         	               	            	           60

3. Special Mentions for the Internationalization of Spanish Companies	 	             	                        	           63
	       3.1 Major Companies with a Significant Track Record of Internationalization	 	                        	           64
	       	        3.1.1    Banco Santander	 	         	     	        	         	      	                        	           64
	       	        3.1.2 Iberdrola	 	         	        	     	        	         	      	                        	           65
	       	        3.1.3 OHL	         	       	        	     	        	         	      	                        	           65
	       3.2 Internationalization Operations in 2011	 	     	        	         	      	                        	           66	          	
	       	        3.2.1 Línea Ferroviaria Medina-La Meca	 	          	         	      	                        	           66
	       	        3.2.2 Gestamp Automoción	           	     	        	         	      	                        	           67
	       3.3 Medium-sized Companies with a Significant Track Record of Internationalization	                   	           68
	       	        3.3.1 Fluidra	     	       	        	     	        	         	      	                        	           68
	       	        3.3.2 Maxam	 	             	        	     	        	         	      	                        	           69
	       	        3.3.3 Tubacex	 	           	        	     	        	         	      	                        	           70
	       	        3.3.4 Privalia	    	       	        	     	        	         	      	                        	           71
	       3.4 Foreign Investment in Spain	 	           	     	        	         	      	                        	           72
	       	        3.4.1 Ford	        	       	        	     	        	         	      	                        	           72
	       	        3.4.2 Hutchison Whampoa	            	     	        	         	      	                        	           72




                                                                                                                                           7
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies  2012




            4. The New Latin Argonauts: Could they help
               in the internationalisation of Spain? (Author: Javier Santiso)	    	   	   	   	   75
            	        4.1 The Latin American diaspora	 	       	       	           	   	   	   	   76	   	
            	        4.2 The Entrepreneur diaspora in Spain	  	       	           	   	   	   	   79
            	        4.3 Conclusion	 	         	       	      	       	           	   	   	   	   81


            5. Internationalization of the company (Author: Pablo Isla)	          	   	   	   	   83

            6. Statistical Annex	                  	              	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   87

            7. Bibliography	 	                     	              	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   99

            8. Recent publications of the Círculo de Empresarios	 	               	   	   	   	   101




8
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




List of Tables


Table 1.1:	    IMF forecasts on GDP growth							                                                             19
Table 1.2:	    Spanish non-financial multinationals among the world’s
		             leaders by international presence, 2011						                                                  21
Table 1.3:	    GDP and trade in goods by regions, 2009-2011					                                              24
Table 1.4:	    Main exporter of goods, 2011							                                                            25
Table 1.5:	    Main importers of goods, 2011							                                                           26
Table 1.6:	    Major cross-border mergers and acquisitions worldwide in 2011			                               29
Table 1.7:	    Balance of payments: balances							                                                           30
Table 1.8:	    Foreign trade in goods, specialization by product					                                         31
Table 1.9:	    Foreign trade in goods, specialization by geographical area				                                32
Table 1.10:	   Spain’s foreign trade performance by geographical area				                                     33
Table 1.11:	   Geographical breakdown of remittance payments in 2010 and 2011			                              34
Table 1.12:	   Foreign Direct Investment transactions in 2010 and 2011.
		             Breakdown by sector of economic activity						                                                 36
Table 1.13:	   Foreign Direct Investment transactions in 2010 and 2011.
		             Breakdown by geographical area							                                                          37
Table 1.14:	   International investment position.
		             Breakdown by sector (% of GDP)							                                                          38
Table 1.15:	   International investment position
		             Breakdown by instruments (% of GDP)						                                                      39

Table 2.1:	    Top 25 Spanish companies by total shareholder return rate in 2011			                           44
Table 2.2:	    Top 10 IBEX 35 companies by total shareholder return rate
		             (Companies and rates ranked by 2011 figures)					                                              45
Table 2.3:	     Top 10 IBEX 35 companies by total shareholder return rate
		             (Companies and rates ranked by 1995-2011 average)					                                         46
Table 2.4:	    Top 10 IBEX 35 companies by total shareholder return rate
		             (Companies and rates ranked by 1995-2011 average)					                                         47
Table 2.5:	    Top Spanish companies by total shareholder return rate in 2010,
		             relative to companies in the same sector in Euro area				                                      48
Table 2.6:	    Stock market analysts` recommendations on IBEX 35 companies, 1998-2011		                       50
Table 2.7:	    Top 10 Spanish companies by average recommendation from stock market
		             analysts in 2011, compared to companies
		             in the same sector within the Euro area						                                                  52
Table 2.8:	    Top 25 Spanish companies by references
		             in the international financial press, 1995-2011					                                           56
Table 2.9:	    Top 25 Spanish companies by references in the international financial
		             press in 20101, by publication							                                                          58




                                                                                                                            9
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




List of Charts
Chart 1.1:	   FDI inflows 1980-2011								                                                                  27
Chart 2.1:	   Number of references to Spanish companies
		            in articles published in the international financial press, 1995-2011			                       55
Chart 2.2:	   Top 5 Spanish companies by references
		            in the international financial press, 1995-2011					                                           57
Chart 2.3:	   Number of references to Spanish companies in articles published
		            in the international financial press, by publication, 1995-2011				                            59




List of Boxes
Box 1.1:		    Commodity price performance in 2011 and 2012					                                              22
Box 2.1:		    The Total Shareholder Return Rate							                                                       42
Box 2.2:		    Stock market analysts` recommendations						                                                   49
Box 2.3:		    Methodology for compling references to Spanish companies
		            in the international financial press							                                                    53




                                                                                                                          10
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




Presentation


This is the sixth edition of the Yearbook on the     the managers of Spanish companies who have
Internationalization of Spanish Companies, pu-       looked abroad with a spirit of optimism and
blished by the Círculo de Empresarios in con-        confidence. And, in particular, I would like to
junction with the University of Pennsylvania’s       highlight the efforts of those companies which,
prestigious Wharton School. From the outset,         based on a survey of Círculo members, have
the Círculo-Wharton Yearbook has pursued the         been distinguished in this Yearbook.
dual objective of gauging the activity of Spanish    	
companies abroad whilst encouraging those            Once again, I would like to thank Wharton
that have not yet made the decision to interna-      School, one of the world’s most prestigious
tionalize to take this decisive step, so essential   academic establishments in all aspects rela-
for their development and survival. This joint       ting to the business world, for its collaboration,
project has resulted in the consolidation of an      which is pivotal to the ongoing success of this
excellent observatory of the performance of          publication. I would also like to thank everyone
our companies abroad.                                from Wharton and Círculo de Empresarios in-
                                                     volved in producing the Yearbook. And a very
Since the launch of the Yearbook to date, the        special thanks to Pablo Isla, the Chair of the
world economy, and most notably Spain’s, have        Inditex Group and to Javier Santiso, Professor
been ravaged by one of the worst crises in his-      of Economics at ESADE Business School, for
tory. Recovery still remains weak. Despite the       their contribution to this new edition.
gloomy outlook, companies that have taken the
decision to venture abroad, or to further their      Many thanks to all, and thanks to the loyal
internationalization goals have reaped the be-       readers whose interest makes our efforts wor-
nefits of market diversification, even though        thwhile.
the global crisis is very much alive.

As stated in previous editions of this Yearbook,
in a highly globalized economy, the quest for
new markets and increased foreign presence
are the most advisable strategies. This 2012
edition discusses clear examples of companies
that have successfully applied these principals.
In this connection, I would like to congratulate

                                                                                    Mónica de Oriol
                                                                    Chair of Círculo de Empresarios




                                                                                                                                 13
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




Prologue


In 2011 the world economy continued to reco-         of -1.5% and -1.3% respectively, which confirms
ver. However, this recovery was undermined           the fragility of the recovery.
by the uncertainties and lack of confidence
which flooded the markets, affecting most no-        Despite this complicated economic situation,
tably the developed economies. Consequently,         many national companies continue to opera-
world growth fell from 5.1% in 2010 to 3.8% in       te abroad, pursing their internationalization
2011, as noted by the International Monetary         strategy. In addition, some bolstered their pre-
Fund in its latest report World Economic Out-        sence in the rankings of the UNCTAD World
look, October 2012. Moreover, there are fears        Investment Report, which refer to the world’s
that the European crisis may worsen the global       leading multinationals, and in other well-known
economic scene, which has prompted the IMF           league tables such as Fortune Global 500 or
to revise downwards the growth data relating to      Forbes 2000.
the world economy for 2012 and 2013.
                                                     The sixth edition of the Internationalization
The economic policies implemented by govern-         of Spanish Companies Yearbook covers
ments, unilaterally or in a coordinated fashion,     these and other phenomena. Through this pu-
helped reduce systemic risk. However, these          blication, once again this year, Círculo de Em-
measures need to be strengthened so as to            presarios wishes to offer the public an instru-
consolidate the recovery and contain downside        ment with which to gain insight into the foreign
risks. The priorities in developed countries con-    activity of Spanish companies and the most
tinue to be reform of the financial sector, fiscal   significant challenges they face going forward.
consolidation and structural reforms to boost        The 2012 Yearbook is structured into two main
potential output. In emerging and developing         parts:
countries, it is necessary to introduce greater
macroeconomic discipline, avoiding the build-           • The first, which comprises three chap-
up and widening of imbalances.                       ters, examines the economic context in which
                                                     Spanish companies are operating both in Spain
In the specific case of the Spanish economy,         and abroad, as well as their achievements and
according to data from the International Mone-       challenges.
tary Fund, while GDP improved slightly (0.4%) in
2011, forecasts for 2012 and 2013 predict falls




                                                                                                                                 15
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




        Chapter one offers a brief overview of the glo-          two operations involving foreign investment in
        bal and national economic framework, and an              Spain receive a mention.
        analysis of the main characteristics of interna-
        tional trade and direct foreign investment for               • The second part comprises, on this oc-
        the period 2011-2012.                                    casion, two chapters. The first chapter focuses
                                                                 on the importance of business diasporas, Latin
        The second chapter reviews, from the interna-            ones in particular, in driving the internationa-
        tional standpoint, the performance of Spanish            lization of the Spanish economy. This chapter
        companies in terms of total shareholder returns,         has been written by Javier Santiso, Professor of
        equity market analysts’ recommendations and              Economics at ESADE Business School.
        companies’ coverage in the international finan-
        cial press. In general, the situation in 2011 re-        The second article in this section, which bears
        presents a continuation of the negative trends           the signature of Pablo Isla, the Chairman and
        from 2010 in relation to stock market perfor-            CEO of the Inditex Group, discusses the inter-
        mance and, in particular, investment banks’              nationalization experience of this textile group,
        equity market analysts’ recommendations.                 an international leader in the fashion industry.
        Shareholder returns fell sharply in outright
        terms, although in comparison with the Euro
        Area, the drop was less dramatic. Investment
        bank recommendations deteriorated steadily,
        which, on interpretation, may reflect the antici-
        pation of analysts who predict new difficulties
        in 2012. Owing to the problems faced by Spa-
        nish financial and non-financial companies, the
        coverage of Spanish companies in the interna-                                           Belén Romana,
        tional financial press increased significantly in          General Secretary of Círculo de Empresarios
        2011, surpassing the 2006 coverage record.

        This part ends with chapter three, in which Cír-
        culo de Empresarios recognizes the work of
        those Spanish companies which, through their
        internationalization, contribute to Spain’s glo-
        bal economic reach. There is a special mention
        for overseas business operations conducted
        by Spanish companies which, according to the
        members of Círculo de Empresarios, are espe-
        cially significant, and for both medium and lar-
        ge companies with an outstanding track record
        of internationalization over the past few years.
        Lastly, and as a new feature of this sixth edition,




16
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




1                                     The world and Spanish
                                      economies
                                      in 2011-2012


                             Throughout 2011, the world economy slowed down, highlighting the fragility of the reco-
                             very, especially in the developed economies. Consequently, having closed 2010 with 5.1%
                             growth, driven by gains in the main production ratios in emerging, developing economies
                             and advanced economies, the world economy closed 2011 with 3.8% growth, according to
                             the latest figures published by the IMF (Table 1.1).


IMF forecasts on GDP growth                                                                                               Table 1.1	
						
                                                                                                     Source: IMF (WEO October 2012)
	Percentage variation
                                                 2010               2011                     2012*                      2013*
World                                             5.1                3.8                      3.3                        3.6
Advanced economies                                3.0               1.6                       1.3                        1.5
  United States                                                    2.4  1.8                   2.2                        2.1
  European Union                                                   2.1  1.6                   -0.2                       0.5
  Euro area                                                        2.0  1.4                   -0.4                       0.2
  Germany                                                          4.0 3.1                     0.9                       0.9
  France                                                           1.7  1.7                    0.1                       0.4
  Italy                                                            1.8 0.4                    -2.3                       -0.7
  Spain                                                           -0.3 0.4                    –1.5                       -1.3
  Japan                                                            4.5 -0.8                    2.2                        1.2
  United Kingdom                                                   1.8 0.8                    -0.4                        1.1
  Canada                                                           3.2  2.4                    1.9                        2.0
 Other advanced economies                                          5.9  3.2                    2.1                        3.0
  Newly industrialized Asian economies                             8.5  4.0                    2.1                        3.6
 Emerging and developing economies                                 7.4 6.2                    5.3                        5.6
  Sub-Saharan Africa	                                             5.3  5.1                    5.0                        5.7
  Central and Eastern Europe	                                     4.6  5.3                    2.0                        2.6
  Commonwealth of Independent States                              4.8  4.9                    4.0                        4.1
  Russia                                                           4.3 4.3                    3.7                        3.8
  Excluding Russia	                                               6.0  6.2                    4.7                        4.8
  Developing Asia                                                 9.5   7.8                   6.7                         7.2
  China                                                           10.4 9.2                     7.8                       8.2
  India                                                           10.1 6.8                    4.9                        6.0
  ASEAN 5 **                                                       7.0 4.5                     5.4                       5.8
  Middle East and North Africa                                     5.0 3.3                     5.3                       3.6
 Latin American and the Caribbean                                  6.2 4.5                     3.2                        3.9
  Brazil                                                           7.5  2.7                    1.5                        4.0
  Mexico                                                           5.6  3.9                    3.8                        3.5
						
* Forecasts					
** ASEAN 5: Phillipines, Indonesia, Malasia, Thailand and Vietnam.					
						                                                                                                                                19
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




            Growth in the euro area slowed down in 2011 and forecasts for 2012 point to negative growth
            (-0.4%). This evolution has been strongly influenced by the performance of the financial mar-
            kets, affected by the debt crisis in the euro area. Tensions in the markets increased notably
            from summer 2011, on becoming systemic, and amid growing fears of feedback between
            sovereign risk, bank risk and loss of economic dynamism in several countries in the euro area.

            In Spain, financing terms became tougher and bond yields reached all time highs. The eco-
            nomic situation was very complicated. In 2011, average annual growth stood at 0.4%, and
            negative growth has been forecast for 2012 and 2013. The contribution of internal demand
            was once again negative (-1.9%), while for the fourth consecutive year, the contribution of net
            external demand was positive (2.3 pp).

            In this context, the IMF warned of the persistence of global downside risks. The con-
            cern is that the deepening of the crisis in the euro area may trigger a widespread shift towards
            lower risk assets or that political uncertainty may cause a hike in oil prices. Furthermore,
            the implementation of excessively restrictive measures may lead to a situation of sustained
            deflation or a prolonged period of very subdued activity in some of the major economies.
            According to this Organization, other latent risks include turmoil on the global bond and world
            foreign currency markets due to high budget deficits in Japan and USA, and a rapid slowdown
            in the activity of some emerging economies.

            Economic policy measures taken to date have helped reduce the systemic risk. However,
            in the face of persistent uncertainty, these measures need to be strengthened so as to con-
            solidate the recovery which has been weak so far and to contain downside risks. In the short
            term, this involves stepping up efforts to tackle the crisis in the euro area, reducing fiscal
            austerity in response to the downturn in activity, and maintaining lax monetary policies and
            ample liquidity for the financial sector.

            In the long term, the challenge consists in improving medium term prospects for the major
            advanced economies. The priorities continue to be reform of the financial sector, fiscal con-
            solidation and structural reforms to boost potential output.

            In the case of emerging and developing economies, there is a need to gauge the macroeco-
            nomic policies so as to tackle the downside risks of the advanced economies, by controlling
            the overheating pressures resulting from greater activity, credit growth, and volatile capital
            flows, as well as high commodity prices and the recurrence of risks related to energy prices
            (Box 1.1).

            The IMF, in its latest report World Economic Outlook, has broadly revised downwards fore-
            casts for 2012 and 2013. World growth will fall by 0.2% in 2012 and 0.3% in 2013. The Euro
            Area will also experience negative growth in both periods, of -0.1% and -0.5% respectively. In
            the specific case of Spain, the economy will contract by 1.5% in 2012 and 1.3% in 2013.

            In this scenario, world trade suffered a severe setback in 2011, posting a volume growth of
            5%, compared to 13.8% in 2010.

            According to statistics compiled by the World Trade Organization (WTO) and published in the
            World Trade Report 2012, in 2011, Spain maintained its position as the 18th largest exporter of
            goods in the world (with a share of 1.6% of the world total) and in relation to imports, Spain clim-
            bed a position, ranking 15th (holding a share of 2%). With regard to trade in services, Spain ad-
            vanced a position to rank 8th for exports (3.4%), and remained in 14th place for imports (2.4%).




20
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




Regarding foreign direct investment (FDI), global inflows grew 16% in 2011, surpassing for
the first time the average for the three years preceding the outbreak of the world economic
and financial crisis (2005-2007), but not exceeding the high of 2007.

According to the data published in the World Investment Report 2012 by the UNCTAD, in 2011,
Spain recovered the status it had lost in 2010 as a net foreign investor (in terms of FDI). This
can be accounted for by the sharp drop in FDI inflows (-27.7% compared with 2010), while
outflows stabilised. In 2011, Spain retained 15th position in the world ranking of FDI flows
received and 14th in terms of outflows of this kind of investment.

As to cumulative FDI, Spain maintains a relatively stable position. With 3.1% of the world to-
tal, Spain fell two places to 9th position, losing ground to China and Brazil, in terms of stock
received. And with 3% of the world total, Spain ranked 11th in terms of stock abroad, losing a
position to Canada.

Finally, setting aside the doubts regarding the future of the world economy and of Spain’s in
particular, some Spanish companies have decided to start or to continue their internationa-
lization processes, a clear exponent of which are the operations and companies mentioned
in Chapter 3 of this Yearbook. This is fully consistent with the role played by the Spanish eco-
nomy on the international stage, since its activity in the various areas of the world economy
surpasses even its contribution to global GDP, which in 2011, fell below 1.8% in purchasing
power parity terms.

The rankings of the world’s top multinationals published in WIR 2012 underpin this idea.
Among the top 100 non-financial multinationals, three are Spanish companies, holding the
following positions in terms of assets abroad: Telefónica (ranked 10th), Iberdrola (25th) and
Repsol (47th) (Table 1.2).

Other well-known league tables confirm this impression. There are 8 Spanish companies in
the Fortune Global 500 index of leading worldwide companies. There are 28 Spanish compa-
nies in the Forbes 2,000 index, which refers to the top 2,000 global companies.



Spanish non-financial multinationals among the world’s
leaders by international presence, 2011                                                                                      Table 1.2	
Millions of dollars and number of employees                                                                       Source: WIR 2012, UNCTAD


									
	

                                    Assets                          Sales                                      Employees

                     Abroad        Total      % of total   Abroad   Total    % of total        Abroad             Total           % of total

 Telefónica S.A.     147,903      180,186       82.1       63,014   87,346     72.1           231,066           286,145             80.8


 Iberdrola S.A.      88,048      134,702        65.4       23,211   44,896     51.7            19,436           31,885              61.0


 Repsol YPF S.A.     58,336       98,634        59.1       44,115   83,572     52.8            26,441           46,575              56.8




                                                                                                                                               21
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




Box 1.1			                                                                                                                       Commodity price performance in 2011 and 2012

                                                     Any analysis of the global economic situation must include a look at commodity
                                                     price performance, in view of its enormous impact in a number of areas, from glo-
                                                     bal inflation to access to food in developing countries.

                                                     World commodity markets lost some momentum in 2011. Prices fell for most of the
                                                     year, with the exception of the crude oil price. In the first quarter of 2012, commo-
                                                     dity prices picked up, but in general terms, they remain below the levels recorded
                                                     at the end of 2010.


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Index of commodity prices

                                                       (2005=100)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Source: IMF




                                                             230

                                                             210

                                                             190

                                                             170

                                                             150

                                                             130

                                                             110

                                                                 90

                                                                 70
                                                                               2005M12




                                                                                                                    2006M12




                                                                                                                                                         2007M12




                                                                                                                                                                                              2008M12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2009M12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2010M03
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2010M06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2010M09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2010M12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2011M03
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2011M06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2011M09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2011M12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2012M03
                                                                      2005M9


                                                                                         2006M3
                                                                                                  2006M6
                                                                                                           2006M9


                                                                                                                              2007M3
                                                                                                                                       2007M6
                                                                                                                                                2007M9


                                                                                                                                                                   2008M3
                                                                                                                                                                            2008M6
                                                                                                                                                                                     2008M9


                                                                                                                                                                                                        2009M3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2009M6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2009M9




                                                     Some of the main factors that account for the fall in prices in 2011 are uncertainty
                                                     regarding the short term global economic outlook; a more marked downswing than
                                                     expected in emerging and developing economies; a downturn in the Chinese pro-
                                                     perty market, increasing concerns over a hard landing in the country; and doubts
                                                     as to the continuance of the commodity market boom.

                                                     Crude petrol prices performed differently, which was mainly due to heightened
                                                     geopolitical risks.




22
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




World oil demand in 2011 was lower than expected owing to weaker global activity.
However, the supply disruptions in major oil-producing economies (particularly
Libya) interruptions due to maintenance and other reasons in non-OPEC oil produ-
cing countries led to supply shortages which pushed up prices.

Additional production by other OPEP members, primarily Saudi Arabia, and the
weakening of demand enabled the matching of supply and demand at the end
of the last quarter. However, at that time, the oil stocks of the OECD economies
and the surplus capacity of the OPEC had fallen below five-year averages. At the
same time, geopolitical risks increased, pushing up the precautionary demand for
stocks. These events took place in a context of persistent oil shortages. In these
circumstances, price increases are inevitable.

Forecasts point to little improvement in conditions in the oil markets, since supply
from non-OPEC countries is only expected to increase moderately in the short
term. On the basis of the future prices for oil, it is anticipated that spot prices will
drop gradually but remain above the average level until 2012-13. Since inventory
stocks and surplus capacity are below average, the upside risks for oil prices re-
main a cause for concern, in spite of the downside risks for oil demand and global
economic growth.




International trade             										1.1	



Global trade slumped in 2011, following the significant      mi and the nuclear accident in Japan or the floods in
recovery in 2010.                                            Thailand).

The reasons that account for this fall include in par-       As a result, trade growth	 in 2011 was below average.
ticular financial and economic uncertainly at interna-       According to the WTO the volume of global trade in
tional level (negative growth recorded in the European       goods grew 5% (in real terms), compared to 13.8% in
Union or the debt crisis in the euro area), civil strife     2010 (Table 1.3).
(rioting in North African countries, especially in Lib-
ya) and natural disasters (the earthquake, the tsuna-




                                                                                                                                            23
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




		 Table 1.3	                                                                        GDP and trade in goods by regions, 2009-2011
     Annual percent change at constant prices                                                                                   Source: WTO Secretariat


                                                                         GDP                        Exports                       Imports

                                                                 2009     2010    2011     2009     2010      2011      2009       2010       2011
         World                                                   -2.6      3.8    2.4      -12.0     13.8      5.0      -12.9       13.7       4.9
         North America                                           -3.6      3.2    1.9      -14.8     14.9      6.2      -16.6       15.7       4.7
         US                                                      -3.5      3.0    1.7      -14.0     15.4      7.2      -16.4       14.8       3.7
         Central and South America    a
                                                                 -0.3      6.1    4.5       -8.1     5.6       5.3      -16.5       22.9      10.4
         Europe                                                  -4.1      2.2    1.7      -14.1     10.9      5.0      -14.1       9.7        2.4
         European Union (27)                                     -4.3      2.1    1.5      -14.5     11.5      5.2      -14.1       9.5        2.0
         Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)      b
                                                                 -6.9      4.7    4.6       -4.8     6.0       1.8      -28.0       18.6      16.7
         Africa                                                   2.2      4.6    2.3       -3.7     3.0      -8.3       -5.1       7.3        5.0
         Middle East                                              1.0      4.5    4.9       -4.6     6.5       5.4       -7.7       7.5        5.3
         Asia                                                    -0.1      6.4    3.5      -11.4    22.7       6.6       -7.7       18.2       6.4
         China                                                    9.2      10.4   9.2      -10.5    28.4       9.3       2.9        22.1       9.7
         Japan                                                   -6.3      4.0    -0.5     -24.9     27.5     -0.5      -12.2       10.1       1.9
         India                                                    6.8      10.1   7.8       -6.0    22.0      16.1       3.6        22.7       6.6
         Newly industrialized countries c                        -0.6      8.0    4.2       -5.7    20.9       6.0      -11.4       17.9       2.0
         Developed economies                                     -4.1      2.9    1.5      -15.1     13.0      4.7      -14.4       10.9       2.8
         Developing economies and CIS                             2.2      7.2    5.7       -7.4     14.9      5.4      -10.5       18.1       7.9

     a
       Including the Caribbean
     b
       It is a supranational organization comprising 10 former Soviet republics
     c
       Hong Kong, China, Rep. of Korea, Singapore and Chinese Taipei




                  According to IMF forecasts, real growth in world trade                 Japan (reducing its exports by 0.5%), disrupting supply
                  will be even lower for 2012, falling to 3.2%, but will be              chains which affected exports from developing coun-
                  followed by an acceleration in 2013 (4.5%).                            tries such as China - fewer components were sent,
                                                                                         which led to a reduction in the output of export goods.
                  As to export performance, Asia, with an increase of
                  6.6%, was ahead of all the other regions. The increa-                  As to imports, demand in 2011 was adversely affected
                  ses of 16.1% in India and 9.3% in China are noteworthy.                by sluggish growth in the major economies, its growth
                                                                                         falling from 13.7% in 2010 to 4.9% in 2011. By regions,
                  Export growth in the developed economies in 2011 ex-                   the CIS experienced the highest growth (16.7%), which
                  ceeded expectations, reaching 4.7%, on the back of a                   accounts for the greater increase in developing eco-
                  sharp rise (7.2%) in US exports as well as an expansion                nomies and the CIS (7.9%), compared with developed
                  of 5.2% in EU exports.                                                 economies (2.8%).

                  For their part, the results of the developing economies                In 2011, exchange rates were considerably volatile,
                  (including those of the CIS) were lower than forecast,                 which affected the competitiveness of some econo-
                  with an increase of barely 5.4%. The factors that con-                 mies and prompted measures to be taken (Switzerland
                  tributed to their worst performance in exports were the                and Brazil). The fluctuations were largely due to attitu-
                  interruptions in oil supply from Libya (75% reduction),                des towards risk in relation to the sovereign debt crisis
                  which led to an 8.3% fall in African exports in 2011; the              in the euro area.
                  floods in Thailand; the earthquake and the tsunami in




      24
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




Nominal trade flows were also affected by recent eco-     With regard to exports of goods, in 2011, China retai-
nomic shocks. In 2011, the value in dollars of world      ned its world leadership (Table 1.4). It has gradually
trade in goods rose 19% to reach 18.2 trillion dollars,   distanced itself from the US and Germany to hold a
exceeding the high (16.1 trillion dollars) attained in    2-point lead in terms of share of total world exports,
2008. A substantial proportion of this growth was due     with a share of 10.4%.
to the increase in commodity prices.

The share held by the developing and CIS economies
in the world total rose to 47% in the case of exports
and 42% for imports.




Main exporter of goods, 2011                                                                                              Table 1.4	
Billions of dollars and by percentage                                                                                        Source: WTO


                                                                              Percentage as                   Annual percentage
                                        Rank              Value
                                                                              per global total                    variation
 China                                   1                1,899                     10.4                                20
 United States	                          2                1,481                      8.1                                16
 Germany                                 3                1,474                      8.1                                17
 Japan                                   4                823                        4.5                                 7
 Netherlands                             5                660                        3.6                                15
 France                                  6                597                        3.3                                14
 Rep. of Korea                           7                555                        3.0                                19
 Italy                                   8                523                        2.9                                17
 Russia                                  9                522                        2.9                                30
 Belgium                                 10               476                        2.6                                17
 United Kingdom                          11               473                        2.6                                17
 Hong Kong, China                        12               456                        2.5                                14
 - National exports                                        17                        0.1                                14
 - Reexports                                              439                        2.4                                14
 Canada                                  13               452                        2.5                                17
 Singapore                               14                410                       2.2                                16
 - National exports                                       224                        1.2                                23
 - Reexports                                              186                        1.0                                10
 Saudi Arabia                            15               365                        2.0                                45
 Mexico                                  16               350                        1.9                                17
 Chinese Taipei                          17               308                        1.7                                12
 Spain                                   18               297                        1.6                                17
 India                                   19               297                        1.6                                35
 United Arab Emirates                    20               285                        1.6                                30




                                                                                                                                        25
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




                Likewise, China increased its proportion of total world    it continues to close this distance in the ranking of the
                imports (Table 1.5), attaining a 9.5% share and conso-     top importers of goods.
                lidating its second position behind the USA. However,



Table 1.5	                                                                                   Main importers of goods, 2011
Billions of dollars and by percentage                                                                                      Source: WTO



                                                                                     Percentage as per     Annual percentage varia-
                                                       Rank        Value
                                                                                        global total                 tion
    United States                                        1         2,265                   12.3                       15
    China                                                2         1,743                    9.5                       25
    Germany                                              3         1,254                    6.8                       19
    Japan                                                4          854                     4.6                       23
    France                                               5          715                     3.9                       17
    United Kingdom                                       6          636                     3.5                       13
    Netherlands                                          7          597                     3.2                       16
    Italy                                                8          557                     3.0                       14
    Rep. of Korea                                        9          524                     2.9                       23
    Hong Kong, China                                     10         511                     2.8                       16
    - Imports-reimports                                             130                     0.7                       16
    Canada a                                             11         462                     2.5                       15
    Belgium                                              12         461                     2.5                       17
    India                                                13         451                     2.5                       29
    Singapore                                            14         366                     2.0                       18
    - Imports-reimports                                             180                     1.0                       27
    Spain                                                15         362                     2.0                       11
    Mexico                                               16         361                     2.0                       16
    Russia a                                             17         323                     1.8                       30
    Chinese Taipei                                       18         281                     1.5                       12
    Australia                                            19         244                     1.3                       21
    Turkey                                               20         241                     1.3                       30


a
    Imports according to FOB values




                Finally, as far as trade in services is concerned, the     growth owing to the fact that Egyptian exports in tra-
                value of world exports increased 11% in 2011 to 4.1        vel-related services dropped by over 30%.
                trillion dollars, with marked differences in the annual
                growth rates of the various countries and regions. For     The proportion of trade in services in total trade in
                instance, African exports were seriously affected by       goods and services stood at 18.6%, the lowest level
                the rioting in the Arab countries and experienced zero     since 1990.




26
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




Foreign direct investment	                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1.2

According to estimates published by the United                                                                      they rose 21% with respect to 2010, reaching 748
Nations Conference on Trade and Development                                                                         billion, but are still 25% below the average attained
(UNCTAD), which is the main source of statistical data                                                              between 2005 and 2007. In spite of this progression,
on this subject, in spite of the throes of the world eco-                                                           developing and transition economies taken together
nomic and financial crisis and the debt crisis, in 2011,                                                            accounted for over half of global FDI (45% and 6%
global Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows exceeded                                                               respectively). In the first group, FDI inflows increased
the average level attained in the period prior to the                                                               11%, reaching a record figure of 684 billion - 10% in
world economic and financial crisis, reaching 1.5 tri-                                                              Asia, and 16% in Latin American and the Caribbean.
llion dollars. The actual growth rate was 16%. However,                                                             And in the transition economies, the increase was
the level remains 23% below the 2007 record.                                                                        25%, to 92 billion. Africa and less developed econo-
                                                                                                                    mies experienced a fall in FDI inflows for the third con-
Some of the factors that boosted this growth were hig-                                                              secutive year. In Africa, the regression is essentially
her profits earned by multinationals and the relatively                                                             explained by divestment in North Africa (specifically to
strong growth of developing economies.                                                                              Egypt and Syria, due to political instability).

The inflows of this kind of investment increased across
the board in 2011 (Chart 1.1). In developed countries,



FDI inflows 1980-2011									                                                                                                                                                                                            Chart 1.1
Billions of dollars                                                                                                                                                                                                           Source: UNCTAD




                                                                            Developed economies
2,500.0


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 World
                                                                            Developing economies
                                                                             Transition economies
2,000.0


1,500.0


1,000.0


  500.0


     0.0
                                                                                                                                                                                    2004
                                                                                                                                                                      2002
                                                                                                                                                                             2003
                                                                                                                                                       2000




                                                                                                                                                                                           2005
                                                                                                                                                                                                  2006
                                                                                                                                                                                                         2007
                                                                                                             1994
                                       1984




                                                                                                                                                               2001




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2009
                                                            1987


                                                                          1989
                                                                                 1990
                                                                                        1991


                                                                                                      1993




                                                                                                                                                                                                                2008
                                                     1986


                                                                   1988




                                                                                               1992




                                                                                                                                  1997
           1980


                         1982
                                1983


                                              1985




                                                                                                                    1995



                                                                                                                                         1998




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2010
                  1981




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2011
                                                                                                                           1996



                                                                                                                                                1999




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             27
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




            As to FDI outflows, flows towards advanced countries        by the increase in the number of mega-operations (for
            rose sharply by 25% in 2011, reaching 1.24 trillion do-     more than 3 billion dollars) from 44 in 2010 to 62 in
            llars. This increase is essentially explained by reinves-   2011, which is a reflection of the increase in the value
            tment of profits from US multinationals (82% of total       of assets on the stock markets and the greater finan-
            outflows), mergers and acquisitions of the European         cial capacity of buyers.
            Union, and Japanese purchases in North America and
            Europe favoured by the appreciation of the yen.             New investment (greenfield) stayed around 904 billion
                                                                        (more than two thirds invested in developing and tran-
            Investment from developing countries fell 4% to 384         sition economies), and continues to outstrip mergers
            billion, while their share of global outflows remained      and acquisitions, as has been the case since the start
            high at 23%. FDI from Latin America and the Caribbean       of the crisis.
            fell 17%, essentially due to the repatriation of capital
            owing to financial considerations (exchange rate, in-       On a corporate level, in 2011, despite the turbulent
            terest rate etc.). In the case of East and Southeast        economic situation, important operations were per-
            Asia, the flows stagnated, while those from West Asia       formed throughout the globe, as evidenced by the
            rose to 25 billion.                                         UNCTAD ranking of the largest mergers and acquisi-
                                                                        tions in the world (Table 1.6).
            By sectors, FDI flows rose in three production sectors:
            primary, manufacturing and services. In the service         Finally, forecasts regarding performance of FDI flows
            sector, FDI recovered in 2011 after falling in 2009 and     have improved continuously from 2008-2009, while
            2010, to reach 570 billion. Similarly, investment in the    still being subject to macroeconomic and financial
            primary sector changed trend, reaching 200 billion.         conditions. Due to economic uncertainty, UNTCAD
            The share of both sectors increased at the expense          forecasts point to a slowing of the upward trend.
            of industry, where investment in the following areas is     Growth in FDI is expected to slow, leveling off in 2012
            noteworthy: the mining and chemical industries, uti-        at around 1.6 billion dollars. Longer term forecasts, for
            lities, transport, communication and other services.        2013 and 2014, indicate a moderate rise to 1.8 trillion
                                                                        and 1.9 trillion, respectively.
            By FDI entry modes, cross-border mergers and acqui-
            sitions rose 53% in 2011 to 526 billion dollars, driven




28
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




Major cross-border mergers and acquisitions worldwide in 2011                                                                        Table 1.6	
US$ billions                                                                                                               Source: UNCTAD, WIR 2012	




					
                                                            Objective                                                       Buyer
  Ranking        Amount
                                                   Company/ country /sector                                         Company/ country
                              GDF Suez Energy                                                            International Power PLC
      1           25.1
                              (Belgium) Natural gas transmission                                         (United Kingdom)
                              Weather Investments Srl                                                    VimpelCom Ltd
      2           22.4
                              (Italy) Telecommunications                                                 (Netherlands)
                              Genzyme Corp                                                               Sanofi-Aventis SA
      3            21.2
                              (United States) Biological products, except substance analysis             (France)
                              Nycomed International Management GmbH                                      Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
      4            13.7
                              (Switzerland) Pharmaceutical products                                      (Japan)
                              Petrohawk Energy Corp                                                      BHP Billiton PLC
      5            11.8
                              (United States) Oil and natural gas                                        (United Kingdom)
                              Foster´s Group Ltd                                                         SABMiller Beverage Investments Pty Ltd
      6            10.8
                              (Australia) Beverages                                                      (Australia)
                              Centro Properties Group                                                    BRE Retail Holdings Inc
      7            9.4
                              (United States) Property	                                                  (United States)
                              Reliance Industries Ltd                                                    BP PLC
      8            9.0
                              (India) Oil and natural gas                                                (United Kingdom)
                              Skype Global Sarl                                                          Microsoft Corp
      9            8.5
                              (Luxemburg) Software                                                       (United States)
                              Morgan Stanley                                                             Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc
     10            7.8
    (United States) Bank holdings                                                                        (Japan)
					




Spain’s foreign sector	                                                                                                                           1.3

A) Analysis of the Balance of Payments: current account
and capital account balance

Spain’s external imbalances continued their course of ad-               The lower recourse to external funding can be explained
justment in 2011. According to the data compiled in the                 broadly by the decline in investment, to 22.1% of GDP
report on the balance of payments 2011 (Table 1.7), pu-                 (against 23.3% in 2010), since gross national savings fell
blished by the Bank of Spain in 2012, the funding requi-                moderately to 18.7 % of GDP (0.6 pp less than the previous
rements for Spain’s economy from external sources,                      year).
measured as the overall balance of the current and capital
account, fell further in 2011 (by 22%) to 3% of GDP (practi-
cally one point lower than in 2010).




                                                                                                                                                     29
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




		 Table 1.7	                                                                                                           Balance of payments: balances
     % of GDP                                                                                                                           Source: Bank of Spain



     								
                                                                         2004         2005         2006        2007      2008    2009     2010       2011
         CAPACITY (+)/FUNDING (-) REQUIREMENTS                            -4.2         -6.5         -8.3        -9.6      -9.1   -4.4      -3.9      -3.0
         Current account                                                  -5.3         -7.4         -9.0        -10.0     -9.7   -5.2      -4.5      -3.5
         Goods                                                            -6.4         -7.5         -8.5        -8.7      -8.0   -4.0      -4.4      -3.7
         Services                                                         2.6          2.4          2.3         2.2       2.4     2.4      2.6        3.2
         - Travel and tourism                                             3.2          2.9          2.8         2.6       2.6     2.5      2.5        2.9
         - Other services                                                 -0.6         -0.5         -0.5        -0.4      -0.1   -0.1      0.1        0.3
         Income                                                           -1.4         -1.9         -2.1        -2.9      -3.3   -2.8      -2.0      -2.4
         Current transfers                                                0.0          -0.4         -0.7        -0.7      -0.9   -0.8      -0.7      -0.6
         Capital account                                                  1.0          0.9          0.6         0.4       0.5     0.4      0.6        0.5
         FINANCIAL ACCOUNT a                                              4.1          6.7          8.7         9.6       9.2     5.0      4.1        3.2
         Excluding Bank of Spain                                          5.8          6.9         11.3         8.3       5.9     4.2      2.6       -7.1
         Foreign direct investment                                        -3.4         -1.5        -6.0         -4.8      -0.7   -0.1      -0.1      -0.6
         Portfolio investment                                             10.2         6.5         20.3         10.0      0.4     4.3      2.9       -2.3
         Other investments                                                -1.0          1.9         -3.2        3.5       7.0     0.5      -0.9      -4.5
         Financial derivatives                                            0.0          0.0         -0.2         0.4       0.6    -0.6      0.8        0.2
         Bank of Spain b                                                  -1.7         -0.2        -2.6         1.4       2.8     1.0      1.5       10.2
         ERRORS AND OMISSIONS                                             0.1          -0.2        -0.4         0.0       -0.1   -0.5      -0.2      -0.1


     a
         Variation in liabilities less variation in assets
     b
         A negative (positive) sign implies an increase (decrease) in the Bank of Spain’s net assets vis-à-vis abroad




     In 2011, the current account deficit recorded a new                              The trade balance in relation to the EMU and the UE
     low in the series since 2004, by falling to 3.5% of GDP,                         was positive for the first time since the mid 1980s.
     against 4.5% in 2010. The correction of the deficit is
     primarily attributable to the improvement in the trade                           As to trade flows, exports grew 15% (despite the down-
     balance. A contribution was also made by the increa-                             turn in global trade), against 8.7% for imports. The an-
     se in the services surplus and the reduction in the                              nual coverage ratio (exports/imports) was above 80%.
     current transfers deficit, which offset the marked de-                           Moreover, in light of the performance of exports, the
     terioration in the negative income balance, caused by                            percentage share of Spain in world trade, in real terms,
     higher funding costs. As far as the capital account is                           continued to grow for the third consecutive year.
     concerned, the surplus shrank by one tenth, to 0.5%
     of GDP.                                                                          This progression is largely explained by the impact
                                                                                      on exports of accumulated gains in competitiveness-
     In 2011, the trade deficit fell considerably, to 3.7%                            price and competitiveness-cost in recent years. In
     of GDP (0.8 pp lower than in 2010), especially due to                            addition, this effect has been strengthened by the
     the marked decrease in the non-energy trade balance                              growth in the number of international trade relations,
     (-69%), since the energy trade balance continued to                              favoured by the increase in the number of exporting
     rise (16%) due to high oil prices.                                               countries, (12.5% in 2012) and by the diversification of
                                                                                      destinations where Spanish companies operate.




      30
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




In terms of the Quarterly National Accounts (CNTR),           to this marked progression in exports, capital goods
real exports of goods grew in 2011 by 9.5%. According         as well as intermediate goods played an important
to Customs, the increase was 10.1%. Both figures re-          role, at the same time, consumer goods showed no-
flect the strength of exports in the context of a down-       table recovery (5.4% in 2011), in particular foods and
turn in global trade and, in particular, the strength of      other manufactured products. Actual sales of capital
Spain’s export markets. However, while in real terms          goods increased by 15.9% in 2011, owing to exports of
the share of Spanish exports in the world total rose,         rail and air transport material, and construction ma-
in nominal terms, it fell, due to higher energy costs.        chinery. Exports of energy intermediate goods grew
                                                              36.7% and non-energy intermediate goods by 10.7%.
By sectors, there were no significant changes in
Spain’s trade pattern in 2011 (Table 1.8). In relation




Foreign trade in goods, specialization by product                                                                                 Table 1.8	
% of total                                      Source: Own research based on data from the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness


                                                                      2011
Products                                     Exports                           Imports
Foods                                          14.2                               10.4
Energy products                                 7.4                               21.4
Commodities                                     2.7                                4.3
Non-chemical semimanufacturing                 12.2                                7.5
     Non-ferrous metals                        2.2                                 1.4
     Iron and steel                            4.1                                3.1
     Paper                                      1.6                                1.3
     Ceramic products and similar items         1.3                                0.2
     Other semimanufacturing                    3.0                                1.5
Chemical products                              13.7                               14.5
     Organic chemical products                  1.6                                2.8
     Inorganic chemical products	               0.4                                0.8
     Plastics                                   3.8                                3.0
     Medicines                                  4.1                                4.3
     Fertilizers                                0.3                                0.3
     Tanning and dyeing products                0.9                                0.5
     Perfumes and essential oils                1.5                                1.1
     Rest of chemical products                  1.2                                1.8
Capital goods                                  20.1                               17.9
     Industrial machinery                       5.1                                4.6
     Office equipment and telecommunications    1.3                                4.5
     Transport material                         5.1                                1.8
     Other capital goods                        8.6                                7.0
Automotive sector                              15.4                               10.4
     Cars and motorcycles	                     10.5                               4.2
     Auto parts                                 5.0                               6.2
Durable consumer goods                          1.7                                2.5
Consumer manufacturing                          8.2                               10.5
     Textiles and clothing                      4.6                                5.9
     Footwear                                   1.0                                0.9
     Toys                                       0.3                                0.7
     Other consumer manufacturing               2.3                                3.0
Other goods                                     4.4                                0.7
								




                                                                                                                                                31
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




             By geographical areas (Tables 1.9 and 1.10), as in                 By sectors, in real terms, imports of consumer goods
             2010, it is worth highlighting the growth in nominal               fell 2.2% and imports of capital goods by 3.1%. Inter-
             terms of sales outside the EU to the OPEC countries,               mediate goods sales halted their progression, falling
             Russia and associated countries as well as Japan and               from 19.1% in 2010 to 2.6% in 2011, owing in particular
             China. While exports to the euro area slowed down,                 to the slowdown in purchases of non-energy interme-
             those destined for France and Germany showed sig-                  diate goods.
             nificant progress.
                                                                                By geographical areas, in real terms, purchases outsi-
             Imports suffered a setback, with a real growth rate                de the EU (from Russia, Latin America etc.) grew more
             of 0.6% in 2011, according to data from the Quarterly              sharply than those from the euro area, whose relative
             National Accounts, and 1% according to Customs.                    weighting as a goods supplier for Spain fell further. It
             This lower growth is mainly due to weak domestic de-               is worth emphasizing the weighting of imports from
             mand for consumption and investment, the downturn                  France, Germany and Italy.
             in exports and the increase in prices, in particular of
             commodities.


Table 1.9	                                                       Foreign trade in goods, specialization by geographical area
% of total                                                                              Source: Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness

                                                                                            2011

 Regions/countries                                                    Exports                                       Imports
 EUROPEAN UNION	                                                       66.0                                           52.8
 EURO AREA	                                                            52.8                                           42.8
 France                                                                 17.9                                          10.8
 Germany                                                                10.2                                          11.8
 Italy                                                                  7.9                                           6.6
 Portugal                                                               8.0                                           3.9
 REST OF EU	                                                            13.3                                          10.0
 United Kingdom                                                         6.4                                           4.0
 REST OF EUROPE                                                         7.6                                           6.9
 Russia                                                                 1.2                                           3.2
 NORTH AMERICA                                                          4.2                                           4.5
 US                                                                     3.7                                           4.1
 LATIN AMERICA                                                          5.6                                           6.1
 Mexico                                                                 1.4                                            1.4
 Brazil                                                                 1.2                                            1.4
 Argentina                                                              0.5                                           0.8
 REST OF AMERICA	                                                       0.1                                           0.6
 ASIA                                                                   7.9                                           19.8
 India                                                                  0.6                                            1.1
 China                                                                  1.6                                            7.1
 Japan                                                                  0.9                                            1.2
 AFRICA                                                                 5.4                                           8.9
 Morocco                                                                1.9                                            1.2
 Algeria                                                                1.2                                           2.2
 OCEANÍA                                                                0.8                                           0.5
 Australia                                                              0.7                                           0.3
 OECD                                                                  77.8                                           64.2
 NAFTA                                                                  5.6                                           5.9
 MERCOSUR                                                               1.8                                           2.3
  OPEC                                                                  3.9                                           11.2
				
	




32
2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies




Spain’s foreign trade performance by geographical area                                                                                        Table 1.10	
Nominal variation                                                                                         Source: Bank of Spain. Balance of Payments Report




	
                                                                                                           Total

                                                                        2005-09                             2010 a                              2011 a
    Exports
    Total                                                                  1.7                               17.4                                15.4
    OECD                                                                   0.4                               16.2                                 13.5
    EU 27                                                                  0.2                               15.4                                 12.6
    United Kingdom                                                         -5.3                              15.1                                 19.5
    Euro area (EMU 16)                                                     0.7                               15.0                                 9.6
    Germany                                                                0.7                               10.7                                 12.2
    France                                                                 1.7                               12.4                                 13.3
    Italy                                                                  -0.3                              25.8                                 4.4
    United States                                                          -0.3                              12.5                                20.8
    OPEC                                                                   9.3                               11.0                                28.5
    CIS and other Central and Eastern European countries b                 9.7                               26.6                                49.5
    NIC c                                                                  8.4                               25.2                                 1.8
    Rest of world                                                          5.6                               25.8                                 17.5


    Imports
    Total                                                                  -0.2                              14.2                                 9.6
    OECD                                                                   -2.5                               7.7                                 6.5
    EU 27                                                                  -2.4                               6.9                                 5.9
    United Kingdom                                                         -5.0                              10.7                                 -2.2
    Euro area (EMU 16)                                                     -2.9                               4.5                                 6.7
    Germany                                                                -3.7                              -6.6                                 10.0
    France                                                                 -5.4                               2.0                                 10.6
    Italy                                                                  -4.7                              12.1                                 2.4
    United States                                                          2.4                               10.1                                 12.8
    OPEC                                                                   6.7                               34.9                                20.5
    CIS and other Central and Eastern European countries b                 6.1                               23.1                                33.2
    NIC c                                                                  -4.6                               6.9                                 -3.5
    Rest of world   d
                                                                           6.3                               27.2                                 10.0




a
  Provisional data, Department of Customs
b
  Including Russia, Ukraine, Belorussia, Moldavia, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Romania, Bulga-
ria, Albania, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia and Montenegro
c
  Includes Republic of Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore
d
  Does not include items without geographical allocation




                                                                                                                                                                33
Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012




             The services surplus increased in 2011 to 3.2% of                        generated by bonds and debentures and money mar-
             GDP (against 2.6% in 2010), owing to the improvement                     ket instruments. The income deficit associated with
             in the surplus in travel and tourism, which grew 2.9%.                   other investment (loans, deposits and repos) likewise
             Non-tourist services recorded a positive balance for                     increased, and direct investment income surplus mo-
             the second consecutive year (0.3% of GDP).                               derated, due to the greater fall, in absolute terms, in
                                                                                      dividends received than in payments under this hea-
             In 2011, both revenue from services and payments for                     ding.
             services grew. However, while the former gathered
             momentum (8.7% in nominal terms), the pace of pay-                       The current transfers deficit fell in 2011 by 18.9%,
             ments slowed down (2.5%). Revenue from tourism gai-                      to 0.6% of GDP, owing to a significant rise in reve-
             ned some weighting in terms of contribution to GDP                       nue (7.9%). By institutional sectors, the public sector
             (attaining 4%), largely owing to the diversion of tourists               deficit was corrected and the private sector surplus
             to Spain on account of the geopolitical instability in                   widened. The negative balance linked to remittances
             the Middle East, and the suppression of hotel rates in                   from migrants continued its course of correction to
             recent years.                                                            reach -0.1% of GDP, experiencing a greater increase in
                                                                                      revenue (5.9%) than in payments (0.8%). The difficult
             For its part, the income account deficit widened                         situation of the Spanish labour market and the logi-
             significantly in 2011, to 2.4% of GDP. Revenue fell                      cal reduction in the number of migrant arrivals explain
             (8.2%) and payments rose (3.8%). The increase re-                        this reduction. As usual, remittance payments are
             flects, above all, higher external funding costs. By                     notably concentrated in Latin American destinations
             kinds of investment, the deterioration in the balance                    (Table 1.11).
             was broadbased. It is worth highlighting the increa-
             se in the portfolio investment income deficit (21.1%)
             and, in particular, the deficit in net interest payments


Table 1.11	                                             Geographical breakdown of remittance payments in 2010 and 2011 a
Main destination countries. Percentage of total                                                                                       Source: Bank of Spain




                                      2010                       2011                                               2010                  2011
      Colombia                         17,9                      17,7                     Morocco                    4,1                   4,0
      Ecuador                          12,8                      12,9                     China                      3,5                   3,5
      Bolivia                           8,5                      8,3                      Peru                       3,6                   3,2
      Romania                           5,3                      5,0                      Brazil                     3,5                   3,2
      Dominican Rep.                    4,0                      4,8                      Pakistan                   1,7                   1,6
      Paraguay                          4,5                      4,1                      Philippines                1,4                   1,6



  a
      The geographical breakdown is obtained based on information reported to the Bank of Spain by currency exchange establishments




             In 2011, the capital account surplus fell 12.7% in 2011,                 the deterioration in the balance linked to the sale and
             to 0.5% of GDP. This decrease reflects the reduction in                  purchase of non-produced non-financial assets.
             the transfers surplus of the Public Administrations and




34
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies
Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies

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Yearbook 2012 Internationalization of Spanish Companies

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. © 2012, Círculo de Empresarios Calle Marques de Villamagna, 3, 10ª Planta, 28001 Madrid Authors: Ofelia Marín - Lozano - Head of the Economics Department, Círculo de Empresarios Mauro F. Guillén - Director of the Lauder Institute, The Wharton School María Grandal Bouza - Economic Roling Analyst of the Economics Department, Círculo de Empresarios Legal Deposit: M-38180-2012 Design: Tres Tipos Gráficos Printer: Imprimex
  • 4. YEARBOOK 2012 INTERNATIONALIZATION OF SPANISH COMPANIES
  • 5.
  • 6. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies Table of contents Presentation 13 Prologue 15 1. The world and Spanish economies in 2011-2012 19 1.1 International trade 23 1.2 Foreign direct investment 27 1.3 Spain’s foreign sector 29 Analysis of the Balance of Payments: current account and capital account balance 29 Spain’s foreign sector: changes in capital flows 35 Spain’s foreign sector: reduced debt position 38 Other indicators relating to the international presence of Spanish companies 39 2. Spanish companies from an international perspective 41 2.1 Shareholders Returns in a European and Global Context 42 2.2 Investment bank analysts and Spanish companies 49 2.3 Visibility of Spanish Companies in the international financial press 53 2.4 Conclusion 60 3. Special Mentions for the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 63 3.1 Major Companies with a Significant Track Record of Internationalization 64 3.1.1 Banco Santander 64 3.1.2 Iberdrola 65 3.1.3 OHL 65 3.2 Internationalization Operations in 2011 66 3.2.1 Línea Ferroviaria Medina-La Meca 66 3.2.2 Gestamp Automoción 67 3.3 Medium-sized Companies with a Significant Track Record of Internationalization 68 3.3.1 Fluidra 68 3.3.2 Maxam 69 3.3.3 Tubacex 70 3.3.4 Privalia 71 3.4 Foreign Investment in Spain 72 3.4.1 Ford 72 3.4.2 Hutchison Whampoa 72 7
  • 7. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 4. The New Latin Argonauts: Could they help in the internationalisation of Spain? (Author: Javier Santiso) 75 4.1 The Latin American diaspora 76 4.2 The Entrepreneur diaspora in Spain 79 4.3 Conclusion 81 5. Internationalization of the company (Author: Pablo Isla) 83 6. Statistical Annex 87 7. Bibliography 99 8. Recent publications of the Círculo de Empresarios 101 8
  • 8. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies List of Tables Table 1.1: IMF forecasts on GDP growth 19 Table 1.2: Spanish non-financial multinationals among the world’s leaders by international presence, 2011 21 Table 1.3: GDP and trade in goods by regions, 2009-2011 24 Table 1.4: Main exporter of goods, 2011 25 Table 1.5: Main importers of goods, 2011 26 Table 1.6: Major cross-border mergers and acquisitions worldwide in 2011 29 Table 1.7: Balance of payments: balances 30 Table 1.8: Foreign trade in goods, specialization by product 31 Table 1.9: Foreign trade in goods, specialization by geographical area 32 Table 1.10: Spain’s foreign trade performance by geographical area 33 Table 1.11: Geographical breakdown of remittance payments in 2010 and 2011 34 Table 1.12: Foreign Direct Investment transactions in 2010 and 2011. Breakdown by sector of economic activity 36 Table 1.13: Foreign Direct Investment transactions in 2010 and 2011. Breakdown by geographical area 37 Table 1.14: International investment position. Breakdown by sector (% of GDP) 38 Table 1.15: International investment position Breakdown by instruments (% of GDP) 39 Table 2.1: Top 25 Spanish companies by total shareholder return rate in 2011 44 Table 2.2: Top 10 IBEX 35 companies by total shareholder return rate (Companies and rates ranked by 2011 figures) 45 Table 2.3: Top 10 IBEX 35 companies by total shareholder return rate (Companies and rates ranked by 1995-2011 average) 46 Table 2.4: Top 10 IBEX 35 companies by total shareholder return rate (Companies and rates ranked by 1995-2011 average) 47 Table 2.5: Top Spanish companies by total shareholder return rate in 2010, relative to companies in the same sector in Euro area 48 Table 2.6: Stock market analysts` recommendations on IBEX 35 companies, 1998-2011 50 Table 2.7: Top 10 Spanish companies by average recommendation from stock market analysts in 2011, compared to companies in the same sector within the Euro area 52 Table 2.8: Top 25 Spanish companies by references in the international financial press, 1995-2011 56 Table 2.9: Top 25 Spanish companies by references in the international financial press in 20101, by publication 58 9
  • 9. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies List of Charts Chart 1.1: FDI inflows 1980-2011 27 Chart 2.1: Number of references to Spanish companies in articles published in the international financial press, 1995-2011 55 Chart 2.2: Top 5 Spanish companies by references in the international financial press, 1995-2011 57 Chart 2.3: Number of references to Spanish companies in articles published in the international financial press, by publication, 1995-2011 59 List of Boxes Box 1.1: Commodity price performance in 2011 and 2012 22 Box 2.1: The Total Shareholder Return Rate 42 Box 2.2: Stock market analysts` recommendations 49 Box 2.3: Methodology for compling references to Spanish companies in the international financial press 53 10
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies Presentation This is the sixth edition of the Yearbook on the the managers of Spanish companies who have Internationalization of Spanish Companies, pu- looked abroad with a spirit of optimism and blished by the Círculo de Empresarios in con- confidence. And, in particular, I would like to junction with the University of Pennsylvania’s highlight the efforts of those companies which, prestigious Wharton School. From the outset, based on a survey of Círculo members, have the Círculo-Wharton Yearbook has pursued the been distinguished in this Yearbook. dual objective of gauging the activity of Spanish companies abroad whilst encouraging those Once again, I would like to thank Wharton that have not yet made the decision to interna- School, one of the world’s most prestigious tionalize to take this decisive step, so essential academic establishments in all aspects rela- for their development and survival. This joint ting to the business world, for its collaboration, project has resulted in the consolidation of an which is pivotal to the ongoing success of this excellent observatory of the performance of publication. I would also like to thank everyone our companies abroad. from Wharton and Círculo de Empresarios in- volved in producing the Yearbook. And a very Since the launch of the Yearbook to date, the special thanks to Pablo Isla, the Chair of the world economy, and most notably Spain’s, have Inditex Group and to Javier Santiso, Professor been ravaged by one of the worst crises in his- of Economics at ESADE Business School, for tory. Recovery still remains weak. Despite the their contribution to this new edition. gloomy outlook, companies that have taken the decision to venture abroad, or to further their Many thanks to all, and thanks to the loyal internationalization goals have reaped the be- readers whose interest makes our efforts wor- nefits of market diversification, even though thwhile. the global crisis is very much alive. As stated in previous editions of this Yearbook, in a highly globalized economy, the quest for new markets and increased foreign presence are the most advisable strategies. This 2012 edition discusses clear examples of companies that have successfully applied these principals. In this connection, I would like to congratulate Mónica de Oriol Chair of Círculo de Empresarios 13
  • 13.
  • 14. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies Prologue In 2011 the world economy continued to reco- of -1.5% and -1.3% respectively, which confirms ver. However, this recovery was undermined the fragility of the recovery. by the uncertainties and lack of confidence which flooded the markets, affecting most no- Despite this complicated economic situation, tably the developed economies. Consequently, many national companies continue to opera- world growth fell from 5.1% in 2010 to 3.8% in te abroad, pursing their internationalization 2011, as noted by the International Monetary strategy. In addition, some bolstered their pre- Fund in its latest report World Economic Out- sence in the rankings of the UNCTAD World look, October 2012. Moreover, there are fears Investment Report, which refer to the world’s that the European crisis may worsen the global leading multinationals, and in other well-known economic scene, which has prompted the IMF league tables such as Fortune Global 500 or to revise downwards the growth data relating to Forbes 2000. the world economy for 2012 and 2013. The sixth edition of the Internationalization The economic policies implemented by govern- of Spanish Companies Yearbook covers ments, unilaterally or in a coordinated fashion, these and other phenomena. Through this pu- helped reduce systemic risk. However, these blication, once again this year, Círculo de Em- measures need to be strengthened so as to presarios wishes to offer the public an instru- consolidate the recovery and contain downside ment with which to gain insight into the foreign risks. The priorities in developed countries con- activity of Spanish companies and the most tinue to be reform of the financial sector, fiscal significant challenges they face going forward. consolidation and structural reforms to boost The 2012 Yearbook is structured into two main potential output. In emerging and developing parts: countries, it is necessary to introduce greater macroeconomic discipline, avoiding the build- • The first, which comprises three chap- up and widening of imbalances. ters, examines the economic context in which Spanish companies are operating both in Spain In the specific case of the Spanish economy, and abroad, as well as their achievements and according to data from the International Mone- challenges. tary Fund, while GDP improved slightly (0.4%) in 2011, forecasts for 2012 and 2013 predict falls 15
  • 15. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 Chapter one offers a brief overview of the glo- two operations involving foreign investment in bal and national economic framework, and an Spain receive a mention. analysis of the main characteristics of interna- tional trade and direct foreign investment for • The second part comprises, on this oc- the period 2011-2012. casion, two chapters. The first chapter focuses on the importance of business diasporas, Latin The second chapter reviews, from the interna- ones in particular, in driving the internationa- tional standpoint, the performance of Spanish lization of the Spanish economy. This chapter companies in terms of total shareholder returns, has been written by Javier Santiso, Professor of equity market analysts’ recommendations and Economics at ESADE Business School. companies’ coverage in the international finan- cial press. In general, the situation in 2011 re- The second article in this section, which bears presents a continuation of the negative trends the signature of Pablo Isla, the Chairman and from 2010 in relation to stock market perfor- CEO of the Inditex Group, discusses the inter- mance and, in particular, investment banks’ nationalization experience of this textile group, equity market analysts’ recommendations. an international leader in the fashion industry. Shareholder returns fell sharply in outright terms, although in comparison with the Euro Area, the drop was less dramatic. Investment bank recommendations deteriorated steadily, which, on interpretation, may reflect the antici- pation of analysts who predict new difficulties in 2012. Owing to the problems faced by Spa- nish financial and non-financial companies, the coverage of Spanish companies in the interna- Belén Romana, tional financial press increased significantly in General Secretary of Círculo de Empresarios 2011, surpassing the 2006 coverage record. This part ends with chapter three, in which Cír- culo de Empresarios recognizes the work of those Spanish companies which, through their internationalization, contribute to Spain’s glo- bal economic reach. There is a special mention for overseas business operations conducted by Spanish companies which, according to the members of Círculo de Empresarios, are espe- cially significant, and for both medium and lar- ge companies with an outstanding track record of internationalization over the past few years. Lastly, and as a new feature of this sixth edition, 16
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 1 The world and Spanish economies in 2011-2012 Throughout 2011, the world economy slowed down, highlighting the fragility of the reco- very, especially in the developed economies. Consequently, having closed 2010 with 5.1% growth, driven by gains in the main production ratios in emerging, developing economies and advanced economies, the world economy closed 2011 with 3.8% growth, according to the latest figures published by the IMF (Table 1.1). IMF forecasts on GDP growth Table 1.1 Source: IMF (WEO October 2012) Percentage variation 2010 2011 2012* 2013* World 5.1 3.8 3.3 3.6 Advanced economies 3.0 1.6 1.3 1.5 United States 2.4 1.8 2.2 2.1 European Union 2.1 1.6 -0.2 0.5 Euro area 2.0 1.4 -0.4 0.2 Germany 4.0 3.1 0.9 0.9 France 1.7 1.7 0.1 0.4 Italy 1.8 0.4 -2.3 -0.7 Spain -0.3 0.4 –1.5 -1.3 Japan 4.5 -0.8 2.2 1.2 United Kingdom 1.8 0.8 -0.4 1.1 Canada 3.2 2.4 1.9 2.0 Other advanced economies 5.9 3.2 2.1 3.0 Newly industrialized Asian economies 8.5 4.0 2.1 3.6 Emerging and developing economies 7.4 6.2 5.3 5.6 Sub-Saharan Africa 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.7 Central and Eastern Europe 4.6 5.3 2.0 2.6 Commonwealth of Independent States 4.8 4.9 4.0 4.1 Russia 4.3 4.3 3.7 3.8 Excluding Russia 6.0 6.2 4.7 4.8 Developing Asia 9.5 7.8 6.7 7.2 China 10.4 9.2 7.8 8.2 India 10.1 6.8 4.9 6.0 ASEAN 5 ** 7.0 4.5 5.4 5.8 Middle East and North Africa 5.0 3.3 5.3 3.6 Latin American and the Caribbean 6.2 4.5 3.2 3.9 Brazil 7.5 2.7 1.5 4.0 Mexico 5.6 3.9 3.8 3.5 * Forecasts ** ASEAN 5: Phillipines, Indonesia, Malasia, Thailand and Vietnam. 19
  • 19. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 Growth in the euro area slowed down in 2011 and forecasts for 2012 point to negative growth (-0.4%). This evolution has been strongly influenced by the performance of the financial mar- kets, affected by the debt crisis in the euro area. Tensions in the markets increased notably from summer 2011, on becoming systemic, and amid growing fears of feedback between sovereign risk, bank risk and loss of economic dynamism in several countries in the euro area. In Spain, financing terms became tougher and bond yields reached all time highs. The eco- nomic situation was very complicated. In 2011, average annual growth stood at 0.4%, and negative growth has been forecast for 2012 and 2013. The contribution of internal demand was once again negative (-1.9%), while for the fourth consecutive year, the contribution of net external demand was positive (2.3 pp). In this context, the IMF warned of the persistence of global downside risks. The con- cern is that the deepening of the crisis in the euro area may trigger a widespread shift towards lower risk assets or that political uncertainty may cause a hike in oil prices. Furthermore, the implementation of excessively restrictive measures may lead to a situation of sustained deflation or a prolonged period of very subdued activity in some of the major economies. According to this Organization, other latent risks include turmoil on the global bond and world foreign currency markets due to high budget deficits in Japan and USA, and a rapid slowdown in the activity of some emerging economies. Economic policy measures taken to date have helped reduce the systemic risk. However, in the face of persistent uncertainty, these measures need to be strengthened so as to con- solidate the recovery which has been weak so far and to contain downside risks. In the short term, this involves stepping up efforts to tackle the crisis in the euro area, reducing fiscal austerity in response to the downturn in activity, and maintaining lax monetary policies and ample liquidity for the financial sector. In the long term, the challenge consists in improving medium term prospects for the major advanced economies. The priorities continue to be reform of the financial sector, fiscal con- solidation and structural reforms to boost potential output. In the case of emerging and developing economies, there is a need to gauge the macroeco- nomic policies so as to tackle the downside risks of the advanced economies, by controlling the overheating pressures resulting from greater activity, credit growth, and volatile capital flows, as well as high commodity prices and the recurrence of risks related to energy prices (Box 1.1). The IMF, in its latest report World Economic Outlook, has broadly revised downwards fore- casts for 2012 and 2013. World growth will fall by 0.2% in 2012 and 0.3% in 2013. The Euro Area will also experience negative growth in both periods, of -0.1% and -0.5% respectively. In the specific case of Spain, the economy will contract by 1.5% in 2012 and 1.3% in 2013. In this scenario, world trade suffered a severe setback in 2011, posting a volume growth of 5%, compared to 13.8% in 2010. According to statistics compiled by the World Trade Organization (WTO) and published in the World Trade Report 2012, in 2011, Spain maintained its position as the 18th largest exporter of goods in the world (with a share of 1.6% of the world total) and in relation to imports, Spain clim- bed a position, ranking 15th (holding a share of 2%). With regard to trade in services, Spain ad- vanced a position to rank 8th for exports (3.4%), and remained in 14th place for imports (2.4%). 20
  • 20. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 Regarding foreign direct investment (FDI), global inflows grew 16% in 2011, surpassing for the first time the average for the three years preceding the outbreak of the world economic and financial crisis (2005-2007), but not exceeding the high of 2007. According to the data published in the World Investment Report 2012 by the UNCTAD, in 2011, Spain recovered the status it had lost in 2010 as a net foreign investor (in terms of FDI). This can be accounted for by the sharp drop in FDI inflows (-27.7% compared with 2010), while outflows stabilised. In 2011, Spain retained 15th position in the world ranking of FDI flows received and 14th in terms of outflows of this kind of investment. As to cumulative FDI, Spain maintains a relatively stable position. With 3.1% of the world to- tal, Spain fell two places to 9th position, losing ground to China and Brazil, in terms of stock received. And with 3% of the world total, Spain ranked 11th in terms of stock abroad, losing a position to Canada. Finally, setting aside the doubts regarding the future of the world economy and of Spain’s in particular, some Spanish companies have decided to start or to continue their internationa- lization processes, a clear exponent of which are the operations and companies mentioned in Chapter 3 of this Yearbook. This is fully consistent with the role played by the Spanish eco- nomy on the international stage, since its activity in the various areas of the world economy surpasses even its contribution to global GDP, which in 2011, fell below 1.8% in purchasing power parity terms. The rankings of the world’s top multinationals published in WIR 2012 underpin this idea. Among the top 100 non-financial multinationals, three are Spanish companies, holding the following positions in terms of assets abroad: Telefónica (ranked 10th), Iberdrola (25th) and Repsol (47th) (Table 1.2). Other well-known league tables confirm this impression. There are 8 Spanish companies in the Fortune Global 500 index of leading worldwide companies. There are 28 Spanish compa- nies in the Forbes 2,000 index, which refers to the top 2,000 global companies. Spanish non-financial multinationals among the world’s leaders by international presence, 2011 Table 1.2 Millions of dollars and number of employees Source: WIR 2012, UNCTAD Assets Sales Employees Abroad Total % of total Abroad Total % of total Abroad Total % of total Telefónica S.A. 147,903 180,186 82.1 63,014 87,346 72.1 231,066 286,145 80.8 Iberdrola S.A. 88,048 134,702 65.4 23,211 44,896 51.7 19,436 31,885 61.0 Repsol YPF S.A. 58,336 98,634 59.1 44,115 83,572 52.8 26,441 46,575 56.8 21
  • 21. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 Box 1.1 Commodity price performance in 2011 and 2012 Any analysis of the global economic situation must include a look at commodity price performance, in view of its enormous impact in a number of areas, from glo- bal inflation to access to food in developing countries. World commodity markets lost some momentum in 2011. Prices fell for most of the year, with the exception of the crude oil price. In the first quarter of 2012, commo- dity prices picked up, but in general terms, they remain below the levels recorded at the end of 2010. Index of commodity prices (2005=100) Source: IMF 230 210 190 170 150 130 110 90 70 2005M12 2006M12 2007M12 2008M12 2009M12 2010M03 2010M06 2010M09 2010M12 2011M03 2011M06 2011M09 2011M12 2012M03 2005M9 2006M3 2006M6 2006M9 2007M3 2007M6 2007M9 2008M3 2008M6 2008M9 2009M3 2009M6 2009M9 Some of the main factors that account for the fall in prices in 2011 are uncertainty regarding the short term global economic outlook; a more marked downswing than expected in emerging and developing economies; a downturn in the Chinese pro- perty market, increasing concerns over a hard landing in the country; and doubts as to the continuance of the commodity market boom. Crude petrol prices performed differently, which was mainly due to heightened geopolitical risks. 22
  • 22. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies World oil demand in 2011 was lower than expected owing to weaker global activity. However, the supply disruptions in major oil-producing economies (particularly Libya) interruptions due to maintenance and other reasons in non-OPEC oil produ- cing countries led to supply shortages which pushed up prices. Additional production by other OPEP members, primarily Saudi Arabia, and the weakening of demand enabled the matching of supply and demand at the end of the last quarter. However, at that time, the oil stocks of the OECD economies and the surplus capacity of the OPEC had fallen below five-year averages. At the same time, geopolitical risks increased, pushing up the precautionary demand for stocks. These events took place in a context of persistent oil shortages. In these circumstances, price increases are inevitable. Forecasts point to little improvement in conditions in the oil markets, since supply from non-OPEC countries is only expected to increase moderately in the short term. On the basis of the future prices for oil, it is anticipated that spot prices will drop gradually but remain above the average level until 2012-13. Since inventory stocks and surplus capacity are below average, the upside risks for oil prices re- main a cause for concern, in spite of the downside risks for oil demand and global economic growth. International trade 1.1 Global trade slumped in 2011, following the significant mi and the nuclear accident in Japan or the floods in recovery in 2010. Thailand). The reasons that account for this fall include in par- As a result, trade growth in 2011 was below average. ticular financial and economic uncertainly at interna- According to the WTO the volume of global trade in tional level (negative growth recorded in the European goods grew 5% (in real terms), compared to 13.8% in Union or the debt crisis in the euro area), civil strife 2010 (Table 1.3). (rioting in North African countries, especially in Lib- ya) and natural disasters (the earthquake, the tsuna- 23
  • 23. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 Table 1.3 GDP and trade in goods by regions, 2009-2011 Annual percent change at constant prices Source: WTO Secretariat GDP Exports Imports 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 World -2.6 3.8 2.4 -12.0 13.8 5.0 -12.9 13.7 4.9 North America -3.6 3.2 1.9 -14.8 14.9 6.2 -16.6 15.7 4.7 US -3.5 3.0 1.7 -14.0 15.4 7.2 -16.4 14.8 3.7 Central and South America a -0.3 6.1 4.5 -8.1 5.6 5.3 -16.5 22.9 10.4 Europe -4.1 2.2 1.7 -14.1 10.9 5.0 -14.1 9.7 2.4 European Union (27) -4.3 2.1 1.5 -14.5 11.5 5.2 -14.1 9.5 2.0 Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) b -6.9 4.7 4.6 -4.8 6.0 1.8 -28.0 18.6 16.7 Africa 2.2 4.6 2.3 -3.7 3.0 -8.3 -5.1 7.3 5.0 Middle East 1.0 4.5 4.9 -4.6 6.5 5.4 -7.7 7.5 5.3 Asia -0.1 6.4 3.5 -11.4 22.7 6.6 -7.7 18.2 6.4 China 9.2 10.4 9.2 -10.5 28.4 9.3 2.9 22.1 9.7 Japan -6.3 4.0 -0.5 -24.9 27.5 -0.5 -12.2 10.1 1.9 India 6.8 10.1 7.8 -6.0 22.0 16.1 3.6 22.7 6.6 Newly industrialized countries c -0.6 8.0 4.2 -5.7 20.9 6.0 -11.4 17.9 2.0 Developed economies -4.1 2.9 1.5 -15.1 13.0 4.7 -14.4 10.9 2.8 Developing economies and CIS 2.2 7.2 5.7 -7.4 14.9 5.4 -10.5 18.1 7.9 a Including the Caribbean b It is a supranational organization comprising 10 former Soviet republics c Hong Kong, China, Rep. of Korea, Singapore and Chinese Taipei According to IMF forecasts, real growth in world trade Japan (reducing its exports by 0.5%), disrupting supply will be even lower for 2012, falling to 3.2%, but will be chains which affected exports from developing coun- followed by an acceleration in 2013 (4.5%). tries such as China - fewer components were sent, which led to a reduction in the output of export goods. As to export performance, Asia, with an increase of 6.6%, was ahead of all the other regions. The increa- As to imports, demand in 2011 was adversely affected ses of 16.1% in India and 9.3% in China are noteworthy. by sluggish growth in the major economies, its growth falling from 13.7% in 2010 to 4.9% in 2011. By regions, Export growth in the developed economies in 2011 ex- the CIS experienced the highest growth (16.7%), which ceeded expectations, reaching 4.7%, on the back of a accounts for the greater increase in developing eco- sharp rise (7.2%) in US exports as well as an expansion nomies and the CIS (7.9%), compared with developed of 5.2% in EU exports. economies (2.8%). For their part, the results of the developing economies In 2011, exchange rates were considerably volatile, (including those of the CIS) were lower than forecast, which affected the competitiveness of some econo- with an increase of barely 5.4%. The factors that con- mies and prompted measures to be taken (Switzerland tributed to their worst performance in exports were the and Brazil). The fluctuations were largely due to attitu- interruptions in oil supply from Libya (75% reduction), des towards risk in relation to the sovereign debt crisis which led to an 8.3% fall in African exports in 2011; the in the euro area. floods in Thailand; the earthquake and the tsunami in 24
  • 24. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies Nominal trade flows were also affected by recent eco- With regard to exports of goods, in 2011, China retai- nomic shocks. In 2011, the value in dollars of world ned its world leadership (Table 1.4). It has gradually trade in goods rose 19% to reach 18.2 trillion dollars, distanced itself from the US and Germany to hold a exceeding the high (16.1 trillion dollars) attained in 2-point lead in terms of share of total world exports, 2008. A substantial proportion of this growth was due with a share of 10.4%. to the increase in commodity prices. The share held by the developing and CIS economies in the world total rose to 47% in the case of exports and 42% for imports. Main exporter of goods, 2011 Table 1.4 Billions of dollars and by percentage Source: WTO Percentage as Annual percentage Rank Value per global total variation China 1 1,899 10.4 20 United States 2 1,481 8.1 16 Germany 3 1,474 8.1 17 Japan 4 823 4.5 7 Netherlands 5 660 3.6 15 France 6 597 3.3 14 Rep. of Korea 7 555 3.0 19 Italy 8 523 2.9 17 Russia 9 522 2.9 30 Belgium 10 476 2.6 17 United Kingdom 11 473 2.6 17 Hong Kong, China 12 456 2.5 14 - National exports 17 0.1 14 - Reexports 439 2.4 14 Canada 13 452 2.5 17 Singapore 14 410 2.2 16 - National exports 224 1.2 23 - Reexports 186 1.0 10 Saudi Arabia 15 365 2.0 45 Mexico 16 350 1.9 17 Chinese Taipei 17 308 1.7 12 Spain 18 297 1.6 17 India 19 297 1.6 35 United Arab Emirates 20 285 1.6 30 25
  • 25. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 Likewise, China increased its proportion of total world it continues to close this distance in the ranking of the imports (Table 1.5), attaining a 9.5% share and conso- top importers of goods. lidating its second position behind the USA. However, Table 1.5 Main importers of goods, 2011 Billions of dollars and by percentage Source: WTO Percentage as per Annual percentage varia- Rank Value global total tion United States 1 2,265 12.3 15 China 2 1,743 9.5 25 Germany 3 1,254 6.8 19 Japan 4 854 4.6 23 France 5 715 3.9 17 United Kingdom 6 636 3.5 13 Netherlands 7 597 3.2 16 Italy 8 557 3.0 14 Rep. of Korea 9 524 2.9 23 Hong Kong, China 10 511 2.8 16 - Imports-reimports 130 0.7 16 Canada a 11 462 2.5 15 Belgium 12 461 2.5 17 India 13 451 2.5 29 Singapore 14 366 2.0 18 - Imports-reimports 180 1.0 27 Spain 15 362 2.0 11 Mexico 16 361 2.0 16 Russia a 17 323 1.8 30 Chinese Taipei 18 281 1.5 12 Australia 19 244 1.3 21 Turkey 20 241 1.3 30 a Imports according to FOB values Finally, as far as trade in services is concerned, the growth owing to the fact that Egyptian exports in tra- value of world exports increased 11% in 2011 to 4.1 vel-related services dropped by over 30%. trillion dollars, with marked differences in the annual growth rates of the various countries and regions. For The proportion of trade in services in total trade in instance, African exports were seriously affected by goods and services stood at 18.6%, the lowest level the rioting in the Arab countries and experienced zero since 1990. 26
  • 26. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies Foreign direct investment 1.2 According to estimates published by the United they rose 21% with respect to 2010, reaching 748 Nations Conference on Trade and Development billion, but are still 25% below the average attained (UNCTAD), which is the main source of statistical data between 2005 and 2007. In spite of this progression, on this subject, in spite of the throes of the world eco- developing and transition economies taken together nomic and financial crisis and the debt crisis, in 2011, accounted for over half of global FDI (45% and 6% global Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows exceeded respectively). In the first group, FDI inflows increased the average level attained in the period prior to the 11%, reaching a record figure of 684 billion - 10% in world economic and financial crisis, reaching 1.5 tri- Asia, and 16% in Latin American and the Caribbean. llion dollars. The actual growth rate was 16%. However, And in the transition economies, the increase was the level remains 23% below the 2007 record. 25%, to 92 billion. Africa and less developed econo- mies experienced a fall in FDI inflows for the third con- Some of the factors that boosted this growth were hig- secutive year. In Africa, the regression is essentially her profits earned by multinationals and the relatively explained by divestment in North Africa (specifically to strong growth of developing economies. Egypt and Syria, due to political instability). The inflows of this kind of investment increased across the board in 2011 (Chart 1.1). In developed countries, FDI inflows 1980-2011 Chart 1.1 Billions of dollars Source: UNCTAD Developed economies 2,500.0 World Developing economies Transition economies 2,000.0 1,500.0 1,000.0 500.0 0.0 2004 2002 2003 2000 2005 2006 2007 1994 1984 2001 2009 1987 1989 1990 1991 1993 2008 1986 1988 1992 1997 1980 1982 1983 1985 1995 1998 2010 1981 2011 1996 1999 27
  • 27. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 As to FDI outflows, flows towards advanced countries by the increase in the number of mega-operations (for rose sharply by 25% in 2011, reaching 1.24 trillion do- more than 3 billion dollars) from 44 in 2010 to 62 in llars. This increase is essentially explained by reinves- 2011, which is a reflection of the increase in the value tment of profits from US multinationals (82% of total of assets on the stock markets and the greater finan- outflows), mergers and acquisitions of the European cial capacity of buyers. Union, and Japanese purchases in North America and Europe favoured by the appreciation of the yen. New investment (greenfield) stayed around 904 billion (more than two thirds invested in developing and tran- Investment from developing countries fell 4% to 384 sition economies), and continues to outstrip mergers billion, while their share of global outflows remained and acquisitions, as has been the case since the start high at 23%. FDI from Latin America and the Caribbean of the crisis. fell 17%, essentially due to the repatriation of capital owing to financial considerations (exchange rate, in- On a corporate level, in 2011, despite the turbulent terest rate etc.). In the case of East and Southeast economic situation, important operations were per- Asia, the flows stagnated, while those from West Asia formed throughout the globe, as evidenced by the rose to 25 billion. UNCTAD ranking of the largest mergers and acquisi- tions in the world (Table 1.6). By sectors, FDI flows rose in three production sectors: primary, manufacturing and services. In the service Finally, forecasts regarding performance of FDI flows sector, FDI recovered in 2011 after falling in 2009 and have improved continuously from 2008-2009, while 2010, to reach 570 billion. Similarly, investment in the still being subject to macroeconomic and financial primary sector changed trend, reaching 200 billion. conditions. Due to economic uncertainty, UNTCAD The share of both sectors increased at the expense forecasts point to a slowing of the upward trend. of industry, where investment in the following areas is Growth in FDI is expected to slow, leveling off in 2012 noteworthy: the mining and chemical industries, uti- at around 1.6 billion dollars. Longer term forecasts, for lities, transport, communication and other services. 2013 and 2014, indicate a moderate rise to 1.8 trillion and 1.9 trillion, respectively. By FDI entry modes, cross-border mergers and acqui- sitions rose 53% in 2011 to 526 billion dollars, driven 28
  • 28. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies Major cross-border mergers and acquisitions worldwide in 2011 Table 1.6 US$ billions Source: UNCTAD, WIR 2012 Objective Buyer Ranking Amount Company/ country /sector Company/ country GDF Suez Energy International Power PLC 1 25.1 (Belgium) Natural gas transmission (United Kingdom) Weather Investments Srl VimpelCom Ltd 2 22.4 (Italy) Telecommunications (Netherlands) Genzyme Corp Sanofi-Aventis SA 3 21.2 (United States) Biological products, except substance analysis (France) Nycomed International Management GmbH Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd 4 13.7 (Switzerland) Pharmaceutical products (Japan) Petrohawk Energy Corp BHP Billiton PLC 5 11.8 (United States) Oil and natural gas (United Kingdom) Foster´s Group Ltd SABMiller Beverage Investments Pty Ltd 6 10.8 (Australia) Beverages (Australia) Centro Properties Group BRE Retail Holdings Inc 7 9.4 (United States) Property (United States) Reliance Industries Ltd BP PLC 8 9.0 (India) Oil and natural gas (United Kingdom) Skype Global Sarl Microsoft Corp 9 8.5 (Luxemburg) Software (United States) Morgan Stanley Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc 10 7.8 (United States) Bank holdings (Japan) Spain’s foreign sector 1.3 A) Analysis of the Balance of Payments: current account and capital account balance Spain’s external imbalances continued their course of ad- The lower recourse to external funding can be explained justment in 2011. According to the data compiled in the broadly by the decline in investment, to 22.1% of GDP report on the balance of payments 2011 (Table 1.7), pu- (against 23.3% in 2010), since gross national savings fell blished by the Bank of Spain in 2012, the funding requi- moderately to 18.7 % of GDP (0.6 pp less than the previous rements for Spain’s economy from external sources, year). measured as the overall balance of the current and capital account, fell further in 2011 (by 22%) to 3% of GDP (practi- cally one point lower than in 2010). 29
  • 29. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 Table 1.7 Balance of payments: balances % of GDP Source: Bank of Spain 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 CAPACITY (+)/FUNDING (-) REQUIREMENTS -4.2 -6.5 -8.3 -9.6 -9.1 -4.4 -3.9 -3.0 Current account -5.3 -7.4 -9.0 -10.0 -9.7 -5.2 -4.5 -3.5 Goods -6.4 -7.5 -8.5 -8.7 -8.0 -4.0 -4.4 -3.7 Services 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.6 3.2 - Travel and tourism 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.9 - Other services -0.6 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.3 Income -1.4 -1.9 -2.1 -2.9 -3.3 -2.8 -2.0 -2.4 Current transfers 0.0 -0.4 -0.7 -0.7 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 Capital account 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 FINANCIAL ACCOUNT a 4.1 6.7 8.7 9.6 9.2 5.0 4.1 3.2 Excluding Bank of Spain 5.8 6.9 11.3 8.3 5.9 4.2 2.6 -7.1 Foreign direct investment -3.4 -1.5 -6.0 -4.8 -0.7 -0.1 -0.1 -0.6 Portfolio investment 10.2 6.5 20.3 10.0 0.4 4.3 2.9 -2.3 Other investments -1.0 1.9 -3.2 3.5 7.0 0.5 -0.9 -4.5 Financial derivatives 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.4 0.6 -0.6 0.8 0.2 Bank of Spain b -1.7 -0.2 -2.6 1.4 2.8 1.0 1.5 10.2 ERRORS AND OMISSIONS 0.1 -0.2 -0.4 0.0 -0.1 -0.5 -0.2 -0.1 a Variation in liabilities less variation in assets b A negative (positive) sign implies an increase (decrease) in the Bank of Spain’s net assets vis-à-vis abroad In 2011, the current account deficit recorded a new The trade balance in relation to the EMU and the UE low in the series since 2004, by falling to 3.5% of GDP, was positive for the first time since the mid 1980s. against 4.5% in 2010. The correction of the deficit is primarily attributable to the improvement in the trade As to trade flows, exports grew 15% (despite the down- balance. A contribution was also made by the increa- turn in global trade), against 8.7% for imports. The an- se in the services surplus and the reduction in the nual coverage ratio (exports/imports) was above 80%. current transfers deficit, which offset the marked de- Moreover, in light of the performance of exports, the terioration in the negative income balance, caused by percentage share of Spain in world trade, in real terms, higher funding costs. As far as the capital account is continued to grow for the third consecutive year. concerned, the surplus shrank by one tenth, to 0.5% of GDP. This progression is largely explained by the impact on exports of accumulated gains in competitiveness- In 2011, the trade deficit fell considerably, to 3.7% price and competitiveness-cost in recent years. In of GDP (0.8 pp lower than in 2010), especially due to addition, this effect has been strengthened by the the marked decrease in the non-energy trade balance growth in the number of international trade relations, (-69%), since the energy trade balance continued to favoured by the increase in the number of exporting rise (16%) due to high oil prices. countries, (12.5% in 2012) and by the diversification of destinations where Spanish companies operate. 30
  • 30. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies In terms of the Quarterly National Accounts (CNTR), to this marked progression in exports, capital goods real exports of goods grew in 2011 by 9.5%. According as well as intermediate goods played an important to Customs, the increase was 10.1%. Both figures re- role, at the same time, consumer goods showed no- flect the strength of exports in the context of a down- table recovery (5.4% in 2011), in particular foods and turn in global trade and, in particular, the strength of other manufactured products. Actual sales of capital Spain’s export markets. However, while in real terms goods increased by 15.9% in 2011, owing to exports of the share of Spanish exports in the world total rose, rail and air transport material, and construction ma- in nominal terms, it fell, due to higher energy costs. chinery. Exports of energy intermediate goods grew 36.7% and non-energy intermediate goods by 10.7%. By sectors, there were no significant changes in Spain’s trade pattern in 2011 (Table 1.8). In relation Foreign trade in goods, specialization by product Table 1.8 % of total Source: Own research based on data from the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness 2011 Products Exports Imports Foods 14.2 10.4 Energy products 7.4 21.4 Commodities 2.7 4.3 Non-chemical semimanufacturing 12.2 7.5 Non-ferrous metals 2.2 1.4 Iron and steel 4.1 3.1 Paper 1.6 1.3 Ceramic products and similar items 1.3 0.2 Other semimanufacturing 3.0 1.5 Chemical products 13.7 14.5 Organic chemical products 1.6 2.8 Inorganic chemical products 0.4 0.8 Plastics 3.8 3.0 Medicines 4.1 4.3 Fertilizers 0.3 0.3 Tanning and dyeing products 0.9 0.5 Perfumes and essential oils 1.5 1.1 Rest of chemical products 1.2 1.8 Capital goods 20.1 17.9 Industrial machinery 5.1 4.6 Office equipment and telecommunications 1.3 4.5 Transport material 5.1 1.8 Other capital goods 8.6 7.0 Automotive sector 15.4 10.4 Cars and motorcycles 10.5 4.2 Auto parts 5.0 6.2 Durable consumer goods 1.7 2.5 Consumer manufacturing 8.2 10.5 Textiles and clothing 4.6 5.9 Footwear 1.0 0.9 Toys 0.3 0.7 Other consumer manufacturing 2.3 3.0 Other goods 4.4 0.7 31
  • 31. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 By geographical areas (Tables 1.9 and 1.10), as in By sectors, in real terms, imports of consumer goods 2010, it is worth highlighting the growth in nominal fell 2.2% and imports of capital goods by 3.1%. Inter- terms of sales outside the EU to the OPEC countries, mediate goods sales halted their progression, falling Russia and associated countries as well as Japan and from 19.1% in 2010 to 2.6% in 2011, owing in particular China. While exports to the euro area slowed down, to the slowdown in purchases of non-energy interme- those destined for France and Germany showed sig- diate goods. nificant progress. By geographical areas, in real terms, purchases outsi- Imports suffered a setback, with a real growth rate de the EU (from Russia, Latin America etc.) grew more of 0.6% in 2011, according to data from the Quarterly sharply than those from the euro area, whose relative National Accounts, and 1% according to Customs. weighting as a goods supplier for Spain fell further. It This lower growth is mainly due to weak domestic de- is worth emphasizing the weighting of imports from mand for consumption and investment, the downturn France, Germany and Italy. in exports and the increase in prices, in particular of commodities. Table 1.9 Foreign trade in goods, specialization by geographical area % of total Source: Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness 2011 Regions/countries Exports Imports EUROPEAN UNION 66.0 52.8 EURO AREA 52.8 42.8 France 17.9 10.8 Germany 10.2 11.8 Italy 7.9 6.6 Portugal 8.0 3.9 REST OF EU 13.3 10.0 United Kingdom 6.4 4.0 REST OF EUROPE 7.6 6.9 Russia 1.2 3.2 NORTH AMERICA 4.2 4.5 US 3.7 4.1 LATIN AMERICA 5.6 6.1 Mexico 1.4 1.4 Brazil 1.2 1.4 Argentina 0.5 0.8 REST OF AMERICA 0.1 0.6 ASIA 7.9 19.8 India 0.6 1.1 China 1.6 7.1 Japan 0.9 1.2 AFRICA 5.4 8.9 Morocco 1.9 1.2 Algeria 1.2 2.2 OCEANÍA 0.8 0.5 Australia 0.7 0.3 OECD 77.8 64.2 NAFTA 5.6 5.9 MERCOSUR 1.8 2.3 OPEC 3.9 11.2 32
  • 32. 2012 Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies Spain’s foreign trade performance by geographical area Table 1.10 Nominal variation Source: Bank of Spain. Balance of Payments Report Total 2005-09 2010 a 2011 a Exports Total 1.7 17.4 15.4 OECD 0.4 16.2 13.5 EU 27 0.2 15.4 12.6 United Kingdom -5.3 15.1 19.5 Euro area (EMU 16) 0.7 15.0 9.6 Germany 0.7 10.7 12.2 France 1.7 12.4 13.3 Italy -0.3 25.8 4.4 United States -0.3 12.5 20.8 OPEC 9.3 11.0 28.5 CIS and other Central and Eastern European countries b 9.7 26.6 49.5 NIC c 8.4 25.2 1.8 Rest of world 5.6 25.8 17.5 Imports Total -0.2 14.2 9.6 OECD -2.5 7.7 6.5 EU 27 -2.4 6.9 5.9 United Kingdom -5.0 10.7 -2.2 Euro area (EMU 16) -2.9 4.5 6.7 Germany -3.7 -6.6 10.0 France -5.4 2.0 10.6 Italy -4.7 12.1 2.4 United States 2.4 10.1 12.8 OPEC 6.7 34.9 20.5 CIS and other Central and Eastern European countries b 6.1 23.1 33.2 NIC c -4.6 6.9 -3.5 Rest of world d 6.3 27.2 10.0 a Provisional data, Department of Customs b Including Russia, Ukraine, Belorussia, Moldavia, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Romania, Bulga- ria, Albania, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia and Montenegro c Includes Republic of Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore d Does not include items without geographical allocation 33
  • 33. Yearbook on the Internationalization of Spanish Companies 2012 The services surplus increased in 2011 to 3.2% of generated by bonds and debentures and money mar- GDP (against 2.6% in 2010), owing to the improvement ket instruments. The income deficit associated with in the surplus in travel and tourism, which grew 2.9%. other investment (loans, deposits and repos) likewise Non-tourist services recorded a positive balance for increased, and direct investment income surplus mo- the second consecutive year (0.3% of GDP). derated, due to the greater fall, in absolute terms, in dividends received than in payments under this hea- In 2011, both revenue from services and payments for ding. services grew. However, while the former gathered momentum (8.7% in nominal terms), the pace of pay- The current transfers deficit fell in 2011 by 18.9%, ments slowed down (2.5%). Revenue from tourism gai- to 0.6% of GDP, owing to a significant rise in reve- ned some weighting in terms of contribution to GDP nue (7.9%). By institutional sectors, the public sector (attaining 4%), largely owing to the diversion of tourists deficit was corrected and the private sector surplus to Spain on account of the geopolitical instability in widened. The negative balance linked to remittances the Middle East, and the suppression of hotel rates in from migrants continued its course of correction to recent years. reach -0.1% of GDP, experiencing a greater increase in revenue (5.9%) than in payments (0.8%). The difficult For its part, the income account deficit widened situation of the Spanish labour market and the logi- significantly in 2011, to 2.4% of GDP. Revenue fell cal reduction in the number of migrant arrivals explain (8.2%) and payments rose (3.8%). The increase re- this reduction. As usual, remittance payments are flects, above all, higher external funding costs. By notably concentrated in Latin American destinations kinds of investment, the deterioration in the balance (Table 1.11). was broadbased. It is worth highlighting the increa- se in the portfolio investment income deficit (21.1%) and, in particular, the deficit in net interest payments Table 1.11 Geographical breakdown of remittance payments in 2010 and 2011 a Main destination countries. Percentage of total Source: Bank of Spain 2010 2011 2010 2011 Colombia 17,9 17,7 Morocco 4,1 4,0 Ecuador 12,8 12,9 China 3,5 3,5 Bolivia 8,5 8,3 Peru 3,6 3,2 Romania 5,3 5,0 Brazil 3,5 3,2 Dominican Rep. 4,0 4,8 Pakistan 1,7 1,6 Paraguay 4,5 4,1 Philippines 1,4 1,6 a The geographical breakdown is obtained based on information reported to the Bank of Spain by currency exchange establishments In 2011, the capital account surplus fell 12.7% in 2011, the deterioration in the balance linked to the sale and to 0.5% of GDP. This decrease reflects the reduction in purchase of non-produced non-financial assets. the transfers surplus of the Public Administrations and 34