Will Stocks Continue to Rise as Trump Goes Down in Flames?

By www.ProfitableInvestingTips.com

http://profitableinvestingtips.com/stock-investing/will-stocks-continue-to-rise-as-trump-goes-down-in-flames
It looks like Hillary Clinton is going to
be the next president and the market
has reacted positively.

Here are a few thoughts on how this is
working out and how to make a profit
in stocks as the presidential election
campaign winds down to a welcome
close.

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The reason that U.S. presidential
candidates always move politically
toward the center as the election
approaches is because it works.

Each party has its base of ardent
supporters but not enough people to
win the election.

The winner is the candidate who
convinces the vast undecided middle of
the U.S. political spectrum to vote for
them and who keeps their base
energized enough to get out and vote.

The problem for Donald Trump is that
with questions arising about his
business acumen ($1 billion dollar
business loss in one year) and his
morals (bragging on tape about
unsolicited sexual advances on women)

he has retreated to the attack, slash and
burn, mode that is popular with his
base but is offensive to virtually
everyone else.

Take a look at the odds reported in
the New York Times “Upshot” page and
their “Who Will Be President” page.

The Upshot’s elections model suggests
that Hillary Clinton is favored to win
the presidency, based on the latest state
and national polls.

A victory by Mr. Trump remains quite
possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing
is about the same as the probability that
an N.F.L. kicker misses a 36-yard field
goal.

In the last couple of weeks Mr. Trumps
odds of winning have gone down from
about one in three to one in six or worse
and the market has gone up.

Our point is not to argue the pros and
cons of either candidate’s positions or
defend or attack either candidate.

Rather our point is to ask if stocks will
continue to rise as Trump goes down in
flames, perhaps taking a Republican
Party in both houses of congress with
him.

Stocks Are Up Post Debate

Reuters reports that U.S. stocks
gain on Clinton’s debate performance.

U.S. stocks strode higher on Monday,
buoyed by the perception that Hilary
Clinton won the second U.S. presidential
debate and by a surge in oil prices, while
sterling was under pressure on concerns
Britain will make a hard exit from the
European Union.

A poll taken by CNN immediately
following Sunday night’s debate showed
viewers said Clinton had beaten Donald
Trump, 57 percent to 34 percent.

“The broader market is responding
positively to the events over the weekend
that make Clinton more likely to win,”
said Rick Meckler, president of hedge
fund LibertyView Capital Management
LLC in Jersey City, New Jersey.

Investors see a Democratic Clinton
administration as more predictable than
one led by Trump, who has provided less
detail about his plans and raised fears of
market volatility around his candidacy,
Meckler said.

As the election campaign winds down
to close it would appear that Mr. Trump
is going to retreat back into his base
and fail to contest the middle ground.

This will make him fall even further in
the polls and will hearten the market
which likes predictability.

Take a look at what a Clinton
presidency would mean for stocks.

Will Stocks Continue to Rise as Trump Goes Down in Flames?

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Will Stocks Continue to Rise as Trump Goes Down in Flames?