Jim Wiesemeyer - Washington Update: Will Dysfunctional Washington Ever FunctionJohn Blue
Washington Update: Will Dysfunctional Washington Ever Function - Jim Wiesemeyer, Informa Economics, from the 2014 Iowa Pork Congress, January 22-23, Des Moines, IA, USA.
More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2014-iowa-pork-congress
2014 Economic Outlook (Michael Brown, Wells Fargo)PublicFinanceTV
The document analyzes the economic outlook for 2014 and beyond. It finds that while the US economic recovery will continue in 2014, growth will remain below historical averages. Unemployment remains elevated due to structural factors. Consumer spending and business investment will slowly increase in 2014, supporting moderate GDP growth. Federal fiscal policy uncertainty poses a headwind. Overall, the recovery is ongoing but uneven across states, industries, and demographic groups.
Western Cape Residential Property Review by John Loos Matthew Le Cordeur
The FNB House Price Index for March 2015 rose 5.3% year-on-year. This is slightly slower than the previous month’s revised 5.6%, and continues a slowing year-on-year price inflation trend of recent months.
CEDS 101 or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the CEDSCivic Analytics LLC
This document provides an overview of guidance for developing Comprehensive Economic Development Strategies (CEDS). It emphasizes using new Economic Development Administration guidelines as an opportunity to improve CEDS, focusing on economic resilience. Key components of an effective CEDS are identified, including vision/call to action statements, SMART goals, strategies, and an evaluation framework. Metrics for measuring economic resilience at the regional level are also presented. The document aims to help users strengthen their CEDS and more effectively plan for and measure economic development.
Dr. Steve Meyer - Pork Industry Economic UpdateJohn Blue
Pork Industry Economic Update - Dr. Steve Meyer - Paragon Economics, from the Swine Forecast 2011 webinar, December 1, 2010.
http://www.swinecast.com/swine-forecast-2011
This document discusses Wisconsin's economic recovery and labor market challenges. It notes that while the economic recovery is underway, Wisconsin faces a labor quantity challenge as the workforce is not growing quickly enough. Technology will continue to advance and impact jobs through automation. The chief economist analyzes various factors influencing the labor supply and demand balance such as demographics, migration patterns, childcare access, wages, and automation. He discusses potential solutions like immigration, skills training, and increasing wages but notes fixing the workforce issue will require macro-level solutions.
Jim Wiesemeyer - Washington Update: Will Dysfunctional Washington Ever FunctionJohn Blue
Washington Update: Will Dysfunctional Washington Ever Function - Jim Wiesemeyer, Informa Economics, from the 2014 Iowa Pork Congress, January 22-23, Des Moines, IA, USA.
More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2014-iowa-pork-congress
2014 Economic Outlook (Michael Brown, Wells Fargo)PublicFinanceTV
The document analyzes the economic outlook for 2014 and beyond. It finds that while the US economic recovery will continue in 2014, growth will remain below historical averages. Unemployment remains elevated due to structural factors. Consumer spending and business investment will slowly increase in 2014, supporting moderate GDP growth. Federal fiscal policy uncertainty poses a headwind. Overall, the recovery is ongoing but uneven across states, industries, and demographic groups.
Western Cape Residential Property Review by John Loos Matthew Le Cordeur
The FNB House Price Index for March 2015 rose 5.3% year-on-year. This is slightly slower than the previous month’s revised 5.6%, and continues a slowing year-on-year price inflation trend of recent months.
CEDS 101 or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the CEDSCivic Analytics LLC
This document provides an overview of guidance for developing Comprehensive Economic Development Strategies (CEDS). It emphasizes using new Economic Development Administration guidelines as an opportunity to improve CEDS, focusing on economic resilience. Key components of an effective CEDS are identified, including vision/call to action statements, SMART goals, strategies, and an evaluation framework. Metrics for measuring economic resilience at the regional level are also presented. The document aims to help users strengthen their CEDS and more effectively plan for and measure economic development.
Dr. Steve Meyer - Pork Industry Economic UpdateJohn Blue
Pork Industry Economic Update - Dr. Steve Meyer - Paragon Economics, from the Swine Forecast 2011 webinar, December 1, 2010.
http://www.swinecast.com/swine-forecast-2011
This document discusses Wisconsin's economic recovery and labor market challenges. It notes that while the economic recovery is underway, Wisconsin faces a labor quantity challenge as the workforce is not growing quickly enough. Technology will continue to advance and impact jobs through automation. The chief economist analyzes various factors influencing the labor supply and demand balance such as demographics, migration patterns, childcare access, wages, and automation. He discusses potential solutions like immigration, skills training, and increasing wages but notes fixing the workforce issue will require macro-level solutions.
This document from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) analyzes and compares the fiscal impact of tax and spending proposals from Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. It finds that under current policies, debt is projected to rise to 127% of GDP by 2026. Clinton's proposals could increase debt to between 87-140% of GDP, while Trump's could increase debt to between 90-150% of GDP. To stabilize or reduce debt levels, the candidates' plans would require substantial tax increases, spending cuts, or higher than projected economic growth.
The document provides an economic overview and projections for Q1 2018. It summarizes the Federal Reserve's projections for GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, and interest rates through 2020. It also reviews recent employment, wage growth, GDP, corporate profits, home prices, and other economic indicators. Overall, the outlook presented is for continued moderate economic expansion in the US.
Obamacare 1y Anniversary War Room Slideshiddenlevers
The document provides an overview and analysis of the one year anniversary of the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare). It discusses three potential scenarios for healthcare costs and their economic impacts, reviews changes to Medicare and the performance and challenges in the first year of Obamacare's implementation, and examines the potential impacts of Obamacare on jobs and healthcare inflation trends globally.
In our annual Toronto event, held at the Four Seasons Toronto, we presented Strategic Decisions for an Uncertain Future:
John Nicola, Chairman & CEO addresses several issues facing high net worth families:
• How will the Liberals’ tax changes affect financial planning for Canadians?
• How will inflated prices impact future returns?
• Are there best practices for navigating the current environment?
Rob Edel, Chief Investment Officer provides an investment roadmap for 2018:
• After a record-breaking period for the S&P 500, what signs might indicate an economic downturn?
• What current events could most affect the economy and investment strategy?
• What should one make of bitcoin, marijuana stocks, electric vehicles, and other hot topics for the upcoming year?
The Federal Reserve projects real GDP growth of 2.7-3.0% in 2018, with unemployment falling to 3.6-3.7% and inflation rising but remaining near 2%. In Q2 2018, real GDP increased at an annual rate of 4.1% while unemployment declined slightly. Job growth was strong in professional services and manufacturing. Home prices continue rising nationally at over 6% annually according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index.
In this annual Strategic Outlook seminar, we will discuss what the markets have in store for 2018, and beyond.
Presenters:
John Nicola, Chairman & CEO
John will address several issues facing high net worth families:
- How will the Liberals’ tax changes affect financial planning for Canadians?
- How will inflated prices impact future returns?
- Are there best practices for navigating the current environment?
Rob Edel, Chief Investment Officer
Rob will provide an investment roadmap for 2018:
- After a record-breaking period for the S&P 500, what signs might indicate an economic downturn?
- What current events could most affect the economy and investment strategy?
- What should one make of bitcoin, marijuana stocks, electric vehicles, and other hot topics for the upcoming year?
An overview of economic growth in US during q 3 of 2018. Overview includes data on: Economic Projections of the Federal Reserve Board, Employment Growth, Employment Growth by Industry, Employment Growth by Metropolitan Area, Consumer Price Index, Corporate Profits an Compensation of Employees, etc.
Dr. Steve Meyer - Livestock & Poultry OutlookJohn Blue
Livestock & Poultry Outlook - Dr. Steve Meyer, Vice-President, Pork Analysis, EMI Analytics, from the 2016 World Pork Expo, June 8 - 10, 2016, Des Moines, IA, USA.
More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2016-world-pork-expo
A so-called policy brief from the partisan (Democrat) West Virginia Center on Budget & Policy that encourages the state to adopt a 100-200% increase in the tax on natural gas liquids (NGLs), but granting tax breaks for those who keep NGLs in the state, to be used in petrochemical plants like an ethane cracker.
Did you know the U.S. Census Bureau reported that the homeownership rate reached 64.6% at the end of 2018, the highest level since the third quarter of 2014? Increasing millennial demand was one of the biggest trends influencing the housing market. We complied an overview of US economic trends for Q1 2019.
Presentation to the Oregon Legislature on the latest economic and revenue outlook for the State of Oregon. Overview of the U.S. and Oregon economic landscape. Tax revenue tracking and outlook for personal income taxes, corporate income taxes, Lottery sales and recreational marijuana sales.
U.S. Department of Agriculture conducts Agricultural Resource Management Survey each year to measure financial well-being of the U.S. farm sector. This presentation outlines several key impact of the results of this survey.
Alaska faces a serious fiscal challenge due to falling oil revenues from low oil prices. The state is spending over twice as much as its revenues and paying the deficit by drawing down savings, which cannot be sustained. In coming years, Alaska will need to close the large gap between spending and revenues by making significant cuts to spending, enacting new revenues, and/or using earnings from the Permanent Fund. There are no easy choices, as major changes are needed to achieve a balanced budget.
The Economy: Getting Through The Recession (updated)Savannah Whaley
We are in a deep and protracted recession that began in the fourth quarter of 2007. It began in housing and has spread through the entire U.S. and overseas economies. Economic weakness has intensified through 2008 and will worsen through the first half of 2009.
April 2011 Index Highlights:
• Annual growth rate at 9 percent in April, marking the 15th consecutive month of year-over year growth
• Index climbs 7 percent (9 points) month-over-month
• 27 of the 28 metro markets showed positive annual growth in April
• Mining, quarrying, oil and gas extraction continues to lead the Index on an annual basis;
manufacturing reaches highest levels of demand since late 2008, driving growth in
manufacturing hubs such as Detroit and Cleveland
The Monster Employment Index is a monthly gauge of U.S. online job demand based on a realtime review of millions of employer job opportunities culled from a large representative selection of career Web sites and online job listings.
The Index does not reflect the trend of any one advertiser or source, but is an aggregate measure of the change in job listings across the industry.
CRFB Webinar - What's the Status of COVID Relief Money - June 2, 2020CRFBGraphics
On Tuesday, June 2nd, 2020, CRFB Policy Director Marc Goldwein gave a webinar presentation on the current status of economic support funds provided by Congress through several major pieces of legislation passed in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and related economic crisis. This slide deck accompanied that presentation.
This document summarizes projections from the President's FY2015 budget. It shows that the budget projects declining debt levels as a percentage of GDP from 72.1% in 2013 to 69% in 2024. However, the budget relies on optimistic economic and technical assumptions. An independent analysis by CRFB that applies more realistic assumptions still shows declining debt but not as large of a decline, with debt remaining above 70% of GDP through 2024. While the budget includes some responsible reforms, it also leaves major entitlement programs unchanged.
Build Your Business Model with Core Values by Darren FryeFCS Financial
Core values are critical for farm operations as they provide the foundation for the vision, mission, and objectives of the farm. When determining core values for a farm, it is important to consider where the farm currently stands and where the owner wants it to go by developing a written business plan. The core values then guide decisions and help the farm stay on course to achieving its vision and mission.
The document describes a comprehensive online risk management tool called GrainBridge. It allows farmers to create production plans for crops and livestock, establish break-even and profit targets, track finances and market positions, and test scenarios to understand their risk exposure. Key features include creating profiles for crops and livestock, calculating targets, managing expenses and revenues, and stress testing the business with different price and yield assumptions. The tool aims to provide users valid data to manage risk and make intelligent decisions for their operation.
This document from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) analyzes and compares the fiscal impact of tax and spending proposals from Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. It finds that under current policies, debt is projected to rise to 127% of GDP by 2026. Clinton's proposals could increase debt to between 87-140% of GDP, while Trump's could increase debt to between 90-150% of GDP. To stabilize or reduce debt levels, the candidates' plans would require substantial tax increases, spending cuts, or higher than projected economic growth.
The document provides an economic overview and projections for Q1 2018. It summarizes the Federal Reserve's projections for GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, and interest rates through 2020. It also reviews recent employment, wage growth, GDP, corporate profits, home prices, and other economic indicators. Overall, the outlook presented is for continued moderate economic expansion in the US.
Obamacare 1y Anniversary War Room Slideshiddenlevers
The document provides an overview and analysis of the one year anniversary of the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare). It discusses three potential scenarios for healthcare costs and their economic impacts, reviews changes to Medicare and the performance and challenges in the first year of Obamacare's implementation, and examines the potential impacts of Obamacare on jobs and healthcare inflation trends globally.
In our annual Toronto event, held at the Four Seasons Toronto, we presented Strategic Decisions for an Uncertain Future:
John Nicola, Chairman & CEO addresses several issues facing high net worth families:
• How will the Liberals’ tax changes affect financial planning for Canadians?
• How will inflated prices impact future returns?
• Are there best practices for navigating the current environment?
Rob Edel, Chief Investment Officer provides an investment roadmap for 2018:
• After a record-breaking period for the S&P 500, what signs might indicate an economic downturn?
• What current events could most affect the economy and investment strategy?
• What should one make of bitcoin, marijuana stocks, electric vehicles, and other hot topics for the upcoming year?
The Federal Reserve projects real GDP growth of 2.7-3.0% in 2018, with unemployment falling to 3.6-3.7% and inflation rising but remaining near 2%. In Q2 2018, real GDP increased at an annual rate of 4.1% while unemployment declined slightly. Job growth was strong in professional services and manufacturing. Home prices continue rising nationally at over 6% annually according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index.
In this annual Strategic Outlook seminar, we will discuss what the markets have in store for 2018, and beyond.
Presenters:
John Nicola, Chairman & CEO
John will address several issues facing high net worth families:
- How will the Liberals’ tax changes affect financial planning for Canadians?
- How will inflated prices impact future returns?
- Are there best practices for navigating the current environment?
Rob Edel, Chief Investment Officer
Rob will provide an investment roadmap for 2018:
- After a record-breaking period for the S&P 500, what signs might indicate an economic downturn?
- What current events could most affect the economy and investment strategy?
- What should one make of bitcoin, marijuana stocks, electric vehicles, and other hot topics for the upcoming year?
An overview of economic growth in US during q 3 of 2018. Overview includes data on: Economic Projections of the Federal Reserve Board, Employment Growth, Employment Growth by Industry, Employment Growth by Metropolitan Area, Consumer Price Index, Corporate Profits an Compensation of Employees, etc.
Dr. Steve Meyer - Livestock & Poultry OutlookJohn Blue
Livestock & Poultry Outlook - Dr. Steve Meyer, Vice-President, Pork Analysis, EMI Analytics, from the 2016 World Pork Expo, June 8 - 10, 2016, Des Moines, IA, USA.
More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2016-world-pork-expo
A so-called policy brief from the partisan (Democrat) West Virginia Center on Budget & Policy that encourages the state to adopt a 100-200% increase in the tax on natural gas liquids (NGLs), but granting tax breaks for those who keep NGLs in the state, to be used in petrochemical plants like an ethane cracker.
Did you know the U.S. Census Bureau reported that the homeownership rate reached 64.6% at the end of 2018, the highest level since the third quarter of 2014? Increasing millennial demand was one of the biggest trends influencing the housing market. We complied an overview of US economic trends for Q1 2019.
Presentation to the Oregon Legislature on the latest economic and revenue outlook for the State of Oregon. Overview of the U.S. and Oregon economic landscape. Tax revenue tracking and outlook for personal income taxes, corporate income taxes, Lottery sales and recreational marijuana sales.
U.S. Department of Agriculture conducts Agricultural Resource Management Survey each year to measure financial well-being of the U.S. farm sector. This presentation outlines several key impact of the results of this survey.
Alaska faces a serious fiscal challenge due to falling oil revenues from low oil prices. The state is spending over twice as much as its revenues and paying the deficit by drawing down savings, which cannot be sustained. In coming years, Alaska will need to close the large gap between spending and revenues by making significant cuts to spending, enacting new revenues, and/or using earnings from the Permanent Fund. There are no easy choices, as major changes are needed to achieve a balanced budget.
The Economy: Getting Through The Recession (updated)Savannah Whaley
We are in a deep and protracted recession that began in the fourth quarter of 2007. It began in housing and has spread through the entire U.S. and overseas economies. Economic weakness has intensified through 2008 and will worsen through the first half of 2009.
April 2011 Index Highlights:
• Annual growth rate at 9 percent in April, marking the 15th consecutive month of year-over year growth
• Index climbs 7 percent (9 points) month-over-month
• 27 of the 28 metro markets showed positive annual growth in April
• Mining, quarrying, oil and gas extraction continues to lead the Index on an annual basis;
manufacturing reaches highest levels of demand since late 2008, driving growth in
manufacturing hubs such as Detroit and Cleveland
The Monster Employment Index is a monthly gauge of U.S. online job demand based on a realtime review of millions of employer job opportunities culled from a large representative selection of career Web sites and online job listings.
The Index does not reflect the trend of any one advertiser or source, but is an aggregate measure of the change in job listings across the industry.
CRFB Webinar - What's the Status of COVID Relief Money - June 2, 2020CRFBGraphics
On Tuesday, June 2nd, 2020, CRFB Policy Director Marc Goldwein gave a webinar presentation on the current status of economic support funds provided by Congress through several major pieces of legislation passed in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and related economic crisis. This slide deck accompanied that presentation.
This document summarizes projections from the President's FY2015 budget. It shows that the budget projects declining debt levels as a percentage of GDP from 72.1% in 2013 to 69% in 2024. However, the budget relies on optimistic economic and technical assumptions. An independent analysis by CRFB that applies more realistic assumptions still shows declining debt but not as large of a decline, with debt remaining above 70% of GDP through 2024. While the budget includes some responsible reforms, it also leaves major entitlement programs unchanged.
Build Your Business Model with Core Values by Darren FryeFCS Financial
Core values are critical for farm operations as they provide the foundation for the vision, mission, and objectives of the farm. When determining core values for a farm, it is important to consider where the farm currently stands and where the owner wants it to go by developing a written business plan. The core values then guide decisions and help the farm stay on course to achieving its vision and mission.
The document describes a comprehensive online risk management tool called GrainBridge. It allows farmers to create production plans for crops and livestock, establish break-even and profit targets, track finances and market positions, and test scenarios to understand their risk exposure. Key features include creating profiles for crops and livestock, calculating targets, managing expenses and revenues, and stress testing the business with different price and yield assumptions. The tool aims to provide users valid data to manage risk and make intelligent decisions for their operation.
FCS Financial staff provided an update on the 2014 crop insurance changes at the FCS Financial Ag Seminars held in February 2014. View our website, www.myfcsfinancial.com, to find a crop insurance agent near you.
Building a Farm Business Team: Plans for Success, Pitfalls to AvoidFCS Financial
This document discusses the importance of developing job descriptions and an effective onboarding process for new employees on a farm. It emphasizes that taking the time to properly analyze jobs, write descriptions, and plan orientation programs can help reduce turnover and increase productivity. Specifically, implementing job descriptions guides hiring and training, while onboarding that makes employees feel welcome and informed in the first six months can determine whether they stay or go.
Finally, a Social Media Plan that Works - presented to the Texas Apartment As...Lisa Trosien
Lisa Trosien presented on the importance of having a social media plan for apartment communities. She showed that today's renters heavily rely on online sources like apartment listing websites and community websites when searching for apartments. Reviews and recommendations also strongly influence renters' decisions. The document outlined strategies for apartment communities to engage renters through social media by having a responsive mobile website, posting engaging content, responding to comments to build trust, and encouraging existing residents to post positive reviews. The goal is to shape the online conversation about the community through thoughtful social media presence and influence.
5 steps boost your career with social mediaLisa Harrison
Social media has been called many things and has famously ended many careers. But when used strategically, social media is an unstoppable channel through which to create new and unexpected personal and career opportunities.
How? Find out at our June Lunch n’ Learn event with Lisa Harrison, an engagement and online media expert. Lisa lives and breathes social media, making her the ideal speaker to keep you updated on the ever-changing world of social media and how you can make it work for you.
Lisa Harrison is a leading blogger, speaker, trainer and consultant on all things social media. She heads up the digital arm of POMO, a creative agency in Queensland, and has written and developed an innovative course called Social Media Mastery.
The document discusses several key issues facing agriculture including high and rising feed prices, upcoming farm bill decisions, budget cuts, and trade policy changes under the Obama administration. It then provides an overview of various megatrends and issues impacting agriculture such as weather volatility, globalization, and population growth. Finally, it notes the market and policy volatility ahead requires risk management and outlines activities on timelines.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the current state of agriculture markets and the challenges facing farmers. It discusses declining farm profitability, tight farm finances, growing commodity stockpiles, and uncertainty around the broader economy and new presidential administration. The author outlines nine strategies for farmers to successfully navigate the shifting environment, including setting clear financial goals, determining key drivers of their operation, seizing marketing opportunities, reevaluating time management, freeing up capital, managing government payment cliffs, carefully evaluating opportunities, considering upside and downside, and focusing on cash flow generation.
Historical & Recent Climate Trends in MissouriFCS Financial
Dr. Pat Guinan presented "Historical & Recent Climate Trends in Missouri" during the 2011 Marketing Seminars held throughout Missouri. FCS Financial hosted all of the seminars.
The POMO Creative Story - things you didn't know Lisa Harrison
Every so often, we get the chance to share our story. We are proud of where POMO has come from and very excited about where we are headed. Please take the time to have a look at this presentation and tell us what you think.
Through the Crystal Ball-- Farm Business Structure After Tax ReformFCS Financial
This document discusses potential changes to business structures and income taxes for farms after proposed US tax reform. It describes how a C corporation structure currently provides some tax benefits over a sole proprietorship, such as lower tax rates on the first $50,000 of income and tax-free fringe benefits. A new proposed tax called the Destination-Based Cash Flow Tax would replace the current corporate income tax with a 20-25% tax on cash flow, eliminating some deductions but allowing full expensing of investments. Examples show how this could increase or decrease taxes paid compared to the current system.
Digital Marketing Trends for 2014.
Discover what you need to know from Lisa Harrison, Strategic Marketing Director and cofounder of POMO.
Lisa has sifted through the hype and the fads to deliver you expert advice gained from working directly with businesses to deliver effective results-driven, digital marketing strategies.
What you’ll learn:
Customer retention in a digital environment
More effective ways to drive website traffic than SEO
Latest updates on Web 3.0
What your business should consider to be an effective part of the conversation
Understanding digital ROI
Lisa will share what’s new in the realm of digital marketing, including the importance of engagement, content marketing, real-time marketing, web 3.0, reputation management, influencers as well as the ideas around return on investment.
Lisa is also the developer and trainer of Certificate IV Social Media Mastery, a new Nationally Recognised Qualification – Certificate IV Business (BSB40212).
Follow Lisa on Twitter or subscribe to her on Facebook. POMO – is a creative agency specializing in customer engagement based in Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast, Queensland Australia.
TEDx Manchester: AI & The Future of WorkVolker Hirsch
TEDx Manchester talk on artificial intelligence (AI) and how the ascent of AI and robotics impacts our future work environments.
The video of the talk is now also available here: https://youtu.be/dRw4d2Si8LA
US Budget Watch 2024: Fiscal Challenges Facing the Next AdministratinCRFBGraphics
This slide deck accompanied a presentation given by Marc Goldwein, senior vice president and senior policy director of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, regarding the fiscal challenges that the winner of the 2024 presidential election will have to face, the principles that make for a fiscally responsible campaign, and the kinds of fiscal policies candidates are talking about on the campaign trail.
CRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptxCRFBGraphics
The document summarizes the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and policy response in the United States. It shows that:
1) The pandemic devastated the US economy, causing unprecedented job losses, but the policy response through COVID relief legislation was aggressive and supported an economic recovery.
2) However, the relief was clearly too large and boosted income and consumption substantially above pre-pandemic trends, leading to overheating of the economy and high inflation rates not seen in decades.
3) Inflation remains elevated and risks persisting due to various factors like wage-price spirals, so the Federal Reserve plans to aggressively raise interest rates to combat inflation though achieving a "soft landing" will be difficult.
Barry K. Goodwin
BOOK LAUNCH
Agricultural Policy in Disarray: Reforming the Farm Bill
Co-Hosted by IFPRI and American Enterprise Institute
DEC 12, 2018 - 12:15 PM TO 01:45 PM EST
This document discusses the current state of the agricultural economy and political issues surrounding the upcoming farm bill. It notes that while the agricultural economy has performed well recently, growth may slow in 2012 due to a normal harvest and weak global economy. It outlines some of the key issues in the Senate and House farm bills, including reforms to crop insurance and commodity support programs. The document also discusses the broader political environment and various factors that could impact the farm bill process and agricultural policy going forward.
The document discusses the transition of agricultural policies in both the European Union and United States. In the EU, the Common Agricultural Policy faces pressures from budget concerns, trading partners, and new societal concerns around the environment, food safety, and rural development. Reform is likely to focus the CAP around its core function of food production while addressing these new issues. In the US, lower farm incomes and large budget deficits could drive changes to farm programs, with crop insurance and direct payments currently dominating spending but being reexamined. Ongoing debates around climate change, nutrition, and rural development will also influence future agricultural policy development.
Presentation on Farm Bill policies and programs examining the 2014 Farm Act and prior law relative to current conditions in agriculture and drafting the 2018 bill.
The document summarizes the key elements and economic impacts of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. It finds that the tax cuts will add $1-1.5 trillion to the national debt over 10 years, benefit high-income groups the most, and potentially increase the number of uninsured by 13 million people. While proponents claim it will boost economic growth and job creation, most experts estimate only a small, temporary GDP increase with limited benefits that fade over time. There are also risks that higher debt could crowd out private investment and increase the chances of a fiscal crisis.
University of Minnesota, Colloquium in Sustainable Agriculture:
presentation on federal Farm Bill policy. Commodity, conservation, and risk management programs--including CFAP and MFP--in context of current conditions affecting agriculture.
Growing Healthcare Costsandthe Federal DebtHealthwork
The document discusses growing healthcare costs and the federal debt. It notes that social security, Medicare and Medicaid currently make up 42% of the federal budget and are projected to continue increasing significantly. If current policies continue, large sustained deficits of over $14 trillion are projected by 2019. Rising healthcare costs that outpace economic growth are a major driver of these deficits and threaten long-term economic stability and growth. Healthcare reform is needed to control costs and improve the sustainability of federal spending.
Budget 2015 - presentation by Robin Campbell, President of Treasury Board and Minister of Finance - March 26, 2015. You may also download this presentation as PowerPoint or PDF at this address: http://finance.alberta.ca/publications/budget/budget2015/index.html#presentation
Anika Khan, senior economist, Wells Fargo shares her 2015 Economic Outlook for the construction industry at an AEM regional membership session at Cummins.
This document summarizes a presentation given by Paul Young CPA, CGA on May 6, 2019 about government policies related to supply management in Canada. The presentation covered topics like supply chain management, agricultural subsidies, federal government programs for agriculture, dismantling of supply management, and issues related to supply management. It provided statistics on spending on food in Canada, described Canada's supply management system including marketing boards and quotas, and outlined some US dairy lobbying efforts regarding NAFTA negotiations.
Scott Goldsmith: What Is a Sustainable Draw from the Permanent Fund?Brad Keithley
This document discusses proposals for sustainably drawing from Alaska's Permanent Fund to fund the state government budget. It analyzes drawing different percentages of the fund's total value each year while accounting for factors like population growth, inflation, expected oil revenue declines, and investment returns. The optimal draw rate depends on estimates of Alaska's total resource "endowment" including both financial assets and future expected oil revenues. Scenarios where 4-5% of the total endowment could be drawn annually for decades while sustaining the fund's principal are presented.
CRFB webinar - Where Does the Next Phase of COVID Relief Stand - July 31, 2020CRFBGraphics
Lawmakers on Capitol Hill have been negotiating over a new package of economic and public health support to combat COVID-19. Congress has already enacted $3.7 trillion of spending, tax cuts and deferrals, loans, and other fiscal aid, but some of this support is now expiring, particularly expanded unemployment benefits.
On July 31st, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget senior vice president Marc Goldwein presented a webinar titled "Where Does the Next Phase of COVID Relief Stand?" This slide deck was made to accompany that webinar.
Global Economy and Agriculture in Transition presented by Terry Barr with CoBank at the 2013 Agri-Growth Council Annual Meeting and Speakers Conference.
- Congress is working to pass a new farm bill in the lame duck session as the 2014 farm bill expired on September 30th. The House and Senate have passed different versions but must reconcile differences in conference committee.
- Key differences include changes to commodity programs, conservation programs, and nutrition programs. Passing a bill by year's end remains challenging given partisan divides over issues like SNAP funding.
- Stakeholders hope the new Congress will pass a bill to provide certainty, but others are less optimistic given past difficulties in accomplishing agreements. Most agree completing a bill this year remains a priority.
Biological screening of herbal drugs: Introduction and Need for
Phyto-Pharmacological Screening, New Strategies for evaluating
Natural Products, In vitro evaluation techniques for Antioxidants, Antimicrobial and Anticancer drugs. In vivo evaluation techniques
for Anti-inflammatory, Antiulcer, Anticancer, Wound healing, Antidiabetic, Hepatoprotective, Cardio protective, Diuretics and
Antifertility, Toxicity studies as per OECD guidelines
Main Java[All of the Base Concepts}.docxadhitya5119
This is part 1 of my Java Learning Journey. This Contains Custom methods, classes, constructors, packages, multithreading , try- catch block, finally block and more.
A Strategic Approach: GenAI in EducationPeter Windle
Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies such as Generative AI, Image Generators and Large Language Models have had a dramatic impact on teaching, learning and assessment over the past 18 months. The most immediate threat AI posed was to Academic Integrity with Higher Education Institutes (HEIs) focusing their efforts on combating the use of GenAI in assessment. Guidelines were developed for staff and students, policies put in place too. Innovative educators have forged paths in the use of Generative AI for teaching, learning and assessments leading to pockets of transformation springing up across HEIs, often with little or no top-down guidance, support or direction.
This Gasta posits a strategic approach to integrating AI into HEIs to prepare staff, students and the curriculum for an evolving world and workplace. We will highlight the advantages of working with these technologies beyond the realm of teaching, learning and assessment by considering prompt engineering skills, industry impact, curriculum changes, and the need for staff upskilling. In contrast, not engaging strategically with Generative AI poses risks, including falling behind peers, missed opportunities and failing to ensure our graduates remain employable. The rapid evolution of AI technologies necessitates a proactive and strategic approach if we are to remain relevant.
How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17Celine George
An import error occurs when a program fails to import a module or library, disrupting its execution. In languages like Python, this issue arises when the specified module cannot be found or accessed, hindering the program's functionality. Resolving import errors is crucial for maintaining smooth software operation and uninterrupted development processes.
This slide is special for master students (MIBS & MIFB) in UUM. Also useful for readers who are interested in the topic of contemporary Islamic banking.
How to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP ModuleCeline George
In Odoo, the chatter is like a chat tool that helps you work together on records. You can leave notes and track things, making it easier to talk with your team and partners. Inside chatter, all communication history, activity, and changes will be displayed.
Exploiting Artificial Intelligence for Empowering Researchers and Faculty, In...Dr. Vinod Kumar Kanvaria
Exploiting Artificial Intelligence for Empowering Researchers and Faculty,
International FDP on Fundamentals of Research in Social Sciences
at Integral University, Lucknow, 06.06.2024
By Dr. Vinod Kumar Kanvaria
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5. Could Washington Be More Dysfunctional?
Major Issue Differences
Healthcare
reform: Rollout termed a “debacle”
Intelligence
Executive
snafu: Sense U.S. losing clout
orders: Climate change, other issues
Regulations:
Farm
Growing backlog at OMB
Bill: Finally, but what a chore.
Immigration:
Senate yes. House piecemeal.
5
6. From Dysfunctional to Functional?
Budget: Compromise found on FY 2014, 2015 budgets
FY
2014: $1.1 trillion – Obama signed
FY
2015: Funding agreed, but details to follow
Debt
limit hike…Extended into early 2015
Nov.
elections: Will put hold on many issues
Tax
extenders, tax reform: Later, not sooner
Ethanol
and the RFS: Changes
6
7. Advanced Economies Have Run Massive Deficits
and Pushed Debt to Unsustainable Levels
Percent (fiscal balance as percent of GDP)
Percent (Net government debt as percent of GDP)
0
90
80
-2
70
60
-4
50
40
-6
30
20
-8
10
-10
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Fiscal Deficit
2013
2014
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Net Government Debt
2014
8. Risks to Global Economic Recovery
Vulnerability of Eurozone banking system (stress
tests) and progress on fiscal and banking union.
Emerging market contagion as reduced capital flows
and rising current account deficits produce sharp
currency fluctuations, reduce growth prospects and
expand political uncertainty.
Slowing growth in China and ability to contain
shadow banking exposure.
Geo-political risks, particularly in Middle East.
U.S. ability to sustain growth momentum.
9. A Fragile Global Economy Will Experience
Subpar Growth With Significant Vulnerabilities
Percent change in annual world growth (purchasing-power parity rates)
Rising
Middle
Economic
Policy
Class
Turmoil Realignment
2004-08
2009-13
2014-18
Avg.=4.5% Avg.=2.9%
???
6
4
2
0
9
18
14
16
10
12
06
08
India
02
04
China
98
00
94
96
Rest of wor ld
90
92
82
84
78
80
74
76
70
72
Advanced countr ies
86
88
-2
11. Focus On
U.S. Economic Prospects
• 2014 “Organic Growth” Less Fiscal Drag
• Little or No Inflation
• Federal Reserve Tapering
• Political Pitfalls, but…
13. Short Term Deficit Relief Means Long Term
Revenue and Spending Changes Are Post-2014
D eficit in billion dollars
200
Reagan
Percent of GDP
G.
Bush
Clinton
G.W. Bush
Obama
2
0
0
-200
-2
-400
-4
-2.4%
-600
-6%
-800
-6
-5.3%
Deficit as
percent
of GDP
-8
CBO new
estimates
-1000
-1200
-1400
Assumptions:
phase-out in Iraq/ Afghanistan
-11%
American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012
Sequestration (modified)
-10
-12
-14
22
24
18
20
14
16
10
12
06
08
02
04
98
00
94
96
90
92
86
88
-16
82
84
-1600
Source: Congressional Budget Office (February 2014), BEA and Treasury Department and forecast
14. Improving Global Economy, Peaking Ethanol and
Growing Grain Stocks Trigger Market Transitions
A griculture commodity index (2010=100)
150
Rising
Economic
Policy
Global
Turmoil Realignment
Middle class 2009-13
2014-18
?
100
50
Old Normal
0
60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16
Data source: World bank
18
15. Farm Income Remained Strong in 2013
But will see major downturn in 2014
Billion dollars
150
125
100
Improving margins in the protein and dairy sectors and
large harvests limited declines in 2013. However lower
grain & oilseed prices and reduced government payments
will push incomes lower in 2014. Further pressures could
emerge in 2015
75
Net Farm Cash Income
50
25
Direct government payments*
0
79
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
* emergency payments are striped area of government payments)
15
03
05
07
09
11
13
15
21. Farm Bill Process…Fifth calendar year
2010
Nov 2011
Rep. Peterson holds First
Hearing in House on Farm Bill
Farm Bill discussions in
“Super Committee”
2010
1
2
Jan 2013
July 2012
June 2012
April 2012
1-year extension of
2008 Farm Bill
House Ag
Committee
Markup of
2012 Farm Bill
Senate Passage
of 2012
Farm Bill
Senate Ag Committee
Markup of
2012 Farm Bill
6
4
5
May 2013
Senate Cmte Markup
of 2013 Farm Bill
House Cmte Markup
of 2013 Farm Bill
7
June 2013
Senate
Passage of
2013 Farm
Bill
8
3
July 2013
Sep 2013
Feb 2014
House Passage of
2013 Farm Bill
(“Farm Only” Farm Bill)
2008 Farm Bill
Extension Expires
Congress
approves
Obama signs
9
Today
22. Farm Policy
Guiding principles…
Farm policy must work for all crops and
all regions of the country.
Farm policy must be able to protect
against multi-year deep price declines
like we saw in the late 1990s.
Do no harm to crop insurance and make
improvements where possible.
23. Farm Policy
Agricultural Act of 2014
959 pages… cost of $956 billion
12 Titles
$16.6 billion in budget savings over 10
years; $23 bil. incl. sequester impacts
Commodity title spending -$14 bil./10 years
Nutrition title spending - $8 bil./10 years
Conservation spending - $6 bil./10 years
Crop insurance title: +$5.7 bil./10 years
24. 10 YEAR BASELINE FOR FARM BILL TITLES
Crop Insurance, 84
Commodities, 59
Conservation, 62
10 year baseline
$973 billion
Nutrition, 764
Source: CRS using CBO estimates, Oct 10
Trade
3.4
Horticulture 1.1
Energy
0.2
Research
0.1
Misc (NAP) 1.4
25. New Farm Bill – Changes
Direct payments: Gone, but…
Transition payment: Cotton only
CCP, ACRE, SURE: Gone
25
26. FARMER CHOICE
Title I: Commodities
Title XI: Crop Insurance
Program Crops
Area
Revenue
Coverage
ARC
County
Coverage
ARC
Individual
Coverage
Price
Loss
Coverage
Crop
Insurance
Supplemental
Coverage
Option
(if not in ARC)
Upland Cotton
Stacked
Income
Protection
Plant (STAX)
27. New Farm Bill – Major Provisions
Ag Risk Coverage (ARC): Individual (65% of base) or
county (85% of base)
Price Loss Coverage (PLC): Target/reference prices
Option to reallocate base – 2009-2012
Yield update option – average of 2008-2012
STAX: Cotton program, starts with 2015 crops
Dairy: No supply management. Gross Margin
Insurance
27
28. New Farm Bill - Timing
Signup: Not before April; to last well into summer
Implementation and education: $100 mil. to FSA
$3 mil. earmark for Extension
$3 mil. earmark for Universities
Annual signup: Necessary for forms, changes, etc.
If you don’t? You’re in PLC with nothing for 2014
No major payments until Oct. 1, 2015
28
29. BASE ACRES
Base acres tied to historical production
Cotton base acres become ‘generic’ base acres, non -program
Farmers allowed to update remaining program crop base
acres based on 2009-2012s acreage allocation
ARC and PLC payments (largely) calculated on base acres and
decoupled from production
Crop
Wheat
Corn
Minor feed grains
Soybeans
Upland cotton
Rice
Peanuts
Base acres
2012
73.7
84.3
23.3
50.1
17.9
4.4
1.5
Planted acres
2009-2012 avg
55.7
90.9
12.0
76.8
11.6
3.0
1.3
30. New Farm Bill – Major Provisions
Ag Risk Coverage (ARC): Individual (65% of base) or
county (85% of base)
County: Paid when actual crop revenue is below the
ARC revenue guarantee for a crop year.
County ARC guarantee is 86 percent of county ARC benchmark
revenue.
Coverage is capped at 10 percent – coverage is between 76
percent and 86 percent of the county ARC benchmark revenue.
County ARC benchmark based on Olympic avg (removing high
and low values) of county yields and US crop year average
prices for the 5 preceding years.
30
31. Farm Bill Target Prices
Item
PLC PROVISIONS
Reference/Target Prices
Details
85% of base
Corn
$3.70/bu.
Wheat
$5.50/bu.
Soybeans
$8.40/bu.
All rice
$14/cwt.
Japonica Rice
$16.01/cwt.
Sorghum
$3.95/bu.
Barley
$4.95/bu.
Other oilseeds
$20.15/ton
Peanuts
$535/ton
32. New Farm Bill – Major Provisions
Price Loss Coverage (PLC): Target/reference prices
Paid when greater of average market-year price or loan
rate is less than the crop's reference (target) price.
Supplemental Coverage Option available, starting in 2015.
32
33. New Farm Bill – Pay caps, AGI
Pay cap: $125,000/person, $250,000 married couple
Pay cap: Combined limit for ARC, PLC and MLG/LDP
AGI limit: $900,000 three-year average
Actively engaged: “Punted” to USDA
33
34. What Farmers Are Saying
Corn and soybean growers will likely initially
focus on the county Ag Risk Coverage (ARC)
option due to an expected big payout at least for
the 2014 corn and soybean crop based on most
price projections for the 2014 crop year, and
especially compared with the triggers for the
Price Loss Coverage/target price option.
35. What Farmers Are Saying
If a farmer goes with ARC, especially in the
Midwest, they will go the county ARC route, and
not the individual option..
36. What Farmers Are Saying
Some wheat growers initially said they would
focus on the PLC over ARC, and will look with
interest in adding the Supplemental Coverage
Option (SCO) with the 2015 crop. SCO is not
available if a farmer chooses ARC.
37. What Farmers Are Saying
Corn and soybean growers said SCO was not so
attractive to them as they already are at the 80
percent or higher buy-up level via hefty crop
insurance subsidies.
38. What Farmers Are Saying
Crop insurance impacts. Farmers said they will be
assessing the impact of the new safety net
programs on their crop insurance choices for the
years ahead.
39. What Farmers Are Saying
Corn and soybean growers with an interest in the
SCO option indicated they would likely lower their
crop insurance guarantee level in exchange for
getting more subsidized SCO coverage if they
chose PLC. But that still was not likely enough for
them to shift from their initial thinking of going
the county ARC route.
40. What Farmers Are Saying
Price expectations are key. The lower the price
expectation a farmer has, the more interest they
have in the PLC option.
41. What Farmers Are Saying
One farmer noted: "It still appears that going the
PLC/SCO route gives the most flexibility and
coverage--but it depends on your price outlook
and your underlying buy up on crop insurance.
If you have 85 percent buy up already, then 86
percent SCO is almost useless. But, if you have
60 percent buy up, then SCO covers an
additional 26 percent. In addition, PLC covers
down to the loan rate -- a combination with a far
greater breadth of coverage. The optimal election
depends on the circumstances on your farm and
your own risk preference.”
42. What Farmers Are Saying
The farmer adde: "If instead you want 10 percent
protection around the average, then ARC fits the
bill. That's a luxury that folks with 85 percent buy
up can afford. But, even then, a grower should
think long term for this reason – two years ago,
the harvest price on corn was $7.50/bu. On 1,000
acres at 180 bu/ac at 85 percent coverage...that
was a liability of $1.1475 million! With prices at
$4.50/bu, that liability falls to $688,500! The
insured value dropped $460,000 or 40 percent!
That 10 percent limitation on ARC starts to look
pretty limiting."
43. New Farm Bill – Not in bill
COOL: No change
King amendment: Struck in conference
GIPSA poultry rule: No provision
43
44. Farm Bill: Livestock
Supplemental Ag Disaster Assistance Program
funded permanently
Includes a Livestock Indemnity Program for livestock
losses from adverse weather - USDA will reimburse
farm animal losses at 75% of value if disease, weather
or predators cause big herd losses. Program will
extend to all livestock
Livestock Forage Program for losses from drought or
fire
44
45. Farm Bill: Energy
Reauthorizes energy programs through FY 2018
Increases direct spending by $879 million through FY
2023
Includes: Biorefinery Assistance Program, Rural
Energy for America Program and the Biomass Crop
Assistance Program
Prohibits subsidies for ethanol blending pumps
45
46. Trade Policy Issues
• Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) – Obama wants
negotiations to conclude in 2013
- 12 countries: focus on Asia/Latin America
- 40% of global GDP
- 33% of world trade
• Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
(TTIP) – EU/US
– 50% of global GDP
– 33% of world trade
– Negotiations to continue for years
• Trade Promotion Authority (TPA)
46
– Time limited/only on TPP
47. New Farm Bill - Trade
Under Secretary for Trade and Foreign
Agricultural Affairs: Report required within
180 days, implementation one year beyond
that
– Last update was 1978 when ag trade was $29
bil. In 2012 was $136 billion.
47
48.
49. U.S. Agriculture Export Destinations
Have Increasing Asian Flavor
Top 15 Markets 2013
1.China
2. Canada
3. Mexico
4. Japan
5. EU-27
6. South Korea
7. Hong Kong
8. Taiwan
9. Indonesia
10. Philippines
11. Turkey
12. Viet Nam
13. Egypt
14. Venezuela
15. Thailand
Total all exports
Bil. US$
23.5
21.4
17.9
12.4
11.5
5.2
3.6
3.2
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.1
1.7
1.6
1.4
140.9
Top 15 Markets 2000
Bil. US$
9.3
1.Japan
7.5
2. Canada
6.5
3. EU-27
6.3
4. Mexico
2.5
5. South Korea
2.0
6. Taiwan
1.5
7. China
1.2
8. Hong Kong
1.1
9. Egypt
0.9
10. Philippines
0.7
11. Turkey
0.7
12. Indonesia
0.7
13. Russia
14. Dominican Rep. 0.5
0.5
15. Saudi Arabia
50.8
Total all exports
Asian markets account for
43% of U.S. exports and
occupy 9 of top 15
market destinations.
China is #1 market with
Thailand, Philippines and
Viet Nam growing rapidly
Export share of
2013 U.S. production
Wheat ………. 55%
Corn ………… 12%
Soybeans ….. 46%
Broilers ……... 20%
Beef …………. 10%
Pork …….…… 22%
All meat ….......18%
Dairy (skim) …16%
50. The Next Farm Bill
Lessons from 2014 Farm Bill: Mistakes, Successes
What works, doesn’t: Budget savings – Prices - Economy
WTO challenges? If farm bill costs surge, prices decline…
Future budget deficits: Crop insurance savings
Who controls Congress, Committees: Players important
Who controls White House: Proposals and key officials
USDA: Implementation and who leads after 2016 elections
50
52. New Energy Paradigm is a Global Event
A 50 percent increase in
recoverable global gas supplies??
Implications for geopolitical
balances?
Chart source: Energy Information Administration)
54. Natural Gas Prices Will Reflect Higher
Production Potential and Pace of Conversion
Dollars per m
illion Btu (Henry Hub)
$15.00
Questions for natural gas:
Economic recovery and shifts
in energy use will boost prices.
New discoveries will continue
to increase future supplies!
$12.00
$9.00
2011 avg.
$4.00
2011 avg.
$4.00
2012 avg.
$2.75
$6.00
$3.00
2013-14 avg.
$3.75-4.25
19
9
19 2
9
19 3
9
19 4
9
19 5
9
19 6
9
19 7
9
19 8
9
20 9
0
20 0
0
20 1
0
20 2
0
20 3
0
20 4
0
20 5
0
20 6
0
20 7
0
20 8
0
20 9
1
20 0
1
20 1
1
20 2
1
20 3
14
20
15
$0.00
55. Relative Growth Rates and Realigning
Monetary Policies Will Impact Value of U.S.
Dollar
Indexes of m ajor cur r encies/US$ (Mar ch 1973=100)
150
140
130
From 2002 to 2011 ………....... -39 %
From August 2011 bottom
to October 2013 ..… +11 %
Dollar declined by
over 25% after
floating in 1973!
120
110
100
90
80
70
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
* Currencies weighted by relative market importance to total U.S. trade.
04
06
08
10
12
14
56. A Resource Challenged World Will Continue to
Support Commodity Markets in the Future
Mi l l i o n p eo p l e
1000
China and India will account
for 70% of increase in the
middle class from 2000-2030.
Their “ability to pay” will set
global market prices.
Income growth
Market access
950 million
800
600
Rest-of-World
532 mil.
(protectionism)
431 million
Political decisions (inward?)
Rest-of-World
375 mil.
China - 361 mil.
It is not a straight line growth
path. Significant volatility will
prevail around growth path.
China - 56 mil.
India - 58 mil.
400
200
0
2000
419
million
2030
57. Crop Supplies and Demand Shifts Are
Signaling Transitions for Agricultural Sectors
Chart source: Knowledge Exchange Division, CoBank, ACB (confidential and proprietary)
58.
59.
60.
61.
62.
63.
64. Low Cattle Inventory, Record Exports and
Lower Feed Costs Spur Meat and Dairy Sectors
Feed Costs:
Export Reliance:
Low stocks
Rising price volatility
Yield/weather issues
Ethanol
Emerging markets
Disease (FMD)
U.S. $ rebound
Rising competition
Trade disputes
Export
Markets
65.
66.
67.
68.
69.
70.
71.
72.
73. Outlook for elections
2014 Congress
– -- House: GOP likely will retain control
– -- Senate: Key is candidates
2016 President
– -- Democratic candidate
– -- Republican candidate
73
74. 2014: The House
Today: 234 Republicans, 201 Democrats (Democrats
need +17 seats to win control)
Cook Outlook: Minimal Net Change
75. 2014: The Senate
Today: 55 Democrats (including 2 Independents
caucusing with Democrats), 45 Republicans
Cook Outlook: GOP gain of 4-6 seats.
Senate control in 2015?
76. Democrats Must Defend 7 Seats
in States Romney Won:
Retirements in MT (Baucus), SD (Johnson), WV (Rockefeller)
Incumbents: Begich (AK), Pryor (AR), Landrieu (LA), Hagan (NC)
Source: Cook Political Report.
77. Kentucky: Grand-Daddy of them All
Also watch primaries in SC
(Graham), GA (Open), KS
(Roberts), MS (Cochran)
Source: Cook Political Report.
79. Total Makeover: Only a New Nominee in 2016
Can Resurrect the GOP Nationally:
The “Can Wins”
(Christie, Bush, Rubio)
The “Can’t Wins”
(Cruz, Paul, Santorum)
The “Maybes”
(Walker, Ryan, Thune)
Source: Cook Political Report.
80. On Democratic Side, Will She or Won’t She?
For all of Republicans’ current problems, remember:
Democrats may be lacking in “new blood” come 2016.
If not Hillary or Joe Biden, who? Cuomo, O’Malley, Warner,
Hickenlooper, Gillibrand, or…Warren?