1. Who’s Risk Is It Anyway?
May 27, 2015
Henry Tapper
Simon Nelson
2. Four Worries and a Funeral
De-risking or re-risking?
Can we democratize ownership?
Does choice equal freedom?
Is the State provider or facilitator?
And did this man kill British pensions?
3. Questions for Today
1. Is there a retirement design that better balances a
guaranteed pension and a pension delivered through
‘best intentions’?
2. Can we ‘nudge’ people towards better behaviours
when it comes to their financial security in retirement?
How much choice do they need, want and can cope
with?
3. What can Canadians learn from Britain’s experiences
(and vice-versa)?
4. Challenges with Traditional DB Plans
Low interest rates,
volatile equity
markets, maturing
plans, increasing
longevity
Volatility and
asymmetrical risks
for plan sponsors
Mark-to-market
accounting
Becoming a public
sector employee
‘perk’?
Relief measures
are short-term
solutions; don’t
address underlying
issues
Complex
regulatory
environment
5. Challenges with Traditional CAP Plans
Predictable costs, but
unpredictable retirement
benefits
Members exposed to
significant risks, especially in
retirement
Complex decisions left to plan
members; ‘choice overload’
Few ‘decumulation’ products
Few efficiency benefits from
pooling of costs and risks
First ‘cohort’ of career-DC
employees yet to reach
retirement
9. 2. Democratising Pension Ownership
1. Triple lock on state pensions guarantees a
minimum 2.5% pension increase p.a.
2. Public sector DB subject
3. Private sector DB protected by pension
protection fund
4. Auto-enrolled DC pensions for 10m new workers
11. But can employers help transfer the risk?
1.2m new employers set up
workplace pensions
12.
13. Where is Canada today?
1. Private Sector and Not for Profit
2. Public Sector
3. Multi-Employer Trades
14. Where is Canada today?
Private Sector and Not
for Profit
• Legacy mode for DB, with
freezes and derisking
• Continuing trend towards
fixed cost DC
• Unions still (are they the
last?) DB stronghold
15. Where is Canada today?
Public Sector (with
solvency exemptions)
• Municipal,
Hospitals,
University
and
16. Where is Canada today?
Multi-Employer Trades
• Temporary solvency
exemptions
• Still a strong DB landscape
• Looking for permanent
funding rule solutions in most
jurisdictions
17. Legislative and Regulatory Response
1. Minimum Funding
2. Traditional Multi-Employer Plans (MEPPs)
3. Termination Benefits
4. Hurdles for Innovation
25. Where is Canada headed?
Workplace
Plans
• Innovative
Designs
State Plans
• Better Coverage
26. Workplace Plans: Innovation
Push for regulators to be
open to new types of
pension deals and
transitional approaches
Jointly trusteed
arrangements
Consolidation of plans
and/or assets
27. Workplace Plans: Target Benefit Plans
TBPs, or ‘defined ambition’ plans, aim to combine the
best of DB and DC (and remove the worst of both)
Typical features:
1. Fixed contributions
2. Provide a target DB-type benefit, with very few guarantees
3. Benefits may be adjusted up or down to balance funding
Not currently accommodated by many jurisdictions’
regulations
29. 4. The State and British Pensions
Providing -
Single state pension – simpler but less ambitious
A safety net for insolvent DB covenants
Compelling –
employers to auto-enrol staff in workplace
Insurers to manage legacy and improve governance
Protecting–
the consumer with charge caps
Educating -
at retirement– Pension Wise
Facilitating risk sharing –
Not New Brunswick (yet)
Encouraging reluctant employers
Enabling collective decumulation
30. State Plans
Hot political issue
Significant debate over extent of Canadian
retirement crisis
Importance of state plans in Canada stems from:
Poor usage of existing retirement savings vehicles
(RRSPs)
Few employees covered by workplace pension plans
Limited government support programs for middle class
31. State Plans - CPP
Enhance Canada Pension Plan (CPP)
2013 efforts to enhance CPP stalled
Likely to be part of 2015 Federal election platforms
Provincial support is needed (but is mixed)
32. State Plans - ORPP
Development of Ontario Retirement Pension Plan (ORPP)
Belief that Ontario would prefer CPP enhancements; stalls have
led to proposal of “Made in Ontario” MEPP-like mandatory public
pension plan for Ontario employees
Target is to replace15% of an employee’s earnings in retirement
Would supplement existing pension arrangements, personal
savings, CPP, OAS and GIS
Grappling with questions on implementation and design
– particularly breadth of scope, earnings thresholds and self-employed citizens
SPEAK: Are we at the funeral or the resurrection of risk sharing?
Make bubbles ‘fly-ins’
Mention Monsanto case
1) Recognition of importance of private-sector coverage, but also a need for a middle ground between ‘traditional DB’ and ‘traditional DC’
2) Recognition of a need for wider coverage; many citizens don’t have a private-sector plan