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What's next for united states| September 2020
1. P A U L Y O U N G C P A C G A
S E P T E M B E R 1 3 , 2 0 2 0
WHATโS NEXT
FOR UNITED
STATES
2. Paul Young CPA CGA โ Bio
September 9, 2014
โข CPA, CGA
โข Financial Solutions
โข SME โ Risk Management
โข SME โ Emerging Technology
โข SME โ Business Process Change
โข SME โ Close, Consolidate and
Reporting
โข SME โ Public Policy
โข SME โ Financial Solutions
โข SME โ Supply Chain Management
Contact โ Paul.Young@ca.ibm.com
3. Agenda
โข United States Middle Class
โข USA / Income Inequality
โข Job Quality / USA
โข Job Quality by President
โข FDI by year / Analysis
โข GDP Sector / USA
โข Economic Zones / Low Income
โข USA / Green Economy
โข Infrastructure
โข Education
โข Healthcare
โข Housing
โข Foreign Affairs and Policies
โข Post-Secondary Education
โข Budget Deficit / Federally
โข Kamala Harris
โข Foreign Policies and Affairs
โข Crime / Punishment
โข Environment
4. United States Middle Class
Source - https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2020/01/09/trends-in-income-and-wealth-inequality/
5. Income Inequality
Source - https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/02/07/6-facts-about-economic-inequality-in-the-u-s/
6. USA Job Quality Index
Source - https://www.jobqualityindex.com/
8. FDI / USA
FDI into USA
Source - https://www.bea.gov/news/2019/direct-investment-country-and-industry-2018
9. GDP by Sector
Source - https://www.statista.com/statistics/248004/percentage-added-to-the-us-gdp-by-industry/
2019 2016
10. Economic Zones
@AOC I think there needs to be GAO performance audits of many of the @realDonaldTrump including the economic
zones.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/opportunity-zones-usa-analysis-and-commentary
Joe Biden Economic Zones
Source - https://joebiden.com/racial-economic-equity/
โข There are many issues facing local government including affordable housing, cost of living, crumbling infrastructure,
fiscal management cycle, and other areas - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-happening-with-united-
states-cities-and-local-government
11. USA Green Economy
Source - https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/14/politics/joe-biden-clean-energy-plan/index.html
โข USA is a carbon sink -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/electricty-
the-grid-whats-next-for-co2-emissions
โข Green economy in the USA is already $1.3 trillion per
year - https://phys.org/news/2019-10-green-
economy-worth-trillion-year.html
โข Clean technology
โข Must be viable
โข Requires raw materials, smelting, fabrication,
delivery and installation
โข Source -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/
canada-clean-technolgy-and-the-green-
economy
โข USA generates nearly 62% from non-clean sources -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/power-
generation-canada-and-the-world
โข USA would have to move these load factors to
nuclear, hydro, and other options
12. USA Infrastructure
Source -
https://www.brookings.edu/research/shifting-into-
an-era-of-repair-us-infrastructure-spending-
trends/
Source - https://joebiden.com/infrastructure/
โข Post COVID19 โ Infrastructure spending proposal -
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-06-
16/trump-team-weighs-1-trillion-for-infrastructure-
to-spur-economy
โข Funding new infrastructure will require a series of
fees - https://www.blog.invesco.us.com/us-
infrastructure-spending-may-lead-to-compelling-
investment-opportunities/
โข Infrastructure bill passed -
https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/07/01/house-
approves-1-5t-bill-to-fix-us-infrastructure/
โข Oversight into spending is required by GAO -
https://budget.house.gov/publications/report/st
rong-infrastructure-and-healthy-economy-
require-federal-investment
13. Education and Healthcare
Source - https://www.businessinsider.com/us-
ranks-27th-for-healthcare-and-education-2018-
9
Joe Biden / Education
Source - https://joebiden.com/education/ or https://www.wusa9.com/article/news/nation-
world/trump-vs-biden-2020-election/507-19d28b86-cd57-4567-a007-2d7e16145352
โข USA has a very solid educational system -
https://ceoworld.biz/2020/05/10/ranked-worlds-best-
countries-for-education-system-2020/
โข USA trails countries like Canada in terms of education -
https://www.kelownanow.com/watercooler/news/news/Ed
ucation/Canada_stays_near_top_of_rankings_in_global_edu
cation_survey/
โข USA has a solid university system -
https://www.universityworldnews.com/post.php?story=201
90912131138561
โข Human capital related issues will need to be address by
countries around the world -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/automation-and-
human-capital-management-human-resources
14. Healthcare
Source - https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-
rankings/best-healthcare-in-the-world
2020 Ranking
Source - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-
09-29/u-s-health-care-system-ranks-as-one-of-the-least-
efficient
โข Healthcare is going to face many challenges over the next decade or so. It will be important for governments around the world come up with innovated
solutions - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/whats-next-for-global-healthcare-post-covid19
โข Co-Pay/Healthcare reforms - https://www.pgpf.org/blog/2020/07/how-does-the-us-healthcare-system-compare-to-other-countries
https://www.wellsteps.com/blog/2020/01/02/benefits-of-wellness-lower-health-care-costs/
โข Joe Biden and healthcare โBiden campaign officials say the health care plan serves as a transitional piece of legislation that could pave the path to a Medicare-
for-All single payer system in the future. โ - https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/blog/meet-press-blog-latest-news-analysis-data-driving-
political-discussion-n988541/ncrd1030086#blogHeader
โข ObamaCare Failures - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/7-obamacare-failures-that-have-hurt-americans-2016-03-24
15. Housing
Source - https://www.curbed.com/2019/5/15/18617763/affordable-housing-policy-rent-real-estate-apartment
โข The prospects arenโt much better for renters,
either. Approximately 18.5 million households were
spending more than half their income on housing in
2016. Thereโs not a single county nationwide where
a minimum wage earner working 40 hours per
week can afford a "modest" two-bedroom
apartment without being cost-burdened, according
to government standards Source
https://www.politifact.com/article/2019/dec/30/fa
cts-housing-affordability-united-states/
โข USA has similar issues with Canada which include
the cost of land, availability of land, cost of lumber,
taxes, etc. -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/latest-
news-housing-canada-june-2020
โข Obama and housing foreclosure -
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016
/12/obamas-failure-to-mitigate-americas-
foreclosure-crisis/510485/ and Wealth -
https://jacobinmag.com/2017/12/obama-
foreclosure-crisis-wealth-inequality
16. Foreign Affairs and Policies
โข Trade imbalances with countries - https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/highlights/top/top2006yr.html
โข Foreign Policies and Affairs
โข Top presidents โ Foreign Policies and Affairs -
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/07/the-best-and-worst-foreign-policy-presidents-of-
the-past-century/242781/
โข Need for a new foreign policy direction - https://www.rand.org/blog/2020/05/why-the-united-states-will-
need-a-new-foreign-policy.html
โข Biden approach will be similar to that of Obama - https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/israel-middle-
east/articles/biden-foreign-policy
โข Trump isolated the USA with his bullying tactics - https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/06/28/to-g-20-leaders-
trumps-bully-boy-routine-has-grown-old-japan-g-20-summit-osaka-trump-putin-china-india-germany-japan/
โข USA needs to move away from NWO โ Biden in the past has supported expanding USA role with the United
Nations - https://www.democratsagainstunagenda21.com/vp-joe-biden-and-the-new-world-order.html
โข USA will need to review its immigration policy -
https://www.forbes.com/sites/andyjsemotiuk/2019/08/23/immigrants-troubled-by-trumps-new-immigration-
policy-restrictions/#56cbfbd53b34
โข Proper support for ICE - https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/the-cost-of-immigration-
enforcement-and-border-security - Kamala Harris has raised issues with ICE -
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/kamala-harris-ice-kkk-senate-hearing. ICE enforces laws. Kamala Harris was
a former DA which meant she enforced laws.
17. Post-Secondary Education
Source - https://www.statista.com/statistics/238109/tuition-and-fees-in-the-us/
โข One oddity of Americaโs higher-education system is
that it is actually three different systems
masquerading as one: There is one system of public
colleges; another of private, nonprofit institutions;
and one made up of for-profit colleges. -
https://www.theatlantic.com/education/archive/201
8/09/why-is-college-so-expensive-in-
america/569884/
โข Free Education would cost the treasury nearly $80B
per year -
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/19/business/tui
tion-free-college.html
โข States are struggling with debt, taxation policy and
the delivery of social programs
โข Less spending by states means more pressure
on higher tuition rates -
https://www.cbpp.org/research/state-budget-
and-tax/a-lost-decade-in-higher-education-
funding
18. USA Budget Deficit
โข Currently there is nearly 4 trillion deficit due to COVID19 โ
โข Democrats would look at deep cuts to the Military -
https://www.defensenews.com/congress/2020/07/20/defund-pentagon-effort-holds-message-for-
biden/
โข There has been no budget surplus since 2001
โข USA needs to bring in more tax fairness as well as focus on value for money when it comes to
delivering of social programs - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/designing-social-programs-
and-tax-fairness-policies
โข Fitch has raised concerns about the debt - https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-
revises-united-states-outlook-to-negative-affirms-at-aaa-31-07-2020
โข Biden plans additional spending - https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/bidens-
spending-proposals-could-top-10-trillion-draws-ire-trump-campaign It is unclear how Biden plans to
pay for the new spending
โข Source - https://www.thebalance.com/us-deficit-by-year-3306306
19. The real Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris
DA - https://theappeal.org/kamala-harris-criminal-justice-record-killed-her-presidential-run/
Policies - https://spotlightonpoverty.org/kamala-harris/ Kamala is supporter of Bernie Sanders free stuff
policies
Banking - https://www.jacobinmag.com/2017/08/kamala-harris-trump-obama-california-attorney-general
or https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/Kamala-Harris-mortgage-meltdown-record-under-
13730708.php or https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-senate-harris-banks-20161016-snap-
story.html
20. Foreign Policies and Affairs
โข Joe Biden and Iran - https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/07/joe-bidens-new-mission-selling-
the-iran-deal/449295/
โข Trump has broker agreements (Israel and Bahrain, Israel and UAE) -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/foreign-policies-and-affairs-middle-east-238466898 or
https://www.timesofisrael.com/biden-critics-of-iran-deal-dont-get-it/#gs.g0wusp
โข Success/failures - https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/07/the-best-and-worst-foreign-
policy-presidents-of-the-past-century/242781/
โข Obama failures - https://time.com/76868/obama-foreign-policy-cynicism/
โข Biden Foreign policies - https://thehill.com/policy/international/194889-was-biden-always-wrong
โข Biden on Trade - https://www.cato.org/blog/joe-bidens-so-so-record-trade
โข USA/Trump has been cleaning up trade - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/trade-united-states
21. Crime and Punishment
โข There needs to be more audits including fixing DA that are allowing partisan politics to dictate their
prosecution of criminals
โข DA - https://www.governing.com/topics/politics/gov-prosecutors-elections-district-attorney-races.html
โข Neither Trump nor Obama got public safety completely right - https://www.brennancenter.org/our-
work/analysis-opinion/crime-down-does-president-trump-deserve-credit
โข Public safety - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/public-safety-crime-and-punishment
โข Fixing and unfair legal system - https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2015/07/15/president-obama-
our-criminal-justice-system-isnt-smart-it-should-be
โข Trump introduced opportunity zones - https://www.forbes.com/sites/morgansimon/2019/03/30/what-
you-need-to-know-about-opportunity-zones/#5ef49ff06ae2
โข More performance audits of key policies like opportunity zones -
https://home.kpmg/us/en/home/insights/2020/01/tnf-kpmg-report-analysis-and-observations-
about-final-regulations-and-future-of-opportunity-zone-investments.html
22. Environment
โข Obama and Biden - https://grist.org/article/biden_factsheet/
โข USA generates nearly 45% from clean sources
โข Electrical producers are moving away from large scale nuclear powerplants to small plants -
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/first-u-s-small-nuclear-reactor-design-is-approved/ or
https://www.opb.org/article/2020/09/03/us-first-ever-ok-small-commercial-nuclear-reactor/
โข https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/electricity.php
โข The big issues are that many States are pushing for wind and solar. There are many issues with wind and solar
including the need for backup power systems - https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/oil-and-
gas/u-s-natural-gas-output-demand-to-fall-in-2021-after-hitting-records-in-2020-eia/74094895
23. Environment
โข Obama and Biden - https://grist.org/article/biden_factsheet/
โข Trump - https://www.brookings.edu/policy2020/votervital/what-is-the-trump-administrations-track-
record-on-the-environment/
Summary
The next USA government needs to bring in more balanced when it comes to Economy and the Environment -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/climate-change-and-the-environment-how-do-we-resolve
24. USA
โข USA will need to address many issues of social policies like income transfers, education, social policy, and healthcare
โข USA GDP was seeing a growth in manufacturing. USA needs to continue to push for near shoring of manufacturing
โข USA will need to have all levels of governments to embrace more operational and performance audits -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-audit-and-performance-base-auditing
โข USA will need to work with G7 and G20 to reform global organizations like the UN, WHO, WTO and other organizations
- https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-global-trade-barriers-and-protection-wto-canada-
september-2019
โข USA needs to reform its tax act - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/are-wealth-tax-a-good-idea and
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/designing-social-programs-and-tax-fairness-policies
โข USA needs to reform its criminal justice system - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/crime-and-public-safety-
how-to-fix-a-broken-public-safety-and-legal-system
โข Automation will continue to rise - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/whats-next-for-automation-private-and-
public-sector
โข Government will need to have the right balance between the environment and GDP as part of supporting both the
economy and the environment - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-economy-whats-next
โข All parties need to put partisan politics aside and work together as part of supporting Americans -
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/07/14/as-the-u-s-copes-with-multiple-crises-partisans-disagree-
sharply-on-severity-of-problems-facing-the-nation/