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Greece is a developed country,
with a high standard of living and
"very high"
Human Development Index,
ranking 25th in the world in 2007
Greece's main
industries
are tourism, shipping
Greece adopted the euro as its
currency 1999
Joined the hands with EU
 Greece borrowed heavily in
international capital markets
to fund government budget
and current account deficits.
 accumulated high levels of
debt during the decade
before the crisis, when
capital markets were highly
liquid.
The Boom in the Market !
 As the crisis has
unfolded, and capital
markets have become
more illiquid, Greece may
no longer be able to roll
over its maturing debt
obligations.
Impact Of the Financial Melt Down
 Greek government revised the estimate of the
government budget deficit for 2009 from 6.7% of gross domestic
product (GDP) to 12.7% of GDP.
 In April 2010, Eurostat, the European Union (EU)’s statistical
agency, estimated Greece’s deficit to be even higher, at 13.6% of
GDP.
 Greece's credit rating (currently at BBB+) is possible
within a month. These actions have fostered fear among
potential investors in Greek bonds, making it very difficult
for the country to borrow money to fund its debt
“Greece’s deficit to be even higher,
at 13.6% of GDP“
Greek economy - significant
problems
Impact of Crisis
 Southeastern Europe
Greece’s foreign policy focus on the region and growing
trade volumes between the countries, neighboring Serbia,
Albania, Macedonia, Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey cannot
remain indifferent to the magnitude of the crisis next
door.
 Spill-over effect
As Greek 10-year bonds fall and yields continue to remain
above 6%, sovereign debt issuance and the risk premium
investors demand to hold securities emitted by Romania,
Serbia, Bulgaria and Turkey have been adversely affected.
 Greek governments had falsified
statistics and attempted to obscure
debt levels through complex financial
instruments also contributed to a
drop in investor confidence.
 Before the crisis, Greek 10-year bond
yields were 10 to 40 basis points
above German 10-year bonds. With
the crisis, this spread increased to 400
basis points in January 2010, which
was at the time a record high.
 High bond spreads indicate declining
investor confidence in the Greek
economy.
Spread Levels
Public Debt
Growth Rate IN GDP
Cause Of the debt crisis
Both Domestic & International
Domestically Internationally
 High government spending
 Structural rigidities
 Tax evasion and
 Corruption
 The adoption of the euro a
 Lax enforcement of EU
rules aimed at limiting the
accumulation of debt.
Domestic Causes
 Over the past six years, however, while the central government
expenditures increased by 87%, revenues grew by only 31%,21 leading
to budget deficits.
 In 2009, Greek government expenditures accounted for 50% of GDP
 over-staffing and poor productivity in the public sector.
 An aging Greek population - could place additional burdens on
public spending and what is widely considered one of Europe’s most
generous pension systems.
 Greece’s “replacement rate of 70%-80% of wages (plus any benefits
from supplementary schemes) is high.
 the euro has proven to be a major problem for Greece, as it
cannot devalue its currency in order to lessen its debt
burden and to boost exports, and as it has exposed the
weakness of the Greek economy in relation to other
Eurozone members, most notably Germany.
 "A 20 per cent devaluation of the euro is a big deal, but
everyone has to realise that the benefits of the devaluation
are going to be spread quite unevenly."
Internationally Problem !
 In mid- April 2010, the details of the proposed financial
assistance package for this year were released: a three-
year loan worth €30 billion ($40 billion) at 5% interest rates,
above what other Southern European countries borrow at,
but below the rate currently charged by private investors
on Greek bonds.
 It is expected that an IMF stand-by arrangement, the IMF’s
standard loan for helping countries address balance of
payments difficulties, valued at €15 billion ($20 billion) for
this year would precede any assistance provided to Greece
by the Eurozone members.
Financial Assistance Package
 The policy solutions to two of the major
economic issues facing the Greek
government
 —cutting large government budget deficits
(which requires contractionary fiscal policies
to address) and
 stimulating the economy during cyclical
economic downturn (which requires
Expansionary fiscal policies)—are at odds
with each other.
Strict savings measures and deep
cuts in public spending
 average value-added tax rate from 19% to 21%;
 civil servant hiring freeze in 2010
 5:1 retirement/recruitment ratio for new public sector
hires from 2011
 10% cut in civil service salary allowances (bonuses)
 a freeze on state pensions
 raising the average retirement age
 reducing the number of Greek municipalities from
1,034 to 370
 the legal public entities formed by local authorities
from 6,000 to 2,000
Reforms for the Recovery
 The Creditability of Eurozone
is seriously damaged and moral hazard problems are
created.
 Which is the Next Nation to ask for the Financial
Assistance ( PIIGS )
Portugal Italy Ireland (Greece) Spain…..
 Whether the financial rescue program will stabilize Greece
& the Euro-Zone.
 Will Greece require more Financial Aid ?
Future Of Euro Zone
Thank you
This is not the end “ . “
The financial market has put Euro Zone to work on for “
Sustainable Solutions…………………

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Greece's Debt Crisis: Causes, Impact and Solutions

  • 1.
  • 2. Greece is a developed country, with a high standard of living and "very high" Human Development Index, ranking 25th in the world in 2007
  • 4. Greece adopted the euro as its currency 1999
  • 6.  Greece borrowed heavily in international capital markets to fund government budget and current account deficits.  accumulated high levels of debt during the decade before the crisis, when capital markets were highly liquid. The Boom in the Market !
  • 7.  As the crisis has unfolded, and capital markets have become more illiquid, Greece may no longer be able to roll over its maturing debt obligations. Impact Of the Financial Melt Down
  • 8.  Greek government revised the estimate of the government budget deficit for 2009 from 6.7% of gross domestic product (GDP) to 12.7% of GDP.  In April 2010, Eurostat, the European Union (EU)’s statistical agency, estimated Greece’s deficit to be even higher, at 13.6% of GDP.  Greece's credit rating (currently at BBB+) is possible within a month. These actions have fostered fear among potential investors in Greek bonds, making it very difficult for the country to borrow money to fund its debt “Greece’s deficit to be even higher, at 13.6% of GDP“
  • 9. Greek economy - significant problems
  • 10. Impact of Crisis  Southeastern Europe Greece’s foreign policy focus on the region and growing trade volumes between the countries, neighboring Serbia, Albania, Macedonia, Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey cannot remain indifferent to the magnitude of the crisis next door.  Spill-over effect As Greek 10-year bonds fall and yields continue to remain above 6%, sovereign debt issuance and the risk premium investors demand to hold securities emitted by Romania, Serbia, Bulgaria and Turkey have been adversely affected.
  • 11.  Greek governments had falsified statistics and attempted to obscure debt levels through complex financial instruments also contributed to a drop in investor confidence.  Before the crisis, Greek 10-year bond yields were 10 to 40 basis points above German 10-year bonds. With the crisis, this spread increased to 400 basis points in January 2010, which was at the time a record high.  High bond spreads indicate declining investor confidence in the Greek economy. Spread Levels
  • 14. Cause Of the debt crisis Both Domestic & International
  • 15. Domestically Internationally  High government spending  Structural rigidities  Tax evasion and  Corruption  The adoption of the euro a  Lax enforcement of EU rules aimed at limiting the accumulation of debt.
  • 16. Domestic Causes  Over the past six years, however, while the central government expenditures increased by 87%, revenues grew by only 31%,21 leading to budget deficits.  In 2009, Greek government expenditures accounted for 50% of GDP  over-staffing and poor productivity in the public sector.  An aging Greek population - could place additional burdens on public spending and what is widely considered one of Europe’s most generous pension systems.  Greece’s “replacement rate of 70%-80% of wages (plus any benefits from supplementary schemes) is high.
  • 17.  the euro has proven to be a major problem for Greece, as it cannot devalue its currency in order to lessen its debt burden and to boost exports, and as it has exposed the weakness of the Greek economy in relation to other Eurozone members, most notably Germany.  "A 20 per cent devaluation of the euro is a big deal, but everyone has to realise that the benefits of the devaluation are going to be spread quite unevenly." Internationally Problem !
  • 18.  In mid- April 2010, the details of the proposed financial assistance package for this year were released: a three- year loan worth €30 billion ($40 billion) at 5% interest rates, above what other Southern European countries borrow at, but below the rate currently charged by private investors on Greek bonds.  It is expected that an IMF stand-by arrangement, the IMF’s standard loan for helping countries address balance of payments difficulties, valued at €15 billion ($20 billion) for this year would precede any assistance provided to Greece by the Eurozone members. Financial Assistance Package
  • 19.  The policy solutions to two of the major economic issues facing the Greek government  —cutting large government budget deficits (which requires contractionary fiscal policies to address) and  stimulating the economy during cyclical economic downturn (which requires Expansionary fiscal policies)—are at odds with each other. Strict savings measures and deep cuts in public spending
  • 20.  average value-added tax rate from 19% to 21%;  civil servant hiring freeze in 2010  5:1 retirement/recruitment ratio for new public sector hires from 2011  10% cut in civil service salary allowances (bonuses)  a freeze on state pensions  raising the average retirement age  reducing the number of Greek municipalities from 1,034 to 370  the legal public entities formed by local authorities from 6,000 to 2,000 Reforms for the Recovery
  • 21.  The Creditability of Eurozone is seriously damaged and moral hazard problems are created.  Which is the Next Nation to ask for the Financial Assistance ( PIIGS ) Portugal Italy Ireland (Greece) Spain…..  Whether the financial rescue program will stabilize Greece & the Euro-Zone.  Will Greece require more Financial Aid ? Future Of Euro Zone
  • 22. Thank you This is not the end “ . “ The financial market has put Euro Zone to work on for “ Sustainable Solutions…………………