SlideShare a Scribd company logo
What do the national foresight
activities tell us?
Marek TIITS
3 March 2011
Where do the new
technologies come from?
Share of R&D personnel in employment
www.worldmapper.org
Foresight and
catching-up in a nutshell
It is the time of the ICT revolution
Carlota Pérez, Technological Revolutions
and Financial Capital, 2002
ICT 2018 foresight in Estonia
How could we
benefit the most from
the continuing ICT
revolution?
The global technological
frontiers in the ICTs
Ambient intelligence
Piggybacking
on the
global ICT
R&D trends
Socio-economic challenges, as
the emerging new markets
for the adoption of ICTs
Education
Health care
Energy efficiency
Industry
小心,
鐵人從愛沙尼亞是來了!
Financial services
party.unlimited
@paypal.ee
Policy challenges
Where is the future RTD workforce?
By 2020,
there 15-24
age group
will be only
half of the
2000 level!
Marek Tiits et al, Made in Estonia, 2005
Making the
Innovation Union work
• The FP7 continues to contribute to the
uneven development in the RTD in the EU
– Will the EU regional and cohesion policy be
able to compensate for it?
– How could the FP8 support more even
development of the RTDI capabilities, and
industrial upgrading?
Is the global policy mix right?
• How can the EU meet the challenges of
the globalisation, and diverging policy
needs of the different Member States?
– R&D and innovation
– exports & employment
– euro & inflation
– public finances
It is time for action!
How can we embed
foresight
into the actual
decision making?
Thank you!
Visit us at www.ibs.ee

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What do the national foresight activities tell us? The experience of Estonian ICT 2018 foresight

Editor's Notes

  1. Foresight in the catching up economies: grand narratives or intelligent piggybacking IKT sektor umbes 1/3 maailma erasektori T&A investeeringutest; bio-farmaatsiatööstus 1/5 ja autotööstus 1/5 Valdav enamus tehnoloogiaid, mis 10 aasta pärast mainstream , täna mingil kujul juba olemas.
  2. The clever adoption of the ICTs accounts for about ½ of the productivity growth
  3. It is not only the R&D efforts that are distributed very unevenly, but the whole industial development of the developed world has progressed through techno-economic paradigms.
  4. Who was the real client? The parliament? The ministry? Which one? The Association of ICT entrepreneurs?
  5. up to ½ of the productivity growth
  6. Raamatud, mis õpetavad! Veel parem kui suudame siia 10 aastat vanema koolipapa Lukase pildi panna!? Kiitleb: Tegin 2012 ammu plaanitud haridusreformi lõpuks ära! Sony e-raamat illustratsioon sellest, et tegelikult kõik võimalused juba täna olemas...
  7. Seekord mitte Langi jalavõru vabakäigu vangidele, vaid hoopis Nokia avatud platvormil EMT kommunikaator terviseteadlikele klientidele. Lisavarustuses Ilves Ekstra e-maika, mis sisaldab südame rütmi andureid jne.
  8. turu liberaliseerimine tõstab elektri hinda 2x Tuulikute idee fix -> Energiasüsteemide juhtimine -> mõistlik energiakasutus, tark maja jne
  9. Veduri pilt juurde! Iron Man's Tony Stark (appeared first in March 1963 ) is supposed to be an "industrialist," which Webster's defines as "a person involved in the ownership and management of industry ”. Kulude kasv & tootlikkuse kasvu surve
  10. Belgia Proton ammu oluliselt populaarsem – euro mündid väga kohmakad ja ebamugavad. Skype/PayPal värskelt turule toodud e-rahakott. Sorry Tiit, panga nimi vahetatakse tagasi! ;)
  11. Discuss here unemployment as well!
  12. The countries at different levels of development need different policies
  13. The countries at different levels of development need different policies