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Circular Economy
        Webinar of 21 February 2012
     Ellen MacArthur Foundation (EMF)


                   Walter R. Stahel
       Visiting Professor, University of Surrey
Founder-Director, The Product-Life Institute, Geneva
www.product-life.org,      productlife.org@gmail.com
                                                  1
                                                       1
Sustainability
            développement durable – Nachhaltigkeit




Winsemius, Pieter (2002) One Thousand Shades of Green
Today’s linear industrial economy
       more growth means more throughput
                                                            zero-life products




resources   materials manufacturing distrib. P.O.S.         use          waste

micro-economic profit optimisation              P.O.S. CONSUMER           STATE



                     The manufacturer’s liability for industrial goods
                     concerns the manufacturing quality.
                     Property and liability are transferred to the CONSUMER at the
                     P.O.S. and the State
                     BUT: asbestos, tobacco, GHG emissions class action suites
1 Wealth preservation instead of wealth substitution,
 Re-use is the prime strategy for markets near saturation




                             new car registrations


                 flow                    destroyed stock
                                        number of scrapped cars


       What has changed in the 21st century : 1
1960                                                              1995
                                                                   4
physical asset management = managing performance over time

Redefining
‘Quality’
as integrating
the
‘Factor Time’
into
corporate
strategy




                                                             5
Industrial
recycling
processes
ECONOMICS of a Circular Economy - managing stocks:
reusing and remanufacturing goods & components (loop 1)

                        Re-using
                        molecules
Less:                                                                 less
energy-intensive                                                      wasted
activities and                                                        resources
    X
environmental
                                          Remanufacturing
                                              goods
                                                            Reuse goods,
                                                            remarketing
                                                                           X
impairment
                                                                      EU waste
                                                                      directive
                                                                      2008


Source: Stahel, Walter (EU report) 1976
                                                                                  7
Job creation: product-life extension is a strategy to
   substitute manpower for energy (EU report 1976)



         10 years                       20 years              30 years

                          labour                     labour
                                   factory
 factory                                     parts                       labour




Source: Stahel, Walter 1976                                               8
The quality angle of the circular economy

The circular economy is
• regional, meaning less transport volumes and
  shorter distances in the processing chain,
• more labour-intensive than manufacturing because
  economies of scale are limited and component
  quality has to be established first,
• a high-quality world: Stradivari instruments and
  expensive watches do not live forever by design, but
  through periodic remanufacturing,
• the knowledge and know-how of past technologies
  are necessary for retrofitting infrastructure and
  equipment (i.e. employing silver workers).

                                                     9
The economics of a Circular Economy

1 manage stock instead of flow optimisation,
  wealth preservation instead of substitution,
  utilisation value replaces exchange value as
  the central notion of economic value,
  wealth management replaces value added,
2 substitute labour for energy and material
  inputs,
3 create local jobs at all skill levels, quality,
4 reduce resource consumption and
  environmental impairment,
5 foster caring (stock optimisation is based on
  preserving existing values).
                                                10
Sustainable competitiveness:
material efficiency means profits
• A circular economy (better design and more
  efficient use of material) could save
  European manufacturers US$630bn a year
  by 2025, according to a report by the Ellen
  MacArthur Foundation, London.
• The report, produced by consultancy
  McKinsey, only covers five sectors that
  represent a little less than half of the GDP
  contribution of EU manufacturing, but still
  calculates that greater resource efficiency
  could deliver multi-billion Euro savings
  equivalent to 23 per cent of current spending
  on manufacturing inputs.
Sustainable competitiveness through re-use:
remanufacturing example ICE1-ReDesign
• The 59 ICE1 trains of the German Bundesbahn clocked up
  15 million km each in the first 15 years of operation.
• The cost of the ReDesign was €3 million per train,
  procurement costs for a new train are €25 million.
• In addition, Re-Design saves social costs of €1 million on a
  global level (Stern report).
• ReDesign conserves 80 per cent of materials and
  embodied energy – a total of 16'500 tonnes of steel and
  1180 tonnes of copper - and prevents 35'000 tonnes of
  CO2 emissions and 500'000 tonnes of mining waste
  (‚Rucksäcke‘).
• ReDesign includes a technologic upgrading of the trains
  and an increase in the number of seats. Each seat now
  offers individual power outlets and internet connection.
Sustainable competitiveness through re-use
 A 2004 sectoral study on restoring used automotive engines
    compared to a like-new condition showed lower economic
    costs (30-53%) and much lower environmental costs
    compared to manufacturing engines:

 •   raw material consumption down by 26-90%,
 •   waste generation down by 65-88%,
 •   energy consumption down by 68-83%,
 •   73-78% fewer carbon dioxide (CO2),
 •   48-88% less CO,
 •   72-85% less NOx,
 •   71-84% less SOx,
 •   50-61% less non-methane hydrocarbons emissions.

Source: Smith, VM and Keolian, GA (2004) The value of remanufactured engines, life-cycle
environmental and economic perspectives, Journal of Industrial Ecology, 8(1-2) 193-222     13
GHG reductions
  900 mio t GHG emissions
                                        Circular Economy
                                        (restorative)
                      Lifetime
                      optimisation

                           Goods as
                           services




                                                 German EEG
                                                 feed-in tariff law


Source: WRAP (2009)                                          14
Stock management involves caring

– preserving manufactured capital (buildings,
  infrastructure, equipment, goods) preserves the
  embedded energy, water, GHG emissions,
– fostering people’s quality of life (skills, education
  and health services, knowledge),
– maintaining culture and cultural heritage capital
  (incl. technology), museums,
– making best use of natural capital (e.g.
  producing bio food from organic agriculture,
  wooden furniture, leather shoes, wool textiles),
– creating a new relationship with goods.
CARING,
social
innovations:
a new
relationship
with goods
The Performance Economy -
selling / buying goods as services
• is the most profitable and competitive business
  model of the Circular Economy,
• is sustainable and preventive as manufacturers
  internalise the cost of risk and of waste,
• leads to radical and rapid new product design for
  take-back and reuse of goods and components,
• achieves the highest resource efficiency and
  security as it maintains ownership of material,
• exploits sufficiency and prevention as profit
  strategies
                                                 17
What changed in the 21st century : 2
The shift from sinking to rising resource prices
Sustainable
taxation is a            RESOURCE SECURITY
booster to

increase:
resource            SUSTAINABLE        JOB
                                  C
security,
and jobs            TAXATION      E
                                       CREATION
prevent
GHG
emissions               GHG EMISSION REDUCTION
Copyright/author:
Walter R. Stahel
2011
Where to find more
                            information:

                            The Performance Economy
                            Walter R. Stahel

                            published by
                            Palgrave Macmillan London
                            March 2010
                            ISBN 978-0-230-58466-2

                            productlife.org@gmail.com
                            http://product-life.org
14/02/2012   The Performance Economy              20
Thank you for your attention




                                1
                               21
                                    21

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Walter Stahel - Circular economy webinar (Feb. 2012

  • 1. Circular Economy Webinar of 21 February 2012 Ellen MacArthur Foundation (EMF) Walter R. Stahel Visiting Professor, University of Surrey Founder-Director, The Product-Life Institute, Geneva www.product-life.org, productlife.org@gmail.com 1 1
  • 2. Sustainability développement durable – Nachhaltigkeit Winsemius, Pieter (2002) One Thousand Shades of Green
  • 3. Today’s linear industrial economy more growth means more throughput zero-life products resources materials manufacturing distrib. P.O.S. use waste micro-economic profit optimisation P.O.S. CONSUMER STATE The manufacturer’s liability for industrial goods concerns the manufacturing quality. Property and liability are transferred to the CONSUMER at the P.O.S. and the State BUT: asbestos, tobacco, GHG emissions class action suites
  • 4. 1 Wealth preservation instead of wealth substitution, Re-use is the prime strategy for markets near saturation new car registrations flow destroyed stock number of scrapped cars What has changed in the 21st century : 1 1960 1995 4
  • 5. physical asset management = managing performance over time Redefining ‘Quality’ as integrating the ‘Factor Time’ into corporate strategy 5
  • 7. ECONOMICS of a Circular Economy - managing stocks: reusing and remanufacturing goods & components (loop 1) Re-using molecules Less: less energy-intensive wasted activities and resources X environmental Remanufacturing goods Reuse goods, remarketing X impairment EU waste directive 2008 Source: Stahel, Walter (EU report) 1976 7
  • 8. Job creation: product-life extension is a strategy to substitute manpower for energy (EU report 1976) 10 years 20 years 30 years labour labour factory factory parts labour Source: Stahel, Walter 1976 8
  • 9. The quality angle of the circular economy The circular economy is • regional, meaning less transport volumes and shorter distances in the processing chain, • more labour-intensive than manufacturing because economies of scale are limited and component quality has to be established first, • a high-quality world: Stradivari instruments and expensive watches do not live forever by design, but through periodic remanufacturing, • the knowledge and know-how of past technologies are necessary for retrofitting infrastructure and equipment (i.e. employing silver workers). 9
  • 10. The economics of a Circular Economy 1 manage stock instead of flow optimisation, wealth preservation instead of substitution, utilisation value replaces exchange value as the central notion of economic value, wealth management replaces value added, 2 substitute labour for energy and material inputs, 3 create local jobs at all skill levels, quality, 4 reduce resource consumption and environmental impairment, 5 foster caring (stock optimisation is based on preserving existing values). 10
  • 11. Sustainable competitiveness: material efficiency means profits • A circular economy (better design and more efficient use of material) could save European manufacturers US$630bn a year by 2025, according to a report by the Ellen MacArthur Foundation, London. • The report, produced by consultancy McKinsey, only covers five sectors that represent a little less than half of the GDP contribution of EU manufacturing, but still calculates that greater resource efficiency could deliver multi-billion Euro savings equivalent to 23 per cent of current spending on manufacturing inputs.
  • 12. Sustainable competitiveness through re-use: remanufacturing example ICE1-ReDesign • The 59 ICE1 trains of the German Bundesbahn clocked up 15 million km each in the first 15 years of operation. • The cost of the ReDesign was €3 million per train, procurement costs for a new train are €25 million. • In addition, Re-Design saves social costs of €1 million on a global level (Stern report). • ReDesign conserves 80 per cent of materials and embodied energy – a total of 16'500 tonnes of steel and 1180 tonnes of copper - and prevents 35'000 tonnes of CO2 emissions and 500'000 tonnes of mining waste (‚Rucksäcke‘). • ReDesign includes a technologic upgrading of the trains and an increase in the number of seats. Each seat now offers individual power outlets and internet connection.
  • 13. Sustainable competitiveness through re-use A 2004 sectoral study on restoring used automotive engines compared to a like-new condition showed lower economic costs (30-53%) and much lower environmental costs compared to manufacturing engines: • raw material consumption down by 26-90%, • waste generation down by 65-88%, • energy consumption down by 68-83%, • 73-78% fewer carbon dioxide (CO2), • 48-88% less CO, • 72-85% less NOx, • 71-84% less SOx, • 50-61% less non-methane hydrocarbons emissions. Source: Smith, VM and Keolian, GA (2004) The value of remanufactured engines, life-cycle environmental and economic perspectives, Journal of Industrial Ecology, 8(1-2) 193-222 13
  • 14. GHG reductions 900 mio t GHG emissions Circular Economy (restorative) Lifetime optimisation Goods as services German EEG feed-in tariff law Source: WRAP (2009) 14
  • 15. Stock management involves caring – preserving manufactured capital (buildings, infrastructure, equipment, goods) preserves the embedded energy, water, GHG emissions, – fostering people’s quality of life (skills, education and health services, knowledge), – maintaining culture and cultural heritage capital (incl. technology), museums, – making best use of natural capital (e.g. producing bio food from organic agriculture, wooden furniture, leather shoes, wool textiles), – creating a new relationship with goods.
  • 17. The Performance Economy - selling / buying goods as services • is the most profitable and competitive business model of the Circular Economy, • is sustainable and preventive as manufacturers internalise the cost of risk and of waste, • leads to radical and rapid new product design for take-back and reuse of goods and components, • achieves the highest resource efficiency and security as it maintains ownership of material, • exploits sufficiency and prevention as profit strategies 17
  • 18. What changed in the 21st century : 2 The shift from sinking to rising resource prices
  • 19. Sustainable taxation is a RESOURCE SECURITY booster to increase: resource SUSTAINABLE JOB C security, and jobs TAXATION E CREATION prevent GHG emissions GHG EMISSION REDUCTION Copyright/author: Walter R. Stahel 2011
  • 20. Where to find more information: The Performance Economy Walter R. Stahel published by Palgrave Macmillan London March 2010 ISBN 978-0-230-58466-2 productlife.org@gmail.com http://product-life.org 14/02/2012 The Performance Economy 20
  • 21. Thank you for your attention 1 21 21