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Prospective
          Optimization




“Practical Examples of Thomas Cook’s
 Travel Beyond Web Analytics Data”
Look in our Kitchen
My Disclaimer




Tools don’t solve problems, people do,
               YOU DO!
No Endorsements
No
False
Sense
of
Belief
No Promises
Better Understanding
Inception
Realization
Planning
Booking
Analytics’ Booking Story




Personal    Extras    Address   Payment      Booking
 Details   Car etc.    Phone    Selection   Complete


  Leak

                                  Leak
The Problem


                 Payment Selection


         What?
                       Leak
         Why?
Would   allow this?
would try this...
What would you try?
Prospecting
Calculate Potential


Heuristic Evaluation


  Research Attitude


 Research Behavior
Calculate Potential
Calculate Potential

           True Intent Conversion Rate

                              Look for a holiday


                               Compare Prices


                               Book a holiday

Visitors     Purpose
                            Re-visit post booking


                             Talk to CS employee
Calculate Potential

           True Intent Conversion Rate




                              =   12%
Visitors     Book a holiday
Calculate Potential

         True Intent Conversion Rate

    Total Visitors          100,000 *
  Booking Intention           12%
Average Order Value         $1.000 *

  Potential Revenue        $12.000.000
Real World Conversion         1% *

   Actual Revenue          $1.000.000

            Difference   -$11.000.000
                                         * fictitious data
Would YOU allow this?
Calculate Potential
Heuristic Evaluation
Heuristic Evaluation



aanbetaling                Down payment




                            5 options...

                             but only 1
                            offers 30%
                           down payment
Heuristic Evaluation

  Why offer a ‘Down Payment’ option?

                 Government regulated savings



                 Save 8% of your salary per month



                 Pay out in May of every year
Dutch Law

 101             Let everyone go on a holiday
Heuristic Evaluation

Why offer a ‘Down Payment’ option?


          Pay out in May of every year




           Local Laws & Behavior
             dictate necessity.
Heuristic Evaluation

Why offer a ‘Down Payment’ option?




    22%         of holidays are booked
                during December/January
User Research
      vs
  Intuition
Gary Klein


        Recognition
      Primed Decision
When it looks like rain...
1. Sign Recognition
2. Prior Experience
3. Decision/Behavior
Who should you trust?
Who should you trust?



               vs


       Users        Experts
My Personal Opinion




   Experts   should include   Users
Heuristic Evaluation
Research Attitude
Research Attitude
Research Attitude



Target: Visitors in Booking Dialogue


Display: Move outside of active window




    12.344             2.064
      views          responses

           ...in 72 hours
Research Attitude


    Why won’t you complete your booking?
       I must first discuss this with my (travel)partner
                I only wanted to know the total price
                        Total price was too expensive
I need to transfer money from my savings account first
       I could not pay due to an error on the website
                      I prefer to book at a Travelshop
                                               Other...

                                                           Flight preferences
                                                           Display discounts
The Problem


               Payment Selection


    Down payments

        0.5%   of those surveyed.
Real
The Problem


                                    Payment Selection

31%   Displayed offer not convincing enough

30%   Looking to book, but not alone, only with partner

7%    Specific airlines avoided by potential customers

6%    Inconsistent discount display causing confusion
31%   Displayed offer not convincing enough

          Poor Persuasion, Competitive Awareness



30%   Looking to book, but not alone, only with partner

          Functional Expectancy


7%    Specific airlines avoided by potential customers

          Product Apprehension


6%    Inconsistent discount display causing confusion

          Persuasion, Competitive Awareness
Research Attitude


      Displayed offer not convincing enough
37%
      Inconsistent discount display causing confusion

          Poor Persuasion, Competitive Awareness


30%   Looking to book, but not alone, only with partner

          Functional Expectancy



7%    Specific airlines avoided by potential customers

          Product Apprehension
Research Attitude
Test Behavior/Attitude
Behavior
   vs
Attitude
Match Attitude (Say)
 with Behavior (Do)




    Replay visits based on visitor IP address
Example

          use IP address to find
            session in Tealeaf




Technical Error
Discovering Issues




               n=1

             Difficult
Discovering Issues




               1=n

              Easier
Match Attitude (Say)
 with Behavior (Do)




           No Tealeaf, No Sweat, Try...
Match Attitude (Say)
 with Behavior (Do)




          You (can) pick the participants

        You set the tasks you want to test

 Test anything, from mockups to (mobile) websites
Test Behavior/Attitude


 7%   Specific airlines avoided by potential customers

          Product Apprehension

      On several desitnations, we offer Onur Air
Test Behavior/Attitude


 7%   Specific airlines avoided by potential customers

          Product Apprehension

      On several desitnations, we offer Onur Air




potential customers wanted (at least) Transavia
Test Behavior/Attitude




            I don’t want to fly with Onur Air.
Can I pay extra to fly with Transavia instead of Onur Air?
     I have some doubts about flying with Onur Air.
            I only want to fly with Transavia.




                       * actual KISSinsights responses translated from Dutch to English
Test Behavior/Attitude




Can I pay extra to fly with Transavia instead of Onur Air?
     I have some doubts about flying with Onur Air.
Test Behavior/Attitude


 Test Hypothesis
 pay extra
 Will visitors pay a premium to fly
 with a preferred carrier?             1/5

 doubts

 Are visitors really abandoning or
 seeking out alternatives when
 presented with Onur Air as carrier?
                                       3/5
Test Behavior/Attitude

 doubts

 Are visitors really abandoning or
 seeking out alternatives when
 presented with Onur Air as carrier?
                                       3/5



              Offer Alternatives
              Save Conversions
Test Behavior/Attitude
Calculate Potential


  Heuristic Evaluation


 Pre Verify Hypothesis


Test Behavior/Attitude
What about...
      Displayed offer not convincing enough
37%
      Inconsistent discount display causing confusion




                                     Always be testing...
What about...
30%   Looking to book, but not alone, only with partner

          Offer time-limited option on holiday and price
          Offer 5 day money back guarantee *




      * Internal research revealed that we have an active 5 day
            money-back-guarantee policy... offline only.

                   We made it an ONLINE policy.
Calculate Potential


  Heuristic Evaluation


 Pre Verify Hypothesis


Test Behavior/Attitude
OIL
‘Black Gold’
Happy Holidays from

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Wac 2012 Thomas Cook - Matthew Niederberger