The bank reported good operating performance in the challenging first quarter of 2009. While net profit decreased 43% due to higher loan loss provisions, operating income grew 39% and operating expenses fell 13% due to cost control efforts. The bank maintained a strong capital position with an 18.5% capital adequacy ratio and liquidity ratios remained healthy despite a contracting loan portfolio and rising unemployment and inflation in Russia during the quarter.
The topic of the joint Country Session of Rwanda and Tanzania was 'Toward Monetary Union in East Africa'. It focused on the progress and challenges of progress towards creating an East African monetary union. The presentations in this slideshare are from Christopher Adam and Dick Durevall.
The topic of the joint Country Session of Rwanda and Tanzania was 'Toward Monetary Union in East Africa'. It focused on the progress and challenges of progress towards creating an East African monetary union. The presentations in this slideshare are from Christopher Adam and Dick Durevall.
NAM’s Chief Economist, Dr. Chad Moutray, and his renowned ability to break-down complex data into straightforward, usable nuggets of information goes through the latest numbers for you. His in-depth insight will provides a comprehensive look at manufacturing industry trends and the current state of the manufacturing economy in America.
3. Macroeconomic Overview
Industry Growth, % YoY Main factors that influenced Bank’s activity
120%
115%
- Russia Q1 2009 GDP growth was negative – 9,5%.
110%
New official FY2009 GDP forecast by the Ministry of
105%
Economic Development - 6% decline.
101%
100%
95% 91% 90%
- At the Q1 end quarter inflation amounted to 5,4%.
90%
87%
86% Currently trend slowed down resulted in reduction
84%
85% CBR refinancing rate from 13% to 12,0%
80%
01.02.08 01.05.08 01.08.08 01.11.08 01.02.09
- Situation in labour market deteriorated significantly.
Unemployment up to 9,5% as Russian companies
Unemployment and Income
continued to cut stuff. This is 2,4% higher than year
Unemployment,% (left axis)
10%
Real Disposable Income, % YoY (right axis)
9,50% 115,0 ago.
109,2 110,0
8% 107,6
105,0 - Manufacturing reduction in March resulted from
6%
7,10% 7,00% 105,0 domestic slowdown and export deceleration.
99,9
5,40%
5,80%
100,0
Index of Manufacturing in Q1 2009 amounted to
4% 93,9 85,7% YoY.
95,0
2%
90,0 - Banks’ loan books shrank during Q1 2009 and
pushed up NPL growth in corporate and retail
0% 85,0
01.03.08 01.06.08 01.09.08 01.12.08 01.03.09 sectors to 3,5% and 4,7% respectively
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4. Q1 2009 Financial highlights
Q1 2009 Q1 2008 Change YoY
Total Deposits 90 062 87 503 +2.9%
Total Net Loans 93 027 81 317 +14.4%
Loan to Deposit ratio 110.3% 99.5% 10.4 p.p.
Total Operating Income 3 617 2 606 +38.8%
Total Operating Costs - 1 390 - 1 589 -12.5%
Net Profit 386 681 -43.3%
Cost to Income ratio 38.4% 61.0% -22.4 p.p.
Capital Adequacy Ratio 18.5% 15.9% +2.6 p.p.
ROE 10.1% 22.3% - 12.2 p.p.
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5. Core revenues are still resilient
+43%
+4,5%
Interest Income
Interest Expenses - Re-pricing of corporate loan
Interest portfolio as a result of adverse
market conditions allowed us to
Income and 3,9 4,4 4,6 increase Q/Q interest income by 5%
3,3 despite loan portfolio contraction
2,9
Interest
Expenses, -1,2 - 22% increase of funding costs
-1,4 -1,7 -1,8 -2,2
RUB bln resulted from retail deposits rates
growth and relatively high cost of
+22% CBR funding
+83%
Q1’08 Q2’08 Q3’08 Q4’08 Q1’09
+0,9pps
- Net interest margin decreased by
0,8 pps Q/Q pressured by rising
7,5% deposits rates.
6,4% 6,7% 6,7%
5,8%
NIM
evolution
Q1’08 Q2’08 Q3’08 Q4’08 Q1’09
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6. Tight control over expenses
Net Interest income Other Income
+38%
Net Fees Operating expenses
0,3 - Q/Q contraction of client transaction
0,1 1,2 0,4
0,2 due to more then 10 holidays during
1,1 0,9
Operating 0,1 1,0 quarter and overall slowdown of
0,8 business activity resulted in - 25%
Income and 2,0 2,3 2,6 2,3
net fee income, but it’s still more
1,7 then in Q1 2008
Expenses,
- Operating expenses 30% Q/Q
RUB bln -1,6 -1,8 -1,7 -2,0
-1,4
decrease was mainly supported by
personnel and administration
-30%
expenses cuts
-13%
Q1’08 Q2’08 Q3’08 Q4’08 Q1’09
-22,6pps
- Cost-to-Income ratio reduced by
61,0%
54,7% 22,6 pps as a result of strategic cost
47,8% 50,0% reduction program. Target 2009 -
Cost to focus on cost management with key
38,4%
Income area of saving – staff costs.
before
provisions,%
Q1’08 Q2’08 Q3’08 Q4’08 Q1’09
6
7. Net profit decrease caused by higher charges to provisions
+120% - Operating profit before provisions
Operating profit before provisions
+10% grew by 10% QoQ and by 120%
Operating Provisions YoY.
profit and 1,5 1,8 2,0 2,2
1,0 - Above-plan Q1 profit allowed us to
provisions, -0,1 -0,3 apply conservative provisioning for
-0,6
-1,2 loan impairment. Charges grew by
RUB bln -1,6
16 times YoY
Q1’08 Q2’08 Q3’08 Q4’08 Q1’09
-43%
Net profit - Net profit was 33% less than in Q4
2004 due to significant charges to
Net profit, -33% provisions for loan impairment
RUB bln 0,9 1,0
0,7 0,6
0,4
Q1’08 Q2’08 Q3’08 Q4’08 Q1’09
7
8. Credit Quality Management
NPL growth Distribution of exposure remains well-diversified
Provisions, % of Total Loans 6,4% Other
NPL, % of Total Loans * Industry
of them impaired, % of Total Loans Transport 13%
5,0% 5,9%
4,8%
State 10% 24%
3,6% 3,5% 4,7%
organizations
3,4% 5% RUB
81,351
2,5% 2,2% Finance 4% Construction
1,8%
mln.
1,4%
13%
0,6%
Wholesale & 26% 5%
2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009
retail trade
* NPL includes the whole principal of loans at least one day
Agriculture
overdue (either principal or interests)
Retail over-due loans* Corporate loans breakdown by number
6,0% Up to 30 mln
Overdue loans on credit cards 30-100 mln
More than 90% of
5,0% Overdue car and consumer loans 100-750 mln 1% loans are less
Overdue mortgages/mortgage portfolio 11%
4,0%
more than 750 mln than
RUB 100 mln
3,0% 16%
1509
2,0% borrowers
1,0%
72%
0,0%
01.01.06 01.07.06 01.01.07 01.07.07 01.01.08 01.07.08 01.01.09
* Over-due includes the whole principal of loans at least 30 day overdue
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9. Credit quality breakdown
Large SMEs Mortgages Other Total % of
corporate retail total
as of 01.04.2009 loans
Gross loans, including 22 726 58 625 8 924 9 146 99 421 100.0%
Current loans 22 224 54 323 8 425 8 579 93 551 93.4%
NPL, of them 502 4 302 499 567 5 870 5.9%
past-due less than 30 - 580 244 145 1 387 1.4%
days
past-due over 30 days - 60 184 5 438 0.4%
Impaired 502 3 662 71 417 4 652 4.7%
Provisions - 1 176 - 4 480 - 271 - 467 - 6 394 6.4%
Net Loans 21 150 54 145 8 653 8 679 93 027 -
Restructured loans FY2008 Q1 2009
(at the end of reported 44 loans 2,7% of 65 loans 3,7% of
period) corporate loans corporate loans
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15. First results of work on cost efficiency
Assets per employee growth Change of headcount
RUB mln
+2.3%
+18.9%
-1%
6183 6260 6322 6414 6348
22,0
21,6
21,2
20,2
18,5
Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009
Staff costs per employee reduction Income per employee growth
Operating Income before provisions, RUB mln
Staff costs, RUB mln 190
Monthly Operating Income per Employee (RHS), rub '000
Monthly staff costs per employee (RHS), rub '000
1500 70 4200 220
140
1250 56.9 65 3500 200
42.7
1000 60 2800 180
750 55 2100 160
500 50 1400 140
250 45 700 120
0 40 0 100
Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009
15
16. What we expect in Q2 2009
Continuing credit quality deterioration
Very conservative provisioning
Positive operating results
Cost efficiency
16
17. Questions and answers
Julia Vinogradova Andrei Shalimov
Advisor to the Chairman Member of the Management Board
+7 495 705 91 44 Head of Treasury
Yu.Vinogradova@voz.ru A.Shalimov@voz.ru
investor@voz.ru http://www.vbank.ru/en/investors
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