Vehicle Borne Terrorism
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This document discusses vehicle-borne terrorism and diplomatic security. It notes some major terrorist attacks using vehicle-borne improvised explosive devices (VBIEDs) that killed hundreds in Beirut, Oklahoma City, Kenya, and New York. The document examines US policy implementations from 1983-2008 aimed at preempting, maintaining the status quo, or deterring VBIED attacks on diplomatic facilities. These include implementing standoff distances in 1985, delta barriers in 1999, and man-traps in 2004. The expected findings are that standoff distances would reduce lethality, while delta barriers and mantraps would reduce the prevalence of VBIED attacks on diplomatic facilities.
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CH(COL) Timothy S. Mallard, Ph.D., USA
Command Chaplain
U.S. Army Cyber Center of Excellence & Fort Gordon
a report of the csis homeland security and counterterrorism.docx
a report of the csis homeland
security and counterterrorism
program and the csis transnational
threats project
September 2011
1800 K Street, NW | Washington, DC 20006
Tel: (202) 887-0200 | Fax: (202) 775-3199
E-mail: [email protected] | Web: www.csis.org
Project Directors
Rick “Ozzie” Nelson
Thomas M. Sanderson
Project Coordinators
Ben Bodurian
David Gordon
Project Senior Advisers
Arnaud de Borchgrave
Juan C. Zarate
Confronting an Uncertain Threat
the future of al qaeda and associated movements
C
o
n
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n
tin
g
an
U
n
certain
T
h
reat
N
elso
n
an
d
S
an
d
erso
n
Ë|xHSKITCy066674zv*:+:!:+:!
ISBN 978-0-89206-667-4
a report of the csis homeland
security and counterterrorism
program and the csis transnational
threats project
Confronting an Uncertain Threat
the future of al qaeda and associated movements
September 2011
Project Directors
Rick “Ozzie” Nelson
Thomas M. Sanderson
Project Coordinators
Ben Bodurian
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About CSIS
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Studies (CSIS) provides strategic insights and bipartisan policy solutions to decisionmakers in
government, international institutions, the private sector, and civil society. A bipartisan, nonprofit
organization headquartered in Washington, D.C., CSIS conducts research and analysis and devel-
ops policy initiatives that look into the future and anticipate change.
Founded by David M. Abshire and Admiral Arleigh Burke at the height of the Cold War, CSIS
was dedicated to finding ways for America to sustain its prominence and prosperity as a force for
good in the world.
Since 1962, CSIS has grown to become one of the world’s preeminent international policy
institutions, with more than 220 full-time staff and a large network of affiliated scholars focused
on defense and security, regional stability, and transnational challenges ranging from energy and
climate to global development and economic integration.
Former U.S. senator Sam Nunn became chairman of the CSIS Board of Trustees in 1999, and
John J. Hamre has led CSIS as its president and chief executive officer since 2000.
CSIS does not take specific policy positions; accordingly, all views expressed herein should be
understood to be solely those of the author(s).
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tional security team, including Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, far right, Secretary of State
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of Staff, receive an update on the mission against Osama bin Laden in the Situation Room of the
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a report of the csis homeland
security and counterterrorism
program and the csis transnational
threats project
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1800 K Street, NW | Washington, DC 20006
Tel: (202) 887-0200 | Fax: (202) 775-3199
E-mail: [email protected] | Web: www.csis.org
Project Directors
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KENNETH C. LAUDON AND JANE P. LAUDON
continued
Systems
CHAPTER 4 ETHICAL AND SOCIAL ISSUES IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS
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National Security Agency (NSA) is an on-going effort to enable such Internet surveillance.
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secret until its existence was revealed by Edward Snowden, a former NSA contractor.
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URL http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lKpD7MC22I
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URL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JR6YyYdF8ho
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Chapter 4, Case 3 Data Mining for terrorists anD innoCents 2
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and their followers. The program creates profiles based on word length, punctuation,
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biennial attacks and patterns of operations that coincide with the U.S. national biennial
political campaigns. The analysis anticipates that the terrorist organization desires to carry
out attacks inside America and against Americans, as well as against American interests
abroad.
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Fusion Center. A Fusion Center is a collaborative effort of multiple agencies that provide
resources, expertise, and information with the goal of maximizing the ability to detect,
prevent, investigate, and respond to criminal and terrorist activity. Fusion centers conduct
analysis and facilitate information sharing to assist law enforcement and homeland security
partners in preventing, protecting against, and responding to crime and terrorism. State and
major urban area fusion centers serve as primary focal points for the receipt, analysis,
gathering, and sharing of threat-related information among federal, state, local, tribal, and
territorial (SLTT) partners. Fusion centers are located in states and major urban areas
throughout the country and are uniquely situated to enable law enforcement personnel to
gather and share threat-related information.
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majority of listed incidents appear to have occurred during the six months and in the
immediate eight week period preceding the biennial elections. Gathering and collecting
covers the acquisition of raw information through activities such as interviews of confidential
and other sources, surveillances, intercepts, forensics, and liaison relationships. Information
can be gathered from open sources and other more sophisticated sources. You are being
requested to use open sources for this assignment. Open source intelligence is publicly
available and accessible information appearing in electronic or print form and includes radio,
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assignment. Keep in mind that trend analysis does not predict future events but it can be a
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what might occur. The information you develop will be used in conjunction with other
intelligence being gathered and analyzed incident to planning and preparing security and
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graphically.
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inexperienced and seeking advice, or an opinion leader holding sway over many more
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KENNETH C. LAUDON AND JANE P. LAUDON
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Systems
CHAPTER 4 ETHICAL AND SOCIAL ISSUES IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS
CASE 3 Data Mining for Terrorists and Innocents
SUMMARY This case describes how data mining software, combined with Big Data collection from
the Internet, are used to identify potential terrorists. The PRISM program of the U.S.
National Security Agency (NSA) is an on-going effort to enable such Internet surveillance.
In some cases innocent people have been mistaken for terrorists, while sometimes a
terrorist plot is disrupted. The existence of the PRISM program was a national security
secret until its existence was revealed by Edward Snowden, a former NSA contractor.
There are two videos in this case:
(1) Data Mining for Terrorists and Innocents (L= 5:10)
URL http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lKpD7MC22I
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URL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JR6YyYdF8ho
CASE Anti-terrorism agencies around the world have made effective use of new surveillance tech-
nologies that offer unprecedented abilities to identify and apprehend potential terrorists.
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a team at the University of Tucson that combs the Internet in search of militant leaders
and their followers. The program creates profiles based on word length, punctuation,
syntax, and content, and displays information about the personality type of an individual
graphically.
The plotting of information on a graph represents whether the user is violent or militant,
inexperienced and seeking advice, or an opinion leader holding sway over many more
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prevent, investigate, and respond to criminal and terrorist activity. Fusion centers conduct
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partners in preventing, protecting against, and responding to crime and terrorism. State and
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majority of listed incidents appear to have occurred during the six months and in the
immediate eight week period preceding the biennial elections. Gathering and collecting
covers the acquisition of raw information through activities such as interviews of confidential
and other sources, surveillances, intercepts, forensics, and liaison relationships. Information
can be gathered from open sources and other more sophisticated sources. You are being
requested to use open sources for this assignment. Open source intelligence is publicly
available and accessible information appearing in electronic or print form and includes radio,
television, newspapers, journals, the internet, commercial databases, drawings, graphics,
and videos. The use of Wikipedia or any other “Wiki” sources are strictly prohibited for this
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powerful tool for strategic planning by creating plausible and detailed scenarios or views of
what might occur. The information you develop will be used in conjunction with other
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Vehicle Borne Terrorism
- 1. Diplomatic Security &Vehicle-Borne Terrorism Gerald T. McKenna
- 2. Beirut 386
- 4. Kenya 224
- 7. terrorism - the premeditated use, or threat of use, of extranormal violence to obtain a political objective through intimidation or fear directed at a large audience
- 8. vbied - Vehicle Borne Improvised Explosive Device; any that use a vehicle as the package for the explosive device.
- 9. diplomatic facility - U.S. personnel and property falling under Chief of Mission Control to include all Consulates and Embassies overseas.
- 11. Howhave specific policy implementations affected terrorism and targeted states? Intervention Analysis
- 12. Whyhave these actors reacted in this way? Theoretical Analysis
- 13. Key Literature
- 16. Preempt Status Quo Deter 2,2 -2,4 -6,6 P SQ D 4,-2 0,0 -4,2 2,-4 6,-6 Nash -2,-2
- 17. Theoretical Model
- 19. Delta-barriers
- 20. “Man-traps”
- 21. Data & Method
- 22. ITERATE International Terrorism: Attributes of Terrorist Events DoS Political Violence Against Americans/Patterns of Global Terrorism MIPT National Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism
- 23. 1983-2008 VBIED attacks on Dip. Facilities Standoff 1985 Delta 1999 Mantrap 2004
- 24. Expected Findings Standoff Distances Lethality Delta Barriers Prevalence Mantraps Prevalence
- 25. Lethality and Prevalence of all other Modes and to Softer targets All Three Interventions
- 26. a a a
- 27. Questions?