Varun Beverages Ltd.
Year End Highlights
Reco. Price: Rs. 569 CMP (as on 08/03/2018): Rs. 633.05
Reco. Date: 21/12/2017 Return: ~11.26% in approx. 2.5 months
Company Updates
 In 2017, the company divested
41% of its stake in subsidiary
Varun Beverage Mozambique
Ltda. as the subsidiary was posting
losses and affecting the overall net
operations of the firm.
 Increased stake in the Zambia
subsidiary from 60% to 90%.
 Established a greenfield
production facility at Zimbabwe to
capture an untapped market. VBL
is the sole Pepsi Franchisee and
distributor of Pepsico products.
Commercial production has
already begun at this facility.
 VBL got a credit rating upgrade
from CRISIL. Ratings shifted
from CRISIL AA-/Stable to
CRISIL A+/Positive. Short term
debt rating remained constant at
CRISIL A1+.
 The company set up a new manufacturing unit of Pepsi products at Hardoi
district, UP. Operations started from May 3, 2017.
 The company’s operations span across 6 countries: India, Nepal, Sri Lanka
which contribute ~90% to revenues and 3 countries in Africa (Morocco,
Zambia and Zimbabwe) which contribute ~10% to revenues.
 VBL accounts for ~51% of Pepsico’s beverage sales volume in India. It has a
presence in 21 states and 2 union territories.
 Increase in infrastructure: 23 state-of-the-art production facilities.
 Supply Chain: 72 owned depots, 2122 owned vehicles, 1049 primary
distributors.
NEW BRAND LICENSE BY PEPSICO
 Company has received manufacturing and distribution rights for Pepsi Black
and Diet Pepsi (CSD segment), Nimbooz masala soda (carbonated juices
segments), Sting (energy drink)
 Company gained distribution rights for: Tropicana, Tropicana Essentials,
Tropicana Delight, Sports Drink Gatorade and Dairy product Quaker Oats
Milk.
ACQUISITION OF TERRITORIES
 The company concluded the
acquisition of Pepsico India’s
previously franchised territories of
state of Odisha and parts of Madhya
Pradesh along with 2 manufacturing
units at Bargarh (Odisha) and
Bhopal(MP) w.e.f from 27th
September, 2017.
 The company concluded the
acquisition of Pepsico India’s
previously franchised territories of state of Jharkhand along with a
manufacturing unit at Jamshedpur on 20th
Dec 2017 (due-diligence is till in
progress).
 Completed acquisition of Pepsico India’s previously franchised territory of
state of Chhattisgarh (w.e.f. 11th
Jan 2018), Bihar (w.e.f. 17th
Jan 2018).
 Acquired manufacturing unit at Cuttack (Odisha) w.e.f. 19th
Jan 2018.
 For above acquisition, total acquisition was ~Rs. 2550 million. The company
plans to further spend ~Rs. 350 million in upgrading plant & machinery.
 Because of above acquisition, the company saw a 6% growth in Pepsico India
volumes and addition in the existing consumer base of India’s population by
~21%.
NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES
 PEPSI BLACK: A zero calorie cola flavour CSD product.
 STING: An energy drink which contains 50% less sugar than CSD products.
It has a highly competitive price as compared with other brands.
 TROPICANA: VBL has entered into a strategic agreement for selling and
distribution of Tropicana portfolio in territories across North and East India.
 GATORADE/QUAKER OATS: Partnership for selling and distribution of
Gatorade and Quaker Value-Added Dairy in territories across North and East
India.
Financial Highlights Year End
Consolidated
 Property, Plant & equipment grew by ~5.5% on YoY basis and stood at
Rs.35411.66 million.
 Capital Work-in-Progress has increased substantially this year by ~52% YoY
basis for setting up a greenfield plant in Nepal and Zimbabwe to tap into
previously un-chartered potential territories.
 Intangible assets have increased by ~21% on YoY basis.
 Total non-current assets increased by ~8.45% on YoY basis.
 Inventories have marginally decreased and cash and cash equivalents
increased by ~99% YoY basis.
 Long-term borrowings increased by ~38% on YoY basis and stood at
Rs.16869.95 million. Short-term borrowings and trade payables have reduced
this year.
 D/E at 1.3x due to incremental debt for acquisition of new sub-territories in
India and adjustment in equity due to Ind-AS implementation.
 Net profit grew by 346%.
 Sales Volume grew by 1.1% YoY at ~278 million unit cases.
 Net working capital steady at 30 days in CY 2017.
 Net capex in CY 2017 was Rs. 6615 million, out of which, organic capex was
Rs. 3915 million and inorganic capex was Rs. 2700 million.
Performance Highlights Quarter End
Consolidated
 Revenue from operations grew by 21.4% YoY basis.
 EBITDA margins reduced by ~38% in Q4 CY2017 as compared to Q4
CY2016.
 Loss recorded in Q4 CY2017 is Rs. 721 million as compared to loss of Rs.
1117 million in Q4 Cy2016.
(Note:Since the business is seasonal, the December quarter generally doesn’t
post attractive figures and hence the company must be viewed on annual basis.)
Conference Call Highlights
 The company is going through a consolidation phase; they have
consolidated their Goa operations into 1 unit from 2.
 The company expects a lot of free cash flow in the coming years.
 Capex for existing territories is done for now but additional Rs. 350
million is needed to upgrade the plants in the recently acquired 5
states.
 Nepal market share is constant the reason for this is the company
has 1 plant in Nepal while the competition has 2 plants. The
company’s plant is functioning at 100-110% capacity but is not able
to reach all the territories there as the freight costs are too high.
 Since Nepal is one of the most profitable territories, the company
plans to set up a greenfield plant in Nepal to get full benefits of
unexplored territories.
 Juices and water are being added to Nepal territory.
 The company expects to gain ~50% market share this year as
compared to existing 42%.
 The Juice and water category are much fast growing segments then
CSD category.
 The company hopes to gain manufacturing rights of Quaker and
Tropicana. The profitability is expected to rise in the last quarters of
this year.
 To start manufacturing of Quaker and Tropicana, the company will
set up a greenfield facility. The company is still in talks with
Pepsico and will come up with exact figures for capex soon. The
capex will happen by the end of 2018 and might flow into 2019.
 Further capex will be done for Zimbabwe (~Rs. 165 Cr.), Nepal
(~Rs. 150 Cr.) and India (~Rs. 150 Cr. for existing business -
doesn’t include capex needed for Tropicana and Quaker product
manufacturing facility).
Final View!
The management of the company is very clear about their future
prospects and actions taken by the company are complementary
towards their future goals. Year End results are favourable and we at
Jainam Wealth recommend our investors to “accumulate at every dip”.
Sources:
 Web-based software ace-analyser.
 Company press release, quarter update release, annual update
release, investor presentation and conference call.
Disclaimer!
Jainam Wealth offers independent equity research services to retail clients. SEBI
(Research Analysts) Regulations 2014, Registration No. INH000003218 This
report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not
construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Jainam Wealth is
not soliciting any action based upon it. This document is provided for assistance
only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an
investment decision. The views expressed are those of analyst and the firm may
or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. The report is based upon
information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or
complete, and it should not be relied upon such. Jainam Wealth or any of its
affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage
that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information
contained in this report. Neither the Firm, nor its employees, agents nor
representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect,
incidental, special or consequential including lost revenue or lost profits that may
arise from or in connection with the use of the information. Jainam Wealth or any
of its affiliates or employees do not provide, at any time, any express or implied
warranty of any kind, regarding any matter pertaining to this report, including
without limitation the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a
particular purpose, and non-infringement. The recipients of this report should rely
on their own investigations. Jainam Wealth and/or its affiliates and/or employees
may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in
this report. Jainam Wealth has incorporated adequate disclosures in this document.
This should, however, not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the
report. Jainam Wealth has made an application with SEBI for registering as a
Research Entity in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014. Jainam
Wealth or its associates including its relatives/analyst do not hold any financial
interest/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in the company covered by
Analyst as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research
report. Jainam Wealth or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation
from the company/third party covered by Analyst ever. Jainam Wealth/analyst
has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered by Analyst
and has not been engaged in market-making activity of the company covered by
Analyst. We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on Jainam
Wealth by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis. The
views expressed are based solely on information available publicly and believed
to be true. Investors are advised to independently evaluate the market
conditions/risks involved before making any investment decision.

Vbl annual update 2017

  • 1.
    Varun Beverages Ltd. YearEnd Highlights Reco. Price: Rs. 569 CMP (as on 08/03/2018): Rs. 633.05 Reco. Date: 21/12/2017 Return: ~11.26% in approx. 2.5 months Company Updates  In 2017, the company divested 41% of its stake in subsidiary Varun Beverage Mozambique Ltda. as the subsidiary was posting losses and affecting the overall net operations of the firm.  Increased stake in the Zambia subsidiary from 60% to 90%.  Established a greenfield production facility at Zimbabwe to capture an untapped market. VBL is the sole Pepsi Franchisee and distributor of Pepsico products. Commercial production has already begun at this facility.  VBL got a credit rating upgrade from CRISIL. Ratings shifted from CRISIL AA-/Stable to CRISIL A+/Positive. Short term debt rating remained constant at CRISIL A1+.  The company set up a new manufacturing unit of Pepsi products at Hardoi district, UP. Operations started from May 3, 2017.  The company’s operations span across 6 countries: India, Nepal, Sri Lanka which contribute ~90% to revenues and 3 countries in Africa (Morocco, Zambia and Zimbabwe) which contribute ~10% to revenues.  VBL accounts for ~51% of Pepsico’s beverage sales volume in India. It has a presence in 21 states and 2 union territories.  Increase in infrastructure: 23 state-of-the-art production facilities.  Supply Chain: 72 owned depots, 2122 owned vehicles, 1049 primary distributors.
  • 2.
    NEW BRAND LICENSEBY PEPSICO  Company has received manufacturing and distribution rights for Pepsi Black and Diet Pepsi (CSD segment), Nimbooz masala soda (carbonated juices segments), Sting (energy drink)  Company gained distribution rights for: Tropicana, Tropicana Essentials, Tropicana Delight, Sports Drink Gatorade and Dairy product Quaker Oats Milk. ACQUISITION OF TERRITORIES  The company concluded the acquisition of Pepsico India’s previously franchised territories of state of Odisha and parts of Madhya Pradesh along with 2 manufacturing units at Bargarh (Odisha) and Bhopal(MP) w.e.f from 27th September, 2017.  The company concluded the acquisition of Pepsico India’s previously franchised territories of state of Jharkhand along with a manufacturing unit at Jamshedpur on 20th Dec 2017 (due-diligence is till in progress).  Completed acquisition of Pepsico India’s previously franchised territory of state of Chhattisgarh (w.e.f. 11th Jan 2018), Bihar (w.e.f. 17th Jan 2018).  Acquired manufacturing unit at Cuttack (Odisha) w.e.f. 19th Jan 2018.  For above acquisition, total acquisition was ~Rs. 2550 million. The company plans to further spend ~Rs. 350 million in upgrading plant & machinery.  Because of above acquisition, the company saw a 6% growth in Pepsico India volumes and addition in the existing consumer base of India’s population by ~21%. NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES  PEPSI BLACK: A zero calorie cola flavour CSD product.  STING: An energy drink which contains 50% less sugar than CSD products. It has a highly competitive price as compared with other brands.  TROPICANA: VBL has entered into a strategic agreement for selling and distribution of Tropicana portfolio in territories across North and East India.  GATORADE/QUAKER OATS: Partnership for selling and distribution of Gatorade and Quaker Value-Added Dairy in territories across North and East India.
  • 3.
    Financial Highlights YearEnd Consolidated  Property, Plant & equipment grew by ~5.5% on YoY basis and stood at Rs.35411.66 million.  Capital Work-in-Progress has increased substantially this year by ~52% YoY basis for setting up a greenfield plant in Nepal and Zimbabwe to tap into previously un-chartered potential territories.  Intangible assets have increased by ~21% on YoY basis.  Total non-current assets increased by ~8.45% on YoY basis.  Inventories have marginally decreased and cash and cash equivalents increased by ~99% YoY basis.  Long-term borrowings increased by ~38% on YoY basis and stood at Rs.16869.95 million. Short-term borrowings and trade payables have reduced this year.  D/E at 1.3x due to incremental debt for acquisition of new sub-territories in India and adjustment in equity due to Ind-AS implementation.  Net profit grew by 346%.  Sales Volume grew by 1.1% YoY at ~278 million unit cases.  Net working capital steady at 30 days in CY 2017.  Net capex in CY 2017 was Rs. 6615 million, out of which, organic capex was Rs. 3915 million and inorganic capex was Rs. 2700 million. Performance Highlights Quarter End Consolidated  Revenue from operations grew by 21.4% YoY basis.  EBITDA margins reduced by ~38% in Q4 CY2017 as compared to Q4 CY2016.  Loss recorded in Q4 CY2017 is Rs. 721 million as compared to loss of Rs. 1117 million in Q4 Cy2016. (Note:Since the business is seasonal, the December quarter generally doesn’t post attractive figures and hence the company must be viewed on annual basis.)
  • 4.
    Conference Call Highlights The company is going through a consolidation phase; they have consolidated their Goa operations into 1 unit from 2.  The company expects a lot of free cash flow in the coming years.  Capex for existing territories is done for now but additional Rs. 350 million is needed to upgrade the plants in the recently acquired 5 states.  Nepal market share is constant the reason for this is the company has 1 plant in Nepal while the competition has 2 plants. The company’s plant is functioning at 100-110% capacity but is not able to reach all the territories there as the freight costs are too high.  Since Nepal is one of the most profitable territories, the company plans to set up a greenfield plant in Nepal to get full benefits of unexplored territories.  Juices and water are being added to Nepal territory.  The company expects to gain ~50% market share this year as compared to existing 42%.  The Juice and water category are much fast growing segments then CSD category.  The company hopes to gain manufacturing rights of Quaker and Tropicana. The profitability is expected to rise in the last quarters of this year.  To start manufacturing of Quaker and Tropicana, the company will set up a greenfield facility. The company is still in talks with Pepsico and will come up with exact figures for capex soon. The capex will happen by the end of 2018 and might flow into 2019.  Further capex will be done for Zimbabwe (~Rs. 165 Cr.), Nepal (~Rs. 150 Cr.) and India (~Rs. 150 Cr. for existing business - doesn’t include capex needed for Tropicana and Quaker product manufacturing facility).
  • 5.
    Final View! The managementof the company is very clear about their future prospects and actions taken by the company are complementary towards their future goals. Year End results are favourable and we at Jainam Wealth recommend our investors to “accumulate at every dip”. Sources:  Web-based software ace-analyser.  Company press release, quarter update release, annual update release, investor presentation and conference call.
  • 6.
    Disclaimer! Jainam Wealth offersindependent equity research services to retail clients. SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations 2014, Registration No. INH000003218 This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Jainam Wealth is not soliciting any action based upon it. This document is provided for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. The views expressed are those of analyst and the firm may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. The report is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon such. Jainam Wealth or any of its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Neither the Firm, nor its employees, agents nor representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information. Jainam Wealth or any of its affiliates or employees do not provide, at any time, any express or implied warranty of any kind, regarding any matter pertaining to this report, including without limitation the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations. Jainam Wealth and/or its affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. Jainam Wealth has incorporated adequate disclosures in this document. This should, however, not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. Jainam Wealth has made an application with SEBI for registering as a Research Entity in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014. Jainam Wealth or its associates including its relatives/analyst do not hold any financial interest/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in the company covered by Analyst as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report. Jainam Wealth or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation from the company/third party covered by Analyst ever. Jainam Wealth/analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered by Analyst and has not been engaged in market-making activity of the company covered by Analyst. We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on Jainam Wealth by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis. The views expressed are based solely on information available publicly and believed to be true. Investors are advised to independently evaluate the market conditions/risks involved before making any investment decision.