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Operational Excellence
Using Six Sigma to Optimize
Performance and Reliability
Tim Williams
Deere & Co. World Headquarters
Liang Jiang
John Deere Waterloo Works
Operational Excellence
Setting the stage…
• John Deere
– Tradition of Excellence
– Customer Expectations
• Design for Six Sigma
– Addresses the needs of the customer
– Improves the way we do business
– Delivers better (optimized) results
2
Operational Excellence
Adopting a Six Sigma Approach Means…
Reactive
Design Quality
Predictive
Design Quality
DFSS
From
• Evolving design requirements
• Extensive design rework and
rework and rework…
• Performance assessed by
“build and test”
• Performance and assembly
problems fixed after product
is released for production
• Quality “tested in”
To
• Disciplined identification and
flow-down of customer CTQs
• Optimize and verify design
performance using transfer
functions, modeling and
simulation
• Designed up front for robust
performance and assembly
• Quality “designed in”
Operational Excellence
The role of simulation in DFSS
• Predict performance and reliability
• Speed up design cycle
• Reduce reliance on expensive field
testing
• Unearth new knowledge
3
Operational Excellence
What is Optimization?
Operational Excellence
Tractor Ground Speed
What is that?
4
Operational Excellence
Situation…
• Ground Speed on John Deere tractors
(most) is measured with RADAR
• Need to understand why we don’t get
the performance we expect
• Important enough that we are willing to
pay more for a better sensor (i.e., GPS)
– RADAR 2% GPS 1.1%
– But at an increase of about 4 times per
piece cost!
Operational Excellence
CTQ Flow Down
5
Operational Excellence
CTQ Consolidated CTQ
Consolidated
All Displays Indicate
the Same Tractor
Ground Speed
System Delay
Must Be
Acceptably Low
System
Accuracy
Fault Tolerance
Reliability for
Planter-specific
Applications
Calibration
Signal delay /
response time
Update rate
Different speed
sources
Different
information
processing
Resolution of
display
Minimal lag in
shutting down
planter when
tractor stops
Minimal lag at
tractor start up
Ground speed
signal lags
Motion sensor
(planter) approx.
1 sec delay
Quick Start will
control rate
when ground
speed signal is
less than 2 kph
Ground speed
signal lags
when ground
speed signal is
greater than 2
kph
±2% or less
(per planter -
seeds/acre)
System tolerant
of sensor drop-
out
Appropriate
cross-checking
logic for
different speed
sources
Software checks
for realistic
tractor speed
change
Missing ground
speed source
(radar or bus
message) data
Wheel speed
sensor drop-
outs properly
managed
through fault
logic
A single drop-
out shorter than
0.25 seconds is
OK
No drop-outs
longer than 0.5
seconds (total)
Two
consecutive
drop-outs are
unacceptable
(0.75 seconds)
Software must
provide correct
calibration when
the procedure is
carried out
correctly
No mis-leading
calibration error
indications
Operator
manual must
have accurate
descriptions
Operator
manuals should
be consistent
across
platforms
Operational Excellence
Understanding and
Modeling the System
6
Operational Excellence
Profiling the Radar Performance
(based on recorded data)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
7.11
7.16
7.21
7.25
7.3
7.35
7.39
7.44
7.49
7.54
7.58
7.63
7.68
7.72
7.77
7.82
7.86
7.91
7.96
8.01
8.05
8.1
8.15
8.19
8.24
8.29
8.33
8.38
8.43
8.48
8.52
8.57
8.62
8.66
8.71
8.76
8.8
8.85
8.9
8.95
8.99
9.04
9.09
9.13
Collection Time
Speed
At Steady State Speed of 10.0 kph
Output Values: 9.9 kph min. / 10.1 kph max
Measured accuracy of about 1.1%
Operational Excellence
Monte Carlo Simulation
System CharacteristicsSystem Characteristics
Part CharacteristicsPart Characteristics
7
Operational Excellence
True Ground
Speed
Radar Error
(2%)
CCU Error
(0.1%)
TECU Error
(0%)
True Ground
Speed
Radar Error
(2%)
CCU Error
(0.1%)
TECU Error
(0%)
First Input Signal Second Input Signal
Change in Tractor Speed
Between Updates
Ground Speed per
GSD
Ground Speed per
GSD
SystemTimeDelay
Tractor Ground Speed System
Operational Excellence
Results of Statistical Modeling
(Constant Speed of approx. 8 kph)
Mean System Time Delay 372 ms (Range 117 - 633 ms)
System Error ± 4%
8
Operational Excellence
Seed Spacing –
6 inch spacing at 8 kph
Seed Spacing –
6 inch spacing at
maximum specified
acceleration
(4.5kph/s)
Effects on Seeding Application
Operational Excellence
What if the ground speed sensor had
No Error?
The System Performance Would Not Be Any Better!
9
Operational Excellence
So What Did We Learn?
Operational Excellence
The Decision…
Stay with RADAR and not pursue GPS
• Keep the cost of the system lower for the
customer
• Avoid risk of new product/technology
introduction
• Savings in test and verification
• Better understanding of system performance
influencers
How to Improve the System
10
Operational Excellence
Another leg of the DFSS journey…
Operational Excellence
Define The Problem
• Ground Speed Sensor (Radar)
generates erratic ground speed values
• Field returned units were ‘HALT’ed with
combined vibration and thermal
cycling; not able to duplicate this
intermittent failure mode
11
Operational Excellence
Develop Measurement System for
Suspected Failure Mechanism
Analog
Circuit
DSP Circuit
IF1, IF2 DiodesTransceiver
Failure detection
Capability !
Operational Excellence
Hypothesize Failure Mechanism
Diode Pin Force
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0.000 0.002 0.004 0.006 0.008 0.010
DisplacementDifferential(inches)
EccsorbForce(lbs)
101481
108749
101436
109644
unitB1
unitB2
unitB3
unitB4
unitB5
S
S
S
Suspected Failure Mechanism:
Bent cover plate reduces the normal force on the IF1 and IF2 diodes
causing degradation of the mechanical / electrical connections
12
Operational Excellence
Analyze – Different Testing Techniques
• HALT
– Stimulate
– Most energy at high
frequency
– Can’t correlate to real
environment
• Failure Detection
– Monitor output after DSP
– Sample 10% of data
• Stresses Used
– Vibration
– Thermal Cycling
• Potted Units No
Precondition
• ED Shaker
– Simulate
– Representative profile
– Can correlate to real
environment
• Failure Detection
– Monitor output right after
two diodes and after DSP
– Examine 100% of data
• Stress Used
– Vibration only
– Step test
• Un-potted Units First with
Different Size of Shims
Operational Excellence
Physics of Failure
13
Operational Excellence
Improvement
Operational Excellence
Control
• Intermittent connection shows up as
dropouts or unstable speed output
• Failure mechanism is not time-
dependent
• Vibration test (10X) conducted on
potted-unit with spring clip
• The improved part is in production
• Gained knowledge used on new radar
design
14
Operational Excellence
Bringing it all together…
Operational Excellence
Methodologies and Approaches
DMAIC
DMADV
IDOV
15
Operational Excellence
Questions

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Using Six Sigma to Optimize Performance and Reliability

  • 1. 1 Operational Excellence Using Six Sigma to Optimize Performance and Reliability Tim Williams Deere & Co. World Headquarters Liang Jiang John Deere Waterloo Works Operational Excellence Setting the stage… • John Deere – Tradition of Excellence – Customer Expectations • Design for Six Sigma – Addresses the needs of the customer – Improves the way we do business – Delivers better (optimized) results
  • 2. 2 Operational Excellence Adopting a Six Sigma Approach Means… Reactive Design Quality Predictive Design Quality DFSS From • Evolving design requirements • Extensive design rework and rework and rework… • Performance assessed by “build and test” • Performance and assembly problems fixed after product is released for production • Quality “tested in” To • Disciplined identification and flow-down of customer CTQs • Optimize and verify design performance using transfer functions, modeling and simulation • Designed up front for robust performance and assembly • Quality “designed in” Operational Excellence The role of simulation in DFSS • Predict performance and reliability • Speed up design cycle • Reduce reliance on expensive field testing • Unearth new knowledge
  • 3. 3 Operational Excellence What is Optimization? Operational Excellence Tractor Ground Speed What is that?
  • 4. 4 Operational Excellence Situation… • Ground Speed on John Deere tractors (most) is measured with RADAR • Need to understand why we don’t get the performance we expect • Important enough that we are willing to pay more for a better sensor (i.e., GPS) – RADAR 2% GPS 1.1% – But at an increase of about 4 times per piece cost! Operational Excellence CTQ Flow Down
  • 5. 5 Operational Excellence CTQ Consolidated CTQ Consolidated All Displays Indicate the Same Tractor Ground Speed System Delay Must Be Acceptably Low System Accuracy Fault Tolerance Reliability for Planter-specific Applications Calibration Signal delay / response time Update rate Different speed sources Different information processing Resolution of display Minimal lag in shutting down planter when tractor stops Minimal lag at tractor start up Ground speed signal lags Motion sensor (planter) approx. 1 sec delay Quick Start will control rate when ground speed signal is less than 2 kph Ground speed signal lags when ground speed signal is greater than 2 kph ±2% or less (per planter - seeds/acre) System tolerant of sensor drop- out Appropriate cross-checking logic for different speed sources Software checks for realistic tractor speed change Missing ground speed source (radar or bus message) data Wheel speed sensor drop- outs properly managed through fault logic A single drop- out shorter than 0.25 seconds is OK No drop-outs longer than 0.5 seconds (total) Two consecutive drop-outs are unacceptable (0.75 seconds) Software must provide correct calibration when the procedure is carried out correctly No mis-leading calibration error indications Operator manual must have accurate descriptions Operator manuals should be consistent across platforms Operational Excellence Understanding and Modeling the System
  • 6. 6 Operational Excellence Profiling the Radar Performance (based on recorded data) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 7.11 7.16 7.21 7.25 7.3 7.35 7.39 7.44 7.49 7.54 7.58 7.63 7.68 7.72 7.77 7.82 7.86 7.91 7.96 8.01 8.05 8.1 8.15 8.19 8.24 8.29 8.33 8.38 8.43 8.48 8.52 8.57 8.62 8.66 8.71 8.76 8.8 8.85 8.9 8.95 8.99 9.04 9.09 9.13 Collection Time Speed At Steady State Speed of 10.0 kph Output Values: 9.9 kph min. / 10.1 kph max Measured accuracy of about 1.1% Operational Excellence Monte Carlo Simulation System CharacteristicsSystem Characteristics Part CharacteristicsPart Characteristics
  • 7. 7 Operational Excellence True Ground Speed Radar Error (2%) CCU Error (0.1%) TECU Error (0%) True Ground Speed Radar Error (2%) CCU Error (0.1%) TECU Error (0%) First Input Signal Second Input Signal Change in Tractor Speed Between Updates Ground Speed per GSD Ground Speed per GSD SystemTimeDelay Tractor Ground Speed System Operational Excellence Results of Statistical Modeling (Constant Speed of approx. 8 kph) Mean System Time Delay 372 ms (Range 117 - 633 ms) System Error ± 4%
  • 8. 8 Operational Excellence Seed Spacing – 6 inch spacing at 8 kph Seed Spacing – 6 inch spacing at maximum specified acceleration (4.5kph/s) Effects on Seeding Application Operational Excellence What if the ground speed sensor had No Error? The System Performance Would Not Be Any Better!
  • 9. 9 Operational Excellence So What Did We Learn? Operational Excellence The Decision… Stay with RADAR and not pursue GPS • Keep the cost of the system lower for the customer • Avoid risk of new product/technology introduction • Savings in test and verification • Better understanding of system performance influencers How to Improve the System
  • 10. 10 Operational Excellence Another leg of the DFSS journey… Operational Excellence Define The Problem • Ground Speed Sensor (Radar) generates erratic ground speed values • Field returned units were ‘HALT’ed with combined vibration and thermal cycling; not able to duplicate this intermittent failure mode
  • 11. 11 Operational Excellence Develop Measurement System for Suspected Failure Mechanism Analog Circuit DSP Circuit IF1, IF2 DiodesTransceiver Failure detection Capability ! Operational Excellence Hypothesize Failure Mechanism Diode Pin Force -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0.000 0.002 0.004 0.006 0.008 0.010 DisplacementDifferential(inches) EccsorbForce(lbs) 101481 108749 101436 109644 unitB1 unitB2 unitB3 unitB4 unitB5 S S S Suspected Failure Mechanism: Bent cover plate reduces the normal force on the IF1 and IF2 diodes causing degradation of the mechanical / electrical connections
  • 12. 12 Operational Excellence Analyze – Different Testing Techniques • HALT – Stimulate – Most energy at high frequency – Can’t correlate to real environment • Failure Detection – Monitor output after DSP – Sample 10% of data • Stresses Used – Vibration – Thermal Cycling • Potted Units No Precondition • ED Shaker – Simulate – Representative profile – Can correlate to real environment • Failure Detection – Monitor output right after two diodes and after DSP – Examine 100% of data • Stress Used – Vibration only – Step test • Un-potted Units First with Different Size of Shims Operational Excellence Physics of Failure
  • 13. 13 Operational Excellence Improvement Operational Excellence Control • Intermittent connection shows up as dropouts or unstable speed output • Failure mechanism is not time- dependent • Vibration test (10X) conducted on potted-unit with spring clip • The improved part is in production • Gained knowledge used on new radar design
  • 14. 14 Operational Excellence Bringing it all together… Operational Excellence Methodologies and Approaches DMAIC DMADV IDOV