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Unicorn Media Index™: Who Ranks
Where Across News, Social and Search?
April 13, 2016
VISIBILITY + MOMENTUM: WHO RANKS WHERE AND WHY?
Unicorns are a phenomenon. Over the past 18 months,
they have gone from mythical creature to tech meme –
spawning greed and envy for global entrepreneurs,
investors and recruiters, while feeding the tech media
engine with endless news stories, leader boards and
Fortune cover stories.
The “unicorn” concept was coined in Nov’13 by venture
capitalist Aileen Lee, and refers to privately held start-up
companies with valuations exceeding $1 billion. What
started out as a rare breed grew to 146 companies by
April 2016, according to Dow Jones VentureSource.
The chase for unicorn status has abated somewhat as
startup valuations moderate in early 2016. However, the
class continues to expand and contract almost weekly –
providing a valuable microcosm to understand today’s
tech trends and startup dynamics.
To that end, this report analyzes 75 top unicorns to
benchmark their visibility and momentum across news,
social and search channels. This is relevant because
many founders believe unicorn status provides
advantages for recruiting top talent, and demonstrates
a startup’s viability for customers and prospects.
This study also showcases a new Earned Media Index™
for benchmarking earned media performance – often
the most impactful but least-invested, under-measured
part of the marketing and communications mix.
We conclude that unicorn status and valuation alone do
not dictate media performance. We also learn a lot
about category performance, company success factors,
IPO impact and channel dynamics.
We look forward to your feedback as we continue to
study this important class of startups…
2
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX: TOP 75
0
20
40
60
80
Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15
EarnedMediaIndex™score
Snapchat Pinterest Spotify Dropbox Flipkart Uber
Xiaomi Snapdeal Airbnb BuzzFeed Square Github
"Credit Karma" SpaceX Lyft Jawbone Slack Garena
DJI FanDuel Pure Storage MongoDB Cloudera Instacart
Houzz Stripe Nutanix Ola Cabs Warby Parker Didi Kuaidi
Magic Leap Blue Apron DocuSign Fanatics InMobi Grabtaxi
Palantir Zenefits Delivery Hero Domo Legendary Entertainment AppNexus
WeWork Theranos Klarna One97 ZocDoc MuleSoft
The Honest Co. Tanium Adyen Dianping Powa Meituan
Coupang InsideSales.com Medallia Bloom Energy Moderna Deem
Zhong An Prosper Marketplace Social Finance Infinidat Global Fashion Group Oscar Health
Intarcia Therapeutics Lufax Lazada Group Jasper Technologies ContextLogic stemcentrx
Koudai Shopping VANCL Trendy Group/ Trendiano
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
3
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX: KEY FINDINGS
Snapchat tops the rankings, followed by Pinterest, Spotify and Dropbox
•  Snapchat (#1 earned media, #6 valuation) was the fast mover with pronounced growth
trajectory from 41.02 to 71.22, outpacing all others after Jul’15 based on platform success
•  Pinterest (#2 earned media, #10 valuation) was more constant, averaging 44 points/month
•  No. 3 Spotify was much more erratic with pronounced peaks and valleys, year-end growth
•  Dropbox (#4), Flipkart (#5) and Uber (#6) are the next band w/ Square (#11) spiking on IPO
Valuation influences earned media, but doesn’t dictate performance
•  11 “media megastars” indexed >10.0, while 17 other “media superstars” averaged >1.0
•  Category, audience and executive profile matter a lot, as do other communication factors
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
4
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX: KEY FINDINGS
Consumer tech and Internet suck up oxygen from other companies
•  Social media platforms and on-demand services dominated valuations and earned media
•  Top B2B = GitHub (#12), SpaceX (#14), Slack (#17), Pure Storage (#21), MongoDB (#22)
•  Hardware stood out with negative linear trends for four of the five companies
•  Healthcare under-performs: All six companies averaged >1 point per month
•  Flipkart (#5) and Xiaomi (#7) were international standouts despite limited availability
Controversy and IPO windows drive major spikes
•  Theranos spiked 11X from ~0.25 to ~2.75 in Oct’15 and Nov’15 due to media firestorm
•  Uber dominates valuation (#1) and news (#1), but lags in social (#3) and search (#9)
•  Square spiked to #5 for Sept’15-Nov’15 based on IPO window, but trending down into 2016
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
5
UNICORNS ARE NOT CREATED EQUAL
MEDIA MEGASTARS
(Earned Media Index > 10.00)
Company Rank Ave. Score
Snapchat 1 49.55
Pinterest 2 44.24
Spotify 3 38.01
Dropbox 4 35.76
Flipkart 5 34.34
Uber 6 32.88
Xiaomi 7 25.63
Snapdeal 8 20.67
Airbnb 9 18.77
BuzzFeed 10 15.75
Square 11 14.47
MEDIA SUPERSTARS
(Earned Media Index > 1.00)
Company Rank Ave. Score
GitHub 12 9.46
Credit Karma 13 6.37
SpaceX 14 5.33
Lyft 15 5.22
Jawbone 16 4.49
Slack 17 4.09
Garena 18 3.12
DJI 19 2.64
FanDuel 20 2.34
Pure Storage 21 2.04
MEDIA SUPERSTARS
(Earned Media Index > 1.00)
Company Rank Ave. Score
MongoDB 22 1.89
Cloudera 23 1.72
Instacart 24 1.54
Houzz 25 1.51
Stripe 26 1.39
Nutanix 27 1.21
Ola Cabs 28 1.20
6
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
EARNED MEDIA INDEX VS. VALUATION
TOP 10 OVER-PERFORMERS IN EARNED MEDIA
Company
Ave. Earned
Media Index
Index
Rank
Valuation
Rank
Over/
Under
BuzzFeed 15.75 10 65 +55
FanDuel 2.34 20 70 +50
Warby Parker 0.98 29 75 +46
GitHub 9.46 12 51 +39
MongoDB 1.89 22 58 +36
AppNexus 0.62 42 73 +31
Lyft 5.22 15 41 +26
Garena 3.12 18 42 +24
Instacart 1.54 24 48 +24
Grabtaxi 0.68 36 59 +23
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
TOP 10 UNDER-PERFORMERS IN EARNED MEDIA
Company
Ave. Earned
Media Index
Index
Rank
Valuation
Rank
Over/
Under
Lufax 0.03 68 12 -56
StemcentRX 0.01 72 23 -49
Zhong An 0.10 61 16 -45
VANCL 0.01 74 30 -44
Global Fashion 0.08 65 26 -39
Meituan 0.17 54 17 -37
ContextLogic 0.01 71 35 -36
Palantir 0.67 37 4 -33
WeWork 0.61 43 11 -32
Theranos 0.57 44 13 -31
7
So What?
•  Unicorn status and valuation influence
earned media – esp. news and social – but
they don’t dictate media performance
•  Company performance varies widely across
news, social and search channels, reflecting
lack of leverage across media
•  Consumer categories dominate earned
media; software steady but unspectacular;
fintech rising and hardware declining
•  Companies need to cultivate category (not
just company) interest, plus vocal audience
base and executive thought leadership
•  Companies should bust marketing silos,
invest more in owned and earned media,
use analytics and planning to drive leverage
•  Continue to track Unicorn Media Index to
learn from the class: category dynamics,
post-IPO drop-off, “unicorn fatigue”, etc.
Now What?
INSIGHTS + RECOMMENDATIONS
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
8
Unicorn Media Index™:
Company Rankings + Scores
April 13, 2016
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX RANKING: TOP 20
Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume
11 Square 14.47 1,281 757,167 18,344
12 GitHub 9.46 742 1,151,667 84,967
13 Credit Karma 6.37 14 5,653,333 4,065
14 SpaceX 5.33 404 407,250 149,138
15 Lyft 5.22 414 299,750 124,619
16 Jawbone 4.49 365 448,167 32,680
17 Slack 4.09 283 903,750 26,203
18 Garena 3.12 5 2,781,667 3,203
19 DJI 2.64 133 3,358 304,638
20 FanDuel 2.34 68 1,128,092 95,136
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume
1 Snapchat 49.55 1,131 9,189,167 6,832,577
2 Pinterest 44.24 711 30,966,667 684,333
3 Spotify 38.01 1,778 12,753,333 1,289,949
4 Dropbox 35.76 1,144 21,208,333 97,026
5 Flipkart 34.34 865 22,416,667 150,733
6 Uber 32.88 2,194 4,624,167 1,137,737
7 Xiaomi 25.63 2,146 2,145,000 139,629
8 Snapdeal 20.67 505 13,333,333 175,055
9 Airbnb 18.77 581 10,958,333 148,618
10 BuzzFeed 15.75 686 4,772,500 808,171
10
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX RANKING: 21-40
Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume
21 Pure Storage 2.04 187 34,883 4,284
22 MongoDB 1.89 140 238,500 34,860
23 Cloudera 1.72 153 59,583 9,497
24 Instacart 1.54 124 180,000 7,830
25 Houzz 1.51 20 1,058,583 32,790
26 Stripe 1.39 108 209,250 4,214
27 Nutanix 1.21 104 63,333 10,607
28 Ola Cabs 1.20 31 725,250 20,936
29 Warby Parker 0.98 47 409,000 8,320
30 Didi Kuaidi 0.92 85 5,563 3,486
Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume
31 Magic Leap 0.90 73 82,167 8,261
32 Blue Apron 0.89 22 573,583 7,395
33 DocuSign 0.86 53 252,250 4,717
34 Fanatics 0.83 15 332,083 77,716
35 InMobi 0.72 63 32,750 3,398
36 Grabtaxi 0.68 49 133,592 5,027
37 Palantir 0.67 52 94,250 4,502
38 Zenefits 0.67 51 98,042 6,021
39 Delivery Hero 0.65 55 63,875 1,263
40 Domo 0.63 21 361,167 2,990
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
11
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX RANKING: 41-60
Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume
41
Legendary
Entertainment
0.63 57 1,842 5,909
42 AppNexus 0.62 55 23,083 2,114
43 WeWork 0.61 47 64,208 11,476
44 Theranos 0.57 34 143,208 14,459
45 Klarna 0.40 13 236,083 1,276
46 One97 0.34 31 5,575 426
47 ZocDoc 0.31 11 171,000 1,095
48 MuleSoft 0.29 23 28,283 3,068
49 The Honest Co 0.27 10 110,208 9,320
50 Tanium 0.25 21 16,700 1,277
Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume
51 Adyen 0.22 18 25,650 1,464
52 Dianping 0.19 17 7,000 362
53 Powa 0.18 14 9,183 4,789
54 Meituan 0.17 16 6,000 412
55 Coupang 0.13 8 33,417 1,201
56 InsideSales.com 0.13 11 1,305 1,272
57 Medallia 0.13 7 42,300 994
58 Bloom Energy 0.13 10 20,217 437
59 Moderna 0.12 7 33,833 2,238
60 Deem 0.11 6 42,750 241
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
12
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX RANKING: 61-75
Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume
61 Zhong An 0.10 10 248 157
62
Prosper
Marketplace
0.09 8 4,450 726
63 Social Finance 0.09 8 5,300 888
64 Infinidat 0.09 8 4,883 286
65
Global Fashion
Group
0.08 7 1,777 203
66 Oscar Health 0.08 6 7,358 962
67 Intarcia 0.05 4 3,100 224
68 Lufax 0.03 3 2,607 127
69 Lazada Group 0.03 2 5,433 148
70 Jasper Tech 0.02 1 2,042 568
Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume
71 ContextLogic 0.01 1 1,233 82
72 Stemcentrx 0.01 1 1,747 59
73 Koudai Shopping 0.01 1 928 3
74 VANCL 0.01 1 3,317 29
75
Trendy Group/
Trendiano
0.00 0 893 70
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
13
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX SCORES: 1-25
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
0
20
40
60
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1:Snapchat
2:Pinterest
3:Spotify
4:Dropbox
5:Flipkart
6:Uber
7:Xiaomi
8:Snapdeal
9:Airbnb
10:BuzzFeed
11:Square
12:Github
13:CreditKarma
14:SpaceX
15:Lyft
16:Jawbone
17:Slack
18:Garena
19:DJI
20:FanDuel
21:PureStorage
22:MongoDB
23:Cloudera
24:Instacart
25:Houzz
Averagechannelscores
News Search Social
14
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX SCORES: 26-50
0
1
2
3
4
5
26:Stripe
27:Nutanix
28:OlaCabs
29:WarbyParker
30:DidiKuaidi
31:MagicLeap
32:BlueApron
33:DocuSign
34:Fanatics
35:InMobi
36:Grabtaxi
37:Palantir
38:Zenefits
39:DeliveryHero
40:Domo
41:Legendary
Entertainment
42:AppNexus
43:WeWork
44:Theranos
45:Klarna
46:One97
47:ZocDoc
48:MuleSoft
49:TheHonestCo
50:Tanium
Averagechannelscores
News Search Social
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50 26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
15
UNICORN MEDIA INDEX SCORES: 51-75
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
51:Adyen
52:Dianping
53:Powa
54:Meituan
55:Coupang
56:InsideSales.
57:Medallia
58:BloomEnergy
59:Moderna
60:Deem
61:ZhongAn
62:Prosper
63:SocialFinance
64:Infinidat
65:Global
66:OscarHealth
67:Intarcia
68:Lufax
69:LazadaGroup
70:JasperTech
71:ContextLogic
72:Stemcentrx
73:Koudai
74:VANCL
75:Trendy
Averagechannelscores
News Search Social
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25 51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
16
Unicorn Media Index™:
Category + Company Snapshots
April 13, 2016
CATEGORY ANALYSIS: TOP 10 UNICORNS
•  Snapchat (#1 earned media, #6 valuation) is
the big mover with search and social growth
in late 2015, suggesting audience momentum
•  Spotify is biggest out-performer (#3 earned
media, #15 valuation) including Jun’15 spike
due to Apple, Amazon, Google competition
•  Uber is #1 in valuation and funding, but only
#6 in earned media – strong news and social
presence (#1 and #3) but lags in search (#9)
•  Xiaomi (#7 earned media, #2 valuation) is the
only company with a negative linear trend,
fueled by sharply lower news and social
Top 10 Unicorns
0
25
50
75
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Snapchat Pinterest Spotify Dropbox
Flipkart Uber Xiaomi Snapdeal
Airbnb BuzzFeed
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
18
CATEGORY ANALYSIS: HARDWARE
•  Hardware stood out with negative linear
trends for four of the five companies
•  Chinese mobile phone maker Xiaomi (#7
earned media, #2 valuation) lost ground from
early high point spiked by Apple market battle
•  Jawbone (#16 earned media, #70 valuation)
showed steady declines from 5+ to <3
•  Drone maker DJI (#19 earned media) was
strong through Q3 2015, but lost ground
after “drone for beginners” launch Aug’15
•  Magic Leap (#31 earned media) spiked on
Mar’15 (demo) and Oct’15 (funding) news
•  Only storage provider Infinidat (#64) bucked
trend with but steadily increasing visibility
Hardware Unicorns
0
10
20
30
40
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Xiaomi Jawbone DJI
Magic Leap Infinidat
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
19
CATEGORY ANALYSIS: CONSUMER INTERNET
•  Social media platforms (Snapchat, Pinterest,
Spotify, Houzz) and on-demand services
(Uber, Airbnb, Lyft, Instacart) dominated both
valuations and earned media through 2015
•  Uber’s valuation and visibility (#6 earned
media) drove impressive category pull-
through for Lyft (#15), Ola (#28), Didi Kuaidi
(#30) and Grabtaxi (#36)
•  Airbnb (#9) showed steady growth from ~13
to ~20, fueled largely via search and social
•  Spotify (#3) also showed solid upward trend
from ~30 to ~40, fueled by social and search
•  Most companies in this group posted upward
linear trends – will they drop in 2016?
Consumer Internet Unicorns
0
25
50
75
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Snapchat Pinterest Spotify
Uber Airbnb Lyft
FanDuel Instacart Houzz
Ola Cabs Didi Kuaidi Grabtaxi
Delivery Hero Dianping
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
20
CATEGORY ANALYSIS: SOFTWARE
•  This was the largest group, with 19 brands
•  Only two – Dropbox (#4) and GitHub (#12) –
indexed above 5. Five more indexed above 1:
Slack (#17), Pure Storage (#21) , MongoDB
(#22), CloudEra (#23) and Nutanix (#27)
•  Dropbox showed slight negative linear trend,
while GitHub and Slack showed steady gains
•  In middle tier, Pure Storage had exponential
visibility gains around sub-par IPO in Oct’15,
while open source players MongoDB and
Cloudera trended downward over 2015
•  Among the others, Nutanix (#30), AppNexus
(#45) and Tanium (#54) benefited from strong
funding and product news spikes
Software Unicorns
0
10
20
30
40
50
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Dropbox Github Slack
Pure Storage MongoDB Cloudera
Nutanix DocuSign InMobi
Palantir Zenefits Domo
AppNexus MuleSoft Tanium
InsideSales.com Medallia Deem
Jasper Tech
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
21
CATEGORY ANALYSIS: E-COMMERCE
•  Second largest group with 16 brands
•  Only two – Flipkart (#5) and Snapdeal (#9) –
indexed above 5; all others averaged >1
•  Didi Kuaidi trended upward throughout the
year, fueled by on-demand transportation
growth in China and media interest in Uber
competition and valuation news
•  Among others, Warby Parker (#29, avg=0.98),
Blue Apron (#32, avg=.89), and Fanatics (#34,
avg= 0.83) were among the rising stars
•  Jessica Alba’s The Honest Co (#49) showed an
average of just 0.27 points per month
E-Commerce Unicorns
0
10
20
30
40
50
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Flipkart Snapdeal
Warby Parker Didi Kuaidi
Blue Apron Fanatics
The Honest Co. Meituan
Coupang Deem
Global Fashion Group Lazada Group
ContextLogic Koudai Shopping
VANCL Trendy Group/ Trendiano
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
22
CATEGORY ANALYSIS: FINANCIAL SERVICES
•  Only three players posted average media
index scores above 1.0: Square (14.47); Credit
Karma (6.37) and Stripe (1.39)
•  Square had huge jump in visibility leading up
to Nov’15 IPO; IPO price was lower than last
private valuation ($6B); can it sustain in 2016?
•  Credit Karma (#13) was relatively stable
through Aug’15, dipped in Sept’15-Nov’15 and
rebounded in Dec’15
•  Fintech gained momentum through 2015,
fueling late surge for 8 of 11 players – Credit
Karma, Klarna, One97, Adyen, Powa, Prosper
Marketplace, Social Finance and Lufax
Financial Services Unicorns
0
10
20
30
40
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Square Credit Karma
Stripe Klarna
One97 Adyen
Powa Zhong An
Prosper Marketplace Social Finance
Lufax
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
23
CATEGORY ANALYSIS: HEALTHCARE
•  Healthcare had weakest media performance;
all six companies indexed <1 per month
•  Theranos (#44) spiked in Oct’ 15 and Nov’15
due to media firestorm fueled by WSJ and
FDA reports questioning technology accuracy,
business governance and partner progress
•  ZocDoc (#47) surged Aug’15 on new funding
round that resulted in unicorn status
•  Oscar Health (#66) showed reactionary profile
without sustained earned media base; spikes
tied to funding news and industry stories
•  Intarcia (#67) and StemcentRX (#72) spiked
around funding and valuation news
Healthcare Unicorns
0.0
0.5
1.0
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Theranos ZocDoc Moderna
Oscar Health Intarcia StemcentRX
3.0
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
24
COMPANY ANALYSIS: SNAPCHAT
•  #1 Earned Media Index (49.55)
•  #6 in valuation ($16.0B) with $1.3B in
total funding
•  Led Unicorn Media Index by an average
5-point margin over #2 Pinterest
•  Most visible growth in search volume; up
significantly in second half of year
•  Social volumes spike in July (locks out
“jailbreakers;”) September (Burberry
debuts London’s Fashion Week)
•  News was comparably steady (new
initiatives, partnerships)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Averagechannelscores News Search Social
0
25
50
75
100
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
25
COMPANY ANALYSIS: AIRBNB
•  #9 Earned Media Index (18.77)
•  #3 in valuation ($25.5B) with $2.3B in
total funding
•  Airbnb showed steady growth from ~13
to ~20, fueled largely via search and
social
•  Strong seasonal growth during summer
and holiday months – with 13.6M
average monthly searches Jun’15-Aug’15
•  News and social trended up in summer,
leveled in fall but grew again Nov’15 on
funding news and “voting cartel” plans 0
10
20
30
40
50
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Averagechannelscores News Search Social
0
5
10
15
20
25
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
26
COMPANY ANALYSIS: GITHUB
•  #12 Earned Media Index (9.46)
•  #57 in valuation ($2.0B) with $350M in
total funding
•  GitHub was highest-scoring B2B player,
powered by active and vocal developer
audience
•  News and search trends tracked more
closely together than for consumer
brands – 739 stories + 85K social posts +
1.2M searches per month
•  News spiked March as GitHub was hit by
its biggest DDoS attack ever; Oct’15 on
Google AMP project
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Averagechannelscores News Search Social
0
4
8
12
J-15
F-15
M-15
A-15
M-15
J-15
J-15
A-15
S-15
O-15
N-15
D-15
Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then
aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
27
Unicorn Media Index™:
Methodology
April 13, 2016
“UNICORN” CLASS OF $1B+ PRIVATE COMPANIES
29
EARNED MEDIA INDEX™
Key Questions
•  How do brands (or other entities) perform across
earned media relative to peers and competitors?
•  How does performance correlate across news, social
and search channels?
•  What can brands learn from other brands to improve
their earned media performance?
Goals
•  Benchmark earned media performance for my brand,
product or idea, over time and against other entities
•  Understand which channel types best drive earned
media impact for my brand and category
•  Plan future communication strategies, campaigns and
channel mix to optimize performance
Approach
•  Analyze earned media visibility and trajectory across
channels, including relevant data for news, social and
search. Capture channel data monthly and aggregate
it into a composite index for easy comparison over
time and against others.
-  News: Keyword search for number of news citations for
the entity in IT Database, a well-curated online database
of technology, business and vertical news outlets.
-  Social: Keyword search for number of social citations for
the entity name or handle using Sysomos, a broad social
media aggregator that captures social content (Twitter,
Facebook, LinkedIn, blogs, forums, videos and images).
-  Search: Average monthly searches for the entity name via
search engines as tracked via Google AdWords, reflecting
organic brand search behavior by month.
30
METHODOLOGY NOTES
•  This study applies the Earned Media Index to analyze
earned media performance, visibility patterns and
channel dynamics for a distinct class of companies.
•  Big Valley analysts conducted this analysis between
Dec’15 and Feb’16, capturing data for each company
across news, social and search channels.
•  The full study captures monthly channel data for each
company from Jan’15 through Dec’15. Each brand’s
channel score is indexed to 100, based on the leader
for that channel as of Jan’15. The channel scores are
then aggregated into a composite Earned Media
Index score.
•  Because the unicorn list is constantly evolving, we
focused our data gathering on the top 75 companies
based on Nov’15 valuations tracked by Dow Jones
VentureSource. When a company goes public, it is
removed after a three-month period (though we
continue to track it separately to evaluate post-IPO
effects on earned media performance).
•  Financial valuations and industry classifications were
leveraged from Dow Jones VentureSource. Valuation
levels and rankings are based on Mar’16 data.
31
THANK YOU
Tim Marklein – tim@bigvalley.co
Inga Starrett – inga@bigvalley.co
www.bigvalley.co

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Unicorn Media Index: Who Ranks Where Across News, Social and Search

  • 1. Unicorn Media Index™: Who Ranks Where Across News, Social and Search? April 13, 2016
  • 2. VISIBILITY + MOMENTUM: WHO RANKS WHERE AND WHY? Unicorns are a phenomenon. Over the past 18 months, they have gone from mythical creature to tech meme – spawning greed and envy for global entrepreneurs, investors and recruiters, while feeding the tech media engine with endless news stories, leader boards and Fortune cover stories. The “unicorn” concept was coined in Nov’13 by venture capitalist Aileen Lee, and refers to privately held start-up companies with valuations exceeding $1 billion. What started out as a rare breed grew to 146 companies by April 2016, according to Dow Jones VentureSource. The chase for unicorn status has abated somewhat as startup valuations moderate in early 2016. However, the class continues to expand and contract almost weekly – providing a valuable microcosm to understand today’s tech trends and startup dynamics. To that end, this report analyzes 75 top unicorns to benchmark their visibility and momentum across news, social and search channels. This is relevant because many founders believe unicorn status provides advantages for recruiting top talent, and demonstrates a startup’s viability for customers and prospects. This study also showcases a new Earned Media Index™ for benchmarking earned media performance – often the most impactful but least-invested, under-measured part of the marketing and communications mix. We conclude that unicorn status and valuation alone do not dictate media performance. We also learn a lot about category performance, company success factors, IPO impact and channel dynamics. We look forward to your feedback as we continue to study this important class of startups… 2
  • 3. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX: TOP 75 0 20 40 60 80 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 EarnedMediaIndex™score Snapchat Pinterest Spotify Dropbox Flipkart Uber Xiaomi Snapdeal Airbnb BuzzFeed Square Github "Credit Karma" SpaceX Lyft Jawbone Slack Garena DJI FanDuel Pure Storage MongoDB Cloudera Instacart Houzz Stripe Nutanix Ola Cabs Warby Parker Didi Kuaidi Magic Leap Blue Apron DocuSign Fanatics InMobi Grabtaxi Palantir Zenefits Delivery Hero Domo Legendary Entertainment AppNexus WeWork Theranos Klarna One97 ZocDoc MuleSoft The Honest Co. Tanium Adyen Dianping Powa Meituan Coupang InsideSales.com Medallia Bloom Energy Moderna Deem Zhong An Prosper Marketplace Social Finance Infinidat Global Fashion Group Oscar Health Intarcia Therapeutics Lufax Lazada Group Jasper Technologies ContextLogic stemcentrx Koudai Shopping VANCL Trendy Group/ Trendiano Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 3
  • 4. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX: KEY FINDINGS Snapchat tops the rankings, followed by Pinterest, Spotify and Dropbox •  Snapchat (#1 earned media, #6 valuation) was the fast mover with pronounced growth trajectory from 41.02 to 71.22, outpacing all others after Jul’15 based on platform success •  Pinterest (#2 earned media, #10 valuation) was more constant, averaging 44 points/month •  No. 3 Spotify was much more erratic with pronounced peaks and valleys, year-end growth •  Dropbox (#4), Flipkart (#5) and Uber (#6) are the next band w/ Square (#11) spiking on IPO Valuation influences earned media, but doesn’t dictate performance •  11 “media megastars” indexed >10.0, while 17 other “media superstars” averaged >1.0 •  Category, audience and executive profile matter a lot, as do other communication factors Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 4
  • 5. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX: KEY FINDINGS Consumer tech and Internet suck up oxygen from other companies •  Social media platforms and on-demand services dominated valuations and earned media •  Top B2B = GitHub (#12), SpaceX (#14), Slack (#17), Pure Storage (#21), MongoDB (#22) •  Hardware stood out with negative linear trends for four of the five companies •  Healthcare under-performs: All six companies averaged >1 point per month •  Flipkart (#5) and Xiaomi (#7) were international standouts despite limited availability Controversy and IPO windows drive major spikes •  Theranos spiked 11X from ~0.25 to ~2.75 in Oct’15 and Nov’15 due to media firestorm •  Uber dominates valuation (#1) and news (#1), but lags in social (#3) and search (#9) •  Square spiked to #5 for Sept’15-Nov’15 based on IPO window, but trending down into 2016 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 5
  • 6. UNICORNS ARE NOT CREATED EQUAL MEDIA MEGASTARS (Earned Media Index > 10.00) Company Rank Ave. Score Snapchat 1 49.55 Pinterest 2 44.24 Spotify 3 38.01 Dropbox 4 35.76 Flipkart 5 34.34 Uber 6 32.88 Xiaomi 7 25.63 Snapdeal 8 20.67 Airbnb 9 18.77 BuzzFeed 10 15.75 Square 11 14.47 MEDIA SUPERSTARS (Earned Media Index > 1.00) Company Rank Ave. Score GitHub 12 9.46 Credit Karma 13 6.37 SpaceX 14 5.33 Lyft 15 5.22 Jawbone 16 4.49 Slack 17 4.09 Garena 18 3.12 DJI 19 2.64 FanDuel 20 2.34 Pure Storage 21 2.04 MEDIA SUPERSTARS (Earned Media Index > 1.00) Company Rank Ave. Score MongoDB 22 1.89 Cloudera 23 1.72 Instacart 24 1.54 Houzz 25 1.51 Stripe 26 1.39 Nutanix 27 1.21 Ola Cabs 28 1.20 6 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords.
  • 7. EARNED MEDIA INDEX VS. VALUATION TOP 10 OVER-PERFORMERS IN EARNED MEDIA Company Ave. Earned Media Index Index Rank Valuation Rank Over/ Under BuzzFeed 15.75 10 65 +55 FanDuel 2.34 20 70 +50 Warby Parker 0.98 29 75 +46 GitHub 9.46 12 51 +39 MongoDB 1.89 22 58 +36 AppNexus 0.62 42 73 +31 Lyft 5.22 15 41 +26 Garena 3.12 18 42 +24 Instacart 1.54 24 48 +24 Grabtaxi 0.68 36 59 +23 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. TOP 10 UNDER-PERFORMERS IN EARNED MEDIA Company Ave. Earned Media Index Index Rank Valuation Rank Over/ Under Lufax 0.03 68 12 -56 StemcentRX 0.01 72 23 -49 Zhong An 0.10 61 16 -45 VANCL 0.01 74 30 -44 Global Fashion 0.08 65 26 -39 Meituan 0.17 54 17 -37 ContextLogic 0.01 71 35 -36 Palantir 0.67 37 4 -33 WeWork 0.61 43 11 -32 Theranos 0.57 44 13 -31 7
  • 8. So What? •  Unicorn status and valuation influence earned media – esp. news and social – but they don’t dictate media performance •  Company performance varies widely across news, social and search channels, reflecting lack of leverage across media •  Consumer categories dominate earned media; software steady but unspectacular; fintech rising and hardware declining •  Companies need to cultivate category (not just company) interest, plus vocal audience base and executive thought leadership •  Companies should bust marketing silos, invest more in owned and earned media, use analytics and planning to drive leverage •  Continue to track Unicorn Media Index to learn from the class: category dynamics, post-IPO drop-off, “unicorn fatigue”, etc. Now What? INSIGHTS + RECOMMENDATIONS Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 8
  • 9. Unicorn Media Index™: Company Rankings + Scores April 13, 2016
  • 10. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX RANKING: TOP 20 Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume 11 Square 14.47 1,281 757,167 18,344 12 GitHub 9.46 742 1,151,667 84,967 13 Credit Karma 6.37 14 5,653,333 4,065 14 SpaceX 5.33 404 407,250 149,138 15 Lyft 5.22 414 299,750 124,619 16 Jawbone 4.49 365 448,167 32,680 17 Slack 4.09 283 903,750 26,203 18 Garena 3.12 5 2,781,667 3,203 19 DJI 2.64 133 3,358 304,638 20 FanDuel 2.34 68 1,128,092 95,136 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume 1 Snapchat 49.55 1,131 9,189,167 6,832,577 2 Pinterest 44.24 711 30,966,667 684,333 3 Spotify 38.01 1,778 12,753,333 1,289,949 4 Dropbox 35.76 1,144 21,208,333 97,026 5 Flipkart 34.34 865 22,416,667 150,733 6 Uber 32.88 2,194 4,624,167 1,137,737 7 Xiaomi 25.63 2,146 2,145,000 139,629 8 Snapdeal 20.67 505 13,333,333 175,055 9 Airbnb 18.77 581 10,958,333 148,618 10 BuzzFeed 15.75 686 4,772,500 808,171 10
  • 11. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX RANKING: 21-40 Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume 21 Pure Storage 2.04 187 34,883 4,284 22 MongoDB 1.89 140 238,500 34,860 23 Cloudera 1.72 153 59,583 9,497 24 Instacart 1.54 124 180,000 7,830 25 Houzz 1.51 20 1,058,583 32,790 26 Stripe 1.39 108 209,250 4,214 27 Nutanix 1.21 104 63,333 10,607 28 Ola Cabs 1.20 31 725,250 20,936 29 Warby Parker 0.98 47 409,000 8,320 30 Didi Kuaidi 0.92 85 5,563 3,486 Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume 31 Magic Leap 0.90 73 82,167 8,261 32 Blue Apron 0.89 22 573,583 7,395 33 DocuSign 0.86 53 252,250 4,717 34 Fanatics 0.83 15 332,083 77,716 35 InMobi 0.72 63 32,750 3,398 36 Grabtaxi 0.68 49 133,592 5,027 37 Palantir 0.67 52 94,250 4,502 38 Zenefits 0.67 51 98,042 6,021 39 Delivery Hero 0.65 55 63,875 1,263 40 Domo 0.63 21 361,167 2,990 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 11
  • 12. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX RANKING: 41-60 Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume 41 Legendary Entertainment 0.63 57 1,842 5,909 42 AppNexus 0.62 55 23,083 2,114 43 WeWork 0.61 47 64,208 11,476 44 Theranos 0.57 34 143,208 14,459 45 Klarna 0.40 13 236,083 1,276 46 One97 0.34 31 5,575 426 47 ZocDoc 0.31 11 171,000 1,095 48 MuleSoft 0.29 23 28,283 3,068 49 The Honest Co 0.27 10 110,208 9,320 50 Tanium 0.25 21 16,700 1,277 Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume 51 Adyen 0.22 18 25,650 1,464 52 Dianping 0.19 17 7,000 362 53 Powa 0.18 14 9,183 4,789 54 Meituan 0.17 16 6,000 412 55 Coupang 0.13 8 33,417 1,201 56 InsideSales.com 0.13 11 1,305 1,272 57 Medallia 0.13 7 42,300 994 58 Bloom Energy 0.13 10 20,217 437 59 Moderna 0.12 7 33,833 2,238 60 Deem 0.11 6 42,750 241 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 12
  • 13. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX RANKING: 61-75 Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume 61 Zhong An 0.10 10 248 157 62 Prosper Marketplace 0.09 8 4,450 726 63 Social Finance 0.09 8 5,300 888 64 Infinidat 0.09 8 4,883 286 65 Global Fashion Group 0.08 7 1,777 203 66 Oscar Health 0.08 6 7,358 962 67 Intarcia 0.05 4 3,100 224 68 Lufax 0.03 3 2,607 127 69 Lazada Group 0.03 2 5,433 148 70 Jasper Tech 0.02 1 2,042 568 Rank Company Index News/Search/Social Volume 71 ContextLogic 0.01 1 1,233 82 72 Stemcentrx 0.01 1 1,747 59 73 Koudai Shopping 0.01 1 928 3 74 VANCL 0.01 1 3,317 29 75 Trendy Group/ Trendiano 0.00 0 893 70 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 13
  • 14. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX SCORES: 1-25 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 0 20 40 60 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1:Snapchat 2:Pinterest 3:Spotify 4:Dropbox 5:Flipkart 6:Uber 7:Xiaomi 8:Snapdeal 9:Airbnb 10:BuzzFeed 11:Square 12:Github 13:CreditKarma 14:SpaceX 15:Lyft 16:Jawbone 17:Slack 18:Garena 19:DJI 20:FanDuel 21:PureStorage 22:MongoDB 23:Cloudera 24:Instacart 25:Houzz Averagechannelscores News Search Social 14
  • 15. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX SCORES: 26-50 0 1 2 3 4 5 26:Stripe 27:Nutanix 28:OlaCabs 29:WarbyParker 30:DidiKuaidi 31:MagicLeap 32:BlueApron 33:DocuSign 34:Fanatics 35:InMobi 36:Grabtaxi 37:Palantir 38:Zenefits 39:DeliveryHero 40:Domo 41:Legendary Entertainment 42:AppNexus 43:WeWork 44:Theranos 45:Klarna 46:One97 47:ZocDoc 48:MuleSoft 49:TheHonestCo 50:Tanium Averagechannelscores News Search Social Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 15
  • 16. UNICORN MEDIA INDEX SCORES: 51-75 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 51:Adyen 52:Dianping 53:Powa 54:Meituan 55:Coupang 56:InsideSales. 57:Medallia 58:BloomEnergy 59:Moderna 60:Deem 61:ZhongAn 62:Prosper 63:SocialFinance 64:Infinidat 65:Global 66:OscarHealth 67:Intarcia 68:Lufax 69:LazadaGroup 70:JasperTech 71:ContextLogic 72:Stemcentrx 73:Koudai 74:VANCL 75:Trendy Averagechannelscores News Search Social Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 16
  • 17. Unicorn Media Index™: Category + Company Snapshots April 13, 2016
  • 18. CATEGORY ANALYSIS: TOP 10 UNICORNS •  Snapchat (#1 earned media, #6 valuation) is the big mover with search and social growth in late 2015, suggesting audience momentum •  Spotify is biggest out-performer (#3 earned media, #15 valuation) including Jun’15 spike due to Apple, Amazon, Google competition •  Uber is #1 in valuation and funding, but only #6 in earned media – strong news and social presence (#1 and #3) but lags in search (#9) •  Xiaomi (#7 earned media, #2 valuation) is the only company with a negative linear trend, fueled by sharply lower news and social Top 10 Unicorns 0 25 50 75 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Snapchat Pinterest Spotify Dropbox Flipkart Uber Xiaomi Snapdeal Airbnb BuzzFeed Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 18
  • 19. CATEGORY ANALYSIS: HARDWARE •  Hardware stood out with negative linear trends for four of the five companies •  Chinese mobile phone maker Xiaomi (#7 earned media, #2 valuation) lost ground from early high point spiked by Apple market battle •  Jawbone (#16 earned media, #70 valuation) showed steady declines from 5+ to <3 •  Drone maker DJI (#19 earned media) was strong through Q3 2015, but lost ground after “drone for beginners” launch Aug’15 •  Magic Leap (#31 earned media) spiked on Mar’15 (demo) and Oct’15 (funding) news •  Only storage provider Infinidat (#64) bucked trend with but steadily increasing visibility Hardware Unicorns 0 10 20 30 40 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Xiaomi Jawbone DJI Magic Leap Infinidat Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 19
  • 20. CATEGORY ANALYSIS: CONSUMER INTERNET •  Social media platforms (Snapchat, Pinterest, Spotify, Houzz) and on-demand services (Uber, Airbnb, Lyft, Instacart) dominated both valuations and earned media through 2015 •  Uber’s valuation and visibility (#6 earned media) drove impressive category pull- through for Lyft (#15), Ola (#28), Didi Kuaidi (#30) and Grabtaxi (#36) •  Airbnb (#9) showed steady growth from ~13 to ~20, fueled largely via search and social •  Spotify (#3) also showed solid upward trend from ~30 to ~40, fueled by social and search •  Most companies in this group posted upward linear trends – will they drop in 2016? Consumer Internet Unicorns 0 25 50 75 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Snapchat Pinterest Spotify Uber Airbnb Lyft FanDuel Instacart Houzz Ola Cabs Didi Kuaidi Grabtaxi Delivery Hero Dianping Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 20
  • 21. CATEGORY ANALYSIS: SOFTWARE •  This was the largest group, with 19 brands •  Only two – Dropbox (#4) and GitHub (#12) – indexed above 5. Five more indexed above 1: Slack (#17), Pure Storage (#21) , MongoDB (#22), CloudEra (#23) and Nutanix (#27) •  Dropbox showed slight negative linear trend, while GitHub and Slack showed steady gains •  In middle tier, Pure Storage had exponential visibility gains around sub-par IPO in Oct’15, while open source players MongoDB and Cloudera trended downward over 2015 •  Among the others, Nutanix (#30), AppNexus (#45) and Tanium (#54) benefited from strong funding and product news spikes Software Unicorns 0 10 20 30 40 50 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Dropbox Github Slack Pure Storage MongoDB Cloudera Nutanix DocuSign InMobi Palantir Zenefits Domo AppNexus MuleSoft Tanium InsideSales.com Medallia Deem Jasper Tech Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 21
  • 22. CATEGORY ANALYSIS: E-COMMERCE •  Second largest group with 16 brands •  Only two – Flipkart (#5) and Snapdeal (#9) – indexed above 5; all others averaged >1 •  Didi Kuaidi trended upward throughout the year, fueled by on-demand transportation growth in China and media interest in Uber competition and valuation news •  Among others, Warby Parker (#29, avg=0.98), Blue Apron (#32, avg=.89), and Fanatics (#34, avg= 0.83) were among the rising stars •  Jessica Alba’s The Honest Co (#49) showed an average of just 0.27 points per month E-Commerce Unicorns 0 10 20 30 40 50 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Flipkart Snapdeal Warby Parker Didi Kuaidi Blue Apron Fanatics The Honest Co. Meituan Coupang Deem Global Fashion Group Lazada Group ContextLogic Koudai Shopping VANCL Trendy Group/ Trendiano Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 22
  • 23. CATEGORY ANALYSIS: FINANCIAL SERVICES •  Only three players posted average media index scores above 1.0: Square (14.47); Credit Karma (6.37) and Stripe (1.39) •  Square had huge jump in visibility leading up to Nov’15 IPO; IPO price was lower than last private valuation ($6B); can it sustain in 2016? •  Credit Karma (#13) was relatively stable through Aug’15, dipped in Sept’15-Nov’15 and rebounded in Dec’15 •  Fintech gained momentum through 2015, fueling late surge for 8 of 11 players – Credit Karma, Klarna, One97, Adyen, Powa, Prosper Marketplace, Social Finance and Lufax Financial Services Unicorns 0 10 20 30 40 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Square Credit Karma Stripe Klarna One97 Adyen Powa Zhong An Prosper Marketplace Social Finance Lufax Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 23
  • 24. CATEGORY ANALYSIS: HEALTHCARE •  Healthcare had weakest media performance; all six companies indexed <1 per month •  Theranos (#44) spiked in Oct’ 15 and Nov’15 due to media firestorm fueled by WSJ and FDA reports questioning technology accuracy, business governance and partner progress •  ZocDoc (#47) surged Aug’15 on new funding round that resulted in unicorn status •  Oscar Health (#66) showed reactionary profile without sustained earned media base; spikes tied to funding news and industry stories •  Intarcia (#67) and StemcentRX (#72) spiked around funding and valuation news Healthcare Unicorns 0.0 0.5 1.0 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Theranos ZocDoc Moderna Oscar Health Intarcia StemcentRX 3.0 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 24
  • 25. COMPANY ANALYSIS: SNAPCHAT •  #1 Earned Media Index (49.55) •  #6 in valuation ($16.0B) with $1.3B in total funding •  Led Unicorn Media Index by an average 5-point margin over #2 Pinterest •  Most visible growth in search volume; up significantly in second half of year •  Social volumes spike in July (locks out “jailbreakers;”) September (Burberry debuts London’s Fashion Week) •  News was comparably steady (new initiatives, partnerships) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Averagechannelscores News Search Social 0 25 50 75 100 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 25
  • 26. COMPANY ANALYSIS: AIRBNB •  #9 Earned Media Index (18.77) •  #3 in valuation ($25.5B) with $2.3B in total funding •  Airbnb showed steady growth from ~13 to ~20, fueled largely via search and social •  Strong seasonal growth during summer and holiday months – with 13.6M average monthly searches Jun’15-Aug’15 •  News and social trended up in summer, leveled in fall but grew again Nov’15 on funding news and “voting cartel” plans 0 10 20 30 40 50 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Averagechannelscores News Search Social 0 5 10 15 20 25 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 26
  • 27. COMPANY ANALYSIS: GITHUB •  #12 Earned Media Index (9.46) •  #57 in valuation ($2.0B) with $350M in total funding •  GitHub was highest-scoring B2B player, powered by active and vocal developer audience •  News and search trends tracked more closely together than for consumer brands – 739 stories + 85K social posts + 1.2M searches per month •  News spiked March as GitHub was hit by its biggest DDoS attack ever; Oct’15 on Google AMP project 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Averagechannelscores News Search Social 0 4 8 12 J-15 F-15 M-15 A-15 M-15 J-15 J-15 A-15 S-15 O-15 N-15 D-15 Source: Big Valley analysis of monthly News, Social and Search volumes, indexed to 100 based on highest Jan’15 channel scores, then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index. Data from IT Database, Sysomos and Google AdWords. 27
  • 29. “UNICORN” CLASS OF $1B+ PRIVATE COMPANIES 29
  • 30. EARNED MEDIA INDEX™ Key Questions •  How do brands (or other entities) perform across earned media relative to peers and competitors? •  How does performance correlate across news, social and search channels? •  What can brands learn from other brands to improve their earned media performance? Goals •  Benchmark earned media performance for my brand, product or idea, over time and against other entities •  Understand which channel types best drive earned media impact for my brand and category •  Plan future communication strategies, campaigns and channel mix to optimize performance Approach •  Analyze earned media visibility and trajectory across channels, including relevant data for news, social and search. Capture channel data monthly and aggregate it into a composite index for easy comparison over time and against others. -  News: Keyword search for number of news citations for the entity in IT Database, a well-curated online database of technology, business and vertical news outlets. -  Social: Keyword search for number of social citations for the entity name or handle using Sysomos, a broad social media aggregator that captures social content (Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, blogs, forums, videos and images). -  Search: Average monthly searches for the entity name via search engines as tracked via Google AdWords, reflecting organic brand search behavior by month. 30
  • 31. METHODOLOGY NOTES •  This study applies the Earned Media Index to analyze earned media performance, visibility patterns and channel dynamics for a distinct class of companies. •  Big Valley analysts conducted this analysis between Dec’15 and Feb’16, capturing data for each company across news, social and search channels. •  The full study captures monthly channel data for each company from Jan’15 through Dec’15. Each brand’s channel score is indexed to 100, based on the leader for that channel as of Jan’15. The channel scores are then aggregated into a composite Earned Media Index score. •  Because the unicorn list is constantly evolving, we focused our data gathering on the top 75 companies based on Nov’15 valuations tracked by Dow Jones VentureSource. When a company goes public, it is removed after a three-month period (though we continue to track it separately to evaluate post-IPO effects on earned media performance). •  Financial valuations and industry classifications were leveraged from Dow Jones VentureSource. Valuation levels and rankings are based on Mar’16 data. 31
  • 32. THANK YOU Tim Marklein – tim@bigvalley.co Inga Starrett – inga@bigvalley.co www.bigvalley.co