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Dan Ciccarone, MD, MPH
Professor, Family and Community
Medicine
University of California, San Francisco
Understanding Changes in the US
‘Heroin’ Market:
Notes from the Field
DISCLOSURES
• No financial disclosures
HEROIN IN TRANSITION (“HIT”) STUDY
• NIH: National Institute of Drug Abuse
• DA037820
• Multi-methodological study: quantitative and qualitative aims
• Supply changes > medical consequences – overdose
• New drug forms > user perceptions, adaptation, etc.
THE TRIPLE WAVE EPIDEMIC
Source: Julia Lurie, Mother Jones, 9.6.2017
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2017/09/the-latest-jaw-dropping-numbers-from-the-opioid-crisis/
Photo: D. Ciccarone
SYNTHETIC OPIOIDS: REGIONAL
PROBLEM
NIS: US OVERDOSE RATES (2012-2014)
BY AGE GROUP:
Heroin overdoseOpioid overdose
New England: Large
increases in heroin OD
hospitalizations for 25-35 yo.
QUALITATIVE STUDY AIMS
 “Hotspot study” where our team of researchers goes
to visit areas in the country where significant changes
in the heroin supply or overdoses have been reported
Baltimore, MD; Lawrence and Lowell, MA; Chicago,
IL; Charleston, West Virginia
 Our aim is to understand the experiences and beliefs
of the users themselves and to observe first hand the
heroin currently being used
Photos: D. Ciccarone
1. DEVASTATION: ‘LIKE A ‘COMBAT STATE’
Now the dope is fentanyl and it’s killing people left and
right. I have over the years, I’ve watched friends [die]—
but on average, it was three a year. Now the last 3 years
it’s been an average of 20 [per year]. I feel like I’m back
in a combat state and I feel like I’m fighting for my life
right now.
Jerry, Lowell, aged 46, using on and off for the
last 20 years
ARS QUESTION 1
2. CHANGES IN ‘HEROIN’
 Users reported and our ethnographers observed rapid
changes in the appearance of and effects due to
substances sold as ‘heroin’
 Supply not demand driven changes:
– Users surprised and dismayed
– Range of desirability
– No cultural idioms
– Dealers even surprised
We’re supposedly buying dope that doesn’t have any
fentanyl in it, but when I started showing up dirty with
heroin, I started showing up dirty with fentanyl… When
we cut the dope, we don’t use fentanyl. The problem
was that we were buying the dope already dirty with
that and we didn’t know it.
Hector, aged 42, using heroin for 26 years
Lawrence, MA
ARS QUESTION 2
3. VARIATION AND UNPREDICTABILITY
 ‘Heroin’ varied by:
- Color: powder and solution
- Intensity of onset or ‘rush’
- Intensity of effect
- Duration of effect (from 45 minutes to 12 hours)
- Types of effect eg sleepy or stimulating
HEROIN SOURCE-FORMS
“Black Tar” Heroin: Mexican
Brown powder Heroin:
Colombian/SWA
White powder Heroin: SEA
4. DESIRABILITY
The high is wonderful. It’s splendidly wonderful. It’s
magnified heroin feeling by a great number.
 Tim, aged 45, using heroin for 25 years, Baltimore
I know a couple of people have done died from that, with
fentanyl, yeah. […] And I have a lot of associates that are
letting me know, “Don’t go to that place because they
selling fentanyl”.
Montana, 39 year old woman using for 21 years,
Baltimore
5. DISCERNMENT
 Hierarchy:
- Physiological >
- Taste on the tongue >
- Solution color >
- Powder color
When you add the water to it and pull it back it’s almost
like clear. Heroin’s dark and brown. It’s brown. …but the
fentanyl is like, like water kinda, like a little bit yellowish...
The regular heroin …it can be dark brown or light brown
but it’s never yellow like that.
Kristin, 19 years old, using heroin for 5 years,
Lowell, MA
6. GENERATIONAL CHANGES
• 50 yo African American male, Englewood Chicago about violence
in Chicago and the increase in homicides:
• A: A lot of guys are older now, like me. I’m 50 years old. My
gang banging days have been over a long time ago. So you got a
lot of people with a lot of rank they’re going to jail and they ain’t
getting out no time soon.
• Q: So the youngsters take over?
• A: So the young, so yeah they’re trying to recruit younger guys
and these younger guys they’re recruiting they’re putting guns in
their hand and they just going buck wild. They’re not following the
rules or the laws of the gang that they’re in, they’re trying to
rewrite the laws and do what they want to do.
7. TAKING PRECAUTIONS
Like when I get stuff I don’t know what it is I do a little bit
before I do something that I feel. Like I want to kind of
scale out how much I want to do. Because I don’t want to
die. But these people are just doing a gram shot and
just… my friend just died two days ago.
Liz, in her 20s, using heroin for 1.5 years
Lawrence, MA
SUMMARY
 Devastation is rampant: individual, social, cultural
 Changes in heroin: supply driven
 Variation in potency, compounded by fentanyl: ‘Russian
roulette’
 Mixed desirability for fentanyl
 Some degree of discernment
 A new generation needs risk reduction guidance
 Some organic harm reduction > pay attention to this!
An Epidemic of
Crisis Proportion
• Crisis with Epic
Opportunity
• Treatment and
Prevention can
work!
Source: New York Times, The Upshot; Josh Katz; April 14, 2017
CRISIS RESPONSE
• Triple wave epidemic is unprecedented
• Prescription pills ≠ Heroin/fentanyl:
• Unique supply drivers
• Problems more than just overdose
• HIV/HCV
• Increasing numbers of heroin users starting
with heroin not pills
• Differences in population at risk: Youth!
• Geography
OPIOID SUPPLY
Opioid prescriptions Opioid overdose hospitalizations
IMS Health,VectorOne®: National, 1991-2011
IMS Health, National PrescriptionAudit, 2012-2013
Thanks:Wilson Compton, Deputy Director, NIDA
Opioid OD deaths
CRISIS RESPONSE
• Better surveillance is needed
• Fentanyl as poisoning epidemic
• More evidence-based treatment
• Faster responses to overdose
CRISIS RESPONSE
• Stigma remains our biggest enemy
• Harm reduction saves lives, is cost-effective
and can bridge people into treatment
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
 Heroin in Transition study:
 HIT team: Sarah Mars, Jeff Ondocsin, Eliza Wheeler, Mary Howe,
Fernando Castillo, Philippe Bourgois, Dan Rosenblum, Jay Unick
 NIH/NIDA funding: R01DA037820
 Chicago:
 Dan Bigg, Chicago Recovery Alliance
 Baltimore City Health Dept.
 Mishka Terplan, Derrick Hunt, Jeffrey Long and NEP staff
 Massachusetts:
 Gary Langis, Harry Leno, Irving
 West Virginia:
 Mike Brumage, Tina Ramirez;
 Staff and volunteers at Kanawha-Charleston Health Dept.
 Jon E. Zibbell
 Participants!
 Photo credits: Dan Ciccarone, Fernando Castillo
NIS: OVERDOSE RATES (1993-2014)
BY GEOGRAPHIC REGION:
HOD: Northeast and
Midwest!
OPOD: Even –
CDC: 27 states
• Increases in synthetic opioid
overdose deaths
• Concentrated in 7 states
Gladden RM, Martinez P, Seth P. Fentanyl Law Enforcement Submissions and Increases in Synthetic
Opioid–Involved Overdose Deaths — 27 States, 2013–2014. MMWR
Heroin treatment:
Initial opioid of
choice
A BRIEF HISTORY OF OPIOID “EPIDEMICS”
• Epidemic
• Morphine & heroin 1880-
1900’s
• Heroin (wave 2, illicit, 1920 ‘s)
• Heroin (Jazz era)
• Heroin (Vietnam era)
• Heroin (Colombian-sourced,
1990’s)
• Opioid pills (2000’s)
• Heroin (late 2000’s)
• Synthetics eg fentanyl (2013)
• Trigger
• Novel drug/ Iatrogenic/
technological
• Harrison Act (restriction)? > illicit
• Cultural?
• New source & cultural
• New source
• Iatrogenic/ novel form/
technological (ER)
• New source-form /restriction
• New source/technological
OTHER CONSEQUENCES
• Infectious disease
• Blood borne viruses:
• Hepatitis C virus
• HIV – Scott County, IN
• Bacterial:
• Endocarditis
• Skin and soft tissue infections
Leading Causes
of Death
• Age-adjusted death
rates for the 10
leading causes of
death in 2015
NCHS Data Brief No. 267 December 2016. U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. National Center for Health Statistics
Mortality in the United States, 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Motor Vehicle -Traffic Drug Poisoning
Unintentional
Injury 1999-2012
• Age-adjusted death
rates per 100,000 pop.
Produced by: National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, CDC
Data Source: NCHS Vital Statistics System for numbers of deaths. Bureau of Census for population
estimates. Accessed: 11.5.14
FLOW OF FENTANYLS
DEA: National Drug Threat Assessment 2016
NFLIS: Fentanyl
• Testing seized drugs
• Highest rise in rates in
NE and MW
• Recent relative to
earlier rises in
heroin overdose
NATIONAL FORENSIC LABORATORY INFORMATION SYSTEM.
Special Report: Opiates and Related Drugs Reported in NFLIS, 2009–2014. Office
of Diversion Control, DOJ, DEA. 2015
TRENDS IN MORTALITY – TYPE OF
OPIOID
US heroin seizures are up
~ 140%, 2010-15
CHANGES IN THE HEROIN SUPPLY
Source: National Seizure System. Reported in the 2016 National Heroin Threat
Assessment Summary; DOJ, DEA, 2016
HEROIN SOURCES OVER TIME
Source: Heroin Signature Program. Reported in the 2015 National Drug
Threat Assessment Summary; DOJ, DEA, 2015
• Four sources down to
two
• Colombian dominant
to 2010
• Now Mexican
dominant: 78% in
2014
HEROIN OF UNKNOWN SOURCE
Source: Domestic Monitoring Program. Reported in the 2015 National Drug Threat
Assessment Summary; DOJ, DEA, 2015
MEXICAN TCOs: FLOW OF HEROIN TO US
MEXICAN-SOURCED HEROIN: CHANGES
• Mexican opium/heroin production has grown while
Colombian production is down 40%
• Explanations for rising HOD in Midwest (in addition to
fentanyl):
• A more purified product coming from Mexico
• “Mexican White:” Colombian mimic
 Traditional Colombian-sourced-heroin retail places
Synthetic adulteration > heroin “inconclusive” origin
An Epidemic of
Crisis Proportion
Numbers of deaths:
• Drug overdose >
• Motor vehicle >
• Gun homicide >
• HIV
Source: New York Times, The Upshot; Josh Katz; April 14, 2017. Data from: Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
• The novel entry of
Colombian-sourced
heroin increased HOD
rates; 1993-1999
• New increases in HOD:
• Regional!
• New form of Mexican-
sourced heroin
• (+)Fentanyl adulteration
• Wider distribution models
• Young users
SUMMARY: HEROIN IN TRANSITION

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Understanding Changes in the US 'Heroin" Market

  • 1. Dan Ciccarone, MD, MPH Professor, Family and Community Medicine University of California, San Francisco Understanding Changes in the US ‘Heroin’ Market: Notes from the Field
  • 3. HEROIN IN TRANSITION (“HIT”) STUDY • NIH: National Institute of Drug Abuse • DA037820 • Multi-methodological study: quantitative and qualitative aims • Supply changes > medical consequences – overdose • New drug forms > user perceptions, adaptation, etc.
  • 4. THE TRIPLE WAVE EPIDEMIC Source: Julia Lurie, Mother Jones, 9.6.2017 http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2017/09/the-latest-jaw-dropping-numbers-from-the-opioid-crisis/
  • 7. NIS: US OVERDOSE RATES (2012-2014) BY AGE GROUP: Heroin overdoseOpioid overdose
  • 8. New England: Large increases in heroin OD hospitalizations for 25-35 yo.
  • 9. QUALITATIVE STUDY AIMS  “Hotspot study” where our team of researchers goes to visit areas in the country where significant changes in the heroin supply or overdoses have been reported Baltimore, MD; Lawrence and Lowell, MA; Chicago, IL; Charleston, West Virginia  Our aim is to understand the experiences and beliefs of the users themselves and to observe first hand the heroin currently being used
  • 11. 1. DEVASTATION: ‘LIKE A ‘COMBAT STATE’ Now the dope is fentanyl and it’s killing people left and right. I have over the years, I’ve watched friends [die]— but on average, it was three a year. Now the last 3 years it’s been an average of 20 [per year]. I feel like I’m back in a combat state and I feel like I’m fighting for my life right now. Jerry, Lowell, aged 46, using on and off for the last 20 years
  • 12.
  • 14. 2. CHANGES IN ‘HEROIN’  Users reported and our ethnographers observed rapid changes in the appearance of and effects due to substances sold as ‘heroin’  Supply not demand driven changes: – Users surprised and dismayed – Range of desirability – No cultural idioms – Dealers even surprised
  • 15. We’re supposedly buying dope that doesn’t have any fentanyl in it, but when I started showing up dirty with heroin, I started showing up dirty with fentanyl… When we cut the dope, we don’t use fentanyl. The problem was that we were buying the dope already dirty with that and we didn’t know it. Hector, aged 42, using heroin for 26 years Lawrence, MA
  • 16.
  • 18. 3. VARIATION AND UNPREDICTABILITY  ‘Heroin’ varied by: - Color: powder and solution - Intensity of onset or ‘rush’ - Intensity of effect - Duration of effect (from 45 minutes to 12 hours) - Types of effect eg sleepy or stimulating
  • 19. HEROIN SOURCE-FORMS “Black Tar” Heroin: Mexican Brown powder Heroin: Colombian/SWA White powder Heroin: SEA
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. 4. DESIRABILITY The high is wonderful. It’s splendidly wonderful. It’s magnified heroin feeling by a great number.  Tim, aged 45, using heroin for 25 years, Baltimore I know a couple of people have done died from that, with fentanyl, yeah. […] And I have a lot of associates that are letting me know, “Don’t go to that place because they selling fentanyl”. Montana, 39 year old woman using for 21 years, Baltimore
  • 23.
  • 24. 5. DISCERNMENT  Hierarchy: - Physiological > - Taste on the tongue > - Solution color > - Powder color
  • 25. When you add the water to it and pull it back it’s almost like clear. Heroin’s dark and brown. It’s brown. …but the fentanyl is like, like water kinda, like a little bit yellowish... The regular heroin …it can be dark brown or light brown but it’s never yellow like that. Kristin, 19 years old, using heroin for 5 years, Lowell, MA
  • 26. 6. GENERATIONAL CHANGES • 50 yo African American male, Englewood Chicago about violence in Chicago and the increase in homicides: • A: A lot of guys are older now, like me. I’m 50 years old. My gang banging days have been over a long time ago. So you got a lot of people with a lot of rank they’re going to jail and they ain’t getting out no time soon. • Q: So the youngsters take over? • A: So the young, so yeah they’re trying to recruit younger guys and these younger guys they’re recruiting they’re putting guns in their hand and they just going buck wild. They’re not following the rules or the laws of the gang that they’re in, they’re trying to rewrite the laws and do what they want to do.
  • 27. 7. TAKING PRECAUTIONS Like when I get stuff I don’t know what it is I do a little bit before I do something that I feel. Like I want to kind of scale out how much I want to do. Because I don’t want to die. But these people are just doing a gram shot and just… my friend just died two days ago. Liz, in her 20s, using heroin for 1.5 years Lawrence, MA
  • 28. SUMMARY  Devastation is rampant: individual, social, cultural  Changes in heroin: supply driven  Variation in potency, compounded by fentanyl: ‘Russian roulette’  Mixed desirability for fentanyl  Some degree of discernment  A new generation needs risk reduction guidance  Some organic harm reduction > pay attention to this!
  • 29. An Epidemic of Crisis Proportion • Crisis with Epic Opportunity • Treatment and Prevention can work! Source: New York Times, The Upshot; Josh Katz; April 14, 2017
  • 30. CRISIS RESPONSE • Triple wave epidemic is unprecedented • Prescription pills ≠ Heroin/fentanyl: • Unique supply drivers • Problems more than just overdose • HIV/HCV • Increasing numbers of heroin users starting with heroin not pills • Differences in population at risk: Youth! • Geography
  • 31. OPIOID SUPPLY Opioid prescriptions Opioid overdose hospitalizations IMS Health,VectorOne®: National, 1991-2011 IMS Health, National PrescriptionAudit, 2012-2013 Thanks:Wilson Compton, Deputy Director, NIDA Opioid OD deaths
  • 32. CRISIS RESPONSE • Better surveillance is needed • Fentanyl as poisoning epidemic • More evidence-based treatment • Faster responses to overdose
  • 33. CRISIS RESPONSE • Stigma remains our biggest enemy • Harm reduction saves lives, is cost-effective and can bridge people into treatment
  • 34.
  • 35. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS  Heroin in Transition study:  HIT team: Sarah Mars, Jeff Ondocsin, Eliza Wheeler, Mary Howe, Fernando Castillo, Philippe Bourgois, Dan Rosenblum, Jay Unick  NIH/NIDA funding: R01DA037820  Chicago:  Dan Bigg, Chicago Recovery Alliance  Baltimore City Health Dept.  Mishka Terplan, Derrick Hunt, Jeffrey Long and NEP staff  Massachusetts:  Gary Langis, Harry Leno, Irving  West Virginia:  Mike Brumage, Tina Ramirez;  Staff and volunteers at Kanawha-Charleston Health Dept.  Jon E. Zibbell  Participants!  Photo credits: Dan Ciccarone, Fernando Castillo
  • 36. NIS: OVERDOSE RATES (1993-2014) BY GEOGRAPHIC REGION: HOD: Northeast and Midwest! OPOD: Even –
  • 37. CDC: 27 states • Increases in synthetic opioid overdose deaths • Concentrated in 7 states Gladden RM, Martinez P, Seth P. Fentanyl Law Enforcement Submissions and Increases in Synthetic Opioid–Involved Overdose Deaths — 27 States, 2013–2014. MMWR
  • 39. A BRIEF HISTORY OF OPIOID “EPIDEMICS” • Epidemic • Morphine & heroin 1880- 1900’s • Heroin (wave 2, illicit, 1920 ‘s) • Heroin (Jazz era) • Heroin (Vietnam era) • Heroin (Colombian-sourced, 1990’s) • Opioid pills (2000’s) • Heroin (late 2000’s) • Synthetics eg fentanyl (2013) • Trigger • Novel drug/ Iatrogenic/ technological • Harrison Act (restriction)? > illicit • Cultural? • New source & cultural • New source • Iatrogenic/ novel form/ technological (ER) • New source-form /restriction • New source/technological
  • 40. OTHER CONSEQUENCES • Infectious disease • Blood borne viruses: • Hepatitis C virus • HIV – Scott County, IN • Bacterial: • Endocarditis • Skin and soft tissue infections
  • 41. Leading Causes of Death • Age-adjusted death rates for the 10 leading causes of death in 2015 NCHS Data Brief No. 267 December 2016. U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. National Center for Health Statistics Mortality in the United States, 2015
  • 42. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Motor Vehicle -Traffic Drug Poisoning Unintentional Injury 1999-2012 • Age-adjusted death rates per 100,000 pop. Produced by: National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, CDC Data Source: NCHS Vital Statistics System for numbers of deaths. Bureau of Census for population estimates. Accessed: 11.5.14
  • 43. FLOW OF FENTANYLS DEA: National Drug Threat Assessment 2016
  • 44. NFLIS: Fentanyl • Testing seized drugs • Highest rise in rates in NE and MW • Recent relative to earlier rises in heroin overdose NATIONAL FORENSIC LABORATORY INFORMATION SYSTEM. Special Report: Opiates and Related Drugs Reported in NFLIS, 2009–2014. Office of Diversion Control, DOJ, DEA. 2015
  • 45. TRENDS IN MORTALITY – TYPE OF OPIOID
  • 46. US heroin seizures are up ~ 140%, 2010-15 CHANGES IN THE HEROIN SUPPLY Source: National Seizure System. Reported in the 2016 National Heroin Threat Assessment Summary; DOJ, DEA, 2016
  • 47. HEROIN SOURCES OVER TIME Source: Heroin Signature Program. Reported in the 2015 National Drug Threat Assessment Summary; DOJ, DEA, 2015 • Four sources down to two • Colombian dominant to 2010 • Now Mexican dominant: 78% in 2014
  • 48. HEROIN OF UNKNOWN SOURCE Source: Domestic Monitoring Program. Reported in the 2015 National Drug Threat Assessment Summary; DOJ, DEA, 2015
  • 49. MEXICAN TCOs: FLOW OF HEROIN TO US
  • 50. MEXICAN-SOURCED HEROIN: CHANGES • Mexican opium/heroin production has grown while Colombian production is down 40% • Explanations for rising HOD in Midwest (in addition to fentanyl): • A more purified product coming from Mexico • “Mexican White:” Colombian mimic  Traditional Colombian-sourced-heroin retail places Synthetic adulteration > heroin “inconclusive” origin
  • 51. An Epidemic of Crisis Proportion Numbers of deaths: • Drug overdose > • Motor vehicle > • Gun homicide > • HIV Source: New York Times, The Upshot; Josh Katz; April 14, 2017. Data from: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
  • 52. • The novel entry of Colombian-sourced heroin increased HOD rates; 1993-1999 • New increases in HOD: • Regional! • New form of Mexican- sourced heroin • (+)Fentanyl adulteration • Wider distribution models • Young users SUMMARY: HEROIN IN TRANSITION

Editor's Notes

  1. Different types based on source
  2. Update: show this slide first then “good news” of plateau then add heroin curve “bad news”