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Speaker : SONJAI KUMAR
Company : AVIVA LIFE INSURANCE
AGENDA
► Why is Assets and Liability Management (ALM) necessary in the life
insurance business for its financial health and what are the
implications?
► How assets and liability management is performed in the life
insurance business?
► What are the factors affecting the ALM?
► What are the issues and challenges in the Indian market in
managing the ALM risk?
► What are the simple measures used in managing the ALM risk?
 To manage Change in interest rate risk?
Assets Liability
Longer in term
ShorterinTerm
Change in
Liability
Change in
Assets Change in Assets
minus Liability
Risk= Exposure*Duration Gap
Impact the bottom line
Delta “I”
(ALM)
 Nature of Liability- types of Products
Unit Linked
Products
Non-Participating
Product in Profit
Participating
Product in Profit
Maturity depends
on Market Value
Guaranteed
Liability on
Maturity
Guaranteed +
Discretionary
Benefit
No ALM Risk High ALM Risk Medium ALM Risk
Increasing Guarantees
with term through bonus
additions
2001-2010 2010 Post 2010
Pre-dominantly
ULIP were sold
IRDA-SEBI Spat on
ULIP products and
subsequent
restrictions on
charges by IRDA
Market moved to
Traditional
Products
Indian Product Market Scenario
Par
Non-Par
Many Players Selling Par
Many Players Selling
Term product with only
death benefit
Some players are selling
products with maturity
guarantee
X
Par Non-Par
Guaranteed Sum Assured
(GSA)- Small in Amount
Bonus (B) every year that
becomes guaranteed on
maturity and Death
Death Benefit = GSA + B
Bonus declared up to time of
death
Maturity = GSA+B+TB
TB= Terminal Bonus
Guaranteed Sum Assured (GSA)
Bonus = NIL
Death Benefit = GSA
Maturity = GSA
Total Pay out Rs.500,000/-
Total Bonus= 300,000
Similar to
fixed and
floating
interest rate
GSA = 200,000
Time
Benefits
Rs.500,000
Par Non-Par
Increasing Guarantee but has a
slow increasing Guarantee
Interest rate risk is medium/low
ALM is important
Maturity = GSA+B+TB
TB= Terminal Bonus
Has Guarantee at the on set
Interest rate risk is very high
ALM is very important
Current risk in the Indian Market is
from fall in future interest rate
Focus Point
Lets look at a simple example:
► An insurance company collects premium from customers and provides a guaranteed return
of 6% over the policy period (which is say 20 years);
► Further, the premium collected from customers is invested in Corporate Bonds/Govt
Securities at a return of 8%.
6 months later, the interest rate falls to 5%. What’s the impact on the insurance company:
► Insurance company faces the risk of reinvestment of future premium at lower interest
rates. Incase fall in interest rate is permanent, the company may have to pay from its
pocket as the returns are guaranteed for the customer.
In the above scenario, what would be the risk if interest rates were to fall to 7% in place of 5%?
► Profit Margins will get compressed as the Insurer will earn less return on the investment.
So an insurer has a risk of ‘falling’ interest rate.
Reinvestment
Risk
Liability
Duration at
times has
absurd value
Liquidity Risk
In the event of
fall in interest
rate future
premium will be
invested at
higher price
Due to the
nature of the
liability cash
flows, duration
value is assured
For a long term
products such as
whole life
product,
maximum term
of assets could
be around 30
years or so
Hedging
instrument
Shorter Asset
Term
Indian Regulator
has just allowed
using interest
rate derivatives
to hedge the
risk.
Initial days
In case of mass
surrender, risk
of liquidity
Assets Longer than Liability Liability Longer than Assets
Rise in Interest rate is a risk
Assets to be sold @ cheaper price
on liability maturity
Example- General Insurance and
Health Insurance Products
Shareholder’s Fund
Fall in interest rate is a risk
Reinvestment risk of future
premium
Typical Life Insurance long term
products
Maturity = GSA
Invest Short term Invest longer term
Duration
Matching
Cash flow
matching
Regulatory
minimum
requirement
Some players are
matching
duration of assets
and liability
Project Assets
and Liability cash
flow into future
and invest assets
based on the
visual gap
Calculate
exposure on
change in interest
rate by 1 bps
Strategic Assets
Allocation
It has its own
challenges
Simple, but lack
quantification
PVBP
Some may be
using
Allocate Assets
on criteria such
as profit, keeping
risk within
appetite and stay
within
constraints
?
Change in Liability
Assets
Optimization
Constraints
Performance
indicator
Risk Indicator
Policyholder
Shareholder
Risk
Appetite/Tolerance
Duration
Regulatory
Overall Match by
“Nature”, “Term &
"Currency” of
Liability
Assets Liability Default
Assets are
Longer- Loans
Liabilities are
shorter-
Deposits
Liquidity risk
is more
prominent
ProductsLiquidity
What can be learnt ?
Assets are
Shorter
Liabilities are
Longer
Liquidity risk
is less
prominent
Par and Non-
Par
Floating and
Fixed Rates
Premium
Lapse
EMI Default
Banking
Life
Insurance
Level Premium
Increasing Benefits
in a probabilistic
sense
Shorter Tenure of
Assets
Liability are due to
the customer and
Cannot be
adjusted
ALM focus on
Optimizing assets
portfolio given
the liability
Match Assets by
“Nature”, “Term &
"Currency” of
Liability
Year
Premium
Income
Gross
Interest
Income
Initial
Expenses
Renewal
Expenses
Initial
Commission
Renewal
Commission
Death
Claim
Survival
Benefit**
Surrender
Claims
Net CF
1 500,000 15,843 160,700 613 148,250 - 10,144 - 20,923 175,212
2 423,449 35,658 - 4,630 - 21,172 9,521 - 44,704 379,079
3 379,565 56,812 - 4,409 - 7,591 9,393 - 28,341 386,643
4 358,985 77,351 - 4,431 - 7,180 9,726 - 35,724 379,275
5 339,377 97,241 - 4,455 - 6,788 10,019 - 42,197 373,159
6 320,699 135,548 - 4,476 - 6,414 10,279 - 47,828 387,250
7 302,912 163,594 - 4,495 - 6,058 10,501 - 53,734 391,719
8 285,977 192,719 - 4,514 - 5,720 10,697 - 66,470 391,296
9 269,856 222,536 - 4,532 - 5,397 10,877 - 77,759 393,827
10 254,510 243,072 - 4,548 - 5,090 11,048 - 89,016 387,879
11 239,902 262,527 - 4,563 - 4,798 11,220 - 104,672 377,176
12 225,995 210,974 - 4,574 - 4,520 11,383 - - 416,492
13 - 214,719 - 2,490 - - - 335,927 - (123,697)
14 - 282,097 - 2,420 - - - 335,927 - (56,250)
15 - 269,784 - 2,347 - - - 335,927 - (68,490)
16 - 224,732 - 2,271 - - - 335,927 - (113,466)
17 - 243,153 - 2,191 - - - 335,927 - (94,964)
18 - 202,617 - 2,107 - - - 335,927 - (135,416)
19 - 189,287 - 2,019 - - - 335,927 - (148,659)
20 - 134,452 - 1,927 - - - 335,927 - (203,401)
21 - 158,698 - 1,831 - - - 335,927 - (179,060)
22 - 143,426 - 1,730 - - - 335,927 - (194,230)
23 - 127,384 - 1,624 - - - 335,927 - (210,166)
24 - 110,533 - 1,448 - - - 1,679,634 - (1,570,549)
-2000000
-1500000
-1000000
-500000
0
500000
1000000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Net CF
Year
Premium
Income
Gross
Interest
Income
Initial
Expenses
Renewal
Expenses
Initial
Commission
Renewal
Commission
Death
Claim
Survival
Benefit**
Surrender
Claims
Net CF
Increase in
Reserve
Gross
Surplus
1 500,000 15,843 160,700 613 148,250 - 10,144 - 20,923 175,212 237,862 (62,650)
2 423,449 35,658 - 4,630 - 21,172 9,521 - 44,704 379,079 358,996 20,082
3 379,565 56,812 - 4,409 - 7,591 9,393 - 28,341 386,643 365,418 21,224
4 358,985 77,351 - 4,431 - 7,180 9,726 - 35,724 379,275 353,574 25,701
5 339,377 97,241 - 4,455 - 6,788 10,019 - 42,197 373,159 342,795 30,365
6 320,699 135,548 - 4,476 - 6,414 10,279 - 47,828 387,250 316,062 71,187
7 302,912 163,594 - 4,495 - 6,058 10,501 - 53,734 391,719 303,941 87,778
8 285,977 192,719 - 4,514 - 5,720 10,697 - 66,470 391,296 288,519 102,778
9 269,856 222,536 - 4,532 - 5,397 10,877 - 77,759 393,827 274,354 119,472
10 254,510 243,072 - 4,548 - 5,090 11,048 - 89,016 387,879 260,457 127,422
11 239,902 262,527 - 4,563 - 4,798 11,220 - 104,672 377,176 244,320 132,856
12 225,995 210,974 - 4,574 - 4,520 11,383 - - 416,492 375,844 40,648
13 - 214,719 - 2,490 - - - 335,927 - (123,697) (149,039) 25,342
14 - 282,097 - 2,420 - - - 335,927 - (56,250) (156,558) 100,308
15 - 269,784 - 2,347 - - - 335,927 - (68,490) (164,456) 95,967
16 - 224,732 - 2,271 - - - 335,927 - (113,466) (172,753) 59,287
17 - 243,153 - 2,191 - - - 335,927 - (94,964) (181,469) 86,505
18 - 202,617 - 2,107 - - - 335,927 - (135,416) (190,625) 55,209
19 - 189,287 - 2,019 - - - 335,927 - (148,659) (200,243) 51,584
20 - 134,452 - 1,927 - - - 335,927 - (203,401) (210,347) 6,945
21 - 158,698 - 1,831 - - - 335,927 - (179,060) (220,960) 41,901
22 - 143,426 - 1,730 - - - 335,927 - (194,230) (232,110) 37,880
23 - 127,384 - 1,624 - - - 335,927 - (210,166) (243,823) 33,656
24 - 110,533 - 1,448 - - - 1,679,634 - (1,570,549) (1,599,759) 29,210
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
150000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gross Surplus
Year 1 Reserves: INR 237,862
Purchase assets equal to the value of INR 237,862
Questions
How to purchase assets equivalent to INR 237,862:
► What will be the term of the Bonds?
► How much money you will be kept in short term assets to maintain liquidity ?
► What should be the optimal mix of assets?
Answers
Asset purchasing philosophy: Purchase assets in a manner that it matches the:
► Nature of Liability (Guaranteed, Discretionary, Linked),
► Term (Duration of assets = Duration of Liability), and;
► Currency of Liability (Invest in same currency as liability)
Organized by
UNICOM Trainings & Seminars Pvt. Ltd.
contact@unicomlearning.com
www.unicomseminars.org/Conference/Mumbai/2015/Treasury-and-Risk-Management-
Summit

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Treasury Risk Management_Summit_Sonjai Kumar_ALM Life Ins_v2

  • 1. Speaker : SONJAI KUMAR Company : AVIVA LIFE INSURANCE
  • 2. AGENDA ► Why is Assets and Liability Management (ALM) necessary in the life insurance business for its financial health and what are the implications? ► How assets and liability management is performed in the life insurance business? ► What are the factors affecting the ALM? ► What are the issues and challenges in the Indian market in managing the ALM risk? ► What are the simple measures used in managing the ALM risk?
  • 3.  To manage Change in interest rate risk? Assets Liability Longer in term ShorterinTerm Change in Liability Change in Assets Change in Assets minus Liability Risk= Exposure*Duration Gap Impact the bottom line Delta “I” (ALM)
  • 4.  Nature of Liability- types of Products Unit Linked Products Non-Participating Product in Profit Participating Product in Profit Maturity depends on Market Value Guaranteed Liability on Maturity Guaranteed + Discretionary Benefit No ALM Risk High ALM Risk Medium ALM Risk Increasing Guarantees with term through bonus additions
  • 5. 2001-2010 2010 Post 2010 Pre-dominantly ULIP were sold IRDA-SEBI Spat on ULIP products and subsequent restrictions on charges by IRDA Market moved to Traditional Products Indian Product Market Scenario Par Non-Par Many Players Selling Par Many Players Selling Term product with only death benefit Some players are selling products with maturity guarantee X
  • 6. Par Non-Par Guaranteed Sum Assured (GSA)- Small in Amount Bonus (B) every year that becomes guaranteed on maturity and Death Death Benefit = GSA + B Bonus declared up to time of death Maturity = GSA+B+TB TB= Terminal Bonus Guaranteed Sum Assured (GSA) Bonus = NIL Death Benefit = GSA Maturity = GSA Total Pay out Rs.500,000/- Total Bonus= 300,000 Similar to fixed and floating interest rate GSA = 200,000
  • 8. Par Non-Par Increasing Guarantee but has a slow increasing Guarantee Interest rate risk is medium/low ALM is important Maturity = GSA+B+TB TB= Terminal Bonus Has Guarantee at the on set Interest rate risk is very high ALM is very important Current risk in the Indian Market is from fall in future interest rate Focus Point
  • 9. Lets look at a simple example: ► An insurance company collects premium from customers and provides a guaranteed return of 6% over the policy period (which is say 20 years); ► Further, the premium collected from customers is invested in Corporate Bonds/Govt Securities at a return of 8%. 6 months later, the interest rate falls to 5%. What’s the impact on the insurance company: ► Insurance company faces the risk of reinvestment of future premium at lower interest rates. Incase fall in interest rate is permanent, the company may have to pay from its pocket as the returns are guaranteed for the customer. In the above scenario, what would be the risk if interest rates were to fall to 7% in place of 5%? ► Profit Margins will get compressed as the Insurer will earn less return on the investment. So an insurer has a risk of ‘falling’ interest rate.
  • 10. Reinvestment Risk Liability Duration at times has absurd value Liquidity Risk In the event of fall in interest rate future premium will be invested at higher price Due to the nature of the liability cash flows, duration value is assured For a long term products such as whole life product, maximum term of assets could be around 30 years or so Hedging instrument Shorter Asset Term Indian Regulator has just allowed using interest rate derivatives to hedge the risk. Initial days In case of mass surrender, risk of liquidity
  • 11. Assets Longer than Liability Liability Longer than Assets Rise in Interest rate is a risk Assets to be sold @ cheaper price on liability maturity Example- General Insurance and Health Insurance Products Shareholder’s Fund Fall in interest rate is a risk Reinvestment risk of future premium Typical Life Insurance long term products Maturity = GSA Invest Short term Invest longer term
  • 12. Duration Matching Cash flow matching Regulatory minimum requirement Some players are matching duration of assets and liability Project Assets and Liability cash flow into future and invest assets based on the visual gap Calculate exposure on change in interest rate by 1 bps Strategic Assets Allocation It has its own challenges Simple, but lack quantification PVBP Some may be using Allocate Assets on criteria such as profit, keeping risk within appetite and stay within constraints ?
  • 13. Change in Liability Assets Optimization Constraints Performance indicator Risk Indicator Policyholder Shareholder Risk Appetite/Tolerance Duration Regulatory Overall Match by “Nature”, “Term & "Currency” of Liability
  • 14. Assets Liability Default Assets are Longer- Loans Liabilities are shorter- Deposits Liquidity risk is more prominent ProductsLiquidity What can be learnt ? Assets are Shorter Liabilities are Longer Liquidity risk is less prominent Par and Non- Par Floating and Fixed Rates Premium Lapse EMI Default Banking Life Insurance
  • 15. Level Premium Increasing Benefits in a probabilistic sense Shorter Tenure of Assets Liability are due to the customer and Cannot be adjusted ALM focus on Optimizing assets portfolio given the liability Match Assets by “Nature”, “Term & "Currency” of Liability
  • 16. Year Premium Income Gross Interest Income Initial Expenses Renewal Expenses Initial Commission Renewal Commission Death Claim Survival Benefit** Surrender Claims Net CF 1 500,000 15,843 160,700 613 148,250 - 10,144 - 20,923 175,212 2 423,449 35,658 - 4,630 - 21,172 9,521 - 44,704 379,079 3 379,565 56,812 - 4,409 - 7,591 9,393 - 28,341 386,643 4 358,985 77,351 - 4,431 - 7,180 9,726 - 35,724 379,275 5 339,377 97,241 - 4,455 - 6,788 10,019 - 42,197 373,159 6 320,699 135,548 - 4,476 - 6,414 10,279 - 47,828 387,250 7 302,912 163,594 - 4,495 - 6,058 10,501 - 53,734 391,719 8 285,977 192,719 - 4,514 - 5,720 10,697 - 66,470 391,296 9 269,856 222,536 - 4,532 - 5,397 10,877 - 77,759 393,827 10 254,510 243,072 - 4,548 - 5,090 11,048 - 89,016 387,879 11 239,902 262,527 - 4,563 - 4,798 11,220 - 104,672 377,176 12 225,995 210,974 - 4,574 - 4,520 11,383 - - 416,492 13 - 214,719 - 2,490 - - - 335,927 - (123,697) 14 - 282,097 - 2,420 - - - 335,927 - (56,250) 15 - 269,784 - 2,347 - - - 335,927 - (68,490) 16 - 224,732 - 2,271 - - - 335,927 - (113,466) 17 - 243,153 - 2,191 - - - 335,927 - (94,964) 18 - 202,617 - 2,107 - - - 335,927 - (135,416) 19 - 189,287 - 2,019 - - - 335,927 - (148,659) 20 - 134,452 - 1,927 - - - 335,927 - (203,401) 21 - 158,698 - 1,831 - - - 335,927 - (179,060) 22 - 143,426 - 1,730 - - - 335,927 - (194,230) 23 - 127,384 - 1,624 - - - 335,927 - (210,166) 24 - 110,533 - 1,448 - - - 1,679,634 - (1,570,549)
  • 17. -2000000 -1500000 -1000000 -500000 0 500000 1000000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Net CF
  • 18. Year Premium Income Gross Interest Income Initial Expenses Renewal Expenses Initial Commission Renewal Commission Death Claim Survival Benefit** Surrender Claims Net CF Increase in Reserve Gross Surplus 1 500,000 15,843 160,700 613 148,250 - 10,144 - 20,923 175,212 237,862 (62,650) 2 423,449 35,658 - 4,630 - 21,172 9,521 - 44,704 379,079 358,996 20,082 3 379,565 56,812 - 4,409 - 7,591 9,393 - 28,341 386,643 365,418 21,224 4 358,985 77,351 - 4,431 - 7,180 9,726 - 35,724 379,275 353,574 25,701 5 339,377 97,241 - 4,455 - 6,788 10,019 - 42,197 373,159 342,795 30,365 6 320,699 135,548 - 4,476 - 6,414 10,279 - 47,828 387,250 316,062 71,187 7 302,912 163,594 - 4,495 - 6,058 10,501 - 53,734 391,719 303,941 87,778 8 285,977 192,719 - 4,514 - 5,720 10,697 - 66,470 391,296 288,519 102,778 9 269,856 222,536 - 4,532 - 5,397 10,877 - 77,759 393,827 274,354 119,472 10 254,510 243,072 - 4,548 - 5,090 11,048 - 89,016 387,879 260,457 127,422 11 239,902 262,527 - 4,563 - 4,798 11,220 - 104,672 377,176 244,320 132,856 12 225,995 210,974 - 4,574 - 4,520 11,383 - - 416,492 375,844 40,648 13 - 214,719 - 2,490 - - - 335,927 - (123,697) (149,039) 25,342 14 - 282,097 - 2,420 - - - 335,927 - (56,250) (156,558) 100,308 15 - 269,784 - 2,347 - - - 335,927 - (68,490) (164,456) 95,967 16 - 224,732 - 2,271 - - - 335,927 - (113,466) (172,753) 59,287 17 - 243,153 - 2,191 - - - 335,927 - (94,964) (181,469) 86,505 18 - 202,617 - 2,107 - - - 335,927 - (135,416) (190,625) 55,209 19 - 189,287 - 2,019 - - - 335,927 - (148,659) (200,243) 51,584 20 - 134,452 - 1,927 - - - 335,927 - (203,401) (210,347) 6,945 21 - 158,698 - 1,831 - - - 335,927 - (179,060) (220,960) 41,901 22 - 143,426 - 1,730 - - - 335,927 - (194,230) (232,110) 37,880 23 - 127,384 - 1,624 - - - 335,927 - (210,166) (243,823) 33,656 24 - 110,533 - 1,448 - - - 1,679,634 - (1,570,549) (1,599,759) 29,210
  • 19. -100000 -50000 0 50000 100000 150000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Gross Surplus
  • 20. Year 1 Reserves: INR 237,862 Purchase assets equal to the value of INR 237,862 Questions How to purchase assets equivalent to INR 237,862: ► What will be the term of the Bonds? ► How much money you will be kept in short term assets to maintain liquidity ? ► What should be the optimal mix of assets? Answers Asset purchasing philosophy: Purchase assets in a manner that it matches the: ► Nature of Liability (Guaranteed, Discretionary, Linked), ► Term (Duration of assets = Duration of Liability), and; ► Currency of Liability (Invest in same currency as liability)
  • 21. Organized by UNICOM Trainings & Seminars Pvt. Ltd. contact@unicomlearning.com www.unicomseminars.org/Conference/Mumbai/2015/Treasury-and-Risk-Management- Summit