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ANALYSIS OF NON-LIFE
INSURANCE COMPANIES IN
PAKISTAN FOR THE YEAR ENDED
31st DECEMBER 2016
Junaid Akram, FSA
Consulting Actuary
CONTENT
Introduction
Gross Premium
Retention Ratio
Loss Ratio
Commission Ratio
Expense Ratio
Investment Ratio
Profit Before Tax
Return on Equity
Underwriting Profits
Takaful Window
Conclusion
INTRODUCTION
We have analyzed financial statements of 21 Non-Life Insurance Companies whose financials
were available as at 4th May 2017.
Companies Included in the analysis
1 Adamjee Insurance 12 TPL Direct Insurance
2 EFU General Insurance 13 Reliance Insurance
3 Jubilee General Insurance 14 Premier Insurance
4 The United Insurance 15 Century Insurance
5 Sindh Insurance 16 Saudi Pak Insurance
6 UBL Insurance 17 Asia Insurance
7 Atlas Insurance 18 PGI Insurance
8 Askari General Insurance 19 Shaheen Insurance
9 SGI Insurance 20 The Crescent Star Insurance
10 East West Insurance 21 The Universal Insurance
11 Habib Insurance
GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM
Total Gross Premium Written by the 21
insurance companies showed an increase
of 15% from PKR 56.9 billion to PKR 65.7
billion
Highest growth is observed for Sindh Insurance
at 3158%, followed by UBL at 46% and Habib at
25%
High Growth for Sindh Insurance is mainly due
to large amount of business written in Accident
and Health
Negative Growth is observed for the following
companies
- Crescent Star (28%)
- PGI (23%)
- Premier (21%)
- Universal (20%)
- Century (3%)
- Jubilee (2%)
Results for IGI Insurance one of the Key Players are
not available to date
19%
7%
-2%
23%
3158%
(2,000)
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Adamjee EFU Jubilee United Sindh Ins
Gross Written Premium (Top 5)
2016 2015 % Increse/(Decrese)
PKR (Million)
(500)
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Gross Written Premium (Others)
2016 2015 19%
PKR (Million)
RETENTION RATIO
Highest retention ratio is shown by TPL at 97%, with around 90% of GWP in
motor portfolio
The lowest retention ratio of 22% is reflected by SGI
The average retention ratio is 56%
The retention ratios have been calculated as ratio of net earned premium and
gross earned premium
97%
88% 87% 86%
82%
79%
67%
65% 64% 62% 60%
57% 55% 53%
50% 49% 47%
43% 43%
31%
22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
LOSS RATIO
Highest loss ratio is shown by Premier Insurance at 101%, due to negative
premiums and high O/S claims
Loss Ratio of Sindh Insurance is high due to large O/S Claims (incl. IBNR) in
Accident & Health
The lowest loss ratio of 17% is reflected by SGI. The average loss ratio is 40%
The loss ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net claims and net earned
premium
101%
81%
59%
52% 51%
49% 48%
45%
42% 41%
38% 37%
34% 34% 33%
28% 28% 27% 26%
23%
17%
-15%
5%
25%
45%
65%
85%
105%
COMMISSION RATIO
Highest commission ratio is shown by Asia Insurance at 15%, whereas
lowest commission ratio of 1% is reflected by Universal Insurance
The average commission ratio is 4%
The commission ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net commission and
gross written premium
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16% 15%
14% 14%
9%
9%
8% 8% 8%
6%
5% 5%
4%
4%
3% 3%
2% 2% 2% 2%
1% 1%
EXPENSE RATIO
Highest expense ratio is shown by Universal Insurance at 141% (due to almost
double G&A expense – Provision for doubtful receivables), whereas lowest
expense ratio of 8% is reflected by Sindh Insurance
The average expense ratio is 17%
The expense ratios have been calculated as a ratio of ‘management and G&A
expense’ and gross earned premium
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
141%
59%
47% 46%
41% 38%
33% 30%
25% 24% 23% 22% 19% 17% 15% 15% 14% 13% 12% 10% 8%
INVESTMENT RATIO
Highest investment ratio is shown by Atlas Insurance at 11% (due to
dividend income from related parties), whereas lowest investment ratio
of 1% is reflected by TPL Insurance (since major portion of investments
are held-to-maturity)
The average investment ratio is 6% for the year
The investment ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net investment
income and assets at the beginning of the period
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
11%
9% 9% 8%
8% 8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2% 2% 2%
2% 1% 1%
1% 1%
PROFIT (BEFORE TAX) FOR THE PERIOD
Highest profit is shown by Adamjee at
4.05 billion (due to increase in UW
results and high investment income
EFU profit for the year 2015 was high
due to ‘reversal of provision for
impairment in associate’
Overall the profits have declined from
14.3 billion to 13.9 billion for the year
2016 i.e. a decrease of 3%
Highest increase in profits is shown by
- Shaheen, an increase from 6 million to
43 million i.e. 648%
- TPL, an increase from 46 million to 149
million i.e. 226%
The Profit shown is ‘Profit Before Tax’
as per financial statements of the
companies
4,054
3,781
1,854
1,186
917
2,827
4,809
1,713
1,094
798
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Adamjee EFU Jubilee SGI Atlas
Profit (Top 5)
2016 2015
PKR (Million)
363
321 297 285
265
196
149
116
83 74 71 62 44 43 26
(325)(400)
(200)
-
200
400
600
800
Profit (Others)
2016 2015
PKR (Million)
RETURN ON EQUITY
Highest return on equity is shown by East West Insurance at 37%, whereas
lowest is reflected by Premier at -21%
The average return on equity is 16%.
The return on equity has been calculated as a ratio of profit after tax and
equity at the beginning of period
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40% 37%
33%
24%
22% 22%
20%
17% 16% 15% 15%
13% 13%
11% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9%
5% 5%
-21%
FIRE - UNDERWRITING PROFIT
Highest net earned premium is shown by EFU at 8.4 bilion, with underwriting
profit ratio of 9%
The average underwriting profit ratio is 7%.
After Universal, whose results are skewed, the highest underwriting profit
ratio is shown by Askari at 23%
The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits
and earned premium
8,418
4,761
2,026
765 580 591
321
1,591
637 527 499
19
312 309
20 145 69 208 44 20 14
9%
6%
3% 3%
9%
19%
23%
12% 13%
8%
-25%
1%
6% 3% 9%
3% 3%
11%
0%
-32%
53%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
PKR (Million)
MARINE - UNDERWRITING PROFIT
Highest net earned premium is shown by EFU at 2.3 bilion, with underwriting
profit ratio of 15%
The average underwriting profit ratio is 18%.
For PICIC, Universal and Atlas Insurance the underwriting profit ratio is
greater than 40%. The results are skewed for Premier due to negative entries
The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits
and earned premium.
2,292
819
631
317
191
537
151 92
250 258
60 4
660
160
18 49 24
130
12 19 14
15%
14% 16%
24%
17%
54%
29%
16% 21%
-144%
-84%
3%
43%
-4% 2%
-13%
14%
-1%
-31%
48%
-200%
-150%
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
PKR (Million)
MOTOR - UNDERWRITING PROFIT
Highest net earned premium is shown by Adamjee at 6.5 bilion (more
than 50% of business written outside Pakistan), with UW profit ratio of
7%
The average underwriting profit ratio is 13%.
For Universal Insurance the underwriting profit ratio is 132% mainly due
to reversal in reserves
The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits
3,328
6,480
1,345
887 568 498
819
220 226 214
313
1,136
172 255
46 210 119 15
210 109 7
14% 7%
18%
12%
39%
13%
23% 25%
17%
4%
6%
10%
13%
40%
42%
11%
12%
61%
33%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
PKR (Million)
Highest net earned premium is shown by Adamjee at 1.5 bilion, with
underwriting profit ratio of -3%
The average underwriting profit ratio is -9%.
Underwriting Profit Ratio is negative for companies except Askari (6%), TPL
(19%) and Crescent (84%)
The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits
and earned premium.
HEALTH - UNDERWRITING PROFIT
-
1,460
964
-
485
-
440
- -
151
-
72
-
271
- - - - 8 36 -
0%
-3%
-16%
0%
-28%
0%
6%
0% 0%
-26%
0% 19%
0% -15% 0% 0% 0% 0%
-24%
84%
0%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
PKR (Million)
Highest net earned premium is shown by Jubilee at 2.7 bilion, with
underwriting profit ratio of 9%
The average underwriting profit ratio is 14%.
Underwriting Profit Ratio is negative for Premier (-64%)
The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits
and earned premium.
MISC. (OTHERS) - UNDERWRITING PROFIT
1,397
1,331
2,677
1,712
487 507
346
98
755
113
377
5 28 64
652
243 274
41 62 51 10
21%
19%
9%
35%
15%
4% 11%
4% 3%
15%
-64%
44%
20%
11%
2%
37% 40%
51%
36%
36%
129%
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
PKR (Million)
Highest net earned premium is shown by EFU at 15.4 bilion, with
underwriting profit ratio of 12%
The average underwriting profit ratio is 10%.
Underwriting Profit Ratio is negative for Premier (-35%)
The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits
and earned premium.
ALL LINES OF BUSINESS - COMBINED
15,435
14,850
7,643
3,681
2,312
2,132
2,076
2,001
1,868
1,2621,248 1,236
1,172
1,060 736 647 486 394 336 234 45
12%
7%
6%
22%
11%
23%
18% 14% 10% 6%
-35%
10%
5%
14%
4%
18%
25%
18%
27%
22%
80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
PKR (Million)
TAKAFUL WINDOW
Highest gross window takaful contributions were written by EFU during
the year
The main line of business for takaful window operation has been motor
(70%) followed by fire (15%)
Few companies above have started window takaful operations during the
year and hence their business volume is not for full year
89
2
148
56
125
37 36 30 16 7 3
15
-
53
14
28
12 2 9 4 2 1
887
680 280
197
147
122 111
40 76 52 7
104
2
48
135 29
23 37
35 3
1
0-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
EFU TPL United Jubilee SPI Premier Adamjee UBL Askari Atlas Asia
Gross Written Premium (000’s) - 2016
Fire Marine Motor Health and Other
CONCLUSION
Total premiums written, by the twenty-one non-life insurance companies, in the year 2016
amounted to PKR 65.7 billion, as compared to the premium written in the corresponding year
2015 of PKR 56.9 billion which shows a growth of 15%. The premium retention ratio was at
56%
Average loss ratio for all companies analyzed was 40% , while average underwriting profit ratio
is 10%
Total profit/loss (before tax) generated for the year 2016 amounted to PKR 13.9 billion
compared to the profit of PKR 14.3 billion for the corresponding year of 2015, a decrease of
3%, while the average return on equity was 16% for the year 2016
Takaful window operations are still at an early stage with gross contributions of PKR 3.7 billion
during the year

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Non-Life Insurance Companies Analysis, Pakistan - December 2016

  • 1. ANALYSIS OF NON-LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES IN PAKISTAN FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31st DECEMBER 2016 Junaid Akram, FSA Consulting Actuary
  • 2. CONTENT Introduction Gross Premium Retention Ratio Loss Ratio Commission Ratio Expense Ratio Investment Ratio Profit Before Tax Return on Equity Underwriting Profits Takaful Window Conclusion
  • 3. INTRODUCTION We have analyzed financial statements of 21 Non-Life Insurance Companies whose financials were available as at 4th May 2017. Companies Included in the analysis 1 Adamjee Insurance 12 TPL Direct Insurance 2 EFU General Insurance 13 Reliance Insurance 3 Jubilee General Insurance 14 Premier Insurance 4 The United Insurance 15 Century Insurance 5 Sindh Insurance 16 Saudi Pak Insurance 6 UBL Insurance 17 Asia Insurance 7 Atlas Insurance 18 PGI Insurance 8 Askari General Insurance 19 Shaheen Insurance 9 SGI Insurance 20 The Crescent Star Insurance 10 East West Insurance 21 The Universal Insurance 11 Habib Insurance
  • 4. GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM Total Gross Premium Written by the 21 insurance companies showed an increase of 15% from PKR 56.9 billion to PKR 65.7 billion Highest growth is observed for Sindh Insurance at 3158%, followed by UBL at 46% and Habib at 25% High Growth for Sindh Insurance is mainly due to large amount of business written in Accident and Health Negative Growth is observed for the following companies - Crescent Star (28%) - PGI (23%) - Premier (21%) - Universal (20%) - Century (3%) - Jubilee (2%) Results for IGI Insurance one of the Key Players are not available to date 19% 7% -2% 23% 3158% (2,000) - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 Adamjee EFU Jubilee United Sindh Ins Gross Written Premium (Top 5) 2016 2015 % Increse/(Decrese) PKR (Million) (500) - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Gross Written Premium (Others) 2016 2015 19% PKR (Million)
  • 5. RETENTION RATIO Highest retention ratio is shown by TPL at 97%, with around 90% of GWP in motor portfolio The lowest retention ratio of 22% is reflected by SGI The average retention ratio is 56% The retention ratios have been calculated as ratio of net earned premium and gross earned premium 97% 88% 87% 86% 82% 79% 67% 65% 64% 62% 60% 57% 55% 53% 50% 49% 47% 43% 43% 31% 22% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
  • 6. LOSS RATIO Highest loss ratio is shown by Premier Insurance at 101%, due to negative premiums and high O/S claims Loss Ratio of Sindh Insurance is high due to large O/S Claims (incl. IBNR) in Accident & Health The lowest loss ratio of 17% is reflected by SGI. The average loss ratio is 40% The loss ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net claims and net earned premium 101% 81% 59% 52% 51% 49% 48% 45% 42% 41% 38% 37% 34% 34% 33% 28% 28% 27% 26% 23% 17% -15% 5% 25% 45% 65% 85% 105%
  • 7. COMMISSION RATIO Highest commission ratio is shown by Asia Insurance at 15%, whereas lowest commission ratio of 1% is reflected by Universal Insurance The average commission ratio is 4% The commission ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net commission and gross written premium 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 15% 14% 14% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1%
  • 8. EXPENSE RATIO Highest expense ratio is shown by Universal Insurance at 141% (due to almost double G&A expense – Provision for doubtful receivables), whereas lowest expense ratio of 8% is reflected by Sindh Insurance The average expense ratio is 17% The expense ratios have been calculated as a ratio of ‘management and G&A expense’ and gross earned premium 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 141% 59% 47% 46% 41% 38% 33% 30% 25% 24% 23% 22% 19% 17% 15% 15% 14% 13% 12% 10% 8%
  • 9. INVESTMENT RATIO Highest investment ratio is shown by Atlas Insurance at 11% (due to dividend income from related parties), whereas lowest investment ratio of 1% is reflected by TPL Insurance (since major portion of investments are held-to-maturity) The average investment ratio is 6% for the year The investment ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net investment income and assets at the beginning of the period 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
  • 10. PROFIT (BEFORE TAX) FOR THE PERIOD Highest profit is shown by Adamjee at 4.05 billion (due to increase in UW results and high investment income EFU profit for the year 2015 was high due to ‘reversal of provision for impairment in associate’ Overall the profits have declined from 14.3 billion to 13.9 billion for the year 2016 i.e. a decrease of 3% Highest increase in profits is shown by - Shaheen, an increase from 6 million to 43 million i.e. 648% - TPL, an increase from 46 million to 149 million i.e. 226% The Profit shown is ‘Profit Before Tax’ as per financial statements of the companies 4,054 3,781 1,854 1,186 917 2,827 4,809 1,713 1,094 798 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Adamjee EFU Jubilee SGI Atlas Profit (Top 5) 2016 2015 PKR (Million) 363 321 297 285 265 196 149 116 83 74 71 62 44 43 26 (325)(400) (200) - 200 400 600 800 Profit (Others) 2016 2015 PKR (Million)
  • 11. RETURN ON EQUITY Highest return on equity is shown by East West Insurance at 37%, whereas lowest is reflected by Premier at -21% The average return on equity is 16%. The return on equity has been calculated as a ratio of profit after tax and equity at the beginning of period -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 37% 33% 24% 22% 22% 20% 17% 16% 15% 15% 13% 13% 11% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 5% 5% -21%
  • 12. FIRE - UNDERWRITING PROFIT Highest net earned premium is shown by EFU at 8.4 bilion, with underwriting profit ratio of 9% The average underwriting profit ratio is 7%. After Universal, whose results are skewed, the highest underwriting profit ratio is shown by Askari at 23% The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits and earned premium 8,418 4,761 2,026 765 580 591 321 1,591 637 527 499 19 312 309 20 145 69 208 44 20 14 9% 6% 3% 3% 9% 19% 23% 12% 13% 8% -25% 1% 6% 3% 9% 3% 3% 11% 0% -32% 53% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 PKR (Million)
  • 13. MARINE - UNDERWRITING PROFIT Highest net earned premium is shown by EFU at 2.3 bilion, with underwriting profit ratio of 15% The average underwriting profit ratio is 18%. For PICIC, Universal and Atlas Insurance the underwriting profit ratio is greater than 40%. The results are skewed for Premier due to negative entries The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits and earned premium. 2,292 819 631 317 191 537 151 92 250 258 60 4 660 160 18 49 24 130 12 19 14 15% 14% 16% 24% 17% 54% 29% 16% 21% -144% -84% 3% 43% -4% 2% -13% 14% -1% -31% 48% -200% -150% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 PKR (Million)
  • 14. MOTOR - UNDERWRITING PROFIT Highest net earned premium is shown by Adamjee at 6.5 bilion (more than 50% of business written outside Pakistan), with UW profit ratio of 7% The average underwriting profit ratio is 13%. For Universal Insurance the underwriting profit ratio is 132% mainly due to reversal in reserves The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits 3,328 6,480 1,345 887 568 498 819 220 226 214 313 1,136 172 255 46 210 119 15 210 109 7 14% 7% 18% 12% 39% 13% 23% 25% 17% 4% 6% 10% 13% 40% 42% 11% 12% 61% 33% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 PKR (Million)
  • 15. Highest net earned premium is shown by Adamjee at 1.5 bilion, with underwriting profit ratio of -3% The average underwriting profit ratio is -9%. Underwriting Profit Ratio is negative for companies except Askari (6%), TPL (19%) and Crescent (84%) The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits and earned premium. HEALTH - UNDERWRITING PROFIT - 1,460 964 - 485 - 440 - - 151 - 72 - 271 - - - - 8 36 - 0% -3% -16% 0% -28% 0% 6% 0% 0% -26% 0% 19% 0% -15% 0% 0% 0% 0% -24% 84% 0% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 PKR (Million)
  • 16. Highest net earned premium is shown by Jubilee at 2.7 bilion, with underwriting profit ratio of 9% The average underwriting profit ratio is 14%. Underwriting Profit Ratio is negative for Premier (-64%) The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits and earned premium. MISC. (OTHERS) - UNDERWRITING PROFIT 1,397 1,331 2,677 1,712 487 507 346 98 755 113 377 5 28 64 652 243 274 41 62 51 10 21% 19% 9% 35% 15% 4% 11% 4% 3% 15% -64% 44% 20% 11% 2% 37% 40% 51% 36% 36% 129% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 PKR (Million)
  • 17. Highest net earned premium is shown by EFU at 15.4 bilion, with underwriting profit ratio of 12% The average underwriting profit ratio is 10%. Underwriting Profit Ratio is negative for Premier (-35%) The underwriting profit ratio is calculated as a ratio of underwriting profits and earned premium. ALL LINES OF BUSINESS - COMBINED 15,435 14,850 7,643 3,681 2,312 2,132 2,076 2,001 1,868 1,2621,248 1,236 1,172 1,060 736 647 486 394 336 234 45 12% 7% 6% 22% 11% 23% 18% 14% 10% 6% -35% 10% 5% 14% 4% 18% 25% 18% 27% 22% 80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 PKR (Million)
  • 18. TAKAFUL WINDOW Highest gross window takaful contributions were written by EFU during the year The main line of business for takaful window operation has been motor (70%) followed by fire (15%) Few companies above have started window takaful operations during the year and hence their business volume is not for full year 89 2 148 56 125 37 36 30 16 7 3 15 - 53 14 28 12 2 9 4 2 1 887 680 280 197 147 122 111 40 76 52 7 104 2 48 135 29 23 37 35 3 1 0- 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 EFU TPL United Jubilee SPI Premier Adamjee UBL Askari Atlas Asia Gross Written Premium (000’s) - 2016 Fire Marine Motor Health and Other
  • 19. CONCLUSION Total premiums written, by the twenty-one non-life insurance companies, in the year 2016 amounted to PKR 65.7 billion, as compared to the premium written in the corresponding year 2015 of PKR 56.9 billion which shows a growth of 15%. The premium retention ratio was at 56% Average loss ratio for all companies analyzed was 40% , while average underwriting profit ratio is 10% Total profit/loss (before tax) generated for the year 2016 amounted to PKR 13.9 billion compared to the profit of PKR 14.3 billion for the corresponding year of 2015, a decrease of 3%, while the average return on equity was 16% for the year 2016 Takaful window operations are still at an early stage with gross contributions of PKR 3.7 billion during the year