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Transforming the Danish retail market
Søren Dupont Kristensen, Vice President, Energinet.dk
Electricity Market Day 2016
About Energinet.dk
The danish retail market transformation
In 2009 the Danish TSO, Energinet.dk,
received an assignment from the Danish
government, to develop a datahub for the
danish retail market.
But we are not the only ones…
Datahubs are introduced to all Nordic
countries between 2013-2020.
Strong Nordic cooperation ensures coherent
retail market development towards common
goals and objectives.
Nordic retail markets – guiding principles
A larger market to support competition and innovation
A regional harmonised retail market with low entry barriers will reflect real costs of
energy and support innovation of new products and services for the consumers.
Easy and equal access to data to support transparent markets
Easy and equal access to data as a basis for a transparent retail market in which
consumers can make informed choices, and where suppliers and third parties can
develop new products and services.
Linking wholesale and retail market to support security of supply
Enabling increased demand response and consumer flexibility to support cost-
effective integration of new-renewable energy sources.
• 3.3 mio. Consumers
• Full liberalisation in 2003
• Central data management
model in 2013
• Supplier Centric Market design
in 2016
• Smart meter deployment (1,8
mio. in 2016 – all consumers in
2020)
The Danish retail market reform -
acceleration of a liberalised retail market
Consumer
DataHub
Supplier
Centric Model
Non-
regulated
prices
Hourly
settlement of
small
consumers
Increased
transparency
(elpris.dk)
Deployment
of smart
meters
2016
2013
2016
2016
2016
2020
DataHub - central data management
Ensure a level playing field for all market parties/suppliers through:
• Standardized processes for registering and distribution of market data
• Reduced entry barriers for new suppliers
• One point of entry for changes of supplier
Go-live: March 2013
5. Datahub is "counterpart"
for supplier changes and
move in/out – faster, more
efficient
7. International
integration
8. Reduced industry
costs
Ref: Elhub kostanalyse
1. Market neutrality – equal
treatmant - fair competition
2. Single source for all metering
values and responsible for
distribution
6. Aggregator for all grid
areas – input to balance
settlement
3. High quality and efficient
distribution of metering data
(common QA standard and
benchmarking)
4. Market development through
one interface
(Datahub towards Suppliers)
9. Better access to data for
energy services (3rd
parties and ESCO's)
10. Secures privacy and data
protection
Datahub – 10 value propositions
Data
hub
Supplier centric – new consumer
oriented market design
Stimulate innovation through a consumer oriented market design
where:
 Electricity suppliers get 100% customer contact
 Distribution System Operators become suppliers of wholesale services
(wholesale model)
 Consumers receive one bill
Go-live as we speak!
Key succes factors
Critical elements for success
Political and regulatory
mandate
Clear roles and
responsibilities
Strong cooperation and
coordination between TSO
and market parties
Non-discriminatory
market access
Incentives for
consumers to act
More (and new)
products and
services
Consumer
convenience
Preconditions
Changing market shares for households
Herfindahl-Hirschman index on a national level 2013
Source: Konkurrence om detailkøb af electricitet, Copenhage Economics
and Dansk Energi
HHI as a weighted average per grid area 2013-2015
Source: Detalmarkedsrapport, Energinet.dk
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
Profiled consumers
Hourly settled consumers
Market concentration per grid areaMarket concentration on a national level
Small increase in supplier swiching
The number of
supplier swiches has
reached a historical
level (7,2%) in 2015.
A further increase is
expected after 1. April
2016.
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Supplier switch, percent of total amount of
consumers
Supplier switching rate
Datahub
Market players are finding new ways…
The total number of suppliers
registred in Denmark is 70.
An increasing number of
suppliers are active in the
four largest grid areas 
more product offerings for
consumers 20
25
30
35
40
45
Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-13
Dec-13
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Number of active suppliers in four large grid areas
Source: Detalmarkedsrapport, Energinet.dk
More than just gross margins…
Stimulating
innovation and the
creation of new
offerings is a key
objective
Competition is contributing to more than reducing gross margins
Source: Konkurrence om detailkøb af electricitet, Copenhage Economics and Dansk Energi
Composition of energy is changing
Linking wholesale and retail markets
Wholesale Market Retail Market
Regional balancing markets
Network Codes (CACM)
Hourly settlementMarket Coupling
Increased price cap in markets
non-regulated
prices
Third party acces to data
Supplier centric
model - driving
innovation
Central Data
Management
Aggregators
Framework for
distributed flexibility
European/regional driven National driven
Electricity value chain is changing
Transmission DistributionProduction Sales
Energy products &
services
What are the new value propositions?
Consumer flexibility
- Enable clear price signals to consumers and industries
Solution selling
through
financial
products
Financial
products
+
Energy savings
Energy
together with
hardware and
software
?
Market driven digital development and new
technologies are game changers
Ekspotential technologies
influencing the energy sector:
1. Sensors / automation (IoT)
2. Artificial Intelligence
3. Electric vehicles
4. Solar panels
5. Storage of elektricity (batteries)
6. Mobile / Cloud solutions
7. Open Data / Big Data
8. Digitale money (Bitcoins)
New business
models
Gap between
wholesale and retail
markets
Weak investment signals
Lacking consumer
flexibility
Electricity Market Disruptive
technologies
GAME CHANGER
Liberalised
markets
GAME CHANGER
New market
parties
GAME CHANGER
Digitalisation
GAME CHANGER
Low prices
New game changers will impact the future
market.. but how?
3rd parties
Questions?
Søren Dupont Kristensen
Energinet.dk
sdk@energinet.dk

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Transforming the Danish retail market

  • 1. Transforming the Danish retail market Søren Dupont Kristensen, Vice President, Energinet.dk Electricity Market Day 2016
  • 3. The danish retail market transformation In 2009 the Danish TSO, Energinet.dk, received an assignment from the Danish government, to develop a datahub for the danish retail market. But we are not the only ones… Datahubs are introduced to all Nordic countries between 2013-2020. Strong Nordic cooperation ensures coherent retail market development towards common goals and objectives.
  • 4. Nordic retail markets – guiding principles A larger market to support competition and innovation A regional harmonised retail market with low entry barriers will reflect real costs of energy and support innovation of new products and services for the consumers. Easy and equal access to data to support transparent markets Easy and equal access to data as a basis for a transparent retail market in which consumers can make informed choices, and where suppliers and third parties can develop new products and services. Linking wholesale and retail market to support security of supply Enabling increased demand response and consumer flexibility to support cost- effective integration of new-renewable energy sources.
  • 5. • 3.3 mio. Consumers • Full liberalisation in 2003 • Central data management model in 2013 • Supplier Centric Market design in 2016 • Smart meter deployment (1,8 mio. in 2016 – all consumers in 2020) The Danish retail market reform - acceleration of a liberalised retail market Consumer DataHub Supplier Centric Model Non- regulated prices Hourly settlement of small consumers Increased transparency (elpris.dk) Deployment of smart meters 2016 2013 2016 2016 2016 2020
  • 6. DataHub - central data management Ensure a level playing field for all market parties/suppliers through: • Standardized processes for registering and distribution of market data • Reduced entry barriers for new suppliers • One point of entry for changes of supplier Go-live: March 2013
  • 7. 5. Datahub is "counterpart" for supplier changes and move in/out – faster, more efficient 7. International integration 8. Reduced industry costs Ref: Elhub kostanalyse 1. Market neutrality – equal treatmant - fair competition 2. Single source for all metering values and responsible for distribution 6. Aggregator for all grid areas – input to balance settlement 3. High quality and efficient distribution of metering data (common QA standard and benchmarking) 4. Market development through one interface (Datahub towards Suppliers) 9. Better access to data for energy services (3rd parties and ESCO's) 10. Secures privacy and data protection Datahub – 10 value propositions Data hub
  • 8. Supplier centric – new consumer oriented market design Stimulate innovation through a consumer oriented market design where:  Electricity suppliers get 100% customer contact  Distribution System Operators become suppliers of wholesale services (wholesale model)  Consumers receive one bill Go-live as we speak!
  • 9. Key succes factors Critical elements for success Political and regulatory mandate Clear roles and responsibilities Strong cooperation and coordination between TSO and market parties Non-discriminatory market access Incentives for consumers to act More (and new) products and services Consumer convenience Preconditions
  • 10. Changing market shares for households Herfindahl-Hirschman index on a national level 2013 Source: Konkurrence om detailkøb af electricitet, Copenhage Economics and Dansk Energi HHI as a weighted average per grid area 2013-2015 Source: Detalmarkedsrapport, Energinet.dk 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Profiled consumers Hourly settled consumers Market concentration per grid areaMarket concentration on a national level
  • 11. Small increase in supplier swiching The number of supplier swiches has reached a historical level (7,2%) in 2015. A further increase is expected after 1. April 2016. 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Supplier switch, percent of total amount of consumers Supplier switching rate Datahub
  • 12. Market players are finding new ways… The total number of suppliers registred in Denmark is 70. An increasing number of suppliers are active in the four largest grid areas  more product offerings for consumers 20 25 30 35 40 45 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Number of active suppliers in four large grid areas Source: Detalmarkedsrapport, Energinet.dk
  • 13. More than just gross margins… Stimulating innovation and the creation of new offerings is a key objective Competition is contributing to more than reducing gross margins Source: Konkurrence om detailkøb af electricitet, Copenhage Economics and Dansk Energi
  • 14. Composition of energy is changing
  • 15. Linking wholesale and retail markets Wholesale Market Retail Market Regional balancing markets Network Codes (CACM) Hourly settlementMarket Coupling Increased price cap in markets non-regulated prices Third party acces to data Supplier centric model - driving innovation Central Data Management Aggregators Framework for distributed flexibility European/regional driven National driven
  • 16. Electricity value chain is changing Transmission DistributionProduction Sales Energy products & services
  • 17. What are the new value propositions?
  • 18. Consumer flexibility - Enable clear price signals to consumers and industries Solution selling through financial products Financial products + Energy savings Energy together with hardware and software ?
  • 19. Market driven digital development and new technologies are game changers Ekspotential technologies influencing the energy sector: 1. Sensors / automation (IoT) 2. Artificial Intelligence 3. Electric vehicles 4. Solar panels 5. Storage of elektricity (batteries) 6. Mobile / Cloud solutions 7. Open Data / Big Data 8. Digitale money (Bitcoins)
  • 20. New business models Gap between wholesale and retail markets Weak investment signals Lacking consumer flexibility Electricity Market Disruptive technologies GAME CHANGER Liberalised markets GAME CHANGER New market parties GAME CHANGER Digitalisation GAME CHANGER Low prices New game changers will impact the future market.. but how? 3rd parties

Editor's Notes

  1. Energinet.dk har det overordnede ansvar for at forsyne Danmark med el og gas, medvirke til fair konkurrence og indpasse vedvarende energi. Vi er en selvstændig offentlig virksomhed med egen bestyrelse, som hører under Energi-, Forsynings- og Klimaministeriet. Vi ejer og driver el- og gas transmissionsnettet – eller populært sagt el- og gassystemernes motorveje (400kv) med tilhørende udlandsforbindelser og hovedveje (132/150kv). Vi ejer og driver også transformerstationerne, der fungerer som tilkørsler for kraftværker og vindmøller og afkørsler, når elektriciteten skal fra motor- og hovedveje ud på landevejene (distributionsnettet). Omsætning: Energinet.dk’s økonomi er baseret på et ‘hvile-i-sig-selv’ princip – det vil sige, at vi ikke skal optjene et overskud til vores ejer. Vi skal i stedet levere værdi til det danske samfund i form af høj forsyningssikkerhed, effektiv drift af det overordnede el- og gassystem og velfungerende markeder, som sikrer både forbrugerne og producenterne fair priser på el og gas. Medarbejdere (feb. 2016): 857 Ballerup: 125 Egtved: 32 Erritsø: 644 L. Torup 14 Stenlille: 19 Tjele: 12 V. Hassing: 11 Omsætning (2015): Størstedelen af omsætningen kommer fra tariffer, der opkræves via el- og gasregningen, og fordeler sig således (2015): Eltransmission: 2300 mio. DKK PSO: 7400 mio. DKK Gastransmission: 310 mio. DKK På samfundets vegne opkræver Energinet PSO – public service obligations – , som primært anvendes til at støtte vedvarende energi, som ikke kan klare sig på konkurrencevilkår. Omkostningerne til støtten er afhængig af markedsprisen på strøm. I år hvor markedsprisen på strøm er lav, er PSO-støtten høj og omvendt.
  2. Transformation of the Danish retail market – we are in the middle of it.
  3. Link til Norsk omkostningsanalyse: http://elhub.no/nb/pages/22-Utredninger-og-h%C3%B8ringsdokumenter/files/174-86bf98c0c34a78fa3dd488f8137974cdfb4bba6c.pdf
  4. http://nyheder.tv2.dk/penge/2016-03-24-to-millioner-el-kunder-snyder-sig-selv-kan-du-spare-paa-regningen
  5. 70 er registreret i DH. Nogle af dem er også produktions-elleverandører, og tilbyder således ikke produkter til forbrugere. Vi ser en stigning i antallet af fusioner mellem selskaber.
  6. Pointen er her, at der har været en europæisk drevet liberalisering af engrosmarkedet og en national drevet liberalisering af detailmarkedet. Særligt liberaliseringen af detailmarkedet forventes at skabe innovation og nye produkter for elkunderne. Men skal denne udvikling for alvor gavne i et system perspektiv så der sker et fuldt link til engrosmarkedet kræver det nye rammer (markedsdesign) for brug/aktivering af fleksibilitet fra forbrugssiden (typisk opkoblet i distributionsnettet) + nye type aktører (aggregatorer), der kan agere som service providere af forbrugssidens fleksibilitet – så det møder behovet for demand reponse i engrosmarkedet.
  7. Energi sektoren står overfor at blive den næste. 8 ud af 12 ekspotentielle teknologier må forventes at kunne påvirke sektoren radikalt. De 12 teknologier er: 1. Sensors (IOT) 2. 3D Printing 3. Kunstig intelligens / Machine Learning 4. Robotics 5. Autonomous cars 6. Ecelctric Vehicles 7. Solar PV 8. Electricity Storage 9. Mobile Internet / Cloud 10. Big Data / Open Data 11. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles / Nano Satellites 12. eMoney. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm4P8S05EXU&app=desktop https://www.bcgperspectives.com/content/articles/transformation-large-scale-change-technology-business-transformation-how-jump-start-digital-transformation/?linkId=16727178 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M42CR3CikF8