The document analyzes the stump speeches of Republican and Democratic candidates campaigning in the 2002 midterm elections shortly after 9/11. The Republican argues that Iraq poses an imminent threat and supports invading Iraq to stimulate fears around national security and encourage votes. The Democrat argues there is no serious threat from Iraq and emphasizes traditional Democratic issues to concern voters more with those. Both candidates take the only viable positions given the public's associations between the parties and foreign policy versus domestic issues.
Cyber-enabled Information Operations 4-27-17 -- Senate Armed Service Commi...David Sweigert
This document summarizes Clint Watts' testimony before the U.S. Senate Committee on Armed Services regarding Russian cyber-enabled influence operations on social media. Watts discusses how Russian influence differs from other social media influence efforts in that it performs a full range of actions including creating propaganda, pushing synchronized messaging across outlets, and coordinating sharing among fake and real accounts to amplify narratives targeting various groups. Watts also notes lessons that can be learned from past Western counterterrorism programs to help fight information wars.
Question-order and third party candidate support in the 2016 presidential ele...SSRS Market Research
This document discusses research on the effects of question order in 2016 presidential election polls when including the Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson as an option. It finds that Johnson's support was modestly higher when the 3-way question including him was asked after the standard 2-way question between Clinton and Trump. However, the effects were small and there is no evidence that question order undermined Johnson's candidacy overall or that education level moderated the effects. Disaffected voters who supported a major candidate they were unfavorable towards were somewhat more likely to shift to Johnson with a 3-way question after 2-way. The research suggests asking only a multi-candidate question may be preferable.
The author argues that while the protests in Ferguson do not themselves constitute a social movement, they could represent a tipping point that transforms the broad struggle between liberty and order in the US. To be considered a true movement, the protests would need to embrace confrontation more fully to raise the stakes and risk personal commitment beyond just recognizing injustice. The shooting highlights issues of race and police militarization that protests against could mobilize as a movement if confrontation increases.
Crisis and Opportunity
Maintaining international security and pursuing American interests is more difficult now than perhaps at any time in history. The security environment that the United States faces is more complex, dynamic, and difficult to predict. At the same time, no domestic consensus exists on the purposes of American power and how best to pursue them.
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...Natalie Copeland
An in-depth report that reviews the major trends on public attitudes toward the impeachment inquiry, including the latest polling numbers, trends in attitudes since the inquiry announcement, an overview of partisan attitudes, and the impact of impeachment on the President’s approval ratings. The report also details media coverage of the impeachment, examining the amount of coverage, comparisons of the coverage to the Mueller investigation, most shared publications, and most shared news articles.
Polls increasingly show that the American public views the US government as a problem and distrusts both political parties. This suggests the US has become a dictatorship that serves wealthy elites rather than a democracy that represents public interests. A 2014 academic study found the US government is dominated by economic elites and business groups, with average citizens having little influence. Recent polls confirm this, showing public opposition to policies like tax cuts and moving the US embassy to Jerusalem that were enacted anyway. Most Americans believe only the rich will benefit from tax reform and growing distrust both Trump and the Mueller investigation. This provides further evidence the US is an oligarchy ruled by the wealthy rather than a democratic republic.
The document analyzes the stump speeches of Republican and Democratic candidates campaigning in the 2002 midterm elections shortly after 9/11. The Republican argues that Iraq poses an imminent threat and supports invading Iraq to stimulate fears around national security and encourage votes. The Democrat argues there is no serious threat from Iraq and emphasizes traditional Democratic issues to concern voters more with those. Both candidates take the only viable positions given the public's associations between the parties and foreign policy versus domestic issues.
Cyber-enabled Information Operations 4-27-17 -- Senate Armed Service Commi...David Sweigert
This document summarizes Clint Watts' testimony before the U.S. Senate Committee on Armed Services regarding Russian cyber-enabled influence operations on social media. Watts discusses how Russian influence differs from other social media influence efforts in that it performs a full range of actions including creating propaganda, pushing synchronized messaging across outlets, and coordinating sharing among fake and real accounts to amplify narratives targeting various groups. Watts also notes lessons that can be learned from past Western counterterrorism programs to help fight information wars.
Question-order and third party candidate support in the 2016 presidential ele...SSRS Market Research
This document discusses research on the effects of question order in 2016 presidential election polls when including the Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson as an option. It finds that Johnson's support was modestly higher when the 3-way question including him was asked after the standard 2-way question between Clinton and Trump. However, the effects were small and there is no evidence that question order undermined Johnson's candidacy overall or that education level moderated the effects. Disaffected voters who supported a major candidate they were unfavorable towards were somewhat more likely to shift to Johnson with a 3-way question after 2-way. The research suggests asking only a multi-candidate question may be preferable.
The author argues that while the protests in Ferguson do not themselves constitute a social movement, they could represent a tipping point that transforms the broad struggle between liberty and order in the US. To be considered a true movement, the protests would need to embrace confrontation more fully to raise the stakes and risk personal commitment beyond just recognizing injustice. The shooting highlights issues of race and police militarization that protests against could mobilize as a movement if confrontation increases.
Crisis and Opportunity
Maintaining international security and pursuing American interests is more difficult now than perhaps at any time in history. The security environment that the United States faces is more complex, dynamic, and difficult to predict. At the same time, no domestic consensus exists on the purposes of American power and how best to pursue them.
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...Natalie Copeland
An in-depth report that reviews the major trends on public attitudes toward the impeachment inquiry, including the latest polling numbers, trends in attitudes since the inquiry announcement, an overview of partisan attitudes, and the impact of impeachment on the President’s approval ratings. The report also details media coverage of the impeachment, examining the amount of coverage, comparisons of the coverage to the Mueller investigation, most shared publications, and most shared news articles.
Polls increasingly show that the American public views the US government as a problem and distrusts both political parties. This suggests the US has become a dictatorship that serves wealthy elites rather than a democracy that represents public interests. A 2014 academic study found the US government is dominated by economic elites and business groups, with average citizens having little influence. Recent polls confirm this, showing public opposition to policies like tax cuts and moving the US embassy to Jerusalem that were enacted anyway. Most Americans believe only the rich will benefit from tax reform and growing distrust both Trump and the Mueller investigation. This provides further evidence the US is an oligarchy ruled by the wealthy rather than a democratic republic.
#38 who is the true threat to the west-5pgDaniel Wambua
Very good essay about threats to the west. America and other western have had threats coming from the middle west and economic threats from Asia particularly China.
Donald Trump's policies as President have created uncertainty for many Indian students and professionals. His executive orders restricted immigration from several Muslim-majority countries, increased immigration enforcement, and proposed changes to H-1B visas that would make it harder for skilled foreign workers, especially Indians who make up most H-1B visa holders. His policies have also been linked to a rise in racist attacks against Indians in the US. Indian leaders have expressed concerns about the effects on the Indian diaspora in America and bilateral relations.
Republican Candidate Scorecard: Mike HuckabeeTonya Green
The 2016 US presidential race is on. Frequently we hear the results of political polls, ranking the popularity of candidates. However, both social media and traditional news are useful sources to learn about the candidates, the issues to be addressed, the candidates most discussed, and sentiment around discussions of the candidates. This report includes the results of the analysis of candidate mentions in social media and major news sources over one month. The ranking of candidates by mentions overall and by media source are provided on the Republican Candidate Scorecard. This report also includes a detailed analysis of the mentions of Mike Huckabee in social media and major new sources. It answers many questions, including:
- How many mentions of Huckabee were observed and how does he rank among the Republican candidates?
- What is the trend of discussions and when do mentions peak? What topic is discussed at the peak of discussions?
- What other key terms are also mentioned with Huckabee?
- Where do mentions of Huckabee most occur?
- Who are the influencers of discussions of Huckabee, in blogs, traditional news sources and Twitter?
- How engaged is Huckabee on Twitter? How many times did Huckabee tweet and how many tweets were directed to Huckabee?
Donald Trump has maintained his lead in Republican primary polls since announcing his candidacy in June 2015. There are three theories for his success: 1) He has tapped into widespread populism, nativism, and anti-elite sentiment among Republican voters. 2) His controversial statements have driven massive media coverage, correlating his polling numbers to his outsized media presence. 3) The lack of a consensus alternative among Republican elites has created a power vacuum that Trump has filled. Trump's rise is likely due to an overlap of all three factors.
This document examines the rising role of women in terrorism and argues that US counterterrorism strategy needs to address the role of women. It provides a historical overview of female involvement in terrorist groups like The People's Will, Black September, and the Black Widows. The document asserts that restricting terrorist organizations has made using women advantageous. Discriminatory social customs leave women as an untapped resource for supporting terrorist ideology. The document concludes by recommending that counterterrorism strategy integrate a gender perspective and conduct cultural analysis to understand and address the context of female involvement in specific regions.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of October 2015. It summarizes several national polls showing that most Americans feel the country is headed in the wrong direction and are split on whether they prefer a candidate with political experience or an outsider. The polls also show Donald Trump leading the Republican primary field but Ben Carson gaining momentum, while Hillary Clinton maintains a lead over Bernie Sanders in Democratic polls. The document analyzes fundraising and other election metrics through October 2015.
Dov Levin - Partisan electoral interventions by the great powers: Introducing...Davide J. Mancino
This document introduces a new dataset on Partisan Electoral Interventions by the Great Powers (PEIG) between 1946 and 2000. The dataset provides information on instances where the US and USSR/Russia attempted to influence election results in other countries. It defines partisan electoral interventions and how cases were identified and coded. Some initial patterns are presented, such as the US and USSR intervened in about one of every nine competitive national elections. The dataset aims to facilitate further quantitative research on electoral interventions and their effects.
Closer scrutiny of data from the social network Twitter would have helped to diagnose and predict the rise of the two outsider candidates in the 2016 presidential election, businessman Donald Trump and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, according to a new Public Echoes Of Rhetoric In America (PEORIA) Project report.
The document discusses several hashtags that have trended in recent years related to social movements and campaigns:
- #BlackLivesMatter formed in 2013 in response to the shooting of Trayvon Martin and aims to address police brutality against African Americans.
- #Islamophobia criticizes poor media coverage that has contributed to increased stigma against Muslims. Reports of anti-Muslim crimes increased significantly after certain attacks.
- #MeToo was started in 2017 by Tarana Burke to empower women, especially young black women, to share experiences of sexual harassment and assault.
- In summary, social media can greatly impact campaign success by allowing worldwide discussion of important issues through trending hashtags on
This document provides an overview of relations between North Korea and Southeast Asian countries as well as ASEAN's approach to North Korean denuclearization. It discusses historical economic and political ties between North Korea and individual Southeast Asian states like Myanmar, Indonesia, Singapore, and others. It also outlines ASEAN's preferred engagement approach of using dialogue and informal negotiations to resolve conflicts, as opposed to binding legal mechanisms. The document analyzes ASEAN's stated goals on denuclearization, which largely align with the US, though ASEAN's strategy has differed in relying more on statements and meetings rather than isolation tactics used by the US.
The Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 – Super TuesdayGloverParkGroup
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of March 1, 2016. It summarizes the state of the Republican and Democratic nomination races following the early voting states. On the Republican side, Trump has won most states so far but needs over 50% of delegates to avoid a contested convention. Super Tuesday will be an important test, with 653 delegates at stake across 12 states. For Democrats, Clinton has a significant lead in delegates and polls, but Sanders hopes to close the gap on Super Tuesday with 865 delegates up for grabs across 11 states.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that the presidential race in Indiana has tightened significantly since August, with Trump now leading Clinton by only 4 points compared to an 11-point lead previously. Pence's approval rating as governor has also dropped. In the Senate race, Evan Bayh maintains a 6-point lead over Todd Young despite attacks against him. The governor's race has seen the most movement, with Democrat John Gregg now leading by 12 points after being virtually tied in August.
This document provides an introduction and background to a book about the impact of social media on political parties and power balances. It discusses debates around social media's revolutionary potential in politics and notes most studies have focused on exceptional cases or US politics. The book aims to examine social media's impact on "normal politics" and power relations between parties using the Netherlands as a comparative case study.
The 2014 midterm elections resulted in Republican gains in both chambers of Congress. The GOP picked up seven Senate seats and around eight House seats so far, taking control of the Senate. Republicans also made gains in gubernatorial races. The key reasons for Republican success were continued economic worries among voters and dissatisfaction with President Obama and his handling of issues like healthcare reform. Voter turnout was lower than in 2010 and 2012, and the electorate in 2014 was more conservative than in recent election cycles.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections that were held on November 8, 2016. It summarizes the key races and metrics heading into election day. For the presidency, national polls showed Hillary Clinton with a small lead over Donald Trump. For control of Congress, Republicans led in the House while races for the Senate were very close with some key battleground states that could determine party control. Overall voter dissatisfaction with the direction of the country was high according to polls.
The International Crisis Group’s top 10 conflicts to watch in 2018 MYO AUNG Myanmar
https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/10-conflicts-watch-2018
10 Conflicts to Watch in 2018
From North Korea to Venezuela, here are the conflicts to watch in 2018.
These may seem slender reeds on which to rest our hopes. But, as the following list of
the International Crisis Group’s top 10 conflicts to watch in 2018 unhappily illustrates,
and for now at least, they may well be the only reeds we have.
https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/10%20Conflicts%20to%20Watch%20in%202018-A4.pdf
10 Conflicts to Watch in 2018-A4.pdf
This document summarizes 10 conflicts to watch in 2018 according to the International Crisis Group. It identifies the top 3 conflicts as:
1. North Korea, where escalating nuclear tests and rhetoric raise the threat of war, and sanctions may not curb Pyongyang's program. Diplomacy is needed to address security fears on both sides.
2. The rivalry between the US, Saudi Arabia, and Iran will intensify as the new Saudi crown prince and Trump administration take a more aggressive stance against Iran. Escalation is a major risk across flashpoints in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon.
3. The Rohingya crisis could destabilize Myanmar and Bangladesh as over 600,000 Roh
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections. It discusses the races for President, Senate, and House. For the presidency, Democrats will attempt to retain the White House while Republicans will seek to win it. Control of the Senate is also at stake with Democrats needing to gain 5 seats. Public opinion polling shows most Americans feel the country is on the wrong track. The Republican and Democratic nomination races are also previewed and analyzed through current polling data and priorities for each party.
This document provides a summary of public opinion on several issues faced by President Trump between May and October 2017. It includes Trump's approval ratings over time, opinions on responses to events like Charlottesville and hurricanes, and views on policies like the Paris Climate Accord, North Korea, health care, and gun control. Most Americans disapproved of Trump's response in Charlottesville. They also generally opposed withdrawing from the Paris Accord and disapprove of Trump's handling of North Korea and health care. After recent mass shootings, most support stricter gun laws. Looking to 2018, Democrats have a slight advantage in generic ballot polls for Congress.
The document discusses nonviolent action as a realistic alternative to violence in conflicts. It provides examples of nonviolent struggles throughout history against oppressive regimes, occupations, and dictatorships. The key points are:
- Nonviolent action has been successfully used across many cultures and eras as a powerful means of waging conflicts without violence.
- Examples include resistance to Nazi occupation, the US civil rights movement, anti-apartheid struggles in South Africa, and movements that overthrew dictatorships in the Philippines, Eastern Europe, and Serbia.
- For nonviolent action to be a viable alternative to violence, it needs to be able to effectively address "hard cases" like opposing oppression,
The document discusses developing a realistic alternative to war and other violence for resolving acute conflicts where fundamental issues are at stake. It argues that nonviolent action provides a substitute for violence that is a powerful means of waging conflict without relying on war. Nonviolent action has been successfully used across many cultures and centuries in a variety of conflicts against oppression, dictatorship, invasion, and other threats. When fundamental issues are involved, nonviolent action can replace violence as the means of last resort for defending principles or existence without submitting to the opponent.
#38 who is the true threat to the west-5pgDaniel Wambua
Very good essay about threats to the west. America and other western have had threats coming from the middle west and economic threats from Asia particularly China.
Donald Trump's policies as President have created uncertainty for many Indian students and professionals. His executive orders restricted immigration from several Muslim-majority countries, increased immigration enforcement, and proposed changes to H-1B visas that would make it harder for skilled foreign workers, especially Indians who make up most H-1B visa holders. His policies have also been linked to a rise in racist attacks against Indians in the US. Indian leaders have expressed concerns about the effects on the Indian diaspora in America and bilateral relations.
Republican Candidate Scorecard: Mike HuckabeeTonya Green
The 2016 US presidential race is on. Frequently we hear the results of political polls, ranking the popularity of candidates. However, both social media and traditional news are useful sources to learn about the candidates, the issues to be addressed, the candidates most discussed, and sentiment around discussions of the candidates. This report includes the results of the analysis of candidate mentions in social media and major news sources over one month. The ranking of candidates by mentions overall and by media source are provided on the Republican Candidate Scorecard. This report also includes a detailed analysis of the mentions of Mike Huckabee in social media and major new sources. It answers many questions, including:
- How many mentions of Huckabee were observed and how does he rank among the Republican candidates?
- What is the trend of discussions and when do mentions peak? What topic is discussed at the peak of discussions?
- What other key terms are also mentioned with Huckabee?
- Where do mentions of Huckabee most occur?
- Who are the influencers of discussions of Huckabee, in blogs, traditional news sources and Twitter?
- How engaged is Huckabee on Twitter? How many times did Huckabee tweet and how many tweets were directed to Huckabee?
Donald Trump has maintained his lead in Republican primary polls since announcing his candidacy in June 2015. There are three theories for his success: 1) He has tapped into widespread populism, nativism, and anti-elite sentiment among Republican voters. 2) His controversial statements have driven massive media coverage, correlating his polling numbers to his outsized media presence. 3) The lack of a consensus alternative among Republican elites has created a power vacuum that Trump has filled. Trump's rise is likely due to an overlap of all three factors.
This document examines the rising role of women in terrorism and argues that US counterterrorism strategy needs to address the role of women. It provides a historical overview of female involvement in terrorist groups like The People's Will, Black September, and the Black Widows. The document asserts that restricting terrorist organizations has made using women advantageous. Discriminatory social customs leave women as an untapped resource for supporting terrorist ideology. The document concludes by recommending that counterterrorism strategy integrate a gender perspective and conduct cultural analysis to understand and address the context of female involvement in specific regions.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of October 2015. It summarizes several national polls showing that most Americans feel the country is headed in the wrong direction and are split on whether they prefer a candidate with political experience or an outsider. The polls also show Donald Trump leading the Republican primary field but Ben Carson gaining momentum, while Hillary Clinton maintains a lead over Bernie Sanders in Democratic polls. The document analyzes fundraising and other election metrics through October 2015.
Dov Levin - Partisan electoral interventions by the great powers: Introducing...Davide J. Mancino
This document introduces a new dataset on Partisan Electoral Interventions by the Great Powers (PEIG) between 1946 and 2000. The dataset provides information on instances where the US and USSR/Russia attempted to influence election results in other countries. It defines partisan electoral interventions and how cases were identified and coded. Some initial patterns are presented, such as the US and USSR intervened in about one of every nine competitive national elections. The dataset aims to facilitate further quantitative research on electoral interventions and their effects.
Closer scrutiny of data from the social network Twitter would have helped to diagnose and predict the rise of the two outsider candidates in the 2016 presidential election, businessman Donald Trump and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, according to a new Public Echoes Of Rhetoric In America (PEORIA) Project report.
The document discusses several hashtags that have trended in recent years related to social movements and campaigns:
- #BlackLivesMatter formed in 2013 in response to the shooting of Trayvon Martin and aims to address police brutality against African Americans.
- #Islamophobia criticizes poor media coverage that has contributed to increased stigma against Muslims. Reports of anti-Muslim crimes increased significantly after certain attacks.
- #MeToo was started in 2017 by Tarana Burke to empower women, especially young black women, to share experiences of sexual harassment and assault.
- In summary, social media can greatly impact campaign success by allowing worldwide discussion of important issues through trending hashtags on
This document provides an overview of relations between North Korea and Southeast Asian countries as well as ASEAN's approach to North Korean denuclearization. It discusses historical economic and political ties between North Korea and individual Southeast Asian states like Myanmar, Indonesia, Singapore, and others. It also outlines ASEAN's preferred engagement approach of using dialogue and informal negotiations to resolve conflicts, as opposed to binding legal mechanisms. The document analyzes ASEAN's stated goals on denuclearization, which largely align with the US, though ASEAN's strategy has differed in relying more on statements and meetings rather than isolation tactics used by the US.
The Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 – Super TuesdayGloverParkGroup
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of March 1, 2016. It summarizes the state of the Republican and Democratic nomination races following the early voting states. On the Republican side, Trump has won most states so far but needs over 50% of delegates to avoid a contested convention. Super Tuesday will be an important test, with 653 delegates at stake across 12 states. For Democrats, Clinton has a significant lead in delegates and polls, but Sanders hopes to close the gap on Super Tuesday with 865 delegates up for grabs across 11 states.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that the presidential race in Indiana has tightened significantly since August, with Trump now leading Clinton by only 4 points compared to an 11-point lead previously. Pence's approval rating as governor has also dropped. In the Senate race, Evan Bayh maintains a 6-point lead over Todd Young despite attacks against him. The governor's race has seen the most movement, with Democrat John Gregg now leading by 12 points after being virtually tied in August.
This document provides an introduction and background to a book about the impact of social media on political parties and power balances. It discusses debates around social media's revolutionary potential in politics and notes most studies have focused on exceptional cases or US politics. The book aims to examine social media's impact on "normal politics" and power relations between parties using the Netherlands as a comparative case study.
The 2014 midterm elections resulted in Republican gains in both chambers of Congress. The GOP picked up seven Senate seats and around eight House seats so far, taking control of the Senate. Republicans also made gains in gubernatorial races. The key reasons for Republican success were continued economic worries among voters and dissatisfaction with President Obama and his handling of issues like healthcare reform. Voter turnout was lower than in 2010 and 2012, and the electorate in 2014 was more conservative than in recent election cycles.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections that were held on November 8, 2016. It summarizes the key races and metrics heading into election day. For the presidency, national polls showed Hillary Clinton with a small lead over Donald Trump. For control of Congress, Republicans led in the House while races for the Senate were very close with some key battleground states that could determine party control. Overall voter dissatisfaction with the direction of the country was high according to polls.
The International Crisis Group’s top 10 conflicts to watch in 2018 MYO AUNG Myanmar
https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/10-conflicts-watch-2018
10 Conflicts to Watch in 2018
From North Korea to Venezuela, here are the conflicts to watch in 2018.
These may seem slender reeds on which to rest our hopes. But, as the following list of
the International Crisis Group’s top 10 conflicts to watch in 2018 unhappily illustrates,
and for now at least, they may well be the only reeds we have.
https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/10%20Conflicts%20to%20Watch%20in%202018-A4.pdf
10 Conflicts to Watch in 2018-A4.pdf
This document summarizes 10 conflicts to watch in 2018 according to the International Crisis Group. It identifies the top 3 conflicts as:
1. North Korea, where escalating nuclear tests and rhetoric raise the threat of war, and sanctions may not curb Pyongyang's program. Diplomacy is needed to address security fears on both sides.
2. The rivalry between the US, Saudi Arabia, and Iran will intensify as the new Saudi crown prince and Trump administration take a more aggressive stance against Iran. Escalation is a major risk across flashpoints in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon.
3. The Rohingya crisis could destabilize Myanmar and Bangladesh as over 600,000 Roh
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections. It discusses the races for President, Senate, and House. For the presidency, Democrats will attempt to retain the White House while Republicans will seek to win it. Control of the Senate is also at stake with Democrats needing to gain 5 seats. Public opinion polling shows most Americans feel the country is on the wrong track. The Republican and Democratic nomination races are also previewed and analyzed through current polling data and priorities for each party.
This document provides a summary of public opinion on several issues faced by President Trump between May and October 2017. It includes Trump's approval ratings over time, opinions on responses to events like Charlottesville and hurricanes, and views on policies like the Paris Climate Accord, North Korea, health care, and gun control. Most Americans disapproved of Trump's response in Charlottesville. They also generally opposed withdrawing from the Paris Accord and disapprove of Trump's handling of North Korea and health care. After recent mass shootings, most support stricter gun laws. Looking to 2018, Democrats have a slight advantage in generic ballot polls for Congress.
The document discusses nonviolent action as a realistic alternative to violence in conflicts. It provides examples of nonviolent struggles throughout history against oppressive regimes, occupations, and dictatorships. The key points are:
- Nonviolent action has been successfully used across many cultures and eras as a powerful means of waging conflicts without violence.
- Examples include resistance to Nazi occupation, the US civil rights movement, anti-apartheid struggles in South Africa, and movements that overthrew dictatorships in the Philippines, Eastern Europe, and Serbia.
- For nonviolent action to be a viable alternative to violence, it needs to be able to effectively address "hard cases" like opposing oppression,
The document discusses developing a realistic alternative to war and other violence for resolving acute conflicts where fundamental issues are at stake. It argues that nonviolent action provides a substitute for violence that is a powerful means of waging conflict without relying on war. Nonviolent action has been successfully used across many cultures and centuries in a variety of conflicts against oppression, dictatorship, invasion, and other threats. When fundamental issues are involved, nonviolent action can replace violence as the means of last resort for defending principles or existence without submitting to the opponent.
Slide presentation that summarizes and expands upon the book called, Wedged: How You Became A Tool Of The Partisan Political Establishment, And How To Start Thinking For Yourself Again by Erik Fogg and Nathaniel Greene (MidTide Media, 2015).
The document analyzes the #NoBanNoWall hashtag on Twitter in response to President Trump's 2017 executive order temporarily banning immigration from seven predominantly Muslim countries. It finds that users of the hashtag attempted to communicate with and reach out to Trump supporters to discuss the Muslim travel ban. Word analysis showed a focus on terms like "resistance" and mentions of the Muslim ban but not other immigration policies. The social network graph depicted different sides attempting to get each other's attention by replying to opposing tweets. Literature on biopower and social media discourse norms is discussed regarding resistance and engaging opposing voices on social media.
Mass media refers to communication technologies that reach a mass audience, including newspapers, magazines, television, radio, and the internet. There are four main types of mass media: print media, broadcast media, outdoor media, and the internet. Mass media plays several important roles in society, including shaping public opinion and political agendas, acting as a link between the government and people, and serving as a watchdog on the government. The impacts of mass media are complex and controversial, with some research finding strong media effects while other research finds little to no effects.
Page 284 the journal of social media in samit657720
This document summarizes a research study that analyzed social media comments related to a 2015 incident of alleged police brutality against African American teenagers in McKinney, Texas. The study used critical race theory to examine how YouTube, Twitter, and Facebook users interpreted and discussed video evidence of the incident. It found that social media allows for alternative narratives and interpretations of news events, and serves as a platform for marginalized groups to frame issues in a way that challenges mainstream media. The discussion of police brutality on social media is part of the larger #BlackLivesMatter movement that seeks to draw attention to mistreatment of African Americans by law enforcement.
The document analyzes the evolution of collective identities within the Black Lives Matter movement on Twitter related to events in Ferguson, Missouri. It finds:
1) Leaders on Twitter, like DeRay McKesson, mirrored leaders identified in mainstream media.
2) Activity on Twitter was closely linked to offline protests.
3) The collective identity #BlackLivesMatter emerged and survived over time, focusing on themes like discrimination and police brutality.
4) The counter narrative #TCOT focused on validating police and criticizing #BLM as radical.
Governing a Divided Nation - Insights about the 2016 U.S. Presidential ElectionMSL
Public affairs and policy experts from Qorvis MSLGROUP have compiled an extensive election coverage and analysis of how the new U.S. President and Congress will move forward after one of the most bitter campaigns in American history.
For more updates, follow @qorvis or reach out to us on Twitter @msl_group.
Democratic Peace or Clash of CivilizationsTarget States and.docxsimonithomas47935
Democratic Peace or Clash of Civilizations?
Target States and Support for War in Britain
and the United States
Robert Johns University of Essex
Graeme A. M. Davies University of Leeds
Research on public support for war shows that citizens are responsive to various aspects of strategic context. Less
attention has been paid to the core characteristics of the target state. In this comparative study we report survey
experiments manipulating two such characteristics, regime type and dominant faith, to test whether the ‘‘democratic
peace’’ and the ‘‘clash of civilizations’’ theses are reflected in U.S. and British public opinion. The basic findings show
small differences across the two cases: both publics were somewhat more inclined to use force against dictatorships than
against democracies and against Islamic than against Christian countries. Respondent religion played no moderating
role in Britain: Christians and nonbelievers were alike readier to attack Islamic states. However, in the United States,
the dominant faith effect was driven entirely by Christians. Together, our results imply that public judgments are
driven as much by images and identities as by strategic calculations of threat.
T
he ‘‘Bush doctrine’’ is one of preemption. If
force is to be used in response not only to actual
but also to potential future threats, the question
arises of how such threats are to be identified. One
answer is that key characteristics of the target state act
as a guide to its likely behavior. In justifications of
action in Afghanistan and Iraq, two such characteristics
were often invoked. One was the undemocratic nature
of the incumbent regimes. Tony Blair expressed his fear
‘‘that we wake up one day and we find that one of these
dictatorial states has used weapons of mass destruc-
tion’’ (BBC 2004). And, as George W. Bush put it: ‘‘we
know that dictators are quick to choose aggression,
while free nations strive to resolve their differences in
peace’’ (CBS News 2004). This encapsulates the ‘‘dem-
ocratic peace’’: that democracies rarely go to war with
one another (Doyle 1983; Russett 1993). The second,
seldom as explicit but often discernible in these leaders’
rhetoric, is that these were Islamic countries. Bush
notoriously referred to the ‘‘war on terror’’ as a
‘‘crusade’’ (White House 2001), and Blair described
the ‘‘mutual enmity toward the West’’ of Islamic
extremists and their host regimes (BBC 2004). This
calls to mind the ‘‘clash of civilizations,’’ a term coined
by Samuel Huntington for whom ‘‘the most pervasive,
important and dangerous conflicts . . . are along the
line separating peoples of Western Christianity, on the
one hand, from Muslim and Orthodox people on the
other’’ (1996, 28). In short, it appears that U.S. and
U.K. elite military decisions are influenced by both the
regime type and the dominant faith in the target state.
This article is about public support for war and
whether it too is influenced by these factors. Are the
democ.
Read the following and discuss in your opinion if the media cont.docxveachflossie
Read the following and discuss in your opinion if the media controls opinions?
No less than 75 words
How does the media influence public opinion?
Josh Kessler
In my opinion, the media in the United States is in a very decrepit state. As Jon Stewart points out nightly on the Daily Show, the bias presented by various networks is appalling. News has become less about informing people about facts, and more about telling people what their opinions should be. People tune in to the network that matches their already established political ideology, preventing them from seeing the world from more than one viewpoint, and making them less perceptive to the viewpoints of others. Although I obviously hold opinions of my own, I think that it is incredibly important for people to be capable of actually challenging what they believe, and to enter every argument with the knowledge that their opinion might actually be swayed. If people are so stubborn in their beliefs, arguments will devolve into pointless shouting matches that only serve to make both sides hate each other more. Unfortunately, this sentiment is provoked by our media, who often insult their counterparts on opposing networks, rather than attempt to intelligently refute their arguments.
The power of the media to influence public opinion, and even to provoke an entire movement, was demonstrated recently by the emergence and popularization of the Tea Party. One network aggressively promoted this movement,
encouraging viewers to get involved in the movement (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.
by providing attendance and organization information such as protest dates, locations, and website URLs. The network’s website disseminated various information about the movement, and popular figures for the channel urged viewers to join them at Tea-Party events. This network was also rather one-sided in its support of the movement, blatantly attacking one political party with statements like, “in the case of the current crisis the blame appears to have been assigned almost totally to Obama, at least by the thousands of U.S. taxpayers attending near-spontaneous ‘tea parties’ in protest of the Democrats agenda of more taxes, increased spending, higher deficits and a surge of borrowing to pay for it all” (Peter Roff).
The bias in the media is certainly not one-sided.
One television network was analyzed (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.
in the week leading to the election, and was found to have literally provided no positive coverage of the Republican candidate Mitt Romney.
I think that the bias in the media is the root of one of the deepest political issues that we have in this country, as it prevents civil discourse between individuals of separate ideologies, inhibiting compromise and progress.
...
Indexing theory of political mass communication - Prepared by Fiza Zia Ul HannanDr. Fiza Zia Ul Hannan
The document discusses the relationship between media and foreign policy. It outlines several key theories on this relationship, including Walter Lippmann's view that the public is dependent on media for information, Bernard Cohen's argument that media can become instruments of public officials, and the indexing hypothesis proposed by Bennett that media coverage reflects the range of views among elites. The indexing hypothesis suggests media give more attention to elite viewpoints and are more critical when elites disagree. Several studies provide empirical evidence supporting indexing theory, though some critics argue it overlooks the possibility journalists may take independent stances.
This document summarizes a student paper analyzing how two major US newspapers - the liberal New York Times and conservative Wall Street Journal - portrayed same-sex marriage in 2014. The student examined articles from that year, coding paragraphs for whether they supported or opposed gay marriage. The literature review discusses how public opinion on this issue often falls along partisan lines, with liberals more supportive. It also outlines the shifting cultural and legal landscape around same-sex marriage in the US over recent decades. The purpose is to see if and how the newspapers' ideological leanings influenced their coverage of this politically divisive issue.
The document discusses how President Trump has ushered in unprecedented changes to US foreign policy in his first week in office. It argues he has sounded an unprecedented retreat from America's role as a world leader by discounting threats, embracing aggressors, threatening trade policies, undercutting alliances and international institutions, and turning away from refugees. It asserts Trump has reversed long-standing US policies and values that have guided foreign policy since WWII, such as promoting democracy and human rights. The changes implemented so far significantly damage America's global standing and leadership role, according to the document.
This document provides an overview of nonviolence and nonviolent action. It discusses different types of nonviolence, including non-resistance, active reconciliation, moral resistance, selective nonviolence, and Gandhian nonviolence. It also examines two dimensions of nonviolent action: the tactical-strategic dimension and the pragmatic-ideological dimension. Finally, it provides examples of nonviolent action campaigns in Australia, noting that most have taken a tactical and pragmatic approach, using nonviolence as an effective means to achieve short-term goals, with differing views on issues like sabotage and secrecy.
This document discusses quote approval in interviews and its ethical implications. It notes that while omitting parts of a quote doesn't necessarily change its meaning, quote approval sets a dangerous precedent that could lead to more government control over information. It also suggests that quote approval could be considered breaking ethical news values of accuracy and serving the community. In conclusion, the document states that quote approval blurs the lines between ethical and unethical journalism depending on how much alteration is made to a quote, and there is a fine line between altering for readability and altering meaning.
Mass Media and the Depoliticization of Personal Experience.docxaryan532920
Mass Media and the Depoliticization of Personal Experience
Author(s): Diana C. Mutz
Source: American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 36, No. 2 (May, 1992), pp. 483-508
Published by: Midwest Political Science Association
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Mass Media and the Depoliticization of Personal
Experience*
Diana C. Mutz, Department of Political Science and School of Journalism and
Mass Communication, University of Wisconsin-Madison
This study combines contemporary research on the effects of mass communication with findings
on sociotropic voting to build a general model that explains the origins and effects of economic per-
ceptions. This model is then tested in the context of retrospective personal and social concerns about
unemployment.
Survey evidence suggests that retrospective assessments of unemployment result primarily from
mediated information rather than from direct experiences. Mass media are found to have an "imper-
sonal impact," influencing social, but not personal perceptions of the issue, while personal experi-
ences with unemployment influence exclusively personal-level judgments.
Mass media also influence the weighting of pocketbook as opposed to sociotropic concerns by
means of a "sociotropic priming effect." Rather than priming all considerations that surround eco-
nomic issues, high levels of media exposure to economic news prime the importance of collective
perceptions to political evaluations and decrease the importance of personal concerns.
Early studies of economic influences on voting simply assumed that people
voted their pocketbooks: when national economic conditions worsened, more
citizens experienced economic problems in their own lives, and these people
logically voted against the incumbent party. When empirical findings at the indi-
vidual level failed to support this explanation, research shifted from a focus on
personal economic experiences to an emphasis on "sociotropic" judgments; that
is, individuals' retrospective assessments of economic change at the collective
level (see, e.g., Kinder and Kiewiet 1979, 1981; Schlozman and Verba 1979;
Kinder 1981; Kiewiet 1983).
Perceptions ...
The document discusses trends in traditional news coverage of elections and how different actors, including the media, voters, and candidates, influence that coverage. It notes that while politicians often blame negative media coverage solely on the media, John Zaller provided alternative explanations by analyzing how the goals of all three groups impact coverage. For example, candidates' increased control over messaging has led to more press-initiated negativity as the media pushes back on restricted access. The document also examines how trivial and negative coverage has consequences for how the public views politics.
Donald Trump signed an executive order temporarily banning refugees from 7 predominantly Muslim countries and implementing "extreme vetting". This sparked protests and legal challenges. There is an ethical dilemma between protecting national security by restricting immigration from high-risk areas, and upholding humanitarian obligations to help vulnerable refugees. The document discusses this dilemma and considers different ethical frameworks like utilitarianism and deontology in evaluating Trump's responsibility and authority to issue the executive order.
Donald Trump's incredibly unpresidential statement on CharlottesvilleAlicia Garcia
- A white supremacist rally in Charlottesville, VA turned violent, resulting in one death and 19 injuries after a car rammed into counter-protesters.
- President Trump condemned the violence "on many sides" but failed to single out the white supremacists. His statement was criticized for not being strong enough against intolerance and hatred.
- The article analyzes Trump's statement and argues he should have clearly condemned the white supremacists and brought the country together instead of listing his own accomplishments.
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Apna Punjab Media is a Punjabi newspaper that covers local and global news, cultural updates, and community events. It's a trusted source for Punjabi-speaking communities, offering a mix of traditional values and modern insights into Punjab's vibrant life and heritage.
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Recent years have seen a disturbing rise in violence, discrimination, and intolerance against Christian communities in various Islamic countries. This multifaceted challenge, deeply rooted in historical, social, and political animosities, demands urgent attention. Despite the escalating persecution, substantial support from the Western world remains lacking.
La defensa del expresidente Juan Orlando Hernández, declarado culpable por narcotráfico en EE. UU., solicitó este viernes al juez Kevin Castel que imponga una condena mínima de 40 años de prisión.
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Federal Authorities Urge Vigilance Amid Bird Flu Outbreak | The Lifesciences ...The Lifesciences Magazine
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केरल उच्च न्यायालय ने 11 जून, 2024 को मंडला पूजा में भाग लेने की अनुमति मांगने वाली 10 वर्षीय लड़की की रिट याचिका को खारिज कर दिया, जिसमें सर्वोच्च न्यायालय की एक बड़ी पीठ के समक्ष इस मुद्दे की लंबित प्रकृति पर जोर दिया गया। यह आदेश न्यायमूर्ति अनिल के. नरेंद्रन और न्यायमूर्ति हरिशंकर वी. मेनन की खंडपीठ द्वारा पारित किया गया
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Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
1. ANALYSIS OF TWITTER
RESPONSE TO TRUMP’S
BAN ON TRANSGENDER IN
MILITARY SERVICE
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY By Andrew B Church
2.
3. ABSTRACT / BACKGROUND
▸President Trump announced his controversial and comprehensive ban on transgender
individuals from military service via Twitter on July 26, 2017.
▸What immediately followed was a tweet-storm of reactionary posts on Twitter, ranging from
unequivocal support of the ban, to abhorrence and shame.
▸This pilot study uses framing theory to qualitatively analyze frames used by these tweets
on the day it was announced in order to draw conclusions about the differences between
public opinion and government policy concerning transgender military service.
▸Comparisons are drawn between Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell (DADT) legislation, Truman’s 1948
executive order for racial integration, and the current U.S. military service banning policies
in order to historically contextualize present-day events.
▸Results show that the majority of tweets oppose the ban and frame the issue using anti-
other political rhetoric.
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
4. ▸Executive Order 9981: 1948 executive order by President Truman that
officially desegregated the U.S. military.
▸Uniform Code of Military Justice (10 U.S.C. Ch. 47 § 877.125): reasoning
has shifted away homosexuality as perversion to homosexuality as disabling
military function.
▸Groshek & Holt (2017): DADT policy merely closeted the issue of
homosexuality in the military.
▸Krebs (2005): integration of LGBTQ+ relates to racial desegregation, not
socially but certainly politically, i.e. the politics of identity.
MILITARY POLICY
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
5. ▸Goffman (1970s): media shape and project content in news stories using framing.
▸Entman (2007): framing is “the process of culling a few elements of perceived reality and
assembling a narrative that highlights connection among them to promote a particular
interpretation” (p. 164)
▸Meyers (1996): Washington Post often framed racial integration as a cultural battle
between the North and South.
▸Steele (1997): media framed the issue of lifting the ban on homosexuals in the military,
such that viewers were left with two dominant and opposing sides.
▸Zaller (1992): polar frames: homosexuality as a psychological disorder; or, homosexuality
as a civil rights concern.
FRAMING
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
6. ▸Blackstone et al. (2017): framing of tweets helped propel the 2014 story of
the death of Michael Brown toward a global conversation about “the racial
health of the nation, the established policies of law enforcement, and the
challenge of elected leaders to resolve explosive domestic problems” (p.
611).
▸Burch et al. (2015): Twitter is a dissemination hub of counter-frames and
allows users to reshape public opinion.
TWITTER & FRAMING
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
7. ▸RQ1: How do Twitter users frame the ban on transgender servicemembers?
▸RQ2: What are the commonly recurring themes found in these frames?
▸RQ3: Do the majority of Twitter users who joined the conversation about
transgender servicemembers after Trump’s announcement support or oppose
the transgender ban?
RESEARCH QUESTIONS
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
8. ▸Search of Twitter using TweetDeck
▸Search terms: “trans OR transgender AND military”
▸Search filtered by date, language — retweets excluded
▸Every 15th tweet gathered into Twitter collection using TweetDeck software
(https://twitter.com/abcfoto1980/timelines/921829327834177536).
▸Twitter collection → Excel document
▸Content analysis using three-cycle focused coding of 200 tweets.
▸Qualtrics was used to codify sample and manage data.
METHODOLOGY
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
9. ▸A content analysis of the sample (n = 200) was conducted using cyclical,
focused coding technique.
▸Included:
▸General examination of each tweet to reveal recurring themes, tone, and
stance.
▸Reduction of themes were reduced to find narrower characterizations of the
transgender ban.
▸Condensation of the characterizations → frames.
MEASURES
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
10. ▸Tone
▸Disposition of visual and textual elements toward positivity, neutrality, or negativity.
▸Stance
▸Assessment of the tweet’s tendency toward support of — or opposition to — the
transgender ban.
▸Tone and ban characterization were considered in this assessment.
▸*Tweets with linked content were generally neutral, with the exception of online petitions
or some blogs.
TONE & STANCE
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
12. THEME USE
Top 10 Themes
Theme Count %
News story / link 30 15.0%
Anti-Trump 20 10.0%
Pro-transgender 13 6.5%
The Viagra argument 12 6.0%
Thankfulness for transgender service 11 5.5%
Financial burden 9 4.5%
Military spending 8 4.0%
Equal rights 8 4.0%
Military efficiency 8 4.0%
Celebrity support 5 2.5%
All Others 76 38.0%
Total 200 100.0%
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
13. BAN CHARACTERIZATIONS
Ban Characterizations
Genre Count %
Unavailable 51 25.5%
Unjust 50 25.0%
Discriminatory 22 11.0%
Good for military 18 9.0%
Just 13 6.5%
Unnecessary 13 6.5%
Able to be changed 11 5.5%
Bad for military 7 3.5%
Distraction 4 2.0%
Political victory 3 1.5%
Protective 2 1.0%
Destructive 2 1.0%
Un-American 1 0.5%
Political failure 1 0.5%
Betrayal 1 0.5%
Limited effects 1 0.5%
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
14. DOMINANT FRAME USE
30
27
24
23
21
20
19
14
10
7
4
1
0 6 12 18 24 30 36
Anti-other
Finances / spending
Political
Exterior support
Military function
Breaking news
Human rights
Petition
Medical / psychiatric
Minimization
Research
Shock / disbelief
Count
Frame Utilization of Tweets
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
15. ▸12 frames were used to portray the transgender ban:
▸The most commonly used frames were the anti-other (15%),
finances/spending (13.5%), and political (12%).
▸The overall tone of the tweets was mostly negative (57.5%)…
▸And most of the tweets opposed the ban (53%).
RESULTS SUMMARY
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
16. ▸Most widely used frame was the anti-other frame → topic of transgenders in the military involved
polarized discussion
▸Twitter users framed the issue of transgenders in the military uncannily similar to the ways
racial integration was framed during the 1940s → social experiment, military efficiency, morale
▸Tweets suggest incongruity of political representation and direction, given the 53.0% of
tweets that oppose the ban and the 18.0% that support it.
▸Military inclusion → politics of identity — rather than national security, armed forces
professionalization, or most importantly tolerance of difference.
▸3 of the top 4 tweets with the highest engagement (i.e. number of Likes + number of Retweets
+ number of Comments) were made by Twitter users who are in favor of the transgender ban.
POINTS OF INTEREST
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
17. ▸Taken together, the results reflect public disagreement with respect to
transgender inclusion in military service.
▸Tweets = social-media pulse-check for political climate?
▸Future studies may see similar disparities between other policies enacted by the
Trump administration and user-generated content on social media.
▸On a larger scale, social media response to government policy may indicate
political successes or failures.
▸If the LGBTQ+ community hopes to preserve right-to-serve for transgenders, a
different political tactic needs to be made → avoidance of human rights angle.
CONCLUSION
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH
18. ▸Twitter’s API → meaningful search results & exclusion of repetitious tweet
content
▸Limiting the number of repetitive or unusable results, such as petition tweets,
news story links
▸Competing frames — which one is the dominant frame?
▸Future studies should more directly measure the motivations and opinions of
Twitter users, e.g. using a questionnaire, to more accurately gauge issue
stance.
LIMITATIONS
UNIFORMED DIVERSITY — CHURCH