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Vol. 7 – August 17, 2010




              The Unsustainable Growth of Welfare
THE ISSUE:                                                                    flooded with new recipients. Of the 11 million–12 million
                                                                              illegal immigrants in the U.S., at least half lack a high
Despite spending almost $16 trillion since the War on Pov-
                                                                              school degree.
erty began in 1964, welfare programs have failed to reduce
the causes of poverty, and instead have hurt many of the
people they were intended to help. Poverty in America is                   THE SOLUTIONS:
overwhelmingly linked to the absence of fathers and a lack
                                                                           •	 Use Loans, Not Grants. Granting welfare to able-bodied
of work, but welfare payments have had the destructive ef-
                                                                              adults creates a potential moral hazard because it can
fects of eroding marriage and the work ethic in low-income
                                                                              lead to an increase in the behaviors that generate the
communities. The welfare reform of 1996 transformed one
                                                                              need for aid in the first place. A reformed welfare policy
program, significantly reducing welfare rolls and lower-
                                                                              can reduce this moral hazard by treating a portion of wel-
ing child poverty. But today that reform is in jeopardy, and
                                                                              fare aid as a loan to be repaid rather than as an outright
some 70 other federal means-tested programs need similar
                                                                              grant from the taxpayer.
reform.
                                                                           •	 Establish Reasonable Fiscal Constraints. Once the cur-
THE FACTS:                                                                    rent recession ends, aggregate welfare spending for all
                                                                              71 means-tested welfare programs should be rolled back
•	 Welfare on the Rise. The growth of welfare spending is                     to pre-recession levels. After this rollback is completed,
   unsustainable and will drive the United States into bank-                  the growth of welfare should be capped at the rate of in-
   ruptcy if allowed to continue unreformed. Welfare spend-                   flation. This will force Congress to determine whether or
   ing is projected to cost taxpayers $10.3 trillion over the                 not these programs further the goal of alleviating poverty.
   next 10 years.                                                             Programs that do would be allowed to grow; those that
•	 The President’s Budget. President Obama’s FY 2011                          don’t would be eliminated or reformed.
   budget request would increase total welfare spending                    •	 Promote Personal Responsibility and Work. Able-
   to $953 billion, a 42% increase over welfare spending in                   bodied welfare recipients should be required to work or
   FY 2008.                                                                   prepare for work as a condition of receiving aid. Food
•	 The Collapse of Marriage. The collapse of marriage is                      stamps and housing assistance, two of the largest wel-
   the predominant cause of child poverty in the U.S. today.                  fare programs, should be aligned with the TANF (Tempo-
   When the War on Poverty began, 7% of children were                         rary Assistance for Needy Families) program to require
   born out of wedlock; today, the figure is over 40%. Most                   able-bodied adults to work or prepare for work for at least
   alarmingly, the out-of-wedlock birthrate among African–                    30 hours per week.
   Americans is 72%.                                                       •	 End the Welfare Marriage Penalty. Current means-test-
•	 Amnesty Will Make the Problem Worse. If the U.S.                           ed welfare programs penalize low-income recipients who
   government were to grant amnesty or “earned citizen-                       choose to marry; these anti-marriage penalties should be
   ship” to illegal immigrants, the welfare system would be                   reduced or eliminated. In addition, government should



                                                       heritage.org/solutions
                   Family & Religion
                   Fostering the permanent institutions of family and religion to maintain ordered liberty in American society. This product
                   is part of the Family & Religion Initiative, one of 10 transformational initiatives in our Leadership for America campaign.
Projected Means-Tested Welfare Spending
         IN BILLIONS OF CURRENT DOLLARS
         $1,500


                                                                                                                                                                   $1,327
                                                                                                                                                  $1,253
                                                                                                                                     $1,193
         $1,200                                                              Combined Federal
                                                                                                                        $1,140
                                                                             and State Spending
                                                                                                          $1,079
                                                                                             $1,032
                                                                                 $993
                                                      $944         $952
                                         $889
          $900
                           $781                                                                                                                                    $927
                                                                                                                                                   $879
                                                                              Federal Spending                                        $843
              $714                                                                                                       $811
                                                                                                           $771
                                                                                              $745
                                                                                 $722
                                         $697         $695         $696
          $600
                            $611
              $522



          $300
              2008          2009          2010         2011         2012         2013          2014         2015         2016          2017         2018            2019
         Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on current and previous Office of Management and Budget documents and other official government sources.

                                                                                                                                                           heritage.org




    provide information on the importance of marriage to                                   a high school degree. Over the next 10 years, America
    individuals in communities that have a high risk of having                             will spend $1.5 trillion on welfare benefits for lower-
    children out of wedlock, with an emphasis on the ben-                                  skill immigrants. Government policy should limit future
    efits to children of a married two-parent family.                                      immigration to those who will be net fiscal contributors,
                                                                                           paying more in taxes than they receive in benefits.
  •	 Limit Low-Skill Immigration. Around 15% ($100
                                                                                           The legal immigration system should not encourage
     billion per year) of total means-tested welfare spending
                                                                                           the immigration of low-skill immigrants who would
     goes to households headed by immigrants with high
                                                                                           increase poverty and impose vast new costs on already
     school degrees or less. One-third of all immigrants lack
                                                                                           overburdened taxpayers.




 Solutions for America is a product of Heritage’s Leadership for America campaign. Our mission is to formulate and promote public policies
based on the principles of free enterprise, limited government, individual freedom, traditional American values, and a strong national defense.

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The Unsustainable Growth of Welfare

  • 1. Vol. 7 – August 17, 2010 The Unsustainable Growth of Welfare THE ISSUE: flooded with new recipients. Of the 11 million–12 million illegal immigrants in the U.S., at least half lack a high Despite spending almost $16 trillion since the War on Pov- school degree. erty began in 1964, welfare programs have failed to reduce the causes of poverty, and instead have hurt many of the people they were intended to help. Poverty in America is THE SOLUTIONS: overwhelmingly linked to the absence of fathers and a lack • Use Loans, Not Grants. Granting welfare to able-bodied of work, but welfare payments have had the destructive ef- adults creates a potential moral hazard because it can fects of eroding marriage and the work ethic in low-income lead to an increase in the behaviors that generate the communities. The welfare reform of 1996 transformed one need for aid in the first place. A reformed welfare policy program, significantly reducing welfare rolls and lower- can reduce this moral hazard by treating a portion of wel- ing child poverty. But today that reform is in jeopardy, and fare aid as a loan to be repaid rather than as an outright some 70 other federal means-tested programs need similar grant from the taxpayer. reform. • Establish Reasonable Fiscal Constraints. Once the cur- THE FACTS: rent recession ends, aggregate welfare spending for all 71 means-tested welfare programs should be rolled back • Welfare on the Rise. The growth of welfare spending is to pre-recession levels. After this rollback is completed, unsustainable and will drive the United States into bank- the growth of welfare should be capped at the rate of in- ruptcy if allowed to continue unreformed. Welfare spend- flation. This will force Congress to determine whether or ing is projected to cost taxpayers $10.3 trillion over the not these programs further the goal of alleviating poverty. next 10 years. Programs that do would be allowed to grow; those that • The President’s Budget. President Obama’s FY 2011 don’t would be eliminated or reformed. budget request would increase total welfare spending • Promote Personal Responsibility and Work. Able- to $953 billion, a 42% increase over welfare spending in bodied welfare recipients should be required to work or FY 2008. prepare for work as a condition of receiving aid. Food • The Collapse of Marriage. The collapse of marriage is stamps and housing assistance, two of the largest wel- the predominant cause of child poverty in the U.S. today. fare programs, should be aligned with the TANF (Tempo- When the War on Poverty began, 7% of children were rary Assistance for Needy Families) program to require born out of wedlock; today, the figure is over 40%. Most able-bodied adults to work or prepare for work for at least alarmingly, the out-of-wedlock birthrate among African– 30 hours per week. Americans is 72%. • End the Welfare Marriage Penalty. Current means-test- • Amnesty Will Make the Problem Worse. If the U.S. ed welfare programs penalize low-income recipients who government were to grant amnesty or “earned citizen- choose to marry; these anti-marriage penalties should be ship” to illegal immigrants, the welfare system would be reduced or eliminated. In addition, government should heritage.org/solutions Family & Religion Fostering the permanent institutions of family and religion to maintain ordered liberty in American society. This product is part of the Family & Religion Initiative, one of 10 transformational initiatives in our Leadership for America campaign.
  • 2. Projected Means-Tested Welfare Spending IN BILLIONS OF CURRENT DOLLARS $1,500 $1,327 $1,253 $1,193 $1,200 Combined Federal $1,140 and State Spending $1,079 $1,032 $993 $944 $952 $889 $900 $781 $927 $879 Federal Spending $843 $714 $811 $771 $745 $722 $697 $695 $696 $600 $611 $522 $300 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on current and previous Office of Management and Budget documents and other official government sources. heritage.org provide information on the importance of marriage to a high school degree. Over the next 10 years, America individuals in communities that have a high risk of having will spend $1.5 trillion on welfare benefits for lower- children out of wedlock, with an emphasis on the ben- skill immigrants. Government policy should limit future efits to children of a married two-parent family. immigration to those who will be net fiscal contributors, paying more in taxes than they receive in benefits. • Limit Low-Skill Immigration. Around 15% ($100 The legal immigration system should not encourage billion per year) of total means-tested welfare spending the immigration of low-skill immigrants who would goes to households headed by immigrants with high increase poverty and impose vast new costs on already school degrees or less. One-third of all immigrants lack overburdened taxpayers. Solutions for America is a product of Heritage’s Leadership for America campaign. Our mission is to formulate and promote public policies based on the principles of free enterprise, limited government, individual freedom, traditional American values, and a strong national defense.