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Phillippa Biggs
Coordinator, Broadband Commission
for Digital Development
Palais des Nations, UN,
21 September 2015
2
State of Broadband 2015 – mixed messages
• Every year, the Broadband Commission for Digital
Development takes the pulse of global broadband industry.
• This year’s report finds mixed messages – while pockets of
growth continue in mobile broadband and Facebook users,
overall growth in Internet usage is slowing, as networks roll
out beyond densely populated urban areas.
• By end 2015, some 3.2 billion people will be online, over
43.4% of the total world population and up from 2.7 billion
a year earlier, but some 4 billion people remain offline.
• Challenges for connecting the next billion people include
universal access and the language barrier.
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
3
Mobile broadband fastest-growing
technology in history
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source: ITU.
4
Has the digital divide been bridged?
Subscriptions v. Subscribers
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source: Ericsson.
5
4G networks & subscriptions taking off –
2014 a transition point
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Countrieswithaccesstonetworktechnology
2G 3G 4G
Source: Telegeography (left); GSMAi (right).
6
New divide emerging in connected devices
per capita for different regions
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source: Cisco VNI.
7
Supply side challenge – extending network
access beyond urban areas
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source: Analysys Mason.
8
Demand side challenge –
Lack of languages online is a barrier
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source: ITU, based on various sources.
Online language profile fails to reflect speaker base;
Growth in languages online is not matching overall growth;
Online services are multinational, but are they multilingual?
→ Strong growth in
subscriptions and
penetration
→ Asia-Pacific success story:
The rapid expansion of Asia-
Pacific squeezing other regions’
market shares – despite
increases in subscribers,
Europe 16% ->14% ;
Americas 24% ->22%.
Strong growth in Mobile Broadband
Source: ITU.
→ Strong growth in
subscriptions and
penetration
→ 794 million by end 2015.
Asia-Pacific increased its share
of subscribers from
45% to 46%.
Moderate growth in Fixed Broadband
Source: ITU (above);
Point Topic (bottom).
11
Target 1: National Broadband Plans
Vitally important that countries should develop a Broadband Plan
148 countries now have a Plan in place, with 6 NBPs underway,
but succession strategy for Plans expiring in 2015 unclear.
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source: Broadband Commission for Digital Development.
12
Target 2: Affordability
By 2014, 111 countries have met the Broadband Commission
target of 5% per capita, up from 108 countries in 2013.
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source:
ITU.
13
Target 3: Getting households online
By 2015, 40% of households in developing countries should
have Internet access.
Actual: 46.4% world; 34.1% developing and 7% in LDCs
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source: ITU (left); Point Topic (right).
14
Target 4: Getting people online
By 2015, Internet user penetration should reach 60%
worldwide, 50% in developing countries and 15% in LDCs:
Actual: 43.4% world; 35.3% developing and 9.5% in LDCs
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
Source: ITU.
15
Policy Measures for Broadband
Source: Broadband Commission, based on Analysys Mason.
Broadband Commission for Digital Development
www.broadbandcommission.org
facebook.com/broadbandcommission
Phillippa.biggs@itu.int
Thank you for your attention

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The State of Broadband 2015: Broadband as a Foundation for Sustainable Development

  • 1. Phillippa Biggs Coordinator, Broadband Commission for Digital Development Palais des Nations, UN, 21 September 2015
  • 2. 2 State of Broadband 2015 – mixed messages • Every year, the Broadband Commission for Digital Development takes the pulse of global broadband industry. • This year’s report finds mixed messages – while pockets of growth continue in mobile broadband and Facebook users, overall growth in Internet usage is slowing, as networks roll out beyond densely populated urban areas. • By end 2015, some 3.2 billion people will be online, over 43.4% of the total world population and up from 2.7 billion a year earlier, but some 4 billion people remain offline. • Challenges for connecting the next billion people include universal access and the language barrier. Broadband Commission for Digital Development
  • 3. 3 Mobile broadband fastest-growing technology in history Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: ITU.
  • 4. 4 Has the digital divide been bridged? Subscriptions v. Subscribers Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: Ericsson.
  • 5. 5 4G networks & subscriptions taking off – 2014 a transition point Broadband Commission for Digital Development 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Countrieswithaccesstonetworktechnology 2G 3G 4G Source: Telegeography (left); GSMAi (right).
  • 6. 6 New divide emerging in connected devices per capita for different regions Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: Cisco VNI.
  • 7. 7 Supply side challenge – extending network access beyond urban areas Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: Analysys Mason.
  • 8. 8 Demand side challenge – Lack of languages online is a barrier Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: ITU, based on various sources. Online language profile fails to reflect speaker base; Growth in languages online is not matching overall growth; Online services are multinational, but are they multilingual?
  • 9. → Strong growth in subscriptions and penetration → Asia-Pacific success story: The rapid expansion of Asia- Pacific squeezing other regions’ market shares – despite increases in subscribers, Europe 16% ->14% ; Americas 24% ->22%. Strong growth in Mobile Broadband Source: ITU.
  • 10. → Strong growth in subscriptions and penetration → 794 million by end 2015. Asia-Pacific increased its share of subscribers from 45% to 46%. Moderate growth in Fixed Broadband Source: ITU (above); Point Topic (bottom).
  • 11. 11 Target 1: National Broadband Plans Vitally important that countries should develop a Broadband Plan 148 countries now have a Plan in place, with 6 NBPs underway, but succession strategy for Plans expiring in 2015 unclear. Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: Broadband Commission for Digital Development.
  • 12. 12 Target 2: Affordability By 2014, 111 countries have met the Broadband Commission target of 5% per capita, up from 108 countries in 2013. Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: ITU.
  • 13. 13 Target 3: Getting households online By 2015, 40% of households in developing countries should have Internet access. Actual: 46.4% world; 34.1% developing and 7% in LDCs Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: ITU (left); Point Topic (right).
  • 14. 14 Target 4: Getting people online By 2015, Internet user penetration should reach 60% worldwide, 50% in developing countries and 15% in LDCs: Actual: 43.4% world; 35.3% developing and 9.5% in LDCs Broadband Commission for Digital Development Source: ITU.
  • 15. 15 Policy Measures for Broadband Source: Broadband Commission, based on Analysys Mason. Broadband Commission for Digital Development