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Strengthening Capacity for Strategic Agricultural
      Policy and Investment Planning and
     Implementation in the SADC Region

         ReSAKSS-Africa Lead Training Workshop




                                                    Photo: :Tom van Cakenberghe/IWMI
                  20th June 2012




                                                    Photo: David Brazier/IWMI
                                                    Photo David Brazier/IWMI
                 Birchwood Hotel
             Johannesburg, South Africa


               Water for a food-secure world
                       www.iwmi.org
Outline of Presentation
• About IWMI and ReSAKSS-SA

• Highlights of the 2011 trends and outlook
  report




               Water for a food-secure world
                       www.iwmi.org
IWMI in Africa and Southern Africa




                                                                                      Tunisia
                                                              Morocco




                                                 a
                                                                                    Algeria




                                              ar
• Strategic focus




                                         ah
                                                                                                                   Libya




                                          S
                                                                                                                                    Egypt




                                       W.
  Identification of realistic,                       Mauritania            Mali

  socially equitable and
                                                                                                 Niger                                                        Eritrea




                                                                      na
                                        Senegal                                                                                     Sudan




                                                                    ki
                                                                                                                  Chad




                                                                  ur
  environmentally sustainable
                                                                               Faso




                                                              B
                                                     Guinea




                                                                            Benin
                                                                   Ghana
                                                                                                Nigeria




                                                                           Togo
  agricultural water
                                                              Cote                                                                                         Ethiopia
                                     Sierra Leone
                                                              D'Ivoire                                               C. A. R
                                                                                                    Cameroon

  management investment                                                                                                  D.R. Congo            Uganda




                                                                                                             o
                                                                                                          ng
  options that respond to
                                                                                                    Gabon                                                  Kenya




                                                                                                      Co
                                                                                                                               Rwanda
                                                                                                                               Burundi

  regional needs and priorities,
                                        Legend
                                                                                                                                               Tanzania
                                                     Regional office, Ghana

  and contribute to increasing




                                                                                                                                      Malawi
                                                     Sub regional office, Ethiopia                               Angola                                           e
                                                                                                                                                             qu
                                                                                                                                                           bi

  agricultural productivity and




                                                                                                                                                                         r
                                                     Sub regional office, South Africa




                                                                                                                                                                      sca
                                                                                                                             Zambia               z   am
                                                     Other Countries                                                                           Mo




                                                                                                                                                                  aga
  reducing poverty




                                                                                                                                                                d
                                                                       Collaboration and                                         Zimbabwe




                                                                                                                                                             Ma
                                                                                                            Namibia
                                                                       partnerships
                                                                                                                           Botswana

                                                                                                                                                       Swaziland
                                                                                                                           South Africa
                                         0 400 800    1,600
                                           Kilometers

                                                                                                                                Lesotho




                      Water for a food-secure world
                              www.iwmi.org
IWMI Supporting regionally shared goals

• CAADP aims to stimulate agriculture-led development that
  eliminates hunger and reduces poverty and food insecurity.
• CAADP directs investment to four mutually reinforcing and
  interlinked pillars:
   – Pillar I: Extending the area under sustainable land management and
     reliable water control systems;
• SADC Regional Indicative Strategic Plan (RISDP) calls for efficient
  irrigation systems in the region and has set out targets to
  increase food production and productivity for food security
   – Target 2: Double cropland under irrigation from 3.5% to 7% as
      percentage of the total by 2015

                       Water for a food-secure world
                                www.iwmi.org
ReSAKSS-SA
 • Is Part of an Africa wide initiative supporting CAADP and
   regionally shared goals – COMESA, SADC, ECOWAS
 • Provides Analysis and knowledge support for
   planning, review and policy dialogue for agricultural
   growth and poverty reduction
 • 3 Sub-Regional programmes launched in Sept 2006




 • ReSAKSS-SA is facilitated by IWMI and IFPRI, and steering
   committee chaired by SADC FANR
 • Multi-donor initiative (USAID, Gates, (MDTF – potential))

                                  Water for a food-secure world
Mission: To improve the management of land and water resources for food,
                                               www.iwmi.org
                     livelihoods and the environment
Addressing 3 Regional Challenges

 •       Increasing agricultural growth to reach an
         average annual growth rate of 6% as envisioned
         by CAADP/SADC RISDP as necessary for attaining
         overall economic growth, poverty reduction and
         food security.
 •       Enhancing the contribution of agriculture to the
         achievement of the MDG 1 by 2015 (halving
         hunger and poverty in the region)
 •       Assessing of policy and investment alternatives
         that will yield the highest payoffs given
         commitments of increasing national agricultural
         budgets (Maputo Declaration 2003)

                                  Water for a food-secure world
Mission: To improve the management of land and water resources for food,
                                               www.iwmi.org
                     livelihoods and the environment
ReSAKSS-SA Strategic Components
1.   Strategic analysis
     • M&E of CAADP and SADC RISDP; data collection
       and analysis
     • Annual trends and outlook reports
     • Specific strategic analysis and production
       (occasional publications)

2.   Knowledge Support Systems –
     •     e-Resource Centre (Website); Knowledge Products
          (Publications); Knowledge Sharing Platforms
          (workshops)

•    3.   Capacity building
     • Support to SADC
     • Establishing and supporting SAKSS nodes
     • Strengthening of local institutions

                          Water for a food-secure world
                                  www.iwmi.org
ReSAKSS-SA Support to SADC
• CCARDESA Study - Exploring Strategic Priorities for Regional Agricultural
  R&D Investments in Southern Africa
         • Conducted strategic analysis that will support SADC MAPP and its
           partners in revising, reviewing and prioritizing the regional
           agricultural research strategy in Southern Africa and;
         • An early action activity for identifying and ranking agricultural
           research and development priorities in Southern Africa (evidence-
           based).
• Providing on-going Support to SADC Regional Agricultural Policy – member
  if the RAP Working Group
• Conducting study on ‘Options for up-scaling high performance irrigation
  investments in Southern Africa’
• Providing an annual SADC-wide M&E report on agricultural sector
  performance in the region in the context of CAADP and SADC-RISDP
  (CAADP M&E framework)

                       Water for a food-secure world
                               www.iwmi.org
Highlights of the 2011 trends and outlook
                   report




            Water for a food-secure world
                    www.iwmi.org
SADC wide GDP growth rates yet to reach SADC-RISDP
                   target…..




               Water for a food-secure world
                       www.iwmi.org
Photo: David Brazier/IWMI
Water for a food-secure world
        www.iwmi.org
…Mixed prospects for achieving MDG 1 targets on poverty reduction
 (based on the international poverty ($1.25/day) headcount ratio




                    Water for a food-secure world
                            www.iwmi.org
Agriculture is most important in 7 low income
countries out of 15 SADC countries




              Water for a food-secure world
                      www.iwmi.org
Yet, for most countries, public budget allocation and expenditure in
agriculture remains low and far below the 10 percent target set
under the Maputo Declaration in 2003




                     Water for a food-secure world
                             www.iwmi.org
Agriculture share in total budget, 2000-2010




               Water for a food-secure world
                       www.iwmi.org
The same trend prevails for the share of
agriculture in total spending




            Water for a food-secure world
                    www.iwmi.org
Share of agriculture in total spending




               Water for a food-secure world
                       www.iwmi.org
…the gap between AgGDP and GDP in the region has been
             widening in the last decades




                Water for a food-secure world
                        www.iwmi.org
Progress towards the 6 percent agriculture GDP
            CAADP growth target




              Water for a food-secure world
                      www.iwmi.org
Progress towards the 6 percent agriculture GDP
            CAADP growth target




              Water for a food-secure world
                      www.iwmi.org
AgGDP growth outlook to 2015: poor prospects for
            low income countries




              Water for a food-secure world
                      www.iwmi.org
…some countries likely to reach/surpass the 6
      percent CAADP target by 2015




            Water for a food-secure world
                    www.iwmi.org
On average, cereal yields fall short of the
     2000kg/ha SADC RISDP target




           Water for a food-secure world
                   www.iwmi.org
On average, maize yields fall short of the
                 2000kg/ha SADC RISDP target




Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011




                                          Water for a food-secure world
                                                  www.iwmi.org
…cereal production has been failing to match population
      growth in the region over the last decades




                 Water for a food-secure world
                         www.iwmi.org
Maize Production and Kg/capita - (1)




Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011


                                   Water for a food-secure world
                                           www.iwmi.org
Maize Production and Kg/capita - (2)




         Water for a food-secure world
                 www.iwmi.org
Annual growth rate in livestock production in
       SADC countries, 2003 to 2010




             Water for a food-secure world
                     www.iwmi.org
Annual production growth rate by livestock type to
        achieve the SADC-RISDP 4% target




Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011

                                    Water for a food-secure world
                                            www.iwmi.org
Net importer of cereals




   Water for a food-secure world
           www.iwmi.org
Fertilizer consumption yet to achieve SADC
          RISDP target of 65kg/ha




           Water for a food-secure world
                   www.iwmi.org
Fertilizer consumption yet to achieve SADC
                 RISDP target of 65kg/ha




Source: FAOSTAT and ReSAKSS-SA Country Survey 2011




                                    Water for a food-secure world
                                                     www.iwmi.org
A SADC wide need exists to increase area
           under irrigation




           Water for a food-secure world
                   www.iwmi.org
Conclusions
•   Future Outlook:
     • AgGDP: as a group middle income countries are, on average and based on
        trends observed between 2003 and 2008, on track to meeting the CAADP
        target, low income countries are not
     • Poverty: most SADC countries are off-track to reaching the MDG1 target
        of halving 1990 poverty rates by 2015
     • Mixed progress in meeting both goals of MDG1 – Poverty and Hunger

     –   Challenges:
     –   stabilizing and enhancing agricultural growth rates
     –   Increasing agricultural productivity (e.g. Irrigation, Fertiliser use etc.)
     –   Translating agriculture and total economic growth into poverty reduction



                           Water for a food-secure world
                                     www.iwmi.org

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The role of re sakss in monitoring agric trends in southern africa

  • 1. Strengthening Capacity for Strategic Agricultural Policy and Investment Planning and Implementation in the SADC Region ReSAKSS-Africa Lead Training Workshop Photo: :Tom van Cakenberghe/IWMI 20th June 2012 Photo: David Brazier/IWMI Photo David Brazier/IWMI Birchwood Hotel Johannesburg, South Africa Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 2. Outline of Presentation • About IWMI and ReSAKSS-SA • Highlights of the 2011 trends and outlook report Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 3. IWMI in Africa and Southern Africa Tunisia Morocco a Algeria ar • Strategic focus ah Libya S Egypt W. Identification of realistic, Mauritania Mali socially equitable and Niger Eritrea na Senegal Sudan ki Chad ur environmentally sustainable Faso B Guinea Benin Ghana Nigeria Togo agricultural water Cote Ethiopia Sierra Leone D'Ivoire C. A. R Cameroon management investment D.R. Congo Uganda o ng options that respond to Gabon Kenya Co Rwanda Burundi regional needs and priorities, Legend Tanzania Regional office, Ghana and contribute to increasing Malawi Sub regional office, Ethiopia Angola e qu bi agricultural productivity and r Sub regional office, South Africa sca Zambia z am Other Countries Mo aga reducing poverty d Collaboration and Zimbabwe Ma Namibia partnerships Botswana Swaziland South Africa 0 400 800 1,600 Kilometers Lesotho Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 4. IWMI Supporting regionally shared goals • CAADP aims to stimulate agriculture-led development that eliminates hunger and reduces poverty and food insecurity. • CAADP directs investment to four mutually reinforcing and interlinked pillars: – Pillar I: Extending the area under sustainable land management and reliable water control systems; • SADC Regional Indicative Strategic Plan (RISDP) calls for efficient irrigation systems in the region and has set out targets to increase food production and productivity for food security – Target 2: Double cropland under irrigation from 3.5% to 7% as percentage of the total by 2015 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 5. ReSAKSS-SA • Is Part of an Africa wide initiative supporting CAADP and regionally shared goals – COMESA, SADC, ECOWAS • Provides Analysis and knowledge support for planning, review and policy dialogue for agricultural growth and poverty reduction • 3 Sub-Regional programmes launched in Sept 2006 • ReSAKSS-SA is facilitated by IWMI and IFPRI, and steering committee chaired by SADC FANR • Multi-donor initiative (USAID, Gates, (MDTF – potential)) Water for a food-secure world Mission: To improve the management of land and water resources for food, www.iwmi.org livelihoods and the environment
  • 6. Addressing 3 Regional Challenges • Increasing agricultural growth to reach an average annual growth rate of 6% as envisioned by CAADP/SADC RISDP as necessary for attaining overall economic growth, poverty reduction and food security. • Enhancing the contribution of agriculture to the achievement of the MDG 1 by 2015 (halving hunger and poverty in the region) • Assessing of policy and investment alternatives that will yield the highest payoffs given commitments of increasing national agricultural budgets (Maputo Declaration 2003) Water for a food-secure world Mission: To improve the management of land and water resources for food, www.iwmi.org livelihoods and the environment
  • 7. ReSAKSS-SA Strategic Components 1. Strategic analysis • M&E of CAADP and SADC RISDP; data collection and analysis • Annual trends and outlook reports • Specific strategic analysis and production (occasional publications) 2. Knowledge Support Systems – • e-Resource Centre (Website); Knowledge Products (Publications); Knowledge Sharing Platforms (workshops) • 3. Capacity building • Support to SADC • Establishing and supporting SAKSS nodes • Strengthening of local institutions Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 8. ReSAKSS-SA Support to SADC • CCARDESA Study - Exploring Strategic Priorities for Regional Agricultural R&D Investments in Southern Africa • Conducted strategic analysis that will support SADC MAPP and its partners in revising, reviewing and prioritizing the regional agricultural research strategy in Southern Africa and; • An early action activity for identifying and ranking agricultural research and development priorities in Southern Africa (evidence- based). • Providing on-going Support to SADC Regional Agricultural Policy – member if the RAP Working Group • Conducting study on ‘Options for up-scaling high performance irrigation investments in Southern Africa’ • Providing an annual SADC-wide M&E report on agricultural sector performance in the region in the context of CAADP and SADC-RISDP (CAADP M&E framework) Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 9. Highlights of the 2011 trends and outlook report Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 10. SADC wide GDP growth rates yet to reach SADC-RISDP target….. Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 11. Photo: David Brazier/IWMI Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 12. …Mixed prospects for achieving MDG 1 targets on poverty reduction (based on the international poverty ($1.25/day) headcount ratio Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 13. Agriculture is most important in 7 low income countries out of 15 SADC countries Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 14. Yet, for most countries, public budget allocation and expenditure in agriculture remains low and far below the 10 percent target set under the Maputo Declaration in 2003 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 15. Agriculture share in total budget, 2000-2010 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 16. The same trend prevails for the share of agriculture in total spending Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 17. Share of agriculture in total spending Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 18. …the gap between AgGDP and GDP in the region has been widening in the last decades Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 19. Progress towards the 6 percent agriculture GDP CAADP growth target Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 20. Progress towards the 6 percent agriculture GDP CAADP growth target Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 21. AgGDP growth outlook to 2015: poor prospects for low income countries Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 22. …some countries likely to reach/surpass the 6 percent CAADP target by 2015 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 23. On average, cereal yields fall short of the 2000kg/ha SADC RISDP target Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 24. On average, maize yields fall short of the 2000kg/ha SADC RISDP target Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 25. …cereal production has been failing to match population growth in the region over the last decades Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 26. Maize Production and Kg/capita - (1) Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 27. Maize Production and Kg/capita - (2) Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 28. Annual growth rate in livestock production in SADC countries, 2003 to 2010 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 29. Annual production growth rate by livestock type to achieve the SADC-RISDP 4% target Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 30. Net importer of cereals Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 31. Fertilizer consumption yet to achieve SADC RISDP target of 65kg/ha Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 32. Fertilizer consumption yet to achieve SADC RISDP target of 65kg/ha Source: FAOSTAT and ReSAKSS-SA Country Survey 2011 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 33. A SADC wide need exists to increase area under irrigation Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 34. Conclusions • Future Outlook: • AgGDP: as a group middle income countries are, on average and based on trends observed between 2003 and 2008, on track to meeting the CAADP target, low income countries are not • Poverty: most SADC countries are off-track to reaching the MDG1 target of halving 1990 poverty rates by 2015 • Mixed progress in meeting both goals of MDG1 – Poverty and Hunger – Challenges: – stabilizing and enhancing agricultural growth rates – Increasing agricultural productivity (e.g. Irrigation, Fertiliser use etc.) – Translating agriculture and total economic growth into poverty reduction Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org