Introduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher Education
The role of re sakss in monitoring agric trends in southern africa
1. Strengthening Capacity for Strategic Agricultural
Policy and Investment Planning and
Implementation in the SADC Region
ReSAKSS-Africa Lead Training Workshop
Photo: :Tom van Cakenberghe/IWMI
20th June 2012
Photo: David Brazier/IWMI
Photo David Brazier/IWMI
Birchwood Hotel
Johannesburg, South Africa
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2. Outline of Presentation
• About IWMI and ReSAKSS-SA
• Highlights of the 2011 trends and outlook
report
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3. IWMI in Africa and Southern Africa
Tunisia
Morocco
a
Algeria
ar
• Strategic focus
ah
Libya
S
Egypt
W.
Identification of realistic, Mauritania Mali
socially equitable and
Niger Eritrea
na
Senegal Sudan
ki
Chad
ur
environmentally sustainable
Faso
B
Guinea
Benin
Ghana
Nigeria
Togo
agricultural water
Cote Ethiopia
Sierra Leone
D'Ivoire C. A. R
Cameroon
management investment D.R. Congo Uganda
o
ng
options that respond to
Gabon Kenya
Co
Rwanda
Burundi
regional needs and priorities,
Legend
Tanzania
Regional office, Ghana
and contribute to increasing
Malawi
Sub regional office, Ethiopia Angola e
qu
bi
agricultural productivity and
r
Sub regional office, South Africa
sca
Zambia z am
Other Countries Mo
aga
reducing poverty
d
Collaboration and Zimbabwe
Ma
Namibia
partnerships
Botswana
Swaziland
South Africa
0 400 800 1,600
Kilometers
Lesotho
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4. IWMI Supporting regionally shared goals
• CAADP aims to stimulate agriculture-led development that
eliminates hunger and reduces poverty and food insecurity.
• CAADP directs investment to four mutually reinforcing and
interlinked pillars:
– Pillar I: Extending the area under sustainable land management and
reliable water control systems;
• SADC Regional Indicative Strategic Plan (RISDP) calls for efficient
irrigation systems in the region and has set out targets to
increase food production and productivity for food security
– Target 2: Double cropland under irrigation from 3.5% to 7% as
percentage of the total by 2015
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5. ReSAKSS-SA
• Is Part of an Africa wide initiative supporting CAADP and
regionally shared goals – COMESA, SADC, ECOWAS
• Provides Analysis and knowledge support for
planning, review and policy dialogue for agricultural
growth and poverty reduction
• 3 Sub-Regional programmes launched in Sept 2006
• ReSAKSS-SA is facilitated by IWMI and IFPRI, and steering
committee chaired by SADC FANR
• Multi-donor initiative (USAID, Gates, (MDTF – potential))
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Mission: To improve the management of land and water resources for food,
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livelihoods and the environment
6. Addressing 3 Regional Challenges
• Increasing agricultural growth to reach an
average annual growth rate of 6% as envisioned
by CAADP/SADC RISDP as necessary for attaining
overall economic growth, poverty reduction and
food security.
• Enhancing the contribution of agriculture to the
achievement of the MDG 1 by 2015 (halving
hunger and poverty in the region)
• Assessing of policy and investment alternatives
that will yield the highest payoffs given
commitments of increasing national agricultural
budgets (Maputo Declaration 2003)
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Mission: To improve the management of land and water resources for food,
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livelihoods and the environment
7. ReSAKSS-SA Strategic Components
1. Strategic analysis
• M&E of CAADP and SADC RISDP; data collection
and analysis
• Annual trends and outlook reports
• Specific strategic analysis and production
(occasional publications)
2. Knowledge Support Systems –
• e-Resource Centre (Website); Knowledge Products
(Publications); Knowledge Sharing Platforms
(workshops)
• 3. Capacity building
• Support to SADC
• Establishing and supporting SAKSS nodes
• Strengthening of local institutions
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8. ReSAKSS-SA Support to SADC
• CCARDESA Study - Exploring Strategic Priorities for Regional Agricultural
R&D Investments in Southern Africa
• Conducted strategic analysis that will support SADC MAPP and its
partners in revising, reviewing and prioritizing the regional
agricultural research strategy in Southern Africa and;
• An early action activity for identifying and ranking agricultural
research and development priorities in Southern Africa (evidence-
based).
• Providing on-going Support to SADC Regional Agricultural Policy – member
if the RAP Working Group
• Conducting study on ‘Options for up-scaling high performance irrigation
investments in Southern Africa’
• Providing an annual SADC-wide M&E report on agricultural sector
performance in the region in the context of CAADP and SADC-RISDP
(CAADP M&E framework)
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9. Highlights of the 2011 trends and outlook
report
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10. SADC wide GDP growth rates yet to reach SADC-RISDP
target…..
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12. …Mixed prospects for achieving MDG 1 targets on poverty reduction
(based on the international poverty ($1.25/day) headcount ratio
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13. Agriculture is most important in 7 low income
countries out of 15 SADC countries
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14. Yet, for most countries, public budget allocation and expenditure in
agriculture remains low and far below the 10 percent target set
under the Maputo Declaration in 2003
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15. Agriculture share in total budget, 2000-2010
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16. The same trend prevails for the share of
agriculture in total spending
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17. Share of agriculture in total spending
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18. …the gap between AgGDP and GDP in the region has been
widening in the last decades
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19. Progress towards the 6 percent agriculture GDP
CAADP growth target
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20. Progress towards the 6 percent agriculture GDP
CAADP growth target
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21. AgGDP growth outlook to 2015: poor prospects for
low income countries
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22. …some countries likely to reach/surpass the 6
percent CAADP target by 2015
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23. On average, cereal yields fall short of the
2000kg/ha SADC RISDP target
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24. On average, maize yields fall short of the
2000kg/ha SADC RISDP target
Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011
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25. …cereal production has been failing to match population
growth in the region over the last decades
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26. Maize Production and Kg/capita - (1)
Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011
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28. Annual growth rate in livestock production in
SADC countries, 2003 to 2010
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29. Annual production growth rate by livestock type to
achieve the SADC-RISDP 4% target
Source: ReSAKSS-SA Country Surveys 2011
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30. Net importer of cereals
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31. Fertilizer consumption yet to achieve SADC
RISDP target of 65kg/ha
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32. Fertilizer consumption yet to achieve SADC
RISDP target of 65kg/ha
Source: FAOSTAT and ReSAKSS-SA Country Survey 2011
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33. A SADC wide need exists to increase area
under irrigation
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34. Conclusions
• Future Outlook:
• AgGDP: as a group middle income countries are, on average and based on
trends observed between 2003 and 2008, on track to meeting the CAADP
target, low income countries are not
• Poverty: most SADC countries are off-track to reaching the MDG1 target
of halving 1990 poverty rates by 2015
• Mixed progress in meeting both goals of MDG1 – Poverty and Hunger
– Challenges:
– stabilizing and enhancing agricultural growth rates
– Increasing agricultural productivity (e.g. Irrigation, Fertiliser use etc.)
– Translating agriculture and total economic growth into poverty reduction
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