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© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Michael Franklin
mfranklin@innocentive.com
Elaine Chin, Ph.D.
echin@innocentive.com
The potential role of Crowdsourcing in
Risk Assessment
Steven Drew
sdrew@innocentive.com
October 16, 2015
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved2
Better connected now than ever before
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
The transition to Crowd Labour
The World has changed…again! The speed of the change is
monumental
• “If all you ever did is all you've ever done and all you will ever do...you
are average and that's not good enough in today's world...the world is
getting hyper-connected” – Thomas Friedman
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Conventional
Innovation
Challenge Driven
Innovation
Objectives Steer
Internal Innovation
Teams
Frame and Structure:
• Stage Gate Innovation
• Monolithic Structures
• Employ or Contract for
Resources
Economics:
• Fixed Costs
• Pay for Success & Failure
Weaknesses:
• Lack of diversity
• Difficult to Adapt
Problems Engage a
Global Ecosystem of
UNKNOWN Innovators
Frame and Structure:
• Distribute or Broadcast
needs
• Challenges
Economics:
• Variable Costs
• Pay for Performance
Opportunities:
• On-demand Talent
• Compression
• Agility and Speed
The Future of Work:
Conventional Innovation to Crowd Innovation
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
The Challenge?
5
An Open Innovation tool – Seekers ask Solvers
Ask for an impactful solution, an idea or an insight to a
problem/opportunity
Incentivize contributions from the Crowd by offering
awards - $1,000 to $1,000,000
Solvers Pre-agreement – Seekers go straight to work!
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Novel solutions from UNEXPECTED
fields and UNKNOWN people
FORCE MULTIPLIER; Reduce Risk
Discover new approaches and
tools
ON TAP community to research
and promote a need - SPEED
Demonstrate thought leadership
Create
awareness
Solve a
problem
The Power of Challenges
6
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved7
InnoCentive; pioneer in crowdsourcing problems to a
worldwide community who provide diversity &
innovation in their ideas, insights and solutions
 Vast Global Network
• 100,000s Solvers growing ‘000s monthly
• Solvers in 200+ Countries
• Individuals, Academics and Small
Business teams
 Challenges
• Thousands posted, 70% Anonymous
• Freedom to use, IP License, IP Rights
Ownership or a Partner
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved8
Their Experience Their Education
The Crowd – 100,000s registered Solvers
growing at 2,000 to 3,000 per month
Region
Percent of
Solvers
North America 37%
APAC 33%
EMEA 27%
South America 3%
Region
Percent of
Solvers
North America 37%
APAC 33%
EMEA 27%
South America 3%
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved9
What do they do?
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Optionally Promote to a Marketplace of >15 Million ‘Solvers’
plus we can BUILD/TARGET NEW
CROWDS
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Good Challenges Consider…
11
Problem Space
Solution Space
…not only “what we want” (solutions) but also “what is
keeping us from getting it” (problems)
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved12
Problem Space
Problem Space
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved13
The Candle Problem:
HOW TO use the items to attach the candle to the wall, light the
candle and no melted wax on the floor or table
Group 1 Group 2
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved14
The Candle Problem – Solution
“A mental block against using an object in a new way that is
required to solve a problem.”
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Problem Abstraction Tradeoffs
Abstractly
Defined
Utility of Solutions
Application
Information
Creativity of Ideas
Risk of getting inapplicable
solutions
Contextually
Defined
Optimum
How does my company improve
profitability of a ski mountain
What are novel uses of a large
inclined white plane
15
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Limitless Challenge Uses
Marketing & Branding
Education
Product Improvement
New Market Opportunities
Sustainability
Applications for New Technology
Public Services
Product Packaging
Humanitarian
Health
New Product Ideas
Business Strategy
16
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Data Analysis Problem:
4 hours in advance; 50% Accuracy
17
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved18
Background: Solar Particle Events (SPEs) can
dramatically affect infrastructure (e.g., power grids,
communications) as well as astronauts working in
space
Challenge: Improve Prediction of SPEs
Solution: Improved predictability from 50%
accuracy 4 hours in advance to 85% accuracy 8
hours in advance
• $30,000 award to retired Radio Engineer
• Solver now working (on various projects) with
NASA
579 Solvers from 53 Countries – 11 submissions from 5 Countries579 Solvers from 53 Countries – 11 submissions from 5 Countries
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved19
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved20
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved21
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved22
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved23
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved24
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved25
© 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Michael Franklin
mfranklin@innocentive.com
Elaine Chin, Ph.D.
echin@innocentive.com
Thank You
Steven Drew
sdrew@innocentive.com
October 16, 2015

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The role of crowdsourcing in risk assessment

  • 1. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Michael Franklin mfranklin@innocentive.com Elaine Chin, Ph.D. echin@innocentive.com The potential role of Crowdsourcing in Risk Assessment Steven Drew sdrew@innocentive.com October 16, 2015
  • 2. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved2 Better connected now than ever before
  • 3. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved The transition to Crowd Labour The World has changed…again! The speed of the change is monumental • “If all you ever did is all you've ever done and all you will ever do...you are average and that's not good enough in today's world...the world is getting hyper-connected” – Thomas Friedman
  • 4. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Conventional Innovation Challenge Driven Innovation Objectives Steer Internal Innovation Teams Frame and Structure: • Stage Gate Innovation • Monolithic Structures • Employ or Contract for Resources Economics: • Fixed Costs • Pay for Success & Failure Weaknesses: • Lack of diversity • Difficult to Adapt Problems Engage a Global Ecosystem of UNKNOWN Innovators Frame and Structure: • Distribute or Broadcast needs • Challenges Economics: • Variable Costs • Pay for Performance Opportunities: • On-demand Talent • Compression • Agility and Speed The Future of Work: Conventional Innovation to Crowd Innovation
  • 5. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved The Challenge? 5 An Open Innovation tool – Seekers ask Solvers Ask for an impactful solution, an idea or an insight to a problem/opportunity Incentivize contributions from the Crowd by offering awards - $1,000 to $1,000,000 Solvers Pre-agreement – Seekers go straight to work!
  • 6. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Novel solutions from UNEXPECTED fields and UNKNOWN people FORCE MULTIPLIER; Reduce Risk Discover new approaches and tools ON TAP community to research and promote a need - SPEED Demonstrate thought leadership Create awareness Solve a problem The Power of Challenges 6
  • 7. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved7 InnoCentive; pioneer in crowdsourcing problems to a worldwide community who provide diversity & innovation in their ideas, insights and solutions  Vast Global Network • 100,000s Solvers growing ‘000s monthly • Solvers in 200+ Countries • Individuals, Academics and Small Business teams  Challenges • Thousands posted, 70% Anonymous • Freedom to use, IP License, IP Rights Ownership or a Partner
  • 8. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved8 Their Experience Their Education The Crowd – 100,000s registered Solvers growing at 2,000 to 3,000 per month Region Percent of Solvers North America 37% APAC 33% EMEA 27% South America 3% Region Percent of Solvers North America 37% APAC 33% EMEA 27% South America 3%
  • 9. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved9 What do they do?
  • 10. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Optionally Promote to a Marketplace of >15 Million ‘Solvers’ plus we can BUILD/TARGET NEW CROWDS
  • 11. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Good Challenges Consider… 11 Problem Space Solution Space …not only “what we want” (solutions) but also “what is keeping us from getting it” (problems)
  • 12. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved12 Problem Space Problem Space
  • 13. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved13 The Candle Problem: HOW TO use the items to attach the candle to the wall, light the candle and no melted wax on the floor or table Group 1 Group 2
  • 14. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved14 The Candle Problem – Solution “A mental block against using an object in a new way that is required to solve a problem.”
  • 15. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Problem Abstraction Tradeoffs Abstractly Defined Utility of Solutions Application Information Creativity of Ideas Risk of getting inapplicable solutions Contextually Defined Optimum How does my company improve profitability of a ski mountain What are novel uses of a large inclined white plane 15
  • 16. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Limitless Challenge Uses Marketing & Branding Education Product Improvement New Market Opportunities Sustainability Applications for New Technology Public Services Product Packaging Humanitarian Health New Product Ideas Business Strategy 16
  • 17. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Data Analysis Problem: 4 hours in advance; 50% Accuracy 17
  • 18. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved18 Background: Solar Particle Events (SPEs) can dramatically affect infrastructure (e.g., power grids, communications) as well as astronauts working in space Challenge: Improve Prediction of SPEs Solution: Improved predictability from 50% accuracy 4 hours in advance to 85% accuracy 8 hours in advance • $30,000 award to retired Radio Engineer • Solver now working (on various projects) with NASA 579 Solvers from 53 Countries – 11 submissions from 5 Countries579 Solvers from 53 Countries – 11 submissions from 5 Countries
  • 19. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved19
  • 20. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved20
  • 21. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved21
  • 22. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved22
  • 23. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved23
  • 24. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved24
  • 25. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved25
  • 26. © 2015 InnoCentive, Inc. All Rights Reserved Michael Franklin mfranklin@innocentive.com Elaine Chin, Ph.D. echin@innocentive.com Thank You Steven Drew sdrew@innocentive.com October 16, 2015