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The Road to 5G Networks
Alexia Gonzalez Fanfalone, Economist-Policy Analyst
OECD
11 December 2019, Toulouse
World Bank & TSE Infra4Dev Conference
Infrastructure in the Digital Era: How Should Regulation Adapt?
Reliable connectivity is essential for the digital
transformation
Credit: Microsoft (HoloLens Technology)
The combination of the IoT and AI generates
massive amounts of data…
Internet of
Things Networks
Source: Intel, phys.org
AI
… placing new demands on communication
infrastructure today and in the future
health
transport
industry
Source: Intel
5G is the first mobile generation
standard conceived for an IoT world
• Some 5G characteristics:
– Up to 20 Gbps download
speed
– 10 times lower latency
compared to 4G
– Higher density of devices
connected
• Billions of devices will
connect through 5G
networks and will
use/embed AI
Is 5G revolutionary or evolutionary?
• 5G is both, evolutionary as well as revolutionary
– Evolutionary because:
• Initial stages of deployment: co-existence with 4G
• Many technological innovations such as Massive MIMO and
Network Slicing are also backward compatible
– Revolutionary aspects:
• Likely to “kick-in” in after the second phase of the
standardisation process of 5G-NR standalone (2020)
Evolving competition between fixed
and wireless
The evolution of competition* between services (fixed and mobile)
across mobile network generations
Note: *Illustrative diagram (i.e. does not exhaustively portray all cases or scenarios).
Source: OECD, (2019) “The Road to 5G networks”.
2G
•Mobile voice service
introduced
3G
•Mobile
video/multimedia
services introduced
•Substitution between
fixed voice and mobile
voice
•However, imperfect
substitution for
streamingservices
between fixed and
mobile solutions
4G (LTE)
•Full mobile broadband
•The core of mobile
networks becomes IP-
based
•Mobile broadband
service offers with data
caps
•Imperfect substitution
between leadingedge
mobile broadband and
fixed broadband
solutions
5G
•Enhanced mobile
broadband (with the
promise to be 100-200
times fasterthan LTE)
•Fixed Wireless Access
(FWA) solutions with
higherspeeds start to be
available:
•Will fixed and mobile
broadband become
substitutes?
•New services and
applications may still
rely on fixed high-speed
broadband solutions
5G: implications of network “densification”
Global 5G Deployment Status
Source: Ookla https://www.speedtest.net/insights/blog/ookla-global-5g-map/
Back to the Basics: facilitating the deployment of 5G
networks
• Streamlining rights of way to facilitate network
densification
• Increasing backhaul and backbone connectivity
• Promoting efficient spectrum management
– Spectrum auctions conducted in OECD countries
follow, in general, the principle of technological
neutrality
• Encouraging new forms of infrastructure sharing
• National 5G strategies fostering network
deployment
10
OECD countries at full speed on the road to 5G networks
Thank you!
Further reading:
• The road to 5G
networks:
https://doi.org/10.1787/2f88
0843-en
• IoT measurement
and applications:
https://doi.org/10.1787/352
09dbf-en
Alexia.Gonzalezfanfalone@oecd.org

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The Road to 5G: OECD Perspective

  • 1. The Road to 5G Networks Alexia Gonzalez Fanfalone, Economist-Policy Analyst OECD 11 December 2019, Toulouse World Bank & TSE Infra4Dev Conference Infrastructure in the Digital Era: How Should Regulation Adapt?
  • 2. Reliable connectivity is essential for the digital transformation Credit: Microsoft (HoloLens Technology)
  • 3. The combination of the IoT and AI generates massive amounts of data… Internet of Things Networks Source: Intel, phys.org AI
  • 4. … placing new demands on communication infrastructure today and in the future health transport industry Source: Intel
  • 5. 5G is the first mobile generation standard conceived for an IoT world • Some 5G characteristics: – Up to 20 Gbps download speed – 10 times lower latency compared to 4G – Higher density of devices connected • Billions of devices will connect through 5G networks and will use/embed AI
  • 6. Is 5G revolutionary or evolutionary? • 5G is both, evolutionary as well as revolutionary – Evolutionary because: • Initial stages of deployment: co-existence with 4G • Many technological innovations such as Massive MIMO and Network Slicing are also backward compatible – Revolutionary aspects: • Likely to “kick-in” in after the second phase of the standardisation process of 5G-NR standalone (2020)
  • 7. Evolving competition between fixed and wireless The evolution of competition* between services (fixed and mobile) across mobile network generations Note: *Illustrative diagram (i.e. does not exhaustively portray all cases or scenarios). Source: OECD, (2019) “The Road to 5G networks”. 2G •Mobile voice service introduced 3G •Mobile video/multimedia services introduced •Substitution between fixed voice and mobile voice •However, imperfect substitution for streamingservices between fixed and mobile solutions 4G (LTE) •Full mobile broadband •The core of mobile networks becomes IP- based •Mobile broadband service offers with data caps •Imperfect substitution between leadingedge mobile broadband and fixed broadband solutions 5G •Enhanced mobile broadband (with the promise to be 100-200 times fasterthan LTE) •Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) solutions with higherspeeds start to be available: •Will fixed and mobile broadband become substitutes? •New services and applications may still rely on fixed high-speed broadband solutions
  • 8. 5G: implications of network “densification”
  • 9. Global 5G Deployment Status Source: Ookla https://www.speedtest.net/insights/blog/ookla-global-5g-map/
  • 10. Back to the Basics: facilitating the deployment of 5G networks • Streamlining rights of way to facilitate network densification • Increasing backhaul and backbone connectivity • Promoting efficient spectrum management – Spectrum auctions conducted in OECD countries follow, in general, the principle of technological neutrality • Encouraging new forms of infrastructure sharing • National 5G strategies fostering network deployment 10 OECD countries at full speed on the road to 5G networks
  • 11. Thank you! Further reading: • The road to 5G networks: https://doi.org/10.1787/2f88 0843-en • IoT measurement and applications: https://doi.org/10.1787/352 09dbf-en Alexia.Gonzalezfanfalone@oecd.org