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PITAD
The Pluricourts Investment Treaty Arbitration Database
Malcolm Langford
Professor, Faculty of Law, University of Oslo
Affiliate Researcher , Pluricourts and Co-Coordinator, LEGINVEST
Co-Director, Centre for Law & Social Transformation
University of Bergen & CM
International Investment Treaties: 1980-2018
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
0
50
100
150
200
250
BITs Treaties with Investment Provisions Cumulative
International Investment Arbitration Cases: 1987-2018
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
Treaty-Based Contract/FDI Law ICISD Annulment Cumulative
Database 1.0 Law à UNCTAD
29.10.2018 5
29.10.2018 6
29.10.2018 7
29.10.2018 8
Database 2.0 Empirical
29.10.2018 9
1. Chart deeper trends in jurisprudence & treaties
29.10.2018 10
Tarald Berge and Wolfgang Alschner, Reforming Investment Treaties: Does treaty
design matter?, Investment Treaty News, 17 October 2018.
29.10.2018 11
2. Assess empirical claims (e.g. on legitimacy crisis)
Investor win rates by development
0,57
0,43
0,52
0,47
0,21
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
Lower	
quintile
(n=60)	
2
(n=63)
3
(n=69)
4
(n=71)
Upper	
quintile	
(n=65)
Predicetd	probability	of	investor	win	
Respondent	country	GDP	per	capita	(quintiles)
0,63
0,48 0,45
0,21
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1
Low
income
(n=33)
Lower
middle
income
(n=99)
Upper
middle
income
(n=146)
High
income
(n=51)
Predicetdprobabilityofinvestorwin
Respondent country World Bank Income
Group
Daniel Behn, Tarald Berge and Malcolm Langford, ‘Poor States or Poor Governance: Explaining Outcomes in
Investment Treaty Arbitration’, Northwestern Journal for International Law and Business 38(3) (2018), 333-389.
3. Social science: Understand actor behaviour
29.10.2018 14
29.10.2018 15
Taylor St John, Daniel Behn, Runar Lie and Malcolm Langford, Glass Ceilings and Arbitral Dealings:
Gender and Investment Arbitration, ASIL Research Forum, 2018.
4. Law: Modelling, prediction and legal technology
29.10.2018 16
Wolfgang Alschner and Dmitriy Skougarevskiy, ‘Towards an Automated Production of Legal Texts Using
Recurrent Neural Networks’, 16th International Conference Artificial Intelligence and Law, Conference
Proceedings, June 2017, pp. 229-332.
29.10.2018 17
PITAD Database
Hosted by LEGINVEST Project
Pluriucourts Centre of Excellence
Associate Professor
Daniel Behn
Professor
Ole Kristian Fauchald
Research Fellow
Maksim Usynin
Research Fellow
Runar Lie
Research Fellow
Tarald Berge
Lecturer
Taylor St. John
St Andrews
Assistant Professor
Ottawa
Research Fellow
Tori Kirkebø
110 variables
29.10.2018 20
Case25
Legal basis 3
Contested measures
6
Policy areas 1
Claimants 9
Legal counsel 6
Decisions 22
Merits 3
Claims discussed 1
Damages 7
Costs 7
Dissents/separate opinions 4
Other awards/orders 2
Arbitrator challenges 3
Annulments 7
Arbitrators 10
Tribunal secretary 2
Expert witness 4
Third parties 4
States 20
146 Variables
Cases
Treaties
29.10.2018 21
311 variables
Export Data
The Revolving Door in International
Investment Arbitration
1. Arbitral asymmetry
• Top 25 Arbitrators account for 4% of total
arbitrators
• But 37% of all appointments
29.10.2018 26
• Malcolm Langford, Daniel Behn and Runar Lie, ‘The Revolving Door in International
Investment Arbitration’ Journal of International Economic Law 20 (2), 2017, pp. 301–332.
29.10.2018 27
Arbitrator Network (update)
29.10.2018 28
Rank Arbitrator Nationality HITS
hub
Page
rank
Rank
Cases
Rank
(Puig)
1 Gabrielle Kaufmann-Kohler Switzerland 1.0000 0.0130 2 5
2 Brigitte Stern France 0.9034 0.0210 1 1
3 V.V. Veeder UK 0.7109 0.0099 9 11
4 L. Yves Fortier Canada 0.6308 0.0153 3 8
5 Charles Brower USA 0.6183 0.0123 4 6
6 Francisco Orrego Vicuña Chile 0.5716 0.01281 NI* 2
7 Albert Jan van den Berg Netherlands 0.5176 0.0123 6 9
8 Bernard Hanotiau Belgium 0.4851 0.0103 8 13
9 Karl-Heinz Böckstiegel Germany 0.4469 0.0114 8 16
10 Vaughan Lowe UK 0.4334 0.0075 19 22
Revolving Door
• Sequential
• Simultaneous
– ‘Double hatting’
29.10.2018 29
Legal counsel asymmetry
• Only 1% of legal counsel have acted in more
than 10 cases.
29.10.2018 30
2. Legal Counsel
Rank Counsel Nationality Law firm(s) For
claimant
For resp. Total cases*
1 Stanimir Alexandrov Bulgaria Sidley Austin 13 18 31
2 Nigel Blackaby UK Freshfields 26 4 30
3 Osvaldo Guglielmino Argentina Argentina Ministry 0 25 25
4 Emmanuel Gaillard France Shearman & Sterling 14 7 21
5 Todd Weiler Canada Todd Weiler 20 0 20
6 Angelina Abbona Argentina Argentina Ministry 0 19 19
6 Ronald Goodman US Foley Hoag 3 16 19
7 Stephen Jagusch NZ Quinn Emanuel 12 6 18
7 Gabriela Álvarez-Avila Mexico Curtis Mallet 0 18 18
7 Jan Paulsson France Freshfields 7 11 18
7 Hamid Gharavi France Derains & Gharavi 11 7 18
29.10.2018 31
3. Expert witnesses
29.10.2018 32
Rank Expert Nationality Role For claimant For resp. Total cases
1 Brent Kaczmarek US Quantum/Industry Expert 17 11 28
2 Rudolf Dolzer Germany International Law Expert 13 4 17
3 W. Michael Reisman US International Law Expert 9 7 16
4 Christoph Schreuer Austria International Law Expert 11 2 13
5 Manuel Abdala US Quantum/Industry Expert 5 1 6
6 Anne-Marie Slaughter US International Law Expert 0 5 5
6 Ismael Mata Argentina National Law Expert 0 5 5
6 James Crawford Australia International Law Expert 1 4 5
6 James Dow US Quantum/Industry Expert 0 5 5
6 Joseph Kalt US Quantum/Industry Expert 4 1 5
6 Nico Schrijver Netherlands International Law Expert 2 3 5
6 Pablo Spiller US Quantum/Industry Expert 4 1 5
4. Tribunal secretaries
29.10.2018 33
Rank Secretary name Nationality Institution Total cases
1 Gonzalo Flores Chile ICSID 38
2 Martina Polasek Czech ICSID 30
3 Eloïse Obadia France ICSID 28
4 Aurélia Antonietti France ICSID 25
5 Ucheora Onwuamaegbu Nigeria ICSID 24
6 Natalí Sequeira Costa Rica ICSID 21
7 Claudia Frutos-Peterson Mexico ICSID 20
8 Gabriela Alvarez-Avila Mexico ICSID 19
9 Mercedes Cordido-Freytes de
Kurowski
Venezuela ICSID 16
10 Aïssatou Diop Senegal ICSID 15
10 Anneliese Fleckenstein Venezuela ICSID 15
Entire Network: The Powerbrokers
Rank Name Nationality Arbitrations Counsel
Expert
witness
HITS Hub
1 G. Kaufmann-Kohler Switzerland 56 0 0 1.00000
2 L. Y. Fortier Canada 53 0 0 0.87664
3 B. Stern France 88 0 0 0.87278
4 V. V. Veeder UK 37 2 0 0.55004
5 F. Orrego Vicuña Chile 49 0 0 0.54280
6 S. Alexandrov Bulgaria 32 31 0 0.52113
7 C. Brower US 52 0 0 0.48111
8 J. Crawford Australia 27 14 5 0.48067
9 D. Price US 18 13 0 0.48031
10 E. Gaillard France 23 21 0 0.47015
29.10.2018 34
29.10.2018 35
Implications for arbitral appointments
• Role of symbolic and network capital in obtainining
appointments
• Structural barriers to new entrants
– Role of insiders in arbitration appointments
– Lack of transparency around process
29.10.2018 36
Double Hatting
29.10.2018 37
Case Study: Telekom Malaysia v Ghana
38
Critics
• “it is possible to recognise the difficulty that may arise if
a lawyer spends a morning drafting an arbitral award
that addresses a contentious legal issue, and then in
the afternoon as counsel in a different case drafts a
pleading making arguments on the same legal issue.
Can that lawyer, while acting as arbitrator, cut herself
off entirely from her simultaneous role as counsel?”
• Philippe Sands
29.10.2018 39
Top 10 Double hatters
29.10.2018 40
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Zachary	Douglas
Eric	Schwartz
Stanimir	Alexandrov
Stephen	Schwebel
Florentino		Feliciano
Robert	Volterra
Daniel	Price
James	Crawford
Jan	Paulsson
Emmanuel	Gaillard
Double Hatting Across Time
29.10.2018 41
Reforms?
• Internal debate
• EU’s Investment Court
• UNICTRAL reform process
• Proposals for transitional rules
29.10.2018 42

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The Pluricourts Investment Treaty Arbitration Database

  • 1. PITAD The Pluricourts Investment Treaty Arbitration Database Malcolm Langford Professor, Faculty of Law, University of Oslo Affiliate Researcher , Pluricourts and Co-Coordinator, LEGINVEST Co-Director, Centre for Law & Social Transformation University of Bergen & CM
  • 2. International Investment Treaties: 1980-2018 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 0 50 100 150 200 250 BITs Treaties with Investment Provisions Cumulative
  • 3. International Investment Arbitration Cases: 1987-2018 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Treaty-Based Contract/FDI Law ICISD Annulment Cumulative
  • 4. Database 1.0 Law à UNCTAD 29.10.2018 5
  • 9. 1. Chart deeper trends in jurisprudence & treaties 29.10.2018 10 Tarald Berge and Wolfgang Alschner, Reforming Investment Treaties: Does treaty design matter?, Investment Treaty News, 17 October 2018.
  • 11. 2. Assess empirical claims (e.g. on legitimacy crisis)
  • 12. Investor win rates by development 0,57 0,43 0,52 0,47 0,21 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 Lower quintile (n=60) 2 (n=63) 3 (n=69) 4 (n=71) Upper quintile (n=65) Predicetd probability of investor win Respondent country GDP per capita (quintiles) 0,63 0,48 0,45 0,21 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1 Low income (n=33) Lower middle income (n=99) Upper middle income (n=146) High income (n=51) Predicetdprobabilityofinvestorwin Respondent country World Bank Income Group Daniel Behn, Tarald Berge and Malcolm Langford, ‘Poor States or Poor Governance: Explaining Outcomes in Investment Treaty Arbitration’, Northwestern Journal for International Law and Business 38(3) (2018), 333-389.
  • 13. 3. Social science: Understand actor behaviour 29.10.2018 14
  • 14. 29.10.2018 15 Taylor St John, Daniel Behn, Runar Lie and Malcolm Langford, Glass Ceilings and Arbitral Dealings: Gender and Investment Arbitration, ASIL Research Forum, 2018.
  • 15. 4. Law: Modelling, prediction and legal technology 29.10.2018 16 Wolfgang Alschner and Dmitriy Skougarevskiy, ‘Towards an Automated Production of Legal Texts Using Recurrent Neural Networks’, 16th International Conference Artificial Intelligence and Law, Conference Proceedings, June 2017, pp. 229-332.
  • 17. PITAD Database Hosted by LEGINVEST Project Pluriucourts Centre of Excellence Associate Professor Daniel Behn Professor Ole Kristian Fauchald Research Fellow Maksim Usynin Research Fellow Runar Lie Research Fellow Tarald Berge Lecturer Taylor St. John St Andrews Assistant Professor Ottawa Research Fellow Tori Kirkebø
  • 18.
  • 19. 110 variables 29.10.2018 20 Case25 Legal basis 3 Contested measures 6 Policy areas 1 Claimants 9 Legal counsel 6 Decisions 22 Merits 3 Claims discussed 1 Damages 7 Costs 7 Dissents/separate opinions 4 Other awards/orders 2 Arbitrator challenges 3 Annulments 7 Arbitrators 10 Tribunal secretary 2 Expert witness 4 Third parties 4 States 20 146 Variables Cases
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 24. The Revolving Door in International Investment Arbitration
  • 25. 1. Arbitral asymmetry • Top 25 Arbitrators account for 4% of total arbitrators • But 37% of all appointments 29.10.2018 26 • Malcolm Langford, Daniel Behn and Runar Lie, ‘The Revolving Door in International Investment Arbitration’ Journal of International Economic Law 20 (2), 2017, pp. 301–332.
  • 27. Arbitrator Network (update) 29.10.2018 28 Rank Arbitrator Nationality HITS hub Page rank Rank Cases Rank (Puig) 1 Gabrielle Kaufmann-Kohler Switzerland 1.0000 0.0130 2 5 2 Brigitte Stern France 0.9034 0.0210 1 1 3 V.V. Veeder UK 0.7109 0.0099 9 11 4 L. Yves Fortier Canada 0.6308 0.0153 3 8 5 Charles Brower USA 0.6183 0.0123 4 6 6 Francisco Orrego Vicuña Chile 0.5716 0.01281 NI* 2 7 Albert Jan van den Berg Netherlands 0.5176 0.0123 6 9 8 Bernard Hanotiau Belgium 0.4851 0.0103 8 13 9 Karl-Heinz Böckstiegel Germany 0.4469 0.0114 8 16 10 Vaughan Lowe UK 0.4334 0.0075 19 22
  • 28. Revolving Door • Sequential • Simultaneous – ‘Double hatting’ 29.10.2018 29
  • 29. Legal counsel asymmetry • Only 1% of legal counsel have acted in more than 10 cases. 29.10.2018 30
  • 30. 2. Legal Counsel Rank Counsel Nationality Law firm(s) For claimant For resp. Total cases* 1 Stanimir Alexandrov Bulgaria Sidley Austin 13 18 31 2 Nigel Blackaby UK Freshfields 26 4 30 3 Osvaldo Guglielmino Argentina Argentina Ministry 0 25 25 4 Emmanuel Gaillard France Shearman & Sterling 14 7 21 5 Todd Weiler Canada Todd Weiler 20 0 20 6 Angelina Abbona Argentina Argentina Ministry 0 19 19 6 Ronald Goodman US Foley Hoag 3 16 19 7 Stephen Jagusch NZ Quinn Emanuel 12 6 18 7 Gabriela Álvarez-Avila Mexico Curtis Mallet 0 18 18 7 Jan Paulsson France Freshfields 7 11 18 7 Hamid Gharavi France Derains & Gharavi 11 7 18 29.10.2018 31
  • 31. 3. Expert witnesses 29.10.2018 32 Rank Expert Nationality Role For claimant For resp. Total cases 1 Brent Kaczmarek US Quantum/Industry Expert 17 11 28 2 Rudolf Dolzer Germany International Law Expert 13 4 17 3 W. Michael Reisman US International Law Expert 9 7 16 4 Christoph Schreuer Austria International Law Expert 11 2 13 5 Manuel Abdala US Quantum/Industry Expert 5 1 6 6 Anne-Marie Slaughter US International Law Expert 0 5 5 6 Ismael Mata Argentina National Law Expert 0 5 5 6 James Crawford Australia International Law Expert 1 4 5 6 James Dow US Quantum/Industry Expert 0 5 5 6 Joseph Kalt US Quantum/Industry Expert 4 1 5 6 Nico Schrijver Netherlands International Law Expert 2 3 5 6 Pablo Spiller US Quantum/Industry Expert 4 1 5
  • 32. 4. Tribunal secretaries 29.10.2018 33 Rank Secretary name Nationality Institution Total cases 1 Gonzalo Flores Chile ICSID 38 2 Martina Polasek Czech ICSID 30 3 Eloïse Obadia France ICSID 28 4 Aurélia Antonietti France ICSID 25 5 Ucheora Onwuamaegbu Nigeria ICSID 24 6 Natalí Sequeira Costa Rica ICSID 21 7 Claudia Frutos-Peterson Mexico ICSID 20 8 Gabriela Alvarez-Avila Mexico ICSID 19 9 Mercedes Cordido-Freytes de Kurowski Venezuela ICSID 16 10 Aïssatou Diop Senegal ICSID 15 10 Anneliese Fleckenstein Venezuela ICSID 15
  • 33. Entire Network: The Powerbrokers Rank Name Nationality Arbitrations Counsel Expert witness HITS Hub 1 G. Kaufmann-Kohler Switzerland 56 0 0 1.00000 2 L. Y. Fortier Canada 53 0 0 0.87664 3 B. Stern France 88 0 0 0.87278 4 V. V. Veeder UK 37 2 0 0.55004 5 F. Orrego Vicuña Chile 49 0 0 0.54280 6 S. Alexandrov Bulgaria 32 31 0 0.52113 7 C. Brower US 52 0 0 0.48111 8 J. Crawford Australia 27 14 5 0.48067 9 D. Price US 18 13 0 0.48031 10 E. Gaillard France 23 21 0 0.47015 29.10.2018 34
  • 35. Implications for arbitral appointments • Role of symbolic and network capital in obtainining appointments • Structural barriers to new entrants – Role of insiders in arbitration appointments – Lack of transparency around process 29.10.2018 36
  • 37. Case Study: Telekom Malaysia v Ghana 38
  • 38. Critics • “it is possible to recognise the difficulty that may arise if a lawyer spends a morning drafting an arbitral award that addresses a contentious legal issue, and then in the afternoon as counsel in a different case drafts a pleading making arguments on the same legal issue. Can that lawyer, while acting as arbitrator, cut herself off entirely from her simultaneous role as counsel?” • Philippe Sands 29.10.2018 39
  • 39. Top 10 Double hatters 29.10.2018 40 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Zachary Douglas Eric Schwartz Stanimir Alexandrov Stephen Schwebel Florentino Feliciano Robert Volterra Daniel Price James Crawford Jan Paulsson Emmanuel Gaillard
  • 40. Double Hatting Across Time 29.10.2018 41
  • 41. Reforms? • Internal debate • EU’s Investment Court • UNICTRAL reform process • Proposals for transitional rules 29.10.2018 42