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James Lovelock
I
magine a science-based civilization far
distant in the Galaxy that had built an
interferometer of such resolving power
that it could analyse the chemical composi-
tion of our atmosphere. Simply from this
analysis, they could confidently conclude
that Earth, alone among the planets of the
Solar System, had a carbon-based life and
an industrial civilization. They would have
seen methane and oxygen coexisting in the
upper atmosphere, and their chemists
would have known that these gases are
continually consumed and replaced. The
odds of this happening by chance inorganic
chemistry are very long indeed. Such pers-
istent deep atmospheric disequilibrium
reveals the low entropy characteristic of life.
They would conclude that ours was a live
planet — and the presence of CFCs in the
atmosphere would suggest an industry
unwise enough to have allowed their escape.
As part of NASA’s planetary exploration
team in 1965, thoughts such as these led me
to propose atmospheric analysis for detect-
inglifeonMars.Ialsowonderedwhatcouldbe
keeping Earth’s chemically unstable atmos-
phereconstantandsoappropriateforlife,and
what kept the climate tolerable despite a 30%
increase in solar luminosity since the Earth
formed. Together, these thoughts led me to
the hypothesis that living organisms regulate
the atmosphere in their own interest, and the
novelist William Golding suggested Gaia as
its name.Although the concept of a live Earth
is ancient, Newton was the first scientist to
comparetheEarthtoananimaloravegetable.
Hutton, Huxley and Vernadsky expressed
similar views but, lacking quantitative
evidence, these earlier ideas remained anec-
dotal. In 1925 Alfred Lotka conjectured that
it would be easier to model the evolution of
organisms and their material environment
coupled as a single entity than either of them
separately. Gaia had its origins in these earlier
thoughts, from the evidence gathered by the
biogeochemists Alfred Redfield and Evelyn
Hutchinson and from the mind-wrenching
top-downviewprovidedbyNASA.
Although welcomed by atmospheric
scientists, Earth scientists were cautious.
Biologists, especially Ford Doolittle and
Richard Dawkins, argued strongly that global
self-regulation could never have evolved, as
theorganismwastheunitof selection,not the
biosphere. In time I realized that they were
right — but still I thought, something keeps
the Earth habitable. In 1981 I composed a
model of dark- and light-coloured plants
that competed for growth on a planet in
progressively increasing sunlight. My inten-
tion was not to make a blueprint for the
Earth, but a model to show that Gaia is
consistent with natural selection. This
‘Daisyworld’ regulated its temperature close
tothatfittestforplantgrowthand—unusu-
ally for an evolutionary model made from
coupled differential equations — it was
stable, insensitive to initial conditions and
resistant to perturbation. Daisyworld is
darwinian,buttheevolutionof theorganisms
and the evolution of temperature proceed as
a single, coupled process. The model was
muchcriticized,butsofarhasresistedfalsifi-
cation. It was easy to show that Daisyworld
tolerates ‘cheats’ — daisies that grow but
offer nothing towards self-regulation. Other
critics claimed that daisies would adapt to
changing temperature and therefore simply
concepts
NATURE|VOL426|18/25DECEMBER2003|www.nature.com/nature 769
track temperature change, not regulate it.
But the restraining function connecting
growth with temperature is not negotiable;
chemistry,notbiology,setsitsconstants.
At this stage, the Gaia theory was missing
plausible control mechanisms. The first dis-
coveredwasabiologicalprocessthatredressed
the imbalance of the nutritious elements
sulphur and iodine — these are abundant in
the oceans, but deficient on the land surface.
Itwaswidelyassumedthathydrogensulphide
and sea salt aerosol drifted from the ocean to
the land. In 1971 I discovered that methyl
iodideanddimethylsulphidewereubiquitous
in the Atlantic surface waters, and from my
measurements Peter Liss calculated their
fluxes in 1974. He argued that these biogenic
gases were the main carriers of the natural
elementalcyclesofsulphurandiodine.
Then in 1982, the geochemists James
Walker,P.B.HayesandJimKastingsuggested
that the weathering of calcium silicate rock
could regulate carbon dioxide and climate.
Greater warmth leads to more rainfall and
a faster removal of carbon dioxide from
the atmosphere by rock weathering, which
provides a negative feedback on tempera-
ture. This plausible mechanism is by itself too
small to account for the observed rate of
weathering.Organismsontherocksandinthe
soilbringittolifeasaGaianmechanism;their
growth varies with temperature and their
presenceamplifiestherateofweathering.
In 1986,there was the awesome discovery
byRobertCharlson,JamesLovelock,Meinrat
Andreae and Steven Warren of a connection
between biogenic dimethyl sulphide gas —
the product of ocean algae — its oxidation in
the atmosphere to form cloud condensation
nuclei, and the subsequent effect of the
clouds formed on climate. We wondered
whether this could be a Gaian regulatory
mechanism through the feedback between
climatechangeandalgalgrowth.
By the end of the 1980s there was suffi-
cient evidence, models and mechanisms, to
justify a provisional Gaia theory. Briefly, it
statesthatorganismsandtheirmaterialenvi-
ronment evolve as a single coupled system,
from which emerges the sustained self-regu-
lationof climateandchemistryatahabitable
stateforwhateveristhecurrentbiota.
Likelife,Gaiaisanemergentphenomenon,
comprehensible intuitively, but difficult or
impossible to analyse by reduction — not
surprisingly it is often misunderstood.
A simple automatic mechanism, like a
The living Earth Gaia
Organisms and their environment
evolve as a single, self-regulating
system.
Our planet in perspective: Gaia theory explains the constancy of our unstable atmosphere.
NASA/BETTMANN/CORBIS
18.12 concepts 769 AM 12/12/03 5:40 pm Page 769
©2003 NaturePublishing Group
thermostatically controlled oven, requires a
sensor to measure the difference between the
ambient temperature and the set point of
regulation, and an amplifier to magnify this
difference and apply it as negative feedback
to oppose unwanted change. Living systems
rarely work in this simple way; they require
positiveaswellasnegativefeedbackforhome-
ostasis, and a restraining function replaces
the simple manual set point. This function
allows regulation within a physiologically
acceptable range, instead of at a single set
value. Andrew Watson and other critics have
assumed that to be Gaian,a planet must regu-
latenearperfectly—butphysiologicalsystems
mayperformnobetterthanisneeded.Noone
doubts that humans are in thermostasis, yet
our core temperatures range from 35 to 40 ᑻC
and our extremities from 5 to 45 ᑻC. This
may appear imprecise, but it serves us well.
For the past ten million years the Earth’s
average surface temperature has covered a
similar range between 11 and 16 ᑻC. This is
not evidence of incompetent regulation — it
is sufficient to sustain the Earth system. The
occasional failure of the Earth to regulate
efficiently — as in the present interglacial —
resembles the physiological condition of a
feverwherepositivefeedbackdominates.
Gaia theory does not contradict darwin-
ism,rather it extends it to include evolution-
ary biology and evolutionary geology as a
single science. In Gaia theory, organisms
change their material environment as well as
adapt to it. Selection favours the improvers,
and the expansion of favourable traits
extends local improvement and can make it
global. Inevitably there will be extinctions
and losers, winners may gain in the short
term, but the only long-term beneficiary is
life itself.Its persistence for over three billion
years in spite of numerous catastrophes,
internal or external, lends support to the
theory. I have never intended the powerful
metaphor ‘the living Earth’ more seriously
than the metaphor of‘the selfish gene’.I have
used it, along with my neologism geophysi-
ology, to draw attention to the similarity
betweenGaianandphysiologicalregulation.
I was pleased when Stephen Schneider
persuaded the distinguishedAmerican Geo-
physical Union to devote their 1988 Chap-
man Conference to Gaia, but disappointed
when too many of those who attended
arguedagainstthediscardedGaiahypothesis
of the 1970s, seemingly unaware that
the theory had been revised.I suspected that
few would take Gaia seriously until
eminent scientists approved it publicly. In
1995 I started dialogues with John Maynard
Smith and William Hamilton. Both of them
were prepared to discuss Gaia as a scientific
topic , but neither of them saw how planetary
self-regulation could evolve through natural
selection. Even so, Maynard Smith gave
unstintedsupporttomycolleagueTimLenton
when he wrote a seminal article in Nature.
Hamilton wondered, in a joint paper with
Lenton, if the need of organisms to disperse
was the link that connected ocean algae with
climate. In a 1999 television programme,
Hamilton said: “Just as the observations of
CopernicusneededaNewtontoexplainthem,
we need another Newton to explain how dar-
winianevolutionleadstoahabitableplanet.”
Then the ice began to melt. In 2001, at a
conference in Amsterdam — at which four
principal global change research pro-
grammes were represented — more than a
thousand delegates signed a declaration that
started with the statement: “The Earth Sys-
tem behaves as a single, self-regulating
system comprised of physical, chemical,
biologicalandhumancomponents.”
Gaiatheoryisfruitfulandmakessuccess-
ful or useful predictions (see Table 1). More
than this, it enlightens our view of Earth
systemscienceandtheenvironment.Impor-
tantly,asLynnMargulishasinsisted,itdraws
our attention to the microorganisms, which
arethebiologicalinfrastructureof theEarth.
Microorganismsfilledthewholebiospherefor
the greater part of life’s history and they are
stillvitalforeffectiveplanetaryregulation.
A major achievement of Gaia has been
the change in style of Earth system models.
Climatologists, notably Peter Cox, Richard
Betts and John Schellnhuber and colleagues,
nowincludearesponsivebiotaintheirmod-
els of future climates, and their contribu-
tions have added realism to the predictions
of the 2001 Intergovernmental Panel on
ClimateChangethirdassessmentreport.
As the Earth ages, the Sun’s heat
ineluctably intensifies;in approximately one
billion years the Earth will pass the limit of
climatic stability and irreversibly return to
inorganic chemistry. Moreover, as it grows
older the Earth system weakens, and before
long a large planetesimal impact may throw
our planet prematurely into its final hot,dry
state.Afewthermophilesinoasisecosystems
might survive, but we could never recapture
the abundant life and lush environment we
now enjoy. The Earth system is elderly and
weshouldtreatitwithrespectandcare.
Gaia theory reconciles current thinking
in evolutionary biology with that in evolu-
tionary geology. It extends, not contradicts,
Darwin’s vision, just as relativity enhances,
notdenies,Newtonianphysics.Thetheoryis
provisional, but provides an intellectual
habitat where understanding of the Earth
can evolve and grow. Perhaps its greatest
value lies in its metaphor of a living Earth,
which reminds us that we are part of it and
that human rights are constrained by the
needsof ourplanetarypartners. ■
James Lovelock is at Green College, Woodstock
Road, Oxford OX2 6HG, UK.
FURTHER READING
Kump, L. R., Kasting, J. F. & Crane, R. G. The Earth
System 2nd edn (Pearson Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle
River, New Jersey, 2004).
Hamilton, W. D. & Lenton, T.M. Ethol. Ecol. Evol. 10,
1–16 (1998).
Lenton, T. M. Nature 394, 439–447 (1998).
Lovelock, J. E. The Ages of Gaia (Oxford Univ. Press,
Oxford, 2000).
Margulis, L. The Symbiotic Planet (Phoenix, London,
1999).
Schellnhuber, H.-J. & Wenzel, V. (eds) Earth System
Analysis (Springer, New York, 1998).
Turney, J. Lovelock and Gaia (Icon, Cambridge, 2003).
The Amsterdam Declaration on Global Change online at
http://www.sciconf.igbp.kva.se/AMS_DECLARATION.pdf
concepts
770 NATURE|VOL426|18/25DECEMBER2003|www.nature.com/nature
Table 1 Some predictions from Gaia
Prediction (year) Test and result
Mars lifeless from atmospheric evidence (1968). Viking Mission (1977). Strong confirmation.
That elements are transferred from the ocean to Dimethyl sulphide, dimethyl selenide
the land by biogenic gases (1971). and methyl iodide found (1973, 2000).
Climate regulation through biologically enhanced Microorganisms found greatly to increase
rock weathering (1981). the rate of rock weathering.
That Gaia is aged (1982). Generally accepted.
Climate regulation through cloud albedo control Still under test.
linked to algal gas emissions (1987).
Archaean atmospheric chemistry dominated Still under test but tending to be accepted.
by methane (1988).
Oxygen has not varied from 21DŽ5% for Still under test.
the past 200 million years (1989).
Boreal forests regulate their regional climate Now part of global climate modelling.
in a Daisyworld manner (1988).
Biodiversity is a necessary part of planetary Tested by models, but not yet
self-regulation (1992). in the field.
That the current interglacial is an example of Still controversial.
system failure in a physiological sense (1996).
18.12 concepts 769 AM 12/12/03 5:40 pm Page 770
©2003 NaturePublishing Group

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The Living Earth - James Lovelock

  • 1. James Lovelock I magine a science-based civilization far distant in the Galaxy that had built an interferometer of such resolving power that it could analyse the chemical composi- tion of our atmosphere. Simply from this analysis, they could confidently conclude that Earth, alone among the planets of the Solar System, had a carbon-based life and an industrial civilization. They would have seen methane and oxygen coexisting in the upper atmosphere, and their chemists would have known that these gases are continually consumed and replaced. The odds of this happening by chance inorganic chemistry are very long indeed. Such pers- istent deep atmospheric disequilibrium reveals the low entropy characteristic of life. They would conclude that ours was a live planet — and the presence of CFCs in the atmosphere would suggest an industry unwise enough to have allowed their escape. As part of NASA’s planetary exploration team in 1965, thoughts such as these led me to propose atmospheric analysis for detect- inglifeonMars.Ialsowonderedwhatcouldbe keeping Earth’s chemically unstable atmos- phereconstantandsoappropriateforlife,and what kept the climate tolerable despite a 30% increase in solar luminosity since the Earth formed. Together, these thoughts led me to the hypothesis that living organisms regulate the atmosphere in their own interest, and the novelist William Golding suggested Gaia as its name.Although the concept of a live Earth is ancient, Newton was the first scientist to comparetheEarthtoananimaloravegetable. Hutton, Huxley and Vernadsky expressed similar views but, lacking quantitative evidence, these earlier ideas remained anec- dotal. In 1925 Alfred Lotka conjectured that it would be easier to model the evolution of organisms and their material environment coupled as a single entity than either of them separately. Gaia had its origins in these earlier thoughts, from the evidence gathered by the biogeochemists Alfred Redfield and Evelyn Hutchinson and from the mind-wrenching top-downviewprovidedbyNASA. Although welcomed by atmospheric scientists, Earth scientists were cautious. Biologists, especially Ford Doolittle and Richard Dawkins, argued strongly that global self-regulation could never have evolved, as theorganismwastheunitof selection,not the biosphere. In time I realized that they were right — but still I thought, something keeps the Earth habitable. In 1981 I composed a model of dark- and light-coloured plants that competed for growth on a planet in progressively increasing sunlight. My inten- tion was not to make a blueprint for the Earth, but a model to show that Gaia is consistent with natural selection. This ‘Daisyworld’ regulated its temperature close tothatfittestforplantgrowthand—unusu- ally for an evolutionary model made from coupled differential equations — it was stable, insensitive to initial conditions and resistant to perturbation. Daisyworld is darwinian,buttheevolutionof theorganisms and the evolution of temperature proceed as a single, coupled process. The model was muchcriticized,butsofarhasresistedfalsifi- cation. It was easy to show that Daisyworld tolerates ‘cheats’ — daisies that grow but offer nothing towards self-regulation. Other critics claimed that daisies would adapt to changing temperature and therefore simply concepts NATURE|VOL426|18/25DECEMBER2003|www.nature.com/nature 769 track temperature change, not regulate it. But the restraining function connecting growth with temperature is not negotiable; chemistry,notbiology,setsitsconstants. At this stage, the Gaia theory was missing plausible control mechanisms. The first dis- coveredwasabiologicalprocessthatredressed the imbalance of the nutritious elements sulphur and iodine — these are abundant in the oceans, but deficient on the land surface. Itwaswidelyassumedthathydrogensulphide and sea salt aerosol drifted from the ocean to the land. In 1971 I discovered that methyl iodideanddimethylsulphidewereubiquitous in the Atlantic surface waters, and from my measurements Peter Liss calculated their fluxes in 1974. He argued that these biogenic gases were the main carriers of the natural elementalcyclesofsulphurandiodine. Then in 1982, the geochemists James Walker,P.B.HayesandJimKastingsuggested that the weathering of calcium silicate rock could regulate carbon dioxide and climate. Greater warmth leads to more rainfall and a faster removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere by rock weathering, which provides a negative feedback on tempera- ture. This plausible mechanism is by itself too small to account for the observed rate of weathering.Organismsontherocksandinthe soilbringittolifeasaGaianmechanism;their growth varies with temperature and their presenceamplifiestherateofweathering. In 1986,there was the awesome discovery byRobertCharlson,JamesLovelock,Meinrat Andreae and Steven Warren of a connection between biogenic dimethyl sulphide gas — the product of ocean algae — its oxidation in the atmosphere to form cloud condensation nuclei, and the subsequent effect of the clouds formed on climate. We wondered whether this could be a Gaian regulatory mechanism through the feedback between climatechangeandalgalgrowth. By the end of the 1980s there was suffi- cient evidence, models and mechanisms, to justify a provisional Gaia theory. Briefly, it statesthatorganismsandtheirmaterialenvi- ronment evolve as a single coupled system, from which emerges the sustained self-regu- lationof climateandchemistryatahabitable stateforwhateveristhecurrentbiota. Likelife,Gaiaisanemergentphenomenon, comprehensible intuitively, but difficult or impossible to analyse by reduction — not surprisingly it is often misunderstood. A simple automatic mechanism, like a The living Earth Gaia Organisms and their environment evolve as a single, self-regulating system. Our planet in perspective: Gaia theory explains the constancy of our unstable atmosphere. NASA/BETTMANN/CORBIS 18.12 concepts 769 AM 12/12/03 5:40 pm Page 769 ©2003 NaturePublishing Group
  • 2. thermostatically controlled oven, requires a sensor to measure the difference between the ambient temperature and the set point of regulation, and an amplifier to magnify this difference and apply it as negative feedback to oppose unwanted change. Living systems rarely work in this simple way; they require positiveaswellasnegativefeedbackforhome- ostasis, and a restraining function replaces the simple manual set point. This function allows regulation within a physiologically acceptable range, instead of at a single set value. Andrew Watson and other critics have assumed that to be Gaian,a planet must regu- latenearperfectly—butphysiologicalsystems mayperformnobetterthanisneeded.Noone doubts that humans are in thermostasis, yet our core temperatures range from 35 to 40 ᑻC and our extremities from 5 to 45 ᑻC. This may appear imprecise, but it serves us well. For the past ten million years the Earth’s average surface temperature has covered a similar range between 11 and 16 ᑻC. This is not evidence of incompetent regulation — it is sufficient to sustain the Earth system. The occasional failure of the Earth to regulate efficiently — as in the present interglacial — resembles the physiological condition of a feverwherepositivefeedbackdominates. Gaia theory does not contradict darwin- ism,rather it extends it to include evolution- ary biology and evolutionary geology as a single science. In Gaia theory, organisms change their material environment as well as adapt to it. Selection favours the improvers, and the expansion of favourable traits extends local improvement and can make it global. Inevitably there will be extinctions and losers, winners may gain in the short term, but the only long-term beneficiary is life itself.Its persistence for over three billion years in spite of numerous catastrophes, internal or external, lends support to the theory. I have never intended the powerful metaphor ‘the living Earth’ more seriously than the metaphor of‘the selfish gene’.I have used it, along with my neologism geophysi- ology, to draw attention to the similarity betweenGaianandphysiologicalregulation. I was pleased when Stephen Schneider persuaded the distinguishedAmerican Geo- physical Union to devote their 1988 Chap- man Conference to Gaia, but disappointed when too many of those who attended arguedagainstthediscardedGaiahypothesis of the 1970s, seemingly unaware that the theory had been revised.I suspected that few would take Gaia seriously until eminent scientists approved it publicly. In 1995 I started dialogues with John Maynard Smith and William Hamilton. Both of them were prepared to discuss Gaia as a scientific topic , but neither of them saw how planetary self-regulation could evolve through natural selection. Even so, Maynard Smith gave unstintedsupporttomycolleagueTimLenton when he wrote a seminal article in Nature. Hamilton wondered, in a joint paper with Lenton, if the need of organisms to disperse was the link that connected ocean algae with climate. In a 1999 television programme, Hamilton said: “Just as the observations of CopernicusneededaNewtontoexplainthem, we need another Newton to explain how dar- winianevolutionleadstoahabitableplanet.” Then the ice began to melt. In 2001, at a conference in Amsterdam — at which four principal global change research pro- grammes were represented — more than a thousand delegates signed a declaration that started with the statement: “The Earth Sys- tem behaves as a single, self-regulating system comprised of physical, chemical, biologicalandhumancomponents.” Gaiatheoryisfruitfulandmakessuccess- ful or useful predictions (see Table 1). More than this, it enlightens our view of Earth systemscienceandtheenvironment.Impor- tantly,asLynnMargulishasinsisted,itdraws our attention to the microorganisms, which arethebiologicalinfrastructureof theEarth. Microorganismsfilledthewholebiospherefor the greater part of life’s history and they are stillvitalforeffectiveplanetaryregulation. A major achievement of Gaia has been the change in style of Earth system models. Climatologists, notably Peter Cox, Richard Betts and John Schellnhuber and colleagues, nowincludearesponsivebiotaintheirmod- els of future climates, and their contribu- tions have added realism to the predictions of the 2001 Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChangethirdassessmentreport. As the Earth ages, the Sun’s heat ineluctably intensifies;in approximately one billion years the Earth will pass the limit of climatic stability and irreversibly return to inorganic chemistry. Moreover, as it grows older the Earth system weakens, and before long a large planetesimal impact may throw our planet prematurely into its final hot,dry state.Afewthermophilesinoasisecosystems might survive, but we could never recapture the abundant life and lush environment we now enjoy. The Earth system is elderly and weshouldtreatitwithrespectandcare. Gaia theory reconciles current thinking in evolutionary biology with that in evolu- tionary geology. It extends, not contradicts, Darwin’s vision, just as relativity enhances, notdenies,Newtonianphysics.Thetheoryis provisional, but provides an intellectual habitat where understanding of the Earth can evolve and grow. Perhaps its greatest value lies in its metaphor of a living Earth, which reminds us that we are part of it and that human rights are constrained by the needsof ourplanetarypartners. ■ James Lovelock is at Green College, Woodstock Road, Oxford OX2 6HG, UK. FURTHER READING Kump, L. R., Kasting, J. F. & Crane, R. G. The Earth System 2nd edn (Pearson Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey, 2004). Hamilton, W. D. & Lenton, T.M. Ethol. Ecol. Evol. 10, 1–16 (1998). Lenton, T. M. Nature 394, 439–447 (1998). Lovelock, J. E. The Ages of Gaia (Oxford Univ. Press, Oxford, 2000). Margulis, L. The Symbiotic Planet (Phoenix, London, 1999). Schellnhuber, H.-J. & Wenzel, V. (eds) Earth System Analysis (Springer, New York, 1998). Turney, J. Lovelock and Gaia (Icon, Cambridge, 2003). The Amsterdam Declaration on Global Change online at http://www.sciconf.igbp.kva.se/AMS_DECLARATION.pdf concepts 770 NATURE|VOL426|18/25DECEMBER2003|www.nature.com/nature Table 1 Some predictions from Gaia Prediction (year) Test and result Mars lifeless from atmospheric evidence (1968). Viking Mission (1977). Strong confirmation. That elements are transferred from the ocean to Dimethyl sulphide, dimethyl selenide the land by biogenic gases (1971). and methyl iodide found (1973, 2000). Climate regulation through biologically enhanced Microorganisms found greatly to increase rock weathering (1981). the rate of rock weathering. That Gaia is aged (1982). Generally accepted. Climate regulation through cloud albedo control Still under test. linked to algal gas emissions (1987). Archaean atmospheric chemistry dominated Still under test but tending to be accepted. by methane (1988). Oxygen has not varied from 21DŽ5% for Still under test. the past 200 million years (1989). Boreal forests regulate their regional climate Now part of global climate modelling. in a Daisyworld manner (1988). Biodiversity is a necessary part of planetary Tested by models, but not yet self-regulation (1992). in the field. That the current interglacial is an example of Still controversial. system failure in a physiological sense (1996). 18.12 concepts 769 AM 12/12/03 5:40 pm Page 770 ©2003 NaturePublishing Group