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BBC World Service
World class content
from the world’s largest
international news broadcaster
• Adam Bowie
• adam.bowie@bbc.co.uk
• @adambowie
The Future of Radio
From a UK
Perspective
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
W1:10 W3:10 W1:11 W3:11 W1:12 W3:12 W1:13 W3:13 W1:14 W3:14 W1:15 W3:15
Total
UK Radio
Listening
Radio Listening Hours
Source: RAJAR
80000
85000
90000
95000
100000
105000
110000
115000
120000
125000
130000
W1:10 W3:10 W1:11 W3:11 W1:12 W3:12 W1:13 W3:13 W1:14 W3:14 W1:15 W3:15
15-24
UK Radio
Listening
Radio Listening Hours
Source: RAJAR
= 0
= $
https://www.flickr.com/photos/zimpenfishhttps://www.flickr.com/photos/zimpenfish
23% of all radio listening is in-car in the UK23% of all radio listening is in-car in the UK
Source: RAJAR Q4 2015Source: RAJAR Q4 2015
https://www.flickr.com/photos/xuanxuhttps://www.flickr.com/photos/xuanxu
33% of all radio listening is in-car in the Australia33% of all radio listening is in-car in the Australia
Source: Commercial Radio Australia, 2015Source: Commercial Radio Australia, 2015
https://www.flickr.com/photos/angermannhttps://www.flickr.com/photos/angermann
44% of all radio listening is in-car in the US44% of all radio listening is in-car in the US
Source: Macquarie Capital (USA), April 2014Source: Macquarie Capital (USA), April 2014
NPR One BBC Personalised Radio
The Future of Radio
From a UK
Perspective
• Adam Bowie
• adam.bowie@bbc.co.uk
• @adambowie

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The Future of Radio

Editor's Notes

  1. Адам Боуви, радио-футуролог, коммерческий менеджер, Бизнес департамент, BBC World Service What I’m going to talk about today, is how radio is currently being listened to, and what this means for the development of radio and audio in the future. Clearly there will be differences between different countries and territories, and so although I will concentrate on the future of radio from a British perspective, hopefully this will provide everyone here with some food for thought. Сегодня я расскажу о том, как на данный момент люди слушают радио и что это означает для развития радио и аудио в будущем. Конечно же, в каждой стране и территории будут свои различия. Хотя я сегодня сосредоточусь на теме о будущем развитии радио с Британской точки зрения, надеюсь, что это послужит вам пищей для размышления.
  2. Despite the enormous number of media choices available to audiences today, radio remains very popular. In the UK, 90% of the population listen to at least some radio once a week. But we do need to be careful and not be complacent about radio’s ongoing popularity. There are bigger challenges facing radio today than there have been in its history. Radio will need to adapt to meet these challenges head on. Несмотря на огромное количество медиа платформ, которые доступны для аудитории в настоящее время, радио всё же остается очень популярным. В Великобритании 90 % населения слушают радио по крайней мере один раз в неделю. Но мы должны быть бдительныим и не оставаться удовлетворенными продолжающейся популярностью радио. В настоящее время перед радио стоит больше задач, чем это было до сих пор в его истории. Для решения этих задач, стоящих перед радио, необходимо адаптироваться к новым условиям.
  3. So while 90% of the population listens to the radio, they have other audio choices. Recent research in the UK shows that the next most popular way of listening to audio is via CDs, with 30% of the population listening. Digital tracks – mp3s – are also popular, as are podcasts. And on-demand music services such as Spotify and Apple Music reach 14% of the population. Таким образом, в то время как 90 % населения слушает радио, у них есть другие способы слушать аудио. Недавние исследования в Великобритании показывают, что следующий самый популярный способ прослушивания аудио -это прослушивание с помощью компакт-дисков, их слушают 30% населения. Также популярны цифровые (электронные) треки, mp3 плееры, а также подкасты. Такие музыкальные сервис центры как Spotify и Apple Music, которые доступны в любое удобное время, достигают достигают 14 % населения.
  4. But while the number of people who are listening to radio is important, we also need to consider the amount of time they are spending listening to radio. In the UK, radio listening overall is fairly constant, with around 1 billion hours a week of radio listening, or 21 hours per person per week. Но в то время как число людей, слушающих радио является важным, необходимо ещё учитывать количество времени, которое они проводят на прослушивание радио. В Великобритании, показатель прослушивания радио, в целом, довольно постоянный- около 1 млрд часов в неделю или 21 часов на человека в неделю.
  5. However if you look at younger listeners – this chart shows 15-24 year olds – you can see that listening amongst this group is falling over time. And this same pattern is being replicated in other markets. Однако, если взять молодых слушателей - это диаграмма показывает молодёжь в возрасте 15-24 лет – можно увидеть, что прослушивание среди этой группы снижается со временем. Эта же картина повторяется и на других рынках.
  6. But the news remains good for radio, and people still spend more time listening to the radio than any other type of audio, with 74% of listening. It is much more than any other kind of audio. Тем не менее, перспектива радио положиетльна, и люди - 74%, по-прежнему проводят больше времени слушая радио, чем любой другой тип аудио, с прослушивания. Этот показатель гораздо выше, чем у любого другого вида аудио.
  7. As I said, we face multi-billion dollar global companies like Apple with Apple Music and Beats 1, and Google with Google Play Music and podcasts. They have both launched new services that sometimes seem to compete with traditional radio. We can’t just consider them as the replacements for CDs or mp3s. Как я уже говорил, мы сталкиваемся с многомиллиардными глобальными компаниями как Apple с продукцией Apple Music и Beats 1; Google с продукцией Google Play Music и подкастами. Они оба запустили новые услуги, которые иногда конкурируют с традиционным радио. Мы уже не можем рассматривать их в качестве простой замены компакт-дисков или MP3-файлов.
  8. We have to also consider delivery mechanisms, with the advantages and disadvantages of broadcast versus data from cell-towers. Broadcast is free, it’s robust, it is near-universal and has long established standards. Data via cell phones costs listeners money, but it can offer personalisation, localisation, visuals and metadata. There is not likely to be one single route for listeners to receive our services in the future. Нам необходимо иметь в виду механизмы доставки с учётом преимущества и недостатков радио-вещания по сравнению с материалом, передаваемым из сотовых вышек.  Радои-вещание является бесплатным, надёжным, почти универсальным, с давно устоявшимися стандартами. За материал, полученный через сотовые телефоны слушатели платят деньги. Но эта связь предлагает персонализацию, локализацию, визуальные эффекты и мета-данные.В будущем, возможно, слушатели будут использовать различные способы получения наших услуг.
  9. In the UK, we are seeing a slow transition from FM and AM to DAB and DAB+ listening – from analogue to digital. However, the change is not complete, and while Norway has set a date to go fully digital, most other countries including the UK, haven’t. В Британии мы наблюдаем медленный переход от FM и AM к DAB и DAB+, от аналогового к цифровому вещанию. Но, этот переход еще не завершён. В то время когда Норвегия поставила точную дату перехода к цифровому вещанию, многие другие страны, включая Британию, еще не перешли.
  10. A key areas for the future of radio is in the car. Listening varies very much by country depending on usage, and geography, but it remains important everywhere. Here is a modern car radio that you might get in the UK. It has both FM and digital radios, but also has Bluetooth connectivity and has satellite navigation built in. Once, the only thing you could listen to in a car was the radio. But now there are lots more options – particularly coming from your cell phone. Одним из ключевых областей для будущего радио – это автомобили. В зависимости от географии и использования в разный странах, прослушивание различается, но остаётся важным. Здесь вы видите радио в современном автомобиле, которое вы можете встретить в Великобритании. Такое радио имеет и FM, и цифровые радиоприемники, а также Bluetooth соединение и встроенную спутниковую навигацию. Было время, когда единственное, что вы могли слушать в машине было радио. Но теперь есть намного больше выбора, котрые предоставляет ваш мобильный телефон.
  11. In the UK, 23% of all radio listening is done in the car. В Великобритании, 23 % прослушивания радио происходит в машине.
  12. In Australia, which has large spread out cities, this increases to 33% of all radio listening. В Австралии, где города разбросаны по всей территории, эта цифра увеличивается до 33% .
  13. In the US, where the car is an important part of society, it rises again to 44% of all radio listening. But there is a problem. Technology moves fast, whereas cars have long lives. In the US the average car life is 11 years. It can obviously be much longer! Anything that you put in a car that is “state of the art” today, will be very old technology by the end of that car’s life. В США, где автомобиль является важной частью общества, показатель снова поднимается до 44 % от всего прослушивания радио. Но есть проблема. Технология развивается быстро, в то время как автомобили имеют долгую жизнь. В США средняя продолжительность пользования автомобиля составляет 11 лет. Естественно она могла бы быть гораздо дольше! Все, что вы положили в автомобиль - все самое лучшее современное оборудование, которым вы снабдили ваш автомобиль сегодня, будет считаться очень старой технологией по окончанию жизни этого автомобиля.
  14. The solution seems to be offered by these companies. They essentially allow smartphones to power cars’ entertainment systems. You can still control what you’re listening to from the car itself, but the screen in your car becomes like a TV screen controlled by your phone. All the big car makers are beginning to fit this technology. But they hate it! They feel that they are handing control of their car dashboards to companies like Apple and Google, and they really don’t want to do that. However the speed of technology means that they really have no choice. Эти компании, кажется предлагают решение. Они, в основном, позволяют смартфонам обеспечивать автомобили развлекательной системой. Вы еще можете контролировать то, что вы слушаете внутри автомобиля, но экран в вашем автомобиле становится похожим на экран телевизора, контролируемый с вашего телефона. Все крупные автопроизводители начинают приспосабливать эту технологию в нынешние автомобили. Но они ненавидят его ! Они чувствуют, что они отдают контроль приборных панелей от своих автомобилей таким компаниям, как Apple и Google и, это им действительно не нравится. Однако, скорость технологии означает, что они на самом деле не имеют никакого выбора.
  15. Elsewhere, we are starting to see digital radios being built into phones. While FM has been in phones for many years – including the very cheapest devices – it has often been missing from smartphones. Apple, for example, has never included an FM radio in its iPhone. And nobody until now has included a DAB or DAB+ radio in a phone. This is the LG Stylus 2 which has just launched in both Australia and the UK. It has DAB and DAB+ built in, and hopefully will be the first of many phones including digital radios built in. This obviously saves the user from incurring data fees to listen to the radio. It also uses less battery, and that remains a critical issue for smartphones. В других местах, мы начинаем видеть как цифровые радиостанции встраиваются в телефоны. В течение многих лет в телефонах, в том числе и самых дешевых устройствах, работает FM. Однако в смартфонах он зачастую отсутствует. Apple, например, никогда не включал FM радио в свой iPhone. И никто до сих пор не включил DAB или DAB + радио в какой либо телефон. Это LG Stylus 2, который только что выпустили в Австралии и Великобритании. Он имеет встроенный DAB и DAB + и, надеюсь, будет первым из многих телефонов, со встроенным цифровым радиоприемником. Это, очевидно, избавляет пользователя от платежей за объём интернет услуги, чтобы слушать радио. Он также использует меньше батареи, что остается критической проблемой для смартфонов.
  16. Finally personalisation is here to stay, particularly in a mobile environment. In the US we have seen mobile apps such as NPR One which learns what kind of audio you do and don’t like. And the BBC is planning to develop a personalised offering that pulls from across our range of services, including live audio mixed with on-demand audio, again learning what you like. Our audiences expect us to deliver these kinds of offerings, so that’s what we’re working to achieve. Ну и наконец, персонализация в мобильной среде сохранится.  В США мы уже видели мобильные приложения, такие как NPR One, который узнает, какой вид аудио вам нравится или не нравится. Би-Би-Си планирует разработать персонализированные приложения, которые делают выборку и предлагает как прямую трансляцию, так и подкасты, которые основаны на том, что вам нравится или не нравится. Наши зрители ожидают от нас , что мы предоставим такие предложения и, это как раз то, к чему мы стремимся.
  17. In summary, there is no single future of radio, but a number of different elements. We have to move with the times to stay relevant. The world is very young, and someone born today will expect us to deliver these kinds of products. If we don’t, then someone else will, so radio has to evolve. Like other media, there is a digital revolution. Thank you very much. Do you have any questions? В заключении, нет единственного будущего для радио, а есть целый ряд различных элементов. Мы должны двигаться в ногу со временем, чтобы оставаться актуальными.Мир очень молод, а кто-то, родившийся сегодня будет ожидать от нас поставления новой продукции. Если, мы этого не сделаем, то кто-то другой сделает вместо нас, так что радио должно развиваться. Так же должны развиваться и другие средства массовой информации, идет цифровая революция.  Большое спасибо. У вас есть вопросы?