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The Financial Health and Banking Channel Usage
            of Canadian Households
                  April 8, 2009




                                     Canadian Financial Monitor
The Canadian economy is weakening. According to RBC Economics Research, a rebound
                       in economic growth is anticipated in the second half of 2009 and will continue to gain
                       strength into 2010.




                  5
                                                                     Real GDP
                  4

                  3
Annual % Change




                  2

                  1

                  0
                       Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Q4'09 Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10
                  -1

                  -2

                  -3

                  -4
                               Source: Statistics Canada (Q1’07 to Q4’08) RBC Economics Research (Q1’09 to Q4’10)


                                                                                               Canadian Financial Monitor   2
Despite all the negative numbers, Canada is still expected to be in a better position than many
other nations during this global economic crisis.

                                                     GDP % Change Previous Year
                                -3              -2           -1              0              1               2




                       2009**                                                                         United Kingdom
                                                                                                      Japan
                                                                                                      Germany
                                                                                                      Italy
                                                                                                      France
                                                                                                      United States
                                                                                                      Canada
                       2010**




                                 Source: IMF. **Forecast.




And while more Canadians have lost their jobs, unemployment rates are still higher in many
other developed countries.



                France                                            8.1%

            Germ any                                           7.2%
                United
                                                               7.2%
                States
                     Italy                                   6.7%*

              Canada                                        6.6%
            United
                                                            6.3%
           Kingdom
                 Japan                                 4.5%
             * The chart above shows unemployment rate in Dec. 2008 for all countries except Italy data in Sep. 2008. Source: OECD and
             Bloomberg. Picture: TopNews.in
                                                                                                                        Canadian Financial Monitor   3
How has the economic
          downturn impacted the
financial health of Canadian households?




                              Canadian Financial Monitor   4
$400,000
                                                                                      Net Worth = Total Assets – Total Debt
                                                 $350,000


                                                 $300,000
The wealth of Canadians (i.e. household net
worth) has ceased growing. After 4 years of
                                                 $250,000



steady growth, average household net worth has   $200,000



declined for 2 consecutive years starting in     $150,000



2007.                                            $100,000


                                                  $50,000


                                                      $0
                                                              2000   2001   2002      2003        2004        2005        2006   2007       2008


                                                                                   Average Canadian Household Net Worth




                                                                                                                  Net Worth = Total Assets – Total Debt

Much of the wealth loss happened in the last                                 $259,673                     $258,833


quarter of 2008. After reaching a high in
Q2’08, average household net worth dropped
                                                        $248,654                                                                    $248,705



by 4% over the next two quarters.

                                                            Q1'08             Q2'08                         Q3'08                       Q4'08

                                                                            Average Canadian Household Net Worth




                                                                                                Canadian Financial Monitor                         5
A break down of the assets held by Canadians - % share of dollars – Total 2008
                                                            Average Market Value of Total Assets
                                                                             $312,172
                                                                                  7

Real estate remains the single                                                   31
biggest asset held by most
Canadians.
                                                                                 62




                                                                         Total Households

                                                      Real Estate        Investable Assets            Automobiles




It has provided home owners with
some protection from the stock                                                                             Non
                                                                                      Investable                     Household
market meltdown; percentage                                         Net Worth
                                                                                        Assets
                                                                                                        Investable
                                                                                                                       Debt
declines 2007 to 2008 on real estate   % change - 2008 vs 2007                                            Assets
(non investable assets) have offset      Total Households               -1                   -11               7             5
declines in investable assets.
                                                                    Net Worth = Total Assets – Total Debt
                                                Investable Assets = Chequing/Savings, GICs, Bonds, Stocks and Mutual Funds
                                                            Non Investable Assets = Real Estate and Automobiles
                                                          Debt = Credit Cards, Mortgages, Loans and Lines of Credit




                                                                                                   Canadian Financial Monitor    6
$100,000

                                             $90,000
Over the past 10 years, Canadians have       $80,000

accumulated debt at a higher rate than       $70,000

income growth. Average household debt has    $60,000


increased by 44% over the past 10 years      $50,000

                                             $40,000
whereas household income grew by only
                                             $30,000
28% over the same period.                    $20,000

                                             $10,000

                                                 $0
                                                          1999        2000        2001        2002    2003      2004     2005        2006        2007   2008

                                                                              Average Household Debt           Average Household Income




                                                                                              % of Households
                                                                                         55          54
                                                                                               53         53

The percentage of Canadians who are
                                                                                                                51



Heavy Borrowers is increasing. This
suggests that the increase in overall
consumer debt is being driven by Heavy      25   25      25      25   25
                                                                                                                                20
                                                                                                                                       22   21     22
                                                                                                                                                        24


Borrowers.


                                                      Debt Free                    Light Borrowers (Households with <     Heavy Borrowers (Households with
                                                                                            $100,000 in debt)                 $100,000 or more in debt)


                                                                           2004          2005         2006        2007          2008



                                                                                                      Canadian Financial Monitor                               7
Average Outstanding Balance (000’s)
                                                                                      $125
                                                                                 $116

Much of the rise in overall household debt is                       $95
                                                                          $104
                                                                              $107



being driven by mortgages. Over the past
few years, Canadians have taken out
increasingly larger mortgages; the average
mortgage balance has increased by almost                                                                                 $29
                                                                                                                               $32 $32 $31

1/3 in the past 4 years.                                                                     $18 $19 $18 $18 $19
                                                                                                                   $24

                                                                                                                                                $11 $11 $12 $11 $11
                                                $5 $5 $6 $6 $6



                                                Credit Cards          Mortgages                   Loans            Secured LOC                 Unsecured LOC

                                                             2004                2005              2006            2007                      2008




                                                                                                      Canadian Financial Monitor                                  8
How are Canadians reacting to the economic slowdown? Like others around the world, we are
              cutting household spending.


                                   Cut back on household spending, % yes
          South Korea                                                                                      87%
            Argentina                                                                                    84%
                Turkey                                                                                   84%
               Mexico                                                                                   83%
               France                                                                                 81%
                 China                                                                               80%
         United States                                                                               80%
         Great Britain                                                                             77%
                 Brazil                                                                           76%
                  India                                                                           76%
             Australia                                                                           75%
                   Italy                                                                         75%
                Russia                                                                         73%
                 Japan                                                                         73%
                  Total                                                                       72%
               Canada                                                                       70%
              Belgium                                                                       70%
               Poland                                                                     68%
                 Spain                                                                    68%
       Czech Republic                                                            59%
             Germany                                                             59%
              Sweden                                                      52%
          Netherlands                                              45%

                       Source: Ipsos Global Economic Meltdown; a poll of 22 Countries; December 2008
Q. Given the current state of the global economy, have you and your family had to cut back in your household spending recently?
                                                                                              Canadian Financial Monitor          9
Much of the reduction in consumer spending is on entertainment, vacations and luxury items.



                                         % cutting back – average of all countries

         Entertainment                                                                                      76%

              Vacations                                                                                 73%

          Luxury Items                                                                                 72%

                Clothing                                                                  59%

Energy Consumption                                                                  53%

      Gasoline/Driving                                                        47%

              Groceries                                                41%

             Cell Phone                                        33%

               Cable TV                              23%

              Education                 11%

                     Source: Ipsos Global Economic Meltdown; a poll of 22 Countries; December 2008
Q. What are the specific things that you and your family are cutting back on these days? Base: respondents who have cut back

                                                                                           Canadian Financial Monitor          10
Average
                                                                                                   monthly
                                                                                                   expenditure

                                                                                                                                    $177 $169
                                                        $155 $151                                                                             $153 $165
                                                                     $131 $132
 While the average monthly expenditure has                                                      $107
                                                                                                        $91    $97
                                                                                                                     $81
 declined …

                                                      Eating out (Restaurants/Bars)       Recreation (eg. movies, concerts,           Clothing/Footwear
                                                                                                  sporting events)
                                                                                        Q1'08      Q2'08       Q3'08        Q4'08




                                                                                        % of Households who have
                                                                                        spent money on


                                                88     90     91      91
                                                                                                                                     70     76     78     79
… the frequency of eating out, attending                                                   55      56         59     56
movies, concerts or sporting events and
purchases of clothing or footwear has
remained relatively unchanged.               Eating out (Restaurants/Bars)            Recreation (eg. movies, concerts,
                                                                                              sporting events)
                                                                                                                                       Clothing/Footwear




                                                                                                                   Canadian Financial Monitor                  11
I am confident that the financial institutions I deal with have the financial strength to
                                                                               survive in the current financial climate
                                                                          % strongly agree (top 3 box on a 10 point scale)

                                                                                                                        51
                                                                                                                                              49
                                                        46                                         46

                                                                              39


Canadians still have a high level of confidence
towards their financial institutions. This is
especially true amongst older Canadians.


                                                  Total Households         Under 35              35 to 49             50 to 64               >=65


                                                         * Source: Ipsos’s Market Now (Field work conducted between January 1 and 14, 2009).




                                                                                                    Canadian Financial Monitor                      12
This chart shows the incidence of Canadians using the various channels over
                                                                                     the past month.

                                                  100
                                                  90

The percentage of Canadians banking online is     80
                                                  70
approaching 60% and is almost as widely used as   60
                                                  50
Tellers.                                          40
                                                  30
                                                  20
                                                  10
                                                   0
                                                                2000                 2002                2004                2006                   2008

                                                                            Teller          ABM          Online Banking             Phone Banking




                                                                                                                                              48       49
                                                                                                                                      43
                                                                                                  38    37
                                                                                                                33

And the of Canadians using 3 or more channels
continues to steadily increase.                            16
                                                                       13      12




                                                                  1 Only                               2 Only                              3 or more


                                                                                      2004              2006              2008




                                                                                                   Canadian Financial Monitor                               13
The information in this report primarily comes from Ipsos Canada’s
        Canadian Financial Monitor.


The Canadian Financial Monitor (CFM) was launched in 1999 to address a
market need for an all encompassing study to track the ongoing financial health,
product holdings, banking habits, household expenditures and attitudes of
Canadians.

Results for CFM are collected from a large sample of 12,000 representative
Canadian households.

Information is collected on a monthly basis using a mail diary.

CFM captures a wide array of products including Chequing, Savings, GICs,
Bonds, Stocks, Mutual Funds, Credit Cards, Mortgages, Loans, Lines of Credit,
Life Insurance, Car and Home Insurance and Specialty Insurance.

The channel usage habits (i.e. Online, Phone, ABM, Teller), attitudes and
sentiments of Canadians are also monitored.



                                                              Canadian Financial Monitor   14
CFM is a large study (actual sample size for 2008)

                     Total Canada = 12,004



                                                        Toronto = 1,519
                                                        Montreal = 1,400
                                                        Vancouver = 672




  BC      Alb     Sask     Man       Ont     Que        Atl
1,643 1,120        463      554     4,418 2,805 1,001

                                                     Canadian Financial Monitor   15
For more information about this presentation, please contact
                                                Michael Hsu
                                           Ipsos Reid Corporation
                                               416-572-4406
                                           michael.hsu@ipsos.com



                                       © 2009 Ipsos – All rights reserved.

This report constitutes the sole and exclusive property of Ipsos. Ipsos retains all copyrights and other rights over,
without limitation, Ipsos' trademarks, technologies, methodologies, analyses and know how included or arising out of
this report. The addressee of this report undertakes to maintain it confidential and not to disclose all or part of its
content to any third party without the prior written consent of Ipsos. The addressee undertakes to use this report
solely for its own needs (and the needs of its affiliated companies as the case may be), only for the purpose of
evaluating the report for services of Ipsos. No other use is permitted.


                                                                                          Canadian Financial Monitor      16

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The Financial Health of Canadian Households

  • 1. The Financial Health and Banking Channel Usage of Canadian Households April 8, 2009 Canadian Financial Monitor
  • 2. The Canadian economy is weakening. According to RBC Economics Research, a rebound in economic growth is anticipated in the second half of 2009 and will continue to gain strength into 2010. 5 Real GDP 4 3 Annual % Change 2 1 0 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Q4'09 Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10 -1 -2 -3 -4 Source: Statistics Canada (Q1’07 to Q4’08) RBC Economics Research (Q1’09 to Q4’10) Canadian Financial Monitor 2
  • 3. Despite all the negative numbers, Canada is still expected to be in a better position than many other nations during this global economic crisis. GDP % Change Previous Year -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 2009** United Kingdom Japan Germany Italy France United States Canada 2010** Source: IMF. **Forecast. And while more Canadians have lost their jobs, unemployment rates are still higher in many other developed countries. France 8.1% Germ any 7.2% United 7.2% States Italy 6.7%* Canada 6.6% United 6.3% Kingdom Japan 4.5% * The chart above shows unemployment rate in Dec. 2008 for all countries except Italy data in Sep. 2008. Source: OECD and Bloomberg. Picture: TopNews.in Canadian Financial Monitor 3
  • 4. How has the economic downturn impacted the financial health of Canadian households? Canadian Financial Monitor 4
  • 5. $400,000 Net Worth = Total Assets – Total Debt $350,000 $300,000 The wealth of Canadians (i.e. household net worth) has ceased growing. After 4 years of $250,000 steady growth, average household net worth has $200,000 declined for 2 consecutive years starting in $150,000 2007. $100,000 $50,000 $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Average Canadian Household Net Worth Net Worth = Total Assets – Total Debt Much of the wealth loss happened in the last $259,673 $258,833 quarter of 2008. After reaching a high in Q2’08, average household net worth dropped $248,654 $248,705 by 4% over the next two quarters. Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Average Canadian Household Net Worth Canadian Financial Monitor 5
  • 6. A break down of the assets held by Canadians - % share of dollars – Total 2008 Average Market Value of Total Assets $312,172 7 Real estate remains the single 31 biggest asset held by most Canadians. 62 Total Households Real Estate Investable Assets Automobiles It has provided home owners with some protection from the stock Non Investable Household market meltdown; percentage Net Worth Assets Investable Debt declines 2007 to 2008 on real estate % change - 2008 vs 2007 Assets (non investable assets) have offset Total Households -1 -11 7 5 declines in investable assets. Net Worth = Total Assets – Total Debt Investable Assets = Chequing/Savings, GICs, Bonds, Stocks and Mutual Funds Non Investable Assets = Real Estate and Automobiles Debt = Credit Cards, Mortgages, Loans and Lines of Credit Canadian Financial Monitor 6
  • 7. $100,000 $90,000 Over the past 10 years, Canadians have $80,000 accumulated debt at a higher rate than $70,000 income growth. Average household debt has $60,000 increased by 44% over the past 10 years $50,000 $40,000 whereas household income grew by only $30,000 28% over the same period. $20,000 $10,000 $0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Average Household Debt Average Household Income % of Households 55 54 53 53 The percentage of Canadians who are 51 Heavy Borrowers is increasing. This suggests that the increase in overall consumer debt is being driven by Heavy 25 25 25 25 25 20 22 21 22 24 Borrowers. Debt Free Light Borrowers (Households with < Heavy Borrowers (Households with $100,000 in debt) $100,000 or more in debt) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Canadian Financial Monitor 7
  • 8. Average Outstanding Balance (000’s) $125 $116 Much of the rise in overall household debt is $95 $104 $107 being driven by mortgages. Over the past few years, Canadians have taken out increasingly larger mortgages; the average mortgage balance has increased by almost $29 $32 $32 $31 1/3 in the past 4 years. $18 $19 $18 $18 $19 $24 $11 $11 $12 $11 $11 $5 $5 $6 $6 $6 Credit Cards Mortgages Loans Secured LOC Unsecured LOC 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Canadian Financial Monitor 8
  • 9. How are Canadians reacting to the economic slowdown? Like others around the world, we are cutting household spending. Cut back on household spending, % yes South Korea 87% Argentina 84% Turkey 84% Mexico 83% France 81% China 80% United States 80% Great Britain 77% Brazil 76% India 76% Australia 75% Italy 75% Russia 73% Japan 73% Total 72% Canada 70% Belgium 70% Poland 68% Spain 68% Czech Republic 59% Germany 59% Sweden 52% Netherlands 45% Source: Ipsos Global Economic Meltdown; a poll of 22 Countries; December 2008 Q. Given the current state of the global economy, have you and your family had to cut back in your household spending recently? Canadian Financial Monitor 9
  • 10. Much of the reduction in consumer spending is on entertainment, vacations and luxury items. % cutting back – average of all countries Entertainment 76% Vacations 73% Luxury Items 72% Clothing 59% Energy Consumption 53% Gasoline/Driving 47% Groceries 41% Cell Phone 33% Cable TV 23% Education 11% Source: Ipsos Global Economic Meltdown; a poll of 22 Countries; December 2008 Q. What are the specific things that you and your family are cutting back on these days? Base: respondents who have cut back Canadian Financial Monitor 10
  • 11. Average monthly expenditure $177 $169 $155 $151 $153 $165 $131 $132 While the average monthly expenditure has $107 $91 $97 $81 declined … Eating out (Restaurants/Bars) Recreation (eg. movies, concerts, Clothing/Footwear sporting events) Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 % of Households who have spent money on 88 90 91 91 70 76 78 79 … the frequency of eating out, attending 55 56 59 56 movies, concerts or sporting events and purchases of clothing or footwear has remained relatively unchanged. Eating out (Restaurants/Bars) Recreation (eg. movies, concerts, sporting events) Clothing/Footwear Canadian Financial Monitor 11
  • 12. I am confident that the financial institutions I deal with have the financial strength to survive in the current financial climate % strongly agree (top 3 box on a 10 point scale) 51 49 46 46 39 Canadians still have a high level of confidence towards their financial institutions. This is especially true amongst older Canadians. Total Households Under 35 35 to 49 50 to 64 >=65 * Source: Ipsos’s Market Now (Field work conducted between January 1 and 14, 2009). Canadian Financial Monitor 12
  • 13. This chart shows the incidence of Canadians using the various channels over the past month. 100 90 The percentage of Canadians banking online is 80 70 approaching 60% and is almost as widely used as 60 50 Tellers. 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Teller ABM Online Banking Phone Banking 48 49 43 38 37 33 And the of Canadians using 3 or more channels continues to steadily increase. 16 13 12 1 Only 2 Only 3 or more 2004 2006 2008 Canadian Financial Monitor 13
  • 14. The information in this report primarily comes from Ipsos Canada’s Canadian Financial Monitor. The Canadian Financial Monitor (CFM) was launched in 1999 to address a market need for an all encompassing study to track the ongoing financial health, product holdings, banking habits, household expenditures and attitudes of Canadians. Results for CFM are collected from a large sample of 12,000 representative Canadian households. Information is collected on a monthly basis using a mail diary. CFM captures a wide array of products including Chequing, Savings, GICs, Bonds, Stocks, Mutual Funds, Credit Cards, Mortgages, Loans, Lines of Credit, Life Insurance, Car and Home Insurance and Specialty Insurance. The channel usage habits (i.e. Online, Phone, ABM, Teller), attitudes and sentiments of Canadians are also monitored. Canadian Financial Monitor 14
  • 15. CFM is a large study (actual sample size for 2008) Total Canada = 12,004 Toronto = 1,519 Montreal = 1,400 Vancouver = 672 BC Alb Sask Man Ont Que Atl 1,643 1,120 463 554 4,418 2,805 1,001 Canadian Financial Monitor 15
  • 16. For more information about this presentation, please contact Michael Hsu Ipsos Reid Corporation 416-572-4406 michael.hsu@ipsos.com © 2009 Ipsos – All rights reserved. This report constitutes the sole and exclusive property of Ipsos. Ipsos retains all copyrights and other rights over, without limitation, Ipsos' trademarks, technologies, methodologies, analyses and know how included or arising out of this report. The addressee of this report undertakes to maintain it confidential and not to disclose all or part of its content to any third party without the prior written consent of Ipsos. The addressee undertakes to use this report solely for its own needs (and the needs of its affiliated companies as the case may be), only for the purpose of evaluating the report for services of Ipsos. No other use is permitted. Canadian Financial Monitor 16