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THE EVOLUTION OF
FISCAL POLICY
Fiscal Policy and Potential
Output
Fiscal policy aims to use government taxing and
spending to move the economy toward full
employment with price stability. The focus is
mainly on shifts of the aggregate demand curve.
If unemployment is high, as it was because of the
Great Recession of 2008-2009, fiscal policy tries
to increase
Aggregate demand as a way of boosting output
and
Potential Output
Fiscal policy aims to move the
economy
To its potential output level.
Potential output is the
economy’s maximum
sustainable output in the long
run, given the supply of
resources , the state of
technology, and the rules of
the game that nurture
production and exchange.
Output Below Potential
 If the aggregate demand curve and aggregate
supply curve intersect in the pink shaded area
of Figure 4.7, then output is less than the
economy’s potential .
Output Exceeding Potential
If the aggregate demand curve and aggregate
supply curve intersect in the blue-shaded area of
Figure 4.7, then output exceeds the economy’s .
FIGURE.4.7
Fiscal Policy and Potential Output
Potential Output is the economy’s maximum
sustainable output in the long run. The pink-shaded
area indicates real GDP below the economy’s
potential . The blue-shaded area indicates real GDP
exceeding the economy’s potential. When the
economy reaches potential output ,there is full
employment and price stability.
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
Price
level
How can Output Exceed the
Economy’s Potential ?
 You probably have no problem understanding
that output may fall short if its potential. But
how can output exceeds its potential ?
Remember , potential output does not mean
zero unemployment about 5-6 percent. Even
an economy producing its potential output
has some unemployed labor and some
unused production capacity.
The U.S. Fiscal Policy and the Great
Depression
 In the United States , before the Great
depression , most policy makers believed that
an economy producing less than is potential in
the short run would move to its potential in
the long run without help from the federal
government .
Views of Classical Economists
 Before the 1930s, fiscal policy was seldom
used to influence the overall performance of
the economy. Prior to the Great depression ,
public policy was shaped by the views of
classical economists
The Great Depression and
Keynes
 Classical economists acknowledge that market
economies could produce less than potential
in the short run . The prolonged depression of
the 1930s however, strained belief in the
economy’s ability to correct itself. The Great
depression was marked by unemployment
reaching 25 percent and much unused plant
capacity.

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THE EVOLUTION OF FISCAL POLICY.pptx

  • 2. Fiscal Policy and Potential Output Fiscal policy aims to use government taxing and spending to move the economy toward full employment with price stability. The focus is mainly on shifts of the aggregate demand curve. If unemployment is high, as it was because of the Great Recession of 2008-2009, fiscal policy tries to increase Aggregate demand as a way of boosting output and
  • 3. Potential Output Fiscal policy aims to move the economy To its potential output level. Potential output is the economy’s maximum sustainable output in the long run, given the supply of resources , the state of technology, and the rules of the game that nurture production and exchange.
  • 4. Output Below Potential  If the aggregate demand curve and aggregate supply curve intersect in the pink shaded area of Figure 4.7, then output is less than the economy’s potential .
  • 5. Output Exceeding Potential If the aggregate demand curve and aggregate supply curve intersect in the blue-shaded area of Figure 4.7, then output exceeds the economy’s .
  • 6. FIGURE.4.7 Fiscal Policy and Potential Output Potential Output is the economy’s maximum sustainable output in the long run. The pink-shaded area indicates real GDP below the economy’s potential . The blue-shaded area indicates real GDP exceeding the economy’s potential. When the economy reaches potential output ,there is full employment and price stability.
  • 8. How can Output Exceed the Economy’s Potential ?  You probably have no problem understanding that output may fall short if its potential. But how can output exceeds its potential ? Remember , potential output does not mean zero unemployment about 5-6 percent. Even an economy producing its potential output has some unemployed labor and some unused production capacity.
  • 9. The U.S. Fiscal Policy and the Great Depression  In the United States , before the Great depression , most policy makers believed that an economy producing less than is potential in the short run would move to its potential in the long run without help from the federal government .
  • 10. Views of Classical Economists  Before the 1930s, fiscal policy was seldom used to influence the overall performance of the economy. Prior to the Great depression , public policy was shaped by the views of classical economists
  • 11. The Great Depression and Keynes  Classical economists acknowledge that market economies could produce less than potential in the short run . The prolonged depression of the 1930s however, strained belief in the economy’s ability to correct itself. The Great depression was marked by unemployment reaching 25 percent and much unused plant capacity.