System archetypes are patterns or behaviors in a system. The trap is in the belief that an actor or an event is the cause of the problem, and not the system.
6. the escalation trap
When the state of one stock is determined by trying to
surpass the state of another stock–and vice versa–
then there is a reinforcing feedback loop carrying the
system into an arms race, a smear campaign,
escalating loudness, escalating violence.
7. When the state of one stock is determined by trying to
surpass the state of another stock–and vice versa–
then there is a reinforcing feedback loop carrying the
system into an arms race, a smear campaign,
escalating loudness, escalating violence.
The escalation is exponential and can lead to extremes
surprisingly quickly. If nothing is done, the spiral will be
stopped by someone’s collapse–because exponential
growth cannot go on forever.
– Donella H. Meadows
the escalation trap
8. Cliven Bundy & the Bureau of Land Management
http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/nevada/blm-releases-bundy-cattle-after-protesters-block-southbound-i-15
15. March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency
Notice and Demand for Protection”
with police.
Supporters pledge to stand by Bundy
regardless of threat of life or limb.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
reinforcing feedback loops
16. April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
reinforcing feedback loops
19. April 5
BLM begins rounding up cattle.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
reinforcing feedback loops
20. April 6
Bundy’s son is arrested by
Federal officers.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
April 5
BLM begins rounding up cattle.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
reinforcing feedback loops
21. April 6
Federal officers confront protestors.
April 6
Bundy’s son is arrested by Federal officers.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
April 5
BLM begins rounding up cattle.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
reinforcing feedback loops
22. April 9
Bundy’s relative kicks Federal
officer’s police dog.
April 6
Bundy’s son is arrested.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
April 6
Federal officers confront protestors.
April 5
BLM begins rounding up cattle.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
reinforcing feedback loops
24. April 9
Federal officer tases Bundy’s relative.
April 6
Bundy’s son is arrested.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
April 9
Bundy’s relative kicks Federal officer’s police dog.
April 6
Federal officers confront protestors.
April 5
BLM begins rounding up cattle.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
reinforcing feedback loops
26. April 10
Protest camp forms. Dozens of protestors
show up to support Bundy, some armed.
April 6
Bundy’s son is arrested.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
April 9
Bundy’s relative kicks Federal officer’s police dog.
April 6
Federal officers confront protestors.
April 5
BLM begins rounding up cattle.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
April 9
Federal officer tases Bundy’s relative.
reinforcing feedback loops
28. April 6
Bundy’s son is arrested.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
April 9
Bundy’s relative kicks Federal officer’s police dog.
April 12
Protester tells Fox News, “We were actually
strategizing to put all the women up at the
front. If they are going to start shooting, it’s
going to be women that are going to be
televised all across the world getting shot by
these rogue federal officers.”
April 10
Protest camp forms. Dozens of protestors show up to support Bundy, some armed.
April 6
Federal officers confront protestors.
April 5
BLM begins rounding up cattle.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
April 9
Federal officer tases Bundy’s relative.
reinforcing feedback loops
29. April 6
Bundy’s son is arrested.
March 27
Bundy files “Range War Emergency Notice and Demand for Protection” with police
while supporters pledge to stand by Bundy regardless of threat of life or limb.
April 9
Bundy’s relative kicks Federal officer’s police dog.
April 10
Protest camp forms. Dozens of protestors show up to support Bundy, some armed.
April 6
Federal officers confront protestors.
April 5
BLM begins rounding up cattle.
March 15
BLM notifies Bundy of impending impoundment of cattle.
April 1
BLM sets up “Amendment areas”.
April 9
Federal officer tases Bundy’s relative.
April 12
Protester tells Fox News, “We were actually strategizing to put all the women up at
the front. If they are going to start shooting, it’s going to be women that are going to
be televised all across the world getting shot by these rogue federal officers.”
April 12
BLM concludes cattle gather
due to serious concern
about safety.
reinforcing feedback loops