This document summarizes key factors that affect timberland valuation, focusing on the western U.S. from 2008-2011. It discusses how timberland values have held up compared to other assets during the recession due to factors like deferred harvesting, export markets, and reduced costs. The discount rate, log price projections, timber yields, and production costs have the biggest impact on discounted cash flow valuations used to appraise timberland. High quality appraisals rely on supportable assumptions for these factors.
The March Group | Leading Mergers & Acquisitions Firm PresentationThe March Group
The March Group is a leading global investment banking firm for the private middle market offering unique coverage across the U.S. and around the world.Our primary focus is North American private companies with revenues up to $200m and profitable operations. With over 23 years in middle market operations, The March Group is proven as today's leading M&A firm.
Slides sobre o filme "O senhor das moscas" preparado por Mônica Almeida Neves, como complementação das atividades do curso "Práticas de escrita" e do projeto "AÇÕES ANTI BULLYING E CYBERBULLYING NA ESCOLA", elaborado pelas alunas: OLGA MOREIRA DE SOUSA GONZAGA e MÔNICA ALMEIDA NEVES.
Lesson notes for a lesson in a high school English class to introduce the novel Lord of the Flies. The slideshow provides unit objectives and essential questions, plus discussion points for the day's lesson.
The March Group | Leading Mergers & Acquisitions Firm PresentationThe March Group
The March Group is a leading global investment banking firm for the private middle market offering unique coverage across the U.S. and around the world.Our primary focus is North American private companies with revenues up to $200m and profitable operations. With over 23 years in middle market operations, The March Group is proven as today's leading M&A firm.
Slides sobre o filme "O senhor das moscas" preparado por Mônica Almeida Neves, como complementação das atividades do curso "Práticas de escrita" e do projeto "AÇÕES ANTI BULLYING E CYBERBULLYING NA ESCOLA", elaborado pelas alunas: OLGA MOREIRA DE SOUSA GONZAGA e MÔNICA ALMEIDA NEVES.
Lesson notes for a lesson in a high school English class to introduce the novel Lord of the Flies. The slideshow provides unit objectives and essential questions, plus discussion points for the day's lesson.
Lord of the flies - suggested watching. The 1963 film, despite being old fashioned, actually follows the book much more closely than the 1990 film. See the YouTube video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FE2RL3fupms
Lord of the flies - suggested watching. The 1963 film, despite being old fashioned, actually follows the book much more closely than the 1990 film. See the YouTube video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FE2RL3fupms
An immersive workshop at General Assembly, SF. I typically teach this workshop at General Assembly, San Francisco. To see a list of my upcoming classes, visit https://generalassemb.ly/instructors/seth-familian/4813
I also teach this workshop as a private lunch-and-learn or half-day immersive session for corporate clients. To learn more about pricing and availability, please contact me at http://familian1.com
3 Things Every Sales Team Needs to Be Thinking About in 2017Drift
Thinking about your sales team's goals for 2017? Drift's VP of Sales shares 3 things you can do to improve conversion rates and drive more revenue.
Read the full story on the Drift blog here: http://blog.drift.com/sales-team-tips
How to Become a Thought Leader in Your NicheLeslie Samuel
Are bloggers thought leaders? Here are some tips on how you can become one. Provide great value, put awesome content out there on a regular basis, and help others.
U.S. Department of Agriculture conducts Agricultural Resource Management Survey each year to measure financial well-being of the U.S. farm sector. This presentation outlines several key impact of the results of this survey.
The global forestry and logging market was valued at $372 billion in 2017. Asia Pacific was the largest geographic region accounting for $196.9 billion or 52.9% of the global market.
Read Report
https://www.thebusinessresearchcompany.com/report/forestry-and-logging-global-market-report-2018
PPG Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the PPG Industries Inc stock forecasts from 16 analysts, the average analyst target price for PPG Industries Inc is USD 141.63 over the next 12 months. PPG Industries Inc’s average analyst rating is Buy . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of PPG Industries Inc is Slightly Bearish, which is based on 4 positive signals and 7 negative signals. At the last closing, PPG Industries Inc’s stock price was USD 110.76. PPG Industries Inc’s stock price has changed by -7.04% over the past week, -13.54% over the past month and -27.06% over the last year.
Mercer Capital's Middle Market Transaction Update | Q1 2018Mercer Capital
This newsletter analyzes deal volume, deal value, and other M&A indicators in the middle market in light of the current environment.
Mercer Capital has been successfully executing mergers & acquisitions for a broad spectrum of middle-market companies since the mid-1980s. We specialize in providing merger & acquisition services to sellers or buyers of private businesses or public companies divesting divisions and subsidiaries.
The Global Honey Market is on an upward trajectory, fueled by the growing consumer inclination towards natural and health-promoting foods. Honey's diverse applications in food and beverages, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics contribute to its increasing demand worldwide.
Lord of the flies - suggested watching. The 1963 film, despite being old fashioned, actually follows the book much more closely than the 1990 film. See the YouTube video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FE2RL3fupms
Lord of the flies - suggested watching. The 1963 film, despite being old fashioned, actually follows the book much more closely than the 1990 film. See the YouTube video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FE2RL3fupms
An immersive workshop at General Assembly, SF. I typically teach this workshop at General Assembly, San Francisco. To see a list of my upcoming classes, visit https://generalassemb.ly/instructors/seth-familian/4813
I also teach this workshop as a private lunch-and-learn or half-day immersive session for corporate clients. To learn more about pricing and availability, please contact me at http://familian1.com
3 Things Every Sales Team Needs to Be Thinking About in 2017Drift
Thinking about your sales team's goals for 2017? Drift's VP of Sales shares 3 things you can do to improve conversion rates and drive more revenue.
Read the full story on the Drift blog here: http://blog.drift.com/sales-team-tips
How to Become a Thought Leader in Your NicheLeslie Samuel
Are bloggers thought leaders? Here are some tips on how you can become one. Provide great value, put awesome content out there on a regular basis, and help others.
U.S. Department of Agriculture conducts Agricultural Resource Management Survey each year to measure financial well-being of the U.S. farm sector. This presentation outlines several key impact of the results of this survey.
The global forestry and logging market was valued at $372 billion in 2017. Asia Pacific was the largest geographic region accounting for $196.9 billion or 52.9% of the global market.
Read Report
https://www.thebusinessresearchcompany.com/report/forestry-and-logging-global-market-report-2018
PPG Stock Forecast & Price:
Based on the PPG Industries Inc stock forecasts from 16 analysts, the average analyst target price for PPG Industries Inc is USD 141.63 over the next 12 months. PPG Industries Inc’s average analyst rating is Buy . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of PPG Industries Inc is Slightly Bearish, which is based on 4 positive signals and 7 negative signals. At the last closing, PPG Industries Inc’s stock price was USD 110.76. PPG Industries Inc’s stock price has changed by -7.04% over the past week, -13.54% over the past month and -27.06% over the last year.
Mercer Capital's Middle Market Transaction Update | Q1 2018Mercer Capital
This newsletter analyzes deal volume, deal value, and other M&A indicators in the middle market in light of the current environment.
Mercer Capital has been successfully executing mergers & acquisitions for a broad spectrum of middle-market companies since the mid-1980s. We specialize in providing merger & acquisition services to sellers or buyers of private businesses or public companies divesting divisions and subsidiaries.
The Global Honey Market is on an upward trajectory, fueled by the growing consumer inclination towards natural and health-promoting foods. Honey's diverse applications in food and beverages, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics contribute to its increasing demand worldwide.
Grow + Sell Your Business Part Three: Practical Tips To Facilitate a TransactionKegler Brown Hill + Ritter
Presented by Eric Duffee and Michael Shaw, Copper Run Capital, on 10/17 as part of a Four Part Series. This segment of the series offered 8 clear steps to follow in pursuit of facilitating a successful transaction. It covered areas such as securing your assets, awareness of current market trends, a visual analysis of our current market update, and surrounding yourself with the right team.
Brokerage services global market report 2018 sampleSainathMuntha1
The global brokerage services market was valued at $1188.5 billion in 2017.
Read More: https://www.thebusinessresearchcompany.com/report/brokerage-services-global-market-report-2018
Team Powerpoint Presentation for Threshold Business Competitordre101
This is a Powerpoint Presentation made by myself and a group of mine in which we demonstrated how we won first place in the Threshold Business Competitor Simulation Game in GBUS 180.
In our annual Calgary event, held at the Hyatt Regency Hotel, we presented Strategic Decisions for an Uncertain Future:
Mark Therriault, Nicola Wealth Financial Advisor and Partner, addresses several issues facing high net worth families:
• How will the Liberals’ tax changes affect financial planning for Canadians?
• How will inflated prices impact future returns?
• Are there best practices for navigating the current environment?
Rob Edel, Chief Investment Officer provides an investment roadmap for 2018:
• After a record-breaking period for the S&P 500, what signs might indicate an economic downturn?
• What current events could most affect the economy and investment strategy?
• What should one make of bitcoin, marijuana stocks, electric vehicles, and other hot topics for the upcoming year?
The Discount Rate and Other Factors Affecting Timberland Value
1. The Discount Rate and Other Factors That Affect Timberland Value Roger Lord Mason, Bruce & Girard www.MasonBruce.com Presented at Who Will Own the Forest 7 Sept. 20, 2011 Portland, Oregon
2. Questions Why have timberland values held up so well compared to other asset classes during “The Great Recession”? How do I know if my asset valuation is credible? 2
3. Outline What drives changes in appraisal values, focusing on key factors affecting Income Approach Focus is on western U.S. timberlands, 2008-2011 3
6. Take Away Message You can’t reliably draw conclusions about timberland value trends simply by looking at transactions Too few transactions Too much variation between properties 6 So, how have timberland asset values changed?
7. Approaches to Value Appraisers rely on 3 approaches to value Cost Approach Sales Comparison Approach Income Approach 7
8. Income Approach Discounted Cash Flow analysis Projected income stream and a reversion Key elements: Timber growth & yield Projected product prices Projected harvest volume Management costs Discount rate Which are most important? 8
9. Key Factors Affecting DCF Valuations NPV is most sensitive to: Log price projections Discount rate Near-term timber yields Production costs 9
10. Key Factors Affecting DCF Valuations Results tend to be similar across different properties within same region Sensitivity would vary by region 10
11. Log Price Projections Log prices depend on end-use demand Analyze housing starts and other forecasts Discuss expectations with market participants When will the housing market recover? What else will change? Unforeseen events 2010: inventory issues 2011: log exports 11
12. Forecasting & Moving Targets Recovery to > 1.5 MM units has been 3 to 4 years away… …for the last 4 years. 12
13. Log Price Projections At current discount rates, cash flows in the first 5 years represent 15-30% of the NPV Effect of short-term log market fluctuations are muted by long-term nature of DCF valuation Especially because deferred harvest volume can be stored on stump and will continue to grow 13
14. Discount Rate Discount Rate Data Sources Extract from transactions Market interviews Cap/Yield rates in other real estate sectors Built-up rates Weighted Cost of Capital Source: RISI Timberland Market Report 14
15. Discount Rate Difficult to reliably extract discount rates from transactions Discount rates & log price projections are linked High rates coupled with aggressive price scenarios Low rates more conservative pricing, lower risk 15
16. Discount Rate Sensitivity to D.R. change varies from property to property Depends on profile of income stream over time More impact on young forests with back-loaded income stream 16
17. Discount Rate 4 example properties Raising rate from 5.0% to 6.25% reduces value by 13 to 21% $264 to $881/ac Keeping all else constant 17 But “all else” never stays constant!
18. Observations 2008 - 2011 Managers have acted to protect value Deferred harvest Timed harvests to seasonal market peaks Pursued export markets Shifted species mix where possible Cut costs to preserve margins Logging costs down by 15-20% Haul costs down by 5-10% Likely to be temporary 18
19. Deferred Harvest Oregon industry harvest dropped 24% in 2009 2009 harvest down 33% from 2003-07 average Accumulated deferral since 2008 = 70% of previous 5-yr harvest 19 1.9 BBF Oregon Dept. of Forestry data
20. Deferred Harvest Washington private harvest dropped more dramatically 2009 harvest down 47% from 2003-07 average Accumulated deferral since 2008 = 101% of previous 5-yr harvest 20 2.4 BBF Washington Dept of Revenue data
21. Timing Harvests Managers preserving margins by selling more volume into spring price surges 2009 caused by supply chain imbalance 2010 caused by export surge 21 Doug-fir Whitewoods
23. Production Cost Management Increase bid-based contracting of logging and trucking Focus harvests on lower cost tracts Reduce road costs Reduce silviculture and admin expenses 23
24. Take Away Message Negative Factors Increased discount rate Decreased short to medium term domestic log prices Reduced HBU and auxiliary income Positive Factors Delayed harvest adds capital appreciation Timing harvests to market spikes Increased export Reduced logging & hauling costs Increased pulpwood income 24
25.
26. Is Your Asset Valuation Accurate? What can you look for to judge the quality of your timberland appraisals? 26
27. Appraiser Selection Best Practice Third-party, independent general certified appraiser Qualified and experienced in timberland asset Properly supported opinion Developed with generally accepted valuation principles and standards Appraiser rotation Watch out for Over-reliance on internal valuations (see GIPS & REIS standards) Conflicts of interest Lack of timberland expertise Lack of geographic expertise 27
28. GIPS / REIS REIS – Real Estate Information Standards GIPS – Global Investment Performance Standards Increasing transparency of real estate industry Annual external appraisals, unless stipulated otherwise by client agreement (after 1/1/12) Externals must be performed by an independent external professionally designated, certified, or licensed commercial property appraiser Recommend appraiser be rotated every 3-5 yrs 28
29. Discount Rate Best Practice Rate supported by market evidence Transactions Market participant surveys Other disclosed evidence Watch out for Unsupported rate assumption Rate not adjusted to property-specific risk factors 29
30. Log Price Projections Best Practice Projections supported by Macro-economic analysis Property-specific history Reasoned logic Log grade or product specific prices Watch out for Unsupported price assumptions Over-reliance on trend prices Long-term price appreciation not supported by history and/or an economic rationale 30
31. Growth & Harvest Projections Best Practice Use of property inventory data Projected with accepted growth models calibrated to local conditions Correct species mix and log product distributions Merchandized to market specifications Watch out for Use of regional yield curves or growth percentages Initial inventory that doesn’t match property Lack of log grades or size classes (PNW) 31
32. Costs Best Practice Consideration of property-specific cost history as well as local market region averages Watch out for Unsupported cost assumptions Incomplete cost structure 32
33. About Mason, Bruce & Girard Full service natural resource consulting firm Forestry Services Forest management responsibility on 300,000 acres Inventory & Biometrics Planning & Economics Appraisal & Valuation Services Environmental Services Geospatial Services Appraisal & Valuation Over the last five years, MB&G has appraised 5.0 million acres of timberland valued at nearly $15 billion Other valuation services include: Acquisition/Divestiture Due diligence Conservation easements Litigation Support & Expert Witness www.MasonBruce.com 33
34. About Mason, Bruce & Girard MB&G began as a forestry consulting business in 1921 under David Mason. Mason began his first forestry consulting firm soon after the 1920 publication of his research on the timber industry and lumber production in the Pacific Northwest. As a result of his efforts to move the timber industry toward a more professional and sustainable approach to forestry, he became widely known as one of the nation’s first leading advocates of sustained yield forest management. In 1936, Mason created a partnership with Donald Bruce — Mason & Bruce. Not long thereafter, James Girard joined the group, and in 1948 the firm adopted its present name — Mason, Bruce & Girard. By the middle of the 20th Century, David Mason’s and MB&G’s influence on the forestry industry was second to none. In fact, in 1952 F.K. Weyerhaeuser said of David Mason: “No single person has been more influential in promoting sound forest management on private forest lands than he.” Over the years, MB&G has expanded its range of services, and today has diversified into a full-service natural resources consulting firm, with expertise in environmental services, forestry and geographic information systems (GIS). David Mason 34