Telecom Regulatory and Policy Environment 2008

Telecom Regulatory and Policy Environment 2008 Rohan Samarajiva Bangkok, October 2009

Plan of presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Investment by competitive operators is key to sector performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Evaluation of risks at point of investment (or re-investment) is both subjective and objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Multiple ways of evaluating regulatory environment (institutional framework, processes, outputs) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],LOW HIGH Level of subjectivity of evaluation

To meaningfully evaluate regulatory risk subjective evaluations are a must/best. Evaluation has to include more than what's written down on paper ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

TRE : a measure of the perceived efficacy of the overall regulatory environment ,[object Object]

Starting point: Against what criteria can we evaluate? Who should supply the data for evaluation? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

TRE: an evaluation of the Telecom Policy and Regulatory Environment in a country, along 7 dimensions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Directly from GATS regulatory reference paper

Target a minimum of 45 senior stakeholders per country, from 3 categories (micro states exception) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Short Questionnaire using Likert Scale. 5-7 minutes to complete, on average ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Entry Highly effective Highly ineffective 1 2 3 4 5

Administered in person, online, fax, etc. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Ways to use the results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Market Entry : PK leads with clear (yet expensive) licensing conditions. LK low scores related to delays in Airtel market entry (2007-09) PK: Best performer LK: Worst Performer

PK: Expensive but transparent licensing conditions; no restrictions on foreign ownership ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Interconnection : Thai concessionaires subject to unsustainable IC rules by govt operators TH: Worst Performer

Thailand: concession regime stacks the cards against non-government-owned operators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Tariff regulation : India’s tariffs among lowest in the world. Regulator does not regulate prices IN: Best performer

Using TRE scores to track regulatory performance over time ,[object Object]

In 2006, India's was worst in USO. India also received lowest USO TRE score in the region. Now one of the best two

Mobile drove rural penetration. But USO policy charged 5% of mobile gross revenues and funded only fixed. 2 nd largest undisbursed USF in world Change in USO Policy

Post-policy change, TRE for USO increased 64%. Biggest change observed. Stakeholders rewarding policy, even though funds yet to be disbursed ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],64% increase 36% increase

TRE does best in diagnosing problems with a country's regulatory functions What works? What does not?

Internal consistency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Telecom Regulatory and Policy Environment 2008

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Telecom Regulatory and Policy Environment 2008