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Vertical Mergers in the Technology, Media and
Telecom Sector
1
Pedro Gonzaga (Pedro.Gonzaga@oecd.org)
OECD COMPETITION COMMITTEE
Vertical mergers… Are they a problem?
2
99% of the literature focuses
on the competitive risks
1% of the literature focuses
on efficiencies
(exceptions)
(general case)
What does the empirical literature say?
3
7
0
27
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Undetermined
Negative
Positive or Neutral
Number of studies
Impact of vertical integration on consumer welfare
Source: Based on two surveys of the literature: Lafontaine and Slade (2007) and Global Antitrust Institute (2018).
• Some studies find evidence of harm to competitors (e.g. foreclosure)
• But evidence of consumer harm is more limited…
Enforcement generally reflects empirical
evidence
4
 Vertical mergers account for a small share of merger enforcement.
 Most decisions involve remedies, while prohibitions are rare.
Horizontal
87%
Vertical
8%
 Most authorities recognise that vertical
mergers are less problematic than
horizontal mergers.
Source: Based on 2017 data from 26 jurisdictions (Allen & Overy, 2018)
Why are vertical mergers less problematic than
horizontal mergers?
5
Price / quality
externalities
Production
efficiency
Net welfare
effect
Horizontal Merger
Horizontal
externalities (-)
Economies of
scale (+) ?
Vertical Mergers
Vertical
externalities (+)
Economies of
scope (+) +
Direct effects of a merger:
Vertical mergers can only harm competition indirectly
BUT HOW?
Vertical theories of harm
6
Elimination of potential
entrants
Elimination of entry
facilitators
Customer foreclosure
Raising rivals’ costs
Lowering rivals’
revenues
Evasion of regulation
Misuse of sensitive
information
Price discrimination
Information
exchanges
Increase of cost
symmetry
Input foreclosure
Weakening maverick
Elimination of disruptive buyer
Foreclosure threat
Improved
bargaining position
Unilateral incentive to
raise prices
Elimination of disruptive
seller
Main vertical theories of harm
(by type of asset)
7
Asset
FORECLOSURE
(unilateral effect)
COLLUSION
(coordinated effect)
Input Input foreclosure
Elimination of a disruptive
seller
Customer base Customer foreclosure
Elimination of a disruptive
buyer
Commercially sensitive
information
Misuse of commercially
sensitive information
Exchange of sensitive
information
Most theories of harm are variations of these general theories
Alternative theories are rarely investigated in practice.
 E.g. price discrimination (generally pro-competitive).
How to identify harmful vertical mergers?
8
Ability
Incentive
Effect
Requires control over an important and unique asset
Depends on diversion ratios and price margins
Harm (indirect) > Efficiencies (direct)
What is the best enforcement action?
9
• Remedies are often less restrictive than a prohibition decision.
• Although structural remedies are usually preferred, behavioural
remedies might be appropriate to address
vertical theories of harm.
Behavioural
remedies
62%
Full prohibition
17%
Abandoned
12%
Structural
remedies
9%
Source: Based on 68 vertical merger cases between 2015 and 2017 (ICN & CMA,
2018)
Why the focus on the TMT sector?
10
• Potentially greater ability:
– Big data, IPRs, platforms…
• Potentially greater incentive:
– Block entry, avoid regulation, counter bargaining power…
• But also greater scope for efficiencies:
– Economies of scope, quality externalities, hold-up problem…
It is crucial to look at the effects on consumers
Merger intervention in the TMT sector in 2017
11
Consumer &
Retail
16%
Industrial &
Manufacturing
29%
Financials
6%
Life Sciences
13% Others
20%
Technology
6%
Media
5%
Telecom
5%
TMT
16%
Share of merger intervention in the
TMT sector (16%)
Share of M&A activity in the TMT
sector (24%)<
Vertical Mergers in the Technology, Media and
Telecom Sector
12
Pedro Gonzaga (Pedro.Gonzaga@oecd.org)
OECD COMPETITION COMMITTEE

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Vertical Mergers in TMT: Efficiencies vs. Risks

  • 1. Vertical Mergers in the Technology, Media and Telecom Sector 1 Pedro Gonzaga (Pedro.Gonzaga@oecd.org) OECD COMPETITION COMMITTEE
  • 2. Vertical mergers… Are they a problem? 2 99% of the literature focuses on the competitive risks 1% of the literature focuses on efficiencies (exceptions) (general case)
  • 3. What does the empirical literature say? 3 7 0 27 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Undetermined Negative Positive or Neutral Number of studies Impact of vertical integration on consumer welfare Source: Based on two surveys of the literature: Lafontaine and Slade (2007) and Global Antitrust Institute (2018). • Some studies find evidence of harm to competitors (e.g. foreclosure) • But evidence of consumer harm is more limited…
  • 4. Enforcement generally reflects empirical evidence 4  Vertical mergers account for a small share of merger enforcement.  Most decisions involve remedies, while prohibitions are rare. Horizontal 87% Vertical 8%  Most authorities recognise that vertical mergers are less problematic than horizontal mergers. Source: Based on 2017 data from 26 jurisdictions (Allen & Overy, 2018)
  • 5. Why are vertical mergers less problematic than horizontal mergers? 5 Price / quality externalities Production efficiency Net welfare effect Horizontal Merger Horizontal externalities (-) Economies of scale (+) ? Vertical Mergers Vertical externalities (+) Economies of scope (+) + Direct effects of a merger: Vertical mergers can only harm competition indirectly BUT HOW?
  • 6. Vertical theories of harm 6 Elimination of potential entrants Elimination of entry facilitators Customer foreclosure Raising rivals’ costs Lowering rivals’ revenues Evasion of regulation Misuse of sensitive information Price discrimination Information exchanges Increase of cost symmetry Input foreclosure Weakening maverick Elimination of disruptive buyer Foreclosure threat Improved bargaining position Unilateral incentive to raise prices Elimination of disruptive seller
  • 7. Main vertical theories of harm (by type of asset) 7 Asset FORECLOSURE (unilateral effect) COLLUSION (coordinated effect) Input Input foreclosure Elimination of a disruptive seller Customer base Customer foreclosure Elimination of a disruptive buyer Commercially sensitive information Misuse of commercially sensitive information Exchange of sensitive information Most theories of harm are variations of these general theories Alternative theories are rarely investigated in practice.  E.g. price discrimination (generally pro-competitive).
  • 8. How to identify harmful vertical mergers? 8 Ability Incentive Effect Requires control over an important and unique asset Depends on diversion ratios and price margins Harm (indirect) > Efficiencies (direct)
  • 9. What is the best enforcement action? 9 • Remedies are often less restrictive than a prohibition decision. • Although structural remedies are usually preferred, behavioural remedies might be appropriate to address vertical theories of harm. Behavioural remedies 62% Full prohibition 17% Abandoned 12% Structural remedies 9% Source: Based on 68 vertical merger cases between 2015 and 2017 (ICN & CMA, 2018)
  • 10. Why the focus on the TMT sector? 10 • Potentially greater ability: – Big data, IPRs, platforms… • Potentially greater incentive: – Block entry, avoid regulation, counter bargaining power… • But also greater scope for efficiencies: – Economies of scope, quality externalities, hold-up problem… It is crucial to look at the effects on consumers
  • 11. Merger intervention in the TMT sector in 2017 11 Consumer & Retail 16% Industrial & Manufacturing 29% Financials 6% Life Sciences 13% Others 20% Technology 6% Media 5% Telecom 5% TMT 16% Share of merger intervention in the TMT sector (16%) Share of M&A activity in the TMT sector (24%)<
  • 12. Vertical Mergers in the Technology, Media and Telecom Sector 12 Pedro Gonzaga (Pedro.Gonzaga@oecd.org) OECD COMPETITION COMMITTEE