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Sustainable Energy Infrastructure:
Financing RE - an economic development and
          infrastructure approach

 & smartgrids for sustainable development



                 Matt Kennedy
             CoChair of IEA RETD
       21 Feb 2012, Global Energy Basel
Agenda

 To provide an overview of a recent IEA RETD Financing Study
    Strategies to finance large-scale deployment of renewable energy
     projects - an economic development and infrastructure approach


 To highlight the importance of smartgrids for energy infrastructure,
  utilising a smartgrid roadmap development project to 2050




www.iea-retd.org                                                         2
Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report

 Background to the study

 Released in December 2011
 Title: Strategies to finance large-scale deployment of renewable
  energy projects - an economic development and infrastructure
  approach
 Rational IEA-RETD: get more insight in what is needed now to attract
  substantial financial flows to the renewable energy sector? What to
  do now in order to make miles?
 Available at: http://iea-retd.org/archives/publications/finance-re




www.iea-retd.org                                                     3
Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report


Take-Away Themes from Report

    Existing finance mechanisms alone will not attract huge quantities
     of needed new investment capital
    Need to access new capital by reducing risk-to-reward ratio,
     showing potential profit to investors
    New approaches needed to:
    1. Combine support mechanisms with new financial products, possibly
       under management of national infrastructure bank
    2. Bring together job creation, finance, innovation, and policies for energy
       security, national economic recovery, and sustained competitiveness




www.iea-retd.org                                                                   4
Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report


Obstacles to Renewable Energy Investment

1. Perceived cost disadvantage to fossil fuel technologies
2. Intermittent resources require enabling technologies
3. Limitations of existing transmission grids
4. Matching funding sources to risk-to-reward profiles
5. Real world economic recessions and national deficits
6. Embedded institutional relationships support incumbent fossil fuel
   Market failures such as un-priced carbon emissions
7. Technological and Competitive Risks bring investment obstacles
      Uncertainty Large upfront asset costs
      Restricted lending by banks, High transaction costs
      Inflated costs to cover unknown or risk contingencies



www.iea-retd.org                                                        5
Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report


Public Support and Finance Mechanisms

 Price-Based Instruments
 Quantity-Based Instruments
 Investment Subsidies
 Financial Institution Partnership Programs
 Complementary Tax Measures

 Pension funds: P8 Groups with USD $3.5 trillion
 Sovereign Funds: top 10 with USD $3.8 trillion
 Insurance Funds: could be tapped with tax credit incentives
 Profitable Corporations: making use of Tax Equity Incentives


www.iea-retd.org                                                 6
Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report


Basis for Plausible Solutions

    Incorporate and integrate four kinds of pubic and private
     approaches for renewable energy:

    1. Economic Development, incentivizing renewable energy technological
       transition: replication of Asian models (RE as industrial policy)

    2. Financial Innovation, institutionalize finance that buildings RE
       infrastructures, including EIB, Germany’s KfW,, proposed GIB

          Proposed early launch (incubator) to give investor confidence
          Public funds as seed and leveraged (first loss position)
          Recycle investment funds and Explore green bonds


www.iea-retd.org                                                            7
Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report


Basis for Plausible Solutions

    3. Innovation Strategies, create enabling technologies that drive down costs
    encourage “open and distributed” innovation to tap dispersed global talent
    and to collaborate across institutions.
    Use “Distributed Innovation” to form public-private networks for accelerated
    and leveraged R&D, e.g., Marie Curie EU FP7, UK Carbon Trust Wind
    Accelerator, and US SEMATECH



    4. Enabling Energy Policies, support investment in RE infrastructure with
    consistent enabling environment giving stable long-term investment signals.
    Scale-up of Existing Technologies
    Support Emerging Technologies



www.iea-retd.org                                                                8
Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report


RE Financing Infrastructure Conclusion


 Need to consider it as national/regional, long-term, infra-structure
  building exercises vs. series of un-related individual large projects.
 Need policies and institutions to increase public-funding leverage to
  target and unleash the large pools of private capital.
 The suite of policies should align and integrate strategies for creating
  a new renewable energy infrastructure and a robust economy with
  long-term job generation, improved and lower cost technologies,
  better climate, energy security, and raised national competitiveness.




www.iea-retd.org                                                             9
Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap



The importance of
Smartgrid : A Roadmap




www.iea-retd.org
Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap

                                                   Smart Grids?
The basic concept: maximizing throughput of the electricity delivery system
while reducing the energy consumption
  monitoring, analysis, control, communication




  www.iea-retd.org
The Smart Grid




www.iea-retd.org
The Smart Grid




www.iea-retd.org
Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap
                   Roadmap – Steering Group




www.iea-retd.org
Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap


Industry consultation




www.iea-retd.org
www.iea-retd.org
Projected Final Energy Demand by Sector




www.iea-retd.org
Projected Electricity Generation Mix




www.iea-retd.org
Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap

    Key Findings

By 2050, this scenario shows:
• Increasing electrification of thermal loads in the residential, services and
   transport sectors
•     Electrical final energy demand >48,000 GWh
      • 88% renewable, 33,000 GWh on-shore wind
•     Decarbonisation of electricity in the Irish system
•     Reduction in energy imports in excess of 4.3 Mtoe


Monetary Savings (offset imports):
$/Barrel Oil           $111   $179    $247
Savings (Billions)            €2.35   €3.79   €5.23

    www.iea-retd.org
Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap
             Smart Grid Roadmap – next 10 years

•   Establish a test-bed facility, strengthening smart grid technology research.
•   Develop and deploy training courses in smart grid systems and
    technologies.
•   Review of policies dealing with energy and CO2 ratings of buildings to
    encourage electrification.
•   Develop interoperability standards and secure communications and data
    protocols
•   National rollout of smart meters with DSM and variable ToU tariffs.
•   Develop an overlay of secure, high speed communications onto the
    electricity system.
•   Continue grid investment programmes, Grid-West, Grid 25.




    www.iea-retd.org
Questions? Thank you




For additional information on RETD

Online:      www.iea-retd.org
Contact:     matthew.kennedy@seai.ie
IEA_RETD@ecofys.com

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Sustainable Energy Infrastructure: Financing RE - an economic development and infrastructure approach

  • 1. Sustainable Energy Infrastructure: Financing RE - an economic development and infrastructure approach & smartgrids for sustainable development Matt Kennedy CoChair of IEA RETD 21 Feb 2012, Global Energy Basel
  • 2. Agenda  To provide an overview of a recent IEA RETD Financing Study  Strategies to finance large-scale deployment of renewable energy projects - an economic development and infrastructure approach  To highlight the importance of smartgrids for energy infrastructure, utilising a smartgrid roadmap development project to 2050 www.iea-retd.org 2
  • 3. Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report Background to the study  Released in December 2011  Title: Strategies to finance large-scale deployment of renewable energy projects - an economic development and infrastructure approach  Rational IEA-RETD: get more insight in what is needed now to attract substantial financial flows to the renewable energy sector? What to do now in order to make miles?  Available at: http://iea-retd.org/archives/publications/finance-re www.iea-retd.org 3
  • 4. Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report Take-Away Themes from Report  Existing finance mechanisms alone will not attract huge quantities of needed new investment capital  Need to access new capital by reducing risk-to-reward ratio, showing potential profit to investors  New approaches needed to: 1. Combine support mechanisms with new financial products, possibly under management of national infrastructure bank 2. Bring together job creation, finance, innovation, and policies for energy security, national economic recovery, and sustained competitiveness www.iea-retd.org 4
  • 5. Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report Obstacles to Renewable Energy Investment 1. Perceived cost disadvantage to fossil fuel technologies 2. Intermittent resources require enabling technologies 3. Limitations of existing transmission grids 4. Matching funding sources to risk-to-reward profiles 5. Real world economic recessions and national deficits 6. Embedded institutional relationships support incumbent fossil fuel Market failures such as un-priced carbon emissions 7. Technological and Competitive Risks bring investment obstacles  Uncertainty Large upfront asset costs  Restricted lending by banks, High transaction costs  Inflated costs to cover unknown or risk contingencies www.iea-retd.org 5
  • 6. Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report Public Support and Finance Mechanisms  Price-Based Instruments  Quantity-Based Instruments  Investment Subsidies  Financial Institution Partnership Programs  Complementary Tax Measures  Pension funds: P8 Groups with USD $3.5 trillion  Sovereign Funds: top 10 with USD $3.8 trillion  Insurance Funds: could be tapped with tax credit incentives  Profitable Corporations: making use of Tax Equity Incentives www.iea-retd.org 6
  • 7. Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report Basis for Plausible Solutions  Incorporate and integrate four kinds of pubic and private approaches for renewable energy: 1. Economic Development, incentivizing renewable energy technological transition: replication of Asian models (RE as industrial policy) 2. Financial Innovation, institutionalize finance that buildings RE infrastructures, including EIB, Germany’s KfW,, proposed GIB  Proposed early launch (incubator) to give investor confidence  Public funds as seed and leveraged (first loss position)  Recycle investment funds and Explore green bonds www.iea-retd.org 7
  • 8. Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report Basis for Plausible Solutions 3. Innovation Strategies, create enabling technologies that drive down costs encourage “open and distributed” innovation to tap dispersed global talent and to collaborate across institutions. Use “Distributed Innovation” to form public-private networks for accelerated and leveraged R&D, e.g., Marie Curie EU FP7, UK Carbon Trust Wind Accelerator, and US SEMATECH 4. Enabling Energy Policies, support investment in RE infrastructure with consistent enabling environment giving stable long-term investment signals. Scale-up of Existing Technologies Support Emerging Technologies www.iea-retd.org 8
  • 9. Presentation of the FINANCE-RE report RE Financing Infrastructure Conclusion  Need to consider it as national/regional, long-term, infra-structure building exercises vs. series of un-related individual large projects.  Need policies and institutions to increase public-funding leverage to target and unleash the large pools of private capital.  The suite of policies should align and integrate strategies for creating a new renewable energy infrastructure and a robust economy with long-term job generation, improved and lower cost technologies, better climate, energy security, and raised national competitiveness. www.iea-retd.org 9
  • 10. Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap The importance of Smartgrid : A Roadmap www.iea-retd.org
  • 11. Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap Smart Grids? The basic concept: maximizing throughput of the electricity delivery system while reducing the energy consumption  monitoring, analysis, control, communication www.iea-retd.org
  • 14. Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap Roadmap – Steering Group www.iea-retd.org
  • 15. Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap Industry consultation www.iea-retd.org
  • 17. Projected Final Energy Demand by Sector www.iea-retd.org
  • 18. Projected Electricity Generation Mix www.iea-retd.org
  • 19. Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap Key Findings By 2050, this scenario shows: • Increasing electrification of thermal loads in the residential, services and transport sectors • Electrical final energy demand >48,000 GWh • 88% renewable, 33,000 GWh on-shore wind • Decarbonisation of electricity in the Irish system • Reduction in energy imports in excess of 4.3 Mtoe Monetary Savings (offset imports): $/Barrel Oil $111 $179 $247 Savings (Billions) €2.35 €3.79 €5.23 www.iea-retd.org
  • 20. Presentation of the Smartgrid Roadmap Smart Grid Roadmap – next 10 years • Establish a test-bed facility, strengthening smart grid technology research. • Develop and deploy training courses in smart grid systems and technologies. • Review of policies dealing with energy and CO2 ratings of buildings to encourage electrification. • Develop interoperability standards and secure communications and data protocols • National rollout of smart meters with DSM and variable ToU tariffs. • Develop an overlay of secure, high speed communications onto the electricity system. • Continue grid investment programmes, Grid-West, Grid 25. www.iea-retd.org
  • 21. Questions? Thank you For additional information on RETD Online: www.iea-retd.org Contact: matthew.kennedy@seai.ie IEA_RETD@ecofys.com

Editor's Notes

  1. Builds on what has been achieved and learned over the past two decades and acknowledges that existing finance mechanisms alone will not attract huge quantities of needed new investment capital.
  2. Price-Based Instruments: Feed-in-tariffs; feed-in-premiums Quantity-Based Instruments: Tender schemes, Renewable Portfolio Standard, tradable renewable energy certificates, and cap & trade Investment Subsidies: New Clean Renewable Energy Bonds (New CREBs) Financial Institution Partnership Program: Loan Guarantees Complementary Tax Measures: Production and Investment Tax Credits, Accelerated Capital Cost Allowance, Tax Exempt Rebates
  3. Move to demand following supply, more of a 2-way conversation. Demand less “demanding”
  4. 1 toe = 11630 kWh = 11.63 MWh