Making the case for fitting small farms into and around Hawaii's small towns as an integral land use strategy for sustainability. Ken Stokes presentation at 2011 Hawaii Congress of Planning Officials
1. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
sustainability town - by - town
• Highlight forces and trajectories
• Outline system synergies
• Apply to small island towns
• Anticipate planning scope and tools
Key Point:
Community planners must extend kuleana to
explicitly include food and energy security
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
2. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
Core Insights FROM
SUSTAINABILITY THINKING
1. View sustainability as a place-based science.
2. Need solutions at scale, in time, for all.
3. Seek systems resolution for all challenges together.
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
3. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
thought-leader quotes
“The
major
threats
and
opportunities
of
the
sustainability
transition
are
not
only
multiple,
cumulative,
and
interactive,
but
also
place-‐based.
In
other
words,
it
is
in
specific
regions
with
distinctive
social
and
ecological
attributes
that
the
critical
threats
to
sustainability
emerge,
and
where
a
successful
transition
will
need
to
be
based.
A
useful
science
for
sustainability
would
need
to
balance
its
conventional
preference
for
universal
truths
with
a
deep
commitment
to
engaging
the
unique
sustainability
challenges
of
specific
places.”
How
could
S&T
better
support
a
transition
toward
sustainability?
How
could
community
planning?
Our
Common
Journey:
A
Transition
Toward
Sustainability
Board
on
Sustainable
Development,
National
Research
Council,
National
Academy
of
Sciences,
1999
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐
“We
most
need
pathways
to
a
sustainable
future
that
deliver
solutions
which
are
at
scale,
in
time,
for
all.”
MIT
President
Susan
Hockfield,
2008
Keynote,
Alliance
for
Global
Sustainability
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐
“Too
often,
the
cause
of
our
problems
is
our
solutions.
We
cannot
resolve
any
one
of
these
threats
without
finding
resolutions
for
all
of
them
together.”
Amory
Lovins,
Chairman
&
Chief
Scientist,
Rocky
Mountain
Institute
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
4. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
sustainability thinking
about
...PLACES
...SYSTEMS
...FARMS
...AG LANDS
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
5. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
island ‘places’
Pearl
City
Hilo
Kahului
Kihei
Wahiawa
Kailua-‐Kona
Lihu`e
Hanapepe
Based
on
2010
Census
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
6. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
scale of ‘places’
“ Census
designated
pl a ces”
2010
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
7. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
Island systems &
strategic sustainability
80% ghg reduction asap
focus on four systems
squeeze out fossil fuels
redesign/retrofit all four simultaneously
at town scale
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
8. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
sustainability mission: four systems TOGETHER
Switch to
renewables
Food &
Structures
energy farms
integrated with
with soil-
micro-grids
building
Squeeze out Retrofit
fossil fuels roofs
Grow, Homes and
process & vehicles are
store near plugged in
residences
Convert to
electric
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
9. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
four Investments
in productive assets
• To help islands achieve "climate prosperity"
• Tackle largest parts of our ecological footprint *
• Simultaneously bolster our community resilience
1. High-EROI renewable energy generation
2. Low-cost mobile/distributed energy storage
3. Grid-integrated vehicle/building conversion
4. Town-linked food production/distribution/storage
• $40,000 per household total investment with high IRR
• The first three investments are currently attractive to households/businesses
• All four could also be financed by shifting equity out of pension/savings funds
[ * energy, transport & food ]
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
10. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
Dominant model Sustainable model
infinite competitive growth life cycle of the organism
MAXIMUM ENTROPY ZERO ENTROPY
from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho
bigger fish swallowing the smaller self-similar fractal structure
laying waste to everything in its path cycles turning within cycles
like a hurricane the secret of sustainability
no closed cycle to hold resources within dynamically closed cycle
or to build up stable organized structures enables stable organized structures
to build up and in a balanced way
from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
11. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
ZERO EMISSION FOOD & ENERGY (ZEFE) FARMS
CYCLES WITHIN CYCLES
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
12. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
ZEFE Farm System
Feasible
composition
at
200 -‐ acre
scale
from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
13. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
ZEFE Farms on Kaua`i
Acreage required with ‘bio-intensive’ yields
Based on 2010 Census counts and John Jeavons’ crop yield “Master Charts”
* At bio-intensive productivity = 10 people per acre; Kauai needs ~30 ZEFE farms of 200 acres each
(plus another 10 farms for growth by 2030; plus another 6 farms for distributed population)
NOTE: Karl Kim’s IAL study estimates Kauai’s non-meat diet can be grown on 15,000 acres.
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
14. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
Kaua ` i Foodshed Mapping
(987
acres
needed)
10,000
residents
(207
acres
needed)
(476
acres
needed)
2,250
5,000
residents
residents
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
15. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
Need
650
ZEFE
farms
statewide
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
16. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
hawai`I town solutions
at scale
• Small towns ZEFE farms
• Long tail building blocks
Possible with available land
In time
• Fossil fuel free ‘smart money’ n o w
• Climate adaptation moving target
Synergistic with ‘green’ trajectory
For all
• Co - op investments switch consumption
• Town - by - town co nsensus plans
Plausible with ‘enable’ strategy
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
17. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
ENABLING THE TRAN SITION
WHA T IF FOOD AND ENERGY
ARE EMERGING IN - TOWN LAND USES?
WHAT IF HOUSEHOLDS ARE INVE S TING
IN COOP FARMS WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE?
WHAT IF EACH TOWN FORGES IT S OWN
FOOD AND ENERGY PLAN?
WHAT IF CONNECTING ZEFE PARCELS
IS A KEY CHALLENGE?
WHAT IF FOOD - RELATED TRIPS
(NOW 15 % OF TOTA L)
LARGELY DISAPPEAR?
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
18. Local Food & Energy System s Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
WHAT
Extend planning kuleana
Anticipate community resilience initiatives
(especially food & energy)
WHY
Enable sustainability transition
Drive collaborative investments
(especially ‘green’ infrastructure)
HOW
Tool-up for ‘long tail’
Create pallet for small town retrofits
(especially ‘opt-in’ process)
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net