This document presents a supply chain risk model that graphs the relationship between a delta factoral and volatility factoral for local produce, imported produce, and bi-products. The model shows the risk levels associated with different factors over a range of values on the x-axis.

1. SUPPLY CHAIN RISK MODEL
20
-30
-20
1010 10
y = 43.281ln(x) - 20
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
DELTA FACTORAL
LOCAL PRODUCE IMPORTED PRODUCE
BI PRODUCT
0
5
10
15
20
25
14
21
14
7
7
7
VOLATILITY FACTORAL
LOCAL PRODUCE IMPORTED PRODUCE
BI PRODUCT
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