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Strategic Business Analysis
Gordon Ellyson Abercrombie II, Coleman Lynwood Bramlett III, Jessica Mary Caro, Kevin
Alexander Edelmann, William Timothy Robinson III
2
Table of Contents
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY……………………………………………………………………..3
II. OVERVIEW OF THE FIRM…………………………………………………………………..4
III. FUNTIONAL COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS…………………………………………………5
a. Financial History and Status………………………………………………………......…5
b. Strategic Marketing Analysis………………………………………………………......13
c. Strategic Assessment of Operations, Supply Chain, Technology, and Infrastructure….31
d. Managerial Accounting Analysis……………………………………………………....47
IV. SWOT ANALYSIS, SUMMARY, & RECOMMENDATION……………..…...………….53
V. REFERENCES……………………………………………………………….…...……….…58
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I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Delta Airlines is a firm that operates over an array of different channels of the airline industry
covering anything from passenger and cargo transport to even producing its own jet fuel. Delta
demonstrates strengths within this realm as a result of its emphasis on customer satisfaction,
diversification, vertical integration, and involvement with the SkyTeam Alliance. However, its
overdependence on the domestic market, pension obligations, and lack of liquidity may cause
some limitations in the future.
Given the volatile nature of the airline industry, it is difficult to predict how future oil prices or
other macro-environmental factors will affect Delta's operations. Due to these risks, Delta has
attempted to vertically integrate various aspects of its operations through the purchasing of the
Trainer Oil Refinery and through Delta TechOps. However, through the process of vertically
integrating over different market segments to give them more control over its business, Delta has
found a way to slightly discern themselves from the competition in an industry that lacks
differentiation as a whole. Delta's main competitors, United Airlines and American Airlines, both
provide similar advantages and target markets, which has caused Delta to place more emphasis
on the specific competitive advantages that set them apart from the competition.
Delta's management of customer relationships has proven extremely successful in recent years
and continues to be an extremely significant aspect of the underlying core values within the
company. The emphasis on customer satisfaction is an ideology that ultimately effects the
operations as whole, which is one specific facet that sets them apart from the competition.
In the future, it would be beneficial for Delta to improve upon its utilization of vertical
integration through incorporating even more communication and involvement within the supply
chain as well as expanding its promotional offerings, such as the SkyMiles program. Both of
these improvements would be feasible and valuable for the company given its historical
emphasis on customer satisfaction. From a financial standpoint, the current pension obligations
are a growing concern as these requirements create liabilities, which ultimately decrease Delta’s
profitability.
Provided that Delta has maintained a relatively stable position in the market relative to the
competition. Given the dramatic turn around that the company has made since filing for
bankruptcy in 2005 and its merger with Northwest Airlines in 2009, Delta has seen its stock
price triple from the years 2012 to 2015. Although profits in the airline industry are at an all-time
high, we believe that certain macro-environmental forces such as unpredictability of oil prices
and the threats of terrorism as well as internal issues such as its overwhelming pension
obligations and its overdependence on the domestic market will hinder the firm’s growth, thus its
stock price should be considered a hold at this time.
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II. OVERVIEW OF THE FIRM
Delta Air Lines Inc. is a U.S. based airline headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia that operates both
domestically and internationally. It began as the first commercial agricultural flying company
and have expanded rapidly over the 92 years since then. Deltas passenger operations began in
1930 in Atlanta where the company was renamed from The Huff Daland Dusters Crop-Dusting
Corporation to Delta Air Corporation. During the 1940’s, stewardesses were added, the
headquarters was moved from Monroe to Atlanta, and the official corporate name becomes Delta
Air Lines, Inc. Since then, Delta has expanded and become innovative in the way in which it
operates. While its main operating segment is passenger transportation, the firm also runs Delta
TechOps, a maintenance and repair arm owned by Delta Air Lines and located at the Hartsfield-
Jackson Atlanta International Airport. Delta TechOps is the largest engine shop in North
America. Furthermore, Delta recently purchased the Trainer Oil Refinery though one of its
wholly owned subsidiary Monroe Energy LLC to help produce fuel products support 80% fuel
needs in the domestic market.
With close to 80,000 employees and a fleet size of over 800 aircrafts, the airline schedules above
15,000 flights per day. Its global route network serves 328 destinations in 57 countries. To
provide international service in such a large scale Delta has joined ventures with multiple foreign
airlines some of which are Air France-KLM, Virgin Atlantic, Virgin Australia, and Alitalia.
Additionally, Delta is a founding member of the SkyTeam Alliance, which includes various
airlines from different countries, giving not only Delta but also its partners access to more
passengers as well as more destination options as well.
Especially in domestic air travel, Delta competes with companies such as United Airlines,
American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Jet Blue Airways, and Virgin America. These are
certainly not the only competing airlines in the industry, but the most comparable competitors to
Delta. Similar to Delta, American, and United Airlines reached its current size over the years
through series of mergers and acquisitions.
Delta’s offering ranges across four different classes. In addition to the common economy,
business, and first class, Delta introduced the Delta Comfort+. Among other small extras, this
class offers larger seats with more legroom. Furthermore, Delta offers other amenities such as the
Delta SkyClub and the SkyMiles rewards program in order to accommodate the more frequent
passengers and its target market, the corporate business traveler.
In 2015, Delta's revenues totaled at $40.7 billion, which is the highest for US Carriers. 87.5% of
Delta’s revenue is coming from passenger traffic. The remainder is comprised of revenue from
Delta TechOps, the Trainer Refinery, and Delta Cargo service.
Delta explains its business philosophy in the code of conduct called “Rules of the Road”. In this
document, Delta presents the key to its values of honesty, integrity, and respect. Every employee
is held to these standards which Delta hopes will ensure top notch service and sustainability for
the corporation.
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III. FUNCTIONAL COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS
a. Financial History and Status
Introduction
This financial analysis will examine Delta Airline’s financial status during the time period from
the start of the fiscal year 2012 to the end of 2014. For the purpose of comparison to an industry
average, five of Delta’s competitors were identified and analyzed as well in order to set
benchmarks for acceptable ratio values in this particular industry. Furthermore, macro
environmental factors, more often than not, affect the airline industry as a whole rather than only
one firm, this allows us to differentiate between behavior of financial ratios, which may be
caused by Delta’s decision making as well as variation in the ratios that is endured by most
competitors.
The five competitor firms that were selected are American Airlines, United Airlines, Southwest
Airlines, Jet Blue, and Virgin America. United and American Airlines are the most similar
competitors to Delta in terms of sales volume and general size of the firm. When looking at the
other competitors who are all known as low cost carriers, it can be seen that Southwest is the
largest of the remaining three as its size and income are substantially higher than the other
market competitors JetBlue and Virgin America. This lead the exclusion of some competitors in
particular industry averages in order to allow for an effective analysis. The difference in size of
the airlines has to be carefully considered when comparing the ratios.
First and foremost, through utilizing the ratios created for Delta and its competitors, we can
determine Delta’s financial health and performance in the analyzed time period which will be
discussed in the past performance section. However, we are also able to make predictions for the
firm’s future which is the essence of the future performance section and is the centerpiece of the
stock recommendation.
The analyzed ratios can be broken into four categories: liquidity, asset management, debt
management, and profitability ratios. These financial indicators were calculated by collecting the
appropriate data from Bloomberg using financial statements submitted in accordance with
GAAP. For analysis purposes, the company’s 10-K filings were then reviewed for information
including MD&A that would explain the anomalies that were observed in the comparison of the
ratios. The data therefore stems from Delta's financial statements and 10-K unless otherwise
stated.
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Ratio Analysis
When examining Delta, the liquidity ratios do not show extreme
variation over the analyzed period. Generally, a current ratio lower
than 1 is considered to be an alarm signal as the ratio compares how
short term liabilities are offset by current assets. A ratio lower than
1 indicates that the firm could struggle to pay off its current
liabilities, as liquid assets do not properly cover them. However, the
industry averages for current ratio illustrates that low current ratios
appear to be the norm in the airline industry. Yet, the comparison
of the industry and Delta poses the question of why Delta’s current
ratio is constantly more than 18% lower and at a point drops to 33% below the Industry’s current
ratio. The drop in 2014 correlates to an
unfavorable adjustment on fuel hedging
of $2.3 billion, which Delta financed
through short-term debt and marks the
lowest amount of cash and cash
equivalents reported. The fact that
Delta’s quick ratio differs more from the
industry average than the already
substantially low current ratio,
emphasizes once again that Delta has an
issue with liquidity, as the firm’s lesser
current assets include more inventory
than the industry average. The impact of
the increase in current liability will be discussed later on. The impact of the high inventory levels
is significant as well, since inventory is a relatively illiquid asset due to the fact that it can have a
long time period before it can be turned into cash. In addition to this, the sale of inventory is
often only possible when sold under a
significant loss of value.
Understandably, for a service provider
and specifically an airline, the absolute
number of inventories is relatively low
which causes the inventory turnover rate
(ITR) to be relatively high. This being
said, it should be expected that Delta’s
ITR is very similar to the industry.
However, this value is 1000% higher
than its competitors. This is because 3 of
Delta’s competitors do not hold any
inventory and are therefore excluded
Year Total
Current
Assets
Total
Current
Liabilities
2012 8,272 13,270
2013 9,651 14,152
2014 9,158 16,879
0
0.5
1
2012 2013 2014
0.623 0.682
0.544
0.808 0.841 0.812
Delta Current vs. Industry Current
Delta Current Ratio Industry Current Ratio
0
10
20
30
40
50
2012 2013 2014
Delta ITR 35.8455523 35.53433678 47.37323944
Industry ITR 3.246169104 3.267392274 3.015380119
Delta ITR vs. Industry ITR
Figure 1-2: Delta VS Industry Current Ratio Comparisons
Figure 1-3: Delta VS Industry Inventory Turnover Rates
Figure 1-1: Delta’s Current Assets &
Liabilities
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from the industry average for mathematical reasons. Among these are also the competitors most
similar to Delta in size, American and United Airlines. Included in the industry average are now
only competitors such as Jet Blue, with much lower sales numbers, which makes for a much
lower ITR. These different businesses are hard to compare as a big global player in the market
can cause a firm to have a much different asset structure as a result. Thus, the comparison to the
industry average is not extremely insightful. However, this leaves the question of why Delta
holds inventory in the first place if this is uncommon in the industry. Some of this inventory is
due to Delta’s efforts in autonomous supply of airplane fuel, which does not apply to any of the
competitors. In 2012, Delta purchased the Trainer Oil Refinery to attempt to vertically integrate
its supply chain. Furthermore, Delta’s subdivision, called Delta TechOps, focuses on the
maintenance and repair operations of the Delta fleet but also provides its services to outside
customers. Delta TechOps is the largest maintenance and repair shop in North America. With all
of this in mind, Delta’s inventories can be broken into two large groups, one being the inventory
parts that the MRO department uses to maintain its aircraft. The latter is almost entirely finished
goods and includes refined product, feedstock, and blend stock. The TechOps department has to
hold spare parts and repair materials in stock for everyday operations. The 33% increase in ITR
that can be observed in Figure 1-3 is partially due to an increase in sales but is mainly caused by
an about 18% decrease in inventories. This decrease is intentional as Delta decreased fuel
inventories to limit the amount of risk that the company is exposed to in case fuel prices
fluctuate, which is a reasonable concern for fuel products.
When observing the Fixed Asset
Turnover (FAT) and Total Asset
Turnover (TAT) ratio in relative
terms to the industry average, it
is apparent that Delta’s ratios are
substantially lower. More
precisely, the FAT ratio hovers at
about 46% under the industry
average and TAT approximately
33% in 2012 and 2013. However,
this is related to the discussion
above, as Delta’s large asset base
is owed to its various efforts to
vertically integrate different
areas of its supply chain, which do not necessarily generate sales or do so only to a limited
extend. This is not a negative sign, as it in many ways increases independence and makes Delta
less susceptible to risks associated with dependence on outside business partners. A worrisome
observation, however, is the decline of the TAT ratio in relative terms to the change of the FAT
ratio in 2013. As seen in Figure 1-4, both the FAT and TAT ratios drop. However, the TAT ratio
declines 12% while the FAT ratio only decreases by about 2.4%. Similarly, FAT increases more
rapidly than TAT in 2014. The variance in these two ratios is alarming because there are only
two line items on the balance sheet, which can be responsible for this: an increase in long-term
assets other than PPE or the decrease in current assets. It can be seen that Delta’s ratios show
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
2012/13 2013/14
Change in TAT -12.17556614 3.385622532
Change in FAT -2.370147062 6.488647366
Delta Change in FAT vs TAT
Figure 1-4: Delta’s Change in Fixed & Total Asset Turnover
8
both of these changes. The current assets decreased while deferred tax assets were added. This
decrease in current assets is critical, as this means the firm has less liquid assets on hand to pay
for liabilities. Along with this issue goes the 33% increase in DSO in 2014. The days it takes
Delta on average to collect accounts receivable increased from 15 to 20 days. This could magnify
already existing liquidity issues and further inhibit Delta’s ability to pay its accounts payable.
Delta’s general sales paid for with credit cards and agreements with American express on
rewards programs such as SkyMiles are the reason for the increase that can be seen in 2014.
The equity multiplier (EM) indicator of the level of debt a company is undertaking in order to
funding its assets. The higher the EM the less assets of the firm are funded by equity but rather
high amounts of debt. With a higher equity multiplier, it can be seen that the firm is financing its
operations more through equity rather than debt. Delta’s average in 2013 falls 30% below the
industry in 2014 even though Delta increased the EM by 36%. This is partially the case due to an
overall increase of the competitors’ equity multipliers. However, the striking increase in
American Airlines’ EM has the most prevalent effect on the increasing industry average. As a
whole, the industry, including Delta, have increased its funding through debt, which exposes
them to higher risk levels, but is an indication for its expectation of profits in the near future.
Delta specifically increases its EM by decreasing equity at the same as it increases total debt.
This means that Delta should want to take advantage of low interest rates while increasing EM.
However, the liabilities driving this must be short-term debt as the long-term debt ratio
continuously decreases, by 24% in 2013 and by 16% in 2014.
The changes in the times interest earned (TIE) ratio support this claim
as it is rising by about 59% in both 2013 and 2014. Figure 1-6 illustrates
this increase. As can be seen in Figure 1-5 this is due to both an increase
in EBIT and a continued decline in interest expense. If the firm were
taking on long term rather than short-term debt, interest expense would
be considerably higher. The TIE ratio measures the ability of a firm to
decrease its interest expense. Thus, the rise observed in Delta’s TIE is a testimonial for positive
debt management as it decreases default risk and is an indicator for positive financial health.
Reduced levels of debt, lower interest
rates and financing through short-term
rather than long-term debt are the
important drivers for the decreasing
interest expense. The debt ratio tells a
similar story. As seen in Figure 1-7 (next
page), the debt ratio of both Delta and
the industry strongly decreases in 2013.
In 2014 the industry’s ratio continues to
decrease while Delta’s ratio increases.
Even though Delta increases the asset
base, this is offset by an 11% rise in
Delta’s total debt. This can be partially
Year EBIT Interest
Expense
2012 2600 812
2013 3548 698
2014 5268 650
0
2
4
6
8
10
2012 2013 2014
Delta TIE vs Industry TIE
Delta TIE Ratio Industry TIE Ratio
Figure 1-6: Delta VS Industry Times Interest Earned
Figure 1-5: TIE Inputs
9
tied back to the losses through hedging
activity. As for Delta’s current
preference for short-term debt, it has to
be noted that this is an easy way to
quickly decrease interest expense.
However, Delta gives up the
opportunity to lock in the currently low
interest rates for years to come, leaving
them to deal with the higher interest
rates in the future.
Furthermore, Delta decreased its
accumulated other comprehensive loss
by about $3 billion. This line item is largely influenced by Delta’s overwhelming pension
obligations. In 2012, Delta’s pension obligations were about $16 billion. When compared to the
closest competitor, American Airlines with $6.78 billion in pension obligations, the magnitude of
Delta’s obligation becomes obvious. Pension obligations were decreased to about $12.4 billion in
2013. While, Delta’s pension fund is underfunded with $8.9 billion in assets, Delta also assumes
the return on the fund to be around 8.94%, which is about 1% higher than its closest competitor’s
estimate. In reality, the plan gained only 6.2%, thus underperforming expected return by about
2.5%. (Is Delta Air Lines, Inc. Fudging, 2016) This has caused liabilities, which have
continuously cut profits by millions.
The profitability ratios also all show the
same pattern of a rapid increases in 2013
and a significant, yet smaller, decline in
2014. As all these ratios have net income
as a common variable, it is fair to assume
that the explanation for the fluctuation will
be found here. The spike in the
profitability ratios is owed to $10.5 billion
in net income in 2013 as compared to
about $1 billion in 2012. However, this
includes $8 billion of income tax benefit.
The pre-tax net operating loss
carryforwards of $15.3 billion qualified
Delta to receive this lucrative tax benefit.
Figure 1-8 illustrates the breakdown of net income in 2013. It is easy to see that actual growth in
income only accounts for 14% of net income. Thus, 76% of total net income is actually
attributable to the tax benefit. While this is a legitimate practice, one cannot expect this to be the
case for years to come, thus making the analysis of any ratio regarding profitability in 2013
suspect. To more accurately reflect Delta’s business, we exclude the tax benefit, which is the
grey portion of the pie chart, from the analysis, and only use income before income tax, which is
the grey and the yellow portion of the pie chart. In doing so it becomes clear that actual growth
76%
10%
14%
Net Income 2013
Income Tax Benefits
Income Before Income Taxes In 2012
Income Before Income Taxes Growth In 2013
0
0.5
1
1.5
2012 2013 2014
Delta Debt vs. Industry Debt
Delta Debt Industry Debt
Figure 1-7: Debt Comparisons
Figure 1-8: Breakdown of Delta’s Net Income 2013
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in net income for 2013 is still more than 100%. All profitability ratios reflect this, as the values
more than double in the first year even though Income tax benefits are excluded. The decrease in
2014 is explained through the decrease in pre-tax income of $1.5 billion as a result of $3.5
billion in special items. These special items include about 2.3 billion in unfavorable adjustments
to fuel hedges and costs associated with the restructuring of the fleet. Additionally, a relatively
large sales increase does its part to decrease PM and with it ROA, ROE, and EPS. These three
measures show the same behavior as PM, which again underlines the significance in the Net
income change. Without inclusion of special items, the firm achieved a $1.9 billion increase.
Delta’s Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is also
largely affected by the $8 billion net
income boost through tax benefits. As it
can be seen in Figure 1-7, the increase in
stock price in combination with the more
than 1000% increase in net income causes
Delta’s P/E ratio to decrease by 80% to 2.3
in 2013. Through a rapid decrease in net
income and another stock price increase to
about $48 at the end of 2014, the P/E ratio
rises to 60.8. It can also be seen that this
P/E ratio behavior is inconsistent with the
industry average. More interesting than the
unusual fluctuations that Delta’s P/E ratio shows, is the fact that after starting 32% below and
falling to under 89% below the industry
average in 2013, Delta’s P/E ratio increases to
87% above the industry. Mathematically,
Delta’s fluctuation is caused by three
variables, with the main cause being
undoubtedly the 93% decrease in net profits
caused by the tax benefit in 2013, which is
illustrated in Figure 1-8. However, Delta's
stock price increases by almost 70%, which
Delta reinforced by repurchasing shares in
2014.
Past Performance
The analysis of the financial ratios illustrates a
clear picture of Delta Airlines. The initial
increase in net profits, apart from the generous income tax benefit, is owed to many factors
already mentioned above. The reduction in interest expense primarily realized through the
closing of debt accounts and increased revenue through growth in passenger air travel. More
importantly, the positive market response to upper-class air travel has had substantial effects on
2012 2013 2014
Price of
Common Stock
12.64 28.62398 48.55456
Delta Net
Income in
Billions
1.009 10.54 0.659
P/E Ratio 10.67 2.312 60.804
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Delta P/E Analysis
0
20
40
60
80
2012 2013 2014
10.67
2.312
60.8
15.738 21.31
32.51
Delta P/E vs. Industry P/E
Delta P/E Industry P/E
Figure 1-9: P/E Comparisons
Figure 1-10: Delta’s P/E Analysis
11
net profits. However, interest expense is still an issue as Delta faces $650 Million in 2014. The
variation and fluctuation illustrated by all ratios, exemplifies the volatility of the airline industry
and the risk profile airlines are exposed to. Thus, Delta has made individual efforts to diminish
dependence and increase diversification through vertical integration with Monroe Energy and
Delta TechOps. This is illustrated in the asset management ratios.
Nevertheless, Delta is still exposed to interest rate risks, which applies first and foremost to its
pension funds. Delta estimates its underfunded pension program to earn an 8% return, which is
ambitious to say the least. The overestimation of performance has repeatedly caused pension
obligations, which diminish profits. Furthermore, foreign currency exchange risks are intrinsic to
the airline industry as much as is the risk of fluctuation in fuel cost, which Delta partially
mitigated through the purchase of Monroe Energy. Though Delta does not achieve
invulnerability to rising oil prices, the partial control over its fuel supply chain gives them a
competitive advantage over the competitors. Fuel hedging will be significantly diminished due to
the fact that Delta will receive the majority of its fuel needs through Monroe Energy, which
decreases the risks of fuel hedging exemplified by the loss of $2.3 billion cause by fuel hedging
in 2014.
Delta now faces inventory risk as the stored inventory consists partially of fuel reserves, which
are subject to fluctuating prices. This risk is much easier to manage than the risks associated with
hedging and should give Delta more stability when competitors struggle with fluctuating fuel
costs. The relative decrease in current assets, which both current ratio and the comparison of
Delta’s FAT and TAT ratios show, is a concern, as the lack of liquidity beyond a certain level is
highly unfavorable. The increase in DSO is also problematic because it takes longer to collect
liquid assets. Delta, as well as the majority of the airline industry, made a decision to fund
themselves through liabilities rather than equity. Both the economy and industry appear to be on
an upswing, but this decision bears risk as Delta exposes itself more to market shocks.
Additionally, Delta’s move away from long-term to current debt is driven by efforts to reduce
interest expense, even though it would be more sustainable and recommendable to lock in
current interest rates with long-term debt.
The introduction of dividends in 2013, combined with frequent and large increases, makes Delta
an attractive investment because expected return for investors will be much higher. Dividends
per-share are steadily increasing since Delta initiated the issuance of dividends in the September
quarter of 2013. In addition to this, Delta repurchased stock in 2014. Both of these measures are
aiming to increase stock price, which goes hand in hand with what we observe in the P/E ratio.
Stock prices increased rapidly but net income decreased significantly, causing P/E to be almost
twice as great as the industry.
Future Performance
Judging by the past performance of both Delta and the airline industry, it is safe to say that the
airline industry is among the most volatile markets to potentially invest in. From 2012 to 2014,
we observe various favorable as well as unfavorable changes in financials. First, an increase in
12
sales is due to especially higher demand in higher-class seating and the fact that Delta has
achieved a diversification through vertical integration of its supply chain. The Trainer Oil
Refinery as well as the TechOps division have reduced Delta’s risk exposure to single events
affecting only airfare businesses. While this is far from perfect diversification in the sense of
creating a perfectly negative relationship, it is better than the non-existent diversification of
single industry competitors. Furthermore, this idea makes the company more independent in its
operations giving a competitive advantage to Delta. Looking into the future, the termination of
high interest rate debt and therefore decreasing interest cost is a crucial step. Delta does in fact
do this in all three analyzed periods, which in combination with the increase in revenue makes
for a financially sound situation. Including the growth in dividend per share, these are the
financial bright spots looking into Delta’s future. Likewise, Delta will most likely remain with its
current dividend payment, in order to not cause a drop in stock price, which is attractive for
investors. However, it is doubtful that the DPS can maintain its current growth rate.
In examining from the polar perspective, one must also take in to account the issues that the firm
will still be facing in the future. Delta urgently needs to resolve its pension obligation issue
through better funding and a more realistic projection for returns. Decreasing the level of pension
obligations in the short term is not possible, which means that Delta should at least plan to
decrease the level of underfunding in the pension plan over the long term in order to prevent the
negative financial impact that could be observed in the future. If crude oil and therefore fuel cost,
increase, Delta’s profits will suffer despite the company’s engagement in the refinery business.
Rarely have oil prices ever been as low as they are currently, and the next price spike is bound to
come in the future. Connected to this is the increased risk Delta and its competitors are exposed
to because of increased equity multipliers. Furthermore, Delta needs to resolve it’s issue with
generating liquid assets. In the case that the economy begins to struggle and cash flows slow,
Delta will not have enough current assets to cover the liabilities. With more and more political
conflicts that arise in the world and a weakened global economy, the affect that foreign currency
exchange risk will have on Delta is also not to be underestimated. Lastly, while Delta’s increase
in stock price has been remarkable in the past 3 years, however, it has to be questioned for how
long this growth can be sustained as the stock prices in 2014 mark an all-time high.
13
b. Strategic Marketing Analysis
Delta's Business Model
The airline industry is one that is unique and cannot be compared to others, being that it is an
industry that does not have dozens of product segments and categories due to the fact that the
only products are flights. With a limited service mix, this creates little variance within the market
between competitors. However, there are differing market segments in which Delta competes,
passenger flights, cargo flights and the newly created refinery segment. The refinery segment has
already been claimed by Delta—at least for the time being—because it is the only company that
produces its own fuel for its services. Delta has seen huge revenue and profit increases in the
passenger airline segment over the past few years but the cargo segment is one that has gone in
the complete opposite direction in recent years. Delta reported a 19.7% drop in cargo related
revenue from 2014 to 2015. This is a huge percentage drop in a year, but Delta is not particularly
worried seeing as the cargo segment makes up only 2% of the annual revenue (Ball, 2015). Delta
airlines operates in all these segments, but by far its largest revenue stream is the passenger
airline side of the industry.
As mentioned Delta's largest revenue stream comes solely from passenger segment of the
market, which is the reason why Delta model's its business model accordingly. Focuses on
attracting corporate travelers, Delta’s strategy is concentrated on a segment that is characterized
by high margins and low price sensitivity (C, 2015). Delta’s attempts to target this particular type
of consumer have proven to be successful as corporate business travelers have rated Delta as the
leading U.S. airline for the third consecutive year in the BTN Annual Airline survey. Delta has
the highest overall score, 3.93 out of 5, leading in all categories except overall price value, in
which as expected Southwest Airlines had surpassed Delta (Cederholm, 2014). This appeal of
business travelers coupled with the sheer size of the company is why Delta is positioned at the
top for business travelers overall. Delta is also on top in comparison with the other large airlines
across the full spectrum of analysis. According to Forbes, Delta has consistently been atop of the
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airline industry. Delta is not
a market leader in price nor
customer satisfaction;
however, the airline has
stayed true to its model and
target market, reaping the
benefits of doing so.
Delta airlines is currently
operating joint ventures
with foreign carriers,
Airfrance-KLM, Alitalia,
Virgin Australia and Virgin
Atlantic. These
arrangements provide for
joint commercial
cooperation with its
partners, including sharing
revenues, profits and losses
generated by the parties
along the joint venture
routes. These joint ventures
allow Delta to extend its
reach to 612 destinations in
119 countries (Delta
Airlines Inc., 2015). The
largest and arguably the
most important of Delta's
ventures to expand Delta's
reach as far globally as
possible is the creation and
membership in the
SkyTeam alliance. The 20-
member alliance allows for
furthering the
interconnection in the
airline industry. Delta has
done well in understanding
that expanding internationally is more about how many connections and agreements one can
make with foreign carriers. Delta does not solely have the capacity to reach the number of
destinations it has access to alone, but through the numerous agreements, Delta's hand reaches
immensely far, giving them a hand in the international market. Along with joint ventures and
membership in the SkyTeam alliance, Delta has several code sharing agreements with domestic
regional carriers that feed air traffic to the airlines route system by serving primarily the smaller
Figure 2-1: Corporate Reputation
15
and medium-sized cities. Regional air carriers such as SkyWest, ExpressJet, Compass Airlines
and GoJet are a few of the regional low cost carriers that Delta has charge of pricing, scheduling
and flight connectivity for. These regional carriers accounted for approximately 17% of its
passenger revenue in 2015 (Delta Airlines Inc., 2015). Through the regional carrier programs,
Delta has solidified themselves in the low-cost carrier market, a segment it does not directly
target due to the pricing. Also as noted earlier, the numerous partnerships with air carriers across
the globe have allowed Delta to provide its customers with access to a large variety of
destinations worldwide.
Airline Market
Delta's reach has expanded globally, however, the rest of the industry is attempting to follow suit
as well. The airline industry has increased its global outreach and will continue to do so through
both foreign and domestic expansions. It will also continue to grow through the joint ventures,
codeshare agreements, and alliances between airlines. This overall growth of the airline industry
will affect growth of both segments within the larger market. The markets within the industry are
defined two ways, domestically and internationally. Whichever way one examines the airline
industry it is clear that the markets are continually growing. The domestic market in the United
States has had steady growth upwards as can be seen by the below Figure 2.2. The increasing
profitability and operational advancements by airlines does not seem to have foreseen braking to
this market. If the airline industry is viewed from the international perspective, it will also see
continuous growth. According to Lucintel, the international airline industry is expected to reach
an estimated $832.8 billion in 2020 ("Global Airline Industry," 2013). The increasing integration
of countries domestic markets into the international framework as a whole is providing potential
for an
already large
market to
continue to
increase.
This idea is
supported by
the fact that
the
international
airline
industry
experienced
revenues of
$733 billion
in 2014.
Figure 2-2: Airline Share Performance
16
With the continuing increase of the international airline market, Delta has an opportunity to
expand into foreign markets. "As Delta turns the page to 2016, the airline’s goals for next year
include building on its growing momentum in Latin America and the Caribbean, a key market
for leisure and business travelers." Delta has primed for this expansion through increasing code-
sharing agreements with Latin American airlines such as Aerolíneas Argentinas. The Latin
American market has had success stories such as the integration of Delta into the Brazilian
market (Delta Airlines Inc., 2016). The integration into this market provides the combination of
Delta and the Brazilian carrier GOL with access to 405 new destinations through the agreement.
There is potential in this market, but the market pales in comparison to the growth opportunity in
the Asian-pacific market. According to the International Air Transport Association, global air
transport is expected to more than double, and half of the growth will come directly from China
and India. Figure 2-3 below presented by market realist displays the large discrepancy between
the combined growth of China and India relative to the rest of the world.
This region is also expected to overtake the United States as the largest airline market by 2030.
The market itself has grown much more significantly than any other market in recent years and
will serve as a battleground for the airline industry in years to come. There is potential for
immense growth and whoever takes advantage of this area will reap a massive benefit
(Cederholm, 2014).
Figure 2-3: Growth of the International Markets
17
There are several potential markets and huge growth has been made in the airline industry, but
with this potential for growth comes increased competition. Though the emerging markets in the
airline industry have facilitated the industry’s growth, however, with the increase in industry
growth comes the increase in competition as well. The airline industry is highly competitive with
respect to routes, fares, scheduling, services, products, customer service and frequent flyer
programs. This competitiveness has caused the industry to transform through consolidation, both
domestically and internationally, and changes in international alliances. Consolidation in the
airline industry, the emergence of well-funded government sponsored international carriers, the
aforementioned shifts in international alliances, and the increasing creation of joint ventures have
altered the competitive landscape in the industry and will continue to reshape it. The results of
this shift in the competitive landscape will be the formation of airlines and alliances with
increased financial resources, more extensive global networks and competitive cost structures
(Delta Airlines Inc., 2015). This competition has several competitors that Delta will have to face
off with in hopes of obtaining the customers’ business. American Airlines & United Airways are
the largest of the competitors that Delta will come up against and have consistently been direct
competitors to Delta seeing as all three are legacy or traditional carriers. Legacy airlines are
carriers that had established interstate routes prior to the time of the route liberalization, which
was permitted by the Airline Deregulation Act of 1978. Another major competitor is the point-
to-point carrier, Southwest. The point-to-point system simply allows the airline not to operate a
central hub, having separate flights from one destination to another, no connecting. The last
competitor is JetBlue Airways, another low cost carrier, operates in hopes of winning the
business of the high price sensitivity oriented customer.
Competitor Overview
The airline industry can be categorized in several different ways, relative to market share,
profitability or based on the actual number of flights. With respects to the number of flights, the
three largest carriers are the legacy carriers Delta, American and United. The size of the three
companies relative to size and market share are all in the same area. JetBlue is the sole
competitor in question that fits in the low cost carrier category and is by far the smallest airline in
all measures. The airline that has begun to bridge the historical gap between the low cost and
legacy carriers is Southwest. Southwest is notably smaller than the legacy carriers in terms of
fleet size, destinations and revenues. However, Southwest has grabbed the largest percentage of
market share of any of the airlines. Southwest has captured the lead in market share, but Delta
edges out the competition overall as being the largest airline, if all the measures mentioned
before are combined. Yes, Delta is positioned at the top of the airline market, but as mentioned,
this market have a minuscule amount of variance making its lead a small one.
18
Airlines Market Share # of Flights Size of Fleet # of Destinations
Southwest 18.2% 3800 683 97
JetBlue 5.3% 825 217 84
United 14.7% 5100 1,264 342
American 16.6% 6700 1,494 330
Delta 17% 5400 1,280 325
As mentioned before, United, Delta and American are all legacy carriers, these carriers are also
similar relative to the size of fleet, number of destinations and even market share to a degree.
These airlines are also similar because each one is vying for the business of the same customer,
the corporate business traveler. This reasoning is why United and American are considered the
two major competitors for Delta. United Airlines Inc. is an American carrier headquartered in
Chicago, Illinois. United as well as fellow competitor American Airlines Inc. headquartered in
Fort Worth, Texas are ranked second and third in terms of the large traditional air carriers. This
order could be flipped depending on if the analyst looks at each in terms of revenues and profits
where United generated $38 billion in revenue and profits of nearly $4.7 billion compared to
American's $30 billion revenue and profits of S4.3 billion. However, American has a clear lead
as far as market share on United ("RITA | BTS | Transtats," n.d.). While neither are on level of
Delta at $41 billion in revenue and $5.4 in profits, each competitor still holds advantages over
Delta Airlines in certain regards. For instance, United Airlines is the leading airline in China and
that partnership was only strengthened by expanding on the firm’s long standing agreement with
Air China to increase flight opportunities. United also has a very strong presence in JFK and
LaGuardia airports because of the company’s New York basis making international flights out of
these hubs very important ("United Airlines and Air China Strengthen and Extend Strategic
Partnership - Mar 23, 2016," 2016). As far as American is concerned, "American Airlines has
nine hubs in the continental U.S. and its capacity to scale upward is unmatched by the other
airlines," Marketocracy analyst Jeff McDowell claimed. He also made mention to American’s
lack of institutional investors. This lack of institutional ownership is keeping the price low
compared to the industry (Kam, 2014).
The next competitor being mentioned is the low cost or discount carrier JetBlue. JetBlue
Airways Corporation is headquartered in Long Island City, New York. JetBlue is the smallest by
far of all the major competitors to Delta in every category covered, market share, profitability
and revenue and fleet size or number of destinations. In 2015, JetBlue had a revenue stream of
$6.3 billion dollars and profits of $1 billion. Yes, JetBlue is the smallest competitor, but that is
the business model of the low-cost competitors. Delta is not attempting to beat the large legacy
carriers at its own game, the low-cost carriers are targeting the price sensitive customer. This is
JetBlue's advantage, as the firm enters the territory of the larger carriers and should come away
with industry leading margins. The airline managed to expand its margins by approximately 14%
in the first quarter of 2015 as opposed to the 7% margin expansion experienced by the industry
Figure 2-4: Competitor Overview of Key Statistics
19
(Team, 2015). JetBlue has the cost advantage over its peers because of it being a domestically
based carrier.
Delta's last competitor is Southwest Airlines Co. headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Southwest
began as a low cost carrier, but as of recent times has begun to take on characteristics of a
traditional airline. In a Bloomberg article, Southwest's description was this, "Southwest hangs up
its low-cost jersey." Through Southwest’s acquisition of AirTran and the fact that they are no
longer the lowest price option in many cities, Southwest has essentially become the bridge
between the low-cost carriers and the traditional powerhouses. It can be seen here that Southwest
has an advantage as it is entering the realm of the large airlines, but consistently beat the
traditional carriers on price while attempting to offer the same number of options. Southwest is
also nationally known for its customer service, it has a "dedication to the highest quality
customer service ("About Southwest - Southwest Airlines," 2015)." Southwest has consistently
ranked tops in the industry in numerous customer service ratings through the years. Every firm
in the airlines industry has some sort of competitive advantage The question is whose
competitive advantages have been executed the best to take advantage of the current market.
20
Perceptual Maps
Figure 2-5: Comparison of Fleet Size to Number of Destinations
This perceptual map in Figure 2-5 compares Delta's fleet size to number of destinations relative
to its competition. When examining this map, it can be seen that Delta is at the forefront of its
market, along with its two other major competitors; United Airlines and American Airlines. This
diagram illustrates the amount of control that these three firms have over the market through
being each firm’s ability to maintain high flight numbers as well as being able to reach the
largest number of target destinations.
In contrast to these high-achieving airlines, JetBlue and Virgin Airlines struggle to match the
capacity of these three firms, which can be attributable to the low-cost pricing model each
implements. These low-cost providers struggle to expand at the rates that Delta, United, and
21
American have due to its choice to appeal to a different target market group. Southwest is unique
from the other airlines because it is in the process of moving away from its current position as a
low-cost airline, and trying to expand its number of destinations that it offers.
Given Delta’s position in the market, it has an opportunity with regard to international markets as
well as strategic alliances and joint ventures. However, these international markets do come with
the threat of competition with other airlines that are controlled by state subsidiaries, such as
Qatar Airways and Etihad Airways. Another possible threat for Delta is Southwest's transition
from a low-cost airline and the fact that Southwest has claimed the market share lead in the
industry.
Figure 2-6: Comparison of Customer Satisfaction to # of Destinations
22
The perceptual map shown in Figure 2-6 depicts and compares firms in the airline industry and
differentiates them by the number of destinations and a general customer satisfaction rating. The
number of destinations is used as an indicator for the respective firm’s market share. Customer
satisfaction indicates the level of gratification an airline's customers feel regarding the service
that the passengers have enjoyed on and around the company’s flights.
In differentiating airlines this way, we can infer what the positioning in the market is and how
the offered products and services differ from one another. In this specific matrix, it is quite
obvious that there is a correlation between size of the airline and the customer satisfaction of the
airline. However, the correlation might at first seem counterintuitive as the smaller, traditionally
low cost airlines have higher customer satisfaction than the larger, more established, and
traditionally more service oriented carriers such as Delta. Nevertheless, using this data to come
to the conclusion that Southwest and Jet Blue offer higher quality service would be false. When
comparing customer satisfaction, especially in the airline industry it is important to know that the
customer base of each airline is not necessarily similar. The customers of a low cost airline
highly value the price factor of the flight and while other services may not be abysmal, the cheap
packaging of the inflight snack does not bother the usual low cost flight customer. Airlines such
as Delta, who are committed to high quality service have a customer base which values the
experience of flying more. This allows Delta to charge higher prices than Southwest for example
but it also means that the usual customer base is more pedantic. Thus, the comparison of low cost
and high cost airlines in regards to the variables used in this conceptual map is not significant.
The difference in customer satisfaction between large carriers is minimal which shows the
competitiveness inherent to the airline industry today. In our sample, Delta, American and
United do not stray too much in the collective customer satisfaction ratings, but it is notable that
the airline with the lowest number of destination, being Delta, has the highest customer
satisfaction rating. American and United indicate the same negative correlation between number
of destinations and customer satisfaction. This could be due to an intentional slowdown in
expansion in order to focus on service. Furthermore, the argument that operations management
becomes more difficult the more destinations are served could be made and implies that
customer satisfaction drops due to difficulties in flight operations such as delays for example.
23
BCG Matrix
Figure 2-7: Breakdown of BCG Matrix
The BCG Matrix pictured above is highlighting the various business sectors that generate a bulk
of Delta's revenue. The airline industry is an interesting industry to have a BCG matrix on
because there are several ways that it can be attacked. One could analyze the industry as a whole
or in our case analyze Delta's specific business sectors.
The aspects of the BCG matrix that are illustrated are both the Cash Cow and the Question Mark.
The Cash Cow for Delta is the domestic business as a whole, that Delta has a firm position in,
holding around 16% of the airline market. This has a lot to do with the sheer size of Delta that is
displayed by the first perceptual map, Delta along with American and United are the top three
airlines in the industry. This is a very advantageous for Delta because the domestic market is a
slow growing market. It is difficult to enter into this market strictly because of the financial
commitment needed, in turn allowing for the companies that have been successful in the market
to keep each firms respective positions. The more intriguing aspect of Delta's business sectors is
the expansion into the international market, which is the firm’s question mark in this matrix.
Delta has been a U.S. power as far as airlines and has neglected to a degree the international
affairs, but with the international market continuing to grow because of the ever-increasing
globalization of our world, Delta has a chance and almost an obligation to expand in this market.
Delta has notoriously depended on the domestic market heavily. In 2013, the domestic market
alone accounted for 65% of its revenue, compared to 57% for its top two competitors United and
American (Cederholm, 2014). There is and will be continuing competition from both domestic
24
and foreign carriers, but the market is wide open with no real front-runner. Delta has the capacity
to become a global power in the airline industry; time will tell if the company is able to succeed.
As can be seen from the above picture, the entire matrix is not completed. The reason for Delta
having neither a dog nor a star lies within the nature of the airline industry as a whole. The first
issue is with having a star in an industry that is so standardized. There are only two major
suppliers for airplanes; Airbus and Boeing who combined own over 80% of the market. Delta as
well as the competition buy the same aircrafts from the same companies, so being able to have a
product that is innovative and ahead of the curve is unmanageable. It is impossible because if
Delta did get the newest designed airplane from Boeing or Airbus, so would United and
American Airlines, which is why there is no star in Delta's business sectors. Delta also does not
have a dog in the BCG matrix, as of right now. The airline business was often thought of as a
service that is not exactly profitable, but as of lately this has not been the case as Delta has
recorded record profits from the two quarters of 2015. If Delta wants to continue its record
profits, then it cannot afford to experiment with new products. The airline industry has had many
years to become as standardized as it has become and having a dog in a market as volatile as this
could prove deadly.
Regression Analysis
Figure 2-8: Revenue Compared to GDP Regression
The regression analysis above describes the relationship between Delta Airlines revenue as
changes in GDP occur. Analyzed is a period of 15 quarters from the 1st
quarter of 2011 to the
3rd
quarter of 2014. The R2
of 0.995 indicates that 99.5% of the variation in the data is correlated
to and explained through the variation in X. Leaving only 0.5% of the variation unexplained and
therefore giving the trend line much viability.
25
As both the trend line and the equation show, the relation between the chosen variables is
positive. This means that if GDP increases, one can also expect Delta's revenue to increases. This
positive relationship is expected as a higher GDP implies more spendable income available to
customers. The increase in revenue could therefore be due to customer’s willingness to pay
higher prices for airfare or simply because money is not such a large constraint anymore making
a flight, while it may be more expensive, a viable alternative to a road trip in order to save time
and increase comfort.
Macro-Environmental Factors
The most significant macro-environmental forces that affect the airline industry as a whole
include political, economic, demographic, weather-related, and technological factors. The
political aspects that affect the airline industry typically consist of regulations and restrictions, as
well as the effects of war and terrorism, all of which involve government intervention. The 9/11
event had a tremendous negative financial impact on the entire airline industry. Overall, the
attacks discouraged air travel, which has consequentially caused a negative impact on the airline
industry as a whole. “It took three years for the global airline industry to recover the 6% decline
in revenue between 2000 and 2001. It reported its first profit of $5 billion in 2006 after four
consecutive years of losses. Financially weak carriers even went into bankruptcy during the
period.” (Delta Air Lines, Inc., 2015). The economic factors such as GDP and the overall
situation of the economy have a large impact on the demand for the airline industry. For
example, demand for air travel will generally be lower when the economy is doing poorly than
when the economy is doing better.
The demographic factors do not have as much of an affect, but still play a large role in the
determination of travel trends and customer preferences. Changing trends in the travel industry
can be determined through the breakdown of the population into the baby boom generation,
generation X, generation Y, and generation Z. Weather-related factors that influence the airline
industry include the effects of severe weather and natural disasters as well as the effect of
seasonality and demand for air travel. Lastly, technological factors play an important role,
specifically in the most recent years, and continues to become more of a vital necessity given the
increasingly competitive nature of the airline industry.
In terms of potential impact for Delta specifically, the two largest macro-environmental forces
include the political and economic factors. While the weather-related and technological factors
have less impact on the company as a whole, it is still important to acknowledge the influence of
weather related factors in the operations of the company.
The effect of political forces on Delta, particularly potential terrorist attacks, geopolitical
conflicts, or security events includes the possibility of a reduction in demand for air travel, which
would in return cause increases in costs and declines in revenue. These political factors have a
larger force in terms of potential impact given the extent that events like these have affected
Delta in the past. Heightened terrorist activity may discourage people from flying and
subsequently reduce ticket purchases, causing Delta to have a change in its operations. The lost
26
revenue from the reduced number of ticket purchases would also cause more costs incurred from
increased security and avoiding flight paths over areas in the world where conflict is occurring.
Another aspect of the political macro environmental forces includes the impact of government
regulations on Delta’s operations (Delta Air Lines, Inc., 2015).
In addition to political factors, some economic factors specifically affect the operational side of
the company. Delta’s “business and results of operations are dependent on the price of aircraft
fuel. High fuel costs or cost increases including in the cost of crude oil, could have a material
adverse effect on (their) operating results” (Delta Air Lines, Inc., 2015). Historically, the fuel
costs have represented a third of Delta’s operating expenses, respectively. The volatile nature of
fuel prices in the past few years has caused complications when fuel prices increase rapidly. The
issue arises when fuel prices change so quickly that the far charged does not cover the increase in
fuel price because generally customers buy tickets far in advanced.
Delta has tried to minimize the negative effects of the changing costs of crude oil and jet fuel
through a hedging program. Although the hedging program is intended to lessen the financial
impact from the volatility of jet fuel prices, Delta has stated that, “the effects of rebalancing (the)
hedge portfolio and mark-to-market adjustments may have a negative impact on (their) financial
results” (Delta Air Lines, Inc.). Other macro-environmental factors that specifically affect the
crude oil and fuel supply include weather-related events, natural disasters, wars involving oil-
producing countries, changes in government policy concerning aircraft fuel production,
transportation, taxes, environmental concerns, and unpredictable events.
The weather related effects, such as severe weather and natural disasters, can ultimately cause a
decrease in revenue due to a disruption in services that creates air traffic control problems.
Increased changes in global climate as well as duration of severe storms could cause increased
delays in cancellations, which would affect revenue and increase costs. Another way in which
weather can affect the operations of Delta is the change in demand due to seasonality. Typically,
demand is higher in the June and September quarters, especially in the international markets.
This fluctuation in demand causes the financial results to vary on a seasonal basis (Delta Air
Lines, Inc.).
Delta relies on technology in order for its operations to function properly. Significant
investments in delta.com, mobile device applications, check-in kiosks as a way to enhance
customer service, reduce costs and increase operational effectiveness. Technological errors or
failures could have large negative impacts in the overall operational system of the company.
Vulnerability to natural disasters, terrorist attacks, computer viruses, hackers and other security
issues can also impact Delta’s ability to maintain a strong technology system. Delta has
continued to invest in initiatives to help prevent these disruptions and continues to do so in order
to eliminate the possibility of future issues. In order for Delta to compete effectively within the
market, it is crucial that technology is functioning properly.
Overall, the larger forces in terms of potential impact for Delta would be the political and
economic forces given that historically have made the largest impact on the company financially.
The demographic and technological forces a less significant overall impact in the operations of
27
the company. Delta has established a framework that is designed specifically to address these
types of risk factors that could hinder the company from achieving its company goals. This
framework, called Enterprise Risk Management, is used to help identify these risks and then
create strategies and ways in which Delta can help mitigate these risks. Delta’s Corporate
Leadership Team is also involved in this process by reviewing the new strategies and helping to
make improvements (Corporate Responsibility Report, 2014).
The Marketing Mix
Product
Delta’s airline segment is managed as a single business unit that provides scheduled
transportation for passengers, cargo, and other ancillary airline services throughout the United
States and around the world. This allows Delta to benefit from an integrated revenue pricing and
route scheduling system. Delta’s global route network gives them a presence in every major
domestic and international market. (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015).
Separate from the mainline passenger airline service, Delta has several other businesses arising
from its airline operations, including aircraft maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO), staffing
and other services, vacation, wholesale operations and private jet operations. In addition to
providing maintenance and engineering support for Delta’s own fleet of 900 aircraft, Delta
TechOps serves aviation and airlines customers from around the world. Delta derives 87.2% of
its revenue from the passenger segment, 2.5% from the cargo segment, and 10.3% from other
sources. Revenue from other sources includes baggage fees, ticket change fees, aircraft
maintenance, repair and overhaul, staffing services for third parties, vacation packages, and
private jet operations (Cederholm 2014).
Within that 87.2% of revenue from the passenger segment, it can be broken down into the
business market segment and the leisure market segment. The business market segment requires
a wide route network with good interconnections and high flight frequency, thus the costs of
these services are high. High seat accessibility is also necessary, but high prices are charged for
this segment, due to the relative price elasticity of demand. Conversely, the leisure market
competes based on prices and this results in price instability and very low yields, and leisure
demand will only peak during a few select times of year. However, the services for the leisure
market can be offered comparatively cheaply. The leisure market is potentially the largest
segment of the total airline market, and its long-term prospects are better than that of the
business segment. With the freight market, an all freight airline should concentrate on carrying
large and bulky items that are too large to fit into the lower holds of even wide-bodied passenger
aircraft (Hailey 2016). Delta is in the cargo industry, but only utilizes passenger aircraft so the
focus of the freight segment is on specialized offerings such as animal transportation
accompanied with the company’s operational excellence and customer satisfaction, which allows
Delta to differentiate itself in this market segment.
28
Delta Global Services provides services to Delta itself along with third parties, including staffing
services, aviation solutions, professional security and training services (Delta Air Lines, Inc.
2015).
Delta’s vacation wholesale business, MLT Vacations, provides packages to third-party
consumers (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015).
Delta also owns private jet operations, known as Delta Private Jets, provides aircraft charters,
aircraft management and programs allowing members to purchase flight time by the hour (Delta
Air Lines, Inc. 2015).
As far as Delta’s distribution and expanded product offerings, it’s tickets are sold through
various distribution channels including digital; channels such as delta.com and mobile, telephone
reservations and traditional “brick and mortar” and online travel agencies. An increasing number
of Delta’s tickets are sold through Delta digital channels, which reduces the distribution cost and
gives them improved and direct, personalized interaction with the consumer (Delta Air Lines,
Inc. 2015).
Price
In order to improve customer satisfaction, convenience and counter competition, Delta has
announced that it will introduce a new five-tiered seating plan, which began March 1, 2015. This
will act as a replacement of the existing basic first class and coach seating that previously
existed. Due to this modification, customers will get to choose from a broader set of options.
Passengers will be able to choose from among Delta One, First Class and Delta Comfort+, which
offer premium amenities. In addition, passengers will also be able purchase Main Cabin and
Basic Economy tickets as well (Tuttle 2014).
Delta One tickets, formerly Business Elite, will be the most expensive but will be able to enjoy
personalized service and luxurious amenities on long haul international and most cross-country
flights between New York-JFK and Los Angeles or San Francisco (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015).
The second most expensive category is First Class. Passengers in this tier will get most of the
benefits available to Delta One travelers except for full flat-bed seats. This tier will be available
on short-haul international and domestic flights of Delta (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015).
The third in line is Comfort Plus, which is available on all two-cabin aircraft operated by Delta
across the globe. Passengers in this tier will enjoy features such as priority boarding, after
passengers of the above two tiers, quilted seat covers, beverage options for adult fliers and
dedicated overhead bin space (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015).
The two lesser-privileged tiers are Main Cabin and Basic Economy. Passengers buying Main
Cabin tickets will have the freedom to select seats while purchasing tickets. Passengers buying
Basic Economy, the cheapest under the new system tickets will enjoy the least amount of
benefits (Tuttle 2014).
29
While some
customers
believe this
system gives
them more
options and more
levels when
purchasing a
ticket based on
the number of
amenities, there
has been some
backlash. It has
been seen as
unnecessarily
confusing and
raises the bar for
instituting an
onboard “caste
system.” Delta is
also moving into
the territory of
low end pricing
with the new Basic
Economy category. This means that Delta will be directly competing with low cost airline
providers, and some believe that the Basic Economy category is the least flexible and least
comfortable out of any American based airline. With this new Basic Economy tier, neither
advanced seat selection or itinerary changes are allowed, not even for an extra fee (Research
2014).
Low cost providers use the tactic of wooing the customer with a low upfront price, and then
hopefully these customers can be upsold on more services at a later time. However, Delta’s new
five-tiered model wants to get most of the upselling accomplished during the ticket purchase
phase. Delta is counting on customers to be scared off by the absence of getting an advance seat,
upgrade, or the option that if a flight is changed that the passenger will pay more upfront
(Research 2014).
Figure 2-9: Branded Fares Itemization
30
Promotion
Promotion for Delta Airlines is mostly done through its use of the frequent flyer program, known
as the SkyMiles program. The SkyMiles frequent flier program is designed to retain and increase
customer loyalty by offering incentives to customer to increase travel with Delta Airlines. The
program allows members to earn mileage credit for travel awards by flying on Delta, its regional
carriers, and other participating airlines. Mileage credit can also be earned by using certain
services offered by program participants, such as credit card companies, hotels and car rental
agencies. Also, individual and companies can purchase mileage credits. Miles for Delta’s
frequent flyer program do not expire, but are subject to certain program rules. However, Delta
reserves the right to cancel the program at any time as long as alert customers six months in
advance. Delta also reserves the right to change the program’s terms and conditions at any time
without notice (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015).
SkyMiles program mileage credits can be redeemed for air travel on Delta and participating
airlines, for membership in Delta Sky Clubs and other program participant awards. Mileage
credits are subject to certain transfer restrictions and travel awards are subject to capacity-
controlled seating.
Delta has also changed the game when it comes to the frequent flyer program by requiring
passengers to not only gain a specified number of miles, but also spend a certain threshold of
money attaining those miles. Delta has chosen this strategy in order to dissuade a customer for
always opting for the cheapest available ticket, while gaining mileage for a flight. This allows a
customer who buys a cheap ticket but flies frequently to gain more miles than a customer who
buys a first class ticket but only flies a few times. With this new strategy, Delta is incentivizing
its more profitable first class customers to use the reward program. This new monetary threshold,
known as Medallion Qualification Dollars, make the customer who regularly chooses the
cheapest ticket to spend a predetermined amount of money with the airline in a given amount of
time. This offsets the risk for the airline because the customer that is flying more regularly at a
low price is less profitable and exposes the airline to all the unseen but costly steps of tacking
luggage to paying the baggage handlers, cleaners, and reservation agents to fueling the plane.
The customer paying less for the ticket but traveling more frequently also exposes the airline to
more risks of something going wrong and having to put them up in a hotel, give them a meal and
taxi vouchers, or with luggage mishaps have the bags hand delivered to passengers’ homes or
hotels by a driver (Olmstead 2013).
Due to this problem, Delta has separated its SkyMiles program into four Medallion Qualification
levels: Silver, Gold, Platinum, and Diamond. Each of these qualification levels has an increasing
threshold of Medallion Qualification Miles (MQMs) and Medallion Qualification Dollars
(MQDs). Silver has the lowest thresholds with 25,000 MQMs and $3,000 MQDs, while
Diamond has the highest thresholds with 125,000 MQMs and $15,000 MQDs. Delta also has a
MQD waiver that allows the MQD requirement to be waived if a customer makes $25,000 or
more in eligible purchases in that year with the Delta SkyMiles Credit Card from American
Express (SkyMiles Medallion® Benefits 2016).
31
Place
Delta is joint venture partners with Air France-KLM, Alitalia, Virgin Australia, and Virgin
Atlantic allowing for travel to 612 destinations in 119 countries. Delta has key hubs and markets
in Atlanta, Boston, Cincinnati, Detroit, Los Angeles, Minneapolis-St. Paul, New York-
LaGuardia, New York-JFK, Salt Lake City, Seattle, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Amsterdam and
Tokyo-Narita. The largest hub is in Atlanta with nearly 1,000 daily departures to 220
destinations (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015).
Delta and its various competitors in the airline industry differ in geographic segmentation, with
Delta having the highest domestic share at 65.8%. With the heavy dependence on the domestic
market, Delta is attempting to expand globally, especially into Latin America and Europe. Delta
has invested in the equity stakes of Aeoromexico and GOL, Brazil’s second largest carrier, in
order to gain from the expected growth in two major countries, Brazil and Mexico, in the Latin
America Region. One of Delta’s joint ventures, Virgin Atlantic, was acquired in order to expand
operations between the United Kingdom and New York (Cederholm 2014).
c. Strategic Assessment of Operations, Supply Chain, Technology, and Infrastructure
In breaking down the airline industry of the United States, it is safe to say that it is one that is
known for its low profit margins and intense competition, creating a sense of importance in all
aspects of the business. Over the past 8 years, the world has watched Delta climb from
bankruptcy back to competing with the other major airlines of the industry. Much of this credit
has been given to its business strategy: attracting corporate travelers, a group characterized by
high margins and low price sensitivity. Through the concentration on this segment, Delta has
been able to shift its cost structure from a one centralized on fixed costs, to one based on variable
costs that way the airline can scale its costs of operating to meet the overall demand of airfare.
This shift in overall operating performance can be noted through the drastic increases in
operating income over the past 5 years leading up to 2015:
This shift in cost direction has played
though in many aspects of Delta’s
operational strategy, specifically facilitating
itself through the purchasing of used
aircraft, and through vertical integration.
Over the past three years, Delta has been
continuously making deals with other
airfare providers such as Boeing for the
purchases of used aircraft. Along with these
purchases, Delta has greatly expanded its
maintenance sector, Delta TechOps, as well
as purchased the Trainer Oil Refinery from
ConocoPhillips. Through the purchasing of
used aircraft, Delta lowered its acquisition
Figure 3-1: Industry Operational Income 2009-2014
32
costs of purchasing, in turn raising the overall maintenance costs which can be easily facilitated
through the TechOps program without outsourcing. The Trainer Refinery has also created more
flexibility in Delta’s operations and in its vertical integration strategy as it has allowed them to
gain more control no only over the highest overall cost, but also over the entire supply chain as
well, making the company less prone to overall risks in the market as well as providing lower
cost resources.
Order Winners and Qualifiers
Although Delta has been successful in
applying this vertical integration
strategy to its operations to reduce
costs of flying the aircraft, the firm is
still apart of service industry that must
to concentrate on providing quality
and reliability to travelers. This means
that although Delta have
differentiated themselves on a cost
basis, the firm must also provide competitive advantages that allow customers to choose Delta
over other airlines.
Qualifier: Safety
The fear accompanying airlines and transportation industries from a general perspective is that
the customer is entrusting a company with the passenger’s most prized and valuable items: life.
Safety is arguably the most important and most essential practices to an airline company.
Customers trust an airline to get them from point A to point B safely. Unfortunately, the infancy
stages of the airline business struggled through a trial and error period where far too many
customers lost lives. In 1972 alone there were 41 fatal plane crashes claiming 2,347 lives. By
2015, this number was cut to three fatal crashes, claiming 428 lives ("Airplane Crash Statistics”,
2016). Delta has only had one fatal plane crash in 1996 ("Airplane Crash Statistics”, 2016).
While the goal of the airline industry is to lose zero lives, there are unforeseen occurrences that
happen in any industry. If an airline displays its inability to provide this service to the customer
consistently, it is sure to impact it’s future negatively. Airlines cannot afford these types of
mistakes and the airlines that are still in operation today have understood this is the bare
minimum if the firm want to receive any business. In 2015 Delta along with United Airlines,
American Airlines and Jet Blue Airways were given a rating of 7/7 according to
airlineratings.com ("JetBlue Airways Review, 2016).
Order Qualifiers Order Winners
1. Safety
2. Cost
3. Timeliness
4. Customer
Satisfaction
1. Target Market
Domination
2. Frequent Flyers
Rewards Program
Figure 3-2: Overview of Order Winners and Qualifiers
33
Qualifiers: Cost
The airline industry is one where price rules all, and travelers are always looking for the lowest
price. Therefore, charging a premium for tickets and expecting customers to buy is not
recommendable. Price sensitivity is the reason why cost is often a winner of business because of
the fact that many airline customers are price sensitive and are looking for the best ticket price
regardless of what company it is. However, Delta is not trying to compete directly with the low
cost providers such as JetBlue and Southwest on price. Delta is more focused on the quality of
the service, the amenities in-flight and the rewards program because its target market is not one
that is heavily concerned on price sensitivity. More so, Delta is targeting corporate business
travelers who are willing to pay more for better in-flight services. Though as a whole Delta is not
attempting to target the lowest cost customers, the firm is not able to charge any price that it
wants because, to a degree, all travelers are price sensitive. The fact of the matter is the low-cost
carriers only have a marginally lower cost compared to the legacy airlines in past years.
The Airline Disclosures Handbook reveals that the cost gap between traditional and budget
airlines has fallen by an average of 30% in six years, partly because legacy airlines have
abandoned old differentiators like free baggage and in-flight catering on short-haul flights. Delta
has found a nice balance of being able to compete to a degree on price, but still stay true to its
objective of business travelers.
Qualifier: Timeliness
There are endless
horror stories of being
in an airport and
having a flight
delayed for hours or
showing up to board
the flight just to have
it canceled leaving the
passenger scrambling
to find another flight
out as quickly as
possible. The
reliability of an airline
saying that a flight
will leave or arrive at a certain time is not a key factor in whether or not a customer chooses a
particular airline, but it is an immediate way to lose customers. Delta along with its two primary
competitors have settled in the high 70% to low 80% as far as percentage of on time flights over
the past three years. Delta averaged around 82% while American and United hovered 76% and
80% respectively ("RITA | BTS | Transtats," 2016). Delta has proven to be a reliable airline, and
Bureau of Transportation Statistics table below has ranked Delta airlines in the top 10 carriers in
on time flights, delayed and cancelled flights such 2011.
Delta Airlines Domestic Flights, 2011-2016
% On
Time
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Rank
Departure 84% 87% 86% 85% 85% 85% 3
Arrival 82% 87% 85% 84% 86% 86% 3
Avg. Delay (min.)
Departure 56.60 57.92 60.49 58.32 60.65 61.10 6
Arrival 54.05 55.34 58.63 56.87 61.26 61.80 9
% Cancelled
Total 1.39% 0.51% 0.32% 0.81% 0.44% 0.47% 3
Figure 3-3: Delta Flight Data
34
After keeping customers safe and not breaking their pockets with absurd ticket rates, being able
to provide a dependable service that will get the customer to where he or she wants to go and
when the customer wants to get there is a bare minimum requirement to even enter the race of
vying for the business of a consumer.
Qualifier: Customer Satisfaction
Customer Satisfaction is as enormous a factor in choosing the business of a customer. Delta
ranked 6th
overall and 2nd
among the traditional airline providers according to the J.D. Power
2015 North America Airline Satisfaction Study which measures satisfaction in seven categories.
The categories include cost and fees, in-flight services, boarding/deplaning/baggage, flight crew,
aircraft, check-in and reservations. The relativity of this study can be seen in the fact that Delta is
second to only Alaska Airlines, whose analysis is skewed because this specific airline is almost
exclusive to the state of Alaska. Delta’s 6th
place ranking is also relative because the other four
spots ahead of them, not including the aforementioned Alaska Airlines, are low-cost providers
such as JetBlue and Southwest ("J.D. Power Study”, 2015.). Today, Delta is not number 1 in
customer satisfaction, but is clearly the leader among the top three competitors in the airline
industry Delta, American and United. Delta averaged a 7.6% and 14.6% higher rating then
American and United from 2013 to the present based on satisfaction. Delta also averaged a
7.25% and 7.75% higher rating then American and United respectively because of experience in
the same time period ("Temkin Ratings", 2016). These figures were taken from the average of
the past year’s ratings based on evaluations submitted by consumer’s who had experiences with
said companies. Delta compared to its top competitors is evidently doing the best on qualifying
for customers through its top-flight customer service.
Much of Delta’s push to enhance customer satisfaction ratings can be seen through its overall
efforts to improve the overall customer experience. In recent years, Delta has made a huge much
to remodel, enhance, and even add new state of the art “Sky Lounges” for customers. The
newest of these locations can be seen in Seattle and Los Angeles, as well as through its $229
million investment in its newest 9,000 square foot location in San Francisco. These areas are
meant to suit travelers of both work and relaxation in an effort by Delta to provide a world-class
experience (“New Delta Sky Club”, 2015)
35
Winner: Target Market
Domination
Delta has been clear that
its target market is the
corporate business
traveler, and the
company has been able
to secure and hold
dominance over this
segment of consumers
since 2011. The
competitors who have
business models set up to
target the exact same
consumers as them,
American and United
have not been able to
offset Delta’s supremacy.
Delta Airlines was
ranked first among
corporate business
travelers for the 5th
straight year. Not only
did Delta win this award
for the 5th
year in a row,
of the 10 categories used
to measure this award, Delta was first in every single one (Levine-Weinberg, 2014.). As
mentioned success in an industry with so little variance in product lies solely on one’s ability to
appeal to the firm’s target market. Delta has not only appealed, but have gained control over the
market which is how it is able to stay out of the wars of the price sensitive customer and charge
premium prices for its product.
Winner: Frequent Flyer Rewards Program
The second factor in Delta Airlines winning customers is its frequent flyer rewards program,
SkyMiles. This program, like several others, turns the money a customer spends on airlines
tickets into redeemable miles to be used on future flights. Delta is rated the number one rewards
program for average and light travelers by cardhub. This ranking system takes into account
factors like airline coverage and the number of flights and destinations that can be offered on the
card. Other criteria include partner airline coverage, seeing if the points can be redeemed on
other carriers having an agreement with Delta, and the value in miles earned per one $100 spent
with Delta. The SkyMiles club is very advantageous to travelers flying out of the south eastern
U.S., Delta is headquartered in Atlanta. Delta airlines has hubs in Atlanta, New York, Detroit,
Memphis, Cincinnati, Minneapolis and Salt Lake City, making it an excellent place to start
Figure 3-4: Business Traveler Industry Survey
36
planning travel within, or outside of the United States. The SkyMiles program is more flexible in
this regard then the rewards program that ranked number 1 for high frequency travelers,
Southwest. Unlike Southwest, Delta’s reward points can be used for international as well as
domestic flights (Comoreanu, 2016). This is made available by the alliance Delta has with
foreign air carriers called the SkyTeam Alliance. With the number of flights increasing every
year, the need for a perk program that will capture the attention of the customer to differentiate
its brand from another is crucial. Delta recently made a change in the rewards program from
being based on number of miles flown, to one based on the price of the ticket which is a windfall
for the target market, business travelers (Ewoldt, 2015). These travelers pay top dollar for tickets
at last minute basis allowing them to earn more points on a flight then someone who bought their
tickets months even weeks in advance.
Delta has recognized that the airline industry is one where there is little variability between
themselves and the competition on the bases of technology and innovation. Airplanes are more
or less all extremely similar and a company is not going to win because it has the fastest plane.
An airline will always have to focus on exactly what type of customer it is looking to obtain a
target them accordingly. Delta has made strides to portray themselves as a premium brand in the
airline industry. Delta is not looking to scrap the bottom of the market to grasp the customer who
is looking for the lowest cost. Through the concentration on many of the other influential factors
such a, this has won many loyal customers. Delta dominate its intended market. It is one thing to
say that the target market is the corporate business traveler, which Delta states, but it is another
to go out and execute its plan.
Process, Facilities, and Location
Passenger Operations
Complementing the various advantages that Delta offers relative to its other airlines, it also
facilitates three
different central
processes that are the
sources of its revenues.
Beginning with its most
lucrative and largest
sector, Delta is an
organization that is
centralized around
providing passenger
airfare both
domestically and
internationally for its
travelers. Through
serving over 180
million customers each
year and more than
37
15,000 flights each day, Delta provides its services to 324 destinations around the
world in 58 countries (“Corporate Stats”, 2016). With such a high number of
destinations and flights, Delta is able to coordinate its operations through the use
of a hub-and-spokes system, which is one where its services are facilitated
through the use of a select number of specified destinations, that once arrived at,
can take a passenger to a specified destination. Delta, just as other airlines, has its
own set of key hubs that it feels best facilitates the movement of the passenger to
the final destination. The following are Delta’s key hubs: Atlanta, Boston,
Cincinnati, Detroit, Los Angeles, Minneapolis-St. Paul, New York-LaGuardia,
New York-JFI, Salt Lake City, Seattle, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Amsterdam, and
Tokyo-Narita (“Corporate Stats”, 2016). Being that Delta is headquartered in
Atlanta, it should be no surprise that that is not only its largest hub with nearly
1,000 departures per day as well as also providing services to 220 of its 324
destinations from that hub (“Corporate Stats”, 2016).
In order to facilitate the movement of passengers from one destination to another
through these hubs, Delta has collaborated with many other regional and national
airlines to help keep this continuous flow of customers. This process of
partnering with other airlines in the industry is known as a codeshare, which
creates a commercial agreement between two airlines that allows each other to
operate on its partner’s routes to and from destinations, creating more services to
more places for both parties. Delta’s major codeshare partners include: Alaska
Airlines, GOL Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, Virgin Atlantic, Virgin Australia
International, and members of the SkyTeam Alliance, including an extensive list
of regional and international carriers such as Air France, Aeromexico, Air
Europa, Middle East Airways, Great Lakes Airlines, and WestJet (“Delta Flight
Partners”, 2016). This alliance gives Delta access to over 800 destinations in an
effort to make flying as quick and smooth as possible. Among these larger
carriers that network Delta to other major cities around the globe, there are also
regional carriers who play the role of transporting passengers from small airports
to Delta’s major hubs for further travel. This list includes ExpressJet, Compass, GoJet Airlines,
Endeavor Air, Shuttle America, and SkyWest (“Delta Flight Partners”, 2016). These regional
carriers have become a major part of Delta’s business, and as of the end of fiscal year 2015, had
accounted for 17% of Delta’s total passenger revenue (Delta Airlines Inc., 2015).
Like the other major players in the airline industry, Delta’s passenger operations stem from a few
invaluable resources: people, planes, and fuel. Beginning with the most important and
underappreciated resource, people, Delta has over 80,000 employees worldwide throughout
airports around the world. Being that its passenger airfare segment of its operations is its most
extensive, it should be no surprise that Delta has roughly 64.9% of its employees are involved in
the expediting of this process (“Job Statistics”, 2013). Although 13.8% of the employees are
pilots and 24.1% are flight attendants, what is overwhelming is the amount of employees that
deal strictly with customer service, which is 26.2%. This is 9.7% higher than its competitor
United Airlines, showing Delta’s overall concentration on customer service (“Job Statistics”,
2013). In general, airlines are known for having unusually high unionization rates, averaging
around 50%. When examining Delta however, of its roughly 80,000 employees the company’s
38
unionization rate is only a mere 18% (“Delta Airlines: Flying High”, 2015). This low rate of
unionization is crucial to overall operating strategy due to the fact that it allows Delta to keep its
base wage rates lower. Even though the average employees’ base wage at Delta would be lower
than going to work for American on United Airlines, Delta is able to hold this 18% rate because
in order to compensate for its low wage rates the airline offers its employees industry leading
profit sharing plans. In 2014 alone, this profit sharing plan yielded nearly one month’s salary to
each employees (“Delta Airlines: Flying High”, 2015). With this strategy in play, Delta has been
able to lower its fixed wages, raising its overall variable costs with the profit sharing plan, as it
continues to enhance its operating strategy to be one based more on variable costs in an effort to
lower the overall risk to the company (“Delta Airlines: Flying High”, 2015).
Representing a total of 10.6% of Delta’s total employee base, the aircraft maintenance, repair,
and overhaul department, also known as MRO, is also hugely important because it is the driving
force behind yet another obvious important aspect of Delta’s operations, its aircraft fleet (“Job
Statistics”, 2013). Currently with a fleet size totaling in 809 aircraft, Delta has massive
assortment of both owned and leased planes that help complete over 15,000 total flights per day
(“Aircraft Fleet”, 2016). With a total assortment of over 18 different types of planes, Delta is
able to use various sizes and capacities to meet the varying demands at its hubs both
domestically and around the world. Of these 809 total aircraft, Delta owns 618 of them,
controlling 76% of its total fleet (“Aircraft Fleet”, 2016). The other 24% is represented by 191
leased planes that Delta also operates under its name (“Aircraft Fleet”, 2016). Even though this
extensive fleet size is great because it allows Delta to be able to push more passengers to more
destinations around the globe, one of the more concerning aspects about its fleet, one that is
continuously becoming more of an issue, is its overall fleet age. Of the total 809 aircraft, Delta’s
planes have an average age of 17.1 years, with the oldest utilized aircraft, the MD-88 having an
average age of over 25.2 years (“Aircraft Fleet”, 2016). To any major airline who holds the lives
of passengers in its hands on a daily basis, this high average age should be of much concern.
However, this factor is one that Delta is less concerned with not only due to the fact that it is a
part of its operational strategy to fly older planes. It also holds to be less of a risk due to the
MRO department, Delta TechOps, the largest domestic airline maintenance company in the US,
is readily available to provide daily maintenance checks on its fleet. This is still a concerning
factor as some of the other airlines, such as American, who have made one of the strategic
operating goals to lower its average fleet age through the purchasing of these new expensive
Aircraft Purchase
Commitments
2016 2017 2018 After 2018 Total
B-737-900ER 19 20 18 12 70
B-787-8 - - - 18 18
A321-200 15 15 15 - 45
A330-300 4 2 - - 6
A330-900neo - - - 25 25
A3590-900 - 6 9 10 25
E190-100 19 - - - 19
Total 57 43 42 66 208
Figure 3-5: Future Aircraft Purchase Commitments
39
aircraft. To think that Delta is only going to continuously purchase used aircraft is a false
assumption. Even though it is a large part of its operating strategy, the firm has recognized that it
still needs to keep a continuous flow of new aircraft as well, just at a much lower rate that many
of its competitors. This idea can be illustrated through Deltas future aircraft purchase
commitments for the firm lasting through 2018 presented below: (Delta Airlines Inc., 2015).
These obligations to its future
commitments demonstrate Delta’s
understanding of the current state of
its fleet, as the company is firmly
committed to purchasing 208 aircraft
in the future. Although a vast majority
of Delta’s comes from its own
personal operations of these aircraft,
the other 17% as represented by
regional carriers also plays an
important role as well (Delta Airlines,
Inc., 2015). What Delta’s fleet size data does not include is the total fleet size of its regional
carriers responsible for transporting customers to these larger hubs in major cities for Delta to
then take to the said destination. The following chart breaks down Delta’s regional carriers by
fleet size. With a total of 482 total aircraft held by regional competitors, this table shows the
importance of the regional carriers from a broad spectrum to Delta’s operating success, as these
airlines cover a vast number of small regional airports around the United States, helping Delta
produced a total passenger revenue in 2015 of $34.7 billion (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2015).
Cargo Operations
Delta Cargo represents another segment of Delta’s operations that represents a much smaller
overall percentage of its operating revenues at 2% (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2015). This operating
segment uses Delta’s global network that has been developed over time through passenger
operations, allowing it to also connect to the world’s major freight gateways. The beauty of
providing cargo services as well as passenger services to customers is that both processes are
able to utilize the same resource, that being the cargo space in the rear of the aircraft. Along with
the similar use of resources, Delta Cargo also relies on the utilization of the SkyTeam Alliance
through “SkyTeam Cargo”, which is an extremely similar partnership between the same airlines
apart of the SkyTeam alliance, allowing all of these airlines to continuously move goods
throughout the US and internationally over six continents (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2015). With such
a small contribution to the overall operating income, Delta Cargo only holds 2.1% of Delta’s
80,000-employee base, showing relatively smaller importance compared to passenger operations
(“Job Statistics”, 2013). Today, Delta Cargo provides more than 320 destinations for its goods to
be delivered to, carrying over 2.4 billion-cargo ton-miles each year.
Unlike the success that Delta has had through its passenger operations, Delta Cargo has been an
operating segment that has struggled recently to increase its overall revenues. In 2014, Delta
Cargo produced operating revenues of $934 million continents (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2016).
Carrier Total
Endeavor Air, Inc. 117
ExpressJet Airlines, Inc. 110
Skywest Airlines, Inc. 113
Compass Airlines, LLC 42
Shuttle America 71
GoJet Airlines, LLC 29
Total 482
Figure 3-6: Regional Airline Partner Fleet Sizes
Strategic Business Analysis
Strategic Business Analysis
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Strategic Business Analysis

  • 1. 1 Strategic Business Analysis Gordon Ellyson Abercrombie II, Coleman Lynwood Bramlett III, Jessica Mary Caro, Kevin Alexander Edelmann, William Timothy Robinson III
  • 2. 2 Table of Contents I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY……………………………………………………………………..3 II. OVERVIEW OF THE FIRM…………………………………………………………………..4 III. FUNTIONAL COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS…………………………………………………5 a. Financial History and Status………………………………………………………......…5 b. Strategic Marketing Analysis………………………………………………………......13 c. Strategic Assessment of Operations, Supply Chain, Technology, and Infrastructure….31 d. Managerial Accounting Analysis……………………………………………………....47 IV. SWOT ANALYSIS, SUMMARY, & RECOMMENDATION……………..…...………….53 V. REFERENCES……………………………………………………………….…...……….…58
  • 3. 3 I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Delta Airlines is a firm that operates over an array of different channels of the airline industry covering anything from passenger and cargo transport to even producing its own jet fuel. Delta demonstrates strengths within this realm as a result of its emphasis on customer satisfaction, diversification, vertical integration, and involvement with the SkyTeam Alliance. However, its overdependence on the domestic market, pension obligations, and lack of liquidity may cause some limitations in the future. Given the volatile nature of the airline industry, it is difficult to predict how future oil prices or other macro-environmental factors will affect Delta's operations. Due to these risks, Delta has attempted to vertically integrate various aspects of its operations through the purchasing of the Trainer Oil Refinery and through Delta TechOps. However, through the process of vertically integrating over different market segments to give them more control over its business, Delta has found a way to slightly discern themselves from the competition in an industry that lacks differentiation as a whole. Delta's main competitors, United Airlines and American Airlines, both provide similar advantages and target markets, which has caused Delta to place more emphasis on the specific competitive advantages that set them apart from the competition. Delta's management of customer relationships has proven extremely successful in recent years and continues to be an extremely significant aspect of the underlying core values within the company. The emphasis on customer satisfaction is an ideology that ultimately effects the operations as whole, which is one specific facet that sets them apart from the competition. In the future, it would be beneficial for Delta to improve upon its utilization of vertical integration through incorporating even more communication and involvement within the supply chain as well as expanding its promotional offerings, such as the SkyMiles program. Both of these improvements would be feasible and valuable for the company given its historical emphasis on customer satisfaction. From a financial standpoint, the current pension obligations are a growing concern as these requirements create liabilities, which ultimately decrease Delta’s profitability. Provided that Delta has maintained a relatively stable position in the market relative to the competition. Given the dramatic turn around that the company has made since filing for bankruptcy in 2005 and its merger with Northwest Airlines in 2009, Delta has seen its stock price triple from the years 2012 to 2015. Although profits in the airline industry are at an all-time high, we believe that certain macro-environmental forces such as unpredictability of oil prices and the threats of terrorism as well as internal issues such as its overwhelming pension obligations and its overdependence on the domestic market will hinder the firm’s growth, thus its stock price should be considered a hold at this time.
  • 4. 4 II. OVERVIEW OF THE FIRM Delta Air Lines Inc. is a U.S. based airline headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia that operates both domestically and internationally. It began as the first commercial agricultural flying company and have expanded rapidly over the 92 years since then. Deltas passenger operations began in 1930 in Atlanta where the company was renamed from The Huff Daland Dusters Crop-Dusting Corporation to Delta Air Corporation. During the 1940’s, stewardesses were added, the headquarters was moved from Monroe to Atlanta, and the official corporate name becomes Delta Air Lines, Inc. Since then, Delta has expanded and become innovative in the way in which it operates. While its main operating segment is passenger transportation, the firm also runs Delta TechOps, a maintenance and repair arm owned by Delta Air Lines and located at the Hartsfield- Jackson Atlanta International Airport. Delta TechOps is the largest engine shop in North America. Furthermore, Delta recently purchased the Trainer Oil Refinery though one of its wholly owned subsidiary Monroe Energy LLC to help produce fuel products support 80% fuel needs in the domestic market. With close to 80,000 employees and a fleet size of over 800 aircrafts, the airline schedules above 15,000 flights per day. Its global route network serves 328 destinations in 57 countries. To provide international service in such a large scale Delta has joined ventures with multiple foreign airlines some of which are Air France-KLM, Virgin Atlantic, Virgin Australia, and Alitalia. Additionally, Delta is a founding member of the SkyTeam Alliance, which includes various airlines from different countries, giving not only Delta but also its partners access to more passengers as well as more destination options as well. Especially in domestic air travel, Delta competes with companies such as United Airlines, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Jet Blue Airways, and Virgin America. These are certainly not the only competing airlines in the industry, but the most comparable competitors to Delta. Similar to Delta, American, and United Airlines reached its current size over the years through series of mergers and acquisitions. Delta’s offering ranges across four different classes. In addition to the common economy, business, and first class, Delta introduced the Delta Comfort+. Among other small extras, this class offers larger seats with more legroom. Furthermore, Delta offers other amenities such as the Delta SkyClub and the SkyMiles rewards program in order to accommodate the more frequent passengers and its target market, the corporate business traveler. In 2015, Delta's revenues totaled at $40.7 billion, which is the highest for US Carriers. 87.5% of Delta’s revenue is coming from passenger traffic. The remainder is comprised of revenue from Delta TechOps, the Trainer Refinery, and Delta Cargo service. Delta explains its business philosophy in the code of conduct called “Rules of the Road”. In this document, Delta presents the key to its values of honesty, integrity, and respect. Every employee is held to these standards which Delta hopes will ensure top notch service and sustainability for the corporation.
  • 5. 5 III. FUNCTIONAL COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS a. Financial History and Status Introduction This financial analysis will examine Delta Airline’s financial status during the time period from the start of the fiscal year 2012 to the end of 2014. For the purpose of comparison to an industry average, five of Delta’s competitors were identified and analyzed as well in order to set benchmarks for acceptable ratio values in this particular industry. Furthermore, macro environmental factors, more often than not, affect the airline industry as a whole rather than only one firm, this allows us to differentiate between behavior of financial ratios, which may be caused by Delta’s decision making as well as variation in the ratios that is endured by most competitors. The five competitor firms that were selected are American Airlines, United Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Jet Blue, and Virgin America. United and American Airlines are the most similar competitors to Delta in terms of sales volume and general size of the firm. When looking at the other competitors who are all known as low cost carriers, it can be seen that Southwest is the largest of the remaining three as its size and income are substantially higher than the other market competitors JetBlue and Virgin America. This lead the exclusion of some competitors in particular industry averages in order to allow for an effective analysis. The difference in size of the airlines has to be carefully considered when comparing the ratios. First and foremost, through utilizing the ratios created for Delta and its competitors, we can determine Delta’s financial health and performance in the analyzed time period which will be discussed in the past performance section. However, we are also able to make predictions for the firm’s future which is the essence of the future performance section and is the centerpiece of the stock recommendation. The analyzed ratios can be broken into four categories: liquidity, asset management, debt management, and profitability ratios. These financial indicators were calculated by collecting the appropriate data from Bloomberg using financial statements submitted in accordance with GAAP. For analysis purposes, the company’s 10-K filings were then reviewed for information including MD&A that would explain the anomalies that were observed in the comparison of the ratios. The data therefore stems from Delta's financial statements and 10-K unless otherwise stated.
  • 6. 6 Ratio Analysis When examining Delta, the liquidity ratios do not show extreme variation over the analyzed period. Generally, a current ratio lower than 1 is considered to be an alarm signal as the ratio compares how short term liabilities are offset by current assets. A ratio lower than 1 indicates that the firm could struggle to pay off its current liabilities, as liquid assets do not properly cover them. However, the industry averages for current ratio illustrates that low current ratios appear to be the norm in the airline industry. Yet, the comparison of the industry and Delta poses the question of why Delta’s current ratio is constantly more than 18% lower and at a point drops to 33% below the Industry’s current ratio. The drop in 2014 correlates to an unfavorable adjustment on fuel hedging of $2.3 billion, which Delta financed through short-term debt and marks the lowest amount of cash and cash equivalents reported. The fact that Delta’s quick ratio differs more from the industry average than the already substantially low current ratio, emphasizes once again that Delta has an issue with liquidity, as the firm’s lesser current assets include more inventory than the industry average. The impact of the increase in current liability will be discussed later on. The impact of the high inventory levels is significant as well, since inventory is a relatively illiquid asset due to the fact that it can have a long time period before it can be turned into cash. In addition to this, the sale of inventory is often only possible when sold under a significant loss of value. Understandably, for a service provider and specifically an airline, the absolute number of inventories is relatively low which causes the inventory turnover rate (ITR) to be relatively high. This being said, it should be expected that Delta’s ITR is very similar to the industry. However, this value is 1000% higher than its competitors. This is because 3 of Delta’s competitors do not hold any inventory and are therefore excluded Year Total Current Assets Total Current Liabilities 2012 8,272 13,270 2013 9,651 14,152 2014 9,158 16,879 0 0.5 1 2012 2013 2014 0.623 0.682 0.544 0.808 0.841 0.812 Delta Current vs. Industry Current Delta Current Ratio Industry Current Ratio 0 10 20 30 40 50 2012 2013 2014 Delta ITR 35.8455523 35.53433678 47.37323944 Industry ITR 3.246169104 3.267392274 3.015380119 Delta ITR vs. Industry ITR Figure 1-2: Delta VS Industry Current Ratio Comparisons Figure 1-3: Delta VS Industry Inventory Turnover Rates Figure 1-1: Delta’s Current Assets & Liabilities
  • 7. 7 from the industry average for mathematical reasons. Among these are also the competitors most similar to Delta in size, American and United Airlines. Included in the industry average are now only competitors such as Jet Blue, with much lower sales numbers, which makes for a much lower ITR. These different businesses are hard to compare as a big global player in the market can cause a firm to have a much different asset structure as a result. Thus, the comparison to the industry average is not extremely insightful. However, this leaves the question of why Delta holds inventory in the first place if this is uncommon in the industry. Some of this inventory is due to Delta’s efforts in autonomous supply of airplane fuel, which does not apply to any of the competitors. In 2012, Delta purchased the Trainer Oil Refinery to attempt to vertically integrate its supply chain. Furthermore, Delta’s subdivision, called Delta TechOps, focuses on the maintenance and repair operations of the Delta fleet but also provides its services to outside customers. Delta TechOps is the largest maintenance and repair shop in North America. With all of this in mind, Delta’s inventories can be broken into two large groups, one being the inventory parts that the MRO department uses to maintain its aircraft. The latter is almost entirely finished goods and includes refined product, feedstock, and blend stock. The TechOps department has to hold spare parts and repair materials in stock for everyday operations. The 33% increase in ITR that can be observed in Figure 1-3 is partially due to an increase in sales but is mainly caused by an about 18% decrease in inventories. This decrease is intentional as Delta decreased fuel inventories to limit the amount of risk that the company is exposed to in case fuel prices fluctuate, which is a reasonable concern for fuel products. When observing the Fixed Asset Turnover (FAT) and Total Asset Turnover (TAT) ratio in relative terms to the industry average, it is apparent that Delta’s ratios are substantially lower. More precisely, the FAT ratio hovers at about 46% under the industry average and TAT approximately 33% in 2012 and 2013. However, this is related to the discussion above, as Delta’s large asset base is owed to its various efforts to vertically integrate different areas of its supply chain, which do not necessarily generate sales or do so only to a limited extend. This is not a negative sign, as it in many ways increases independence and makes Delta less susceptible to risks associated with dependence on outside business partners. A worrisome observation, however, is the decline of the TAT ratio in relative terms to the change of the FAT ratio in 2013. As seen in Figure 1-4, both the FAT and TAT ratios drop. However, the TAT ratio declines 12% while the FAT ratio only decreases by about 2.4%. Similarly, FAT increases more rapidly than TAT in 2014. The variance in these two ratios is alarming because there are only two line items on the balance sheet, which can be responsible for this: an increase in long-term assets other than PPE or the decrease in current assets. It can be seen that Delta’s ratios show -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 2012/13 2013/14 Change in TAT -12.17556614 3.385622532 Change in FAT -2.370147062 6.488647366 Delta Change in FAT vs TAT Figure 1-4: Delta’s Change in Fixed & Total Asset Turnover
  • 8. 8 both of these changes. The current assets decreased while deferred tax assets were added. This decrease in current assets is critical, as this means the firm has less liquid assets on hand to pay for liabilities. Along with this issue goes the 33% increase in DSO in 2014. The days it takes Delta on average to collect accounts receivable increased from 15 to 20 days. This could magnify already existing liquidity issues and further inhibit Delta’s ability to pay its accounts payable. Delta’s general sales paid for with credit cards and agreements with American express on rewards programs such as SkyMiles are the reason for the increase that can be seen in 2014. The equity multiplier (EM) indicator of the level of debt a company is undertaking in order to funding its assets. The higher the EM the less assets of the firm are funded by equity but rather high amounts of debt. With a higher equity multiplier, it can be seen that the firm is financing its operations more through equity rather than debt. Delta’s average in 2013 falls 30% below the industry in 2014 even though Delta increased the EM by 36%. This is partially the case due to an overall increase of the competitors’ equity multipliers. However, the striking increase in American Airlines’ EM has the most prevalent effect on the increasing industry average. As a whole, the industry, including Delta, have increased its funding through debt, which exposes them to higher risk levels, but is an indication for its expectation of profits in the near future. Delta specifically increases its EM by decreasing equity at the same as it increases total debt. This means that Delta should want to take advantage of low interest rates while increasing EM. However, the liabilities driving this must be short-term debt as the long-term debt ratio continuously decreases, by 24% in 2013 and by 16% in 2014. The changes in the times interest earned (TIE) ratio support this claim as it is rising by about 59% in both 2013 and 2014. Figure 1-6 illustrates this increase. As can be seen in Figure 1-5 this is due to both an increase in EBIT and a continued decline in interest expense. If the firm were taking on long term rather than short-term debt, interest expense would be considerably higher. The TIE ratio measures the ability of a firm to decrease its interest expense. Thus, the rise observed in Delta’s TIE is a testimonial for positive debt management as it decreases default risk and is an indicator for positive financial health. Reduced levels of debt, lower interest rates and financing through short-term rather than long-term debt are the important drivers for the decreasing interest expense. The debt ratio tells a similar story. As seen in Figure 1-7 (next page), the debt ratio of both Delta and the industry strongly decreases in 2013. In 2014 the industry’s ratio continues to decrease while Delta’s ratio increases. Even though Delta increases the asset base, this is offset by an 11% rise in Delta’s total debt. This can be partially Year EBIT Interest Expense 2012 2600 812 2013 3548 698 2014 5268 650 0 2 4 6 8 10 2012 2013 2014 Delta TIE vs Industry TIE Delta TIE Ratio Industry TIE Ratio Figure 1-6: Delta VS Industry Times Interest Earned Figure 1-5: TIE Inputs
  • 9. 9 tied back to the losses through hedging activity. As for Delta’s current preference for short-term debt, it has to be noted that this is an easy way to quickly decrease interest expense. However, Delta gives up the opportunity to lock in the currently low interest rates for years to come, leaving them to deal with the higher interest rates in the future. Furthermore, Delta decreased its accumulated other comprehensive loss by about $3 billion. This line item is largely influenced by Delta’s overwhelming pension obligations. In 2012, Delta’s pension obligations were about $16 billion. When compared to the closest competitor, American Airlines with $6.78 billion in pension obligations, the magnitude of Delta’s obligation becomes obvious. Pension obligations were decreased to about $12.4 billion in 2013. While, Delta’s pension fund is underfunded with $8.9 billion in assets, Delta also assumes the return on the fund to be around 8.94%, which is about 1% higher than its closest competitor’s estimate. In reality, the plan gained only 6.2%, thus underperforming expected return by about 2.5%. (Is Delta Air Lines, Inc. Fudging, 2016) This has caused liabilities, which have continuously cut profits by millions. The profitability ratios also all show the same pattern of a rapid increases in 2013 and a significant, yet smaller, decline in 2014. As all these ratios have net income as a common variable, it is fair to assume that the explanation for the fluctuation will be found here. The spike in the profitability ratios is owed to $10.5 billion in net income in 2013 as compared to about $1 billion in 2012. However, this includes $8 billion of income tax benefit. The pre-tax net operating loss carryforwards of $15.3 billion qualified Delta to receive this lucrative tax benefit. Figure 1-8 illustrates the breakdown of net income in 2013. It is easy to see that actual growth in income only accounts for 14% of net income. Thus, 76% of total net income is actually attributable to the tax benefit. While this is a legitimate practice, one cannot expect this to be the case for years to come, thus making the analysis of any ratio regarding profitability in 2013 suspect. To more accurately reflect Delta’s business, we exclude the tax benefit, which is the grey portion of the pie chart, from the analysis, and only use income before income tax, which is the grey and the yellow portion of the pie chart. In doing so it becomes clear that actual growth 76% 10% 14% Net Income 2013 Income Tax Benefits Income Before Income Taxes In 2012 Income Before Income Taxes Growth In 2013 0 0.5 1 1.5 2012 2013 2014 Delta Debt vs. Industry Debt Delta Debt Industry Debt Figure 1-7: Debt Comparisons Figure 1-8: Breakdown of Delta’s Net Income 2013
  • 10. 10 in net income for 2013 is still more than 100%. All profitability ratios reflect this, as the values more than double in the first year even though Income tax benefits are excluded. The decrease in 2014 is explained through the decrease in pre-tax income of $1.5 billion as a result of $3.5 billion in special items. These special items include about 2.3 billion in unfavorable adjustments to fuel hedges and costs associated with the restructuring of the fleet. Additionally, a relatively large sales increase does its part to decrease PM and with it ROA, ROE, and EPS. These three measures show the same behavior as PM, which again underlines the significance in the Net income change. Without inclusion of special items, the firm achieved a $1.9 billion increase. Delta’s Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is also largely affected by the $8 billion net income boost through tax benefits. As it can be seen in Figure 1-7, the increase in stock price in combination with the more than 1000% increase in net income causes Delta’s P/E ratio to decrease by 80% to 2.3 in 2013. Through a rapid decrease in net income and another stock price increase to about $48 at the end of 2014, the P/E ratio rises to 60.8. It can also be seen that this P/E ratio behavior is inconsistent with the industry average. More interesting than the unusual fluctuations that Delta’s P/E ratio shows, is the fact that after starting 32% below and falling to under 89% below the industry average in 2013, Delta’s P/E ratio increases to 87% above the industry. Mathematically, Delta’s fluctuation is caused by three variables, with the main cause being undoubtedly the 93% decrease in net profits caused by the tax benefit in 2013, which is illustrated in Figure 1-8. However, Delta's stock price increases by almost 70%, which Delta reinforced by repurchasing shares in 2014. Past Performance The analysis of the financial ratios illustrates a clear picture of Delta Airlines. The initial increase in net profits, apart from the generous income tax benefit, is owed to many factors already mentioned above. The reduction in interest expense primarily realized through the closing of debt accounts and increased revenue through growth in passenger air travel. More importantly, the positive market response to upper-class air travel has had substantial effects on 2012 2013 2014 Price of Common Stock 12.64 28.62398 48.55456 Delta Net Income in Billions 1.009 10.54 0.659 P/E Ratio 10.67 2.312 60.804 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Delta P/E Analysis 0 20 40 60 80 2012 2013 2014 10.67 2.312 60.8 15.738 21.31 32.51 Delta P/E vs. Industry P/E Delta P/E Industry P/E Figure 1-9: P/E Comparisons Figure 1-10: Delta’s P/E Analysis
  • 11. 11 net profits. However, interest expense is still an issue as Delta faces $650 Million in 2014. The variation and fluctuation illustrated by all ratios, exemplifies the volatility of the airline industry and the risk profile airlines are exposed to. Thus, Delta has made individual efforts to diminish dependence and increase diversification through vertical integration with Monroe Energy and Delta TechOps. This is illustrated in the asset management ratios. Nevertheless, Delta is still exposed to interest rate risks, which applies first and foremost to its pension funds. Delta estimates its underfunded pension program to earn an 8% return, which is ambitious to say the least. The overestimation of performance has repeatedly caused pension obligations, which diminish profits. Furthermore, foreign currency exchange risks are intrinsic to the airline industry as much as is the risk of fluctuation in fuel cost, which Delta partially mitigated through the purchase of Monroe Energy. Though Delta does not achieve invulnerability to rising oil prices, the partial control over its fuel supply chain gives them a competitive advantage over the competitors. Fuel hedging will be significantly diminished due to the fact that Delta will receive the majority of its fuel needs through Monroe Energy, which decreases the risks of fuel hedging exemplified by the loss of $2.3 billion cause by fuel hedging in 2014. Delta now faces inventory risk as the stored inventory consists partially of fuel reserves, which are subject to fluctuating prices. This risk is much easier to manage than the risks associated with hedging and should give Delta more stability when competitors struggle with fluctuating fuel costs. The relative decrease in current assets, which both current ratio and the comparison of Delta’s FAT and TAT ratios show, is a concern, as the lack of liquidity beyond a certain level is highly unfavorable. The increase in DSO is also problematic because it takes longer to collect liquid assets. Delta, as well as the majority of the airline industry, made a decision to fund themselves through liabilities rather than equity. Both the economy and industry appear to be on an upswing, but this decision bears risk as Delta exposes itself more to market shocks. Additionally, Delta’s move away from long-term to current debt is driven by efforts to reduce interest expense, even though it would be more sustainable and recommendable to lock in current interest rates with long-term debt. The introduction of dividends in 2013, combined with frequent and large increases, makes Delta an attractive investment because expected return for investors will be much higher. Dividends per-share are steadily increasing since Delta initiated the issuance of dividends in the September quarter of 2013. In addition to this, Delta repurchased stock in 2014. Both of these measures are aiming to increase stock price, which goes hand in hand with what we observe in the P/E ratio. Stock prices increased rapidly but net income decreased significantly, causing P/E to be almost twice as great as the industry. Future Performance Judging by the past performance of both Delta and the airline industry, it is safe to say that the airline industry is among the most volatile markets to potentially invest in. From 2012 to 2014, we observe various favorable as well as unfavorable changes in financials. First, an increase in
  • 12. 12 sales is due to especially higher demand in higher-class seating and the fact that Delta has achieved a diversification through vertical integration of its supply chain. The Trainer Oil Refinery as well as the TechOps division have reduced Delta’s risk exposure to single events affecting only airfare businesses. While this is far from perfect diversification in the sense of creating a perfectly negative relationship, it is better than the non-existent diversification of single industry competitors. Furthermore, this idea makes the company more independent in its operations giving a competitive advantage to Delta. Looking into the future, the termination of high interest rate debt and therefore decreasing interest cost is a crucial step. Delta does in fact do this in all three analyzed periods, which in combination with the increase in revenue makes for a financially sound situation. Including the growth in dividend per share, these are the financial bright spots looking into Delta’s future. Likewise, Delta will most likely remain with its current dividend payment, in order to not cause a drop in stock price, which is attractive for investors. However, it is doubtful that the DPS can maintain its current growth rate. In examining from the polar perspective, one must also take in to account the issues that the firm will still be facing in the future. Delta urgently needs to resolve its pension obligation issue through better funding and a more realistic projection for returns. Decreasing the level of pension obligations in the short term is not possible, which means that Delta should at least plan to decrease the level of underfunding in the pension plan over the long term in order to prevent the negative financial impact that could be observed in the future. If crude oil and therefore fuel cost, increase, Delta’s profits will suffer despite the company’s engagement in the refinery business. Rarely have oil prices ever been as low as they are currently, and the next price spike is bound to come in the future. Connected to this is the increased risk Delta and its competitors are exposed to because of increased equity multipliers. Furthermore, Delta needs to resolve it’s issue with generating liquid assets. In the case that the economy begins to struggle and cash flows slow, Delta will not have enough current assets to cover the liabilities. With more and more political conflicts that arise in the world and a weakened global economy, the affect that foreign currency exchange risk will have on Delta is also not to be underestimated. Lastly, while Delta’s increase in stock price has been remarkable in the past 3 years, however, it has to be questioned for how long this growth can be sustained as the stock prices in 2014 mark an all-time high.
  • 13. 13 b. Strategic Marketing Analysis Delta's Business Model The airline industry is one that is unique and cannot be compared to others, being that it is an industry that does not have dozens of product segments and categories due to the fact that the only products are flights. With a limited service mix, this creates little variance within the market between competitors. However, there are differing market segments in which Delta competes, passenger flights, cargo flights and the newly created refinery segment. The refinery segment has already been claimed by Delta—at least for the time being—because it is the only company that produces its own fuel for its services. Delta has seen huge revenue and profit increases in the passenger airline segment over the past few years but the cargo segment is one that has gone in the complete opposite direction in recent years. Delta reported a 19.7% drop in cargo related revenue from 2014 to 2015. This is a huge percentage drop in a year, but Delta is not particularly worried seeing as the cargo segment makes up only 2% of the annual revenue (Ball, 2015). Delta airlines operates in all these segments, but by far its largest revenue stream is the passenger airline side of the industry. As mentioned Delta's largest revenue stream comes solely from passenger segment of the market, which is the reason why Delta model's its business model accordingly. Focuses on attracting corporate travelers, Delta’s strategy is concentrated on a segment that is characterized by high margins and low price sensitivity (C, 2015). Delta’s attempts to target this particular type of consumer have proven to be successful as corporate business travelers have rated Delta as the leading U.S. airline for the third consecutive year in the BTN Annual Airline survey. Delta has the highest overall score, 3.93 out of 5, leading in all categories except overall price value, in which as expected Southwest Airlines had surpassed Delta (Cederholm, 2014). This appeal of business travelers coupled with the sheer size of the company is why Delta is positioned at the top for business travelers overall. Delta is also on top in comparison with the other large airlines across the full spectrum of analysis. According to Forbes, Delta has consistently been atop of the
  • 14. 14 airline industry. Delta is not a market leader in price nor customer satisfaction; however, the airline has stayed true to its model and target market, reaping the benefits of doing so. Delta airlines is currently operating joint ventures with foreign carriers, Airfrance-KLM, Alitalia, Virgin Australia and Virgin Atlantic. These arrangements provide for joint commercial cooperation with its partners, including sharing revenues, profits and losses generated by the parties along the joint venture routes. These joint ventures allow Delta to extend its reach to 612 destinations in 119 countries (Delta Airlines Inc., 2015). The largest and arguably the most important of Delta's ventures to expand Delta's reach as far globally as possible is the creation and membership in the SkyTeam alliance. The 20- member alliance allows for furthering the interconnection in the airline industry. Delta has done well in understanding that expanding internationally is more about how many connections and agreements one can make with foreign carriers. Delta does not solely have the capacity to reach the number of destinations it has access to alone, but through the numerous agreements, Delta's hand reaches immensely far, giving them a hand in the international market. Along with joint ventures and membership in the SkyTeam alliance, Delta has several code sharing agreements with domestic regional carriers that feed air traffic to the airlines route system by serving primarily the smaller Figure 2-1: Corporate Reputation
  • 15. 15 and medium-sized cities. Regional air carriers such as SkyWest, ExpressJet, Compass Airlines and GoJet are a few of the regional low cost carriers that Delta has charge of pricing, scheduling and flight connectivity for. These regional carriers accounted for approximately 17% of its passenger revenue in 2015 (Delta Airlines Inc., 2015). Through the regional carrier programs, Delta has solidified themselves in the low-cost carrier market, a segment it does not directly target due to the pricing. Also as noted earlier, the numerous partnerships with air carriers across the globe have allowed Delta to provide its customers with access to a large variety of destinations worldwide. Airline Market Delta's reach has expanded globally, however, the rest of the industry is attempting to follow suit as well. The airline industry has increased its global outreach and will continue to do so through both foreign and domestic expansions. It will also continue to grow through the joint ventures, codeshare agreements, and alliances between airlines. This overall growth of the airline industry will affect growth of both segments within the larger market. The markets within the industry are defined two ways, domestically and internationally. Whichever way one examines the airline industry it is clear that the markets are continually growing. The domestic market in the United States has had steady growth upwards as can be seen by the below Figure 2.2. The increasing profitability and operational advancements by airlines does not seem to have foreseen braking to this market. If the airline industry is viewed from the international perspective, it will also see continuous growth. According to Lucintel, the international airline industry is expected to reach an estimated $832.8 billion in 2020 ("Global Airline Industry," 2013). The increasing integration of countries domestic markets into the international framework as a whole is providing potential for an already large market to continue to increase. This idea is supported by the fact that the international airline industry experienced revenues of $733 billion in 2014. Figure 2-2: Airline Share Performance
  • 16. 16 With the continuing increase of the international airline market, Delta has an opportunity to expand into foreign markets. "As Delta turns the page to 2016, the airline’s goals for next year include building on its growing momentum in Latin America and the Caribbean, a key market for leisure and business travelers." Delta has primed for this expansion through increasing code- sharing agreements with Latin American airlines such as Aerolíneas Argentinas. The Latin American market has had success stories such as the integration of Delta into the Brazilian market (Delta Airlines Inc., 2016). The integration into this market provides the combination of Delta and the Brazilian carrier GOL with access to 405 new destinations through the agreement. There is potential in this market, but the market pales in comparison to the growth opportunity in the Asian-pacific market. According to the International Air Transport Association, global air transport is expected to more than double, and half of the growth will come directly from China and India. Figure 2-3 below presented by market realist displays the large discrepancy between the combined growth of China and India relative to the rest of the world. This region is also expected to overtake the United States as the largest airline market by 2030. The market itself has grown much more significantly than any other market in recent years and will serve as a battleground for the airline industry in years to come. There is potential for immense growth and whoever takes advantage of this area will reap a massive benefit (Cederholm, 2014). Figure 2-3: Growth of the International Markets
  • 17. 17 There are several potential markets and huge growth has been made in the airline industry, but with this potential for growth comes increased competition. Though the emerging markets in the airline industry have facilitated the industry’s growth, however, with the increase in industry growth comes the increase in competition as well. The airline industry is highly competitive with respect to routes, fares, scheduling, services, products, customer service and frequent flyer programs. This competitiveness has caused the industry to transform through consolidation, both domestically and internationally, and changes in international alliances. Consolidation in the airline industry, the emergence of well-funded government sponsored international carriers, the aforementioned shifts in international alliances, and the increasing creation of joint ventures have altered the competitive landscape in the industry and will continue to reshape it. The results of this shift in the competitive landscape will be the formation of airlines and alliances with increased financial resources, more extensive global networks and competitive cost structures (Delta Airlines Inc., 2015). This competition has several competitors that Delta will have to face off with in hopes of obtaining the customers’ business. American Airlines & United Airways are the largest of the competitors that Delta will come up against and have consistently been direct competitors to Delta seeing as all three are legacy or traditional carriers. Legacy airlines are carriers that had established interstate routes prior to the time of the route liberalization, which was permitted by the Airline Deregulation Act of 1978. Another major competitor is the point- to-point carrier, Southwest. The point-to-point system simply allows the airline not to operate a central hub, having separate flights from one destination to another, no connecting. The last competitor is JetBlue Airways, another low cost carrier, operates in hopes of winning the business of the high price sensitivity oriented customer. Competitor Overview The airline industry can be categorized in several different ways, relative to market share, profitability or based on the actual number of flights. With respects to the number of flights, the three largest carriers are the legacy carriers Delta, American and United. The size of the three companies relative to size and market share are all in the same area. JetBlue is the sole competitor in question that fits in the low cost carrier category and is by far the smallest airline in all measures. The airline that has begun to bridge the historical gap between the low cost and legacy carriers is Southwest. Southwest is notably smaller than the legacy carriers in terms of fleet size, destinations and revenues. However, Southwest has grabbed the largest percentage of market share of any of the airlines. Southwest has captured the lead in market share, but Delta edges out the competition overall as being the largest airline, if all the measures mentioned before are combined. Yes, Delta is positioned at the top of the airline market, but as mentioned, this market have a minuscule amount of variance making its lead a small one.
  • 18. 18 Airlines Market Share # of Flights Size of Fleet # of Destinations Southwest 18.2% 3800 683 97 JetBlue 5.3% 825 217 84 United 14.7% 5100 1,264 342 American 16.6% 6700 1,494 330 Delta 17% 5400 1,280 325 As mentioned before, United, Delta and American are all legacy carriers, these carriers are also similar relative to the size of fleet, number of destinations and even market share to a degree. These airlines are also similar because each one is vying for the business of the same customer, the corporate business traveler. This reasoning is why United and American are considered the two major competitors for Delta. United Airlines Inc. is an American carrier headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. United as well as fellow competitor American Airlines Inc. headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas are ranked second and third in terms of the large traditional air carriers. This order could be flipped depending on if the analyst looks at each in terms of revenues and profits where United generated $38 billion in revenue and profits of nearly $4.7 billion compared to American's $30 billion revenue and profits of S4.3 billion. However, American has a clear lead as far as market share on United ("RITA | BTS | Transtats," n.d.). While neither are on level of Delta at $41 billion in revenue and $5.4 in profits, each competitor still holds advantages over Delta Airlines in certain regards. For instance, United Airlines is the leading airline in China and that partnership was only strengthened by expanding on the firm’s long standing agreement with Air China to increase flight opportunities. United also has a very strong presence in JFK and LaGuardia airports because of the company’s New York basis making international flights out of these hubs very important ("United Airlines and Air China Strengthen and Extend Strategic Partnership - Mar 23, 2016," 2016). As far as American is concerned, "American Airlines has nine hubs in the continental U.S. and its capacity to scale upward is unmatched by the other airlines," Marketocracy analyst Jeff McDowell claimed. He also made mention to American’s lack of institutional investors. This lack of institutional ownership is keeping the price low compared to the industry (Kam, 2014). The next competitor being mentioned is the low cost or discount carrier JetBlue. JetBlue Airways Corporation is headquartered in Long Island City, New York. JetBlue is the smallest by far of all the major competitors to Delta in every category covered, market share, profitability and revenue and fleet size or number of destinations. In 2015, JetBlue had a revenue stream of $6.3 billion dollars and profits of $1 billion. Yes, JetBlue is the smallest competitor, but that is the business model of the low-cost competitors. Delta is not attempting to beat the large legacy carriers at its own game, the low-cost carriers are targeting the price sensitive customer. This is JetBlue's advantage, as the firm enters the territory of the larger carriers and should come away with industry leading margins. The airline managed to expand its margins by approximately 14% in the first quarter of 2015 as opposed to the 7% margin expansion experienced by the industry Figure 2-4: Competitor Overview of Key Statistics
  • 19. 19 (Team, 2015). JetBlue has the cost advantage over its peers because of it being a domestically based carrier. Delta's last competitor is Southwest Airlines Co. headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Southwest began as a low cost carrier, but as of recent times has begun to take on characteristics of a traditional airline. In a Bloomberg article, Southwest's description was this, "Southwest hangs up its low-cost jersey." Through Southwest’s acquisition of AirTran and the fact that they are no longer the lowest price option in many cities, Southwest has essentially become the bridge between the low-cost carriers and the traditional powerhouses. It can be seen here that Southwest has an advantage as it is entering the realm of the large airlines, but consistently beat the traditional carriers on price while attempting to offer the same number of options. Southwest is also nationally known for its customer service, it has a "dedication to the highest quality customer service ("About Southwest - Southwest Airlines," 2015)." Southwest has consistently ranked tops in the industry in numerous customer service ratings through the years. Every firm in the airlines industry has some sort of competitive advantage The question is whose competitive advantages have been executed the best to take advantage of the current market.
  • 20. 20 Perceptual Maps Figure 2-5: Comparison of Fleet Size to Number of Destinations This perceptual map in Figure 2-5 compares Delta's fleet size to number of destinations relative to its competition. When examining this map, it can be seen that Delta is at the forefront of its market, along with its two other major competitors; United Airlines and American Airlines. This diagram illustrates the amount of control that these three firms have over the market through being each firm’s ability to maintain high flight numbers as well as being able to reach the largest number of target destinations. In contrast to these high-achieving airlines, JetBlue and Virgin Airlines struggle to match the capacity of these three firms, which can be attributable to the low-cost pricing model each implements. These low-cost providers struggle to expand at the rates that Delta, United, and
  • 21. 21 American have due to its choice to appeal to a different target market group. Southwest is unique from the other airlines because it is in the process of moving away from its current position as a low-cost airline, and trying to expand its number of destinations that it offers. Given Delta’s position in the market, it has an opportunity with regard to international markets as well as strategic alliances and joint ventures. However, these international markets do come with the threat of competition with other airlines that are controlled by state subsidiaries, such as Qatar Airways and Etihad Airways. Another possible threat for Delta is Southwest's transition from a low-cost airline and the fact that Southwest has claimed the market share lead in the industry. Figure 2-6: Comparison of Customer Satisfaction to # of Destinations
  • 22. 22 The perceptual map shown in Figure 2-6 depicts and compares firms in the airline industry and differentiates them by the number of destinations and a general customer satisfaction rating. The number of destinations is used as an indicator for the respective firm’s market share. Customer satisfaction indicates the level of gratification an airline's customers feel regarding the service that the passengers have enjoyed on and around the company’s flights. In differentiating airlines this way, we can infer what the positioning in the market is and how the offered products and services differ from one another. In this specific matrix, it is quite obvious that there is a correlation between size of the airline and the customer satisfaction of the airline. However, the correlation might at first seem counterintuitive as the smaller, traditionally low cost airlines have higher customer satisfaction than the larger, more established, and traditionally more service oriented carriers such as Delta. Nevertheless, using this data to come to the conclusion that Southwest and Jet Blue offer higher quality service would be false. When comparing customer satisfaction, especially in the airline industry it is important to know that the customer base of each airline is not necessarily similar. The customers of a low cost airline highly value the price factor of the flight and while other services may not be abysmal, the cheap packaging of the inflight snack does not bother the usual low cost flight customer. Airlines such as Delta, who are committed to high quality service have a customer base which values the experience of flying more. This allows Delta to charge higher prices than Southwest for example but it also means that the usual customer base is more pedantic. Thus, the comparison of low cost and high cost airlines in regards to the variables used in this conceptual map is not significant. The difference in customer satisfaction between large carriers is minimal which shows the competitiveness inherent to the airline industry today. In our sample, Delta, American and United do not stray too much in the collective customer satisfaction ratings, but it is notable that the airline with the lowest number of destination, being Delta, has the highest customer satisfaction rating. American and United indicate the same negative correlation between number of destinations and customer satisfaction. This could be due to an intentional slowdown in expansion in order to focus on service. Furthermore, the argument that operations management becomes more difficult the more destinations are served could be made and implies that customer satisfaction drops due to difficulties in flight operations such as delays for example.
  • 23. 23 BCG Matrix Figure 2-7: Breakdown of BCG Matrix The BCG Matrix pictured above is highlighting the various business sectors that generate a bulk of Delta's revenue. The airline industry is an interesting industry to have a BCG matrix on because there are several ways that it can be attacked. One could analyze the industry as a whole or in our case analyze Delta's specific business sectors. The aspects of the BCG matrix that are illustrated are both the Cash Cow and the Question Mark. The Cash Cow for Delta is the domestic business as a whole, that Delta has a firm position in, holding around 16% of the airline market. This has a lot to do with the sheer size of Delta that is displayed by the first perceptual map, Delta along with American and United are the top three airlines in the industry. This is a very advantageous for Delta because the domestic market is a slow growing market. It is difficult to enter into this market strictly because of the financial commitment needed, in turn allowing for the companies that have been successful in the market to keep each firms respective positions. The more intriguing aspect of Delta's business sectors is the expansion into the international market, which is the firm’s question mark in this matrix. Delta has been a U.S. power as far as airlines and has neglected to a degree the international affairs, but with the international market continuing to grow because of the ever-increasing globalization of our world, Delta has a chance and almost an obligation to expand in this market. Delta has notoriously depended on the domestic market heavily. In 2013, the domestic market alone accounted for 65% of its revenue, compared to 57% for its top two competitors United and American (Cederholm, 2014). There is and will be continuing competition from both domestic
  • 24. 24 and foreign carriers, but the market is wide open with no real front-runner. Delta has the capacity to become a global power in the airline industry; time will tell if the company is able to succeed. As can be seen from the above picture, the entire matrix is not completed. The reason for Delta having neither a dog nor a star lies within the nature of the airline industry as a whole. The first issue is with having a star in an industry that is so standardized. There are only two major suppliers for airplanes; Airbus and Boeing who combined own over 80% of the market. Delta as well as the competition buy the same aircrafts from the same companies, so being able to have a product that is innovative and ahead of the curve is unmanageable. It is impossible because if Delta did get the newest designed airplane from Boeing or Airbus, so would United and American Airlines, which is why there is no star in Delta's business sectors. Delta also does not have a dog in the BCG matrix, as of right now. The airline business was often thought of as a service that is not exactly profitable, but as of lately this has not been the case as Delta has recorded record profits from the two quarters of 2015. If Delta wants to continue its record profits, then it cannot afford to experiment with new products. The airline industry has had many years to become as standardized as it has become and having a dog in a market as volatile as this could prove deadly. Regression Analysis Figure 2-8: Revenue Compared to GDP Regression The regression analysis above describes the relationship between Delta Airlines revenue as changes in GDP occur. Analyzed is a period of 15 quarters from the 1st quarter of 2011 to the 3rd quarter of 2014. The R2 of 0.995 indicates that 99.5% of the variation in the data is correlated to and explained through the variation in X. Leaving only 0.5% of the variation unexplained and therefore giving the trend line much viability.
  • 25. 25 As both the trend line and the equation show, the relation between the chosen variables is positive. This means that if GDP increases, one can also expect Delta's revenue to increases. This positive relationship is expected as a higher GDP implies more spendable income available to customers. The increase in revenue could therefore be due to customer’s willingness to pay higher prices for airfare or simply because money is not such a large constraint anymore making a flight, while it may be more expensive, a viable alternative to a road trip in order to save time and increase comfort. Macro-Environmental Factors The most significant macro-environmental forces that affect the airline industry as a whole include political, economic, demographic, weather-related, and technological factors. The political aspects that affect the airline industry typically consist of regulations and restrictions, as well as the effects of war and terrorism, all of which involve government intervention. The 9/11 event had a tremendous negative financial impact on the entire airline industry. Overall, the attacks discouraged air travel, which has consequentially caused a negative impact on the airline industry as a whole. “It took three years for the global airline industry to recover the 6% decline in revenue between 2000 and 2001. It reported its first profit of $5 billion in 2006 after four consecutive years of losses. Financially weak carriers even went into bankruptcy during the period.” (Delta Air Lines, Inc., 2015). The economic factors such as GDP and the overall situation of the economy have a large impact on the demand for the airline industry. For example, demand for air travel will generally be lower when the economy is doing poorly than when the economy is doing better. The demographic factors do not have as much of an affect, but still play a large role in the determination of travel trends and customer preferences. Changing trends in the travel industry can be determined through the breakdown of the population into the baby boom generation, generation X, generation Y, and generation Z. Weather-related factors that influence the airline industry include the effects of severe weather and natural disasters as well as the effect of seasonality and demand for air travel. Lastly, technological factors play an important role, specifically in the most recent years, and continues to become more of a vital necessity given the increasingly competitive nature of the airline industry. In terms of potential impact for Delta specifically, the two largest macro-environmental forces include the political and economic factors. While the weather-related and technological factors have less impact on the company as a whole, it is still important to acknowledge the influence of weather related factors in the operations of the company. The effect of political forces on Delta, particularly potential terrorist attacks, geopolitical conflicts, or security events includes the possibility of a reduction in demand for air travel, which would in return cause increases in costs and declines in revenue. These political factors have a larger force in terms of potential impact given the extent that events like these have affected Delta in the past. Heightened terrorist activity may discourage people from flying and subsequently reduce ticket purchases, causing Delta to have a change in its operations. The lost
  • 26. 26 revenue from the reduced number of ticket purchases would also cause more costs incurred from increased security and avoiding flight paths over areas in the world where conflict is occurring. Another aspect of the political macro environmental forces includes the impact of government regulations on Delta’s operations (Delta Air Lines, Inc., 2015). In addition to political factors, some economic factors specifically affect the operational side of the company. Delta’s “business and results of operations are dependent on the price of aircraft fuel. High fuel costs or cost increases including in the cost of crude oil, could have a material adverse effect on (their) operating results” (Delta Air Lines, Inc., 2015). Historically, the fuel costs have represented a third of Delta’s operating expenses, respectively. The volatile nature of fuel prices in the past few years has caused complications when fuel prices increase rapidly. The issue arises when fuel prices change so quickly that the far charged does not cover the increase in fuel price because generally customers buy tickets far in advanced. Delta has tried to minimize the negative effects of the changing costs of crude oil and jet fuel through a hedging program. Although the hedging program is intended to lessen the financial impact from the volatility of jet fuel prices, Delta has stated that, “the effects of rebalancing (the) hedge portfolio and mark-to-market adjustments may have a negative impact on (their) financial results” (Delta Air Lines, Inc.). Other macro-environmental factors that specifically affect the crude oil and fuel supply include weather-related events, natural disasters, wars involving oil- producing countries, changes in government policy concerning aircraft fuel production, transportation, taxes, environmental concerns, and unpredictable events. The weather related effects, such as severe weather and natural disasters, can ultimately cause a decrease in revenue due to a disruption in services that creates air traffic control problems. Increased changes in global climate as well as duration of severe storms could cause increased delays in cancellations, which would affect revenue and increase costs. Another way in which weather can affect the operations of Delta is the change in demand due to seasonality. Typically, demand is higher in the June and September quarters, especially in the international markets. This fluctuation in demand causes the financial results to vary on a seasonal basis (Delta Air Lines, Inc.). Delta relies on technology in order for its operations to function properly. Significant investments in delta.com, mobile device applications, check-in kiosks as a way to enhance customer service, reduce costs and increase operational effectiveness. Technological errors or failures could have large negative impacts in the overall operational system of the company. Vulnerability to natural disasters, terrorist attacks, computer viruses, hackers and other security issues can also impact Delta’s ability to maintain a strong technology system. Delta has continued to invest in initiatives to help prevent these disruptions and continues to do so in order to eliminate the possibility of future issues. In order for Delta to compete effectively within the market, it is crucial that technology is functioning properly. Overall, the larger forces in terms of potential impact for Delta would be the political and economic forces given that historically have made the largest impact on the company financially. The demographic and technological forces a less significant overall impact in the operations of
  • 27. 27 the company. Delta has established a framework that is designed specifically to address these types of risk factors that could hinder the company from achieving its company goals. This framework, called Enterprise Risk Management, is used to help identify these risks and then create strategies and ways in which Delta can help mitigate these risks. Delta’s Corporate Leadership Team is also involved in this process by reviewing the new strategies and helping to make improvements (Corporate Responsibility Report, 2014). The Marketing Mix Product Delta’s airline segment is managed as a single business unit that provides scheduled transportation for passengers, cargo, and other ancillary airline services throughout the United States and around the world. This allows Delta to benefit from an integrated revenue pricing and route scheduling system. Delta’s global route network gives them a presence in every major domestic and international market. (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). Separate from the mainline passenger airline service, Delta has several other businesses arising from its airline operations, including aircraft maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO), staffing and other services, vacation, wholesale operations and private jet operations. In addition to providing maintenance and engineering support for Delta’s own fleet of 900 aircraft, Delta TechOps serves aviation and airlines customers from around the world. Delta derives 87.2% of its revenue from the passenger segment, 2.5% from the cargo segment, and 10.3% from other sources. Revenue from other sources includes baggage fees, ticket change fees, aircraft maintenance, repair and overhaul, staffing services for third parties, vacation packages, and private jet operations (Cederholm 2014). Within that 87.2% of revenue from the passenger segment, it can be broken down into the business market segment and the leisure market segment. The business market segment requires a wide route network with good interconnections and high flight frequency, thus the costs of these services are high. High seat accessibility is also necessary, but high prices are charged for this segment, due to the relative price elasticity of demand. Conversely, the leisure market competes based on prices and this results in price instability and very low yields, and leisure demand will only peak during a few select times of year. However, the services for the leisure market can be offered comparatively cheaply. The leisure market is potentially the largest segment of the total airline market, and its long-term prospects are better than that of the business segment. With the freight market, an all freight airline should concentrate on carrying large and bulky items that are too large to fit into the lower holds of even wide-bodied passenger aircraft (Hailey 2016). Delta is in the cargo industry, but only utilizes passenger aircraft so the focus of the freight segment is on specialized offerings such as animal transportation accompanied with the company’s operational excellence and customer satisfaction, which allows Delta to differentiate itself in this market segment.
  • 28. 28 Delta Global Services provides services to Delta itself along with third parties, including staffing services, aviation solutions, professional security and training services (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). Delta’s vacation wholesale business, MLT Vacations, provides packages to third-party consumers (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). Delta also owns private jet operations, known as Delta Private Jets, provides aircraft charters, aircraft management and programs allowing members to purchase flight time by the hour (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). As far as Delta’s distribution and expanded product offerings, it’s tickets are sold through various distribution channels including digital; channels such as delta.com and mobile, telephone reservations and traditional “brick and mortar” and online travel agencies. An increasing number of Delta’s tickets are sold through Delta digital channels, which reduces the distribution cost and gives them improved and direct, personalized interaction with the consumer (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). Price In order to improve customer satisfaction, convenience and counter competition, Delta has announced that it will introduce a new five-tiered seating plan, which began March 1, 2015. This will act as a replacement of the existing basic first class and coach seating that previously existed. Due to this modification, customers will get to choose from a broader set of options. Passengers will be able to choose from among Delta One, First Class and Delta Comfort+, which offer premium amenities. In addition, passengers will also be able purchase Main Cabin and Basic Economy tickets as well (Tuttle 2014). Delta One tickets, formerly Business Elite, will be the most expensive but will be able to enjoy personalized service and luxurious amenities on long haul international and most cross-country flights between New York-JFK and Los Angeles or San Francisco (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). The second most expensive category is First Class. Passengers in this tier will get most of the benefits available to Delta One travelers except for full flat-bed seats. This tier will be available on short-haul international and domestic flights of Delta (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). The third in line is Comfort Plus, which is available on all two-cabin aircraft operated by Delta across the globe. Passengers in this tier will enjoy features such as priority boarding, after passengers of the above two tiers, quilted seat covers, beverage options for adult fliers and dedicated overhead bin space (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). The two lesser-privileged tiers are Main Cabin and Basic Economy. Passengers buying Main Cabin tickets will have the freedom to select seats while purchasing tickets. Passengers buying Basic Economy, the cheapest under the new system tickets will enjoy the least amount of benefits (Tuttle 2014).
  • 29. 29 While some customers believe this system gives them more options and more levels when purchasing a ticket based on the number of amenities, there has been some backlash. It has been seen as unnecessarily confusing and raises the bar for instituting an onboard “caste system.” Delta is also moving into the territory of low end pricing with the new Basic Economy category. This means that Delta will be directly competing with low cost airline providers, and some believe that the Basic Economy category is the least flexible and least comfortable out of any American based airline. With this new Basic Economy tier, neither advanced seat selection or itinerary changes are allowed, not even for an extra fee (Research 2014). Low cost providers use the tactic of wooing the customer with a low upfront price, and then hopefully these customers can be upsold on more services at a later time. However, Delta’s new five-tiered model wants to get most of the upselling accomplished during the ticket purchase phase. Delta is counting on customers to be scared off by the absence of getting an advance seat, upgrade, or the option that if a flight is changed that the passenger will pay more upfront (Research 2014). Figure 2-9: Branded Fares Itemization
  • 30. 30 Promotion Promotion for Delta Airlines is mostly done through its use of the frequent flyer program, known as the SkyMiles program. The SkyMiles frequent flier program is designed to retain and increase customer loyalty by offering incentives to customer to increase travel with Delta Airlines. The program allows members to earn mileage credit for travel awards by flying on Delta, its regional carriers, and other participating airlines. Mileage credit can also be earned by using certain services offered by program participants, such as credit card companies, hotels and car rental agencies. Also, individual and companies can purchase mileage credits. Miles for Delta’s frequent flyer program do not expire, but are subject to certain program rules. However, Delta reserves the right to cancel the program at any time as long as alert customers six months in advance. Delta also reserves the right to change the program’s terms and conditions at any time without notice (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). SkyMiles program mileage credits can be redeemed for air travel on Delta and participating airlines, for membership in Delta Sky Clubs and other program participant awards. Mileage credits are subject to certain transfer restrictions and travel awards are subject to capacity- controlled seating. Delta has also changed the game when it comes to the frequent flyer program by requiring passengers to not only gain a specified number of miles, but also spend a certain threshold of money attaining those miles. Delta has chosen this strategy in order to dissuade a customer for always opting for the cheapest available ticket, while gaining mileage for a flight. This allows a customer who buys a cheap ticket but flies frequently to gain more miles than a customer who buys a first class ticket but only flies a few times. With this new strategy, Delta is incentivizing its more profitable first class customers to use the reward program. This new monetary threshold, known as Medallion Qualification Dollars, make the customer who regularly chooses the cheapest ticket to spend a predetermined amount of money with the airline in a given amount of time. This offsets the risk for the airline because the customer that is flying more regularly at a low price is less profitable and exposes the airline to all the unseen but costly steps of tacking luggage to paying the baggage handlers, cleaners, and reservation agents to fueling the plane. The customer paying less for the ticket but traveling more frequently also exposes the airline to more risks of something going wrong and having to put them up in a hotel, give them a meal and taxi vouchers, or with luggage mishaps have the bags hand delivered to passengers’ homes or hotels by a driver (Olmstead 2013). Due to this problem, Delta has separated its SkyMiles program into four Medallion Qualification levels: Silver, Gold, Platinum, and Diamond. Each of these qualification levels has an increasing threshold of Medallion Qualification Miles (MQMs) and Medallion Qualification Dollars (MQDs). Silver has the lowest thresholds with 25,000 MQMs and $3,000 MQDs, while Diamond has the highest thresholds with 125,000 MQMs and $15,000 MQDs. Delta also has a MQD waiver that allows the MQD requirement to be waived if a customer makes $25,000 or more in eligible purchases in that year with the Delta SkyMiles Credit Card from American Express (SkyMiles Medallion® Benefits 2016).
  • 31. 31 Place Delta is joint venture partners with Air France-KLM, Alitalia, Virgin Australia, and Virgin Atlantic allowing for travel to 612 destinations in 119 countries. Delta has key hubs and markets in Atlanta, Boston, Cincinnati, Detroit, Los Angeles, Minneapolis-St. Paul, New York- LaGuardia, New York-JFK, Salt Lake City, Seattle, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Amsterdam and Tokyo-Narita. The largest hub is in Atlanta with nearly 1,000 daily departures to 220 destinations (Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2015). Delta and its various competitors in the airline industry differ in geographic segmentation, with Delta having the highest domestic share at 65.8%. With the heavy dependence on the domestic market, Delta is attempting to expand globally, especially into Latin America and Europe. Delta has invested in the equity stakes of Aeoromexico and GOL, Brazil’s second largest carrier, in order to gain from the expected growth in two major countries, Brazil and Mexico, in the Latin America Region. One of Delta’s joint ventures, Virgin Atlantic, was acquired in order to expand operations between the United Kingdom and New York (Cederholm 2014). c. Strategic Assessment of Operations, Supply Chain, Technology, and Infrastructure In breaking down the airline industry of the United States, it is safe to say that it is one that is known for its low profit margins and intense competition, creating a sense of importance in all aspects of the business. Over the past 8 years, the world has watched Delta climb from bankruptcy back to competing with the other major airlines of the industry. Much of this credit has been given to its business strategy: attracting corporate travelers, a group characterized by high margins and low price sensitivity. Through the concentration on this segment, Delta has been able to shift its cost structure from a one centralized on fixed costs, to one based on variable costs that way the airline can scale its costs of operating to meet the overall demand of airfare. This shift in overall operating performance can be noted through the drastic increases in operating income over the past 5 years leading up to 2015: This shift in cost direction has played though in many aspects of Delta’s operational strategy, specifically facilitating itself through the purchasing of used aircraft, and through vertical integration. Over the past three years, Delta has been continuously making deals with other airfare providers such as Boeing for the purchases of used aircraft. Along with these purchases, Delta has greatly expanded its maintenance sector, Delta TechOps, as well as purchased the Trainer Oil Refinery from ConocoPhillips. Through the purchasing of used aircraft, Delta lowered its acquisition Figure 3-1: Industry Operational Income 2009-2014
  • 32. 32 costs of purchasing, in turn raising the overall maintenance costs which can be easily facilitated through the TechOps program without outsourcing. The Trainer Refinery has also created more flexibility in Delta’s operations and in its vertical integration strategy as it has allowed them to gain more control no only over the highest overall cost, but also over the entire supply chain as well, making the company less prone to overall risks in the market as well as providing lower cost resources. Order Winners and Qualifiers Although Delta has been successful in applying this vertical integration strategy to its operations to reduce costs of flying the aircraft, the firm is still apart of service industry that must to concentrate on providing quality and reliability to travelers. This means that although Delta have differentiated themselves on a cost basis, the firm must also provide competitive advantages that allow customers to choose Delta over other airlines. Qualifier: Safety The fear accompanying airlines and transportation industries from a general perspective is that the customer is entrusting a company with the passenger’s most prized and valuable items: life. Safety is arguably the most important and most essential practices to an airline company. Customers trust an airline to get them from point A to point B safely. Unfortunately, the infancy stages of the airline business struggled through a trial and error period where far too many customers lost lives. In 1972 alone there were 41 fatal plane crashes claiming 2,347 lives. By 2015, this number was cut to three fatal crashes, claiming 428 lives ("Airplane Crash Statistics”, 2016). Delta has only had one fatal plane crash in 1996 ("Airplane Crash Statistics”, 2016). While the goal of the airline industry is to lose zero lives, there are unforeseen occurrences that happen in any industry. If an airline displays its inability to provide this service to the customer consistently, it is sure to impact it’s future negatively. Airlines cannot afford these types of mistakes and the airlines that are still in operation today have understood this is the bare minimum if the firm want to receive any business. In 2015 Delta along with United Airlines, American Airlines and Jet Blue Airways were given a rating of 7/7 according to airlineratings.com ("JetBlue Airways Review, 2016). Order Qualifiers Order Winners 1. Safety 2. Cost 3. Timeliness 4. Customer Satisfaction 1. Target Market Domination 2. Frequent Flyers Rewards Program Figure 3-2: Overview of Order Winners and Qualifiers
  • 33. 33 Qualifiers: Cost The airline industry is one where price rules all, and travelers are always looking for the lowest price. Therefore, charging a premium for tickets and expecting customers to buy is not recommendable. Price sensitivity is the reason why cost is often a winner of business because of the fact that many airline customers are price sensitive and are looking for the best ticket price regardless of what company it is. However, Delta is not trying to compete directly with the low cost providers such as JetBlue and Southwest on price. Delta is more focused on the quality of the service, the amenities in-flight and the rewards program because its target market is not one that is heavily concerned on price sensitivity. More so, Delta is targeting corporate business travelers who are willing to pay more for better in-flight services. Though as a whole Delta is not attempting to target the lowest cost customers, the firm is not able to charge any price that it wants because, to a degree, all travelers are price sensitive. The fact of the matter is the low-cost carriers only have a marginally lower cost compared to the legacy airlines in past years. The Airline Disclosures Handbook reveals that the cost gap between traditional and budget airlines has fallen by an average of 30% in six years, partly because legacy airlines have abandoned old differentiators like free baggage and in-flight catering on short-haul flights. Delta has found a nice balance of being able to compete to a degree on price, but still stay true to its objective of business travelers. Qualifier: Timeliness There are endless horror stories of being in an airport and having a flight delayed for hours or showing up to board the flight just to have it canceled leaving the passenger scrambling to find another flight out as quickly as possible. The reliability of an airline saying that a flight will leave or arrive at a certain time is not a key factor in whether or not a customer chooses a particular airline, but it is an immediate way to lose customers. Delta along with its two primary competitors have settled in the high 70% to low 80% as far as percentage of on time flights over the past three years. Delta averaged around 82% while American and United hovered 76% and 80% respectively ("RITA | BTS | Transtats," 2016). Delta has proven to be a reliable airline, and Bureau of Transportation Statistics table below has ranked Delta airlines in the top 10 carriers in on time flights, delayed and cancelled flights such 2011. Delta Airlines Domestic Flights, 2011-2016 % On Time 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Rank Departure 84% 87% 86% 85% 85% 85% 3 Arrival 82% 87% 85% 84% 86% 86% 3 Avg. Delay (min.) Departure 56.60 57.92 60.49 58.32 60.65 61.10 6 Arrival 54.05 55.34 58.63 56.87 61.26 61.80 9 % Cancelled Total 1.39% 0.51% 0.32% 0.81% 0.44% 0.47% 3 Figure 3-3: Delta Flight Data
  • 34. 34 After keeping customers safe and not breaking their pockets with absurd ticket rates, being able to provide a dependable service that will get the customer to where he or she wants to go and when the customer wants to get there is a bare minimum requirement to even enter the race of vying for the business of a consumer. Qualifier: Customer Satisfaction Customer Satisfaction is as enormous a factor in choosing the business of a customer. Delta ranked 6th overall and 2nd among the traditional airline providers according to the J.D. Power 2015 North America Airline Satisfaction Study which measures satisfaction in seven categories. The categories include cost and fees, in-flight services, boarding/deplaning/baggage, flight crew, aircraft, check-in and reservations. The relativity of this study can be seen in the fact that Delta is second to only Alaska Airlines, whose analysis is skewed because this specific airline is almost exclusive to the state of Alaska. Delta’s 6th place ranking is also relative because the other four spots ahead of them, not including the aforementioned Alaska Airlines, are low-cost providers such as JetBlue and Southwest ("J.D. Power Study”, 2015.). Today, Delta is not number 1 in customer satisfaction, but is clearly the leader among the top three competitors in the airline industry Delta, American and United. Delta averaged a 7.6% and 14.6% higher rating then American and United from 2013 to the present based on satisfaction. Delta also averaged a 7.25% and 7.75% higher rating then American and United respectively because of experience in the same time period ("Temkin Ratings", 2016). These figures were taken from the average of the past year’s ratings based on evaluations submitted by consumer’s who had experiences with said companies. Delta compared to its top competitors is evidently doing the best on qualifying for customers through its top-flight customer service. Much of Delta’s push to enhance customer satisfaction ratings can be seen through its overall efforts to improve the overall customer experience. In recent years, Delta has made a huge much to remodel, enhance, and even add new state of the art “Sky Lounges” for customers. The newest of these locations can be seen in Seattle and Los Angeles, as well as through its $229 million investment in its newest 9,000 square foot location in San Francisco. These areas are meant to suit travelers of both work and relaxation in an effort by Delta to provide a world-class experience (“New Delta Sky Club”, 2015)
  • 35. 35 Winner: Target Market Domination Delta has been clear that its target market is the corporate business traveler, and the company has been able to secure and hold dominance over this segment of consumers since 2011. The competitors who have business models set up to target the exact same consumers as them, American and United have not been able to offset Delta’s supremacy. Delta Airlines was ranked first among corporate business travelers for the 5th straight year. Not only did Delta win this award for the 5th year in a row, of the 10 categories used to measure this award, Delta was first in every single one (Levine-Weinberg, 2014.). As mentioned success in an industry with so little variance in product lies solely on one’s ability to appeal to the firm’s target market. Delta has not only appealed, but have gained control over the market which is how it is able to stay out of the wars of the price sensitive customer and charge premium prices for its product. Winner: Frequent Flyer Rewards Program The second factor in Delta Airlines winning customers is its frequent flyer rewards program, SkyMiles. This program, like several others, turns the money a customer spends on airlines tickets into redeemable miles to be used on future flights. Delta is rated the number one rewards program for average and light travelers by cardhub. This ranking system takes into account factors like airline coverage and the number of flights and destinations that can be offered on the card. Other criteria include partner airline coverage, seeing if the points can be redeemed on other carriers having an agreement with Delta, and the value in miles earned per one $100 spent with Delta. The SkyMiles club is very advantageous to travelers flying out of the south eastern U.S., Delta is headquartered in Atlanta. Delta airlines has hubs in Atlanta, New York, Detroit, Memphis, Cincinnati, Minneapolis and Salt Lake City, making it an excellent place to start Figure 3-4: Business Traveler Industry Survey
  • 36. 36 planning travel within, or outside of the United States. The SkyMiles program is more flexible in this regard then the rewards program that ranked number 1 for high frequency travelers, Southwest. Unlike Southwest, Delta’s reward points can be used for international as well as domestic flights (Comoreanu, 2016). This is made available by the alliance Delta has with foreign air carriers called the SkyTeam Alliance. With the number of flights increasing every year, the need for a perk program that will capture the attention of the customer to differentiate its brand from another is crucial. Delta recently made a change in the rewards program from being based on number of miles flown, to one based on the price of the ticket which is a windfall for the target market, business travelers (Ewoldt, 2015). These travelers pay top dollar for tickets at last minute basis allowing them to earn more points on a flight then someone who bought their tickets months even weeks in advance. Delta has recognized that the airline industry is one where there is little variability between themselves and the competition on the bases of technology and innovation. Airplanes are more or less all extremely similar and a company is not going to win because it has the fastest plane. An airline will always have to focus on exactly what type of customer it is looking to obtain a target them accordingly. Delta has made strides to portray themselves as a premium brand in the airline industry. Delta is not looking to scrap the bottom of the market to grasp the customer who is looking for the lowest cost. Through the concentration on many of the other influential factors such a, this has won many loyal customers. Delta dominate its intended market. It is one thing to say that the target market is the corporate business traveler, which Delta states, but it is another to go out and execute its plan. Process, Facilities, and Location Passenger Operations Complementing the various advantages that Delta offers relative to its other airlines, it also facilitates three different central processes that are the sources of its revenues. Beginning with its most lucrative and largest sector, Delta is an organization that is centralized around providing passenger airfare both domestically and internationally for its travelers. Through serving over 180 million customers each year and more than
  • 37. 37 15,000 flights each day, Delta provides its services to 324 destinations around the world in 58 countries (“Corporate Stats”, 2016). With such a high number of destinations and flights, Delta is able to coordinate its operations through the use of a hub-and-spokes system, which is one where its services are facilitated through the use of a select number of specified destinations, that once arrived at, can take a passenger to a specified destination. Delta, just as other airlines, has its own set of key hubs that it feels best facilitates the movement of the passenger to the final destination. The following are Delta’s key hubs: Atlanta, Boston, Cincinnati, Detroit, Los Angeles, Minneapolis-St. Paul, New York-LaGuardia, New York-JFI, Salt Lake City, Seattle, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Amsterdam, and Tokyo-Narita (“Corporate Stats”, 2016). Being that Delta is headquartered in Atlanta, it should be no surprise that that is not only its largest hub with nearly 1,000 departures per day as well as also providing services to 220 of its 324 destinations from that hub (“Corporate Stats”, 2016). In order to facilitate the movement of passengers from one destination to another through these hubs, Delta has collaborated with many other regional and national airlines to help keep this continuous flow of customers. This process of partnering with other airlines in the industry is known as a codeshare, which creates a commercial agreement between two airlines that allows each other to operate on its partner’s routes to and from destinations, creating more services to more places for both parties. Delta’s major codeshare partners include: Alaska Airlines, GOL Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, Virgin Atlantic, Virgin Australia International, and members of the SkyTeam Alliance, including an extensive list of regional and international carriers such as Air France, Aeromexico, Air Europa, Middle East Airways, Great Lakes Airlines, and WestJet (“Delta Flight Partners”, 2016). This alliance gives Delta access to over 800 destinations in an effort to make flying as quick and smooth as possible. Among these larger carriers that network Delta to other major cities around the globe, there are also regional carriers who play the role of transporting passengers from small airports to Delta’s major hubs for further travel. This list includes ExpressJet, Compass, GoJet Airlines, Endeavor Air, Shuttle America, and SkyWest (“Delta Flight Partners”, 2016). These regional carriers have become a major part of Delta’s business, and as of the end of fiscal year 2015, had accounted for 17% of Delta’s total passenger revenue (Delta Airlines Inc., 2015). Like the other major players in the airline industry, Delta’s passenger operations stem from a few invaluable resources: people, planes, and fuel. Beginning with the most important and underappreciated resource, people, Delta has over 80,000 employees worldwide throughout airports around the world. Being that its passenger airfare segment of its operations is its most extensive, it should be no surprise that Delta has roughly 64.9% of its employees are involved in the expediting of this process (“Job Statistics”, 2013). Although 13.8% of the employees are pilots and 24.1% are flight attendants, what is overwhelming is the amount of employees that deal strictly with customer service, which is 26.2%. This is 9.7% higher than its competitor United Airlines, showing Delta’s overall concentration on customer service (“Job Statistics”, 2013). In general, airlines are known for having unusually high unionization rates, averaging around 50%. When examining Delta however, of its roughly 80,000 employees the company’s
  • 38. 38 unionization rate is only a mere 18% (“Delta Airlines: Flying High”, 2015). This low rate of unionization is crucial to overall operating strategy due to the fact that it allows Delta to keep its base wage rates lower. Even though the average employees’ base wage at Delta would be lower than going to work for American on United Airlines, Delta is able to hold this 18% rate because in order to compensate for its low wage rates the airline offers its employees industry leading profit sharing plans. In 2014 alone, this profit sharing plan yielded nearly one month’s salary to each employees (“Delta Airlines: Flying High”, 2015). With this strategy in play, Delta has been able to lower its fixed wages, raising its overall variable costs with the profit sharing plan, as it continues to enhance its operating strategy to be one based more on variable costs in an effort to lower the overall risk to the company (“Delta Airlines: Flying High”, 2015). Representing a total of 10.6% of Delta’s total employee base, the aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul department, also known as MRO, is also hugely important because it is the driving force behind yet another obvious important aspect of Delta’s operations, its aircraft fleet (“Job Statistics”, 2013). Currently with a fleet size totaling in 809 aircraft, Delta has massive assortment of both owned and leased planes that help complete over 15,000 total flights per day (“Aircraft Fleet”, 2016). With a total assortment of over 18 different types of planes, Delta is able to use various sizes and capacities to meet the varying demands at its hubs both domestically and around the world. Of these 809 total aircraft, Delta owns 618 of them, controlling 76% of its total fleet (“Aircraft Fleet”, 2016). The other 24% is represented by 191 leased planes that Delta also operates under its name (“Aircraft Fleet”, 2016). Even though this extensive fleet size is great because it allows Delta to be able to push more passengers to more destinations around the globe, one of the more concerning aspects about its fleet, one that is continuously becoming more of an issue, is its overall fleet age. Of the total 809 aircraft, Delta’s planes have an average age of 17.1 years, with the oldest utilized aircraft, the MD-88 having an average age of over 25.2 years (“Aircraft Fleet”, 2016). To any major airline who holds the lives of passengers in its hands on a daily basis, this high average age should be of much concern. However, this factor is one that Delta is less concerned with not only due to the fact that it is a part of its operational strategy to fly older planes. It also holds to be less of a risk due to the MRO department, Delta TechOps, the largest domestic airline maintenance company in the US, is readily available to provide daily maintenance checks on its fleet. This is still a concerning factor as some of the other airlines, such as American, who have made one of the strategic operating goals to lower its average fleet age through the purchasing of these new expensive Aircraft Purchase Commitments 2016 2017 2018 After 2018 Total B-737-900ER 19 20 18 12 70 B-787-8 - - - 18 18 A321-200 15 15 15 - 45 A330-300 4 2 - - 6 A330-900neo - - - 25 25 A3590-900 - 6 9 10 25 E190-100 19 - - - 19 Total 57 43 42 66 208 Figure 3-5: Future Aircraft Purchase Commitments
  • 39. 39 aircraft. To think that Delta is only going to continuously purchase used aircraft is a false assumption. Even though it is a large part of its operating strategy, the firm has recognized that it still needs to keep a continuous flow of new aircraft as well, just at a much lower rate that many of its competitors. This idea can be illustrated through Deltas future aircraft purchase commitments for the firm lasting through 2018 presented below: (Delta Airlines Inc., 2015). These obligations to its future commitments demonstrate Delta’s understanding of the current state of its fleet, as the company is firmly committed to purchasing 208 aircraft in the future. Although a vast majority of Delta’s comes from its own personal operations of these aircraft, the other 17% as represented by regional carriers also plays an important role as well (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2015). What Delta’s fleet size data does not include is the total fleet size of its regional carriers responsible for transporting customers to these larger hubs in major cities for Delta to then take to the said destination. The following chart breaks down Delta’s regional carriers by fleet size. With a total of 482 total aircraft held by regional competitors, this table shows the importance of the regional carriers from a broad spectrum to Delta’s operating success, as these airlines cover a vast number of small regional airports around the United States, helping Delta produced a total passenger revenue in 2015 of $34.7 billion (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2015). Cargo Operations Delta Cargo represents another segment of Delta’s operations that represents a much smaller overall percentage of its operating revenues at 2% (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2015). This operating segment uses Delta’s global network that has been developed over time through passenger operations, allowing it to also connect to the world’s major freight gateways. The beauty of providing cargo services as well as passenger services to customers is that both processes are able to utilize the same resource, that being the cargo space in the rear of the aircraft. Along with the similar use of resources, Delta Cargo also relies on the utilization of the SkyTeam Alliance through “SkyTeam Cargo”, which is an extremely similar partnership between the same airlines apart of the SkyTeam alliance, allowing all of these airlines to continuously move goods throughout the US and internationally over six continents (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2015). With such a small contribution to the overall operating income, Delta Cargo only holds 2.1% of Delta’s 80,000-employee base, showing relatively smaller importance compared to passenger operations (“Job Statistics”, 2013). Today, Delta Cargo provides more than 320 destinations for its goods to be delivered to, carrying over 2.4 billion-cargo ton-miles each year. Unlike the success that Delta has had through its passenger operations, Delta Cargo has been an operating segment that has struggled recently to increase its overall revenues. In 2014, Delta Cargo produced operating revenues of $934 million continents (Delta Airlines, Inc., 2016). Carrier Total Endeavor Air, Inc. 117 ExpressJet Airlines, Inc. 110 Skywest Airlines, Inc. 113 Compass Airlines, LLC 42 Shuttle America 71 GoJet Airlines, LLC 29 Total 482 Figure 3-6: Regional Airline Partner Fleet Sizes