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Segmentation of BIB
  Consumer Liking Data of
12 Cabernet Sauvignon Wines
         Chris Findlay, PhD
              Chairman
          Compusense Inc.
           Guelph, Canada
Background
• Consumer testing of beverage alcohol has a number of
  serious challenges. The effect of consumption of alcohol
  is a limiting factor in obtaining complete block data.

• Collecting consumer data over several days affects the
  quality of the consumer response. By the third day, most
  consumers are behaving like experts, a conclusion that is
  supported by the decrease in first position effect.



                                       Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                August 26, 2010
The Effect of Order and Day on Consumer Liking
     12 White Wines, 115 Consumers, CBD 12:12 over 3 Days
70




60




50




40
                                                                        1
                                                                        2
                                                                        3

30                                                                      4




20




10




 0
           1              2              3                All




                                               Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                        August 26, 2010
Ensuring Quality Data

•   Careful selection of appropriate consumers
•   Sensory selection of test products
•   Diligent application of Best Practices
•   Typically, segmentation of consumer liking data
    requires a complete block.




                                   Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                            August 26, 2010
The Study

• In this study, 12 Cabernet Sauvignon wines
  were evaluated by over 600 red wine consumers
  in a 12 present 3 Balanced Incomplete Block
  design. Each consumer tasted 3 of the wines in
  a single 10 minute session, with demographic
  questions providing a break between samples.
• A total of 11 sessions were conducted at 5 LCBO
  store locations.


                                 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                          August 26, 2010
Factor Scores plot : dimension 1 versus 2

                                          2.58                       PC 1 vs PC 2
        Sensory Map #1


                                                           W3

                                         Astringent
                                                  W11
                               W6 W7           W2 Bitter
                       W12    Raisin
                              FruityWoody
                                        Eucalyptus
                                              Leather
                             Vanilla           Sour
                                                  Pepper
-2.58        W10             Floral           T obacco W5                   2.58
                                        W4   W8 Green
                             Sweet               Asparagus


                                    Coffee Smoke
                                                                W9




                                   W1
                                          -2.58
Factor Scores plot : dimension 3 versus 4

                                          2.58
                                                             PC 3 vs PC 4
        Sensory Map #2

                                               W3       W2


                                        W10
                                W9            Leather
                                                      W1
                                        Eucalyptus
                                       Sweet
                                      Asparagus
                W6                            Coffee
                                          Floral
                                     Green Bitter
                                Fruity
-2.58                           W12 Pepper          Woody
                                           Astringent                 2.58
                                 Raisin T obacco Vanilla
                                           Smoke
                                        W5
                                           Sour W11
                                                                 W7
                                W4
                                   W8




                                          -2.58
Data collection at LCBO stores




             Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                      August 26, 2010
RAW RESULTS
          Mean Liking across All Consumers

W6

W1
                      Overall Liking
W4                       (n=614)

W10

W12

W8

W7

W11

W9

W5

W3

W2

  3.5     4.0   4.5          5.0       5.5   6.0   6.5         7.0         7.5          8.0




                                                   Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                            August 26, 2010
Segmentation Procedure
•    Substitute missing data with for each panelist
    1. Panelist Mean for the 3 products tested
    2. Product mean for each product
    3. Grand mean for all products
•    Cluster using Qannari method using Senstools
     3.3.1 (OP&P, Utrecht)
•    Apply the cluster solutions to the original data
     to create segments


                                       Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                August 26, 2010
Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                         August 26, 2010
T1 Clustering results
                        Increase Relative Stress By Decreasing Number Of Clusters
0.20




            The average liking response for each panelist was inserted
0.15        into the missing data points. The Qannari Clustering method
            (Senstools 3.3.1) provided a four cluster solution.


0.10




0.05




0.00
       20    19   18   17   16   15   14   13   12   11   10   9   8   7    6     5    4    3    2    1




                                                                       Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                                                August 26, 2010
Clusters

             28%               23%
Cluster 1 - 172                            Cluster 2 - 142




Cluster 4 - 105
                                          Cluster 3 - 195
             17%
                              32%


                                    Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                             August 26, 2010
W2
W4
                                                                                                                W10
W1                                                                                                                                  Cluster 2 Liking
                        Cluster 1 Liking
                                                                                                                W3                   (n=142 or 23%)
W6                       (n= 172 or 28%)
                                                                                                                W1
W7
                                                                                                                W11
W8
                                                                                                                W5
W9
                                                                                                                W8
W12
                                                                                                                W4
W11
                                                                                                                W12
W2
                                                                                                                W6
W10
                                                                                                                W9
W5
                                                                                                                W7
W3
                                                                                                                  3.5   4.0   4.5           5.0         5.5   6.0   6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0
      3.5   4.0   4.5          5.0          5.5     6.0         6.5         7.0         7.5         8.0




W9                                                                                                              W6

W6                                                                                                              W8
                        Cluster 3 Liking                                                                                            Cluster 4 Liking
W7                        (n= 195 or 32%)                                                                       W3                   (n = 105 or 17%)

W12                                                                                                             W5

W3                                                                                                              W1

W2                                                                                                              W11

W5                                                                                                              W4

W10                                                                                                             W9

W1                                                                                                              W12

W8                                                                                                              W10

W11                                                                                                             W7

W4                                                                                                              W2

  3.5       4.0   4.5           5.0           5.5         6.0         6.5         7.0         7.5         8.0     3.5   4.0   4.5           5.0         5.5   6.0   6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0




                                                                                                                                    Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                                                                                                             August 26, 2010
Cluster 1
 Astringent                                 Sensory Contrast
 Bitter                                     Positive
 Sour

 Sweet

 Leather

 Raisin

 Fruity

 Eucalyptus

 Woody

 Pepper

 Vanilla

 Floral

 Coffee

 Asparagus

 Smoke

 Tobacco

-3            -2   -1         0      1               2               3



                                    Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                             August 26, 2010
Cluster 2
Astringent                                 Sensory Contrast
Bitter                                     Positive
Sour

Sweet

Leather

Raisin

Fruity

Eucalyptus

Woody

Pepper

Vanilla

Floral

Coffee

Asparagus

Smoke

Tobacco
 -3          -2   -1          0       1               2               3



                                   Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                            August 26, 2010
Cluster 3
Astringent                                 Sensory Contrast
Bitter                                     Positive
Sour

Sweet

Leather

Raisin

Fruity

Eucalyptus

Woody

Pepper

Vanilla

Floral

Coffee

Asparagus

Smoke

Tobacco
 -3          -2   -1          0       1               2               3




                                   Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                            August 26, 2010
Cluster 4
Astringent                              Sensory Contrast
Bitter                                  Positive
Sour

Sweet

Leather

Raisin

Fruity

Eucalyptus

Woody

Pepper

Vanilla

Floral

Coffee

Asparagus

Smoke

Tobacco
 -3          -2   -1          0    1               2               3



                                   Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                            August 26, 2010
Statistical Challenge

• We need a valid approach to
  segmentation of consumer BIB data
• Possibly a combination of sensory best
  practice, experimental design and
  advanced statistical analysis



                             Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                      August 26, 2010
• Let’s consider a sensory space
                                                                       Factor Scores plot : dimension 3 versus 4
  Factor Scores plot : dimension 1 versus 2
                                                                                                               2.58
                                          2.58




                                                                                                                    W3       W2

                                                           W3
                                                                                                             W10
                                         Astringent
                                                  W11                                                W9
                               W6 W7           W2 Bitter                                                           Leather
                       W12    Raisin                                                                                       W1
                                                                                                             Eucalyptus
                                                                                                            Sweet
                              FruityWoody
                                        Eucalyptus
                                              Leather                                                      Asparagus
                             Vanilla           Sour                                                                Coffee
                                                  Pepper                             W6                        Floral
                                                                                                          Green Bitter
                                                                                                     Fruity
-2.58        W10             Floral           T obacco W5            -2.58 2.58                      W12 Pepper          Woody
                                                                                                                Astringent                2.58
                                                                                                      Raisin Tobacco  Vanilla
                                        W4   W8 Green                                                           Smoke
                             Sweet               Asparagus
                                                                                                             W5

                                    Coffee Smoke                                                                Sour W11
                                                                                                                                     W7
                                                                W9
                                                                                                     W4
                                                                                                        W8




                                   W1
                                          -2.58
                                                                                                               -2.58




         • Can we find logical contrasts to test
                                                                                                  Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                                                                           August 26, 2010
• Quadrangles and Triangles
  Factor Scores plot : dimension 1 versus 2
                                                                       Factor Scores plot : dimension 3 versus 4
                                          2.58
                                                                                                               2.58




                                                                                                                   W3   W2
                                                           W3
                                                                                                             W10
                                         Astringent
                                                  W11
                              W6 W7            W2 Bitter                                             W9        Leather
                       W12    Raisin                                                                                       W1
                              FruityWoody                                                                    Eucalyptus
                                                                                                            Sweet
                                        Eucalyptus
                                              Leather
                                               Sour                                                        Asparagus
                             Vanilla              Pepper                             W6                            Coffee
                                                                                                               Floral
                                                                                                          Green Bitter
                                                                                                     Fruity
-2.58        W10             Floral           T obacco W5            -2.58 2.58                      W12 Pepper          Woody
                                                                                                                Astringent                2.58
                                                                                                      Raisin T obacco Vanilla
                                        W4   W8 Green                                                           Smoke
                             Sweet               Asparagus
                                                                                                             W5
                                                                                                                Sour W11
                                    Coffee Smoke                                                                                     W7
                                                                W9
                                                                                                     W4
                                                                                                        W8




                                   W1
                                                                                                               -2.58
                                          -2.58




                                                                                                  Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                                                                           August 26, 2010
Is there a Preference?

 • To state a true preference a consumer must see
   a real difference.
 • Otherwise it’s just a guess.
 • Considerations:
   – Do all attributes influence liking equally?
   – For all consumers?
   – In all contexts?




                                Are you ready for a new era of sensory & consumer research?
                                                                              April 23, 2010
Is there a Better Clustering Method?

 • Model-based clustering is being developed to improve
   the validity of the clusters.
 • Ongoing research by Dr. Paul McNicholas and his team
   at the University of Guelph and Compusense is
   attempting to combine sensory design and effective
   clustering to provide robust solutions to the challenge of
   BIB segmentation of high fatigue products.

 • Please refer to the Sensometrics.org for proceedings of
   the 10th Conference held in Rotterdam, July 2010.

                                Are you ready for a new era of sensory & consumer research?
                                                                              April 23, 2010
Conclusion

• The selection of sensory contrasts may be used to strengthen the
  design of BIB experiments. If random incomplete blocks are chosen
  it is possible that groupings of quite similar products may be
  received by some assessors and widely different products by others.
• Prior knowledge of the sensory properties is essential in assigning
  blocks that will emphasize the inherent differences in the products
  and improve the quality of data from the study.




                                              Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data
                                                                       August 26, 2010
For more information, please contact

        Chris Findlay, PhD
             Chairman
 +1 800 367 6666 (North America)
 +1 519 836 9993 (International)
    cfindlay@compusense.com

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Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data of 12 Cabernet Sauvignon Wines

  • 1. Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data of 12 Cabernet Sauvignon Wines Chris Findlay, PhD Chairman Compusense Inc. Guelph, Canada
  • 2. Background • Consumer testing of beverage alcohol has a number of serious challenges. The effect of consumption of alcohol is a limiting factor in obtaining complete block data. • Collecting consumer data over several days affects the quality of the consumer response. By the third day, most consumers are behaving like experts, a conclusion that is supported by the decrease in first position effect. Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 3. The Effect of Order and Day on Consumer Liking 12 White Wines, 115 Consumers, CBD 12:12 over 3 Days 70 60 50 40 1 2 3 30 4 20 10 0 1 2 3 All Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 4. Ensuring Quality Data • Careful selection of appropriate consumers • Sensory selection of test products • Diligent application of Best Practices • Typically, segmentation of consumer liking data requires a complete block. Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 5. The Study • In this study, 12 Cabernet Sauvignon wines were evaluated by over 600 red wine consumers in a 12 present 3 Balanced Incomplete Block design. Each consumer tasted 3 of the wines in a single 10 minute session, with demographic questions providing a break between samples. • A total of 11 sessions were conducted at 5 LCBO store locations. Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 6. Factor Scores plot : dimension 1 versus 2 2.58 PC 1 vs PC 2 Sensory Map #1 W3 Astringent W11 W6 W7 W2 Bitter W12 Raisin FruityWoody Eucalyptus Leather Vanilla Sour Pepper -2.58 W10 Floral T obacco W5 2.58 W4 W8 Green Sweet Asparagus Coffee Smoke W9 W1 -2.58
  • 7. Factor Scores plot : dimension 3 versus 4 2.58 PC 3 vs PC 4 Sensory Map #2 W3 W2 W10 W9 Leather W1 Eucalyptus Sweet Asparagus W6 Coffee Floral Green Bitter Fruity -2.58 W12 Pepper Woody Astringent 2.58 Raisin T obacco Vanilla Smoke W5 Sour W11 W7 W4 W8 -2.58
  • 8. Data collection at LCBO stores Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 9. RAW RESULTS Mean Liking across All Consumers W6 W1 Overall Liking W4 (n=614) W10 W12 W8 W7 W11 W9 W5 W3 W2 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 10. Segmentation Procedure • Substitute missing data with for each panelist 1. Panelist Mean for the 3 products tested 2. Product mean for each product 3. Grand mean for all products • Cluster using Qannari method using Senstools 3.3.1 (OP&P, Utrecht) • Apply the cluster solutions to the original data to create segments Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 11. Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 12. T1 Clustering results Increase Relative Stress By Decreasing Number Of Clusters 0.20 The average liking response for each panelist was inserted 0.15 into the missing data points. The Qannari Clustering method (Senstools 3.3.1) provided a four cluster solution. 0.10 0.05 0.00 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 13. Clusters 28% 23% Cluster 1 - 172 Cluster 2 - 142 Cluster 4 - 105 Cluster 3 - 195 17% 32% Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 14. W2 W4 W10 W1 Cluster 2 Liking Cluster 1 Liking W3 (n=142 or 23%) W6 (n= 172 or 28%) W1 W7 W11 W8 W5 W9 W8 W12 W4 W11 W12 W2 W6 W10 W9 W5 W7 W3 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 W9 W6 W6 W8 Cluster 3 Liking Cluster 4 Liking W7 (n= 195 or 32%) W3 (n = 105 or 17%) W12 W5 W3 W1 W2 W11 W5 W4 W10 W9 W1 W12 W8 W10 W11 W7 W4 W2 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 15. Cluster 1 Astringent Sensory Contrast Bitter Positive Sour Sweet Leather Raisin Fruity Eucalyptus Woody Pepper Vanilla Floral Coffee Asparagus Smoke Tobacco -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 16. Cluster 2 Astringent Sensory Contrast Bitter Positive Sour Sweet Leather Raisin Fruity Eucalyptus Woody Pepper Vanilla Floral Coffee Asparagus Smoke Tobacco -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 17. Cluster 3 Astringent Sensory Contrast Bitter Positive Sour Sweet Leather Raisin Fruity Eucalyptus Woody Pepper Vanilla Floral Coffee Asparagus Smoke Tobacco -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 18. Cluster 4 Astringent Sensory Contrast Bitter Positive Sour Sweet Leather Raisin Fruity Eucalyptus Woody Pepper Vanilla Floral Coffee Asparagus Smoke Tobacco -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 19. Statistical Challenge • We need a valid approach to segmentation of consumer BIB data • Possibly a combination of sensory best practice, experimental design and advanced statistical analysis Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 20. • Let’s consider a sensory space Factor Scores plot : dimension 3 versus 4 Factor Scores plot : dimension 1 versus 2 2.58 2.58 W3 W2 W3 W10 Astringent W11 W9 W6 W7 W2 Bitter Leather W12 Raisin W1 Eucalyptus Sweet FruityWoody Eucalyptus Leather Asparagus Vanilla Sour Coffee Pepper W6 Floral Green Bitter Fruity -2.58 W10 Floral T obacco W5 -2.58 2.58 W12 Pepper Woody Astringent 2.58 Raisin Tobacco Vanilla W4 W8 Green Smoke Sweet Asparagus W5 Coffee Smoke Sour W11 W7 W9 W4 W8 W1 -2.58 -2.58 • Can we find logical contrasts to test Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 21. • Quadrangles and Triangles Factor Scores plot : dimension 1 versus 2 Factor Scores plot : dimension 3 versus 4 2.58 2.58 W3 W2 W3 W10 Astringent W11 W6 W7 W2 Bitter W9 Leather W12 Raisin W1 FruityWoody Eucalyptus Sweet Eucalyptus Leather Sour Asparagus Vanilla Pepper W6 Coffee Floral Green Bitter Fruity -2.58 W10 Floral T obacco W5 -2.58 2.58 W12 Pepper Woody Astringent 2.58 Raisin T obacco Vanilla W4 W8 Green Smoke Sweet Asparagus W5 Sour W11 Coffee Smoke W7 W9 W4 W8 W1 -2.58 -2.58 Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 22. Is there a Preference? • To state a true preference a consumer must see a real difference. • Otherwise it’s just a guess. • Considerations: – Do all attributes influence liking equally? – For all consumers? – In all contexts? Are you ready for a new era of sensory & consumer research? April 23, 2010
  • 23. Is there a Better Clustering Method? • Model-based clustering is being developed to improve the validity of the clusters. • Ongoing research by Dr. Paul McNicholas and his team at the University of Guelph and Compusense is attempting to combine sensory design and effective clustering to provide robust solutions to the challenge of BIB segmentation of high fatigue products. • Please refer to the Sensometrics.org for proceedings of the 10th Conference held in Rotterdam, July 2010. Are you ready for a new era of sensory & consumer research? April 23, 2010
  • 24. Conclusion • The selection of sensory contrasts may be used to strengthen the design of BIB experiments. If random incomplete blocks are chosen it is possible that groupings of quite similar products may be received by some assessors and widely different products by others. • Prior knowledge of the sensory properties is essential in assigning blocks that will emphasize the inherent differences in the products and improve the quality of data from the study. Segmentation of BIB Consumer Liking Data August 26, 2010
  • 25. For more information, please contact Chris Findlay, PhD Chairman +1 800 367 6666 (North America) +1 519 836 9993 (International) cfindlay@compusense.com