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State of the Cloud Report
2016Byron Deeter & Kristina Shen
www.bvp.com/cloud
2
3
DENIAL
"We	already	invested	very	
heavily	into	our	infrastructure.	
We	are	not	behind	on	that.	
We've	been	doing	it	all	along.	
We	don't	need	to	do	anything	
unusual.”	
Bill	McDermott
CEO,	SAP
4
"Maybe	I'm	an	idiot,	but	I	
have	no	idea	what	anyone	
is	talking	about.	What	is	it?	
It's	complete	gibberish.	It's	
insane.	When	is	this	idiocy	
going	to	stop?”
Larry	Ellison
Chairman,	Oracle
ANGER
5
BARGAINING
“This	deal	is	all	about	bringing	
together	the	professional	cloud	
and	professional	network.”
Satya	Nadella
CEO,	Microsoft	on	the	LinkedIn	
Acquisition
6
DEPRESSION
“Two	years	ago,	we	laid	out	our	
strategic	plan	to	transform	IBM…As	
part	of	this,	we	divested	
commoditizing	businesses	that	
provided	diminishing	value	to	our	
clients	and	contributed	revenue	but	
little	or	no	profit.”
Virginia	M.	Rometty
CEO,	IBM
7
24% OF THE TOTAL CLOUD
MARKET CAP GOT ACQUIRED
IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS
ACCEPTANCE
AWS – BY THE NUMBERS
70%	
>$12Billion
$2.5	billion
YoY	Growth
ARR	Run	Rate
Operating	Income	Run	Rate
Source:	Public	SEC	filings
Worldwide spending on public cloud
services was $70B worldwide in 2015,
growing at a 19.4% CAGR, but still
only 5% of total IT spend.1
(1)	Source:	Forbes	Cloud	Roundup	2016		http://www.forbes.com/sites/louiscolumbus/2016/03/13/roundup-of-cloud-computing-forecasts-and-market-estimates-2016/#21863f1e74b0
CLOUD MARKETS OUTPERFORMING NASDAQ BY 2X
10
0%	
50%	
100%	
150%	
200%	
1/1/2011 1/1/2012 1/1/2013 1/1/2014 1/1/2015 1/1/2016
BVP	Cloud	Index Nasdaq	Index S&P	Index Dow	Jones
BVP Cloud Index
42 Publicly Traded Cloud Companies Indexed as of Jan. 2011 | @ 08/24/2016
Source: 42 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 8/24/2016. CapIQ.
WITH ALPHA COMES VOLATILITY
11
BVP Cloud Index
42 Publicly Traded Cloud Companies Indexed as of Dec. 2015 | @ 08/24/2016
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
12/31/15
1/7/16
1/14/16
1/21/16
1/28/16
2/4/16
2/11/16
2/18/16
2/25/16
3/3/16
3/10/16
3/17/16
3/24/16
3/31/16
4/7/16
4/14/16
4/21/16
4/28/16
5/5/16
5/12/16
5/19/16
5/26/16
6/2/16
6/9/16
6/16/16
6/23/16
6/30/16
7/7/16
7/14/16
7/21/16
7/28/16
8/4/16
8/11/16
8/18/16
8/25/16
BVP	Cloud	Index Nasdaq	Index S&P	Index Dow	Jones
Source: 42 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 8/24/2016. CapIQ.
Cut	in	½
in	1	mo Full	
rebound	
in	6	mos
BUT REVENUE MULTIPLES ARE BACK TO “NORMAL” LEVELS
12
NTM Multiples Over Time
4.9x
3.5x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
1/1/2011 1/1/2012 1/1/2013 1/1/2014 1/1/2015 1/1/2016
BVP	Cloud	Index Legacy	Software
Peak	- Jan	2014
9.5x
Lowest	– Feb		2016
3.1x
High	M&A	Activity	Begins
Source: 42 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 8/24/2016. CapIQ.
PRIVATE CLOUD MULTIPLES ARE TRADING AT A PREMIUM TO
PUBLIC CLOUD MULTIPLES… BUT THEY ARE CONVERGING
13
NTM Multiples Over Time
The	public	/	
private	gap	
converging
Average	10-17x
4.9x
3.5x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
18.0x
1/1/11 1/1/12 1/1/13 1/1/14 1/1/15 1/1/16
11.2x	as	of	today	
on	average
Source: 42 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 8/24/2016. CapIQ.
Notes: In the last 6 months, the average ARR multiple paid was 11.2x;
BVP Cloud Index multiple and Legacy software multiples are both NTM GAAP revenue.
Private	Cloud	Multiples
ONLY 3 CLOUD IPOs IN THE LAST 12 MONTHSONLY 3 CLOUD IPOs IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS
Early
(Seed/Series A)
Mid
(Series B/Series C and/or < $30mm Raise)
Late
(Series D + and/or > $30mm Raise)
Market Cap
(At the end of the 1st day)
$2.6Bn
TWLO 06/16
$5.7Bn
TEAM 12/15
$467M
INST 11/15
$455M
APPF 06/15
$241M
XTLY 06/15
$452M
MB 06/15
$1.9Bn
SHOP 05/15
$2.7Bn
BOX 01/15
2016	IPO2015	IPOs
e.	Ventures
Investment	Group	of	
Santa	Barbara
Note:	Includes	investors	with	>5%	ownership	post	IPO	according	to	SEC	filings	and/or	leaders	of	a	financing	round	according	to	Crunchbase.	Includes	secondary	rounds	as	independent	rounds.	If	no	lead	
called	out	on	Crunchbase,	all	>5%	shareholders	post	IPO	are	called	out.	Market	capitalization	calculations	include	shares	outstanding,	restricted	stock, and	use	treasury	stock	methodology	on	options.
ONLY 3 CLOUD IPOs IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS
Early
(Seed/Series A)
Mid
(Series B/Series C and/or < $30mm Raise)
Late
(Series D + and/or > $30mm Raise)
Market Cap
(At the end of the 1st day)
$2.6Bn
TWLO 06/16
$5.7Bn
TEAM 12/15
$467M
INST 11/15
$455M
APPF 06/15
$241M
XTLY 06/15
$452M
MB 06/15
$1.9Bn
SHOP 05/15
$2.7Bn
BOX 01/15
2016	IPO2015	IPOs
e.	Ventures
Investment	Group	of	
Santa	Barbara
Note:	Includes	investors	with	>5%	ownership	post	IPO	according	to	SEC	filings	and/or	leaders	of	a	financing	round	according	to	Crunchbase.	Includes	secondary	rounds	as	independent	rounds.	If	no	lead	
called	out	on	Crunchbase,	all	>5%	shareholders	post	IPO	are	called	out.	Market	capitalization	calculations	include	shares	outstanding,	restricted	stock, and	use	treasury	stock	methodology	on	options.
BVP IS A PARTNER TO 5 OF 8 CLOUD IPOs 2015 -2016
CHEAP PUBLIC CLOUD MULTIPLES RESULTED IN $50.4B
OF PUBLIC M&A IN JUST 12 MONTHS
16
Company	 Acquirer Valuation	of	Acquisition
Valuation	Multiple	at	Time	of	
Announcement
$1.6B 7.1x
$2.4B 7.0x
$26.2B 8.1x
$1.8B 7.5x
$9.3B 10.3x
$2.8B 10.5x
$532mm 3.2x
$663mm 6.5x
$4B 4.7x
$1.1B 2.6x
TOTAL $50.4B AVG:	6.5x
SUMMARY OF LAST 12 MONTHS
17
Public	cloud	multiples	remain	cheap
M&A	will	continue	because	legacy	vendors	
have	to	react
Organic	growth	of	cloud	businesses	leads	to	
rise	of	cloud	index
Cloud	IPO	market	is	poised	to	reopen
1
2
3
4
KEY TOPICS FOR TODAY
18
• State	of	the	Cloud	Industry	in	the	last	12	months
• Benchmarking	and	Best	Practices
• Predictions
5 C’S OF CLOUD FINANCE
Representative Cloud Business ($15mm ARR)
CARR
% Fwd Growth
1
Good
Better
Best
50-100%
50%
100%+
CAC PAYBACK
(Mos)
2
12 - 24
24
<12
CHURN
(Monthly)
3
<1%
1-3%
Net negative
CLTV / CAC
4
3-5x
3x
5x+
CASH FLOW
(New ARR/Mo Burn)
5
1x
<1x
>1x
www.bvp.com/cloud
19
[make left turn or right turn, high growth or high profitability]
HIGH GROWTH,
PATH TO
PROFITABILITY
HIGH
PROFITABILITY,
MODEST GROWTH
GROWTH REMAINS AN IMPORTANT METRIC…
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
T-4 T-2 T+0 T+2 T+4 T+6 T+8 T+10 T+12
Pre	IPO Post	IPO
1	Yr IPO 1	Yr 2	Yrs 3	Yrs
Top	Quartile 91% 61% 42% 36% 33%
Median 72% 47% 35% 34% 24%
Bottom	Quartile 42% 34% 26% 28% 22%
Source:	SEC	filings.		BVP	Cloud	Index	public	companies.		T	=	quarters
21
@ $10mm ARR
@ $100mm ARR
@ $300mm ARR
%	YoY	
Growth
300%
100%
30%
(Starting From Four Quarters Prior to IPO)
Public Cloud Company YoY Growth Best-In-Class Growth
…BUT IS NO LONGER THE STRONGEST METRIC
22
2U
Appfolio
Athenahealth
Atlassian
Bazaarvoice
Benefitfocus
Box
BroadSoft
Castlight Health
Cornerstone
OnDemand
Cvent
Fleetmatics
Group HubSpot
Instructure
IntraLinks
Jive	Software
LifeLock
LinkedIn
LivePerson
LogMeIn
Marin	Software
Medidata Solutions
Mindbody
MobileIron
New	Relic
NetSuite
Proofpoint
Qualys
RealPage
RingCentral
Salesforce
ServiceNow
Shopify
SPS	Commerce
The	Ultimate
Software	Group
Veeva
Wix
Workday
Xactly
Xero
Zendesk
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
10.0x
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
2017	Revenue	Multiple
’16-’17	Revenue	Growth
Source:	41	companies	in	BVP	Cloud	Index.		CapIQ
Note:	Exclude	Twilio as	an	outlier.
Correlation	
(R2)=	39%
69%	3	years	ago
Revenue Growth vs Revenue Multiple
DEFINING THE EFFICIENCY SCORE
23
Rule of 40
= % Annual Revenue Growth + % Profit Margins
DEFINING THE EFFICIENCY SCORE
24
Rule of 40
= % Annual Revenue Growth + % Profit Margins
Efficiency Score
= % Annual CARR Growth + % FCF Margin
INVESTORS ARE NOW FOCUSED ON EFFICIENT GROWTH
Efficiency Score vs Revenue Multiple
25
2U
Appfolio
Athenahealth
Atlassian
Bazaarvoice
Benefitfocus
Instructure BroadSoft
Castlight
Health
Cornerstone
OnDemand
Cvent
Fleetmatics Group
HubSpot
Box
IntraLinks
Jive	Software
LifeLock
LinkedIn
LivePerson
LogMeIn
Marin	Software
Medidata
Solutions
Mindbody
MobileIron
New	Relic
NetSuite
Proofpoint
Qualys
RealPage
RingCentral
Salesforce
ServiceNow
Shopify
SPS	Commerce
The	Ultimate	
Software	Group
Veeva
Wix
Workday
Xactly
Xero
Zendesk
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
10.0x
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
2017	Revenue	Multiple
’16-’17	Revenue	Growth	+	’17	FCF
Source:	41	companies	in	BVP	Cloud	Index.		CapIQ
Note:	Exclude	Twilio as	an	outlier.
Correlation	
(R2)=	67%
+10% efficient
growth results in
+1.4x Rev Mult
EXAMPLE 1: SHOPIFY
HIGH GROWTH + BREAKEVEN FCF
26
Efficiency Score 2013 Efficiency Score
108%
89%
95%
79%
44%
36%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
IPO	- 3Y IPO	- 2Y IPO	- 1Y IPO IPO	+	1Y IPO	+	2Y
Efficiency FCF	Margin Revenue	Growth
112%
-4%
108%
-20%
80%
180%
%	Revenue	Growth %	FCF	Margin Power
$50M ($2)M
2013	Revenue 2013	FCF
Source:	CapiQ
Note:	Efficiency	score	defined	as	%	annual	CARR	Growth	+	%	FCF	Margin
EXAMPLE 2: VEEVA
MODEST GROWTH + HIGH FCF
27
Efficiency Score 2013 Efficiency Score
62%
19%
81%
0%
50%
100%
%	Revenue	Growth %	FCF	Margin Power
$210M $39M
2013	Revenue 2013	FCF
117%
134%
81%
62%
45%
50%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
IPO	- 3Y IPO	- 2Y IPO	- 1Y IPO IPO	+	1Y IPO	+	2Y
Efficiency FCF	Margin Revenue	Growth
Source:	CapiQ
Note:	Efficiency	score	defined	as	%	annual	CARR	Growth	+	%	FCF	Margin
DIFFERENT STAGES REQUIRE EFFICIENCY SCORES
28
100%
73%
56% 53%
45%
38% 35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Prior IPO	- 3Y IPO	- 2Y IPO	- 1Y IPO IPO	+	1Y IPO	+	2Y IPO	+	3Y
Time
%	Annual	CARR
Growth
+
%	FCF	Margin
73%
56%
53%
45%
38% 35% 32%
Source:	42	companies	in	the	BVP	Cloud	Index,	CapiQ
Note:	Average	efficiency	score	of	the	42	public	cloud	companies.	Efficiency	score	defined	as	%	annual	CARR	growth	+	%	FCF	margin.
Efficiency Score of Public Cloud Companies @ IPO
THE BVP EFFICIENCY RULE – 70 – 50 – 30
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
IPO	- 3Y IPO	- 3Y IPO	- 2Y IPO	- 1Y IPO IPO	+	1Y IPO	+	2Y IPO	+	3Y
%	CARR	Growth	+	%	FCF	Margin
Efficiency	Score	=	%	Annual	CARR	Growth	+	%	FCF	Margin
70%
50%
30%
EXPANSION
($30-60M	ARR)
PRE	IPO
($60-100M	ARR)
PUBLIC
($100M+	ARR)
THE BVP EFFICIENCY RULE – 70 – 50 – 30
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
IPO	- 3Y IPO	- 2Y IPO	- 1Y IPO IPO	+	1Y IPO	+	2Y IPO	+	3Y
%		CARR	Growth	+	%	FCF	Margin
70%
50%
30%
EXPANSION
($30-60M	ARR)
PRE	IPO
($60-100M	ARR)
PUBLIC
($100M+	ARR)
?
Efficiency	Score	=	%	Annual	CARR	Growth	+	%	FCF	Margin
THE BVP EFFICIENCY RULE – 70 – 50 – 30
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
IPO	- 3Y IPO	- 2Y IPO	- 1Y IPO IPO	+	1Y IPO	+	2Y IPO	+	3Y
%	CARR	Growth	+	%	FCF	Margin
70%
50%
30%
EXPANSION
($30-60M	ARR)
PRE	IPO
($60-100M	ARR)
PUBLIC
($100M+	ARR)
MID
($10-30M	ARR)
Net	New	
ARR	
Net	Cash	
Burn	
>	1
EARLY
(<$10M	ARR)
CLTV
CAC
>	3
Efficiency	Score	=	%	Annual	CARR	Growth	+	%	FCF	Margin
KEY TOPICS FOR TODAY
32
• State	of	the	Cloud	Industry	in	the	last	12	months
• Benchmarking	and	Best	Practices
• Predictions
2015 PREDICTION #1:
INDUSTRY CLOUD ON THE RISE
33
2015 PREDICTION #1:
INDUSTRY CLOUD ON THE RISE
34
$9.2B OF INDUSTRY CLOUD ACQUISITIONS & 2 IPOs
$4B
$2.4B
$663M
$1.6B
$532M
$661M
(IPO)
35
$616M
(IPO)
Notable	Financings
2015 PREDICTION #2:
CYBERSECURITY, A HOT MARKET
36
2015 PREDICTION #2:
CYBERSECURITY, A HOT MARKET
37
$2.1	trillion
PREDICTION #2 - CYBERSECURITY, A HOT MARKET
Cost	of	data	breaches	
globally,	4x	more	than	
20151
Source:	(1)		Juniper	Research,	http://www.juniperresearch.com/press/press-releases/cybercrime-cost-businesses-over-2trillion	(2) Gartner	Inc.	http://blogs.wsj.com/venturecapital/2016/02/17/the-daily-startup-increased-spending-in-cybersecurity-drives-funding-surge/
14$2.1	trillion
PREDICTION #2 - CYBERSECURITY, A HOT MARKET
Cost	of	data	breaches	
globally,	4x	more	than	
20151
Of	the	Cloud	100	were	
Cybersecurity	Companies,	
the	largest	share
Source:	(1)		Juniper	Research,	http://www.juniperresearch.com/press/press-releases/cybercrime-cost-businesses-over-2trillion	(2) Gartner	Inc.	http://blogs.wsj.com/venturecapital/2016/02/17/the-daily-startup-increased-spending-in-cybersecurity-drives-funding-surge/
14$2.1	trillion
Cost	of	data	breaches	
globally,	4x	more	than	
20151
$170	Billion
Of	the	Cloud	100	were	
Cybersecurity	Companies,	
the	largest	share
Worldwide	Cybersecurity	
Market	by	2020,	up	from	
$75.4	B	in	20152
PREDICTION #2 - CYBERSECURITY, A HOT MARKET
Source:	(1)		Juniper	Research,	http://www.juniperresearch.com/press/press-releases/cybercrime-cost-businesses-over-2trillion	(2) Gartner	Inc.	http://blogs.wsj.com/venturecapital/2016/02/17/the-daily-startup-increased-spending-in-cybersecurity-drives-funding-surge/
43
PREDICTION #3: THE DEVELOPER IS MORE IMPORTANT
2015 PREDICTION #3:
DEVELOPERS ARE THE NEW KID ON THE BLOCK, AND HERE TO STAY
44
NOW THE COOL KID…
APIS TO ACCELERATE YOUR BUSINESS
Mapping
Payments
Communication
(Messaging/Voice)
Email
SSO
Customer
Engagement
Storage
46
2015 PREDICTION #4:
MORE M&AAHEAD
2015 PREDICTION #4:
MORE M&AAHEAD
THE LEGACY PLAYERS ARE….
47
CORNERED ANIMALS…
50
Classic	Innovator’s	
Dilemma	allowed	cloud	
entrants	to	thrive
Too	late	to	build
Facing	an	extinction	
level	event	
Can’t	afford	to	buy	all	of	
what’s	needed
‘NUFF SAID
$50.4B
50
‘NUFF SAID
$50.4B
2015 PREDICTION #5:
MOBILE IS A GAME CHANGER FOR THE ENTERPRISE
53
2015 PREDICTION #5:
MOBILE IS A GAME CHANGER FOR THE ENTERPRISE
54
PREDICTION #5: MOBILE IS A GAME CHANGER FOR THE ENTERPRISE
85%
Americans	between	18-29
>50%
Internet	usage	on	mobile	vs	desktop
80%
Workforce	are	non-desk	workers
~EVERYONE	IN	ENTERPRISE	B2B	
NOW	HAS	A	SMARTPHONE
INTERNET	USAGE	TIPPED	TO	
MOBILE
REACHES	AN	UNTOUCHED	
WORKFORCE
Source:		Pew	Research	Center,	April,	2015,	“The	Smartphone	Difference”.	Source:	eMarketer 9/14	(2008-2010),	eMarketer 4/15	(2011-2015).	Note:	Other	connected	devices	include	OTT	and	game	consoles.	
Mobile	includes	smartphone	and	tablet.	Usage	includes	both
home	and	work.	Ages	18+;	time	spent	with	each	medium	includes	all	time	spent	with	that	medium,	regardless	of	multitasking.	KPCB	Internet	trends,	2015
Global	Mobile	Penetration	1995	- 2014
GLOBAL	PENETRATION
1	–>	73%
55
EARLY ENTERPRISE MOBILE USE CASES
Healthcare Education Safety/Compliance
Construction Field	Services Retail	Sales
Events Agriculture SMBs
VERTICAL
Paper	Replacement	(Forms/Invoicing)
Collaboration
HORIZONTAL
www.bvp.com/cloud
56
57
58
MESSAGING IS THE KILLER MOBILE EXPERIENCE
• 2.7MM DAUs
• 320 million minutes of active
usage per weekday
• 800K paid seats weekly active
user growth rate4
Source:	(1)	Business	Insider.	(2)	Velocify.,	(3)	eWeek.	(4)	TechCrunch,	as	of	April	2016. 59
• The average Millennial (18-24) exchanges an
average of 67 text messages per day1
• Text messages have a 98% open rate, while
email has only a 20% open rate2
• Over 80% of people use text messaging for
business, and 15% said that more than half
their messages are for business purposes3
2016 PREDICTION:
SAAS 2.0 BEGINS TO DISRUPT SAAS 1.0
?
PREDICTION – SAAS 2.0 BEGINS TO DISRUPT SAAS 1.0
HCM is the First Market
Phase	0	 Phase	1	 Phase	2	Phase	1.5	
61
2016 PREDICTION:
USE OF DEEP LEARNING & AI IN ENTERPRISE
?
CONSUMER IS AHEAD, BUT ENTERPRISE WILL FOLLOW
Photo Recognition Voice Recognition Text Recognition
Text RecognitionVoice RecognitionPhoto Recognition
2016 PREDICTIONS, FROM “CONVENTIONAL WISDOM” TO
EMERGING
EMERGING CONVENTIONAL
WISDOM
7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Deep	
Learning/	
AI	
Enterprise	
Mobile SaaS	2.0	 Cybersecurity
Private	
M&A
Developers	
Reign
Industry	
Cloud
State of the Cloud Report
2016Byron Deeter & Kristina Shen
www.bvp.com/cloud

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State of Cloud 2016 - Final

  • 1. State of the Cloud Report 2016Byron Deeter & Kristina Shen www.bvp.com/cloud
  • 2. 2
  • 7. 7 24% OF THE TOTAL CLOUD MARKET CAP GOT ACQUIRED IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS ACCEPTANCE
  • 8. AWS – BY THE NUMBERS 70% >$12Billion $2.5 billion YoY Growth ARR Run Rate Operating Income Run Rate Source: Public SEC filings
  • 9. Worldwide spending on public cloud services was $70B worldwide in 2015, growing at a 19.4% CAGR, but still only 5% of total IT spend.1 (1) Source: Forbes Cloud Roundup 2016 http://www.forbes.com/sites/louiscolumbus/2016/03/13/roundup-of-cloud-computing-forecasts-and-market-estimates-2016/#21863f1e74b0
  • 10. CLOUD MARKETS OUTPERFORMING NASDAQ BY 2X 10 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 1/1/2011 1/1/2012 1/1/2013 1/1/2014 1/1/2015 1/1/2016 BVP Cloud Index Nasdaq Index S&P Index Dow Jones BVP Cloud Index 42 Publicly Traded Cloud Companies Indexed as of Jan. 2011 | @ 08/24/2016 Source: 42 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 8/24/2016. CapIQ.
  • 11. WITH ALPHA COMES VOLATILITY 11 BVP Cloud Index 42 Publicly Traded Cloud Companies Indexed as of Dec. 2015 | @ 08/24/2016 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% 12/31/15 1/7/16 1/14/16 1/21/16 1/28/16 2/4/16 2/11/16 2/18/16 2/25/16 3/3/16 3/10/16 3/17/16 3/24/16 3/31/16 4/7/16 4/14/16 4/21/16 4/28/16 5/5/16 5/12/16 5/19/16 5/26/16 6/2/16 6/9/16 6/16/16 6/23/16 6/30/16 7/7/16 7/14/16 7/21/16 7/28/16 8/4/16 8/11/16 8/18/16 8/25/16 BVP Cloud Index Nasdaq Index S&P Index Dow Jones Source: 42 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 8/24/2016. CapIQ. Cut in ½ in 1 mo Full rebound in 6 mos
  • 12. BUT REVENUE MULTIPLES ARE BACK TO “NORMAL” LEVELS 12 NTM Multiples Over Time 4.9x 3.5x 0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 1/1/2011 1/1/2012 1/1/2013 1/1/2014 1/1/2015 1/1/2016 BVP Cloud Index Legacy Software Peak - Jan 2014 9.5x Lowest – Feb 2016 3.1x High M&A Activity Begins Source: 42 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 8/24/2016. CapIQ.
  • 13. PRIVATE CLOUD MULTIPLES ARE TRADING AT A PREMIUM TO PUBLIC CLOUD MULTIPLES… BUT THEY ARE CONVERGING 13 NTM Multiples Over Time The public / private gap converging Average 10-17x 4.9x 3.5x 0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 14.0x 16.0x 18.0x 1/1/11 1/1/12 1/1/13 1/1/14 1/1/15 1/1/16 11.2x as of today on average Source: 42 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 8/24/2016. CapIQ. Notes: In the last 6 months, the average ARR multiple paid was 11.2x; BVP Cloud Index multiple and Legacy software multiples are both NTM GAAP revenue. Private Cloud Multiples
  • 14. ONLY 3 CLOUD IPOs IN THE LAST 12 MONTHSONLY 3 CLOUD IPOs IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS Early (Seed/Series A) Mid (Series B/Series C and/or < $30mm Raise) Late (Series D + and/or > $30mm Raise) Market Cap (At the end of the 1st day) $2.6Bn TWLO 06/16 $5.7Bn TEAM 12/15 $467M INST 11/15 $455M APPF 06/15 $241M XTLY 06/15 $452M MB 06/15 $1.9Bn SHOP 05/15 $2.7Bn BOX 01/15 2016 IPO2015 IPOs e. Ventures Investment Group of Santa Barbara Note: Includes investors with >5% ownership post IPO according to SEC filings and/or leaders of a financing round according to Crunchbase. Includes secondary rounds as independent rounds. If no lead called out on Crunchbase, all >5% shareholders post IPO are called out. Market capitalization calculations include shares outstanding, restricted stock, and use treasury stock methodology on options.
  • 15. ONLY 3 CLOUD IPOs IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS Early (Seed/Series A) Mid (Series B/Series C and/or < $30mm Raise) Late (Series D + and/or > $30mm Raise) Market Cap (At the end of the 1st day) $2.6Bn TWLO 06/16 $5.7Bn TEAM 12/15 $467M INST 11/15 $455M APPF 06/15 $241M XTLY 06/15 $452M MB 06/15 $1.9Bn SHOP 05/15 $2.7Bn BOX 01/15 2016 IPO2015 IPOs e. Ventures Investment Group of Santa Barbara Note: Includes investors with >5% ownership post IPO according to SEC filings and/or leaders of a financing round according to Crunchbase. Includes secondary rounds as independent rounds. If no lead called out on Crunchbase, all >5% shareholders post IPO are called out. Market capitalization calculations include shares outstanding, restricted stock, and use treasury stock methodology on options. BVP IS A PARTNER TO 5 OF 8 CLOUD IPOs 2015 -2016
  • 16. CHEAP PUBLIC CLOUD MULTIPLES RESULTED IN $50.4B OF PUBLIC M&A IN JUST 12 MONTHS 16 Company Acquirer Valuation of Acquisition Valuation Multiple at Time of Announcement $1.6B 7.1x $2.4B 7.0x $26.2B 8.1x $1.8B 7.5x $9.3B 10.3x $2.8B 10.5x $532mm 3.2x $663mm 6.5x $4B 4.7x $1.1B 2.6x TOTAL $50.4B AVG: 6.5x
  • 17. SUMMARY OF LAST 12 MONTHS 17 Public cloud multiples remain cheap M&A will continue because legacy vendors have to react Organic growth of cloud businesses leads to rise of cloud index Cloud IPO market is poised to reopen 1 2 3 4
  • 18. KEY TOPICS FOR TODAY 18 • State of the Cloud Industry in the last 12 months • Benchmarking and Best Practices • Predictions
  • 19. 5 C’S OF CLOUD FINANCE Representative Cloud Business ($15mm ARR) CARR % Fwd Growth 1 Good Better Best 50-100% 50% 100%+ CAC PAYBACK (Mos) 2 12 - 24 24 <12 CHURN (Monthly) 3 <1% 1-3% Net negative CLTV / CAC 4 3-5x 3x 5x+ CASH FLOW (New ARR/Mo Burn) 5 1x <1x >1x www.bvp.com/cloud 19
  • 20. [make left turn or right turn, high growth or high profitability] HIGH GROWTH, PATH TO PROFITABILITY HIGH PROFITABILITY, MODEST GROWTH
  • 21. GROWTH REMAINS AN IMPORTANT METRIC… 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% T-4 T-2 T+0 T+2 T+4 T+6 T+8 T+10 T+12 Pre IPO Post IPO 1 Yr IPO 1 Yr 2 Yrs 3 Yrs Top Quartile 91% 61% 42% 36% 33% Median 72% 47% 35% 34% 24% Bottom Quartile 42% 34% 26% 28% 22% Source: SEC filings. BVP Cloud Index public companies. T = quarters 21 @ $10mm ARR @ $100mm ARR @ $300mm ARR % YoY Growth 300% 100% 30% (Starting From Four Quarters Prior to IPO) Public Cloud Company YoY Growth Best-In-Class Growth
  • 22. …BUT IS NO LONGER THE STRONGEST METRIC 22 2U Appfolio Athenahealth Atlassian Bazaarvoice Benefitfocus Box BroadSoft Castlight Health Cornerstone OnDemand Cvent Fleetmatics Group HubSpot Instructure IntraLinks Jive Software LifeLock LinkedIn LivePerson LogMeIn Marin Software Medidata Solutions Mindbody MobileIron New Relic NetSuite Proofpoint Qualys RealPage RingCentral Salesforce ServiceNow Shopify SPS Commerce The Ultimate Software Group Veeva Wix Workday Xactly Xero Zendesk 0.0x 1.0x 2.0x 3.0x 4.0x 5.0x 6.0x 7.0x 8.0x 9.0x 10.0x -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2017 Revenue Multiple ’16-’17 Revenue Growth Source: 41 companies in BVP Cloud Index. CapIQ Note: Exclude Twilio as an outlier. Correlation (R2)= 39% 69% 3 years ago Revenue Growth vs Revenue Multiple
  • 23. DEFINING THE EFFICIENCY SCORE 23 Rule of 40 = % Annual Revenue Growth + % Profit Margins
  • 24. DEFINING THE EFFICIENCY SCORE 24 Rule of 40 = % Annual Revenue Growth + % Profit Margins Efficiency Score = % Annual CARR Growth + % FCF Margin
  • 25. INVESTORS ARE NOW FOCUSED ON EFFICIENT GROWTH Efficiency Score vs Revenue Multiple 25 2U Appfolio Athenahealth Atlassian Bazaarvoice Benefitfocus Instructure BroadSoft Castlight Health Cornerstone OnDemand Cvent Fleetmatics Group HubSpot Box IntraLinks Jive Software LifeLock LinkedIn LivePerson LogMeIn Marin Software Medidata Solutions Mindbody MobileIron New Relic NetSuite Proofpoint Qualys RealPage RingCentral Salesforce ServiceNow Shopify SPS Commerce The Ultimate Software Group Veeva Wix Workday Xactly Xero Zendesk 0.0x 1.0x 2.0x 3.0x 4.0x 5.0x 6.0x 7.0x 8.0x 9.0x 10.0x -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2017 Revenue Multiple ’16-’17 Revenue Growth + ’17 FCF Source: 41 companies in BVP Cloud Index. CapIQ Note: Exclude Twilio as an outlier. Correlation (R2)= 67% +10% efficient growth results in +1.4x Rev Mult
  • 26. EXAMPLE 1: SHOPIFY HIGH GROWTH + BREAKEVEN FCF 26 Efficiency Score 2013 Efficiency Score 108% 89% 95% 79% 44% 36% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% IPO - 3Y IPO - 2Y IPO - 1Y IPO IPO + 1Y IPO + 2Y Efficiency FCF Margin Revenue Growth 112% -4% 108% -20% 80% 180% % Revenue Growth % FCF Margin Power $50M ($2)M 2013 Revenue 2013 FCF Source: CapiQ Note: Efficiency score defined as % annual CARR Growth + % FCF Margin
  • 27. EXAMPLE 2: VEEVA MODEST GROWTH + HIGH FCF 27 Efficiency Score 2013 Efficiency Score 62% 19% 81% 0% 50% 100% % Revenue Growth % FCF Margin Power $210M $39M 2013 Revenue 2013 FCF 117% 134% 81% 62% 45% 50% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% IPO - 3Y IPO - 2Y IPO - 1Y IPO IPO + 1Y IPO + 2Y Efficiency FCF Margin Revenue Growth Source: CapiQ Note: Efficiency score defined as % annual CARR Growth + % FCF Margin
  • 28. DIFFERENT STAGES REQUIRE EFFICIENCY SCORES 28 100% 73% 56% 53% 45% 38% 35% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Prior IPO - 3Y IPO - 2Y IPO - 1Y IPO IPO + 1Y IPO + 2Y IPO + 3Y Time % Annual CARR Growth + % FCF Margin 73% 56% 53% 45% 38% 35% 32% Source: 42 companies in the BVP Cloud Index, CapiQ Note: Average efficiency score of the 42 public cloud companies. Efficiency score defined as % annual CARR growth + % FCF margin. Efficiency Score of Public Cloud Companies @ IPO
  • 29. THE BVP EFFICIENCY RULE – 70 – 50 – 30 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% IPO - 3Y IPO - 3Y IPO - 2Y IPO - 1Y IPO IPO + 1Y IPO + 2Y IPO + 3Y % CARR Growth + % FCF Margin Efficiency Score = % Annual CARR Growth + % FCF Margin 70% 50% 30% EXPANSION ($30-60M ARR) PRE IPO ($60-100M ARR) PUBLIC ($100M+ ARR)
  • 30. THE BVP EFFICIENCY RULE – 70 – 50 – 30 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% IPO - 3Y IPO - 2Y IPO - 1Y IPO IPO + 1Y IPO + 2Y IPO + 3Y % CARR Growth + % FCF Margin 70% 50% 30% EXPANSION ($30-60M ARR) PRE IPO ($60-100M ARR) PUBLIC ($100M+ ARR) ? Efficiency Score = % Annual CARR Growth + % FCF Margin
  • 31. THE BVP EFFICIENCY RULE – 70 – 50 – 30 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% IPO - 3Y IPO - 2Y IPO - 1Y IPO IPO + 1Y IPO + 2Y IPO + 3Y % CARR Growth + % FCF Margin 70% 50% 30% EXPANSION ($30-60M ARR) PRE IPO ($60-100M ARR) PUBLIC ($100M+ ARR) MID ($10-30M ARR) Net New ARR Net Cash Burn > 1 EARLY (<$10M ARR) CLTV CAC > 3 Efficiency Score = % Annual CARR Growth + % FCF Margin
  • 32. KEY TOPICS FOR TODAY 32 • State of the Cloud Industry in the last 12 months • Benchmarking and Best Practices • Predictions
  • 33. 2015 PREDICTION #1: INDUSTRY CLOUD ON THE RISE 33
  • 34. 2015 PREDICTION #1: INDUSTRY CLOUD ON THE RISE 34
  • 35. $9.2B OF INDUSTRY CLOUD ACQUISITIONS & 2 IPOs $4B $2.4B $663M $1.6B $532M $661M (IPO) 35 $616M (IPO) Notable Financings
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. $2.1 trillion PREDICTION #2 - CYBERSECURITY, A HOT MARKET Cost of data breaches globally, 4x more than 20151 Source: (1) Juniper Research, http://www.juniperresearch.com/press/press-releases/cybercrime-cost-businesses-over-2trillion (2) Gartner Inc. http://blogs.wsj.com/venturecapital/2016/02/17/the-daily-startup-increased-spending-in-cybersecurity-drives-funding-surge/
  • 41. 14$2.1 trillion PREDICTION #2 - CYBERSECURITY, A HOT MARKET Cost of data breaches globally, 4x more than 20151 Of the Cloud 100 were Cybersecurity Companies, the largest share Source: (1) Juniper Research, http://www.juniperresearch.com/press/press-releases/cybercrime-cost-businesses-over-2trillion (2) Gartner Inc. http://blogs.wsj.com/venturecapital/2016/02/17/the-daily-startup-increased-spending-in-cybersecurity-drives-funding-surge/
  • 42. 14$2.1 trillion Cost of data breaches globally, 4x more than 20151 $170 Billion Of the Cloud 100 were Cybersecurity Companies, the largest share Worldwide Cybersecurity Market by 2020, up from $75.4 B in 20152 PREDICTION #2 - CYBERSECURITY, A HOT MARKET Source: (1) Juniper Research, http://www.juniperresearch.com/press/press-releases/cybercrime-cost-businesses-over-2trillion (2) Gartner Inc. http://blogs.wsj.com/venturecapital/2016/02/17/the-daily-startup-increased-spending-in-cybersecurity-drives-funding-surge/
  • 43. 43 PREDICTION #3: THE DEVELOPER IS MORE IMPORTANT
  • 44. 2015 PREDICTION #3: DEVELOPERS ARE THE NEW KID ON THE BLOCK, AND HERE TO STAY 44
  • 45. NOW THE COOL KID…
  • 46. APIS TO ACCELERATE YOUR BUSINESS Mapping Payments Communication (Messaging/Voice) Email SSO Customer Engagement Storage 46
  • 49. THE LEGACY PLAYERS ARE…. 47
  • 53. 2015 PREDICTION #5: MOBILE IS A GAME CHANGER FOR THE ENTERPRISE 53
  • 54. 2015 PREDICTION #5: MOBILE IS A GAME CHANGER FOR THE ENTERPRISE 54
  • 55. PREDICTION #5: MOBILE IS A GAME CHANGER FOR THE ENTERPRISE 85% Americans between 18-29 >50% Internet usage on mobile vs desktop 80% Workforce are non-desk workers ~EVERYONE IN ENTERPRISE B2B NOW HAS A SMARTPHONE INTERNET USAGE TIPPED TO MOBILE REACHES AN UNTOUCHED WORKFORCE Source: Pew Research Center, April, 2015, “The Smartphone Difference”. Source: eMarketer 9/14 (2008-2010), eMarketer 4/15 (2011-2015). Note: Other connected devices include OTT and game consoles. Mobile includes smartphone and tablet. Usage includes both home and work. Ages 18+; time spent with each medium includes all time spent with that medium, regardless of multitasking. KPCB Internet trends, 2015 Global Mobile Penetration 1995 - 2014 GLOBAL PENETRATION 1 –> 73% 55
  • 56. EARLY ENTERPRISE MOBILE USE CASES Healthcare Education Safety/Compliance Construction Field Services Retail Sales Events Agriculture SMBs VERTICAL Paper Replacement (Forms/Invoicing) Collaboration HORIZONTAL www.bvp.com/cloud 56
  • 57. 57
  • 58. 58
  • 59. MESSAGING IS THE KILLER MOBILE EXPERIENCE • 2.7MM DAUs • 320 million minutes of active usage per weekday • 800K paid seats weekly active user growth rate4 Source: (1) Business Insider. (2) Velocify., (3) eWeek. (4) TechCrunch, as of April 2016. 59 • The average Millennial (18-24) exchanges an average of 67 text messages per day1 • Text messages have a 98% open rate, while email has only a 20% open rate2 • Over 80% of people use text messaging for business, and 15% said that more than half their messages are for business purposes3
  • 60. 2016 PREDICTION: SAAS 2.0 BEGINS TO DISRUPT SAAS 1.0 ?
  • 61. PREDICTION – SAAS 2.0 BEGINS TO DISRUPT SAAS 1.0 HCM is the First Market Phase 0 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 1.5 61
  • 62. 2016 PREDICTION: USE OF DEEP LEARNING & AI IN ENTERPRISE ?
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. CONSUMER IS AHEAD, BUT ENTERPRISE WILL FOLLOW Photo Recognition Voice Recognition Text Recognition Text RecognitionVoice RecognitionPhoto Recognition
  • 66. 2016 PREDICTIONS, FROM “CONVENTIONAL WISDOM” TO EMERGING EMERGING CONVENTIONAL WISDOM 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Deep Learning/ AI Enterprise Mobile SaaS 2.0 Cybersecurity Private M&A Developers Reign Industry Cloud
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69. State of the Cloud Report 2016Byron Deeter & Kristina Shen www.bvp.com/cloud