24. Boston
Matrix
產品/服務定位
24
HIGH LOW
HIGH
LOW
Cash
Cows Dogs
Stars Question
Marks
Relative
Market
Share
Market
Growth
Rate
25. Boston
Matrix
現⾦金準備度意涵
25
HIGH LOW
HIGH
LOW
Relative
Market
Share
Market
Growth
Rate
Cash
used
-‐ -‐ -‐
Cash
generated
+++
0
Cash
used
-‐ -‐ -‐
Cash
generated
+
-‐ -‐
Cash
used
-‐
Cash
generated
+++
++
Cash
used
-‐
Cash
generated
+
0
26. Revenue
Time
Valley of Death
Angels
Founders
Venture Capital
Strategic Investors
Public Markets
Seed Capital
A
B
C
Mezzanine
Early
Stage Later Stage
IPO
Secondary
Offerings
The Chasm The Wall
Seed or Start-up: Market research and product development.
Early Stage: Funding full-scale operations and selling products/services. Not yet profitable.
Later Stage: Funding expansion and new products. Near break-even.
新公司財務曲線
27. Financial
Strategy
27
Use
of
Proceeds
Working
Capital
Oversea/Biz
Expansion
Why
and
How
Much
to
Get?
Corporate
Structure
Corporate
Strategy
Financial
Projection
Cost
Model
Revenue
Model
Exit
Strategy
Tax
Planning
Interest
Alignment
Marketing
Strategy
Market
Size
&
Potential
Product
/
Service
Pricing
Expansion
Strategy
JV
Solely
Own
Export
Staffing
Plan
Office
COGS
Competition
Burn
Rate
Sales
Forecast
Equity
Financing
Valuation
/
Dilution
Class
of
Shares
Debt
Financing
資⾦金需求
及⽬目的
營運需求
股票募資
借貸
營運資⾦金
業務擴充
股價及稀釋股權
股票類別
現⾦金燃燒速度
業績預測
企業策略
企業結構
財務預測
成本模型
盈收模型
擴充策略
⾏行銷策略
下⾞車策略
BOT
未來收益
抵押
賣⽅方信貸
買⽅方信貸
32. Trade
in
Commercial
Services
(2010-‐2014)
Telecommunication,
Computer
and
Information
Services
32
Reporter Flow indicator Partner 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Chinese
Taipei
Exports
Telecommunication,
Computer
and
Information
Services
World 610 827 1108 1396 1772
Chinese
Taipei
Imports
Telecommunication,
Computer
and
Information
Services
World 889 1021 1179 1193 1240
資料來源 :
WTO
Statistics
Database,
2015
Unit
:
US
dollar
(Millions)
33. 33
IPOs
and
Private
Financing
Deals
in
the
Tech
Sector
since
2000
(United
States)
Source:
PwC
Source:
Techcrunch
If
there
is
a
bubble,
investors
would
recover
their
investment
and
perhaps
walk
away
with
positive
return,
the
biggest
losers
for
sure
would
be
the
employees
and
founders.
Game
Rule
:
You
Pick
The
Valuation,
I
Pick
The
Terms
34. 公私合夥 PPP
34
ü 公私合夥PPP (Public
Private
Partnership)
公部⾨門與私部⾨門以⾧長期合約規範雙⽅方合作的計畫項⽬目。︒。私部⾨門夥伴提供計畫所需資源、︑、
依⾵風險管理分散計畫⾵風險。︒。公私部⾨門合作、︑、更有效地達成公共事務推動⽬目標。︒。
ü PPP市場需求
現有私部⾨門每年投資基礎建設約為⼀一兆美元(US$1
trillion),但市場每年對於基礎建設投資需求為三
兆美元,所有⽬目前供需缺⼝口達兩兆美元。︒。
資料來源 :
World
Bank
45. 基礎建設投資可能的資⾦金來源
• UN
• Digital
Solidarity
Fund
• UNDP
(UN
Development
Programmes)
• SDG
(sustainable
development
goals)
• World
Bank
• International
Development
Association
• OECD
• Asia
Development
Bank
• International
internet
development
funds
• IIDF
(Internet
Initiatives
Development
Funds)
• ISIF
(Information
Society
Innovation
Fund)
• APNIC
Foundation
• Others
45
46. Funding
and
Implementation
Processes
46
Identification*
Preparation*
Appraisal*
Approval
Implementation
Completion*
Post
Evaluation
47. PBST
Model
47
Policy
Environment
üPolitical
parties
introduction
üRuling
party
üICT
policy
Society
Environment
üPopulation;
Land
area;
Capital
city
üEducation
introduction
Business
Environment
üGDP(PPP)
in
2016
üMajor
industries
üExport
/
import
items
üIndustrial
labor
pupulation
Technology
Environment
üInternet
and
telecom
market
üInternet
penetration
üGovernment
authority
for
ICT
policy
48. Design
and
Monitoring
Framework
48
Stakeholder
Analysis
Problem
Analysis
Objectives
Analysis
Alternatives
Analysis
Design
Design
Summary
Performance
Targets/
Indicators
Data
Sources/
Reporting
Mechanisms
Assumptions/
Risks
Impact
Activities
with
Milestones Inputs
Design
and
Monitoring
Framework
Outcome
Outputs
(DMF)
source
:
World
Bank;
ADB
49. Project
Identification
Alternatives
Analysis
49
Low
Internet
penetration
High
access
cost
Limit
access
to
information
&
knowledge
Small
market Market
failure
Inadequate
Internet
access
Human
right
infringement
Poor
infrastructure
Inadequate
skills
in
network
operation
Restrict
national
competency
Limit
network
services
Jeopardize
innovation
Enabling
Infrastructure
Capacity
building
New
net-‐enabled
innovations
and
services
Stimulate
innovation
Improve
national
competitiveness
Increase
business
productivity
Equal
access
to
the
Internet
Inefficient
business
processes
Enable
knowledge
&information
sharing
Enrich
Internet
accessibility
Neutralize
access
cost
Criteria
(Socioeconomic):
Universal
access
Consultation
on
Govt.
intervention
strategy
Consultation
on
stimulus
planning
appropriate
Internet
penetration
(Sample)
50. 50
Design
Summary
Performance
Targets/Indicators
Data
Sources/
Reporting
Mechanisms
Assumptions
(A)
/
Risks
(R)
Impact
The
Internet
penetration
of
the
country has
improved
The
internet
penetration
increased
from
48.4%
to
54.6%
at the
end
of
project
implementation
at
year
4.
Annual
Internet
statistics
report
.
International
Telecommunication
Union
(ITU)
A:
The
Ministry's
policy
regarding
the
provision
of
public
network
services
remains
unchanged.
Outcome
The
population
in
target
districts
use
advanced
wireless
services.
The Internet
infrastructure
expanded
to
5
districts with
1.7
sq.
KM
wireless
service
coverage
at
the
end
of
project
implementation.
Internet
users
in
the
5
selected
districts
increased
10080
at
the
end of
project
implementation.
Project Report
,
Ministry
of
Public
Service
A:
The
NICTO
ensures
that
the
wireless
network
is
well
maintained,
following
a
maintenance
standard.
A:
Operating
expenses
remain
stable
Outputs
1
Enabling
infrastructure
2
Capacity
building
The
wireless
service
coverage
increases
1.7
sq.
KM
in
year
2.
The
Internet
users
increased
from
2520
in
year
3,
to
10080
in
year
4.
Records
of
Project
Management
Office
R:
The
spectrum
registration
or
wireless
service
application
rejected
by
NCC
R:
The
existing
towers
of
base
station
can't
be
used
for
colcation
of
new
system.
Activities
1.1
site survey
1.2
conceptual design
1.3
Base
station
colocation
and
leasing
1.4
detail
design
1.5
infrastructure
implementation
1.6
service
activation
Inputs
Donor– $2.5 million
(80%
contribution)
•Consulting
-‐ $0.3
million
•Personnel
-‐ $0.55
million
•Equipment
-‐ $1.28
million
•Capacity Building -‐ $0.25
million
•Contingencies
-‐ $0.11
million
Government -‐ $0.6
million
(20%
contribution)
•Personnel
-‐ $0.36
million
•Logistics
-‐ $0.14
million
(colocation)
•Operating
expenses
– $0.1
million
2.1
site
survey
look
and
see
2.2
network engineering
training
2.3
help desk
training
2.4
remote
hands
and
eyes
SOP
2.5
network
operation
training
(Sample)
57. 寬頻滲透率對GDP影響
57
寬頻⾼高滲透率區域
High
Broadband
Penetration
Regions
寬頻低滲透率區域
Low
Broadband
Penetration
Regions
增加寬頻
滲透率
增加寬頻
滲透率
p 初期經濟⾼高度成⾧長, 但隨時間逐漸萎縮(供
給衝擊效應)
p 新經濟成⾧長 (創新, 新服務等)
p ⾼高穩定經濟成⾧長(追趕效應)
p 資本/勞⼒力替代性限制就業率成⾧長(⽣生產效
率)
(*)results
are
at
a
low
significance
level
資料來源 :
OECD;
吳國維,黃勝雄等,
2013
58. 寬頻激勵方案
Broadband
Stimulus
Plan
Goods/Sector
Input-‐Output
table
(each
column
of
the
input-‐
output
matrix
reports
the
monetary
value
of
an
industry’s
inputs
and
each
row
represents
the
value
of
an
industry’s
output)
Inputs
Households
State
Investments
Exports
demand
End
+
Volume
of
Goods
Imports
Gross
domestic
product
= -‐ =
Sector
Inputs
Value
added
Gross
production
Imports
Volume
of
goods
+
=
+
=
Input
side
就業與產能影響
Employment
and
production
effects
Output
side
(use
side)
資料來源 OECD;
吳國維,黃勝雄等,
2013
Structure
of
Input-‐Output
Table
寬頻激勵⽅方案對經濟的影響
58
59. 寬頻建設與GDP的變動量
59
低網路滲透率國家
希臘, 義大利, 葡萄牙
愛爾蘭, 西班牙
貢獻GDP成長:
0.008
中網路滲透率國家
德國,法國, 日本,比利時,
英國, 美國, 加拿大
貢獻GDP成長:
0.014
高網路滲透率國家
丹麥, 挪威, 荷蘭, 瑞典, 瑞
士
貢獻GDP成長:
0.023
資料來源 :
OECD;
吳國維,黃勝雄等,
2013
寬頻覆蓋率
群
組
平
均
對
G
D
P
影
響
國
家
寬
頻
成
長
對
G
D
P
影
響