Ride the Storm: Navigating Through Unstable Periods / Katerina Rudko (Belka G...
Special report by epic research 7 febuary 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
7th FEBRUARY. 2014
Global markets at a glance
Asian shares regained a measure of stability on Friday,
stepping further away from five-month lows after a strong
night on Wall Street. In early trade, MSCI's broadest index
of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose
0.3 percent, a day after the index posted its biggest gains
in over two months.
The index bounced 1.6 percent from a five-month low hit
on Wednesday. Japan's Nikkei also rose 1.8 percent .N225.
Wall Street Update
U.S. stocks posted their best day of the year on Thursday
after a drop in applications for unemployment insurance
boosted confidence in the economy and Disney's results
overshot expectations. The rally came ahead of the widelyfollowed payrolls report for January due Friday. Other economic data showed the U.S. trade deficit widened more
than expected in December as exports fell, which could
see the advance fourth-quarter growth estimate trimmed.
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 188.3 points or
1.22 percent, to 15,628.53, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 21.79
points or 1.24 percent, to 1,773.43 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 45.57 points or 1.14 percent, to
4,057.122.
Previous day Roundup
The 30-share BSE benchmark Sensex maintained positive
momentum amid consolidation for the third consecutive
session on Thursday. Investors seem to be buyers in most
beaten down shares as they seem to be doing bargain
hunting. Global markets supported too. The Sensex fell
181 points intraday due to shorting of index futures before
closing 49.71 points higher at 20,310.74. The Nifty rose
13.90 points to 6,036.30 after hitting an intraday low of
5,965.40.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in yesterday’s session. The
sartorial indices have following status:
Consumer Durables [up 55.17pts] Capital Good [down
86.85pts], PSU [up 34.71pts], FMCG [up 87.78pts] Realty
[down 19.05Pts], Power [up 6.60pts], Auto [ up 98.72pts],
Healthcare [down 7.22pts], IT [down 15.621pts], Metals
[up pts], TECK [0.00 pts] Oil& Gas [up 2.55pts].
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
15628.53
+1.22
S&P 500
1773.43
+1.24
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4057.12
3010.79
6558.29
+1.14
+163
+1.55
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
14408.74
21541.18
+1.79
+1.02
DJl
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
COAL INDIA
268.00
12.80
+5.02
HINDUNILVR
587.00
17.00
+2.98
TATAPOWER
75.05
2.10
+2.68
NMDC
144.00
3.80
+2.71
CAIRN
332.50
7.65
+2.35
CMP
Change
% Chg
37.75
156.70
135.10
550.00
334.10
1.15
4.15
3.00
10.90
6.15
-2.96
-2.58
-2.17
-1.94
-1.81
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
ABAN
523.00
1.30
-0.25
GLOBOFFS
142.05
6.75
+4.99
IPCLAB
800.00
16.75
-2.05
RSYSTEMS
470.25
78.35
+19.99
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
56.40
32.75
0.45
1.05
+0.80
-3.11
CMP
Change
% Chg
6,036.30
+13.90
+0.23
20,310.74
+49.71
+0.25
Top Losers
Company
JPASSOCIAT
BHEL
DLF
PNB
RANBAXY
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
GENESYS
MAHABANK
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
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2. DAILY REPORT
7th FEBRUARY. 2014
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. TATA COMM
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. PATEL ENGINEERING
TATA COMM FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build
up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 300 levels. We advise buying above 300 levels with
strict stop loss 294 for the targets of 305-310 levels.
PATEL ENGINEERING is looking strong on charts. We advice
buying around 56-58 levels with strict stop loss of 50 for
the targets of 60-64 levels.
2. HINDUNILEVER
MACRO NEWS
Employees of public sector banks will go on a two-day
nation-wide strike from February 10 as unions and management have failed to reach a consensus on wage revision.
Bank of Baroda posted a marginal rise of 3.6% in net
profit at Rs 1,047.84 crore in December quarter of the
current financial year. The bank had posted a net profit
of Rs 1,011.62 crore during the same quarter of the previous fiscal.
Central Bank of India has reported 65.8% slump in net
profit at Rs 61.53 cr for Q3ended December 31, 201314. It had reported net profit of Rs 179.94 crore in the
October-December quarter 2012-13.
Australia said it was keen to sign the Comprehensive
Economic Cooperation Agreement with India to bring
trade and investment ties to the forefront.
Reliance Group-owned power distribution companies in
Delhi today approached the Supreme Court against
NTPC's notice threatening to cut off power supply for
not clearing outstanding dues.
HINDUNILEVER FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 586 levels. We advise buying around 585-588
levels with strict stoploss of 580 for the targets of 594-598
levels.
YOUR MINTVISORY
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
7th FEBRUARY. 2014
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
NIFTY
PE
5,900
51.35
3,19,807 65,52,850
NIFTY
PE
6,000
82.95
3,14,601 76,70,500
NIFTY
PE
5,800
31.4
2,30,835 48,18,300
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,000
189.9
27,506
3,77,475
SBIN
PE
1,500
56
4,051
4,24,125
AXISBANK
PE
1,100
35.05
1,874
2,45,750
RELIANCE
PE
820
19.1
1,488
3,30,000
TCS
PE
2,100
23
1,362
91,000
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
STOCKS IN NEWS
CCI has cleared Essar Steel's proposed sale of a gas
plant in Gujarat to Inox Air Products.
Discoms like RInfra, Tata Power plug into social media
to redress consumer grievances
Charak Pharmaceuticals wins case against Glenmark
over drug name.
CCEA clears Vodafone's Rs 10,141 cr. FDI proposal.
Etihad to buy stake in Jet's unit.
Open
Interest
Open
Interest
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
NIFTY
CE
6,100
77.9
3,37,173 42,78,450
NIFTY
CE
6,200
39.95
2,80,574 54,31,850
NIFTY
CE
6,300
18
1,85,060 39,16,400
BANKNIFTY CE
10,500
161
24,011
2,49,525
SBIN
CE
1,550
38.5
6,555
4,74,875
RELIANCE
CE
840
11
3,117
7,87,250
ICICIBANK
CE
1,000
20.4
2,175
AXISBANK
CE
2,200
43
2,168
Nifty Future closed in the green in the last trading ses5,65,750 sion. We advise buying around 6000 levels with strict
95,125 stop loss of 5970 for the targets of 6050-6085 levels.
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
47442
1396.89
55628
1644.04
400521
11923.38
-247.14
INDEX OPTIONS
514622
14984.74
502489
14651.26
1434040
43080.14
333.48
STOCK FUTURES
58206
1836.13
52931
1693.72
1019984
30275.84
142.42
STOCK OPTIONS
44481
1295.27
43953
1280.77
45942
1322.62
14.50
TOTAL
243.25
INDICES
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
NIFTY
5933.73
5985.01
6016.68
6067.96
6099.63
NIFTYJUNIOR
11880.2
11954.1
12012.55
12086.45
12144.9
BANK NIFTY
9997.79
10101.5
10211.5
10315.2
10425.2
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
7th FEBRUARY. 2014
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold held steady on Thursday as global equities remained
volatile amid lower risk appetite and concerns over economic growth, and as investors waited for cues from US
jobs data. A mixed bag of US data added to pressure from
the emerging markets turmoil on equity markets, underpinning safe-haven assets such as gold and the yen.
Tracking a firm global trend on speculation that demand for
the metal used in corrosion resistance in stainless steel will
increase, nickel prices moved up by 0.44% to Rs 875.70 per
kg in futures trade yesterday. Besides, increased demand
from alloy-makers in the domestic spot market further supported the uptrend. At the Multi Commodity Exchange,
nickel for delivery in March moved up by Rs 3.80, or 0.44%
to Rs 875.70 per kg in business turnover of 24 lots. In a similar fashion, the metal for delivery in February traded higher
by Rs 3.20, or 0.37% to Rs 867.80 per kg in 918 lots.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 44700 TGTS 44900/45200 SL 44300
SELL SILVER BELOW 44300 TGTS 44100/43800 SL 44700
GOLD
Silver prices moved up by 0.92% to Rs 44,799 per kg in futures market yesterday as speculators enlarged their positions amid a firming trend overseas. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, silver for delivery in March moved up by Rs
407, or 0.92% to Rs 44,799 per kg in business turnover of
2,811 lots. Likewise, the white metal for delivery in May
contracts traded higher by Rs 383, or 0.84% to Rs 45,734
per kg in 81 lots. Analysts said the rise in silver prices at futures trade was mostly attributed to a firming trend in the
global markets. Meanwhile, silver climbed 0.2% to 19.93
dollar an ounce in Singapore.
SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @
44950Immediate Resistance @ 45250 SILVER MCX Closed
@ 43557.00 . Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was
740. Volumes were 25230 lots. For today Keep a close eye
on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to
USDINR Movements.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 28820 TGTS 28900/29000 SL 28700
SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 28600 TGTS 28520/28420 SL 28720
YOUR MINTVISORY
GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support
@28600 Immediate Resistance @29000 GOLD MCX Closed
@28632. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 313
Volumes were 15280 lots. For today Keep close eye on US
data, volatility may Rule overall Market due to USDINR
Movement.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
5. DAILY REPORT
7th FEBRUARY. 2014
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4034
-0.07
Chana
2805
-0.57
Coriander
8195
+1.60
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1561
+0.45
11867.5
-0.23
Maize– Feed/Industrial
Grade
1173
-0.26
Mustard seed
3320
+0.03
Soy Bean
3947
+0.41
Turmeric
7050
-3.24
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4050 TGTS 4080,4130 SL
4000
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3975 TGTS 3945,3895 SL
4025
DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Potato prices moved up by Rs 13.20 to Rs 1,149 per quintal
in futures trade yesterday on buying by speculators following increased spot demand against restricted arrivals from
the major producing regions. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, potato for delivery in April rose by Rs 13.20, or 1.16
per cent, to Rs 1,149 per quintal, with a trading volume of
213 lots. Potato for delivery in March also moved up by Rs
7.20, or 0.65 per cent, to Rs 1,100 per quintal with a trading
volume of 359 lots.
Pepper prices have surged on tight supplies while cardamom prices have shot up on export demand. Pepper prices
have risen to Rs 52,000 per 100 kg while Rajkumar pepper
fetched Rs 540 while high range pepper was sold at Rs 530535 levels. Pepper and Cardamom, the two hot favourite
spices from the South Indian state of Kerala is now on a
bullish trend supported by tight supply amidst robust domestic and export demand.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8235 TGTS 8265,8315 SL 8185
SELL DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8095 TGTS 8065,8015 SL 8145
YOUR MINTVISORY
At Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), cardamom futures for
March delivery has risen 1.23% to Rs 817 per kg while February futures is up 0.58% to Rs 766.40 per kg. Exporters
bought 60 tons of cardamom last week on rising export orders as the quality of the capsules are good in comparison
to Guatemala variety.
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6. DAILY REPORT
7th FEBRUARY. 2014
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
62.5045 Yen-100
Euro
84.4994 GBP
JPY/INR
Rate
61.5900
101.9198
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
Indian rupee gained in opening trade on Thursday against
the US dollar. Rupee opened higher by 14 paisa or 0.22%
against US dollar at Rs 62.45 compared to previous close of
62.59.
The rupee gained the most in over a week on Thursday as
the government's move to scrap a bond auction led to
hopes that the fiscal deficit will be contained, but caution
prevailed ahead of U.S. jobs data. India scrapped a deferred
150-billion-rupee bond sale, citing the government's comfortable cash position, leading to hopes that Finance Minister will be able to contain the fiscal deficit within his 4.8
percent target.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 61.55 TGTS 61.42, 61.28 SL 61.84.
BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 61.98 TGTS 62.11, 62.25 SL 61.69.
GBP/INR
Most emerging currencies retreated in late trade on Thursday on caution ahead of U.S. jobs data as investors took
profit. Mixed U.S. data on Wednesday offered little support
for the greenback. Growth in the service sector picked up
pace in January while private employers added 175,000 jobs
in January, the smallest gain since August.
The partially convertible rupee ended at 62.365/375 per
dollar, compared with Wednesday's close of 62.57/58. It
gained 0.3 percent, its biggest daily win since January 28. In
the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 62.72, while the three-month was at 63.60.
The euro held near one-week high against the dollar after
the European Central Bank President Mario Draghi's comment that the euro zone is not plagued by deflation. The
euro traded at $1.3692, having risen as high as $1.3619 on
Thursday, its highest level in a week. The 10-year Treasuries
pushed up, yielding 2.704 percent, off a three-month low of
2.570 percent hit on Monday.
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 101.90 TGTS 101.76, 101.59 SL
102.20.
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 102.56 TGTS 102.71, 102.85 SL
102.26.
YOUR MINTVISORY
The dollar drifted slightly lower in early Asian trading on
Friday, as investors cautiously awaited the latest non-farm
payrolls report for clues on the health of the U.S. labor market and the broader economy. The dollar traded at 102.00
yen, off a low of 100.755 yen marked on Tuesday.
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8. DAILY REPORT
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
7th FEBRUARY. 2014
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, FEB. 3
10 AM
ISM
JAN.
57.0%
10 AM
CONSTRUCTION SPENDING
DEC.
1.0%
TBA
MOTOR VEHICLE SALES
JAN.
15.4 MLN
TUESDAY, FEB. 4
10 AM
FACTORY ORDERS
DEC.
1.8%
WEDNESDAY, FEB.5
10 AM
ISM NONMANUFACTURING
JAN.
53.0%
THURSDAY, FEB. 6
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
2/1
N/A
8:30 AM
TRADE DEFICIT
DEC.
-$34.3 BLN
8:30 AM
PRODUCTIVITY
4Q
3.0%
FRIDAY ,FEB 7
8:30 AM
NONFARM PAYROLLS
JAN.
74,000
8:30 AM
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
JAN.
6.7%
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