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Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship:
Recovery with slow but steady steps
November 2017
Ilias Lekkos
Paraskevi Vlachou
ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INVESTMENT STRATEGY
2
Introductory note
The results of last year’s annual sectoral assessment of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) showed signs of
stabilisation. This year’s edition confirms the upward trend of small and medium sized entrepreneurship as revealed by the
analysis of the financial statements of a sample of over 17 thousand SMEs, SAs, and LTDs of all sectors of economic activity in
2015.
The stabilisation trend of the sectoral performance recorded in 2014 gained momentum in 2015, since a significant number of
sectors of economic activity made a remarkable improvement in their financial performance. In particular, the average index of
sectoral performance assessment, BIC Index, stood at 40.5 units versus 38.8 in 2014, a fact that is attributed to the improved
efficiency and liquidity and the stabilisation of the capital structure. In 2015, BIC Index recorded all time high since it first
constructed, with its previous higher score at 40.4 units being in the pre-crisis era, i.e. in 2007. Indicative of the positive
momentum of the Greek small and medium sized entrepreneurship is that in 2015 the average rating was “a-”, i.e. reaching the
2007 level, from “b” in 2014, exceeding by far the “c” rating in the three-year period 2010-2012.
At the same time, it is interesting that in 2015 the best performance was recorded in “non-traditional” sectors of the Greek
economy, i.e. manufacturing sectors such as repair and installation of machinery and equipment (33), manufacture of basic
metals (24) and manufacture of electrical equipment (27), as well as sectors of services such as computer programming and
information services (62+63) and administrative and support service activities excluding travel agencies (N-79). On the contrary,
the worst performance was recorded in sectors related to private consumption, such as entertainment (R), mass media
(59+60), manufacture of furniture (31) and tobacco products (12).
This positive performance of SMEs sends an optimistic message, but the challenges of the Greek economy remain.
Entrepreneurship seems to be on a recovery path aided by the gradual cleaning-up of the most problematic business cases. But
we need to wait until next year to see whether this momentum can be maintained.
BIC Index: November 2017
Contents of study
BIC Index: November 2017 3
1. Purpose of the study – key findings
2. Presentation of BIC Index results
3. BIC Rating System
4. Appendices
1. Purpose of the study – key
findings
BIC Index: November 2017 4
Purpose of the study
BIC Index: November 2017 5
The purpose of this study is to update:
• the BIC Index and
• the BIC Rating System
– in order to assess the sectoral performance, regarding Small and
Medium Enterprises (SMEs) for 2015.
The BIC Index is the main analytical tool used to carry out analysis and ranking of business sectors, with emphasis on SMEs.
Initially, the performance of each sector of economic activity is evaluated along three axes, which summarize the key dimensions
of measuring entrepreneurial activity, namely liquidity, efficiency and capital structure.
Thereafter – in order to facilitate the drawing of robust conclusions – these three axes are used to compile an overall sectoral
performance index which we call the Best in Class (BIC) Index.
Based on the score of each sector in the BIC Index, we are able to assess and rank the performance of the 50 most essential sectors of
the Greek economy from 2007 to 2015.
Best in Class Index (BIC Index)
BIC Index: November 2017 6
Liquidity Efficiency
Capital
Structure BIC Index
Note: the methodologies adopted for calculating the BIC Index and the BIC Rating System are presented in the sections of appendices 4a and 4b respectively.
BIC Rating System
BIC Rating System
BIC Index: November 2017 7
Score
range
Score Rating
BIC Index
Performance
≥63 a+
[51-63) a
[40-51) a-
[39-40) b+
[37-39) b
[36-37) b-
[35-36) c+
[33-35) c
[32-33) c-
[24-32) d+
[16-24) d
<16 d-
<32 underperformers
≥40 outperfomers
36-40 good performers
32-36
medium
performers
The BIC Index allows us to rank the performance of sectors of
economic activity from the strongest to the weakest
separately for each year from 2007 to 2015.
In order to move on to a longitudinal analysis of the
development of sectoral performance throughout the period
2007-2015, we have developed a rating system of sectoral
performance – the BIC Rating System.
According to this system, each sector is ranked on a 12-grade
rating scale. Any improvement or decline in the BIC Index
score of each sector from year to year is reflected by a
corresponding upgrade or downgrade of the specific sector.
BIC Index: Sectors with the best performance, 2015
The sector of repair and installation of machinery and
equipment (33) showed resistance to the crisis and
enhanced its performance in 2015.
Other manufacturing sectors with positive results are
those related to manufacture of motor vehicles (29),
manufacture of basic metals (24), other kinds of
manufacturing (32) and manufacture of electrical
equipment (27).
Regarding the latter, another sector related to technology
that maintained a high performance was the sector of
computer programming and information services
(62+63).
Finally, the sectors of water supply etc. (E) and real estate
(68) remained in high positions for another year.
However, the BIC Index score of the E sector reduced
considerably compared to previous years, recording its
lowest value.
BIC Index: November 2017 8Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
33
Repair and installation of machinery and
equipment
32 Other manufacturing
Ε
Water supply; sewerage, waste management and
remediation activities
62+63
Computer programming, consultancy and related
activities. Information service activities
68 Real estate activities
24 Manufacture of basic metals
29
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-
trailers
Ν-79
Administrative and support service activities
expect for travel agency, tour operator and other
reservation service and related activities
50 Water transport
27 Manufacture of electrical equipment
The sectors with the strongest performance, 2015
BIC Index: Sectors with the poorest performance, 2015
The sectors of entertainment, such as arts and
entertainment (R) and mass media (59+60)
continue to be among the lowest performers.
The situation in wood processing sectors is quite
similar, especially in the wood industry (16) and
the manufacture of furniture (31).
The performance of the agricultural sector (A) and
tobacco industry (12) remains low. Finally, the
decline of mining and quarrying (B) was significant
compared to the previous year, especially in terms
of efficiency and capital structure. Finally, the
performance of the manufacture of other non-
metallic mineral products (23) was significantly
lower as well.
BIC Index: November 2017 9Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
59+60
Motion picture, video and television programme
production, sound recording and music
publishing activities. Programming and
broadcasting activities
16
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood
and cork, except furniture; manufacture of
articles of straw and plaiting materials
R Arts, entertainment and recreation
15 Manufacture of leather and related products
Β Mining and quarrying
31 Manufacture of furniture
Α Agriculture, forestry and fishing
51 Air transport
23
Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral
products
12 Manufacture of tobacco products
The sectors with the weakest performance, 2015
After a period of turbulence, especially in the years of deep recession from 2011 until 2012, the domestic
small and medium-sized entrepreneurship seemed to recover and return to its pre-crisis level. From the
structure of the dimensions, it appears that this improvement stems from the stabilisation of capital
structure at a higher level and the strengthening of liquidity. Still, although the dimension of efficiency –
which is linked to enterprise profitability – improved over 2014, it failed to reach 2007 levels.
BIC Index 2015: Signs of stabilisation at a higher level
BIC Index: November 2017 10Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
The improved average performance of SMEs in 2015, which approached the levels of 2007, is also reflected at a sectoral level, since
60% of all sectors recorded a higher BIC Index score compared to 2007. In particular, 44% of all sectors exceeded the average
performance and at the same time improved over the period 2007-2015. The sectors of repair and installation of equipment (33) and
other manufacturing (32) combined among the highest performance and score improvement. On the other hand, the sectors of mass
media (59+60), wood industry (16), and arts and entertainment (R) continued recording the lowest performance and the strongest
reductions in 2007-2015. Among the sectors with the highest performance, the sectors of water supply, etc. (E) and real estate (68)
recorded the largest decline in BIC Index score over the period 2007-2015. Finally, despite their low performance, the tobacco industry
(12) and the telecommunications (61) recorded the highest improvement compared to 2007.
BIC Index 2007-2015: Performance and progress of sectors
BIC Index: November 2017 11Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
The average rating of the 50 sectors
upgraded to “a-” in 2015, reaching
2007 levels.
BIC Rating System 2007-2015: the average rating in 2015 reached pre crisis
levels
*Ranking of sectors based on 2015 data
BIC Index: November 2017 12Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
BIC Rating System: mapping of sectors based on their performance,
2015
BIC Index: November 2017 13Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
•45, 79,
•28, 17,
•13, Q,
•26
•61, 12,
•23, 51
•A, 31
•33, 32, Ε, 62+63, 68,
•24, 29, Ν-79, 50,
•27, 25, Μ, 20, F,
•D, 46, 47, 49, 30,
• 56, 19, 52+53, P,
•11, 18, 14, 22, 10,
•21, 58, S, 55
•B, 15
•R, 16
•59+60
Underperformers
(5 sectors, 10%)
Outperformers
(32 sectors, 64%)
Good performers
(7 sectors, 14%)
Medium
performers
(6 sectors, 12%)
Turnover: €742.2mn
Net earnings before interest
expenses, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation: €15.9mn
Net loss before taxes: €-78.9mn
Equity: €838.9mn
Total liabilities: €1.4bn
Net debt: €1.3bn
Interest expenses: €37.8mn
Turnover: €41.7bn
Net earnings before interest
expenses, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation: €4bn
Net profit before taxes: €1.8bn
Equity: €28.5bn
Total liabilities: €33.1bn
Net debt: €27.4bn
Interest expenses: €928.6mn
Turnover: €4.1bn
Net earnings before interest
expenses, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation: €304.2mn
Net profit before taxes: €109.5mn
Equity: €2.1bn
Total liabilities: €3.1bn
Net debt: €2.6bn
Interest expenses: €89.2mn
Turnover: €2bn
Net earnings before interest
expenses, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation: €173.9mn
Net profit before taxes: €15.1mn
Equity: €1.5bn
Total liabilities: €2.2bn
Net debt: €2bn
Interest expenses: €68.9mn
Note: the figures are the sums of sectors per performance based on the
sample of enterprises in 2015
BIC Rating System 2007-2015: Key findings
• In 2015, the average rating of small and medium-sized entrepreneurship reached the levels of
2007, i.e. achieved again an “a-” rating.
• Almost half the sectors (24 out of 50) retained the same rating in 2015 as in 2014, while 32% of
the sectors were upgraded.
• 64% of the sectors were characterised as “outperformers”, as 30 sectors achieved an “a-” rating
and 2 sectors an “a” in 2015.
• The important developments in the ratings of the sectors in 2015 are summarised below:
– the sectors of printing (18), energy (D) were upgraded from “d+” and manufacture of basic metals (24)
from “d” in 2014 to “a-”.
– the sector of manufacture of electrical equipment (27) maintained a high stability over the period 2007-
2015 and retained its “a-” rating.
– on the other hand, the leather industry (15) was upgraded to “c” after a recovery attempt in 2013 and to
“b-” in 2014, but it was downgraded again in 2015 to “d+”.
– similarly, mining and quarrying (B) were downgraded to “d+” in 2015 after three successive years (2012-
2014) with an “a-” rating.
BIC Index: November 2017 14
2. Presentation of BIC Index
results
BIC Index: November 2017 15
BIC Index: ranking and scores, 2015
*In brackets the ranking of sectors and in the histograms their scores
BIC Index: November 2017 16Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
BIC Index: examination of the scores and rankings of the individual
dimensions, 2015
BIC Index: November 2017 17Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
• The green colour indicates the sectors whose scores are above the median score of every dimension among the sectors, in contrast with the red
colour, which indicates scores below the median score.
• The arrow indicates the intensity of the direction of each sector relative to the median score of the corresponding dimension.
• score ≥ 75% of score range
• 50% ≤ score < 75%
• 25% ≤ score < 50%
• score < 25%
Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank
33 54.3 1 32.9 33 60.8 3 69.3 2 14 41.8 26 39.4 11 37.1 33 48.9 26
32 53.0 2 44.0 4 53.1 4 61.9 4 22 41.8 27 27.9 44 39.9 26 57.4 9
E 49.5 3 47.8 2 40.5 22 60.3 6 10 41.7 28 33.2 30 38.0 32 53.8 17
62+63 49.4 4 42.5 6 48.2 10 57.5 8 21 41.6 29 37.6 14 48.7 9 38.4 40
68 49.4 5 55.4 1 46.2 15 46.5 29 58 40.9 30 43.7 5 41.5 19 37.7 41
24 48.5 6 45.8 3 29.1 43 70.5 1 S 40.4 31 34.8 25 36.7 34 49.9 22
29 47.8 7 35.7 22 52.1 5 55.6 14 55 40.2 32 30.2 38 50.3 6 39.9 36
N-79 47.5 8 33.0 32 48.8 8 60.6 5 45 40.0 33 33.0 31 36.0 37 51.0 20
50 46.9 9 35.9 20 68.3 2 36.6 43 79 39.7 34 36.7 17 43.9 17 38.6 38
27 45.5 10 39.7 8 32.1 41 64.7 3 28 39.0 35 37.2 15 41.2 20 38.6 39
25 45.5 11 39.7 9 38.6 30 58.2 7 17 38.3 36 31.5 36 39.3 27 44.0 34
M 45.2 12 39.5 10 48.0 11 48.3 28 13 37.4 37 35.7 23 19.4 48 57.0 11
20 44.8 13 34.5 27 47.1 12 52.7 18 Q 36.3 38 25.4 47 39.3 28 44.2 33
F 44.5 14 38.6 13 40.4 23 54.4 16 26 36.2 39 29.6 39 40.2 24 39.0 37
D 44.1 15 36.9 16 69.1 1 26.3 48 61 35.1 40 35.2 24 36.0 36 34.1 46
46 44.0 16 36.2 19 40.1 25 55.9 13 12 34.8 41 28.1 43 30.3 42 46.2 31
47 43.9 17 38.8 12 40.9 21 52.1 19 23 34.6 42 27.2 45 32.3 40 44.4 32
49 43.7 18 35.7 21 38.1 31 57.3 10 51 34.5 43 29.5 40 25.0 45 48.9 25
30 43.1 19 36.5 18 46.6 13 46.2 30 A 33.6 44 31.5 35 32.7 39 36.7 42
56 43.0 20 34.0 28 46.6 14 48.4 27 31 33.3 45 29.0 41 39.1 29 31.8 47
19 43.0 21 31.1 37 42.0 18 55.9 12 B 31.4 46 33.6 29 19.7 47 41.0 35
52+53 42.9 22 42.4 7 35.4 38 50.9 21 15 29.5 47 26.4 46 27.7 44 34.4 45
P 42.5 23 28.7 42 50.0 7 48.9 24 R 21.5 48 18.1 49 10.1 50 36.4 44
11 42.1 24 32.5 34 44.1 16 49.8 23 16 17.6 49 14.4 50 12.7 49 25.5 49
18 42.0 25 34.7 26 36.2 35 55.0 15 59+60 16.3 50 19.2 48 19.9 46 9.7 50
Capital StructureLiquidity EfficiencySectors
2015
BIC Index Liquidity Efficiency Capital Structure Sectors
2015
BIC Index
BIC Index: Structure of the final score per sector, 2015
BIC Index: November 2017 18Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
*The BIC Index is the average result of the scores of each dimension
BIC Index: Sectors with the best performance, 2015
The sector of repair and installation of machinery and
equipment (33) showed resistance to the crisis and
enhanced its performance in 2015.
Other manufacturing sectors with positive results are
those related to manufacture of motor vehicles (29),
manufacture of basic metals (24), other kinds of
manufacturing (32) and manufacture of electrical
equipment (27).
Regarding the latter, another sector related to technology
that maintained a high performance was the sector of
computer programming and information services
(62+63).
Finally, the sectors of water supply etc. (E) and real estate
(68) remained in high positions for another year.
However, the BIC Index score of the E sector reduced
considerably compared to previous years, recording its
lowest value.
BIC Index: November 2017 19Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
33
Repair and installation of machinery and
equipment
32 Other manufacturing
Ε
Water supply; sewerage, waste management and
remediation activities
62+63
Computer programming, consultancy and related
activities. Information service activities
68 Real estate activities
24 Manufacture of basic metals
29
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-
trailers
Ν-79
Administrative and support service activities
expect for travel agency, tour operator and other
reservation service and related activities
50 Water transport
27 Manufacture of electrical equipment
The sectors with the strongest performance, 2015
BIC Index: Sectors with the poorest performance, 2015
The sectors of entertainment, such as arts and
entertainment (R) and mass media (59+60)
continue to be among the lowest performers.
The situation in wood processing sectors is quite
similar, especially in the wood industry (16) and
the manufacture of furniture (31).
The performance of the agricultural sector (A) and
tobacco industry (12) remains low. Finally, the
decline of mining and quarrying (B) was significant
compared to the previous year, especially in terms
of efficiency and capital structure. Finally, the
performance of the manufacture of other non-
metallic mineral products (23) was significantly
lower as well.
BIC Index: November 2017 20Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
59+60
Motion picture, video and television programme
production, sound recording and music
publishing activities. Programming and
broadcasting activities
16
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood
and cork, except furniture; manufacture of
articles of straw and plaiting materials
R Arts, entertainment and recreation
15 Manufacture of leather and related products
Β Mining and quarrying
31 Manufacture of furniture
Α Agriculture, forestry and fishing
51 Air transport
23
Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral
products
12 Manufacture of tobacco products
The sectors with the weakest performance, 2015
Rising sectors
The sectors of water transport (50), manufacture of refined
petroleum products (19) and manufacture of metal products
(25) continued to improve their performance compared to
2007. Furthermore, the sectors of manufacture of other
transport equipment (30) and administrative and support
services excluding travel agencies (N-79) had a more positive
picture.
BIC Index: sectors with the highest dynamic evolution and the
steepest decline, 2007-2015
Sectors with the 5 largest positive cumulative changes in
the BIC Index ranking, 2007-2015
BIC Index: November 2017 21
Sectors with the 5 largest negative cumulative changes in
the BIC Index ranking, 2007-2015
Declining sectors
The health sector (Q) and the sectors of mining and quarrying
(B) continued to record the lowest performance compared to
2007, especially in terms of profitability. Despite the liquidity
improvement, the strong decline of efficiency and capital
structure of the publishing sector (58) deteriorated its total
performance. Finally, the sectors of manufacture of other non-
metallic mineral products (23) and furniture (31) have been
squeezed in all the examined dimensions in 2015 compared to
2007.
Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
After a period of turbulence, especially in the years of deep recession from 2011 until 2012, the domestic
small and medium-sized entrepreneurship seemed to recover and return to its pre-crisis level. From the
structure of the dimensions, it appears that this improvement stems from the stabilisation of capital
structure at a higher level and the strengthening of liquidity. Still, although the dimension of efficiency –
which is linked to enterprise profitability – improved over 2014, it failed to reach 2007 levels.
BIC Index 2015: Signs of stabilisation at a higher level
BIC Index: November 2017 22Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
The improved average performance of SMEs in 2015, which approached the levels of 2007, is also reflected at a sectoral level, since
60% of all sectors recorded a higher BIC Index score compared to 2007. In particular, 44% of all sectors exceeded the average
performance and at the same time improved over the period 2007-2015. The sectors of repair and installation of equipment (33) and
other manufacturing (32) combined among the highest performance and score improvement. On the other hand, the sectors of mass
media (59+60), wood industry (16), and arts and entertainment (R) continued recording the lowest performance and the strongest
reductions in 2007-2015. Among the sectors with the highest performance, the sectors of water supply, etc. (E) and real estate (68)
recorded the largest decline in BIC Index score over the period 2007-2015. Finally, despite their low performance, the tobacco industry
(12) and the telecommunications (61) recorded the highest improvement compared to 2007.
BIC Index 2007-2015: Performance and progress of sectors
BIC Index: November 2017 23Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
BIC Index: Mapping of sectors based on their performance,
2007-2015
BIC Index: November 2017 24
• 11, 56, 58, 68,
• D, E, M, P
• 13, 15, 16, 23,
• 26, 28, 31, 59+60,
• B, Q, R, S
• 10, 14, 18, 19, 20,
• 21, 22, 24, 25, 27,
• 29, 30, 32, 33, 46,
• 47, 49, 50, 52+53,
• 62+63, N-79,
• F
• 12, 17, 45, 51,
• 55, 61, 79, A
Low
performance,
progress
8 sectors
High
performance,
progress
22 sectors
High
performance,
deterioration
8 sectors
Low
performance,
deterioration
12 sectors
Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
3. BIC Rating System
BIC Index: November 2017 25
BIC Rating System: mapping of sectors based on their performance,
2015
BIC Index: November 2017 26Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
•45, 79,
•28, 17,
•13, Q,
•26
•61, 12,
•23, 51
•A, 31
•33, 32, Ε, 62+63, 68,
•24, 29, Ν-79, 50,
•27, 25, Μ, 20, F,
•D, 46, 47, 49, 30,
• 56, 19, 52+53, P,
•11, 18, 14, 22, 10,
•21, 58, S, 55
•B, 15
•R, 16
•59+60
Underperformers
(5 sectors, 10%)
Outperformers
(32 sectors, 64%)
Good performers
(7 sectors, 14%)
Medium
performers
(6 sectors, 12%)
Turnover: €742.2mn
Net earnings before interest
expenses, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation: €15.9mn
Net loss before taxes: €-78.9mn
Equity: €838.9mn
Total liabilities: €1.4bn
Net debt: €1.3bn
Interest expenses: €37.8mn
Turnover: €41.7bn
Net earnings before interest
expenses, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation: €4bn
Net profit before taxes: €1.8bn
Equity: €28.5bn
Total liabilities: €33.1bn
Net debt: €27.4bn
Interest expenses: €928.6mn
Turnover: €4.1bn
Net earnings before interest
expenses, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation: €304.2mn
Net profit before taxes: €109.5mn
Equity: €2.1bn
Total liabilities: €3.1bn
Net debt: €2.6bn
Interest expenses: €89.2mn
Turnover: €2bn
Net earnings before interest
expenses, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation: €173.9mn
Net profit before taxes: €15.1mn
Equity: €1.5bn
Total liabilities: €2.2bn
Net debt: €2bn
Interest expenses: €68.9mn
Note: the figures are the sums of sectors per performance based on the
sample of enterprises in 2015
Classification of sectors per year based on the
BIC Rating System
BIC Index: November 2017 27Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Rating Rating
a+ E 68 a+
a M E E 68 E E E E 50 E 68 33 32 a
B Q 62+63 M 62+63 68 Q 62+63 M 68 M 27 68 33 27 33 62+63 27 29 61 51 56 29 62+63 E 62+63 68
56 58 P Q B 27 32 P 33 D 33 32 32 Q 11 50 56 62+63 33 32 M 27 24 29 N-79
D 32 27 P 58 32 27 S 56 Q P 52+53 P 61 B 27 68 58 20 33 46 50 27 25
11 F 47 52+53 D 33 58 52+53 26 P M D 25 22 P M 20 F
52+53 29 33 32 Q 11 47 28 11 D 46 47
24 14 23 S 47 25 58 19 F 49 30 56
49 28 S 46 N-79 B 10 N-79 49 19 52+53 P
22 31 49 B 21 11 18 14
22 10 21
58 S 55
20 18 26 14 26 47 22 F 14 61 62+63 51 32 25 10 18 20 52+53 14 45 79
13 F 11 56 P Q
46 21 55 21 25 49 25 47 49 49 56 25 M D 28 56 21 D 52+53 24 22 S 55 23 28 17 13
25 R 30 31 N-79 11 20 12 29 20 58 47 19 79 28 61 13 79
20 28 29 28 21 18 14 21 30
22 23 18 N-79
N-79 30 24 46 10 D 29 31 62+63 N-79 22 56 47 11 M 14 46 F 51 12 15 Q 26
10 23 46 10 11 49 20 10
10 16 S R B 50 19 23 47 24 10 25 12 28 68 13 17 45 Q 61
30 F N-79 49
79 15 50 55 13 R 30 16 14 21 46 46 N-79 50 22 19 S 30 23 17 31 12 23 51
51 19 28 A 20 22 S 15 A 55 A 31
19 16 13 12 14 A 24 F 18 52+53 31
B 30
A 45 59+60 15 79 45 55 17 24 18 B 17 15 31 F 30 79 51 50 45 A D 18 B 15
17 17 59+60 19 A 79 51 51 S 16 18 21 52+53 A 55 58
12 45 15 61 79 13 31 12 55 19 17 15 13
59+60 15 55 26 79 23 17 23
45 50 R 29 58 13
61 45
61 12 50 A 51 16 R 31 45 24 12 R 26 R 24 26 R 16 59+60
61 29 26 R 16 59+60 16 59+60
d- 59+60 59+60 26 59+60 16 d-
2010
c-
d+
d
b+
b
b-
c+
c
2007 2008
a-
d
b+
b
b-
c+
c
c-
2012
a-
d+
201520142009 20132011
Mapping of the performance of sectors per year based on
the BIC Rating System
BIC Index: November 2017 28Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
*Ranking of sectors based
on 2015 data
4. Appendices
BIC Index: November 2017 29
4a. Methodology of calculating
BIC Index
BIC Index: November 2017 30
Total Liquidity of SMEs of each sector is given by the following ratios:
Dimension of Liquidity
Liquidity
Current ratio
Current assets
Current liabilities
Quick ratio
Cash+deposits+securities+accounts receivable
Current liabilities
Difference
between
payment
and
collection
days
Average payment
period
(Accounts payable)*365
Cost of sold goods
Average collection
period
(Accounts receivable)*365
Turnover+operating revenue
31BIC Index: November 2017
The overall measure of the Efficiency of each sector is given by:
Dimension of Efficiency
Efficiency
Gross profit
margin
Gross profit
Turnover
Net profit
margin
Net profit before taxes
Turnover+operating revenue
EBITDA
margin
Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation
Turnover+operating revenue
Return on
total assets
Net profit before taxes
Total assets
Return on
equity
Net profit before taxes
Equity
32BIC Index: November 2017
The basic Capital Structure ratios we use are the following:
Dimension of Capital Structure
Capital
structure
Debt to
equity ratio
Total liabilities
Equity
Equity to
total assets
ratio
Equity
Total assets
Times
interest
earned ratio
Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation
Interest expenses
Equity to
fixed assets
ratio
Equity
Net fixed assets
Interest
expenses to
turnover and
operating
revenue ratio
Interest expenses
Turnover+operating revenue
33BIC Index: November 2017
Each of these variables has a different range, as well as different units of
measurement; e.g. some variables count the number of days, some are
expressed as percentages and so on.
In order to be able to initially compare and synthesize these variables,
for the three key dimensions of liquidity, efficiency and capital structure
and then the BIC Index, all variables should be converted to a common
base.
Transformation of variable values of the BIC Index
34BIC Index: November 2017
Standardization of variables examined:
When the rise of a variable value is a positive development, the standardization
formula is:
Where, pi: the variable value of sector i after the standardization;
Ii: the variable value of sector i before the standardization;
Imin: the variable value of the sector with the weakest performance of all examined
sectors;
Imax: the variable value of the sector with the strongest performance of all examined
sectors.
When the decline of a variable value is a positive development, the standardization
formula is:
The common range of variables is: 0-100.
Calculation of the BIC Index scores
35BIC Index: November 2017
𝑝𝑖 =
𝐼𝑖 − 𝐼 𝑚𝑖𝑛
𝐼 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐼 𝑚𝑖𝑛
× 100
𝑝𝑖 =
𝐼 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐼 𝑖
𝐼 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐼 𝑚𝑖𝑛
× 100
Crucial to the construction of the index is the choice of the base
period, namely the period used to calculate the maximum (Imax) and
minimum (Imin) value.
• Financial ratios: min-max standardisation: 2006
• Source of financial data: ICAP DATA.
Overall, we examine 50 sectors and the number of the sample of SAs
and LTDs ranges from 17 thousand to 23.5 thousand during 2007-2015.
Calculation of the BIC Index scores
36BIC Index: November 2017
Weights of examined ratios and variables per dimension
for the calculation of the BIC Index
The final BIC Index is calculated as follows:
37
• Current ratio………….………………………………33.3%
• Quick ratio…………………………..………….…….33.3%
• Difference between payment and collection
days…………………….…..............………..………33.3%
Liquidity
(33.3%)
• Gross profit margin…………………….……….……20%
• Net profit margin………..………………………..….20%
• EBITDA margin…………………….……..…………….20%
• Return on total assets……………………………….20%
• Return on equity……..……………………………….20%
Efficiency
(33.3%)
•Debt to equity ratio…………………………..………..………..20%
•Equity to total assets ratio………………………..…………..20%
•Equity to fixed assets…………………………………………….20%
•Times interest earned ratio...................................…20%
•Interest expenses to turnover and operating revenue
ratio………………………………………………..………………….20%
Capital structure
(33.3%)
BIC Index: November 2017
• Source of data: ICAP DATA.
• Processing of enterprise sample: we excluded enterprises that:
– had no available financial data;
– reported negative equity;
– had no data available on the number of personnel;
– showed no turnover;
– had no available data for the cost of goods sold.
• Given the emphasis on SMEs*, we selected the enterprises that met
the following criteria:
– the number of employees does not exceed 250 persons; while
– their turnover does not exceed €50 million.
Description of BIC Index methodology: Selection of
enterprise sample
* In line with the definition of SMEs given by the European Commission (Commission Recommendation 2003/361/EC).
38BIC Index: November 2017
• We examine all sectors of economic activity, according to the
STAKOD'08 (=NACE rev. 2) classification, except for the following:
– Κ: Financial and insurance activities
– O: Public administration and defense; compulsory social security
– Τ: Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods – and
services – producing activities of households for own use
– U: Activities of extraterritorial organizations and bodies
Description of the BIC Index methodology:
Financial criteria
39BIC Index: November 2017
The examined sectors of the domestic economy and presentation of
the samples of SMEs, 2007-2015 (a)
BIC Index: November 2017 40Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Data extraction period: May of each year, except for 2015: October
Codes STAKOD'08 (=NACE rev. 2) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Α Agriculture, forestry and fishing 249 289 280 254 261 223 233 246 231
Β Mining and quarrying 89 111 108 94 85 73 83 83 70
10 Manufacture of food products 1,014 1,044 1,035 984 991 931 951 994 923
11 Manufacture of beverages 177 180 180 168 165 160 154 159 151
12 Manufacture of tobacco products 12 9 10 9 10 9 9 9 8
13 Manufacture of textiles 166 166 165 157 138 120 114 116 99
14 Manufacture of wearing apparel 301 297 284 261 248 213 206 204 184
15 Manufacture of leather and related products 49 49 43 42 43 37 38 39 37
16
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture;
manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials
121 123 121 103 92 80 78 83 75
17 Manufacture of paper and paper products 140 144 144 141 142 138 124 128 121
18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media 218 226 214 196 182 156 151 163 161
19 Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products 28 26 26 28 26 27 24 24 26
20 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 221 223 231 224 224 213 203 206 191
21
Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical
preparations
51 52 51 49 56 48 44 47 44
22 Manufacture of rubber and plastic products 276 275 279 264 243 226 235 232 202
23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 478 473 464 415 387 334 332 325 278
24 Manufacture of basic metals 69 71 69 67 65 58 56 55 43
25 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 535 537 521 481 463 417 411 415 383
26 Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products 63 63 62 61 59 53 58 61 60
27 Manufacture of electrical equipment 141 142 147 137 130 122 114 121 118
28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. 220 222 218 208 193 196 184 183 177
29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 35 35 37 35 30 25 20 27 18
30 Manufacture of other transport equipment 31 30 30 27 29 23 22 18 19
31 Manufacture of furniture 225 213 213 189 159 131 121 123 109
32 Other manufacturing 148 147 150 138 135 122 118 115 108
33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 58 58 52 42 57 50 52 57 72
BIC Index: November 2017 41Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
The examined sectors of the domestic economy and presentation of
the samples of SMEs, 2007-2015 (b)
* 09 (mining support service activities) is excluded from B, and 94 (activities of membership organisations) from S – no available data from ICAP DATA
Codes STAKOD'08 (=NACE rev. 2) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
D Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 110 121 150 168 208 205 285 359 241
Ε Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 68 83 89 84 87 94 104 122 110
F Construction 1,664 1,706 1,693 1,496 1,398 1,091 1,112 1,185 1,027
45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 835 825 801 705 683 583 552 553 543
46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 5,281 5,380 5,344 4,908 5,135 4,605 4,517 4,664 4,519
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1,350 1,348 1,328 1,158 1,194 1,044 984 1,062 1,059
49 Land transport and transport via pipelines 198 198 192 182 194 207 228 267 221
50 Water transport 24 25 21 17 20 18 17 14 10
51 Air transport 13 13 17 17 13 13 13 13 8
52+53 Warehousing and postal and courier activities 464 464 456 435 465 410 405 471 358
55 Accommodation 2,985 2,989 3,012 2,763 2,579 2,187 2,122 2,220 1,689
56 Food and beverage service activities 542 551 534 480 461 324 316 358 389
58 Publishing activities 226 244 237 197 202 166 167 174 149
59+60
Motion picture, video and television programme production, sound
recording and music publishing activities. Programming and broadcasting
activities
226 221 218 188 184 135 136 145 98
61 Telecommunications 39 43 46 39 37 37 38 46 38
62+63
Computer programming, consultancy and related activities. Information
service activities
470 490 488 451 476 426 426 464 385
68 Real estate activities 596 612 609 574 574 394 413 516 272
Μ Professional, scientific and technical activities 1,275 1,323 1,334 1,219 1,308 1,098 1,060 1,223 876
Ν-79
Administrative and support service activities excluding travel agency, tour
operator and other reservation service and related activities
467 482 453 402 420 385 399 412 320
79
Travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related
activities
366 365 339 295 313 280 293 310 226
P Education 199 202 206 185 193 186 166 179 141
Q Human health and social work activities 349 385 399 386 433 353 380 415 355
R Arts, entertainment and recreation 103 114 116 106 93 57 74 82 68
S Other service activities 79 79 73 62 84 72 68 62 52
Total 23,044 23,468 23,289 21,291 21,367 18,555 18,410 19,549 17,062
4b. Methodology of calculating
BIC Rating System
BIC Index: November 2017 42
BIC Rating System*: distribution characteristics of the
BIC Index scores 2007-2012
As shown in the histogram, the distribution of all scores of the BIC Index (50 sectors,
2007-2012) is almost symmetrical. It has an average of 36.07, a median of 36.52, a
standard deviation of 8.04. The maximum value is 73.66 and the minimum is 8.34 units.
Histogram and kernel distribution of the scores of
BIC Index of 50 sectors for 2007-2012
BIC Index 2007-2012
Descriptive statistics of the BIC Index scores of 50
sectors for 2007-2012
* The methodology adopted is based on a similar methodology presented by
Khramov V. and Lee J.R. (2013), The Economic Performance Index (EPI): an Intuitive
Indicator for Assessing a Country’s Economic Performance Dynamics in an Historical
Perspective, IMF Working Paper WP/13/214, October 2013.
43Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
N 300
mean 36.07
median 36.52
maximum 73.66
minimum 8.34
std. deviation 8.04
skewness 0.07
kurtosis 2.36
Descriptive Statistics
BIC Index: November 2017
BIC Rating System: threshold setting
In our approach, we divide the distribution into four (4) groups (quartiles) and
create a rating system, where the implemented score thresholds are close to the
distribution of the BIC Index scores 2007-2012.
BIC Index: November 2017 44Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Percentile
BIC Index
Score
Implemented
score threshold
Top 25% >75 Above 40.401 40
Next 25% 50 Above 36.499 36
Next 25% 25 Above 31.643 32
Bottom 25% <25 all below
Structure of the BIC Rating System
In accordance with the implemented thresholds for the BIC Index scores, we have created
three (3) individual categories for each quartile, the intervals of which are symmetrical
around the median. Therefore, based on this approach, we present the following rating
system, which is based on the BIC Index scores 2007-2012.
BIC Rating System
BIC Index: November 2017 45
Score
range
Score Rating
BIC Index
Performance
≥63 a+
[51-63) a
[40-51) a-
[39-40) b+
[37-39) b
[36-37) b-
[35-36) c+
[33-35) c
[32-33) c-
[24-32) d+
[16-24) d
<16 d-
<32 underperformers
≥40 outperfomers
36-40 good performers
32-36
medium
performers
4c. Additional presentation of
results, 2015
BIC Index: November 2017 46
BIC Index: further examination of sectoral performance, 2015
The sectors with the 5 largest positive and negative changes in the BIC Index ranking between 2014-2015
BIC Index: November 2017 47Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
BIC Index: November 2017 48Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Liquidity, 2015
Performance of examined ratios per sector
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
24
32
25
27
E
13
28
F
14
B
11
46
62+63
18
20
31
45
29
50
23
10
Total
15
22
52+53
17
30
68
19
12
26
33
47
D
49
M
A
N-79
58
61
21
79
Q
S
P
16
51
55
56
59+60
R
Current ratio
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
E
24
62+63
52+53
25
18
M
27
49
46
32
D
13
68
79
61
20
N-79
19
F
17
28
Total
22
10
14
P
B
Q
31
15
33
11
45
21
58
50
26
30
23
S
29
A
51
55
47
56
59+60
16
R
12
Quick ratio
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
68
58
56
47
S
55
21
51
79
29
30
A
M
52+53
61
50
R
D
12
14
59+60
N-79
62+63
33
49
P
F
Total
45
E
10
26
20
46
32
B
11
17
28
19
Q
18
23
27
31
25
22
13
15
16
24
Difference between payment and collection days
BIC Index: November 2017 49Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Efficiency, 2015
Performance of examined ratios per sector (a)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
56
58
55
68
21
D
33
31
32
11
Q
50
62+63
S
N-79
P
28
20
M
26
14
47
30
23
59+60
Total
18
52+53
46
B
61
F
27
22
E
17
15
29
25
10
19
79
49
13
45
A
24
12
16
R
51
Gross profit margin
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
D
50
33
29
32
N-79
30
P
M
20
F
62+63
19
55
E
22
21
25
68
17
11
Total
79
10
46
28
49
47
45
A
52+53
26
18
14
Q
56
12
24
S
27
51
61
31
58
23
15
13
B
59+60
16
R
Net profit margin
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
D
50
55
68
N-79
61
33
26
29
32
E
22
20
62+63
11
30
F
25
28
P
21
18
M
Q
31
Total
12
17
19
15
A
23
10
49
52+53
14
24
46
S
56
45
27
47
58
79
16
59+60
51
13
B
R
EBITDA margin
BIC Index: November 2017 50Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Efficiency, 2015
Performance of examined ratios per sector (b)
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
33
50
29
32
P
79
19
M
62+63
20
30
N-79
49
46
47
10
17
21
E
22
45
D
F
25
Total
11
28
56
A
52+53
51
14
55
26
18
12
Q
24
S
27
68
61
31
58
23
15
B
13
59+60
16
R
Return on total assets
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
50
79
33
29
P
M
32
62+63
30
19
20
46
21
49
47
17
10
45
N-79
D
E
F
22
Total
25
56
11
28
A
51
52+53
26
14
55
18
Q
12
S
24
27
61
68
31
58
23
15
13
B
R
16
59+60
Return on equity
BIC Index: November 2017 51Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Capital structure, 2015
Performance of examined ratios per sector (a)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
24
68
13
27
N-79
22
55
18
25
R
E
F
12
33
32
19
29
S
23
49
20
Total
52+53
10
11
62+63
Q
14
30
45
D
47
46
B
17
15
28
26
51
31
56
M
P
50
16
A
21
61
58
59+60
79
Debt to equity ratio
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
24
68
13
27
N-79
22
55
18
25
R
E
F
12
33
32
19
29
S
23
49
20
Total
52+53
10
11
62+63
Q
14
30
45
D
47
46
B
17
15
28
26
51
31
56
M
P
50
16
A
21
61
58
59+60
79
Equity to total assets ratio
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
46
27
32
24
F
79
14
62+63
25
10
45
E
13
47
20
12
28
18
29
M
33
22
11
19
51
Total
15
26
30
49
N-79
23
P
58
68
17
A
S
Q
31
21
52+53
55
56
R
16
61
B
D
50
59+60
Equity to fixed assets ratio
Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATABIC Index: November 2017 52
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
33
56
P
N-79
62+63
50
49
E
29
79
M
32
19
22
20
47
52+53
25
61
11
10
30
17
21
D
24
Total
46
51
55
18
26
F
Q
45
68
S
A
58
27
28
14
23
12
31
15
16
59+60
13
R
B
Times interest earned ratio
Capital structure, 2015
Performance of examined ratios per sector (b)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
56
51
33
79
49
47
P
52+53
62+63
B
M
19
46
24
E
45
10
N-79
S
32
29
58
17
22
Total
20
27
25
11
13
21
18
30
Q
14
A
F
50
61
23
26
28
12
31
15
16
R
68
55
59+60
D
Interest expenses to turnover and operating revenue ratio
BIC Index: November 2017 53
Disclaimer: This document is produced by the Economic Research & Investment Strategy Department of Piraeus Bank (hereinafter "the Bank"), which is supervised by the European Central
Bank (ECB), in collaboration with the Bank of Greece and is sent or provided to third parties, without any obligation of its author. This document or any part of it should not be duplicated in any
way without the prior written consent of its author.
The information or opinions included in this document are addressed to existing or potential clients in a general manner, without taking into account the particular circumstances, the
investment objectives, the financial ability, the experience and/or knowledge of the potential recipients of this document and, as a result, they do not constitute or should not be considered
neither as a solicitation or offer for the conduct of transactions in financial instruments or currencies nor as a recommendation or advice for decision making in relation to those. Taking into
account the aforementioned, the recipient of the information contained in this document should proceed with his/her own research, analysis, and confirmation of the information which is
included in this document and seek for independent and professional legal, tax and investment advice, before proceeding with any investment decision making.
The information depicted in this document is relied on sources that the Bank considers to be reliable and is provided on an "as is" basis, however, the Bank cannot warrant as to their accuracy
and completeness. The opinions and estimates herein are related to the trend of the local and international financial markets at the indicated date (prices at closing time) and are subject to
changes without any prior notice. Notwithstanding the above, the Bank might include in this document investment researches, which have been conducted by third persons. In this case, the
Bank does not modify those researches, but it presents them on an "as is" basis, therefore, no responsibility is assumed in relation to the content of the aforementioned investment researches.
The Bank is under no duty to update the information contained in this document. Considering the above, the Bank, the members of its Board of Directors and the relevant persons assume no
responsibility for the information included in the present document and/or for the outcome of any investment decisions made according to such information.
Piraeus Bank Group is an organisation with a significant presence in the Greek market and an increasing one in the international markets providing a wide range of investment services. In the
context of investment services offered by the Bank and/or any other Piraeus Group companies in general, there might be cases whereby conflict of interests may arise in relation to the
information provided herein. Reference should be made to the fact that the Bank, the relevant persons and/or other Piraeus Group companies indicatively:
a. Are not subject to any prohibition in relation to trading on own account or in the course of providing portfolio management services prior to the publication of this
document or the acquisition of any shares prior to any public offering or the acquisition of any other securities.
b. May offer upon remuneration investment banking services to issuers for whom this document may contain information.
c. May participate to the issuers' share capital or acquire other securities issued by the aforementioned issuers or attract other financial interests from them.
d. Might provide market making or underwriting services to issuers that might be mentioned in this document.
e. Might have published papers the content of which is different or incompatible to the information presented herein.
The Bank as well as the other Piraeus Group's companies have enacted, implement and maintain an effective policy, which prevents circumstances that may give rise to conflicts of interests
and the dissemination of any information among the departments ("chinese walls") and they also constantly comply with the provisions and regulations relevant to inside information and
market abuse. Also, the Bank confirms that it doesn't have any kind of interest or conflict of interest with a) any other legal entity or person that could have participated in the preparation of
the present document and b) with any other legal entity or person that couldn't have participated in the preparation of the present document, but had access to it before its publication.
It is duly stated that: the investments described in the present document include investment risks, among which the risk of losing the entire capital invested. In particular, it is stated that;
a. The figures presented herein refer to the past and that the past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
b. In case the figures refer to simulated past performance, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
c. The return on investments might be positively or negatively affected as a result of currency fluctuations, in case the figures are denominated in a foreign currency (other
than Euro).
d. Any forecasts in relation to future performance, may not be a reliable indicator of future performance.
e. The tax treatment of the information as well as transactions pertained in this document, depends on each investor's individual circumstances and may be subject to
change in the future. As a result, the recipient should seek for independent advice in relation to the applicable tax legislation.
The distribution of the present document outside Greece and/or to persons governed by foreign law may be subject to restrictions or prohibitions according to the applicable legislation.
Therefore, the recipient of the present should seek for independent advice in relation to the applicable legislation, in order to look into such restrictions and/or prohibitions.

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Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece: Recovery with slow but steady steps

  • 1. Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship: Recovery with slow but steady steps November 2017 Ilias Lekkos Paraskevi Vlachou ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INVESTMENT STRATEGY
  • 2. 2 Introductory note The results of last year’s annual sectoral assessment of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) showed signs of stabilisation. This year’s edition confirms the upward trend of small and medium sized entrepreneurship as revealed by the analysis of the financial statements of a sample of over 17 thousand SMEs, SAs, and LTDs of all sectors of economic activity in 2015. The stabilisation trend of the sectoral performance recorded in 2014 gained momentum in 2015, since a significant number of sectors of economic activity made a remarkable improvement in their financial performance. In particular, the average index of sectoral performance assessment, BIC Index, stood at 40.5 units versus 38.8 in 2014, a fact that is attributed to the improved efficiency and liquidity and the stabilisation of the capital structure. In 2015, BIC Index recorded all time high since it first constructed, with its previous higher score at 40.4 units being in the pre-crisis era, i.e. in 2007. Indicative of the positive momentum of the Greek small and medium sized entrepreneurship is that in 2015 the average rating was “a-”, i.e. reaching the 2007 level, from “b” in 2014, exceeding by far the “c” rating in the three-year period 2010-2012. At the same time, it is interesting that in 2015 the best performance was recorded in “non-traditional” sectors of the Greek economy, i.e. manufacturing sectors such as repair and installation of machinery and equipment (33), manufacture of basic metals (24) and manufacture of electrical equipment (27), as well as sectors of services such as computer programming and information services (62+63) and administrative and support service activities excluding travel agencies (N-79). On the contrary, the worst performance was recorded in sectors related to private consumption, such as entertainment (R), mass media (59+60), manufacture of furniture (31) and tobacco products (12). This positive performance of SMEs sends an optimistic message, but the challenges of the Greek economy remain. Entrepreneurship seems to be on a recovery path aided by the gradual cleaning-up of the most problematic business cases. But we need to wait until next year to see whether this momentum can be maintained. BIC Index: November 2017
  • 3. Contents of study BIC Index: November 2017 3 1. Purpose of the study – key findings 2. Presentation of BIC Index results 3. BIC Rating System 4. Appendices
  • 4. 1. Purpose of the study – key findings BIC Index: November 2017 4
  • 5. Purpose of the study BIC Index: November 2017 5 The purpose of this study is to update: • the BIC Index and • the BIC Rating System – in order to assess the sectoral performance, regarding Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) for 2015.
  • 6. The BIC Index is the main analytical tool used to carry out analysis and ranking of business sectors, with emphasis on SMEs. Initially, the performance of each sector of economic activity is evaluated along three axes, which summarize the key dimensions of measuring entrepreneurial activity, namely liquidity, efficiency and capital structure. Thereafter – in order to facilitate the drawing of robust conclusions – these three axes are used to compile an overall sectoral performance index which we call the Best in Class (BIC) Index. Based on the score of each sector in the BIC Index, we are able to assess and rank the performance of the 50 most essential sectors of the Greek economy from 2007 to 2015. Best in Class Index (BIC Index) BIC Index: November 2017 6 Liquidity Efficiency Capital Structure BIC Index Note: the methodologies adopted for calculating the BIC Index and the BIC Rating System are presented in the sections of appendices 4a and 4b respectively.
  • 7. BIC Rating System BIC Rating System BIC Index: November 2017 7 Score range Score Rating BIC Index Performance ≥63 a+ [51-63) a [40-51) a- [39-40) b+ [37-39) b [36-37) b- [35-36) c+ [33-35) c [32-33) c- [24-32) d+ [16-24) d <16 d- <32 underperformers ≥40 outperfomers 36-40 good performers 32-36 medium performers The BIC Index allows us to rank the performance of sectors of economic activity from the strongest to the weakest separately for each year from 2007 to 2015. In order to move on to a longitudinal analysis of the development of sectoral performance throughout the period 2007-2015, we have developed a rating system of sectoral performance – the BIC Rating System. According to this system, each sector is ranked on a 12-grade rating scale. Any improvement or decline in the BIC Index score of each sector from year to year is reflected by a corresponding upgrade or downgrade of the specific sector.
  • 8. BIC Index: Sectors with the best performance, 2015 The sector of repair and installation of machinery and equipment (33) showed resistance to the crisis and enhanced its performance in 2015. Other manufacturing sectors with positive results are those related to manufacture of motor vehicles (29), manufacture of basic metals (24), other kinds of manufacturing (32) and manufacture of electrical equipment (27). Regarding the latter, another sector related to technology that maintained a high performance was the sector of computer programming and information services (62+63). Finally, the sectors of water supply etc. (E) and real estate (68) remained in high positions for another year. However, the BIC Index score of the E sector reduced considerably compared to previous years, recording its lowest value. BIC Index: November 2017 8Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA 33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 32 Other manufacturing Ε Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 62+63 Computer programming, consultancy and related activities. Information service activities 68 Real estate activities 24 Manufacture of basic metals 29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi- trailers Ν-79 Administrative and support service activities expect for travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related activities 50 Water transport 27 Manufacture of electrical equipment The sectors with the strongest performance, 2015
  • 9. BIC Index: Sectors with the poorest performance, 2015 The sectors of entertainment, such as arts and entertainment (R) and mass media (59+60) continue to be among the lowest performers. The situation in wood processing sectors is quite similar, especially in the wood industry (16) and the manufacture of furniture (31). The performance of the agricultural sector (A) and tobacco industry (12) remains low. Finally, the decline of mining and quarrying (B) was significant compared to the previous year, especially in terms of efficiency and capital structure. Finally, the performance of the manufacture of other non- metallic mineral products (23) was significantly lower as well. BIC Index: November 2017 9Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA 59+60 Motion picture, video and television programme production, sound recording and music publishing activities. Programming and broadcasting activities 16 Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials R Arts, entertainment and recreation 15 Manufacture of leather and related products Β Mining and quarrying 31 Manufacture of furniture Α Agriculture, forestry and fishing 51 Air transport 23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 12 Manufacture of tobacco products The sectors with the weakest performance, 2015
  • 10. After a period of turbulence, especially in the years of deep recession from 2011 until 2012, the domestic small and medium-sized entrepreneurship seemed to recover and return to its pre-crisis level. From the structure of the dimensions, it appears that this improvement stems from the stabilisation of capital structure at a higher level and the strengthening of liquidity. Still, although the dimension of efficiency – which is linked to enterprise profitability – improved over 2014, it failed to reach 2007 levels. BIC Index 2015: Signs of stabilisation at a higher level BIC Index: November 2017 10Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 11. The improved average performance of SMEs in 2015, which approached the levels of 2007, is also reflected at a sectoral level, since 60% of all sectors recorded a higher BIC Index score compared to 2007. In particular, 44% of all sectors exceeded the average performance and at the same time improved over the period 2007-2015. The sectors of repair and installation of equipment (33) and other manufacturing (32) combined among the highest performance and score improvement. On the other hand, the sectors of mass media (59+60), wood industry (16), and arts and entertainment (R) continued recording the lowest performance and the strongest reductions in 2007-2015. Among the sectors with the highest performance, the sectors of water supply, etc. (E) and real estate (68) recorded the largest decline in BIC Index score over the period 2007-2015. Finally, despite their low performance, the tobacco industry (12) and the telecommunications (61) recorded the highest improvement compared to 2007. BIC Index 2007-2015: Performance and progress of sectors BIC Index: November 2017 11Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 12. The average rating of the 50 sectors upgraded to “a-” in 2015, reaching 2007 levels. BIC Rating System 2007-2015: the average rating in 2015 reached pre crisis levels *Ranking of sectors based on 2015 data BIC Index: November 2017 12Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 13. BIC Rating System: mapping of sectors based on their performance, 2015 BIC Index: November 2017 13Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA •45, 79, •28, 17, •13, Q, •26 •61, 12, •23, 51 •A, 31 •33, 32, Ε, 62+63, 68, •24, 29, Ν-79, 50, •27, 25, Μ, 20, F, •D, 46, 47, 49, 30, • 56, 19, 52+53, P, •11, 18, 14, 22, 10, •21, 58, S, 55 •B, 15 •R, 16 •59+60 Underperformers (5 sectors, 10%) Outperformers (32 sectors, 64%) Good performers (7 sectors, 14%) Medium performers (6 sectors, 12%) Turnover: €742.2mn Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation: €15.9mn Net loss before taxes: €-78.9mn Equity: €838.9mn Total liabilities: €1.4bn Net debt: €1.3bn Interest expenses: €37.8mn Turnover: €41.7bn Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation: €4bn Net profit before taxes: €1.8bn Equity: €28.5bn Total liabilities: €33.1bn Net debt: €27.4bn Interest expenses: €928.6mn Turnover: €4.1bn Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation: €304.2mn Net profit before taxes: €109.5mn Equity: €2.1bn Total liabilities: €3.1bn Net debt: €2.6bn Interest expenses: €89.2mn Turnover: €2bn Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation: €173.9mn Net profit before taxes: €15.1mn Equity: €1.5bn Total liabilities: €2.2bn Net debt: €2bn Interest expenses: €68.9mn Note: the figures are the sums of sectors per performance based on the sample of enterprises in 2015
  • 14. BIC Rating System 2007-2015: Key findings • In 2015, the average rating of small and medium-sized entrepreneurship reached the levels of 2007, i.e. achieved again an “a-” rating. • Almost half the sectors (24 out of 50) retained the same rating in 2015 as in 2014, while 32% of the sectors were upgraded. • 64% of the sectors were characterised as “outperformers”, as 30 sectors achieved an “a-” rating and 2 sectors an “a” in 2015. • The important developments in the ratings of the sectors in 2015 are summarised below: – the sectors of printing (18), energy (D) were upgraded from “d+” and manufacture of basic metals (24) from “d” in 2014 to “a-”. – the sector of manufacture of electrical equipment (27) maintained a high stability over the period 2007- 2015 and retained its “a-” rating. – on the other hand, the leather industry (15) was upgraded to “c” after a recovery attempt in 2013 and to “b-” in 2014, but it was downgraded again in 2015 to “d+”. – similarly, mining and quarrying (B) were downgraded to “d+” in 2015 after three successive years (2012- 2014) with an “a-” rating. BIC Index: November 2017 14
  • 15. 2. Presentation of BIC Index results BIC Index: November 2017 15
  • 16. BIC Index: ranking and scores, 2015 *In brackets the ranking of sectors and in the histograms their scores BIC Index: November 2017 16Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 17. BIC Index: examination of the scores and rankings of the individual dimensions, 2015 BIC Index: November 2017 17Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA • The green colour indicates the sectors whose scores are above the median score of every dimension among the sectors, in contrast with the red colour, which indicates scores below the median score. • The arrow indicates the intensity of the direction of each sector relative to the median score of the corresponding dimension. • score ≥ 75% of score range • 50% ≤ score < 75% • 25% ≤ score < 50% • score < 25% Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank 33 54.3 1 32.9 33 60.8 3 69.3 2 14 41.8 26 39.4 11 37.1 33 48.9 26 32 53.0 2 44.0 4 53.1 4 61.9 4 22 41.8 27 27.9 44 39.9 26 57.4 9 E 49.5 3 47.8 2 40.5 22 60.3 6 10 41.7 28 33.2 30 38.0 32 53.8 17 62+63 49.4 4 42.5 6 48.2 10 57.5 8 21 41.6 29 37.6 14 48.7 9 38.4 40 68 49.4 5 55.4 1 46.2 15 46.5 29 58 40.9 30 43.7 5 41.5 19 37.7 41 24 48.5 6 45.8 3 29.1 43 70.5 1 S 40.4 31 34.8 25 36.7 34 49.9 22 29 47.8 7 35.7 22 52.1 5 55.6 14 55 40.2 32 30.2 38 50.3 6 39.9 36 N-79 47.5 8 33.0 32 48.8 8 60.6 5 45 40.0 33 33.0 31 36.0 37 51.0 20 50 46.9 9 35.9 20 68.3 2 36.6 43 79 39.7 34 36.7 17 43.9 17 38.6 38 27 45.5 10 39.7 8 32.1 41 64.7 3 28 39.0 35 37.2 15 41.2 20 38.6 39 25 45.5 11 39.7 9 38.6 30 58.2 7 17 38.3 36 31.5 36 39.3 27 44.0 34 M 45.2 12 39.5 10 48.0 11 48.3 28 13 37.4 37 35.7 23 19.4 48 57.0 11 20 44.8 13 34.5 27 47.1 12 52.7 18 Q 36.3 38 25.4 47 39.3 28 44.2 33 F 44.5 14 38.6 13 40.4 23 54.4 16 26 36.2 39 29.6 39 40.2 24 39.0 37 D 44.1 15 36.9 16 69.1 1 26.3 48 61 35.1 40 35.2 24 36.0 36 34.1 46 46 44.0 16 36.2 19 40.1 25 55.9 13 12 34.8 41 28.1 43 30.3 42 46.2 31 47 43.9 17 38.8 12 40.9 21 52.1 19 23 34.6 42 27.2 45 32.3 40 44.4 32 49 43.7 18 35.7 21 38.1 31 57.3 10 51 34.5 43 29.5 40 25.0 45 48.9 25 30 43.1 19 36.5 18 46.6 13 46.2 30 A 33.6 44 31.5 35 32.7 39 36.7 42 56 43.0 20 34.0 28 46.6 14 48.4 27 31 33.3 45 29.0 41 39.1 29 31.8 47 19 43.0 21 31.1 37 42.0 18 55.9 12 B 31.4 46 33.6 29 19.7 47 41.0 35 52+53 42.9 22 42.4 7 35.4 38 50.9 21 15 29.5 47 26.4 46 27.7 44 34.4 45 P 42.5 23 28.7 42 50.0 7 48.9 24 R 21.5 48 18.1 49 10.1 50 36.4 44 11 42.1 24 32.5 34 44.1 16 49.8 23 16 17.6 49 14.4 50 12.7 49 25.5 49 18 42.0 25 34.7 26 36.2 35 55.0 15 59+60 16.3 50 19.2 48 19.9 46 9.7 50 Capital StructureLiquidity EfficiencySectors 2015 BIC Index Liquidity Efficiency Capital Structure Sectors 2015 BIC Index
  • 18. BIC Index: Structure of the final score per sector, 2015 BIC Index: November 2017 18Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA *The BIC Index is the average result of the scores of each dimension
  • 19. BIC Index: Sectors with the best performance, 2015 The sector of repair and installation of machinery and equipment (33) showed resistance to the crisis and enhanced its performance in 2015. Other manufacturing sectors with positive results are those related to manufacture of motor vehicles (29), manufacture of basic metals (24), other kinds of manufacturing (32) and manufacture of electrical equipment (27). Regarding the latter, another sector related to technology that maintained a high performance was the sector of computer programming and information services (62+63). Finally, the sectors of water supply etc. (E) and real estate (68) remained in high positions for another year. However, the BIC Index score of the E sector reduced considerably compared to previous years, recording its lowest value. BIC Index: November 2017 19Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA 33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 32 Other manufacturing Ε Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 62+63 Computer programming, consultancy and related activities. Information service activities 68 Real estate activities 24 Manufacture of basic metals 29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi- trailers Ν-79 Administrative and support service activities expect for travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related activities 50 Water transport 27 Manufacture of electrical equipment The sectors with the strongest performance, 2015
  • 20. BIC Index: Sectors with the poorest performance, 2015 The sectors of entertainment, such as arts and entertainment (R) and mass media (59+60) continue to be among the lowest performers. The situation in wood processing sectors is quite similar, especially in the wood industry (16) and the manufacture of furniture (31). The performance of the agricultural sector (A) and tobacco industry (12) remains low. Finally, the decline of mining and quarrying (B) was significant compared to the previous year, especially in terms of efficiency and capital structure. Finally, the performance of the manufacture of other non- metallic mineral products (23) was significantly lower as well. BIC Index: November 2017 20Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA 59+60 Motion picture, video and television programme production, sound recording and music publishing activities. Programming and broadcasting activities 16 Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials R Arts, entertainment and recreation 15 Manufacture of leather and related products Β Mining and quarrying 31 Manufacture of furniture Α Agriculture, forestry and fishing 51 Air transport 23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 12 Manufacture of tobacco products The sectors with the weakest performance, 2015
  • 21. Rising sectors The sectors of water transport (50), manufacture of refined petroleum products (19) and manufacture of metal products (25) continued to improve their performance compared to 2007. Furthermore, the sectors of manufacture of other transport equipment (30) and administrative and support services excluding travel agencies (N-79) had a more positive picture. BIC Index: sectors with the highest dynamic evolution and the steepest decline, 2007-2015 Sectors with the 5 largest positive cumulative changes in the BIC Index ranking, 2007-2015 BIC Index: November 2017 21 Sectors with the 5 largest negative cumulative changes in the BIC Index ranking, 2007-2015 Declining sectors The health sector (Q) and the sectors of mining and quarrying (B) continued to record the lowest performance compared to 2007, especially in terms of profitability. Despite the liquidity improvement, the strong decline of efficiency and capital structure of the publishing sector (58) deteriorated its total performance. Finally, the sectors of manufacture of other non- metallic mineral products (23) and furniture (31) have been squeezed in all the examined dimensions in 2015 compared to 2007. Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 22. After a period of turbulence, especially in the years of deep recession from 2011 until 2012, the domestic small and medium-sized entrepreneurship seemed to recover and return to its pre-crisis level. From the structure of the dimensions, it appears that this improvement stems from the stabilisation of capital structure at a higher level and the strengthening of liquidity. Still, although the dimension of efficiency – which is linked to enterprise profitability – improved over 2014, it failed to reach 2007 levels. BIC Index 2015: Signs of stabilisation at a higher level BIC Index: November 2017 22Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 23. The improved average performance of SMEs in 2015, which approached the levels of 2007, is also reflected at a sectoral level, since 60% of all sectors recorded a higher BIC Index score compared to 2007. In particular, 44% of all sectors exceeded the average performance and at the same time improved over the period 2007-2015. The sectors of repair and installation of equipment (33) and other manufacturing (32) combined among the highest performance and score improvement. On the other hand, the sectors of mass media (59+60), wood industry (16), and arts and entertainment (R) continued recording the lowest performance and the strongest reductions in 2007-2015. Among the sectors with the highest performance, the sectors of water supply, etc. (E) and real estate (68) recorded the largest decline in BIC Index score over the period 2007-2015. Finally, despite their low performance, the tobacco industry (12) and the telecommunications (61) recorded the highest improvement compared to 2007. BIC Index 2007-2015: Performance and progress of sectors BIC Index: November 2017 23Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 24. BIC Index: Mapping of sectors based on their performance, 2007-2015 BIC Index: November 2017 24 • 11, 56, 58, 68, • D, E, M, P • 13, 15, 16, 23, • 26, 28, 31, 59+60, • B, Q, R, S • 10, 14, 18, 19, 20, • 21, 22, 24, 25, 27, • 29, 30, 32, 33, 46, • 47, 49, 50, 52+53, • 62+63, N-79, • F • 12, 17, 45, 51, • 55, 61, 79, A Low performance, progress 8 sectors High performance, progress 22 sectors High performance, deterioration 8 sectors Low performance, deterioration 12 sectors Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 25. 3. BIC Rating System BIC Index: November 2017 25
  • 26. BIC Rating System: mapping of sectors based on their performance, 2015 BIC Index: November 2017 26Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA •45, 79, •28, 17, •13, Q, •26 •61, 12, •23, 51 •A, 31 •33, 32, Ε, 62+63, 68, •24, 29, Ν-79, 50, •27, 25, Μ, 20, F, •D, 46, 47, 49, 30, • 56, 19, 52+53, P, •11, 18, 14, 22, 10, •21, 58, S, 55 •B, 15 •R, 16 •59+60 Underperformers (5 sectors, 10%) Outperformers (32 sectors, 64%) Good performers (7 sectors, 14%) Medium performers (6 sectors, 12%) Turnover: €742.2mn Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation: €15.9mn Net loss before taxes: €-78.9mn Equity: €838.9mn Total liabilities: €1.4bn Net debt: €1.3bn Interest expenses: €37.8mn Turnover: €41.7bn Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation: €4bn Net profit before taxes: €1.8bn Equity: €28.5bn Total liabilities: €33.1bn Net debt: €27.4bn Interest expenses: €928.6mn Turnover: €4.1bn Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation: €304.2mn Net profit before taxes: €109.5mn Equity: €2.1bn Total liabilities: €3.1bn Net debt: €2.6bn Interest expenses: €89.2mn Turnover: €2bn Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation: €173.9mn Net profit before taxes: €15.1mn Equity: €1.5bn Total liabilities: €2.2bn Net debt: €2bn Interest expenses: €68.9mn Note: the figures are the sums of sectors per performance based on the sample of enterprises in 2015
  • 27. Classification of sectors per year based on the BIC Rating System BIC Index: November 2017 27Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Rating Rating a+ E 68 a+ a M E E 68 E E E E 50 E 68 33 32 a B Q 62+63 M 62+63 68 Q 62+63 M 68 M 27 68 33 27 33 62+63 27 29 61 51 56 29 62+63 E 62+63 68 56 58 P Q B 27 32 P 33 D 33 32 32 Q 11 50 56 62+63 33 32 M 27 24 29 N-79 D 32 27 P 58 32 27 S 56 Q P 52+53 P 61 B 27 68 58 20 33 46 50 27 25 11 F 47 52+53 D 33 58 52+53 26 P M D 25 22 P M 20 F 52+53 29 33 32 Q 11 47 28 11 D 46 47 24 14 23 S 47 25 58 19 F 49 30 56 49 28 S 46 N-79 B 10 N-79 49 19 52+53 P 22 31 49 B 21 11 18 14 22 10 21 58 S 55 20 18 26 14 26 47 22 F 14 61 62+63 51 32 25 10 18 20 52+53 14 45 79 13 F 11 56 P Q 46 21 55 21 25 49 25 47 49 49 56 25 M D 28 56 21 D 52+53 24 22 S 55 23 28 17 13 25 R 30 31 N-79 11 20 12 29 20 58 47 19 79 28 61 13 79 20 28 29 28 21 18 14 21 30 22 23 18 N-79 N-79 30 24 46 10 D 29 31 62+63 N-79 22 56 47 11 M 14 46 F 51 12 15 Q 26 10 23 46 10 11 49 20 10 10 16 S R B 50 19 23 47 24 10 25 12 28 68 13 17 45 Q 61 30 F N-79 49 79 15 50 55 13 R 30 16 14 21 46 46 N-79 50 22 19 S 30 23 17 31 12 23 51 51 19 28 A 20 22 S 15 A 55 A 31 19 16 13 12 14 A 24 F 18 52+53 31 B 30 A 45 59+60 15 79 45 55 17 24 18 B 17 15 31 F 30 79 51 50 45 A D 18 B 15 17 17 59+60 19 A 79 51 51 S 16 18 21 52+53 A 55 58 12 45 15 61 79 13 31 12 55 19 17 15 13 59+60 15 55 26 79 23 17 23 45 50 R 29 58 13 61 45 61 12 50 A 51 16 R 31 45 24 12 R 26 R 24 26 R 16 59+60 61 29 26 R 16 59+60 16 59+60 d- 59+60 59+60 26 59+60 16 d- 2010 c- d+ d b+ b b- c+ c 2007 2008 a- d b+ b b- c+ c c- 2012 a- d+ 201520142009 20132011
  • 28. Mapping of the performance of sectors per year based on the BIC Rating System BIC Index: November 2017 28Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA *Ranking of sectors based on 2015 data
  • 29. 4. Appendices BIC Index: November 2017 29
  • 30. 4a. Methodology of calculating BIC Index BIC Index: November 2017 30
  • 31. Total Liquidity of SMEs of each sector is given by the following ratios: Dimension of Liquidity Liquidity Current ratio Current assets Current liabilities Quick ratio Cash+deposits+securities+accounts receivable Current liabilities Difference between payment and collection days Average payment period (Accounts payable)*365 Cost of sold goods Average collection period (Accounts receivable)*365 Turnover+operating revenue 31BIC Index: November 2017
  • 32. The overall measure of the Efficiency of each sector is given by: Dimension of Efficiency Efficiency Gross profit margin Gross profit Turnover Net profit margin Net profit before taxes Turnover+operating revenue EBITDA margin Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation Turnover+operating revenue Return on total assets Net profit before taxes Total assets Return on equity Net profit before taxes Equity 32BIC Index: November 2017
  • 33. The basic Capital Structure ratios we use are the following: Dimension of Capital Structure Capital structure Debt to equity ratio Total liabilities Equity Equity to total assets ratio Equity Total assets Times interest earned ratio Net earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortisation Interest expenses Equity to fixed assets ratio Equity Net fixed assets Interest expenses to turnover and operating revenue ratio Interest expenses Turnover+operating revenue 33BIC Index: November 2017
  • 34. Each of these variables has a different range, as well as different units of measurement; e.g. some variables count the number of days, some are expressed as percentages and so on. In order to be able to initially compare and synthesize these variables, for the three key dimensions of liquidity, efficiency and capital structure and then the BIC Index, all variables should be converted to a common base. Transformation of variable values of the BIC Index 34BIC Index: November 2017
  • 35. Standardization of variables examined: When the rise of a variable value is a positive development, the standardization formula is: Where, pi: the variable value of sector i after the standardization; Ii: the variable value of sector i before the standardization; Imin: the variable value of the sector with the weakest performance of all examined sectors; Imax: the variable value of the sector with the strongest performance of all examined sectors. When the decline of a variable value is a positive development, the standardization formula is: The common range of variables is: 0-100. Calculation of the BIC Index scores 35BIC Index: November 2017 𝑝𝑖 = 𝐼𝑖 − 𝐼 𝑚𝑖𝑛 𝐼 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐼 𝑚𝑖𝑛 × 100 𝑝𝑖 = 𝐼 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐼 𝑖 𝐼 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐼 𝑚𝑖𝑛 × 100
  • 36. Crucial to the construction of the index is the choice of the base period, namely the period used to calculate the maximum (Imax) and minimum (Imin) value. • Financial ratios: min-max standardisation: 2006 • Source of financial data: ICAP DATA. Overall, we examine 50 sectors and the number of the sample of SAs and LTDs ranges from 17 thousand to 23.5 thousand during 2007-2015. Calculation of the BIC Index scores 36BIC Index: November 2017
  • 37. Weights of examined ratios and variables per dimension for the calculation of the BIC Index The final BIC Index is calculated as follows: 37 • Current ratio………….………………………………33.3% • Quick ratio…………………………..………….…….33.3% • Difference between payment and collection days…………………….…..............………..………33.3% Liquidity (33.3%) • Gross profit margin…………………….……….……20% • Net profit margin………..………………………..….20% • EBITDA margin…………………….……..…………….20% • Return on total assets……………………………….20% • Return on equity……..……………………………….20% Efficiency (33.3%) •Debt to equity ratio…………………………..………..………..20% •Equity to total assets ratio………………………..…………..20% •Equity to fixed assets…………………………………………….20% •Times interest earned ratio...................................…20% •Interest expenses to turnover and operating revenue ratio………………………………………………..………………….20% Capital structure (33.3%) BIC Index: November 2017
  • 38. • Source of data: ICAP DATA. • Processing of enterprise sample: we excluded enterprises that: – had no available financial data; – reported negative equity; – had no data available on the number of personnel; – showed no turnover; – had no available data for the cost of goods sold. • Given the emphasis on SMEs*, we selected the enterprises that met the following criteria: – the number of employees does not exceed 250 persons; while – their turnover does not exceed €50 million. Description of BIC Index methodology: Selection of enterprise sample * In line with the definition of SMEs given by the European Commission (Commission Recommendation 2003/361/EC). 38BIC Index: November 2017
  • 39. • We examine all sectors of economic activity, according to the STAKOD'08 (=NACE rev. 2) classification, except for the following: – Κ: Financial and insurance activities – O: Public administration and defense; compulsory social security – Τ: Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods – and services – producing activities of households for own use – U: Activities of extraterritorial organizations and bodies Description of the BIC Index methodology: Financial criteria 39BIC Index: November 2017
  • 40. The examined sectors of the domestic economy and presentation of the samples of SMEs, 2007-2015 (a) BIC Index: November 2017 40Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Data extraction period: May of each year, except for 2015: October Codes STAKOD'08 (=NACE rev. 2) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Α Agriculture, forestry and fishing 249 289 280 254 261 223 233 246 231 Β Mining and quarrying 89 111 108 94 85 73 83 83 70 10 Manufacture of food products 1,014 1,044 1,035 984 991 931 951 994 923 11 Manufacture of beverages 177 180 180 168 165 160 154 159 151 12 Manufacture of tobacco products 12 9 10 9 10 9 9 9 8 13 Manufacture of textiles 166 166 165 157 138 120 114 116 99 14 Manufacture of wearing apparel 301 297 284 261 248 213 206 204 184 15 Manufacture of leather and related products 49 49 43 42 43 37 38 39 37 16 Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials 121 123 121 103 92 80 78 83 75 17 Manufacture of paper and paper products 140 144 144 141 142 138 124 128 121 18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media 218 226 214 196 182 156 151 163 161 19 Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products 28 26 26 28 26 27 24 24 26 20 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 221 223 231 224 224 213 203 206 191 21 Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations 51 52 51 49 56 48 44 47 44 22 Manufacture of rubber and plastic products 276 275 279 264 243 226 235 232 202 23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 478 473 464 415 387 334 332 325 278 24 Manufacture of basic metals 69 71 69 67 65 58 56 55 43 25 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 535 537 521 481 463 417 411 415 383 26 Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products 63 63 62 61 59 53 58 61 60 27 Manufacture of electrical equipment 141 142 147 137 130 122 114 121 118 28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. 220 222 218 208 193 196 184 183 177 29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 35 35 37 35 30 25 20 27 18 30 Manufacture of other transport equipment 31 30 30 27 29 23 22 18 19 31 Manufacture of furniture 225 213 213 189 159 131 121 123 109 32 Other manufacturing 148 147 150 138 135 122 118 115 108 33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 58 58 52 42 57 50 52 57 72
  • 41. BIC Index: November 2017 41Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA The examined sectors of the domestic economy and presentation of the samples of SMEs, 2007-2015 (b) * 09 (mining support service activities) is excluded from B, and 94 (activities of membership organisations) from S – no available data from ICAP DATA Codes STAKOD'08 (=NACE rev. 2) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 D Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 110 121 150 168 208 205 285 359 241 Ε Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 68 83 89 84 87 94 104 122 110 F Construction 1,664 1,706 1,693 1,496 1,398 1,091 1,112 1,185 1,027 45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 835 825 801 705 683 583 552 553 543 46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 5,281 5,380 5,344 4,908 5,135 4,605 4,517 4,664 4,519 47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1,350 1,348 1,328 1,158 1,194 1,044 984 1,062 1,059 49 Land transport and transport via pipelines 198 198 192 182 194 207 228 267 221 50 Water transport 24 25 21 17 20 18 17 14 10 51 Air transport 13 13 17 17 13 13 13 13 8 52+53 Warehousing and postal and courier activities 464 464 456 435 465 410 405 471 358 55 Accommodation 2,985 2,989 3,012 2,763 2,579 2,187 2,122 2,220 1,689 56 Food and beverage service activities 542 551 534 480 461 324 316 358 389 58 Publishing activities 226 244 237 197 202 166 167 174 149 59+60 Motion picture, video and television programme production, sound recording and music publishing activities. Programming and broadcasting activities 226 221 218 188 184 135 136 145 98 61 Telecommunications 39 43 46 39 37 37 38 46 38 62+63 Computer programming, consultancy and related activities. Information service activities 470 490 488 451 476 426 426 464 385 68 Real estate activities 596 612 609 574 574 394 413 516 272 Μ Professional, scientific and technical activities 1,275 1,323 1,334 1,219 1,308 1,098 1,060 1,223 876 Ν-79 Administrative and support service activities excluding travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related activities 467 482 453 402 420 385 399 412 320 79 Travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related activities 366 365 339 295 313 280 293 310 226 P Education 199 202 206 185 193 186 166 179 141 Q Human health and social work activities 349 385 399 386 433 353 380 415 355 R Arts, entertainment and recreation 103 114 116 106 93 57 74 82 68 S Other service activities 79 79 73 62 84 72 68 62 52 Total 23,044 23,468 23,289 21,291 21,367 18,555 18,410 19,549 17,062
  • 42. 4b. Methodology of calculating BIC Rating System BIC Index: November 2017 42
  • 43. BIC Rating System*: distribution characteristics of the BIC Index scores 2007-2012 As shown in the histogram, the distribution of all scores of the BIC Index (50 sectors, 2007-2012) is almost symmetrical. It has an average of 36.07, a median of 36.52, a standard deviation of 8.04. The maximum value is 73.66 and the minimum is 8.34 units. Histogram and kernel distribution of the scores of BIC Index of 50 sectors for 2007-2012 BIC Index 2007-2012 Descriptive statistics of the BIC Index scores of 50 sectors for 2007-2012 * The methodology adopted is based on a similar methodology presented by Khramov V. and Lee J.R. (2013), The Economic Performance Index (EPI): an Intuitive Indicator for Assessing a Country’s Economic Performance Dynamics in an Historical Perspective, IMF Working Paper WP/13/214, October 2013. 43Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA N 300 mean 36.07 median 36.52 maximum 73.66 minimum 8.34 std. deviation 8.04 skewness 0.07 kurtosis 2.36 Descriptive Statistics BIC Index: November 2017
  • 44. BIC Rating System: threshold setting In our approach, we divide the distribution into four (4) groups (quartiles) and create a rating system, where the implemented score thresholds are close to the distribution of the BIC Index scores 2007-2012. BIC Index: November 2017 44Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Percentile BIC Index Score Implemented score threshold Top 25% >75 Above 40.401 40 Next 25% 50 Above 36.499 36 Next 25% 25 Above 31.643 32 Bottom 25% <25 all below
  • 45. Structure of the BIC Rating System In accordance with the implemented thresholds for the BIC Index scores, we have created three (3) individual categories for each quartile, the intervals of which are symmetrical around the median. Therefore, based on this approach, we present the following rating system, which is based on the BIC Index scores 2007-2012. BIC Rating System BIC Index: November 2017 45 Score range Score Rating BIC Index Performance ≥63 a+ [51-63) a [40-51) a- [39-40) b+ [37-39) b [36-37) b- [35-36) c+ [33-35) c [32-33) c- [24-32) d+ [16-24) d <16 d- <32 underperformers ≥40 outperfomers 36-40 good performers 32-36 medium performers
  • 46. 4c. Additional presentation of results, 2015 BIC Index: November 2017 46
  • 47. BIC Index: further examination of sectoral performance, 2015 The sectors with the 5 largest positive and negative changes in the BIC Index ranking between 2014-2015 BIC Index: November 2017 47Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 48. BIC Index: November 2017 48Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Liquidity, 2015 Performance of examined ratios per sector 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 24 32 25 27 E 13 28 F 14 B 11 46 62+63 18 20 31 45 29 50 23 10 Total 15 22 52+53 17 30 68 19 12 26 33 47 D 49 M A N-79 58 61 21 79 Q S P 16 51 55 56 59+60 R Current ratio 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 E 24 62+63 52+53 25 18 M 27 49 46 32 D 13 68 79 61 20 N-79 19 F 17 28 Total 22 10 14 P B Q 31 15 33 11 45 21 58 50 26 30 23 S 29 A 51 55 47 56 59+60 16 R 12 Quick ratio -100 -50 0 50 100 150 68 58 56 47 S 55 21 51 79 29 30 A M 52+53 61 50 R D 12 14 59+60 N-79 62+63 33 49 P F Total 45 E 10 26 20 46 32 B 11 17 28 19 Q 18 23 27 31 25 22 13 15 16 24 Difference between payment and collection days
  • 49. BIC Index: November 2017 49Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Efficiency, 2015 Performance of examined ratios per sector (a) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 56 58 55 68 21 D 33 31 32 11 Q 50 62+63 S N-79 P 28 20 M 26 14 47 30 23 59+60 Total 18 52+53 46 B 61 F 27 22 E 17 15 29 25 10 19 79 49 13 45 A 24 12 16 R 51 Gross profit margin -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% D 50 33 29 32 N-79 30 P M 20 F 62+63 19 55 E 22 21 25 68 17 11 Total 79 10 46 28 49 47 45 A 52+53 26 18 14 Q 56 12 24 S 27 51 61 31 58 23 15 13 B 59+60 16 R Net profit margin -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% D 50 55 68 N-79 61 33 26 29 32 E 22 20 62+63 11 30 F 25 28 P 21 18 M Q 31 Total 12 17 19 15 A 23 10 49 52+53 14 24 46 S 56 45 27 47 58 79 16 59+60 51 13 B R EBITDA margin
  • 50. BIC Index: November 2017 50Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Efficiency, 2015 Performance of examined ratios per sector (b) -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 33 50 29 32 P 79 19 M 62+63 20 30 N-79 49 46 47 10 17 21 E 22 45 D F 25 Total 11 28 56 A 52+53 51 14 55 26 18 12 Q 24 S 27 68 61 31 58 23 15 B 13 59+60 16 R Return on total assets -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 50 79 33 29 P M 32 62+63 30 19 20 46 21 49 47 17 10 45 N-79 D E F 22 Total 25 56 11 28 A 51 52+53 26 14 55 18 Q 12 S 24 27 61 68 31 58 23 15 13 B R 16 59+60 Return on equity
  • 51. BIC Index: November 2017 51Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Capital structure, 2015 Performance of examined ratios per sector (a) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 24 68 13 27 N-79 22 55 18 25 R E F 12 33 32 19 29 S 23 49 20 Total 52+53 10 11 62+63 Q 14 30 45 D 47 46 B 17 15 28 26 51 31 56 M P 50 16 A 21 61 58 59+60 79 Debt to equity ratio 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 24 68 13 27 N-79 22 55 18 25 R E F 12 33 32 19 29 S 23 49 20 Total 52+53 10 11 62+63 Q 14 30 45 D 47 46 B 17 15 28 26 51 31 56 M P 50 16 A 21 61 58 59+60 79 Equity to total assets ratio 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 46 27 32 24 F 79 14 62+63 25 10 45 E 13 47 20 12 28 18 29 M 33 22 11 19 51 Total 15 26 30 49 N-79 23 P 58 68 17 A S Q 31 21 52+53 55 56 R 16 61 B D 50 59+60 Equity to fixed assets ratio
  • 52. Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATABIC Index: November 2017 52 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 33 56 P N-79 62+63 50 49 E 29 79 M 32 19 22 20 47 52+53 25 61 11 10 30 17 21 D 24 Total 46 51 55 18 26 F Q 45 68 S A 58 27 28 14 23 12 31 15 16 59+60 13 R B Times interest earned ratio Capital structure, 2015 Performance of examined ratios per sector (b) 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 56 51 33 79 49 47 P 52+53 62+63 B M 19 46 24 E 45 10 N-79 S 32 29 58 17 22 Total 20 27 25 11 13 21 18 30 Q 14 A F 50 61 23 26 28 12 31 15 16 R 68 55 59+60 D Interest expenses to turnover and operating revenue ratio
  • 53. BIC Index: November 2017 53 Disclaimer: This document is produced by the Economic Research & Investment Strategy Department of Piraeus Bank (hereinafter "the Bank"), which is supervised by the European Central Bank (ECB), in collaboration with the Bank of Greece and is sent or provided to third parties, without any obligation of its author. This document or any part of it should not be duplicated in any way without the prior written consent of its author. 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The information depicted in this document is relied on sources that the Bank considers to be reliable and is provided on an "as is" basis, however, the Bank cannot warrant as to their accuracy and completeness. The opinions and estimates herein are related to the trend of the local and international financial markets at the indicated date (prices at closing time) and are subject to changes without any prior notice. Notwithstanding the above, the Bank might include in this document investment researches, which have been conducted by third persons. In this case, the Bank does not modify those researches, but it presents them on an "as is" basis, therefore, no responsibility is assumed in relation to the content of the aforementioned investment researches. The Bank is under no duty to update the information contained in this document. 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Are not subject to any prohibition in relation to trading on own account or in the course of providing portfolio management services prior to the publication of this document or the acquisition of any shares prior to any public offering or the acquisition of any other securities. b. May offer upon remuneration investment banking services to issuers for whom this document may contain information. c. May participate to the issuers' share capital or acquire other securities issued by the aforementioned issuers or attract other financial interests from them. d. Might provide market making or underwriting services to issuers that might be mentioned in this document. e. Might have published papers the content of which is different or incompatible to the information presented herein. 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The figures presented herein refer to the past and that the past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. b. In case the figures refer to simulated past performance, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. c. The return on investments might be positively or negatively affected as a result of currency fluctuations, in case the figures are denominated in a foreign currency (other than Euro). d. Any forecasts in relation to future performance, may not be a reliable indicator of future performance. e. The tax treatment of the information as well as transactions pertained in this document, depends on each investor's individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. As a result, the recipient should seek for independent advice in relation to the applicable tax legislation. 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